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NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 9 (Thursday, November 5 - Monday, November 9)

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  • NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 9 (Thursday, November 5 - Monday, November 9)






    NFL Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, November 5 - Monday, November 9

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Oddsmakers size up undefeated teams for NFL Week 9 odds

    Peyton Manning faces his former club in Week 9 when the Broncos travel to play the Colts Sunday.

    As the eighth week of the NFL season winds down, the Carolina Panthers are still unbeaten, a stunning fact given that they won just seven games all of last season – and made the playoffs! That’s how bad the NFC South was last year.

    Carolina (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS) has definitely improved, but still has some work to do this week to stay perfect. The Panthers close out Week 8 hosting the Monday night game against the flailing Indianapolis Colts, then turn their attention to a big game on the Week 9 docket, as they host Green Bay.

    The Packers (6-0, 5-1 ATS) also entered Week 8 among the ranks of the unbeaten, but on Sunday night at Denver, they couldn’t get it going offensively in a 29-10 loss as 2.5-point road chalk.

    With Carolina still to play and Green Bay in the late Sunday game, Bookmaker.eu senior lines manager John Lester had to hold off on the line for Sunday’s showdown.

    “We won’t open a line until Monday night,” Lester said. “The squares will be lining up to grab the Packers, but I expect we’ll see a long look at the Panthers from the sharps, depending on what the number is. This should be a fantastic ‘measuring stick’ matchup.”

    John Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, said the schedule makers didn’t help Green Bay, which is on the road against another unbeaten squad.

    “The Packers had trouble moving the ball against the Broncos, and it doesn't get much easier here,” said Avello, noting Denver’s defense ranks No. 1 in allowing 16.0 ppg, and Carolina is 10th at 18.3. “The Panthers come off a Monday night game, but they also remember the beating they took at Lambeau Field last year.”

    Indeed, the Packers led 38-3 before backing off in a 38-17 victory laying 6.5 points at home.

    Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) at Dallas Cowboys

    Back in Week 2, Dallas lost star quarterback Tony Romo against Philadelphia, but still mustered a 20-10 road victory as a 7-point underdog to improve to 2-0 SU. It’s been much rougher sledding since then, and Romo isn’t due back until at least Week 11.

    On Sunday, the Cowboys (2-5 SU and ATS) lost a 13-12 slog to Seattle, though they at least cashed as 4.5-point home pups.

    Philadelphia (3-4 SU and ATS) is well-rested for the Sunday night game, coming off its bye week. The Eagles appeared to be pulling things together with a pair of blowout home victories over New Orleans and the New York Giants, but they fell to Carolina 27-16 as 3-point underdog on Oct. 25.

    Avello was nonplussed by either team.

    “The Cowboys have two wins, but have an excuse after what I saw this past weekend. This season could be over by the time Romo returns,” he said. “The Eagles are playing better but far from where they want to be.”

    Despite both teams’ issues, Lester expects a good game, with both teams still legitimately in the NFC East race.

    “This is a game both teams desperately need, so it should be classic Eagles-Cowboys,” Lester said. “Dallas continues to play respectable ball, and unlike (against Seattle), Philadelphia is certainly a defense the Cowboys can put up points against.

    “I’m not sure what to expect with Philadelphia coming off a bye, but I haven’t been overly impressed with this team at any point. Early money came in on the Eagles, but I know we’ll see some big ‘dog money at some point.”

    Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts (N/A)

    It’s a rematch of a 2014 divisional playoff game, with Denver hoping to avenge a 24-13 upset loss as a 9.5-point home chalk. The Broncos (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) finally found some offense to supplement their tremendous defense, knocking off previously unbeaten Green Bay 29-10 Sunday night as 2.5-point home underdogs.

    Indianapolis, meanwhile, looks nothing like the team that beat Denver in the playoffs. The Colts (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS) wrap up Week 8 in the Monday nighter at Carolina, after back-to-back losses to New England (34-27 getting eight points on the road) and New Orleans (27-21 laying 5.5 points at home).

    The game again pits Peyton Manning against the Colts, with whom he spent the bulk of his career before moving to Denver.

    “It’s a high-profile matchup with all the storylines, so we’ll have no shortage of wagers with this one,” Lester said. “The Colts are going to have a very difficult time keeping Andrew Luck upright, and if they can’t, Denver is going to roll. Again, we’ll wait until Monday night to open a line, but expect the Broncos to be short chalk.”

    Said Avello, “Peyton Manning is very familiar with the surroundings. I don't know what to make of the Colts, but I'm waiting to see what I thought was going to be a legitimate contender in the AFC.”

    Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-10.5)

    Both teams will be on a short week in the battle for Ohio bragging rights, to be played under the Thursday night spotlight. Cincinnati (7-0 SU, 6-0-1 ATS) stayed unbeaten SU and nearly perfect at the betting window by rallying to beat host Pittsburgh 16-10 in a pick ‘em game Sunday.

    Cleveland (2-6 SU, 4-4 ATS) had a 20-10 halftime lead against Arizona on Sunday, then didn’t score the rest of the game in a 34-20 loss catching seven points at home.

    “The Browns’ schedule has been very difficult this year, and it sure doesn't lighten up here,” Avello said. “They have split a game off the Bengals each of the last three seasons. Their biggest problem is they just can't finish a game.”

    Lester noted Cleveland’s injuries – cornerback Joe Haden and safety Donte Whitner were both hurt Sunday – could be the key.

    “If the Browns are missing half of their secondary, they don’t have much of a chance,” Lester said. “There is a big gap between these two teams in our ratings, and an even bigger gap in the eyes of the public, so we had to be generous with the Cincinnati side. Hopefully we can attract some ‘dog money with this number.”

    Comment


    • #3
      Football bettors must react quickly to these NFL Week 9 odds

      If you're jumping on the Patriots' Revenge Tour, you may want to scoop up their spread vs. Washington before it gets even bigger.

      Spread to bet now

      Washington Redskins at New England Patriots (-14)

      The good news for the Redskins is that no one affiliated with the team had anything derogatory to say about the Patriots’ involvement in “Deflategate”. The bad news is that the Patriots don’t care, and will put 60 up on you if they can.

      New England is 7-0 and everyone else in the AFC East has three losses, but don’t think for a minute that either Brady or Belichick plan to take their feet off the accelerator. Bettors are aware of this, and early money backs New England by a 3-to-2 margin – even with the two-touchdown spread. The Revenge Tour continues unabated, so if you’re like the majority of bettors and like the Pats to cover, best get money down quickly before books tack on another half-point.

      Spread to wait on

      Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-10.5)

      The Bengals look like they have the AFC North locked up, sitting at 7-0 after their win over Pittsburgh Sunday. But the public has shown some skepticism on this game despite the fact that the Browns (2-6) are again on a trip to nowhere and the Bengals are the only team in the league that is undefeated (6-0-1) ATS this season.

      If you like the Bengals, might be wise to hang on a bit and see if there’s enough Browns tug to drag the number down to -10. Even on a short week, the Bengals should move the ball against a Browns defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in most categories.

      Total to watch

      Oakland Raiders at Pittsburgh Steelers (48)

      Looks like we’ll never know what the Steeler offense could have done this year. Just when they get QB Ben Roethlisberger back, RB Le’Veon Bell goes down for the season. That puts some strain on the defense to keep Pittsburgh in games, but the defense has been up to the task.

      While overall the Steelers rank low, they are sixth in the league in the only defensive stat that really counts – points allowed. One thing to consider: with Bell out, Oakland’s solid defense against the run will force the Steelers to the air far more than they are comfortable doing.

      Comment


      • #4
        NFL
        Long Sheet

        Thursday, November 5


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        CLEVELAND (2 - 6) at CINCINNATI (7 - 0) - 11/5/2015, 8:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
        CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
        CINCINNATI is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
        CINCINNATI is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
        CINCINNATI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
        CINCINNATI is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
        CINCINNATI is 66-92 ATS (-35.2 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CINCINNATI is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        CINCINNATI is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        Sunday, November 8

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        OAKLAND (4 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 4) - 11/8/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OAKLAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
        PITTSBURGH is 94-66 ATS (+21.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
        PITTSBURGH is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
        PITTSBURGH is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        PITTSBURGH is 64-38 ATS (+22.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
        OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        JACKSONVILLE (2 - 5) at NY JETS (4 - 3) - 11/8/2015, 1:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        ST LOUIS (4 - 3) at MINNESOTA (5 - 2) - 11/8/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ST LOUIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
        ST LOUIS is 105-144 ATS (-53.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
        ST LOUIS is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
        MINNESOTA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        MIAMI (3 - 4) at BUFFALO (3 - 4) - 11/8/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MIAMI is 66-92 ATS (-35.2 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BUFFALO is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        BUFFALO is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        TENNESSEE (1 - 6) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 4) - 11/8/2015, 1:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        WASHINGTON (3 - 4) at NEW ENGLAND (7 - 0) - 11/8/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WASHINGTON is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
        NEW ENGLAND is 218-177 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
        NEW ENGLAND is 218-177 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        NEW ENGLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
        NEW ENGLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons.
        NEW ENGLAND is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
        NEW ENGLAND is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        GREEN BAY (6 - 1) at CAROLINA (7 - 0) - 11/8/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        GREEN BAY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
        GREEN BAY is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        ATLANTA (6 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 6) - 11/8/2015, 4:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
        SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NY GIANTS (4 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 4) - 11/8/2015, 4:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NY GIANTS are 31-59 ATS (-33.9 Units) in November games since 1992.
        TAMPA BAY is 57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) in November games since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        DENVER (7 - 0) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 5) - 11/8/2015, 4:25 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        INDIANAPOLIS is 3-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
        INDIANAPOLIS is 2-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        PHILADELPHIA (3 - 4) at DALLAS (2 - 5) - 11/8/2015, 8:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHILADELPHIA is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DALLAS is 4-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Monday, November 9

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        CHICAGO (2 - 5) at SAN DIEGO (2 - 6) - 11/9/2015, 8:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SAN DIEGO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
        CHICAGO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NFL
          Short Sheet

          Week 9


          Thursday - Nov, 5

          Cleveland at Cincinnati, 8:25 ET

          Cleveland: 7-1 OVER in all lined games
          Cincinnati: 14-4 ATS in home games


          Sunday - Nov, 8

          Oakland at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET

          Oakland: 4-18 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog
          Pittsburgh: 8-0 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3

          Jacksonville at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
          Jacksonville: 18-11 ATS off 3 or more consecutive overs
          New York: 1-7 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite

          St Louis at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
          St Louis: 0-6 ATS in road games off a division game
          Minnesota: 10-2 ATS off a division game

          Miami at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
          Miami: 0-6 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game
          Buffalo: 18-7 ATS at home after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse

          Tennessee at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
          Tennessee: 10-2 ATS against NFC South division opponents
          New Orleans: 3-5 ATS after a win by 6 or less points

          Washington at New England, 1:00 ET
          Washington: 10-21 ATS as an underdog
          New England: 7-0 ATS in home games off a home win

          Green Bay at Carolina, 1:00 ET
          Green Bay: 9-0 ATS after playing their last game on the road
          Carolina: 9-1 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points

          Atlanta at San Francisco, 4:05 ET
          Atlanta: 3-11 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3
          San Francisco: 10-2 UNDER after having lost 2 out of their last 3

          NY Giants at Tampa Bay, 4:05 ET
          New York: 1-10 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game
          Tampa Bay: 57-33 ATS in November

          Denver at Indianapolis, 4:25 ET
          Denver: 19-6 ATS after gaining 500 or more total yards in their previous game
          Indianapolis: 6-17 ATS in home games after a loss by 6 or less points

          Philadelphia at Dallas, 8:30 ET
          Philadelphia: 35-17 ATS in road games revenging a loss against opponent
          Dallas: 1-5 ATS in games played on turf


          Monday - Nov, 9

          Chicago at San Diego, 8:30 ET
          Chicago: 9-24 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5
          San Diego: 22-10 ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5

          Comment


          • #6
            NFL

            Week 9


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Thursday, November 5

            8:25 PM
            CLEVELAND vs. CINCINNATI
            Cleveland is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
            Cleveland is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
            Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland


            Sunday, November 8

            1:00 PM
            ST. LOUIS vs. MINNESOTA
            St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
            Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis

            1:00 PM
            GREEN BAY vs. CAROLINA
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games on the road
            Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
            Carolina is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Green Bay

            1:00 PM
            MIAMI vs. BUFFALO
            Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Miami is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
            Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

            1:00 PM
            WASHINGTON vs. NEW ENGLAND
            Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing New England
            Washington is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
            New England is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
            New England is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington

            1:00 PM
            JACKSONVILLE vs. NY JETS
            Jacksonville is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
            Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            NY Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
            NY Jets are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games at home

            1:00 PM
            OAKLAND vs. PITTSBURGH
            Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
            Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home
            Pittsburgh is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home

            1:00 PM
            TENNESSEE vs. NEW ORLEANS
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
            Tennessee is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
            New Orleans is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
            New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

            4:05 PM
            NY GIANTS vs. TAMPA BAY
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of the NY Giants last 10 games
            NY Giants are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
            Tampa Bay is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
            Tampa Bay is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games at home

            4:05 PM
            ATLANTA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
            Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
            Atlanta is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
            San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Francisco's last 15 games

            4:25 PM
            DENVER vs. INDIANAPOLIS
            Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 10 games when playing Indianapolis
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
            Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

            8:30 PM
            PHILADELPHIA vs. DALLAS
            Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
            Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
            Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games


            Monday, November 9

            8:30 PM
            CHICAGO vs. SAN DIEGO
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
            Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
            San Diego is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home

            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              NFL
              Dunkel

              Week 9


              Cleveland @ Cincinnati

              Game 305-306
              November 5, 2015 @ 8:25 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Cleveland
              129.231
              Cincinnati
              137.770
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Cincinnati
              by 8 1/2
              41
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Cincinnati
              by 11 1/2
              46
              Dunkel Pick:
              Cleveland
              (+11 1/2); Under





              NFL
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Week 9


              Thursday's game
              Browns (2-6) @ Bengals (7-0)-- McCown has banged-up ribs, Manziel may start for 2nd time this season; Browns beat Tennessee 28-14 in other start (Week 2). Unbeaten Cincy won field position in last two games by 16-26 yards; Bengal opponents started 29 of last 34 drives 80+ yards from goal line. Bengals are 10-3-2 in last 15 games as home fave, 2-0-1 this year. Browns lost last three games by 3-18-14 points; they're 2-2 as road underdogs, losing road games by 21-3-18, with win at Baltimore. Cleveland is 3-2 in last five series games, after losing 13 of previous 16 meetings; Browns lost three of last four visits here, with three of last four losses by 7 or less points. Four of last five Bengal games, seven of eight Cleveland games went over total.

              Comment


              • #8
                NFL

                Thursday, November 5


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Thursday Night Football betting preview: Browns at Bengals
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Johnny Manziel and the Browns will be double-digit dogs when they visit Andy Dalton and the Bengals Thursday night.

                Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-11, 45.5)

                Johnny Manziel could be in line to make his second start of the season when the Cleveland Browns visit the unbeaten Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday night in an AFC North matchup. Browns starting quarterback Josh McCown on Tuesday told reporters he was having trouble sleeping and breathing while dealing with a painful rib injury.

                "I guess as we move forward we'll see how that goes," McCown said. "I'm going to prepare and do everything that I can, like I've told you the last few weeks, to be ready to play. So that's my mindset." If Manziel does get the call, he'll have to erase the memory of his first career start against the Bengals last December, when he was intercepted twice and threw for 80 yards in a 30-0 drubbing. The Bengals are among four unbeaten teams in the league and are off to the best start in franchise history after rallying for a 16-10 victory at Pittsburgh on Sunday to open a 3 1/2-game lead atop the division. "We're playing for something greater than being 7-0," Cincinnati wide receiver A.J. Green said. "We're trying to win a championship."

                TV:
                8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

                LINE HISTORY:
                The Bengals opened as 10.5-point home favorites and have been bet up slightly to the current number of -11. The total has been bet down slight, going from the opening number of 46 to 45.5.

                INJURY REPORT:


                Browns - LB C. RObertson (probable Thursday, ankle), LB N. Orchard (probable Thursday, shoulder), DB T. Gipson (probable Thursday, ankle), DB C. Gaines (questionable Thursday, hamstring), DB J. Poyer (doubtful Thursday, shoulder), WR A. Hawkins (doubtful Thursday, concussion), WR B. Hartline (doubtful Thursday, concussion), QB J. McCown (out Thursday, ribs), DB D. Whitner (out Thursday, concussion), CB J. Haden (out indefinitely, concussion).

                Bengals - DE C. Dunlap (questionable Thursday, shoulder), DT M. Hardison (questionable Thursday, knee), LB R. Maualuga (questionable Thursday, calf), T. A Smith (out Thursday, concussion).

                WEATHER REPORT:
                It will be mostly cloudy at kickoff, but there will be an increasing chance of rain as the might rolls along. Temperatures will be in the mid 60's with a six mile per hour wind blowing towards the northwest end zone.

                POWER RANKINGS:
                Browns (+4) - Bengals (-6.5) + home field (-3) = Bengals -13.5

                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • #9
                  NFL

                  Thursday, November 5



                  Packers sticking with Clements as play-caller

                  GREEN BAY, Wis. -- Despite obvious shortcomings on offense in recent games and quarterback Aaron Rodgers' airing grievances, head coach Mike McCarthy isn't in favor of making a midseason change in the relay points of play calls.

                  McCarthy made it clear Wednesday that he's sticking by his offseason decision to relinquish the play-calling duties, which he handed over to associate head coach Tom Clements.

                  "I don't think that's a good structure as far as ...," McCarthy said at the start of a response to a question on whether he's considering taking those duties back.

                  "You dictate the job responsibilities," he continued. "When things may not go well in any phase, I don't think you just abandon the process and the procedure and the responsibility of everybody and everything involved."

                  Instead, McCarthy chalked up the previously unbeaten Packers' 29-10 loss at the Denver Broncos on Sunday night to a hard lesson learned for the team across the board.


                  Ground game fuels Raiders' success

                  ALAMEDA, Calif. -- The Oakland Raiders' success this season has come when they were even moderately successful on the ground. The Raiders are 4-0 when they rush for 70 or more yards, and their most recent victory came with Latavius Murray getting 113 yards against the previous stout Jets.

                  Oakland had 74 yards by halftime against the Jets, making a physical statement that only enhanced the play of Derek Carr at quarterback.

                  "I think we definitely made a statement of what we want to be and how we want to run the ball," Murray said. "It says a lot about us and what we're capable of."

                  A big portion of Oakland's success on the ground has been because of blocking, and not just from a physical offensive line. The Raiders' wideouts block with enthusiasm for each other, and No. 3 receiver Seth Roberts is the top blocking receiver in the NFL according to Pro Football Focus.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NFL

                    Thursday, November 5



                    Small chance of rain in Cincinnati Thursday

                    According to weather forecasts, there is a small 16 percent possibility of rain when the Cincinnati Bengals host the Cleveland Browns at Paul Brown Stadium Thursday evening.

                    Temperatures in Cincinnati will be in the high-60s with wind blowing across the field at around six miles per hour during game time.

                    Books opened the Bengals as 10.5-point home favorites, but that has since moved to -11. The total is down to 45.5 from the opening 46.


                    Underdog killing it in Bengals-Browns matchups

                    A new chapter will be written in the history of the Cincinnati Bengals-Cleveland Browns rivalry when the two AFC North rivals meet Thursday evening, but the dominant theme in recently meetings from a bettor's perspective is the success of the underdog.

                    Underdogs have gone 13-2-1 against the spread in the previous 16 meetings between the two Ohio teams. Last season, the not only cashed in both games, but won outright. Cleveland prevailed 24-3 as 6.5-point underdogs on Nov. 6 and the Bengals won 30-0 as 2.5-point pups on Dec. 14.

                    This time around, books opened the Bengals as 10.5-point home faves but that has since moved to -11.5.
                    Last edited by Udog; 11-05-2015, 05:18 PM.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 9

                      The Broncos defense, which has 17 takeaways, sets its sights on the Colts and new offensive coordinator Rob Chudzinski.

                      Green Bay Packers at Carolina Panthers (+2.5, 46.5)

                      Packers’ problems passing for first downs vs. Panthers’ pass defense

                      It’s one of those stats that makes you shake your head and rub your eyes when you first see it: Green Bay, with Aaron Rodgers slinging the ball, has passed for fewer first downs than 29 other NFL teams this season, moving the chains through the air just 9.6 times per game.

                      And it’s not like the Cheeseheads are picking up those first downs on the ground either, with just 4.7 runs for first downs per game over their last three contests. Overall, the Packers average 18.7 first downs per game – dropping to 15 per game in the last three outings. Sure, Green Bay makes up most of their yardage on big plays, but it faces a Panthers defense that has allowed an NFL-low seven passing plays of 25 or more yards.

                      Carolina’s defense is giving up 229 yards passing per game – seventh in the league – and has done a good job keeping receivers in front of it and making the quick tackle, allowing only 103 yards after the catch per game. That’s held opposing passers to a slim 9.3 yards per completion, which drops to 8.8 YPC at home.

                      Daily fantasy watch: Buy - Carolina D/ST, Sell – QB Aaron Rodgers


                      St. Louis Rams at Minnesota Vikings (-2, 40)

                      Rams’ red-zone defense vs. Vikings’ red-zone offense

                      The Rams have shut the door on opponents inside their own 20-yard line this season, giving up only five red-zone touchdowns in 16 attempts heading into Week 9. St. Louis’ has forced foes to opt for the field goal (or nothing) on 68.7 percent of their possessions in the red zone, which ranks tops in the NFL (31.3%). The Bengals rank No. 2 at a distant 43.8 percent when it comes to keeping teams from six points inside the red zone.

                      A lot of Sunday’s billing will be the Adrian Peterson vs. Todd Gurley matchup at running back, but if Gurley is going to get the better of the one player he’s been compared to the most, it will be because of St. Louis’ stoutness inside the red zone and on the ground. According to the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, the Rams have stuffed rushers for 36 negative runs – third most in the NFL.

                      Peterson headlines the Vikings scoring attack, which is fifth in rushing yards (131 YPG) but putting up only 21 points per outing. The lack of points can be blamed on a limp red-zone offense, which has found the end zone on 38 percent of its trips inside the 20-yard line – third worst. Minnesota failed on two red-zone tries in last week’s win over Chicago and is scoring six on just 22 percent of their red-zone attempts in the past three games.

                      Daily fantasy watch: Buy – Vikings D/ST, Sell – RB Adrian Peterson


                      Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts (+5, 45)

                      Broncos’ NFL-best defense vs. Colts’ new OC Rob Chudzinski

                      We looked at a similar mismatch last week when the Lions canned their offensive coordinator and fed the new guy – Jim Bob Cooter – to the wolves, losing 45-10 to the Chiefs in London. Week 9 presents a similar situation with Indianapolis axing offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton and promoting associate coach Rob Chudzinski to the vacant position.

                      Chudzinski is looking to switch gears on offense and told the media he wants to play a faster pace, not allowing Denver’s defense to get substitutions in and switch formations as often. While that sounds like a good plan, with speed comes mistakes and with just a week to ramp up the tempo, there could be plenty of miscues from the Colts, who have already coughed up 19 takeaways – interceptions and fumbles – which sits second worst in the NFL.

                      On the flip side of that stat sits the Broncos stop unit. Denver’s defense is second in the NFL in takeaways with 17 heading into Week 9. This defense played perhaps its best game of the season in a showdown with Green Bay last Sunday night, limiting Rodgers to 77 yards passing while sacking the QB three times and forcing three fumbles (one for a safety) in a 29-10 home win. Indianapolis could be once again without starting center Khaled Holmes from an offensive line that has allowed 17 sacks, facing a pass rush totaling 29 QB kills on the year.

                      Daily fantasy watch: Buy - Broncos D/ST, Sell – QB Andrew Luck


                      Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (+2.5, 44.5)

                      Eagles’ return team vs. Cowboys’ not-so special teams

                      There’s a surplus of criticism of Eagles head coach Chip Kelly and his offense in Philadelphia. But the one consistent producer for this team during Kelly’s tenure has been special teams – most notably the return game. Philadelphia is the top punt return team in the NFL, averaging 14.7 yards per return with a touchdown, and while the kickoff return game hasn’t been producing like last year, it really hasn’t had many chances.

                      The Eagles kick return has fielded only five kicks so far, second fewest in the NFL, taking those back for only 20.8 yards per return. That sits near the bottom of the list. However, this team can break off a big play, as it did many times in 2014 when it averaged 27.3 yards per kick return and took it to the house a NFL-best two times. That gave Philly an average starting field position of just beyond the 30-yard line – fifth best in 2014.

                      The Eagles have a good chance of finding that form against a Dallas special teams unit that has been just plain terrible. The Cowboys have given up a league-worst 35 yards per kickoff (with a touchdown) and 10.1 yards per punt, serving up an average starting spot just over the 27-yard line. Dallas hasn’t allowed many run backs, seven in total, with 79.41 percent of kickoffs going for touchbacks, but have been burned whenever they do. It may be best to keep the ball out of the Eagles returners’ hands whenever possible.

                      Daily fantasy watch: Buy - Eagles D/ST, Sell – Cowboys D/ST

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        NFL
                        Dunkel

                        Week 9



                        Denver @ Indianapolis

                        Game 469-470
                        November 8, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Denver
                        140.588
                        Indianapolis
                        132.689
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Denver
                        by 8
                        41
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Denver
                        by 5
                        45
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        Denver
                        (-5); Under

                        Oakland @ Pittsburgh


                        Game 451-452
                        November 8, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Oakland
                        129.248
                        Pittsburgh
                        136.725
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Pittsburgh
                        by 7 1/2
                        44
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Pittsburgh
                        by 4
                        48
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        Pittsburgh
                        (-4); Under

                        Philadelphia @ Dallas


                        Game 471-472
                        November 8, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Philadelphia
                        132.019
                        Dallas
                        132.868
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Dallas
                        by 1
                        42
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Philadelphia
                        by 3
                        45
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        Dallas
                        (+3); Under

                        Jacksonville @ NY Jets


                        Game 453-454
                        November 8, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Jacksonville
                        122.429
                        NY Jets
                        133.347
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        NY Jets
                        by 11
                        45
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        NY Jets
                        by 7
                        41
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        NY Jets
                        (-7); Over

                        St. Louis @ Minnesota


                        Game 455-456
                        November 8, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        St. Louis
                        136.734
                        Minnesota
                        135.246
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        St. Louis
                        by 1 1/2
                        43
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Minnesota
                        by 2 1/2
                        39 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        St. Louis
                        (+2 1/2); Over

                        Miami @ Buffalo


                        Game 457-458
                        November 8, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Miami
                        130.172
                        Buffalo
                        131.157
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Buffalo
                        by 1
                        48
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Buffalo
                        by 3
                        44
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        Miami
                        (+3); Over

                        Tennessee @ New Orleans


                        Game 459-460
                        November 8, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Tennessee
                        120.607
                        New Orleans
                        134.740
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        New Orleans
                        by 14
                        56
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        New Orleans
                        by 7 1/2
                        48
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        New Orleans
                        (-7 1/2); Over

                        Washington @ New England


                        Game 461-462
                        November 8, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Washington
                        126.405
                        New England
                        149.749
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        New England
                        by 23 1/2
                        49
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        New England
                        by 14
                        52 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        New England
                        (-14); Under

                        Green Bay @ Carolina


                        Game 463-464
                        November 8, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Green Bay
                        139.944
                        Carolina
                        134.837
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Green Bay
                        by 5
                        43
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Green Bay
                        by 2 1/2
                        46 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        Green Bay
                        (-2 1/2); Under

                        Atlanta @ San Francisco


                        Game 465-466
                        November 8, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Atlanta
                        128.383
                        San Francisco
                        126.949
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        Atlanta
                        by 1 1/2
                        41
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        Atlanta
                        by 7
                        45
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        San Francisco
                        (+7); Under

                        NY Giants @ Tampa Bay


                        Game 467-468
                        November 8, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        NY Giants
                        132.797
                        Tampa Bay
                        126.849
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        NY Giants
                        by 6
                        54
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        NY Giants
                        by 2 1/2
                        48
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        NY Giants
                        (-2 1/2); Over



                        Chicago @ San Diego

                        Game 473-474
                        November 9, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

                        Dunkel Rating:
                        Chicago
                        125.208
                        San Diego
                        131.629
                        Dunkel Team:
                        Dunkel Line:
                        Dunkel Total:
                        San Diego
                        by 6 1/2
                        53
                        Vegas Team:
                        Vegas Line:
                        Vegas Total:
                        San Diego
                        by 4
                        49
                        Dunkel Pick:
                        San Diego
                        (-4); Over

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          NFL
                          Armadillo's Write-Up

                          Week 9


                          Raiders (4-3) @ Steelers (4-4)-- Oakland won last two games, is over .500 for first time in four years; they outscored last two opponents 51-12 in first half. Raiders won four of last five games with Pittsburgh, with all four wins by 7 or less points-they're 2-1 on road, with only loss 22-20 (-3) at Chicago. Pitt lost its last two games, scoring two TDs on 21 drives; they lost RB Bell for season, vet Williams will carry load. Steelers are 2-2 at home; they're 9-5 in last 14 games as home fave, 1-0 this year. Roethlisberger came back last week; Pitt scored one TD on 12 drives, but they're obviously better off with him in there. AFC North non-divisional favorites are 6-4 vs spread, 3-2 at home; AFC West road dogs are 4-5. Five of seven Raider games went over total; last six Steeler games stayed under.

                          Jaguars (2-5) @ Jets (4-3)-- Fitzpatrick tore ligaments in left (non-throwing) thumb LW, is ??able here; backup Smith was also banged-up LW- #3 QB is Baylor rookie Petty. Jets lost last two games 30-23/34-20; they're 4-0 when they have 2+ takeaways, 0-3 when they do not- they've had zero in last two games. Jaguars covered four of last five post-bye games; NFL-wide, post-bye teams are 10-4 vs spread this year. Jets won last two series games, 32-3/17-10; Jags are 3-4 in seven visits here. Jaguars are actually tied in loss column for AFC South lead- they allowed 31+ points four of last five games. AFC East non-divisional home favorites are 4-2-1 vs spread; AFC South road underdogs are 1-5. Five of last six Jax games, last three Jet games went over total.

                          Rams (4-3) @ Vikings (5-2)-- Minnesota won last three series games by 28-14-28 points; Rams haven't been here since '06. Two teams on rise; only game Peterson played LY was 34-6 Viking win at St Louis in opener- he had 75 YR, 21 carries. Minnesota is 6-2 as home fave under Zimmer, 3-0 this year, winning home games by 10-17-6 points. Rams are 1-2 away from home, winning at Arizona- they scored 24+ points in four wins; 10-6-10 in losses; rookie RB Gurley sparked Ram offense than ran ball for 165 ypg last four games, but they're just 16-74 on third down last six games. Four of last five Viking games went over; five of last six St Louis games stayed under. NFC North non-divisional home faves are 5-1 vs spread; NFC West dogs are 3-5, 1-3 on road.

                          Dolphins (3-4) @ Bills (3-4)-- Buffalo (+3) crushed Fish 41-14 in Miami in Week 3, with three INTs (+3 TOs)- they threw for 9.6 ypa, but lot has changed since; Dolphins are 2-1 since firing their HC, Bills lost three of last four but get QB Taylor back here, which has to help. Buffalo lost last three home games, giving up 32.7 ppg; they're 3-8 in last 11 tries as a home favorite. Ryan is 0-5 in his last five tries. Dolphins lost last three visits here by 5-19-19 points; they're 2-1 in true road games, with only loss 23-20 at Jax. Bills allowed 14 or less points in all three wins, an average of 33 ppg in losses. Teams coming off bye week are 11-5 vs spread; teams coming off Thursday night game are 9-5. Four of last six games for both sides went over total.

                          Titans (1-6) @ Saints (4-4)-- Tennessee fired its coach Tuesday; they've lost six games in row, scoring 9 ppg in four post-bye game- three of their last five losses are by three points or less. Saints won four of last five games since 0-3 start; they scored 37.7 ppg last three games. Brees threw seven TDs here LW, Saints still needed late FG to win- they allowed 20+ points in every game this season. Titans are 3-9 in last 12 games as road dogs, 1-1 this year- they won last three visits here, by 17-3-17 points. LSU alum Mettenberger is 0-8 as an NFL starter. Three of last four Titan games stayed under total; three of last four Saint games went over. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 8-4 vs spread, 5-3 at home; AFC South non-divisional road dogs are 2-5.

                          Redskins (3-4) @ Patriots (7-0)-- New England is a juggernaut, winning home games this year by average score of 36-17 (2-0-2 vs spread); they've scored 30+ points last six games- four of seven wins this year are by 8 or less points. Since '12, Patriots are 2-8 vs spread as a double digit favorite. Redskins are 0-3 as post-bye underdog; they've been favored in 17 of last 20 post-bye games, are 9-2 SU in last 11. NE won last two series games 52-7/34-27. NFC East non-divisional underdogs are 4-6 vs spread, 2-3 on road. Four of last six Patriot games went over total. Washington's only loss this year by more than seven was 32-21 on Thursday night in Swamp in Week 3; they're 5-12 in last 17 games as a road dog, 1-2 this year, with both losses at Giants Stadium.

                          Packers (6-1) @ Panthers (7-0)-- Green Bay won six of last eight games with Carolina, 5-2 in last seven visits here; average total in last five series games is 54.6. Packers were held to 140 TY (50 PY) in first loss LW, at Denver. Panthers survived soggy Monday nite game with Colts, winning in OT after blowing 23-6 lead. Carolina is 4-0 at home; they won by 4 at Seattle, in only game as a dog this year. Pack allowed 548-500 TY last two games; they held previous four foes to 334 or less TY. NFC North non-divisional favorites are 6-2 vs spread; NFC South underdogs are 5-3. Last four Packer games stayed under total; four of last five Carolina games went over. Would check status of star LB Matthews; he left late in game Sunday with an injury, not sure how serious it is.

                          Falcons (6-2) @ 49ers (2-6)-- Niners didn't score TD in last two games, gaining 331 yards, converting 4-28 on 3rd down; they benched QB Kaepernick for Gabbert; spread jumped from 2.5 to 7 as a result. SF is 3-0 vs spread when it scores 20+ points, 0-5 when they do not, with all five of those losses by 14+ points- they're 2-2 at home, but allowed 337 yards on ground last two weeks. Falcons have three TDs, three FGs on last eight red zone drives; they lost two of last three games after a 5-0 start. 49ers won last two series tilts, 28-24/34-24. Three of last four Atlanta games stayed under total- three of the four were decided by 3 points or in OT. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 8-4 vs spread, 3-1 on road. NFC West underdogs are 3-5, 2-2 at home.

                          Giants (4-4) @ Buccaneers (3-4)-- Giants scored 49 points in Superdome LW but still lost, giving up 511 passing yards, 10.2 ypa. Big Blue is 3-0 when it allows 21 or less points, 1-4 when it allows more- they won last four series games, three by 10+ points, winning four of last six visits here. Check status of Bucs' star WR Evans (leg) who was in/out of lineup at end of Atlanta game. Tampa had + turnover ratio in all three wins; they're 0-4 without one; Bucs are 26-52 on 3rd down last four games. Bucs lost two of three home games, but led at halftime in five of last six games. Last four Bucs games, three of last four Giant games went over total. NFC South teams are 13-7 vs spread in non-divisional games; NFC East teams are 5-10 in non-divisional games.

                          Broncos (7-0) @ Colts (3-5)-- Appears to be lot of internal issues in Indy, which fired OC Hamilton despite scoring 25.3 ppg in last four games. Now Manning comes back to town with 7-0 Broncos after they held Packers to 140 TY in easy 29-10 win Sunday. Colts lost last three games, all by 7 or less points; they're 1-3 at home, with only win in OT over 2-5 Jaguars. Denver lost last five visits here, with four of five by 12+ points- two of those in playoffs. Luck passed for 354 yards in 31-24 loss at Denver LY, Broncos' only win in last seven series games. Broncos are 4-0 on road this year, with three wins by 7 or less points; since 2012, they're 14-9 as road favorite. Three of last four Indy games went over the total. Not only is this short week for Colts; Chudzinski is new OC, a big adjustment.

                          Eagles (3-4) @ Cowboys (2-5)-- Dallas is 0-5 since Romo got hurt, scoring two TDs on 30 drives in last three games; they beat Eagles 20-10 (+6.5) in Philly in Week 2 (last game for Romo), outgaining Iggles 359-226, scoring TD on blocked punt. Eagles are 14-2 in last 16 post-bye games, but lost two of last three; they've won four of last five visits here, taking 24-22/33-10 decisions last two years. Philly lost three of four road games; they're 3-5 as a road favorite under Kelly, 0-2 this year. Six of seven Philly games, three of last four Dallas games stayed under total. Cowboys lost last three home tilts, with no TDs/six FGs in last two; they've had one takeaway (-6) in last five games. NFL-wide, divisional home dogs are 4-6 against the spread this season.

                          Bears (2-5) @ Chargers (2-6)-- Not much to choose from here; San Diego lost four games in row; their last five games were decided by 8 or less points. Bolts are 2-2 at home, with dogs covering three of four games. In last six games, Chicago allowed three special teams TDs, two more on offense; their last four games were all decided by 3 or less points. Bears won five of last six series games, with four of last five decided by 11+ points. Chicago lost four of last six visits here, with last visit in '07. San Diego has had lousy field position; 53 of its last 66 drives started 80+ yards from goal line- their defense/special teams haven't been setting up scoring chances. NFC North non-divisional dogs are 4-6 vs spread, 3-3 on road; AFC West favorites are 5-6, 4-4 at home.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            NFL

                            Thursday, November 5



                            Titans WR Wright (knee) out vs. Saints

                            Tennessee Titans wide receiver Kendall Wright will not play in Sunday's game against the New Orleans Saints because of a sprained left knee.

                            Wright suffered the injury last Sunday in the 20-6 loss to the Houston Texans.

                            "He's walking the hallways better," interim coach Mike Mularkey said Thursday of Wright. "Living in the training room. But he's obviously out for the week."

                            Wright has 28 receptions for 343 yards and three touchdowns this season.


                            Colts WR Hilton expected to be game-day decision

                            Indianapolis Colts wide receiver T.Y. Hilton is expected to be a game-day decision against the Denver Broncos as he deals with a foot sprain.

                            Hilton missed his second consecutive day of practice on Thursday and was seen wearing a boot. He reportedly sprained his left foot in Monday night's loss against the Carolina Panthers.

                            NFL Media reported Friday morning that Hilton will be a game-time decision when the Colts face the NFL's No. 1 defense on Sunday.

                            The Colts' top receiver has 38 receptions for 621 yards and three touchdowns.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              NFL

                              Friday, November 6



                              NFL injury report for Sunday games

                              ATLANTA FALCONS at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

                              ATLANTA FALCONS

                              --Out: CB Robert Alford (groin), LB Justin Durant (calf), WR Leonard Hankerson (hamstring), S William Moore (groin)

                              --Questionable: DE Vic Beasley (foot)

                              --Probable: DT Jonathan Babineaux (not injury related), DE Tyson Jackson (ribs), C Mike Person (ankle), G James Stone (calf), CB Desmond Trufant (back), WR Nick Williams (hamstring)

                              SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

                              --Out: RB Mike Davis (hand), RB Carlos Hyde (foot), S L.J. McCray (knee)

                              --Doubtful: WR Anquan Boldin (hamstring)

                              --Questionable: CB Kenneth Acker (chest, concussion), CB Tramaine Brock (shin), TE Garrett Celek (concussion), CB Keith Reaser (not injury related, ankle)

                              --Probable: G Alex Boone (knee), LB Navorro Bowman (shoulder), LB Ahmad Brooks (shoulder), P Bradley Pinion (right calf), S Eric Reid (chest), T Joe Staley (shoulder)


                              DENVER BRONCOS at INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

                              DENVER BRONCOS

                              --Out: WR Jordan Norwood (hamstring), LB Shane Ray (knee)

                              --Questionable: RB Ronnie Hillman (thigh)

                              --Probable: RB C.J. Anderson (ankle), LB Shaquil Barrett (toe), TE Owen Daniels (shoulder), T Ryan Harris (knee), QB Peyton Manning (right shoulder), WR Emmanuel Sanders (shoulder), LB DeMarcus Ware (back)

                              INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

                              --Out: WR Phillip Dorsett (ankle), LB Nate Irving (knee)

                              --Questionable: WR T.Y. Hilton (foot)

                              --Probable: CB Darius Butler (foot), S Winston Guy (shoulder), C Khaled Holmes (neck), QB Andrew Luck (ankle)


                              GREEN BAY PACKERS at CAROLINA PANTHERS

                              GREEN BAY PACKERS

                              --Questionable: WR Ty Montgomery (ankle), CB Quinten Rollins (neck), CB Sam Shields (shoulder)

                              --Probable: LB Clay Matthews (ankle, knee), LB Nick Perry (shoulder, hand), RB Aaron Ripkowski (illness)

                              CAROLINA PANTHERS

                              --Out: DT Dwan Edwards (ankle), G Andrew Norwell (hamstring)

                              --Probable: DE Mario Addison (shoulder), TE Ed Dickson (hamstring), C Ryan Kalil (ankle), CB Josh Norman (illness), LB Shaq Thompson (knee), C Fernando Velasco (shoulder), CB Teddy Williams (illness)


                              JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS at NEW YORK JETS

                              JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

                              --Doubtful: WR Marqise Lee (hamstring)

                              --Questionable: G Zane Beadles (foot), S James Sample (shoulder)

                              --Probable: S Josh Evans (groin), WR Allen Hurns (ankle, thigh), TE Julius Thomas (abdomen)

                              NEW YORK JETS

                              --Out: S Calvin Pryor (ankle)

                              --Doubtful: RB Bilal Powell (ankle)

                              --Questionable: G Willie Colon (knee), WR Brandon Marshall (ankle, toe), CB Buster Skrine (shoulder, hand)

                              --Probable: CB Antonio Cromartie (hip), TE Kellen Davis (hand), WR Eric Decker (knee), QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (left thumb), RB Chris Ivory (hamstring), C Nick Mangold (neck), CB Dexter McDougle (ankle, hand), RB Stevan Ridley (knee), WR Devin Smith (foot), QB Geno Smith (left shoulder)


                              MIAMI DOLPHINS at BUFFALO BILLS

                              MIAMI DOLPHINS

                              --Out: T Ja'Wuan James (toe)

                              --Doubtful: S Jordan Kovacs (knee), WR DeVante Parker (foot)

                              --Questionable: TE Jordan Cameron (hamstring), LB Neville Hewitt (hamstring), DT Jordan Phillips (knee), RB Damien Williams (thumb, illness)

                              --Probable: CB Brent Grimes (ribs, knee), S Reshad Jones (shoulder), CB Brice McCain (knee), LB Koa Misi (foot), QB Matt Moore (nose), LB Spencer Paysinger (shoulder)

                              BUFFALO BILLS

                              --Out: WR Percy Harvin (knee), DT Kyle Williams (knee)

                              --Questionable: WR Sammy Watkins (ankle)

                              --Probable: CB Corey Graham (groin), T Seantrel Henderson (concussion), LB A.J. Tarpley (concussion), QB Tyrod Taylor (knee), RB Karlos Williams (concussion), DE Mario Williams (knee)


                              NEW YORK GIANTS at TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

                              NEW YORK GIANTS

                              --Out: CB Prince Amukamara (pectoral), LB Jon Beason (ankle, knee), WR Victor Cruz (calf), TE Larry Donnell (neck), LB J.T. Thomas (ankle)

                              --Questionable: LB Uani 'Unga (neck), CB Leon McFadden (groin), WR Rueben Randle (hamstring)

                              --Probable: S Craig Dahl (neck), RB Orleans Darkwa (back), G Geoff Schwartz (ankle)

                              TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

                              --Out: WR Vincent Jackson (knee), DE Jacquies Smith (ankle), S Major Wright (hamstring)

                              --Questionable: DE William Gholston (knee), DT Tony McDaniel (groin), TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins (shoulder), S D.J. Swearinger (toe)

                              --Probable: G Logan Mankins (not injury related), DT Gerald McCoy (shoulder)


                              OAKLAND RAIDERS at PITTSBURGH STEELERS

                              OAKLAND RAIDERS

                              --Out: LB Neiron Ball (knee)

                              --Questionable: CB T.J. Carrie (shoulder, hip)

                              --Probable: S Larry Asante (knee), DE Khalil Mack (hamstring), S Taylor Mays (ankle), S Charles Woodson (shoulder, knee)

                              PITTSBURGH STEELERS

                              --Out: LB Terence Garvin (knee), TE Matt Spaeth (knee)

                              --Probable: S Will Allen (ankle), WR Martavis Bryant (illness), CB William Gay (not injury related), LB James Harrison (not injury related), TE Heath Miller (not injury related), S Michael Mitchell (concussion), DE Stephon Tuitt (knee), QB Michael Vick (hamstring), WR Markus Wheaton (ankle)


                              ST. LOUIS RAMS at MINNESOTA VIKINGS

                              ST. LOUIS RAMS

                              --Out: DE Chris Long (knee)

                              --Questionable: T Rob Havenstein (ankle), DE William Hayes (thigh), RB Tre Mason (ankle), S T.J. McDonald (foot), DE Robert Quinn (knee), RB Chase Reynolds (thigh)

                              MINNESOTA VIKINGS

                              --Out: DT Sharrif Floyd (knee, ankle), LB Eric Kendricks (ribs), DE Justin Trattou (foot)

                              --Questionable: LB Anthony Barr (back)

                              --Probable: C Joe Berger (chest), T T.J. Clemmings (neck), LB Audie Cole (finger), WR Stefon Diggs (hamstring), TE Rhett Ellison (concussion), DE Everson Griffen (neck), DT Tom Johnson (knee), S Harrison Smith (neck)


                              TENNESSEE TITANS at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

                              TENNESSEE TITANS

                              --Out: CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson (hamstring), WR Kendall Wright (knee)

                              --Questionable: CB Jason McCourty (groin)

                              --Probable: CB Perrish Cox (hamstring), WR Harry Douglas (ribs), QB Marcus Mariota (knee), LB Derrick Morgan (ankle)

                              NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

                              --Out: LB Dannell Ellerbe (hip), LB Ramon Humber (hamstring), LB Hau'oli Kikaha (ankle), QB Luke McCown (back), CB Damian Swann (concussion)

                              --Probable: T Terron Armstead (knee), CB Delvin Breaux (not injury related), WR Marques Colston (not injury related), G Jahri Evans (not injury related), LB David Hawthorne (hamstring), CB Keenan Lewis (hip), T Andrus Peat (knee), WR Willie Snead (knee), DT Kevin Williams (not injury related)


                              WASHINGTON REDSKINS at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

                              WASHINGTON REDSKINS

                              --Questionable: CB Bashaud Breeland (hamstring), CB Chris Culliver (knee), CB DeAngelo Hall (toe), WR DeSean Jackson (hamstring), LB Ryan Kerrigan (hand), C Kory Lichtensteiger (neck), LB Keenan Robinson (rib, abdomen, shoulder)

                              --Probable: CB Quinton Dunbar (illness), DE Jason Hatcher (knee), C Josh LeRibeus (shoulder), LB Perry Riley (lower leg), RB Chris Thompson (back)

                              NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

                              --Out: T Marcus Cannon (toe), G Tre' Jackson (knee), DE Jabaal Sheard (ankle)

                              --Doubtful: C Ryan Wendell (knee)

                              --Questionable: WR Keshawn Martin (hamstring), G Shaquille Mason (knee)

                              --Probable: WR Julian Edelman (knee), RB Dion Lewis (abdomen)


                              PHILADELPHIA EAGLES at DALLAS COWBOYS on Sunday night

                              PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

                              --Questionable: WR Nelson Agholor (ankle), RB Ryan Mathews (groin), T Jason Peters (back), LB DeMeco Ryans (hamstring)

                              --Probable: LB Kiko Alonso (knee), DE Brandon Bair (groin), LB Bryan Braman (shoulder)

                              DALLAS COWBOYS

                              --Questionable: WR Brice Butler (hamstring), S Barry Church (ankle)

                              --Probable: WR Dez Bryant (foot), QB Matt Cassel (knee), TE James Hanna (ankle), DE Demarcus Lawrence (back)

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