NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 9 (Thursday, October 29 - Saturday, October 31)

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9


Saturday's games
Top 13 games
Auburn won last two games with Ole Miss, 30-22/35-31; Tigers are 1-3 in SEC after 54-46 OT loss at Arkansas LW. Auburn is 7-3 as home dog since 2009, 2-0 under Malzahn. Ole Miss lost SU in its two games as a road favorite TY, at Florida/Memphis. Since '05, Rebels are 5-15 when a road favorite. Over is 3-1-1 in last five Auburn games; last five Ole Miss games stayed under total.

Home side won last five Arizona-Washington games; Wildcats lost last two visits here, 31-13/42-31. Washington lost its last two home games; they're 11-7 in last 18 games as home favorite. Arizona is 2-3 in Pac-12 games, allowing 31+ points in four of five games. Pac-12 home favorites are 8-8 vs spread. Five of six Washington games stayed under total; six of seven Arizona games went over.

San Diego State is atop Mountain West at 4-0, winning league games by average score of 32-11; Aztecs won last three games vs Colorado State by 24-3-5 points- teams last met in 2012. Rams are 13-7 last 20 games as home underdog; they're 1-2 in MW, with losses 33-18 to Utah State, 41-10 to Boise State. Three of last four Aztec games stayed under; three of last four CSU games went over.

Washington State won five of six games since losing to I-AA Portland St in its opener; Coogs scored 47 ppg in winning last three. Stanford won its last six games since losing opener at Northwestern; Cardinal won last five games with Coogs by average score of 39-19. Home dogs are 1-5 in Pac-12 games this season. Last three Wazzu games went over total, as did four of last five Stanford games.

Georgia lost two of last three games with star RB Chubb hurt, winning last game 9-6 over Missouri- they ran ball for only 159.3 ypg last three games, after running for 257.8 ypg in first four games. Dawgs won three of last four games with Florida, losing 38-20 LY to Gators; Three of last four Georgia games stayed under total. Florida lost 35-28 at LSU in last game, after winning first six games under McElwain.

USC won its last 11 games with Cal by average of 19 points; they won last two visits here 62-28/0-9. Trojans are playing under interim coach, are 2-3 in last five games, 1-1 on road this year. USC is 10-21 vs spread in last 31 games as a road favorite. California lost 30-24/40-24 on road in last two games; over last 10+ years, they're 4-14 as home dogs. Last four Cal games stayed under the total.

Notre Dame split pair of road games, winning 34-27 at Virginia, losing 24-22 at unbeaten Clemson; Irish are 4-8 as road favorites under Kelly. ND (-29) beat Temple 28-6 in 2013 season opener.7-0 Owls have home win over Penn State this year, sacking Hackenberg 10 times; they gave up 10.8 ppg in last four games. Temple is 5-3 as home dog under Ruhle; they've held three opponents this year under 200 TY.

7-0 Oklahoma State has road wins this year by 11-3-7 points; Cowboys won last six games with Texas Tech, winning 52-34/66-6/34-17 last three visits to Lubbock. Red Raiders allowed 227+ rushing yards in seven of eight games; they're 2-3 in Big X, allowing 55-63-63 points in losses, but only home loss was 55-52 in last minute to TCU. Big X home underdogs are 2-3 against the spread.

Texas won its last four games with Iowa State, winning last two by total of four points; Longhorns won 31-30/37-14 in last two visits here. Iowa State allowed 52 ppg in losing last three games by 18+ points. Cyclones are 4-8-2 in last 14 games as home dogs. Last four Texas games stayed under total; under is 5-1-1 in Cyclone games. Texas was outscored 80-10 in its two road games, at Notre Dame/TCU.

Illinois (+6) upset Penn State 16-14 at home LY, after losing by 7-28-3 points in previous three series games. Illini lost 48-14/29-20 in its two road games, at UNC/Iowa; they're 1-2 in Big 14, scoring average of 15.7 ppg. Penn State gave up 556 yards in last two games, beating Maryland 31-30 last game, after losing 38-10 at Ohio State. Four of last five Illini games stayed under total.

Tennessee is 17-1 in last 18 games vs Kentucky, winning last three by 34-13-20 points; Vols covered six of last seven series games, but are 1-3 in last four games, with only win wild comeback over Georgia. Kentucky lost its last two games, allowing 72 points, after they needed OT to beat a I-AA team; Wildcats are 1-7-2 as home dogs under Stoops. Tennessee lost its two road games by a total of six points.

Miami fired its coach after 58-0 home loss LW; they've won nine of last ten games with Duke, covering three of last four. 'canes won four of last five visits here, but look to be without Kaana (concussion) here- backup QB Rosier is 9-28 passing this season. Duke scored 89 points last two games, winning in OT at Va Tech last game; they've won four games in row- their only loss was 19-10 home loss to Northwestern.

Minnesota coach Kill retired this week due to his epilepsy; his Gophers should play emotional game here- they beat Michigan 30-14 LY in Ann Arbor, after losing previous three meetings by an average score of 45-9. Gophers are 4-3, with three wins by FG each. Michigan hasn't played since last-play loss to Michigan St two weeks ago; they had shut out previous three foes Big 14 home underdogs are 5-5 vs spread.

Rest of card.........
-- Navy is 5-1 with only loss 41-24 at Notre Dame; Middies are 2-1 as home favorites this year, winning by 24-22-17 points. South Florida won its last three games, scoring 37 ppg.
-- Marshall won its last six games, covering four of last five; they're 2-1 as road favorites, winning 36-29/33-17 in last two road tilts. Charlotte lost its last five games, covering once.
-- Appalachian State won 53-14 at Troy LY, running ball for 441 yards; ASU won its last five games, all by 18+ points- they won last three on road by average of 48-6. Troy lost four of its last five games.
-- UMass (-3) beat Ball State 24-10 LY, outgaining them 569-286; they are 1-6, allowing 48+ points in four of six losses. Cardinals lost last five games, with three of those five games at home.

-- Wisconsin (-12) won 37-0 at Rutgers LY, outgaining them 385-139; Badgers are 2-3 as home favorites this year; their last six games stayed under. Rutgers allowed 101 points last two games, losing 49-7 LW.
-- Nebraska won 44-7/35-14 in its two Big 14 games with Purdue; all five Husker losses are by 5 or less points- they're 1-2 on road. Boilers lost last five games, allowing 35 ppg- they're 0-3 as home dogs this year.
-- Underdogs are 10-3 vs spread in last 13 Clemson-NC State games; it is Miami/Florida St. sandwich for Tigers- they beat Miami 58-0 last week. ACC home underdogs are 5-3 vs spread this season.
-- Maryland (-4.5) beat Iowa LY 38-31, running ball for 212 yards, but Terps already fired their coach this year, while Iowa is 7-0, allowing an average of 12 ppg in its three conference wins.

-- Arkansas State won last two games with Georgia State 35-33/52-10; Four of last five ASU games went over the total. Georgia State is 3-0 as road underdog this year.
-- Central Michigan won last two games with Akron, 23-22/35-14, with last meeting in '12. Chippewas are 1-3 on road; three of four were won by 3 or less points. Zips lost 24-7/14-12 in its I-A home games.
-- Georgia Tech snapped five-game skid with upset of Florida State LW; Tech won last three games with Virginia by 25-10-36 points. Cavaliers are 1-5 vs I-A teams, with only win in OT vs Syracuse.
-- Oklahoma won its last two games 55-0/63-27; they won last two trips to Kansas, 34-19/47-17. Jayhawks are 0-4 in Big X, with three losses by 25+ points. Four of last five Oklahoma games went over total.

-- 7-0 Houston's best win was 34-31 at Louisville; they ran ball for 214+ yards in every game, with four on road. Vanderbilt is scoring 13.2 ppg vs I-A opponents; they're 0-4 if they allow more than 13 points.
-- Texas A&M (-10) won 52-28 at South Carolina in last meeting; Aggies allowed 488 RY in last two games, losing 41-23/23-3 after their 5-0 start. Gamecocks scored 18.3 ppg in losing three of four SEC games.
-- Oregon State is 0-4 in Pac-12, allowing 42+ points in three of the four games; Beavers are 0-3 as road underdogs this year, losing by 28-37-21 points on foreign soil. Utah lost its first game LW, 42-24 at USC.
-- UCF fired its coach this week; they're 0-8, losing last five by average score of 41-17. Cincinnati scored 35.5 ppg in winning last two at home, over Miami/UConn. Last four UCF games went over total.

-- Florida State won 59-3/38-20 in last two games vs Syracuse; TY was only 482-412 LY. Seminoles got upset LW at Ga Tech; they're 3-8 last 11 games as home favorites. Syracuse lost four in row, allowing 36.5 ppg
-- Visitor won four of last five ULL-ULM games; underdogs are 5-0-1 vs spread in last six series games. Monroe won 31-28 in last visit here; they lost last five games overall, allowing 41 ppg.
-- Western Kentucky (-13) beat Old Dominion 66-51 LY; Monarchs had 471 PY, outgained WKU 643-601. Hilltoppers allowed 419 rushing yds last two games- their C-USA road wins are 49-10/55-28.
-- UTEP won last two games with Southern Miss, 35-14/34-33; Miners are 1-3 on road, allowing 54 ppg. USM won 49-14/32-10 in two C-USA home games. C-USA home favorites are 9-5 vs spread.

-- Home side won four of last five FIU-FAU games; Panthers are 3-2 as road underdogs this year, but lost last four on road, allowing average of 32.3 ppg. FAU is 0-4 at home this season, scoring 19.5 ppg.
-- Tex-San Antonio won last two games with North Texas, 34-27/21-13; Roadrunners are 5-1 as road favorites since going I-A. UNT fired coach already; they're 0-7, but did cover last two games.
-- Tulsa lost four of last five games, allowing 96 points in last two; home side won their last four games with SMU. Tulsa lost 35-27/21-18 in last two visits here. Mustangs lost last five games, allowing 48 ppg.
-- Underdogs covered last four Va Tech-BC games; Eagles won last two meetings 34-27/33-31. Tech is 2-3 in last five visits here; dogs are 5-2 vs spread in last seven series games played here.

-- Home side won last five Idaho-New Mexico State games; Vandals lost last two visits here, 24-16/31-24. Vandals won last two games, allowing 16-13 points, after giving up 44-49 points two games before that.
-- Memphis won last three games with Tulane by 31-14-16; 7-0 Tigers allowed 1,014 TY last two games- they allowed 41+ points in three of last five. Tulane lost last three games: 49-10/42-7/31-14.
-- Boise State won last two games with UNLV 32-7/48-21; teams didn't meet last two years. Broncos are 2-2 on road this year, running for less than 100 yards in three of four. Rebels are 3-2 as an underdog this year.
-- UCLA won last four games with Colorado, beating Buffs 40-37 LY in Boulder; Colorado lost 45-23/45-6 last two visits here. Bruins are 1-2-1 as home favorites this year; they allowed 37 ppg in last four games.
-- Air Force (-22) beat Hawai'i 21-7 in last meeting in '12; Falcons lost all three road games this year, allowing 35.3 ppg. Hawai'i lost its last five games (under 4-1).

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, October 31

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Game of the Day: Florida vs. Georgia
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The Florida Gators have gone 5-2 against the spread in their last seven meetings with the Georgia Bulldogs.

Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs (+2, 45.5)
Game played at EverBank Field, Jacksonville, Florida

Georgia and Florida clash every year in Jacksonville, Fla., in one of college football’s signature rivalry matchups, and Saturday’s meeting along the banks of the St. Johns River provides both teams the opportunity to grab control of the SEC East Division. The 12th-ranked Gators have been one of the nation’s biggest surprises and a victory would open a two-game division lead, while No. 23 Georgia can move into first place with a win.

Both teams enter Saturday off a bye week and with their starting quarterbacks squarely in focus. Florida’s Treon Harris took over the starting position in place of the suspended Will Grier in the Gators’ 35-28 loss Oct. 17 at LSU, passing for 271 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 20 yards. Georgia’s Greyson Lambert rebounded from poor showings in losses to Alabama and Tennessee in a 9-6 victory Oct. 17 against Missouri, the first time since 1995 the Bulldogs have won a game in which they did not score a touchdown. Georgia coach Mark Richt did not say one way or another whether Lambert would start when pressed Wednesday, but third-stringer Faton Bauta – considered the most mobile of Georgia’s quarterbacks – could be an option should the Bulldogs struggle again offensively.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Gators as 3.5-point faves, but that's moved to -2. The total is down to 45.5 from the opening 48.

INJURY REPORT:

Florida - DB Marcell Harris (Probable, ankle), RB Case Harrison (Probable, thumb), TE C'yontai Lewis (Probable, hand), DL Khairi Clark (Questionable, undisclosed), WR Antonio Callaway (Questionable, foot), LB Alex Anzalone (Out, shoulder), K Jorge Powell (Out indefinitely, undisclosed), DB Deiondre Porter (Out indefinitely, suspension), QB Will Grier (Out for season, suspension), DB Kylan Johnson (Out indefinitely, leg).

Georgia - LB Jordan Jenkins (Probable, groin), S Dominick Sanders (Probable, suspension), WR Isaiah McKenzie (Questionable, hamstring), WR Shakenneth Williams (Questionable, undisclosed), CB Reggie Wilkerson (Questionable, undisclosed), RB Nick Chubb (Out for season, knee), LB Reggie Carter (Out for season, shoulder), FB Christian Payne (Out indefinitely, leg).

WEATHER: Temperatures in the low-80s under partly cloudy skies with wind blowing across the field at around 10 mph.

ABOUT GEORGIA (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS, 3-4 O/U): Lambert completed 23-of-32 passes for 178 yards against Missouri after going 25-of-56 in his first two October contests. Running back Sony Michel has made the most of his chances with Nick Chubb lost for the season with a knee injury, carrying a career-high 26 times for 87 yards against Missouri after recording 188 all-purpose yards the previous week against Tennessee. Malcolm Mitchell is 10 receiving yards away from reaching 2,000 for his career and has led the Bulldogs in receiving six times in seven games.

ABOUT FLORIDA (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS, 4-3 O/U): The Gators snapped a three-game losing streak to the Bulldogs last season, winning 38-20 as Harris made his first career start, and need another big performance Saturday to grab hold of the division. “This is why you get into it, to play in games like this,” Florida coach Jim McElwain told reporters earlier this week, as he prepares to coach in the rivalry for the first time. Kelvin Taylor is tied for fourth in the SEC in rushing touchdowns (eight) while a trio of tight ends -- C’yontai Lewis, Jake McGee and DeAndre Goolsby – have combined for six touchdown receptions and 39 catches overall for 464 yards.

TRENDS:

* Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Gators are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week.
* Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last five vs. a team with a winning record.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-two percent of users are backing the Gators.


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, October 31


Strong chance of rain when Purdue hosts Nebraska

According to weather forecasts, there is a 78 percent possibility of showers when the Purdue Boilermakers host the Nebraska Cornhuskers at Ross-Ade Stadium Saturday afternoon.

Temperatures in Lafayette, IN will be in the low-50s with wind blowing toward the north endzone at around 10 miles per hour.

Books opened Purdue as a 9.5-point home dog but that has moved to +7.5. The total is down to 54 from the opening 57.5.


Seminoles RB Cook out with ankle injury

Florida State will be without running back Dalvin Cook, the nation's second-leading rusher, when the No. 17 Seminoles face Syracuse on Saturday.

Cook has been hampered by a hamstring problem this season, but Florida State coach Jimbo Fisher said Thursday that it is an ankle injury sustained last week that will keep Cook out of Saturday's game against the Orange (3-4).

Cook has 1,037 yards rushing and 11 touchdowns this season for the Seminoles (6-1), and he ranks second in the nation in rushing yards per game at 148.14.


Seminoles riding 14-game home ACC winning streak

The Florida State Seminoles head into Saturday's meeting with the Syracuse Orange riding a 14-game home winning streak in conference play. In those games, the Seminoles are averaging a whopping 43 points scored per game.

That hasn't necessarily resulted in a slew of cashed wagers, however, as the Seminoles have gone 8-6 against the spread in those 14 home games, while the Over/Under count is 7-6-1.

The last time the Orange and Seminoles met at Doak Campbell Stadium resulted in a 59-3 Seminoles win as 37.5-point favorites. This time around, books opened FSU as a 21-point home fave, which has since come down to around -16.5.


Kansas on dismal 10-game losing skid

The Kansas Jayhawks are currently mired in a 10-game losing streak dating back to a 34-14 win over Iowa State in November of last season. They'll try to put one in the win column when they host the Oklahoma Sooners Saturday afternoon.

In those 10 games, the Jayhawks have gone just 3-7 against the spread and are just 2-5 ATS in this season's seven losses.

The Jayhawks did manage to cover in a 27-14 loss as 13.5-point dogs at Rutgers and in a 30-20 loss as huge 33-point dogs versus Texas Tech.

Kansas is currently a 39.5-point home underdog with the Sooners in town Saturday.

[Udog]

Essential Week 9 betting notes for college football's top games

Sooners running back Samaje Perine rushed for a FBS single-game record 427 yards in a 44-7 win over Kansas last year.

Syracuse Orange at (15) Florida State Seminoles (-19.5, 53)

* The Orange have dropped four straight games (3-1 ATS) since a 3-0 start and are coming off their lowest scoring output of the season with 20 points versus Pitt last week.

* The Seminoles are averaging 43 points during their 14-game home ACC winning streak. They are 8-6 ATS and the Over/Under is 7-6-1 in those games.


(21) Ole Miss Rebels at Auburn Tigers (+7, 57.5)

* The Rebels control their own destiny in the race for a spot in the SEC title game as they sit tied with Alabama with one conference loss - but hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Crimson Tide - and will host division-leading LSU on Nov. 21.

* Auburn has taken five of the last six in the series both straight up and against the spread.


Colorado Buffaloes at (25) UCLA Bruins (-23, 63.5)

* The Buffaloes’ victory at Oregon State last week ended a three-game tailspin and was also the program’s first win in its last 14 Pac-12 road contests (6-8 ATS), bringing coach Mike MacIntyre to tears afterward. "It’s just like a proud dad," MacIntyre said, explaining his post-game emotions at his weekly Tuesday news conference.

* Josh Rosen continues to impress as one of the nation’s top freshmen passers after completing a school single-game-record 34 passes for 399 yards and three touchdowns against Cal last week.


(6) Clemson Tigers at North Carolina State Wolfpack (+10, 51)

* Clemson quarterback Deshaun Watson has completed 69.3 percent of his passes and stands second in the ACC in total offense while accounting for 18 touchdowns – 15 passing.

* The Wolfpack scored on five plays of over 50 yards in last week’s victory against Wake Forest and running back Matthew Dayes told reporters that is what their “high-powered offense” is capable of.


(12) Florida Gators vs. (23) Georgia Bulldogs (+2, 45.5)

* The Gators spent the bye week holding an open tryout for a walk-on kicker after Jorge Powell suffered a season-ending knee injury against LSU, and K Austin Hardin is nursing a leg injury.

* Georgia running back Running back Sony Michel has made the most of his chances with Nick Chubb lost for the season with a knee injury, carrying a career-high 26 times for 87 yards against Missouri after recording 188 all-purpose yards the previous week against Tennessee.


(13) Oklahoma Sooners at Kansas Jayhawks (+39.5, 61)

* Sooners running back Samaje Perine rushed for a FBS single-game record 427 yards in a 44-7 win over Kansas last year. Perine and the Sooners face the 118th ranked rushing defense in the nation Saturday (244.4 yards per game).

* Kansas has lost 10 consecutive games dating back to a 34-14 win over Iowa State on Nov. 8, 2014. The Jayhawks are 3-7 ATS in those games.


(10) Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Tech Red Raiders (+2.5, 79)

* Oklahoma State has won the past six meetings but Texas Tech owns a 21-18-3 series lead. The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in those six wins, but the Red Raiders covered the spread as 14.5-point dogs in a 45-35 loss last season.

* The Red Raiders are ranked 125th nationally in rushing defense at 281.5 yards, ahead of only New Mexico State and Eastern Michigan.


Maryland Terrapins at (11) Iowa Hawkeyes (-17, 53.5)

* Maryland's junior quarterback Perry Hills (six touchdowns, seven interceptions) is a work-in-progress as a passer but has topped 100 rushing yards in each of the past two games and has 413 yards on the season.

* Iowa's senior running back Jordan Canzeri (698 yards, nine touchdowns) will miss the game with a lower left leg injury and sophomore Akrum Wadley will be making his first start after replacing Canzeri against Northwestern and rushing for 204 yards while tying the school mark of four rushing touchdowns.


Tulane Green Wave at (16) Memphis Tigers (-32, 64)

* Tulane has dropped its last four road games, dating to last season and is 1-3 ATS in those games.

* The biggest test for the Tigers this week will be fighting the tendency to overlook the Green Wave with Navy, Houston and Temple coming up in consecutive weeks. “We need to get back in our rhythm and understanding the tremendous challenge ahead of us,” Memphis coach Justin Fuente told reporters. “We are going to have to play very well week to week because it is going to be a grind.”


Miami Hurricanes at (18) Duke Blue Devils (-12, 48)

* The Hurricanes suffered a 58-0 thumping at the hands of Clemson last Saturday that resulted in the firing of coach Al Golden, and standout quarterback Brad Kaaya suffered a concussion. Kaaya, who is averaging 263.7 yards passing with 10 touchdowns and two interceptions, is doubtful while his top receiver Rashawn Scott (shoulder) is questionable. Larry Scott takes over as interim coach for the Hurricanes.

* The Blue Devils are allowing just 0.57 sacks per game – the only team in the ACC averaging fewer than one.


Vanderbilt Commodores at (19) Houston Cougars (-11.5, 49.5)

* Vanderbilt ranks third nationally in third-down conversion defense (22.2 percent), fifth in red-zone defense (70 percent) and tied for 13th in scoring defense (16.3) after keeping Missouri out of the end zone last week.

* Houston is one of three undefeated teams nationally - with Baylor and Ohio State - with at least five wins by 21 points or more. The Cougars are 5-2 ATS on the season.


Oregon State Beavers at (14) Utah Utes (-24.5, 54)

* Oregon State's freshman quarterback Seth Collins is an all-purpose quarterback who has passed for 890 yards and six touchdowns and rushed for a team-best 536 yards and five scores.

* The Utes and Stanford are the lone one-loss teams in the Pac-12 and don't face each other in the regular season. But if the two teams meet in the Pac-12 title game and the winner still has only one loss, there could be a College Football Playoff berth awaiting the winner.


(17) Michigan Wolverines at Minnesota Golden Gophers (+13, 38)

* Jabrill Peppers took a short pass 28 yards to set up a touchdown against the Spartans in his offensive debut and Harbaugh did not rule out the possibility of calling more plays for the dynamic defensive back.

* Minnesota was dealt a big blow with the news that head coach Jerry Kill has retired effective immediately due to health concerns. Kill has battled epilepsy for the past 10 years - suffering some frightening seizures on the sidelines - and has overcome kidney cancer, but retired on Wednesday and leaving defensive coordinator Tracy Claeys as the interim head coach.


(9) Notre Dame Fighting Irish at (22) Temple Owls (+11, 50)

* The Irish had last week off after toppling USC and are hoping to be an even better team down the stretch after a welcome rest. “We have a great opportunity to be a very good team for the second half of the year,” quarterback DeShone Kizer told reporters. “We are playing some really good opponents coming up. I believe that with a change of mindset for myself and for my team, to take a good first half, a top ten first half, and make it a top four second half, we'll be able to adjust some things and get things rolling into the direction that we want to be in.”

* Owls coach Matt Rhule needs one more win to match his total from the first two seasons on the job and has his team among a group of three undefeated squads (along with Memphis and Houston) atop the American Athletic Conference. Unlike the high-powered offenses of Memphis and Houston, Rhule prefers to keep the ball on the ground with a pounding running game.


(8) Stanford Cardinal at Washington State Cougars (+10, 61)

* Stanford has rolled to six consecutive victories SU and ATS following a season-opening loss to Northwestern and boasts an emerging Heisman Trophy candidate in sophomore running back Christian McCaffrey.

* Washington State has dropped seven straight meetings with Stanford and is 2-5 ATS in those SU losses.

[Udog]

NHL

Saturday, October 31


Thunderstorms possible at College Station Saturday

Weather forecasts are predicting an 80 percent chance of thunderstorms and rain in College Station when the Texas A&M Aggies host the South Carolina Gamecocks Saturday afternoon.

Temperatures are expected to be in the mid-70s with wind blowing toward the south and southeast of the stadium at around six miles per hour.

The Aggies are presently 15.5-point home favorites and the total is 54.


Freshman QB Murray to start for Texas A&M

Freshman Kyler Murray will start for Texas A&M when the Aggies face South Carolina on Saturday.

Quarterback Kyle Allen started the first seven games and led the Aggies to five straight victories to open the season. But two consecutive losses and a struggling offense sent A&M tumbling out of the Top 25.

Murray has seen action in five games this season. He is 17-for-31 for 167 yards and has tacked on 92 rushing yards.

In double-digit losses to No. 7 Alabama and No. 19 Ole Miss, Allen threw four interceptions, sparking coach Kevin Sumlin to make the change.

Murray was Gatorade National Player of the Year and led his Allen, Texas, high school team to a 42-0 record and three state titles.

He did not play in the Aggies' 23-3 loss to Ole Miss last week after getting into an argument with offensive coordinator Jake Spavital during the Alabama loss the previous week, according to reports.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, October 31


Wisconsin has become a reliable Under wager

Following a pair of Overs to begin the college football season, the Under has cashed in the last six Wisconsin Badgers' games heading into Saturday's date with Rutgers.

The Badgers have seen totals range from as low as 46 (Week 5 versus Iowa) to as high as 59 (Week 3 versus Troy) over the course of those six games.

This week, books have a total of 51.5 on the board for the the Rutgers game. That's moved up since post when it opened at 48.


Underdog thriving in Illinois-Penn State games

If you like the sexy trends in college football, you'll like the fact that the underdog has gone 5-0 against the spread in the previous five meetings between Illinois and Penn State. Furthermore, the dog has won outright in three of those five games.

The two Big Ten schools will meet at Beaver Stadium Saturday afternoon. Books opened the Nittany Lions as 6-point home favorites, but that has since moved to -5.5.


Heartbreaking losses the story for Nebraska

Nebraska heads into Saturday's meeting with Purdue with five losses before November for only the second time in 58 years. And the way some of those losses have gone down have really been devastating for the Cornhuskers and their fans.

The Cornhuskers have lost an FBS-high four games where they've had a lead in the fourth quarter. Furthermore, their losses have come by a miniscule 13 points. Their largest margin of defeat was by five points to BYU in Week 1. They've lost by three to Miami, one to Illinois, two to Wisconsin, and two to Northwestern.

Nebraska heads into Saturday's game with a 4-4 record against the spread and are currently 7.5-point road faves at Purdue after opening -9.5.


Dreadful 2015 campaign brings UCF to Cincy Saturday

Whether it be straight up or against the spread, the Central Florida Knights have been one of the worst teams in college football. The Knights bring 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS records into Cincinnati Saturday afternoon.

UCF has lost by at least 14 points in all but two games this season and are losing by an average margin of 18.3 points per game. They did cover the spread as 19.5-point road dogs in a 30-16 loss at Tempe in Week 7.

This week, books opened the Knights as 22-point road pups at the Bearcats, but that has since moved to + 26.5.