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NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 10 (Thursday, November 12 - Monday, November 16)

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  • #16
    NFL

    Monday, November 16


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    Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Texans at Bengals
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    The Bengals haven't lost against the spread this season, going 7-0-1 ATS in eight games.

    Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals (-11.5, 47)

    One of three undefeated teams still standing in the NFL, the Cincinnati Bengals look to extend their perfect run to nine games when they host the Houston Texans on Monday Night Football. The Bengals entered the weekend with a 3 1/2-game cushion over the Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC North and have had 10 days off since demolishing Cleveland 31-10 on Nov. 5.

    “We’ve put ourselves in the position that we’re in and there aren’t a lot of teams that get to 8-0," Cincinnati quarterback Andy Dalton said. "We’ve got to keep pushing and keep the same mentality that we’ve had the first half of the season and do whatever we can to keep winning these games in the second half." It marks the second of three straight prime-time matchups for the Bengals, who visit NFC West-leading Arizona on Nov. 22. Houston stumbled out of the gate with four losses in its first five games and has already changed starting quarterbacks twice. Brian Hoyer reclaimed the job and led the Texans to two wins in three games before last week's bye.

    TV:
    8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Bengals opened as 10.5-point home favorites and have been bet up to -11.5. The total has held steady at the opening number of 47.

    INJURY REPORT:


    Texans - WR N. Washington (probable Monday, hip), RB C. Polk (probable Monday, knee), WR C. Shorts (probable Monday, hamstring), LB B. McKinney (questionable Monday, concussion), LB A. Dent (questionable Monday, hamstring), T D. Brown (questionable Monday, concussion), LB J. Clowney (doubtful Monday, back), DB K. Jackson (out Sunday, ankle).

    Bengals - DT M. Hardison (questionable Monday, knee), LB R. Maualuga (questionable Monday, questionable Monday, calf), T A. Smith (questionable Monday, concussion).

    WEATHER REPORT:
    There will be 15-30 percent chance of rain for the Monday nighter in Cincinnati. Temperatures will be in the mid 50's with a five mile per hour wind blowing towards the northwest end zone.

    POWER RANKINGS:
    Texans (3.5) - Bengals (-7) + home field (-3) = Bengals -13.5

    ABOUT THE TEXANS (3-5, 3-5 ATS, 5-2-1 O/U):
    Houston's three victories have come at the expense of teams who are a combined 7-15, but it entered the weekend sitting a half-game behind first-place Indianapolis in the AFC South. Hoyer lost his starting job in Week 1 but has provided some stability by throwing for at least two scoring passes in a club-record five straight games and has one of the league's top receivers in DeAndre Hopkins, who has 66 receptions for 870 yards and six touchdowns. The running game has been anemic since the loss of Arian Foster and the defense will be without former No. 1 overall pick Jadeveon Clowney.

    ABOUT THE BENGALS (8-0, 7-0-1 ATS, 5-3 O/U):
    If not for the play of New England's Tom Brady, Dalton would be the front-runner for MVP honors after throwing 18 touchdowns against only four interceptions while compiling a career-best 111.0 passer rating - second only to Brady. Wideout A.J. Green has 50 receptions and four touchdowns, but perhaps the biggest boost for Cincinnati's offense in the emergence of tight end Tyler Eifert, who had nine scoring passes among his 37 catches. Gio Bernard and Jeremy Hill continue to share time in the backfield while the defense is permitting only 17.8 points and has notched 23 sacks.

    TRENDS:


    * Texans are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
    * Under is 6-0 in Bengals last six games in November.
    * Over is 4-1 in Texans last five games overall.
    * Bengals are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games versus the AFC.

    CONSENSUS:
    Fifty-nine percent of wagers are backing the Bengals for this Monday Night matchup. The public is also think it will be a high scoring affair with 58 percent of wagers on the over.


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    • #17
      NFL

      Monday, November 16



      NFL roundup: Broncos bench Manning in loss to Chiefs

      DENVER -- A relentless Kansas City Chiefs defense pressured quarterback Peyton Manning into four interceptions, shutting down the Denver Broncos long enough for a 29-13 victory on Sunday.

      Charcandrick West (24 carries, 69 yards; 3 receptions, 92 yards; two touchdowns) ran for a touchdown and caught an 80-yard scoring pass from Alex Smith (17 of 31, 204 yards, one touchdown), helping the Chiefs (4-5) snap a seven-game losing streak to the Broncos (7-2). Cairo Santos added five field goals.

      Manning, who went 5 of 20 for 35 yards, was replaced by backup Brock Osweiler with 6:34 left to play in the third quarter after throwing his fourth interception. He missed a day of practice in the week leading up to the game with a foot injury and also was listed on the injury report Friday with sore ribs.

      Patriots 27, Giants 26

      EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. -- Stephen Gostkowski made a 54-yard field goal with one second left, and New England rallied to beat the New York Giants and remain undefeated.

      The Patriots' Tom Brady completed 26 of 42 passes for 334 yards and two touchdowns while the Giants' Eli Manning threw for 361 yards, completing 24 of 44 with two touchdowns.

      Odell Beckham, who had four receptions for 104 yards, caught an 87-yard touchdown pass in the first quarter after Brady and tight end Scott Chandler connected on a 1-yard TD.

      Steelers 30, Browns 9

      PITTSBURGH -- Ben Roethlisberger, who did not start because of a sprained left foot, entered the game early in the first quarter when starter Landry Jones was injured and led Pittsburgh over Cleveland at Heinz Field.

      Roethlisberger was 22 for 33 for 379 yards and three touchdowns. He threw for 286 yards and two touchdowns in the first half alone. Antonio Brown had 10 catches for 139 yards and two touchdowns and Martavis Bryant had six catches for 178 yards and a touchdown.

      Johnny Manziel started a second consecutive game for the Browns (2-8) because starter Josh McCown was inactive with a rib injury. Manziel was 33 for 45 for 372 yards, but he did not lead the Browns to a touchdown until 12:28 remained in the game. He was intercepted once and lost a fumble.

      Panthers 27, Titans 10

      NASHVILE, Tenn. -- Cam Newton completed 21 of 26 passes for 217 yards and one touchdown as unbeaten Carolina extended its best start ever with a win over Tennessee.

      Newton also ran for a touchdown, marking the 30th game he has scored through the air and the ground. Only Steve Young has more with 31.

      The Panthers (9-0) won their team-record 13th straight regular-season game. Carolina running back Jonathan Stewart led the Panthers in rushing with 91 yards and one touchdown on 22 carries.

      The Titans (2-7) suffered their 10th consecutive home loss, their longest skid since moving to Tennessee.

      Lions 18, Packers 16

      GREEN BAY, Wis. -- A generation of Detroit fans witnessed something they had never seen before on Sunday: A Lions victory at Lambeau Field.

      The Lions (2-7) shocked the reeling Packers (6-3) to snap a 24-game losing streak in Wisconsin, the longest in NFL history and one that dated to 1991 -- before the Brett Favre-Aaron Rodgers era at quarterback. It was the first game for the Lions since general manager Martin Mayhew and president Tom Lewand were fired last week.

      As is the Lions' way, it wasn't easy, as they survived a frantic Packers comeback but escaped when Green Bay kicker Mason Crosby appeared to mis-hit a 52-yard field-goal attempt on the final play.

      Redskins 47, Saints 14

      WASHINGTON -- Kirk Cousins threw a career-high four touchdown passes and Washington rolled up 513 yards of offense to rout of New Orleans.

      Cousins completed 20 of 25 passes and threw for 324 yards, compiling a perfect passer rating of 158.3 against the NFL's 31st-ranked defense, while running back Alfred Morris rushed for 93 yards for the Redskins (4-5).

      Quarterback Drew Brees completed 19 of 28 passes for 201 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions for New Orleans (4-6), which has lost two straight entering its bye week.

      Buccaneers 10, Cowboys 6

      TAMPA, Fla. -- Tampa Bay only managed one trip into the red zone but made it count in a crazy ending that sent Dallas to its first seven-game losing streak since 1989.

      The Buccaneers got a 1-yard bootleg touchdown run by quarterback Jameis Winston, making up for a day filled with missed opportunities by their offense.

      The winning score came one play after Winston fumbled the ball leaping over a defender on a touchdown attempt, but a Dallas holding call in the end zone bailed out the Bucs (4-5). On the next play, Winston executed the fake perfectly and strolled into the end zone for the only touchdown in the game.

      Dallas led at halftime on a pair of field goals but didn't score in the second half to drop to 2-7. Quarterback Tony Romo is expected to play next week for the first time since the team's last win in Week 2.

      Bears 37, Rams 13

      ST. LOUIS -- Tight end Zach Miller and running back Jeremy Langford turned Jay Cutler throws into 87 and 83-yard touchdowns, respectively, in the first half as Chicago dumped St. Louis.

      Miller's catch-and-run, the result of a failed tackle by linebacker Akeem Ayers, tied the game at 7 with 11:10 left in the first quarter. It answered a 6-yard scoring run on the game's first possession by Todd Gurley of the Rams (4-5).

      Taking advantage of two nice blocks down field, Langford turned a screen pass into his long touchdown to give the Bears (4-5) a 24-10 lead with five minutes remaining in the first half. On the strength of those two plays, Cutler hit 19 of 24 passes for 258 yards and three scores, finishing with a quarterback rating of 151.0.

      Dolphins 20, Eagles 19

      PHILADELPHIA -- Miami scored the game-winning points on a deflected pass in the fourth quarter to overcame an early deficit and beat Philadelphia.

      The Dolphins (4-5) took a 20-16 lead after a pass from quarterback Ryan Tannehill was batted high into the air at the line of scrimmage by Eagles linebacker Conner Barwin. The ball eventually landed in the arms of Miami receiver Jarvis Landry in the end zone with 14:55 left to play.

      The Eagles (4-5) played the fourth quarter without starting quarterback Sam Bradford, who was knocked out of the game with a left shoulder injury late in the third quarter with the Eagles leading 16-13. He was hurt when he was sacked by Dolphins linebacker Chris McCain. X-rays on Bradford's shoulder were negative, but he was also diagnosed with a concussion and sat out the rest of the game and was replaced by Mark Sanchez.

      Jaguars 22, Ravens 20

      BALTIMORE -- A face mask penalty by Baltimore linebacker Elvis Dumervil as time expired set up a 53-yard goal by Jason Myers that provided Jacksonville with an improbable victory.

      Dumervil was in the process of sacking Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles on what would have been the final play of the game. But Dumervil grabbed Bortles' facemask and slung him to the ground. That penalty moved the line of scrimmage from the Ravens' 49-yard line to the 35 and gave the Jaguars one additional untimed play. From there Myers booted the game-winning kick.

      The Jaguars (3-6) snapped a 13-game losing streak on the road and improved to 3-6. The Ravens (2-7) lost for just the second time in eight games following a bye week under coach John Harbaugh.

      Vikings 30, Raiders 14

      OAKLAND, Calif. -- Adrian Peterson rushed for 203 yards and a touchdown, cornerback Terence Newman intercepted two passes, and Minnesota topped Oakland Raiders for its fifth consecutive win.

      The Vikings' Cordarrelle Patterson had a 93-yard kickoff return for a touchdown in the second quarter. Minnesota quarterback Teddy Bridgewater completed 14 of 22 passes for 140 yards and a touchdown. Peterson, the NFL's leading rusher with 961 yards, carried 26 times and scored on an 80-yard sprint to seal the victory.

      Derek Carr completed 29 of 43 passes for3 02 yards and two touchdowns with two interceptions for the Raiders, who lost their second game in a row.

      Cardinals 39, Seahawks 32

      SEATTLE -- Carson Palmer threw for 363 yards and three touchdowns, and back Andre Ellington rushed for a 48-yard touchdown late in the fourth quarter to seal Arizona's win over Seattle.

      The Cardinals opened up a 19-0 lead in the second quarter, but Palmer and Ellington had to lead a fourth-quarter comeback after the Seahawks' defense provided a pair of late touchdowns to put Seattle on top.

      Arizona's Michael Floyd made seven catches for 113 yards and two touchdowns, giving him four consecutive games with a receiving touchdown. Teammate Larry Fitzgerald added 10 catches for 130 yards. Doug Baldwin paced Seattle with seven receptions for 134 yards and a touchdown.

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