The Bum's Week # 13 College Football Rated Games - Trends - News !!

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, NOV. 28

Matchup Skinny Edge


OHIO STATE at MICHIGAN
Urban has not had it easy vs. Wolverines, no covers last two, though he is 3-0 SU vs. Mich while at OSU. Bucks are 6-1 vs. line last seven away from Shoe, and 10-1 SU last 11 vs. Michigan.
Slight to OSU, based on team trends.


UL-LAFAYETTE at APP STATE
Cajuns 0-3-1 vs. line last four on road. App on 11-5-1 spread run last 17 on board.
App, based on team trends.


LOUISVILLE at KENTUCKY
Cats haven't won this game since 2010. Stoops no 3-8 vs. line in 2015, 4-12-1 last 17 on board.
'Ville, based on recent UK woes.


PENN STATE at MICHIGAN STATE
James Franklin 0-7 vs. line as visitor with Penn State! Despite troubles as chalk earlier this season, Dantonio still 10-6 as DD chalk since LY.
MSU, based on team trends.


CINCINNATI at EAST CAROLINA
Pirates just 1-5 vs. line last six at home.
Slight to Cincy, based on team trends.


UCONN at TEMPLE
Owls 5-1 vs. line last six in series since 2007. Owls 6-2 vs. spread last eight at Linc.
Temple, based on team trends.


IOWA STATE at WEST VIRGINIA
Road team has covered last three in series. ISU has covered 4 of last 5 TY, all as dog. WVU 2-5 vs. spread last seven TY, 5-13 last 18 as Morgantown chalk (though 3-3 in role TY).
ISU, based on team trends.


DUKE at WAKE FOREST
Duke no wins or covers last four TY, though Cutcliffe 3-1 vs. spread on road TY and 7-1 vs. spread last 8 away from Durham. Cutcliffe 3-0-1 vs. line last four in series.
Duke, based on team and series trends.


BOSTON COLLEGE at SYRACUSE
Cuse 5-1 vs. line at Carrier Dome. Visiting team 8-0-1 vs. line in Eagle games TY.
BC, based on team trends.


INDIANA at PURDUE
Old Oaken Bucket! Teams have split last 8 Buckets SU. Purdue just 2-6 vs. spread last 8 at Ross-Ade.
Slight to IU, based on team trends.


FAU at OLD DOMINION
Ugh! FAU 18-4 vs. spread last 22 on road, though ODU has rallied with back-to-back covers after dropping first 8 vs. spread TY.
Slight to FAU, based on team trends.


VANDERBILT at TENNESSEE
Vandy has covered last 3 in series, winning 2 of those SU. Derek Mason 12-7-1 last 20 on board. Butch Jones just 2-5 vs. spread last 7 at Knoxville.
Vandy, based on team and recent series trends.


SOUTH ALABAMA at GEORGIA SOUTHERN
USA 5-12-1 last 18 on board, 2-5 last 7 as visiting dog. Eagles 7-2 vs. line last 9.
GS, based on team trends.


UNLV at WYOMING
Wyo no covers last 3 TY. Cowboys 1-4 vs. spread at home TY, 1-8 last 9 vs. spread at Laramie. Rebs only 1-5 vs. line last five TY but 11-5 vs. spread last 16 as visitor.
Slight to UNLV, based on team trends.


MIDDLE TENNESSEE at UTSA
MTSU has won and covered last 3 TY. Coker 7-14 last 21 on board.
MTSU, based on recent Coker woes.


COLORADO at UTAH
Buffs have played Utah very tough, covering last four. Utes only 1-5 vs. spread last six at Salt Lake City.
Colorado, based on team trends.


BYU at UTAH STATE
Utags 2-1 as dog TY but only 5-7 in role for Matt Wells since 2013. Utags have covered 6 of last 7 in series. BYU just 6-11 vs. line last 17 away from Provo.
USU, based on series trends.


VIRGINIA TECH at VIRGINIA
Beamer has owned UVa, has beaten Cavs 11 straight, 8-3 vs. line in those games (though 1-2 last 3). But Cavs 17-7-1 last 25 on board, and if dog note 13-3-1 mark last 17 in role.
Beamer, based on series trends.


NORTH CAROLINA at NC STATE
Surging Heels have won last 10 SU TY and are 7-3 vs. line in those games. Pack 0-3 as dog TY.
UNC, based on recent trends.


CHARLOTTE at RICE
Owls have faded with no covers last 5 or 7 of last 8 after great spread marks prior.
Slight to Charlotte, based on recent trends.


MARYLAND at RUTGERS
Terps 6-3 last nine as visiting dog. 'Gers 1-4 last 5 and 3-7 last 10 vs. line TY.
Maryland, based on recent trends.


FLORIDA STATE at FLORIDA
McElwain 7-3-1 vs. line TY, 29-11-1 last 41 on board. Jimbo a bit of a turnaround with covers in his last three, but 1-3 as dog since 2011. Road team has covered last four meetings.
Florida, based on McElwain trends.


GEORGIA at GEORGIA TECH
Georgia has won last 7 and covered last 8 against GT at Bobby Dodd Stadium/Grant Field. Road series for the past 17 years, 14-2-1 last 17 meetings. GT on 1-8 spread skid TY.
Georgia, based on team trends.

KANSAS STATE at KANSAS
Bill Snyder has owned Kansas, won and covered all six since returning in 2009, 17-1 SU and vs. line last 18 and 18-1 SU last 19 vs. Jayhawks!
Kansas State, based on series trends.


TEXAS A&M at LSU
Ags 1-5 vs. line last 6 TY, Sumlin also 0-3 SU and vs. line vs. Les Miles since A&M entered SEC in 2012.
LSU, based on series trends.


NORTHWESTERN vs. ILLINOIS (at Soldier Field)
Cats 5-1 vs. line last six away from Evanston, Illini 4-8 vs. line last 12 away from home.
NU, based on team trends.


ALABAMA at AUBURN
Iron Bowl! Malzahn 2-9 vs. line TY, 2-14 last 16 on board. Bama 4-0 vs. line away from home TY, and visiting team 8-1 vs. spread last nine Tide games TY.
Bama, based on team trends.


ARIZONA STATE at CAL
.ASU just 1-6 vs. spread last 7 away from Tempe though Cal just 4-6 vs. spread last 10 at Berkeley.
Slight to Cal, based on team trends.


TEXAS STATE at IDAHO
Franchione just 2-6 vs. spread last 8 TY, no covers 3 on road TY. Vandals 5-2 vs. spread last seven TY.
Idaho, based on team trends.


SOUTHERN MISS at LA TECH
USM stellar 9-2 vs. line TY, though LT has covered last three in series. Skip Holtz 17-8 vs. spread since LY, 7-3 last 10 as home chalk.
Slight to La Tech, based on extended trends.


SMU at MEMPHIS
Ponies 2-6 vs. spread last 7 TY. Tigers 1-3 vs. line last 4 TY but 7-4 last 11 laying DDs.
Memphis, based on recent SMU woes.


CLEMSON at SOUTH CAROLINA
Dabo had lost and failed to cover 5 straight vs. SC prior to LY and just 2-5 vs. line last 7 as visitor.
SC, based on series trends.


UTEP at NORTH TEXAS
UNT is 4-2 vs. line for Canales, who is now 8-3 vs. spread as Mean Green interim HC in 2010 & '15. UTEP 0-8 SU last 8 away from Sun Bowl.
Slight to UNT, based on Canales trends.


WISCONSIN at MINNESOTA
Paul Bunyan's Axe! Claeys 4-0 vs. line TY with Gophers and 10-1 in reg. season if counting the six games in place of Kill in '13. Gophers haven't won Axe since '03 but have covered last two.
Minnesota, based on team trends.


OKLAHOMA at OKLAHOMA STATE
Bedlam! Gundy has covered 3 of last 4 vs. Bob Stoops, but OU 4-0 vs. line as visitor this season.
OU, based on team trends.


OLE MISS at MISSISSIPPI STATE
Egg Bowl! Home team has won and covered last four Egg Bowls. Hugh Freeze 31-18-1 vs. line with Rebs. MSU 12-5 vs. spread last 17 at Starkville.
Slight to MSU, based on recent Egg Bowl home trend.


NOTRE DAME at STANFORD
Irish only 1-3-1 vs. line away from South Bend TY, though 9-4-1 vs. line last 14 in series. Tree 8-2 vs. spread last 10 on Farm, 11-3 last 14 overall vs. spread.
Slight to Stanford, based on team trends.


ARKANSAS STATE at NEW MEXICO STATE
Ags rallying with covers in 4 of last 5 and 5 of last 7! But Ark State has hit the jets with six SU wins in a row and big covers in 4 of last 5, now 14-3 last 17 vs. spread on Belt road.
Ark State, based on team trends.


NEVADA at SAN DIEGO STATE
Aztecs have won and covered last seven TY, though Pack 6-2 last eight vs. number and Brian Polian 9-2 vs. line last 11 as visitor.
Slight to SDSU, based on recent trends.


AIR FORCE at NEW MEXICO
Force 4-0-1 vs. line last five TY, 7-3-1 vs. spread in 2015, 15-8-1 vs. spread since LY. But Bob Davie has covered all three vs. Force since taking over at UNM!
Slight to Air Force, based on team trends.


UCLA at SOUTHERN CAL
Bruins have now won and covered last three in series (all Mora). Mora 6-1 vs. spread last 7 away from Rose Bowl. Trojans 2-5 vs. number last seven as Pac-12 host.
UCLA, based on team and recent series trends.


COLORADO STATE at FRESNO STATE
Fresno 3-9 vs. line last 12 on board, 14-25-1 last 40 since late 2012. CSU is 6-4-1 overall vs. spread TY and 27-13-1 last 41 on board since late 2012.
CSU, based on team trends.


ULM at HAWAII
UH no covers last 5 or 9 of last 10 TY, but 5-2 since 2012 vs. points at Aloha Stadium vs. non-MW foes and has covered last game each of last three years. ULM on 1-7 spread skid of its own.
Slight to Hawaii, based on team trends.

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ACC Report - Week 13
November 25, 2015

2015 ACC STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Boston College 3-8 0-7 5-5-1 2-9

Clemson 11-0 8-0 5-6 6-5

Duke 6-5 3-4 5-6 4-7

Florida State 9-2 6-2 7-4 4-7

Georgia Tech 3-8 1-7 3-8 6-5

Louisville 6-5 5-3 5-6 5-5-1

Miami (Fla.) 7-4 4-3 6-5 6-5

North Carolina 10-1 7-0 7-4 5-6

North Carolina State 7-4 3-4 6-5 5-6

Pittsburgh 8-3 6-1 6-5 5-5-1

Syracuse 3-8 1-6 7-4 10-1

Virginia 4-7 3-4 7-3-1 6-4-1

Virginia Tech 5-6 3-4 6-5 5-6

Wake Forest 3-8 1-6 6-5 4-6-1



Miami-Florida at Pittsburgh (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Hurricanes hit the road looking for their eighth win, which would be huge in a very difficult and trying season. The Hurricanes are 5-11 ATS in their past 16 roa games, and 2-6 ATS in their past eight road outings against a team with a winning home record. However, Pitt isn't much better at 1-5 ATS in their past six home games. The Hurricanes have covered four of their past five trips to the Steel City, and the road team is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings. Total bettors might be tempted by the 'over'. The over is 4-1 in Miami's past five games, and 4-1-1 in Pitt's past six home outings. The over is also 7-2 in Pittsburgh's past nine against a team with a winning record.

Georgia at Georgia Tech (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Bulldogs head to Atlanta as a five-point favorite in their rivalry game. UGA has dominated this series, at least against the number, going 7-0 ATS in their past seven trips to Atlanta, and 9-4-1 ATS in the past 14 meetings overall. The road team is a dominant 13-2-1 ATS in the past 16 meetings overall. For UGA, they're 5-2 ATS in their past seven road games, but just 2-6 ATS in their past eight overall. Ga. Tech failed to cover last week, and they're 1-8 ATS in their past nine overall. They're also 1-6 ATS in their past seven against teams with a winning record, although they have managed to go 7-3 ATS in their past 10 home games.

Louisville at Kentucky (SEC Network, 12:00p.m. ET)
Louisville heads across the state to battle Kentucky in Lexington. The Cardinals, a four-point favorite, has posted a 26-11 ATS mark in their past 37 road games, although they're 1-5 ATS in their past six games overall. For the Wildcats, they're 2-6 ATS in their past eight home games, and 1-6 ATS in their past seven overall. They're also 0-4 ATS in their past four against a team with a winning overall record. Louisville has covered six of their past eight trips to Lexington, and the Cards are 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings with the Wildcats. The under is 3-1-1 in the past five meetings in Lexington.

Clemson at South Carolina (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)
Clemson heads down Interstate 385 and over to Interstate 26 for the short jaunt to the Palmetto State capital. It's all on the line for the Tigers, who look to stay perfect and remain on track for a spot in the four-team playoff. They have struggled with South Carolina in recent years, but snapped a skid last season by finally pushing the Gamecocks aside. Clemson is 2-5 ATS in their past seven road games, and 1-6 ATS in their past seven against teams with a losing record. While South Carolina has struggled against winning teams, going 1-7 ATS in the past eight, they're 6-1 ATS in their past seven against ACC foes and they're 4-0 ATS in their past four home games aginst the Tigers. The under has hit in five straight in this series, too.

Virginia Tech at Virginia (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)
It's like a replay of last season, as Virginia Tech heads into this rivalry game needing a win to become bowl eligible. The Cavaliers would love to keep their rivals from a trip to the postseason. UVA heads into this game 5-0 ATS in their past five ACC games, and 5-0 in their past five overall. They're also 9-4-1 ATS in their past 14 games at Scott Stadium. The under has been the dominant trend for both teams lately. The under is 6-1 for Virginia Tech in the past seven, and 7-2 in their past nine home games. The over is 5-1 in UVA's past six home games, but the under is 11-4-1 in their past 16 conference tilts and 23-10 in their past 33 home games against a team with a losing road record. Virginia Tech is 4-1 ATS in their past five trips to Virginia, and 8-3 ATS in their past 11 meetings overall. The favorite is 9-4 ATS in the past 13 meetings, while the under has hit in four of the past five.

Boston College at Syracuse (ESPN3, 12:30 p.m.)
Boston College heads to Syracuse in a battle of two non-bowl clubs. It's a battle between defense and offense in this one, as Syracuse's 10-1 'over' mark will really be put to the test. BC looks to stay hot on the road, at least against the number, as they're 4-0 ATS in their past four road games. Syracuse is 5-1 ATS in their past six home games, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven ACC tilts. The under is 5-1 in BC's past six against teams with a losing record, and 38-15-1 in their past 54 road games. The over is 10-1 overall for Syracuse, 5-1 in their past six home games and 4-0 in their past four ACC games.

Duke at Wake Forest (ESPN3, 12:30 p.m.)
Duke has dropped four in a row since that last-second lateral-filled kickoff loss against Miami. The Blue Devils just haven't been able to recover. They're a four-point favorite at Wake, and a loss to the lowly Demon Deacons would be truly bottoming out. Duke is 9-1-1 ATS in their past 11 road games against teams with a losing home record, and 10-3 ATS in their past 13 against a team with a losing record. The Blue Devils are 6-2 ATS in their past eight road games, but 0-4 ATS in their past four ACC games. Wake has covered six of their past eight home games, and five of their past seven overall. Duke has dominated against the number in this series, going 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings, and 5-1 ATS in their past six trips to Winston-Salem. The over is 6-2 in the past eight in this series.

North Carolina at North Carolina State (ABC/ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
UNC heads into their rivalry game in Raleigh looking to keep their special season going. N.C. State would love to toss a monkey wrench into the end of UNC's season. North Carolina is 5-0 ATS in their past five against a team with a winning record, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven overall. N.C. State is 5-2 ATS in their past seven against teams with a winning record, but 5-11 ATS in their past 16 home games. They're also just 2-5 ATS in their past seven overall, and 1-4 ATS in their past five home games against a team with a winning road record. UNC is 2-6 ATS in the past eight meetings, and the underdog has connected in 13 of the past 17 meetings. The under is 6-1 in UNC's past seven road games, and 7-3 in the past 10 against a team with a winning record. The over is 5-2 in N.C. State's past seven home games, and 16-5 in their past 21 home games against a team with a winning road record. However, the under is 4-1 in the past five in this series.

Florida State at Florida (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)
The Gators opened as a three-point favorite, but the line has shifted and the Seminoles are now favored by two points. The favorite is 13-4 ATS in the past 17 meetings in this series, and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in this series. The under has been the dominant trend, going 5-0 in the past five meetings in Gainesville, while going 5-1 in the past six meetings in this series. The under is 4-0 in FSU's past four road games, and 16-5 in their past 21 against SEC teams while going 7-3 in their past 10 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Florida's past four, and 18-5 in their past 23 against ACC foes.

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Big 12 Report - Week 13
November 25, 2015

2015 BIG 12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Baylor 9-1 6-1 5-4 7-3

Iowa State 3-8 2-6 6-4-1 4-6-1

Kansas 0-11 0-8 3-8 5-6

Kansas State 4-6 1-6 4-6 6-4

Oklahoma 10-1 7-1 8-3 7-4

Oklahoma State 10-1 7-1 6-5 7-4

Texas 4-6 3-4 4-6 4-6

Texas Christian 9-2 6-2 5-6 5-6

Texas Tech 6-5 3-5 6-4-1 8-3

West Virginia 6-4 3-4 4-6 3-7



Texas Tech at Texas (Thurs. - FOX Sports 1, 7:30 p.m. ET)
The Red Raiders heads cross-state to Austin to tangle with the Longhorns. One more loss for Texas and they are no longer bowl eligible. It won't help that Texas will be without their top two running backs, D'Onta Freeman (finger) and Johnathan Gray (foot). Texas Tech is 5-1 ATS in their past six games following a bye week, and they're 9-4-1 ATS in their past 14 game soverall and 4-1 ATS in their past five against a team with a losing record. Texas is 4-1 ATS in their past five home games and 4-1 ATS in their past five out of a bye. However, they're 7-15 ATS in their past 22 home games against a team with a winning road record. Texas has dominated this series in the past, going 4-1 ATS in the past five home games, and 5-0 ATS in the past five in the series. The under is 5-1 in the past six battles.

Baylor at Texas Christian (Fri. - ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
The Bears head to Fort Worth Friday, and both teams have quarterback concerns. Baylor QB Jarrett Stidham left last week's game, and RB Shock Linwood was also injured in their win. TCU played without QB Trevone Boykin last week as he joined top WR Josh Doctson on the sidelines. Baylor is 4-1 ATS in their past five against a team with a winning record, and 27-13-1 ATS in their past 41 games overall. TCU is 12-2 ATS in their past 14 home games, and 10-4 ATS in their past 14 against teams with a winning record. They're also 13-6 ATS in their past 19 conference tilts. The over is 4-0 in the past four meetings in this series, and the underdog has cashed in each of those outings. The Bears are just 1-7 ATS in the past eight battles with the Horned Frogs.

Iowa State at West Virginia (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Iowa State is dead and buried as far as a bowl is concerned, but the Cyclones continue to play hard down the stretch. The Cyclones took K-State to the brink last week before the Wildcats escaped 38-35. The week before that I-State nearly upset OK State in a 35-31 near-miss. The Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in the past five games, while the 'over' has hit in three in a row. West Virginia covered last week in a blanking of Kansas, but they're still just 2-5 ATS in their past seven. The 'under' has been the dominant trend for both sides, going 10-4-1 in I-State's past 15, and 5-1 in West Virginia's past six at home. The under is 15-4 in their past 19, and 12-3 in their past 15 Big 12 games.

Kansas State at Kansas (FOX Sports 1, 4:00 p.m.)
The winless Jayhawks host their rivals from Manhattan, and they're 20-point underdogs. While KU is 0-11 on the season, a win against K-State would more than salvage their season. K-State hasn't exactly dominated against the number, going 1-4 ATS in their past five overall and 1-4 ATS in their past five road games against a team with a losing home record. Kansas is 1-4 ATS in their past five overall, 1-5 ATS in their past six home games and 2-8 ATS in their past 10 conference tilts. The Wildcats have dominated this series lately, going 16-4 ATS in the past 20 meetings, 7-3 ATS in the past 10 trips to Lawrence and the favorite is 17-3 ATS in the past 20 meetings overall. The over is 6-1 in the past seven meetings at Kansas, and 4-1 in the past five meetings overall.

Oklahoma at Oklahoma State (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)
Despite Oklahoma State's loss last week to Baylor, 'Bedlam' will still be a huge, huge game with major implications. Oklahoma jumped to No. 3 in the playoff standings, and can likely lock up a spot in football's final four, regardless of all other outcomes, with a win in Stillwater. OU heads to Stillwater as a 6 1/2-point favorite, and they look to stay hot againt the number. They're 5-1 ATS in their past six games overall, and 4-1 ATS in their past five road games. Oklahoma is 8-2 ATS in their past 10 road games against a team with a winning home record. OK State is 6-2 ATS in their past eight againt a team with a winning record, and 7-3 ATS in their past 10 conference tilts even after last week's loss and non-cover.

The 'over' is 5-1 in the past six overall for Oklahoma, and 10-3-1 in the past 14 road games, and 7-2-1 in their past 10 road games against a team with a winning home record. The over is a perfect 5-0 in OK State's past five, and 5-0 in their past five at Boone Pickens Stadium. The over is also 27-12-1 in their past 40 home games against a team with a winning road record.

In this series, the over is 3-1-1 in the past five meetings. Oklahoma is also 4-1 ATS in the past five trips to Stillwater, with the Sooners covering seven of the past 10. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings, with the road team also 4-1 ATS in the past five.

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Pac-12 Report - Week 13
November 25, 2015

2015 PAC-12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Arizona 6-6 3-6 6-6 9-3

Arizona State 6-5 4-4 4-7 4-7

California 6-5 3-5 5-6 3-8

Colorado 4-8 1-7 4-7-1 4-8

Oregon 8-3 6-2 7-4 7-4

Oregon State 2-9 0-8 2-9 5-6

Southern California 7-4 5-3 5-6 5-6

Stanford 9-2 8-1 8-3 5-6

UCLA 8-3 5-3 5-5-1 3-8

Utah 8-3 5-3 5-6 6-5

Washington 5-6 3-5 6-5 3-8

Washington State 8-3 6-2 8-3 5-6



Washington State at Washington (Fri. - FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Washington won last week at Oregon State to keep their hopes of a bowl alive, and Washington State would love to keep their rivals from the postseason in the latest installment of the Apple Cup. The Cougars are 8-0 ATS in their past eight Pac-12 games, and 5-0 ATS in their past five road outings. They're also 8-0 ATS in the past eight, and 5-1 ATS in their past six against teams with a losing record. The Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their past seven home games against a team with a winning road record, and the underdog is 14-6 ATS in the past 20 Apple Cups. The under is 7-1 in the past eight meetings in Seattle, and 5-2 in the past seven overall in this series.

Oregon State at Oregon (Fri. - FOX Sports 1, 4:00 p.m. ET)
The 'Civil War' takes place in Autzen Stadium Friday, and it's a tale of two teams going in opposite directions. Oregon State has been terrible, losing eight stragiht since a 2-1 start, and they are 1-7 ATS during the span. The Ducks enter as a 34-point favorite, and that might be a little much in a rivalry game, even as bad as Oregon State has been. The Beavers are 3-0-1 ATS in the past four meetings in Eugene, and the road team is 8-0-1 ATS in the past nine in this series. However, the favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in the past five in the series, and the Beavs are just 1-3-1 ATS in the past five meetings overall. The over is 6-0 in the past six in Eugene, and 11-2 in the past 13 meetings in this series.

Colorado at Utah (Pac-12 Network, 2:30 p.m. ET)
Colorado heads over the mountains to Utah to Rice-Eccles in Salt Lake City for their final conference game of the season. Neither team has been particularly good against the number lately, with Colorado 18-38-1 ATS in their past 57 road games and Utah just 1-4 ATS in their past five overall, 1-5 ATS in their past six against teams with a losing record and 1-4 ATS in their past five at home. However, Colorado is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in this series, and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the past four. The under has been the play lately for total bettors of these two teams, going 6-2 in the past eight road games for Colorado, and 4-1 in the past five overall. The under is 6-1 in Utah's past seven home games, and 5-1 in the past six home games against a team with a losing road record.

UCLA at Southern California (ABC/ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
UCLA and USC meet with the Pac-12 South Division title hanging in the balance. Back in the day, this game used to decide so much, but lately other teams have had plenty to say in the Pac-12 race. UCLA won and covered last week at Utah to set up this winner-takes-all battle, and they're 5-1 ATS in their past six road games. They're also 6-2 ATS in their past eight road games against a team with a winning home record. USC's lost last week at Oregon also helped set this game up.

The Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their past seven overall, and 3-7 ATS in their past 10 conference tilts. The home team has covered nine of their past 12 meetings, and UCLA is just 2-7 ATS in their past nine trips to the L.A. Coliseum. The under is 4-0 in the past four meetings at USC, with the under cashing in eight of the past nine. The under is also the dominant trend for each side, going 4-1 in UCLA's past five, and 12-5 in their past 17 road games. The under is 9-3 in USC's past 12 conference tilts, and 14-6-1 in their past 21 against a team with a winning record.

Notre Dame at Stanford (FOX, 7:30 p.m.)
Notre Dame looks to improve its resume for the college football playoff with a win at Stanford. The Fighting Irish were unable to spiff up their resume in Fenway Park against Boston College last week, slipping in the rankings even though they won. The Fighting Irish are 6-1 ATS in their past seven against teams with a winning records, however, and 6-2 ATS in their past eight against Pac-12 clubs, including a 41-31 win and cover against USC earlier this season.

Stanford bounced back from a loss against Oregon Nov. 14 with a victory against California in the 'Big Game' last weekend. It was the fourth under in five games for Stanford, and they're just 2-2 ATS in the past four outings. The Cardinal are 7-2 ATS in their past nine against teams with a winning record, and 6-2 ATS in their past eight at home against teams with a winning road mark. Notre Dame is 6-2 ATS in their past eight trips to Palo Alto, and the underdog is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings. The under has also hit in five straight in the series.

Arizona State at California (FOX Sports 1, 10:00 p.m.)
Arizona State secured bowl eligibility last week by bumping off rival Arizona, and now they look to improve their bowl standing with a win at California. The Golden Bears enter as a four-point favorite despite the fact they're 1-4 SU/ATS over the past five games, with only a win and cover over lowly Oregon State during the span. AZ State is 4-9 ATS in their past 13 games overall, 3-7 ATS in their past 10 against a team with a winning record and 1-6 ATS in their past seven on the road. Cal has dominated this series, even with some lean years recently, going 6-1 ATS in their past seven meetings in Berkeley, and 7-3 ATS in their past 10 meetings overall. The favorite and home team are each 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings in this series.

Team on a bye
Arizona

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USF, UCF hook up
November 25, 2015


SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS (7-4) at UCF KNIGHTS (0-11)

Sportsbook.ag Line: TBD

UCF tries to avoid a winless 2015 season when it hosts bowl-bound South Florida on Thanksgiving night.

The Bulls have been a great bet all season at 8-2 ATS and are 6-1 (SU and ATS) in their past seven contests, including three straight victories. As a home underdog last Friday, they rolled up 561 total yards and pounded Cincinnati 65-27. The 0-11 Knights are just 2-9 ATS, and have lost all seven conference games by at least two touchdowns. Last Thursday they surrendered 605 total yards and were pummeled 44-7 at home to East Carolina. UCF also lost starting QB Justin Holman to an injured ankle, and he is listed as questionable for this in-state rivalry game.

When these teams met last season at South Florida, the Knights pitched a 16-0 shutout by holding their opponent to five rushing yards on 22 carries, and also won in 2013 at home by a narrow 23-20 margin. The Bulls won the only previous four meetings before that, which were all played from 2005 to 2008.

Most of the betting trends side with South Florida, including college football road favorites with a winning record going 66-24 ATS (73%) after beating the spread by 49+ total points in their previous seven games. But UCF benefits from the fact that good teams such as its Thursday opponent (60% to 80% win pct.) coming off a blowout upset win by 21+ points as an underdog are just 12-37 ATS (24%) versus losing teams since 1992. The only significant injury for the Bulls appears to be DL Deadrin Senat (knee, questionable), while in addition to Holman, the Knights could also be without WR Tristan Payton (undisclosed, questionable).

South Florida has been strong in all facets this season with 32.5 PPG and 426 total YPG. The offense chooses to run the football about two-thirds of the time, racking up 240 rushing YPG on 5.4 YPC. Senior RB Marlon Mack (1,171 rush yds, 6.7 YPC, 8 TD) is the team's main ball carrier with seven 100-yard efforts this season, and has totaled 509 yards and 5 TD during the team's three-game win streak. Junior RB Darius Tice (407 rush yds, 5.7 YPC, 4 TD) is also a polished runner who is coming off a season-high 94 yards on 15 carries (6.3 YPC) in the win over Cincinnati. The air attack is gaining just 186 YPG, but has done so on an impressive 8.5 YPA and a 61% completion rate.

Dual-threat sophomore QB Quinton Flowers has not thrown more than 26 passes in any game this season, but still has 1,847 yards on 8.3 YPA with 18 TD and 8 INT. During the three straight victories, he has amassed 819 total yards (601 passing, 218 rushing) with nine touchdowns (8 passing, 1 rushing).

Despite being on the field for an average of 32:15, the Bulls defense has limited opponents to just 22.7 PPG and 376 total YPG this year. Opposing rushers have gained 145 YPG on 3.7 YPC while opposing quarterbacks are completing only 56% of their throws for 230 YPG on 6.7 YPA. USF has also done a nice job in creating turnovers with 16 takeaways in the past seven weeks including six last Friday. That doesn't bode well for the turnover-prone Knights.

UCF has coughed up the football at least two times in nine of 11 losses this year, totaling 31 turnovers during this winless campaign. The mistakes are a huge reason why the offense has an average time of possession of only 28:26, leading to a pathetic 14.9 PPG and 274 total YPG. The ground game has been mostly to blame for the lack of chain movement (80 YPG on 2.7 YPC), but the passing game has just 194 YPG on a 51% completion rate and 5.4 YPA. Junior QB Justin Holman (1,263 pass yds, 5.6 YPA) has thrown for only 7 TD with 12 INT this year, but neither of his freshman replacements last week were any better with QB Tyler Harris completing 2-of-12 throws for 21 yards (1.8 YPA) and QB Bo Schneider misfiring on all three pass attempts.

The lone bright spot on this offense has been WR Tre'Quan Smith (622 rec yds, 4 TD) who followed up a career-best 131 yards two games ago with four catches for 50 yards and the team's only touchdown last Friday. The leading rusher for the Knights is freshman RB C.J. Jones who has an underwhelming 329 yards on 3.7 YPC and 1 TD for the year. After an impressive 123 rushing yards at Cincinnati on Halloween, Jones has been held to 55 yards on 23 carries (2.4 YPC) over the past two games.

The UCF defense has been manhandled both through the air (272 YPG on 9.0 YPA) and on the ground (192 YPG on 4.8 YPC) leading to 37.1 PPG on 463 total YPG allowed (6.6 yards per play) for the season. But the unit did have four takeaways two games ago and South Florida hasn't had a turnover-free game all season, totaling 15 giveaways.

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Texas Tech at Texas
November 24, 2015

While the NFL grabs the spotlight on Thanksgiving Day, college football features an intriguing Big XII matchup for the final regular season Thursday night game. Texas Tech and Texas have had some very competitive games vs. the top of the Big XII, but ultimately both have had somewhat disappointing seasons and this will be a key late season game for both sides. Here is a look at the Thanksgiving night matchup in the Big XII.

Match-up: Texas Tech Red Raiders at Texas Longhorns
Venue: Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas
Time/TV: Thursday, November 26, 7:30 PM ET – FS1
Line: Texas -1½, Over/Under 72½
Last Meeting: 2014, Texas (-4½) 34-13 at Texas Tech

In Charlie Strong’s first season at Texas, the Longhorns wound up just 6-6 in the regular season before a lopsided Texas Bowl loss against Arkansas. From 2005 to 2009, Texas went 58-8 with a national championship under Mack Brown as the bar was raised high for the program and it will be difficult to consistently get back to that level. This season started with Texas winning just one of the first five games of the season, but the Longhorns do have one of the biggest wins of the season in the Big XII being the only team to beat Oklahoma. At 4-6, Texas needs to win this week and next week at Baylor to get a bowl invite with Texas only missing a bowl game once in the past decade in a 5-7 season of 2010.

Texas has had some close calls as they lost to California by a single point and lost by just three against Oklahoma State in a bizarre finish, but lopsided losses to Notre Dame, TCU, and Iowa State are more memorable to the fan base that has quickly put Strong on the hot seat. He was rumored to have entertained taking the Miami position and with many openings around the country, Strong will have options if he considers leaving the high pressure in Austin or if his contract is terminated. There is no buyout, but Texas will be on the hook for the duration of his contract in that scenario, still some $15 million while Strong would be responsible for paying the remainder of his assistants contracts if he chooses to leave.

The issues for Texas this season have been on both sides of the ball. While the running game has been productive, the passing game has never developed behind a split of two mobile quarterbacks, Jerrod Heard and Tyrone Swoopes. They have combined for nearly 900 rushing yards and 12 rushing touchdowns, but just over 1,500 passing yards and only eight touchdowns through the air. The leading receiver for Texas has just 413 yards, which is less than a third of the production of the Big XII’s top receivers.

Texas has allowed 429 yards per game, but on a pretty respectable 5.5 yards per play as the defense has been capable this season despite the marginal results. It has not been a consistent group as five times Texas has been out-gained by more than 100 yards including getting out-gained by over 200 yards by Notre Dame, TCU, and Iowa State with the deficits mainly coming in the passing game. The Texas defense will be tested by a Texas Tech offense that is one of the most productive units in the nation, gaining over 588 yards per game on 7.1 yards per play.

Texas Tech has scored over 46 points per game this season and unlike Texas, the Red Raiders are in line for a bowl bid at 6-5 on the season. Given that last season Texas Tech went 4-8, it has been a step-forward season but following a 3-0 start that included an upset win at Arkansas, the 3-5 Big XII campaign has been disappointing. Texas Tech came close in games with top tier teams TCU and Oklahoma State with blown late leads, but ultimately the Red Raiders only have wins over the bottom three teams in the conference.

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has posted huge numbers for the Red Raiders this season as he should eclipse 4,000 passing yards this week and he has thrown for 31 touchdowns against 13 interceptions while also rushing for nine touchdowns and over 400 yards on the ground. Mahomes is the son of the former MLB pitcher of the same name and as just a sophomore he could be on the Heisman watch list next season. While the Red Raiders are known as one of the top passing teams, running back DeAndre Washington has gained nearly 1,300 yards on the ground this season while most Mahomes targets go to Jakeem Grant who has 78 receptions for over 1,000 yards.

Texas won 34-13 last season in one of the better performances of the season for the Longhorns. That was actually the first game in which Mahomes started and played substantially in as last season’s starter Davis Webb was injured the previous week. Mahomes actually left the game due to injury as well as another quarterback with a professional athlete father Vincent Testaverde made his only Red Raiders appearance to complete the game. Swoopes played the entire game at quarterback for the Longhorns last season, with Texas doing most of the damage on the ground with 241 rushing yards. Despite the 21-point final margin, it was a seven-point game into the fourth quarter as it was a bit of a misleading final score with only an 88-yard edge for Texas and it was a season low passing game for Texas Tech with just 225 yards splitting between the back-up quarterbacks.

Historical Trends: Texas has won and covered in each of the last five meetings and the last S/U win for Texas Tech came in Lubbock in 2008. Texas Tech has not won in Austin since 1997 with the Longhorns winning 14 of the last 16 meetings overall. Texas has been at least a three-point favorite in every meeting since 2004, though since 1980 Texas is just 14-17 ATS as a favorite in this series despite covering in the past five instances. Texas is on a 6-12-1 ATS run since 1994 as a favorite of three or fewer points. Texas Tech is just 20-24 ATS as an underdog since 2007, but they are on a 14-7 ATS run as an underdog of three or fewer points since 1993.

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NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 13

South Carolina at Central Florida, 7:30 ET
S Carolina: 5-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog
C Florida: 1-7 ATS in games played on a grass field

Texas Tech at Texas, 7:30 ET
Texas Tech: 0-6 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival
Texas: 37-21 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse




NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Thursday's games
Central Florida is 0-11; they fired their HC a long time ago, coaches have to be looking for new jobs; they lost last four games by average score of 50-14. Knights are 0-3 as home underdogs this year. South Florida won six of last seven games, scoring 109 points in last two games, vs Temple, Cincy. USF lost 23-20/16-0 in last two games with UCF; faves covered four of six series games. Five of last seven UCF games went over total.

Texas Tech lost three of last four games but beat K-State LW to become bowl eligible; Red Raiders allowed 51.8 ppg in last four games; they lost last five games with Texas by average score of 36-17. Longhorns won last two home games; they ran ball for 576 yards last two games. Six of last eight Tech games went over; five of last seven Texas games stayed under. Home teams are 19-15 against the spread in Big X tilts this year.




NCAAF

Thursday, November 26

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Game of the Day: Texas Tech at Texas
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The Red Raiders visit the Longhorns this Thanksgiving with Texas being a slight home dog.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Texas Longhorns (+1, 72.5)

Texas Tech and host Texas will each have their hands full trying to stop the other's offense during Thursday night's Big 12 matchup. The Red Raiders own one of the nation's top passing offenses while the Longhorns have a strong - but banged up - ground game.

Texas' top two running backs - D'Onta Foreman (finger) and Johnathan Gray (foot) - are both unlikely as the Longhorns come out of a bye week. Texas will also likely be without freshman offensive guard Patrick Vahe (knee) against a Red Raiders defense that is giving up 259.9 rushing yards. Texas Tech has gaudy numbers through the air - quarterback Patrick Mahomes II is ranked fourth nationally with an average of 355.5 yards and 31 touchdowns - but DeAndre Washington has been a solid rusher in the Big 12. The Red Raiders are trying to win at Texas for the first time since 1997 after losing the past eight visits by an average of 26.3 points.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1.

LINE HISTORY: Texas opened as a 1-point home favorite and was bet as high as -1.5, before jumping the fence and moving all the way to one-point dogs. The total has held steady at its opening number of 72.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Texas Tech - OL J. Murphy (out for season, knee), DL T. Nunez (out for season, knee).

Texas - RB D. Foreman (questionable Thursday, wrist), TE B. Whiteley (out for season, knee).

WEATHER REPORT: There is some rough weather in the forecast, with a 70 percent chance of rain anf a chance of thunderstorms. Temperatures will be in the low 70's with a 7-10 mile per hour wind blowing towards the northern end zone.

ABOUT TEXAS TECH (6-5, 6-4-1 ATS, 8-3 O/U): Jakeem Grant averages 94.4 receiving yards and has six TD catches and two kickoff returns for scores. Washington has 1,282 rushing yards, including a league-best 402 yards after contact against Big 12 opponents, for an offense averaging 46.5 points. The Red Raiders rank 122nd in FBS in rushing defense and second-to-last in total defense (546.8) after holding Kansas State to 123 rushing yards in their last game.

ABOUT TEXAS (4-6, 4-6 ATS, 4-6 O/U): Freshmen Chris Warren III (18 carries, 88 yards) and Kirk Johnson (five carries, 12 yards) will get the bulk of work if Foreman (681 yards, five TDs) and Gray (489 yards, three TDs) can't play. Quarterbacks Jerrod Heard (1,202 passing yards, five TDs) and Tyrone Swoopes (334 passing yards, three TDs) combine for 858 rushing yards and 12 scores. Texas, which is 41-13-1 at home on Thanksgiving Day, has rushed for 256.4 yards during its past five games.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Texas Tech is 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in Texas last five games following a bye.

CONSENSUS: The public is backing Texas Tech in this Big 12 matchup, with 57 percent of wagers on the Red Raiders. When it comes to the total, 57 percent of bettors are on the over.

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 26

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


USF at UCF 07:30 PM

USF -22.5 THANKSGIVING BLOW OUT

O 54.0 TRIPLE PLAY



TTU at TEX 07:30 PM

TTU -1.0 DOUBLE PLAY

U 73.0 DOUBLE PLAY

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Friday's Tip Sheet
November 26, 2015

**Iowa at Nebraska**

-- As of early Thursday night, most betting shops had Iowa (11-0 straight up, 6-5 against the spread) installed as a two-point favorite with a total of 58.

-- Iowa has failed to cover the number in consecutive contests and three of its last four. Kirk Ferentz’s team beat Purdue last Saturday 40-20 as a 23-point home favorite. The 60 combined points jumped ‘over’ the 53.5-point total. The Hawkeyes were never able to get ahead of the number, holding their biggest lead at 20-0 early in the second quarter. C.J. Beathard threw for 213 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. Jordan Canzeri rushed 13 times for 95 yards and one TD, while LeShun Daniels had eight carries for 31 yards and two TDs.

-- Beathard has connected on 61.0 percent of his throws for 2,257 yards with a 13/3 TD-INT ratio. Beathard hasn’t been intercepted in four straight games. He also has 280 rushing yards and six TDs.

-- Canzeri has run for a team-best 824 yards and eight TDs while averaging 5.2 yards per carry. The senior RB also has 18 receptions for 196 yards and one TD. Daniels has 590 rushing yards and eight TDs with a 4.8 YPC average. Matt VandeBerg leads the Hawkeyes in receiving with 56 grabs for 594 yards and three TDs. TE George Kittle has a team-best five TD catches.

-- Iowa has been perfect on the road all season long, going 4-0 both SU and ATS. The Hawks are 3-0 ATS as road ‘chalk’ this season and have taken the cash in nine consecutive such spots going back to late in the 2011 regular season.

-- Nebraska (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS) has won back-to-back games both SU and ATS since falling to 3-6 in a humiliating 55-45 loss at Purdue. The Cornhuskers handed Michigan St. its lone loss of the season by capturing a 39-38 win on Nov. 7. They won outright as 3.5-point underdogs thanks to Tommy Armstrong Jr.’s 30-yard touchdown pass to Brandon Reilly with 17 seconds remaining. Armstrong threw for 320 yards and two TDs and also ran for a pair of scores. On Reilly’s TD catch in the waning seconds, he came from out of bounds back into play before making the catch. The officials ruled that Reilly was forced out by a defender, a ruling that was upheld on review.

-- Mike Riley’s team won a 31-14 decision at Rutgers as a 7.5-point road favorite its last time out two weeks ago. Armstrong threw for 188 yards and three TDs, but he was intercepted three times. Imani Cross rushed for a team-high 90 yards on 20 carries, while Nate Gerry and Chris Jones.

-- This has been an inauspicious start to Riley’s tenure to say the least. There’s no way to sugarcoat that, but we’ll nonetheless point out five one-possession defeats, including one on a Hail Mary in the opener vs. BYU. Nebraska lost to the Cougars, 33-28. The other four close setbacks came by eight combined points.

-- Armstrong has completed 54.7 percent of his passes for 2,560 yards with a 21/12 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The junior signal caller has also rushed for 278 yards and six TDs. Terrell Newby has run for a team-high 709 yards and five TDs, averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Jordan Westerkamp has a team-high 61 receptions for 833 yards and seven TDs, while Reilly has 34 catches for 666 yards and four TDs.

-- Nebraska has compiled a 3-3 record both SU and ATS in six home games this year. The Cornhuskers have been home underdogs twice this year, going 2-0 ATS with the outright win over the Spartans. Going back to 2005, Nebraska owns a 6-3 spread record as a home ‘dog.

-- This is a revenge game for Iowa, which lost at home to Nebraska by a 37-34 count in overtime last season. The Cornhuskers took the cash as one-point underdogs. Armstrong threw for 202 yards and four TDs, including the game winner on a nine-yard scoring strike to Kenny Bell to end the game.

-- The ‘over’ is 7-3-1 overall for Iowa, 2-1-1 in its last four outings. The Hawkeyes have seen their games average a combined score of 52.7 points per game.

-- The ‘over’ is 7-4 overall for Nebraska, 4-2 in its home games. The Cornhuskers had seen the ‘over’ cash in four straight games until the ‘under’ hit in their win at RU two weeks ago. Their games have averaged a combined score of 61.4 PPG.

-- ABC will have the telecast at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

**Baylor at TCU**

-- As of early Thursday night, most spots had TCU (9-2 SU, 5-6 ATS) listed as a 1.5-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 78.5 points.

-- Baylor (9-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) bounced back nicely from its first loss of the season by beating Oklahoma St. 45-35 as a three-point road favorite. The 80 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 76-point total. Jarrett Stidham, the highly-touted true freshman QB who had become the starter when Seth Russell went down with a season-ending injury, sustained a broken ankle in Stillwater to force Art Briles to turn to his third-string signal caller. That was Chris Johnson, a third-year sophomore who threw for 138 and two TDs with one interception. Shock Linwood rushed 20 times for 91 yards and one TD, while Johnson ran for 42 yards and one TD on six attempts. K.D. Cannon hauled in five receptions for 210 yards and two TDs.

-- Johnson took a redshirt in 2013 when he arrived in Waco. In 2014, he appeared in four games, completing all four of his passes for 45 yards. He rushed four times for 29 yards. Johnson had played sparingly at WR this season, making three catches for 37 yards before the QB position began coping with injuries. He will be making his first career start at QB against the Horned Frogs.

-- Linwood has run for a team-best 1,240 yards and 10 TDs while averaging 7.1 YPC. He also has eight catches for 56 yards and one TD. However, Linwood is ‘questionable’ at TCU due to a knee injury. In addition, TE Gus Penning (5 catches for 101 yards) is ‘questionable,’ while DT Beau Blackshear is ‘doubtful’ due to an undisclosed injury. Finally, starting safety Orion Stewart is ‘questionable’ due to a hamstring injury. Stewart has 48 tackles, one sack and one forced fumble this year, while Blackshear has 22 tackles, four tackles for loss and one forced fumble.

-- Corey Coleman has a team-high 66 receptions for 1,306 yards and 20 TDs for the Bears. Cannon has 39 catches for 774 yards and six TDs, while Jay Lee has 34 grabs for 714 yards and eight TDs.

-- TCU nearly climbed back into CFP contention in Norman last weekend, but a brilliant fourth-quarter comeback came up short on a two-point conversion play. With star QB and Heisman Trophy candidate Trevone Boykin sidelined by an injury, Gary Patterson’s team found itself trailing Oklahoma 30-13 with nine minutes remaining. But back-up QB Bram Kohlhausen found KaVontae Turpin for an 86-yard scoring strike. With 6:27 left, TCU cut the deficit to 30-23 with a 43-yard field goal. Then with 51 seconds remaining, Kohlhausen hit Emanuel Porter for a 14-yard TD pass. Patterson elected to go for two even though OU’s star QB Baker Mayfield had been knocked out of the game with a concussion. Kohlhausen scrambled to his right on the two-point try and a receiver broke open. On the run, Kohlhausen lobbed the pass to an open target but an OU defender made a great play to knock the ball away.

-- Boykin has been upgraded to ‘probable’ and is expected to start against the Bears. Boykin has connected on 65.7 percent of his passes for 3,426 yards with a 29/9 TD-INT ratio. He has rushed for 596 yards and eight TDs while averaging 5.5 YPC. Aaron Green paces TCU in rushing with 1,099 yards and 10 TDs. Green averages 5.4 YPC.

-- TCU has been crippled by injuries as much any team in the country. Star WR Josh Doctson, who has made 78 receptions for 1,326 yards and 14 TDs, didn’t play against Oklahoma St. and is out for the rest of the regular season. Doctson is now the ninth starter out for the season, though he has a chance to return the bowl game. Another starter, senior center Joey Hunt, a second-team All Big-12 selection in 2014, is ‘out’ vs. Baylor. Another starting offensive lineman, OG Jamelle Naff, is listed as ‘questionable.’ -- The ‘under’ is 6-5 overall for TCU, 3-2 in its home games. The Horned Frogs have had average combined scores of 69.5 PPG.

[StarDust Bum]

Wolverines host Buckeyes
November 25, 2015


OHIO STATE BUCKEYES (10-1) at MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (9-2)

Sportsbook.ag Line: Michigan -1.5, Total: 45

The playoff hopes for No. 8 Ohio State may be dashed, but pride is on the line Saturday when it faces hated Big Ten rival No. 10 Michigan.

The defending national champion Buckeyes (10-1 SU and 4-7 ATS) will try to bounce back from a devastating 17-14 loss to Michigan State last weekend in an attempt to keep their playoff aspirations alive. Meanwhile, the Wolverines (9-2 SU and 6-5 ATS) are riding a four-game win streak against conference opponents that included three victories on the road.

The 111-year rivalry between the schools runs deep, with Michigan holding the upper hand 58-47-6 all-time. Ohio State has held the advantage in recent years, going 14-8-1 SU and 14-9 ATS since 1992. When the teams met last year, the No. 7 Buckeyes closed out their regular season with a 42-28 victory over their unranked foe.

Betting trends for Saturday’s game largely favor Ohio State. The team is 23-10 ATS in road games against excellent ball control teams (32+ avg time of possession), and head coach Urban Meyer is a perfect 6-0 ATS in his tenure when his team is listed as an underdog. However, bettors looking to back Michigan will note that its opponent is 0-8 ATS in road games against teams who force one turnover or less per game on the season since 1992, while head coach Jim Harbaugh is 13-4 ATS in home games immediately after playing on the road in his career.

The silver lining for the Buckeyes coming out of last weekend’s game is that the team is largely healthy, suffering no additional injuries. The Wolverines weren’t quite as lucky, and will be monitoring RB Derrick Green (undisclosed), DT Bryan Mone (leg), and WR Drake Harris (ankle), who are all listed as questionable, as well as WR Jehu Chesson (undisclosed), who was injured in last week’s win over Penn State and is probable to play Saturday.

Ohio State, which had been scoring more than 36 PPG through the first 10 weeks of the season, managed just 14 points in last week’s loss to Michigan State. Sophomore QB J.T. Barrett had his worst start of the season last week, connecting on 9-of-16 passes (56%) for just 46 yards and a touchdown. He added 44 rushing yards on 15 attempts, which was also his lowest total in a game since the end of September. Barrett’s struggles last week were emblematic of the entire Buckeyes’ offense. The team had been averaging 453.0 YPG on the season, but was stopped in its tracks by the Spartans defense, gaining just 132 total yards.

Star RB Ezekiel Elliott, among the best ball carriers in FBS with 17 TD and rushing for 142.5 YPG, was underutilized last week – gaining a meager 33 yards on 12 attempts while still finding the end zone once. Elliott did not hold back in expressing his frustration with the team’s offensive game plan after the loss, and will need to be used more effectively if the team hopes to defeat Michigan and its stalwart defense. Ohio State’s defense is still among the best in college football, allowing just 14.1 PPG (2nd out of 128 FBS teams) and 298 total YPG.

Under first-year head coach Jim Harbaugh, Michigan has turned its program around, scoring 32.2 PPG (51st out of 128), which is a vast improvement over the team’s 20.9 PPG last season. The Wolverines’ offense has leaned heavily on Senior QB Jake Rudock, who has completed 64.4% of his throws for 225.1 passing YPG, 16 TD and 9 INT. Rudock has been on fire in his past three games, connecting with receivers 70% of the time and averaging 344 passing YPG while tallying 10 TD.

Rudock's primary offensive weapons this season have been WRs Amara Darboh (52 receptions, 635 yards, 5 TD) and Jehus Chesson (37 receptions, 535 yards, 7 TD), as well as TE Jake Butt (43 receptions, 566 yards, 3 TD). RB De'Veon Smith has propelled Michigan's ground game, rushing 145 times for 621 yards and six touchdowns.

The Wolverines defense has been almost as fierce as their opponent’s this season, allowing just 14.9 PPG (6th of 128) and 263.1 total YPG. The squad has been particularly stout at home, allowing a mere 9.5 PPG and a paltry 71 rushing YPG while keeping its defense on the field for only 25:33 per game.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Best 13 games of the weekend........
Iowa is 10-0 but covered only one of last four games; Hawkeyes lost five of last six with Nebraska, winning 38-17 (+2.5) in last visit here in 2013- underdogs covered four of last five series games. Iowa won/covered last five games, scoring 37.2 ppg; Nebraska scored 38.3 ppg in its last three games; they need win here to be bowl eligible. Seven of last nine Iowa games, four of last five Nebraska games went over the total.

Michigan State beat Michigan/Ohio State without leading in either game until the last play; Spartans are 10-1; their last three road tilts were won by total of 8 points. Favorites are 10-4 vs spread in last 14 series games; home side lost last three. Penn State is 2-3 in last five games, losing last two 23-21/28-16; three of last four Lion games went over total. Unsure if Michigan State QB Cook will play here; he sat out last week (shoulder).

Washington State QB Falk got knocked goofy LW, is a ? here; Coogs are 8-0 vs spread in last eight games, winning six of last seven SU- they lost four of last five Apple Cups, losing 27-17 in last visit here. Wazzu is 5-0 as road underdogs this year. Washington lost four of last six games; they are 2-2 as home favorites; they ost three of last four home games. Last four Wazzu tilts, six of last eight Washington games stayed under total.

Baylor has two QBs out for year; 3rd-string soph Johnson (5-10/138 in relief LW) gets first college start here. Bears won last two games vs TCU 61-58/41-38- average total in last four series games, 91.5. Baylor is 4-0 on road, but Okla State is only good team they've visited. TCU lost two of last three games, is expected to get QB Boykin back here; they lost at Oklahoma 30-29 LW with backup QB. Big X home teams are 19-15.

Rest of the card........
-- Western Kentucky lost 67-66 at Marshall LY; they led 49-42 at half. WKU won last three games, scoring 53 ppg. Marshall is 3-2 on the road; two of the five went OT. C-USA home favorites are 16-10 vs spread.

-- Pitt beat Miami 35-23 LY, first series win in last nine tries; Panthers are 8-3 despite being favored only five times- they ran for 512 yards last two games. Miami covered five of last seven games- they lost other two games 58-0/59-21, to Clemson/UNC.

-- Buffalo lost last two games, allowing 83 points; they need win to get bowl eligible. Bulls won last three games with UMass by average score of 34-14. Five of last six Buffalo games went over total.

-- Dogs are 9-3 vs spread in last 12 Akron-Kent State tilts; Zips scored 32 ppg in winning last three games- they're 3-0 when favored this year. Kent lost last four games, scoring 7.8 ppg (2-5 vs spread in last seven).

-- Troy beat Georgia State 45-21/35-28 last two years; Trojans are 0-7 when scoring less than 44 points- they lost five of last seven games. Five of last six Georgia State games stayed under the total.

-- Toledo covered seven of last eight games; they're 3-2 as home faves. Rockets won last five games with Western Michigan, winning last two here 47-20/66-63. Broncos are 3-2 as an underdog this season.

-- Central Michigan won five of last six games with Eastern Michigan, winning last three by 3-32-31 points. EMU lost last nine games, is 0-5-1 vs spread in last six. MAC home favorites are 15-9 vs spread.

-- Arkansas won four of last five games; losing side scored 46+ points in three of them. Hogs lost 21-14 (-3) at Missouri LY, in first SEC meeting Tigers lost five of last six games, scoring 13 or less in all five losses.

-- Houston lost for first time LW; they're 2-3 as home favorites, last two wins were by total of four points. Navy won last five games, scoring an average of 47.7 in last three- their only loss was 41-24 at Notre Dame.

-- Tulsa lost last two games, allowing 93 points; they won nine of last 10 games with Tulane, but lost 14-7 (-3) in last visit here. Green Wave lost six of last seven games, but covered four of last five (2-2 as home dog).

-- Oregon State is horrible, losing last eight games (1-7 vs spread); when you play a frosh QB, then he gets hurt, its not good. Beavers lost five in row with Oregon, losing 36-35/49-21 in last two visits to Eugene.

-- Boise State lost last two games, both at home; they're 3-2 as favorites on road, but allowed 31+ points in three of last five games. San Jose St, covered six of last eight games. Mountain West home dogs are 6-11.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Friday, November 27


Rain, thunderstorms forecast for Mizzou-Arkansas

According to weather forecasts, there is a 99 percent possibility of rain and thunderstorms in Fayetteville when the Arkansas Razorbacks host the Missouri Tigers Friday afternoon.

Temperatures in Fayetteville are expected to be in the high-30s with wind blowing toward the south end zone at around seven miles per hour.

Books opened the Razorbacks as 13.5-point home favorites, but that has since moved to -14. The total for Friday's contest is down to 45.5 from the opening 46.


Best ATS wager in college football in action Friday

The Toledo Rockets boast a couple of incredible records so far this season: 9-1 straight up and a college football-best 8-1-1 against the spread. The Rockets and their backers will look for another notch in the win column when they host the Western Michigan Broncos Friday afternoon.

The Rockets began the campaign on a 6-0-1 ATS run before suffering their first loss versus Northern Illinois in Week 10. The Rockets lost 32-27 as 7-point home favorites, but head into Friday's contest with back-to-back SU and ATS wins (at Central Michigan, at Bowling Green).

Books opened the Rockets as 9-point home favorites, but that has since come down to -8. The dog has had the edge in recent meetings, however, posting a record of 8-1 ATS in the last nine.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday's Top Action
November 27, 2015


IOWA HAWKEYES (11-0) at NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS (5-6)

Memorial Stadium - Lincoln, NE
Kickoff: Friday, 3:30 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Iowa -1.5, Total: 57.5

No. 4 Iowa tries to finish the regular season unbeaten when it visits a Nebraska team with one final shot to become bowl eligible.

The Hawkeyes (6-5 ATS) are coming off a 40-20 victory over Purdue last Saturday and know that a win on Friday plus a victory in the Big Ten Championship Game next week will put them into the national semifinals. Meanwhile, the Cornhuskers (5-5-1 ATS) have won two in a row and need one last victory on Friday to pull even at 6-6 and play in a bowl game. Iowa is a perfect 4-0 ATS on the road this season, while Nebraska is a mediocre 3-3 (SU and ATS) at home.

These schools are meeting for the fifth straight season as conference foes with the Huskers taking three of the previous four matchups (2-2 ATS) including a 37-34 overtime victory on the road last year when they overcame a 17-point deficit. But the Hawkeyes won the last meeting in Lincoln in 2013 by a convincing 38-17 margin with a +3 turnover advantage.

There are plenty of reasons for bettors to side with either school on Friday, as Iowa is 33-11 ATS (75%) versus good offenses (5.9+ yards per play) under Kirk Ferentz and 8-1 ATS (89%) on the road after an ATS defeat in the past three seasons. But since 1992, Nebraska is 22-8 ATS (73%) at home versus top-level teams (75%+ win pct.) and 17-5 ATS (77%) when hosting excellent offensive squads (34+ PPG).

Although the Hawkeyes are playing this game on a short week, they have no new injuries of concern, and the Huskers, who haven't played since Nov. 14, just lost RB Mikale Wilbon (knee) for the season, but everybody else should be available to play.

Iowa has averaged a hefty 34.2 PPG on 418 total YPG this season, and those numbers have jumped to 38.3 PPG and 453 total YPG over the past three games. The offense chooses to run the football 61% of the time, which has led to 208 rushing YPG on 4.8 YPC and a dominant 32:59 average time of possession.

The Hawkeyes have three capable ball carriers that all have at least seven touchdowns this season with senior RB Jordan Canzeri (824 rush yds, 5.2 YPC, 10 TD), junior RB LeShun Daniels Jr. (590 rush yds, 4.8 YPC, 8 TD) and sophomore RB Akrum Wadley (449 rush yds, 6.5 YPC, 7 TD). Canzeri was the big gainer last week with 95 yards on 13 attempts (7.3 YPC) while Daniels had 195 rushing yards and 3 TD two games ago as part of four straight scoring weeks where he's totaled eight touchdowns.

Iowa also has a quality passing game with junior QB C.J. Beathard, who has completed 61% of his throws for 2,257 yards (205 YPG, 7.9 YPA), 13 TD and only 3 INT. Beathard has not tossed an interception in four straight games and last week threw for 213 yards and tied a season high with 3 TD passes.

The Iowa defense has been outstanding this season in limiting opponents to 18.5 PPG on 323 total YPG. Being on the field for only 27:01 per game has certainly helped, and the front seven has given up only 108 rushing YPG on 3.4 YPC. Although opponents throw for 215 YPG, they complete just 54% of their passes for 6.0 YPA. These numbers improve to 50% completions and 5.3 YPA on the road. The one negative is that Iowa has forced just two turnovers during the past three weeks combined, but that number could increase significantly against a Huskers offense that has coughed up the football 10 times over the past three games.

Despite Nebraska's miscues in the past three contests, the team has still pumped out 38.3 PPG on 448 total YPG in this timeframe, which brings its season averages up to 33.6 PPG and 443 total YPG. The Huskers have an even 50/50 split in terms of rushing the football and passing the football each 36 times per game this season.

Junior QB Tommy Armstrong Jr. (55% completions, 2,560 pass yds, 7.6 YPA, 21 TD, 12 INT) has nearly identical numbers compared to last season (53% completions, 2,695 pass yds, 7.8 YPA, 22 TD, 12 INT), but the big area of improvement has been reducing his sacks from 20 to 11. Although he has thrown for 508 yards and 5 TD over the past two weeks, Armstrong has also tossed five interceptions. In last year's win over Iowa, he threw two picks, but still finished with 202 yards and 4 TD, including the game-winner in overtime.

The Huskers ground game is pretty strong with 171 YPG on 4.7 YPC thanks mostly to junior RB Terrell Newby (709 rush yds, 5.3 YPC, 5 TD), but he has carried the football only five times during two November games because of an ankle injury. He should be closer to 100 percent after the bye week, but if Newby is still limited, the team knows it can count on senior RB Imani Cross who has back-to-back games of 90+ rushing yards.

The Blackshirts defense of Nebraska has been decent this season with 27.7 PPG and 415 total YPG allowed, but in the past three games, it has allowed a beefy 35.7 PPG. The secondary is most at fault with surrendering 306 passing YPG on 7.5 YPA, but the front seven has held teams to 110 rushing YPG on 3.6 YPC. The Huskers also need to force more turnovers, as they have produced only eight takeaways in the past nine games combined.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday's Tip Sheet
November 26, 2015


**Iowa at Nebraska**

-- As of early Thursday night, most betting shops had Iowa (11-0 straight up, 6-5 against the spread) installed as a two-point favorite with a total of 58.

-- Iowa has failed to cover the number in consecutive contests and three of its last four. Kirk Ferentz’s team beat Purdue last Saturday 40-20 as a 23-point home favorite. The 60 combined points jumped ‘over’ the 53.5-point total. The Hawkeyes were never able to get ahead of the number, holding their biggest lead at 20-0 early in the second quarter. C.J. Beathard threw for 213 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. Jordan Canzeri rushed 13 times for 95 yards and one TD, while LeShun Daniels had eight carries for 31 yards and two TDs.

-- Beathard has connected on 61.0 percent of his throws for 2,257 yards with a 13/3 TD-INT ratio. Beathard hasn’t been intercepted in four straight games. He also has 280 rushing yards and six TDs.

-- Canzeri has run for a team-best 824 yards and eight TDs while averaging 5.2 yards per carry. The senior RB also has 18 receptions for 196 yards and one TD. Daniels has 590 rushing yards and eight TDs with a 4.8 YPC average. Matt VandeBerg leads the Hawkeyes in receiving with 56 grabs for 594 yards and three TDs. TE George Kittle has a team-best five TD catches.

-- Iowa has been perfect on the road all season long, going 4-0 both SU and ATS. The Hawks are 3-0 ATS as road ‘chalk’ this season and have taken the cash in nine consecutive such spots going back to late in the 2011 regular season.

-- Nebraska (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS) has won back-to-back games both SU and ATS since falling to 3-6 in a humiliating 55-45 loss at Purdue. The Cornhuskers handed Michigan St. its lone loss of the season by capturing a 39-38 win on Nov. 7. They won outright as 3.5-point underdogs thanks to Tommy Armstrong Jr.’s 30-yard touchdown pass to Brandon Reilly with 17 seconds remaining. Armstrong threw for 320 yards and two TDs and also ran for a pair of scores. On Reilly’s TD catch in the waning seconds, he came from out of bounds back into play before making the catch. The officials ruled that Reilly was forced out by a defender, a ruling that was upheld on review.

-- Mike Riley’s team won a 31-14 decision at Rutgers as a 7.5-point road favorite its last time out two weeks ago. Armstrong threw for 188 yards and three TDs, but he was intercepted three times. Imani Cross rushed for a team-high 90 yards on 20 carries, while Nate Gerry and Chris Jones.

-- This has been an inauspicious start to Riley’s tenure to say the least. There’s no way to sugarcoat that, but we’ll nonetheless point out five one-possession defeats, including one on a Hail Mary in the opener vs. BYU. Nebraska lost to the Cougars, 33-28. The other four close setbacks came by eight combined points.

-- Armstrong has completed 54.7 percent of his passes for 2,560 yards with a 21/12 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The junior signal caller has also rushed for 278 yards and six TDs. Terrell Newby has run for a team-high 709 yards and five TDs, averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Jordan Westerkamp has a team-high 61 receptions for 833 yards and seven TDs, while Reilly has 34 catches for 666 yards and four TDs.

-- Nebraska has compiled a 3-3 record both SU and ATS in six home games this year. The Cornhuskers have been home underdogs twice this year, going 2-0 ATS with the outright win over the Spartans. Going back to 2005, Nebraska owns a 6-3 spread record as a home ‘dog.

-- This is a revenge game for Iowa, which lost at home to Nebraska by a 37-34 count in overtime last season. The Cornhuskers took the cash as one-point underdogs. Armstrong threw for 202 yards and four TDs, including the game winner on a nine-yard scoring strike to Kenny Bell to end the game.

-- The ‘over’ is 7-3-1 overall for Iowa, 2-1-1 in its last four outings. The Hawkeyes have seen their games average a combined score of 52.7 points per game.

-- The ‘over’ is 7-4 overall for Nebraska, 4-2 in its home games. The Cornhuskers had seen the ‘over’ cash in four straight games until the ‘under’ hit in their win at RU two weeks ago. Their games have averaged a combined score of 61.4 PPG.

-- ABC will have the telecast at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

**Baylor at TCU**

-- As of early Thursday night, most spots had TCU (9-2 SU, 5-6 ATS) listed as a 1.5-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 78.5 points.

-- Baylor (9-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) bounced back nicely from its first loss of the season by beating Oklahoma St. 45-35 as a three-point road favorite. The 80 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 76-point total. Jarrett Stidham, the highly-touted true freshman QB who had become the starter when Seth Russell went down with a season-ending injury, sustained a broken ankle in Stillwater to force Art Briles to turn to his third-string signal caller. That was Chris Johnson, a third-year sophomore who threw for 138 and two TDs with one interception. Shock Linwood rushed 20 times for 91 yards and one TD, while Johnson ran for 42 yards and one TD on six attempts. K.D. Cannon hauled in five receptions for 210 yards and two TDs.

-- Johnson took a redshirt in 2013 when he arrived in Waco. In 2014, he appeared in four games, completing all four of his passes for 45 yards. He rushed four times for 29 yards. Johnson had played sparingly at WR this season, making three catches for 37 yards before the QB position began coping with injuries. He will be making his first career start at QB against the Horned Frogs.

-- Linwood has run for a team-best 1,240 yards and 10 TDs while averaging 7.1 YPC. He also has eight catches for 56 yards and one TD. However, Linwood is ‘questionable’ at TCU due to a knee injury. In addition, TE Gus Penning (5 catches for 101 yards) is ‘questionable,’ while DT Beau Blackshear is ‘doubtful’ due to an undisclosed injury. Finally, starting safety Orion Stewart is ‘questionable’ due to a hamstring injury. Stewart has 48 tackles, one sack and one forced fumble this year, while Blackshear has 22 tackles, four tackles for loss and one forced fumble.

-- Corey Coleman has a team-high 66 receptions for 1,306 yards and 20 TDs for the Bears. Cannon has 39 catches for 774 yards and six TDs, while Jay Lee has 34 grabs for 714 yards and eight TDs.

-- TCU nearly climbed back into CFP contention in Norman last weekend, but a brilliant fourth-quarter comeback came up short on a two-point conversion play. With star QB and Heisman Trophy candidate Trevone Boykin sidelined by an injury, Gary Patterson’s team found itself trailing Oklahoma 30-13 with nine minutes remaining. But back-up QB Bram Kohlhausen found KaVontae Turpin for an 86-yard scoring strike. With 6:27 left, TCU cut the deficit to 30-23 with a 43-yard field goal. Then with 51 seconds remaining, Kohlhausen hit Emanuel Porter for a 14-yard TD pass. Patterson elected to go for two even though OU’s star QB Baker Mayfield had been knocked out of the game with a concussion. Kohlhausen scrambled to his right on the two-point try and a receiver broke open. On the run, Kohlhausen lobbed the pass to an open target but an OU defender made a great play to knock the ball away.

-- Boykin has been upgraded to ‘probable’ and is expected to start against the Bears. Boykin has connected on 65.7 percent of his passes for 3,426 yards with a 29/9 TD-INT ratio. He has rushed for 596 yards and eight TDs while averaging 5.5 YPC. Aaron Green paces TCU in rushing with 1,099 yards and 10 TDs. Green averages 5.4 YPC.

-- TCU has been crippled by injuries as much any team in the country. Star WR Josh Doctson, who has made 78 receptions for 1,326 yards and 14 TDs, didn’t play against Oklahoma St. and is out for the rest of the regular season. Doctson is now the ninth starter out for the season, though he has a chance to return the bowl game. Another starter, senior center Joey Hunt, a second-team All Big-12 selection in 2014, is ‘out’ vs. Baylor. Another starting offensive lineman, OG Jamelle Naff, is listed as ‘questionable.’ -- The ‘under’ is 6-5 overall for TCU, 3-2 in its home games. The Horned Frogs have had average combined scores of 69.5 PPG.

-- The ‘over’ is 7-3 overall for Baylor, 2-2 in its four true road assignments.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- The latest odds to win the CFP from The Westgate SuperBook:

Alabama +150 (risk $100 to win $150)
Clemson 4/1
Oklahoma 7/1
Notre Dame 8/1
Baylor 8/1
Michigan St. 12/1
Iowa 20/1
Ohio St. 20/1
Florida 25/1
Oklahoma St. 25/1
Michigan 30/1
North Carolina 60/1

-- I think Michigan State has the best value at the future book. I’m confident the Spartans will beat Penn State at home and Iowa in the Big Ten Championship Game. Then you’ll be holding a 12/1 ticket with one of the four teams in the mix.

-- As of early this morning, most spots had Navy as a four-point road favorite at Houston. The Cougars have been without a pair of starting offensive linemen for a month and might be sans one more today. Colton Freeman (stinger) is listed as ‘questionable’ along with RB Kenneth Farrow, who is dealing with a foot injury. Farrow has rushed for 949 yards and 12 TDs while averaging 5.2 YPC this season. The good news is that QB Greg Ward Jr. is ‘probable’ after only playing sparingly in UH’s first loss of the year last week at UConn due to a sprained ankle. The Midshipmen are 3-0 ATS as road favorites this year.

-- According to multiple reports, Alabama defensive coordinator Kirby Smart has become South Carolina’s top choice to replace Steve Spurrier. This development reportedly came about after UH’s Tom Herman declined interest in the vacancy.

-- All indications are that Memphis’s Justin Fuente is now the leading candidate to replace Frank Beamer at Virginia Tech.

-- After starting the season 1-3, South Florida’s third-year head coach Willie Taggart was showing up on lists of hot-seat coaches. Since then, however, the Bulls have gone 7-1 both SU and ATS. They closed the regular season on a four-game winning streak both SU and ATS, including last night’s easy 44-3 win at UCF as a 24.5-point road ‘chalk.’

-- The ‘over’ has hit in six straight games for Michigan. For Saturday’s home game vs. Ohio St., the total was 46.5 or 47 early Friday morning.

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 27

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NAVY at HOU 12:00 PM

NAVY -1.0 TRIPLE PLAY

U 60.0



MRSH at WKU 12:00 PM

WKU -10.0 BLOW OUT

O 64.5




KENT at AKR 12:00 PM

AKR -10.5 *****

U 38.0



WMU at TOL 12:00 PM

TOL -8.0 DOUBLE PLAY

U 59.5



MIA at PITT 12:00 PM

MIA +7.0 DOUBLE PLAY

U 55.0



EMU at CMU 01:00 PM

CMU -23.5

O 59.5



TROY at GSU 02:00 PM

GSU +1.0

U 56.5



MIZZ at ARK 02:30 PM

ARK -14.0

O 44.0



BSU at SJSU 03:30 PM

SJSU +7.5 DOUBLE PLAY

U 58.0



WSU at WASH 03:30 PM

WSU +7.0 TRIPLE PLAY

U 52.5



IOWA at NEB 03:30 PM

IOWA -1.5 BLOW OUT

U 58.5



ORST at ORE 04:00 PM

ORE -35.0 DOUBLE PLAY

O 70.0



MASS at BUFF 04:30 PM

MASS +6.5 *****

U 55.0



BAY at TCU 07:30 PM

TCU +1.0 TRIPLE PLAY

U 75.5