The Bum's National Football League Week # 8 Rated Plays - Trends - News Etc. !!

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday Night Game of the Month

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 1

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Green Bay - 8:30 PM ET Denver +2.5 500 INTERCONFERENCE GOM

Denver - Under 46.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

[StarDust Bum]

NFL RATED GAMES: (as of 11/01/15 )

SUNDAY'S RESULTS: ( 11/01/15 )


*****......................... 0 - 0 - 0
DOUBLE PLAYS.............2 - 2 - 0
TRIPLE PLAY.................0 - 2 - 0
BLOW OUT....................2 - 0
GOM.............................1 - 0
TOM..............................0 - 0

OVER ALL RATED PLAYS

*****.......................................... 13 - 12 - 2
double play...................................31 - 22 - 2
triple play......................................15 - 16 - 1
blow out........................................ 6- 2 - 0
gom............................................... 2 - 0
goy............................................... 0 - 0
tom............................................... 1 - 1
totals............................................ 27 - 12 - 2 ( TOTALS INCLUDED IN RATED PLAYS )

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

******.....................................2 - 0 - 1
DOUBLE PLAY............................1 - 3 - 1
TRIPLE PLAY..............................3 - 2 - 1
BLOW OUT.................................0 - 0
THURSDAY NIGHT GOM..............0 - 0
THURS. NIGHT GOY....................0 - 0

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:

SINGLE PLAY........................... 3 - 2 - 0
DOUBLE PLAY.......................... 6 - 3
TRIPLE PLAY............................ 1 - 4
BLOW OUT............................... 2 - 0
SUNDAY NIGHT GOM.................2 - 0
SUNDAY NIGHT TOM..................0 - 1
SUNDAY NIGHT GOY..................0 - 0

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

******......................................1 - 0
DOUBLE PLAY...........................4 - 2
TRIPLE PLAY.............................3 - 2
BLOW OUT................................0 - 0
MONDAY NIGHT GOM...............0 - 0
MONDAY NIGHT GOY................0 - 0


GOING INTO MONDAY'S FOOTBALL GAMES: 11/02/15

[StarDust Bum]

MNF - Colts at Panthers
November 1, 2015

The Panthers look to remain as one of the two undefeated teams in the NFC with a victory over the Colts on Monday night. Carolina attempts for its first 7-0 start in franchise history while trying to stretch out its slim advantage over Atlanta inside the NFC South. On the other side, Indianapolis looks to stay atop the AFC South, as a win by the Colts would actually get them to the .500 mark.

Prior to last season, there had never been a repeat champion in the NFC South since realignment back in 2002. Carolina broke through by claiming consecutive division titles in 2013 and 2014, in spite of a 7-8-1 record last season. Now, the Panthers are one win away from equaling that mark at the start of November, as Ron Rivera’s club held off the Eagles last Sunday night, 27-16 to cash as three-point home favorites. In spite of Cam Newton getting intercepted three times, the Panthers rushed for 204 yards and picked up their first home victory of at least 10 points in three tries this season.

The Colts haven’t had much luck against teams outside the AFC South, posting an 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS record. The latest loss came at home to the Saints last week, 27-21 as 5 ½-point favorites, falling behind 27-0 before putting up several late scores. Andrew Luck threw for over 300 yards for the second straight week since week since missing two games with a shoulder injury. Indianapolis has lost four of five times with Luck at quarterback, while coincidentally posting a 2-0 record with Matt Hasselbeck under center.

Carolina has covered five of six times this season, with the lone ATS loss coming in a 27-22 home victory over New Orleans in Week 3 as a 10-point favorite. The Panthers have taken care of their business against the dreadful AFC South, beating the Jaguars and Texans, which is in stark contrast to last season’s 1-2-1 record in interconference play, with the only victory coming against the Browns.

The Colts have cashed in both opportunities in the underdog role this season against Tennessee and New England, while going 0-5 ATS as a favorite. Since 2013, Indianapolis has posted a 7-6 ATS record in the underdog role, including a 1-2 SU/ATS mark against the NFC, as the Colts were dominated by the Cowboys last December, 42-7 as 3 ½-point ‘dogs.

The Panthers and Colts are meeting for the sixth time ever on Monday, as Carolina won at Indianapolis in the last matchup, 27-19 in 2011 as 3 ½-point favorites. This contest took place one year before the Colts drafted Luck, as Newton threw for 208 yards and rushed for a touchdown. Indianapolis finished that season at 2-14, so the Panthers winning as road favorites was expected in the transition year with Peyton Manning sidelined due to a neck injury. The Colts are making their first trip to Charlotte since 2007, as Indianapolis manhandled Carolina, 31-7 as seven-point favorites.

VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson is weary of Carolina’s strong start due to its opponents, “After a 4-0 start against teams that looked headed for tough seasons there was good reason to be suspicious of a Panthers team that had not exactly dominated its games vs. what looked like a weak schedule. A great comeback win in Seattle and a convincing Sunday night win over the Eagles provided more legitimacy to the perfect start for Carolina and more will be found out about this team the next two weeks. The Panthers still don’t have a win against a team with a winning record this season and while they won’t get that chance this week hosting the Colts, they have a huge NFC clash next Sunday hosting the Packers in what could be a matchup of 8-0 teams.”

Nelson points out that the Colts will be tested the next two weeks with contests against the Broncos and Falcons, but Indianapolis’ offense needs all the points it can get against a solid Carolina defense, “The Colts will need a strong performance against a Panthers defense that is sixth in the league in scoring defense allowing just over 18 points per game, but this remains a Panthers offense that is limited, 22nd in the league in total offense and the fourth-least productive passing offense in the league with the main defensive vulnerabilities for the Colts appearing to be against the passing game. Bank of America Stadium has provided a solid home field edge for the Panthers who are 15-6 S/U and 13-7-1 ATS at home since the start of the 2013 season under Rivera, who not so long ago seemed to be in Chuck Pagano’s position as a coach whose job was consistently rumored to be in jeopardy.”

Underdogs continue to perform well on Monday nights this season, compiling a 6-2 ATS record after the Ravens cashed as 10-point ‘dogs last week in a 26-18 setback at Arizona. Even more impressive is the 7-1 mark to the ‘under’ in these eight primetime contests, as six of those games have seen a combined 44 points or fewer scored. Since Newton arrived with the Panthers in 2011, Carolina is 2-1 SU/ATS on Monday night, including an exciting 24-20 home victory over New England two years ago. Luck owns a 1-2 SU/ATS record on Mondays with the lone win coming against the Giants last season as a short favorite.

The Colts have cashed the ‘under’ in four of seven games, including a 2-1 mark to the ‘under’ away from Lucas Oil Stadium. The Panthers have faced four of the league’s worst eight defenses so far, while Indianapolis has allowed the most yards per game in the NFL at 408 ypg. Carolina is 3-2-1 to the ‘over’ this season, but owns a 6-2-1 mark to the ‘under’ in the past nine contests at Bank of America Stadium.

The Panthers are currently listed as 6 ½-point favorites at most books, while the total is set at 46 ½. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST from Charlotte and can be seen on ESPN.

[StarDust Bum]

Indy looks to upset Carolina
October 29, 2015


INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (3-4) at CAROLINA PANTHERS (6-0)

Sportsbook.ag Line: Carolina -7, Total: 46.5

The Colts hope to turn their fortunes around on Monday night against their undefeated hosts, the red-hot Panthers.

Indianapolis (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS) has struggled through the first seven weeks of the season, subverting lofty preseason expectations for the team. Meanwhile, Carolina (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS), has defied prognostication en route to amassing a perfect record through Week 7.

The Panthers have bested the Colts 4-1 all-time, including a 27-19 win in their most recent matchup in November 2011. Indianapolis is 39-23 ATS when playing a top-level team (win pct. of at least 75%), and underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a poor first-half defense (allowing 14+ PPG) are 68-31 ATS since 1983 when coming off a loss of six or fewer points.

Carolina is the beneficiary of several strong trends in its favor. The team is 60-25 ATS when playing bad defensive teams (giving up 24+ PPG) since joining the league in 1995, and head coach Ron Rivera is 18-8 ATS against clubs with losing records in his tenure with the Panthers.

The Colts have lost first-round draft pick WR Phillip Dorsett for 4-to-6 weeks to an ankle injury suffered in last week’s game against the Saints, and RB Josh Robinson (undisclosed), S Mike Adams (hamstring), and S Clayton Geathers (knee) are all listed as questionable.

The Panthers have placed TE Richie Brockel on the IR for the remainder of the season, and DE Mario Addison (shoulder), LB Shaq Thompson (knee), and DT Dwan Edwards (ankle) are all questionable to play Monday night.

Indianapolis has struggled on both sides of the ball this season, though even with a losing record, it has retained first place in the dismal AFC South. The team has generated just 21.0 PPG (23rd out of 32) and 351 total YPG (17th out of 32), while coughing up 15 turnovers (28th out of 32).

QB Andrew Luck has thrown the second-highest number of interceptions in the league (9), despite missing two games with a shoulder injury. The Colts have only one win with Luck under center this season, squeaking by the Titans 35-33. The team’s rushing woes in recent years have continued this season.

The running corps, led by veteran RB Frank Gore, has rushed for 655 yards (26th out of 32) on 153 attempts (30th out of 32) while finding the end zone only three times (25th out of 32). The loss of rookie WR Phillip Dorsett is yet another blow an offense that has yet to find their footing.

The Colts’ defense allows opponents to produce 24.9 PPG (20th out of 32) and a league-worst 409 YPG, while generating just seven turnovers (26th out of 32). It hasn't helped that the squad has been stranded on the field for an average of 33:10 per game or that the unit has generated only seven turnovers in seven games.
The situation couldn’t be more different for Carolina, the leader of the NFC South. In its six victories, the team has hung 27.0 PPG (6th out of 32) and 344 total YPG (22nd out of 32) on its opponents, leading the league in rushing attempts (197) and yards (868), while punching in seven touchdowns on the ground (5th out of 32).

QB Cam Newton is the team’s second leading rusher behind RB Jonathan Stewart, and has been a TD machine – throwing for nine, and running for four. TE Greg Olsen remains Newton’s go-to option (27 receptions, 439 yards, 3 TDs) in the absence of injured WR Kelvin Benjamin, leading an otherwise spotty receiving corps of veterans (WRs Ted Ginn and Jerricho Cotchery) and young talent (WRs Devin Funchess and Corey Brown). Newton is 1-0 in his career against the Colts, with the win coming in the Manning-and-Luck-less 2011 season. In that game Newton threw for 208 passing yards and zero touchdowns.

The Panthers’ defense has been sturdy, giving up just 18.3 PPG (6th out of 32) and 340 total YPG (10th out of 32). The team’s secondary has been especially resolute, allowing a league-best five touchdowns and just 235.3 passing YPG.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL Capsules
November 1, 2015

DENVER (AP) In only the fourth meeting of teams 6-0 or better, Peyton Manning tied Brett Favre's NFL record with his 186th regular-season win and Denver rattled Aaron Rodgers into one of the worst games of his career in the Broncos' 29-10 victory over the Green Bay Packers on Sunday night.

Wearing the blue jerseys they did in beating the Packers for their first Super Bowl win in 1997, the Broncos piled it on in the fourth quarter, when DeMarcus Ware sacked Rodgers and the ball ended up in the end zone for a safety.

The Broncos improved to 7-0 for the first time since 1998, when they won the Super Bowl after finishing 14-2.

Rodgers was 14 of 22 for just 77 yards for the Packers (6-1) - the lowest of his career in a game where he wasn't knocked out by injury.

Although neither quarterback threw for a touchdown, Manning was 21 of 29 for 340 yards. The Packers had only 140 yards of total offense to Denver's 500.

SAINTS 52, GIANTS 49

NEW ORLEANS (AP) - Drew Brees passed for career highs of 511 yards and seven touchdowns, and recently signed Kai Forbath kicked a 50-yard field goal as time ran out, giving New Orleans the victory in a game with a record 13 scoring passes.

Eli Manning connected on a career-high six touchdown passes, three to fellow New Orleans native Odell Beckham Jr., but New York (4-4) fell for the second time in three games.

The 101 points tied for third most in NFL history. The teams combined for 1,030 yards.

Brandin Cooks and Willie Snead each had two touchdown catches for the Saints (4-4), who have won four of five after an 0-3 start. Brees' other three touchdown passes went to Marques Colston, Ben Watson and C.J. Spiller, the last to tie the score at 49 with 36 seconds left.

The Saints' defense then forced a Giants punt with 20 seconds to go. Marcus Murphy returned it across the 50 and fumbled, but Snead recovered. The Giants were flagged for a face mask penalty, setting up the winning kick.

BENGALS 16, STEELERS 10

PITTSBURGH (AP) - Ben Roethlisberger's return wasn't enough to prevent the Bengals from getting off to their best start in franchise history.

Andy Dalton threw a touchdown pass with 2:57 to go, and the Bengals picked off Roethlisberger twice in the fourth quarter.

The Bengals are 7-0 for the first time and have a comfortable lead in their division.

The defending AFC North champion Steelers (4-4) hoped Roethlisberger's return after missing four games with a sprained knee would kick-start them. After leading most of the game, they fall apart in the closing minutes.

Shawn Williams' diving sideline interception at the Pittsburgh 45-yard line set up Dalton's 9-yard touchdown pass to A.J. Green, who had another big game against the Steelers. He finished with 11 catches for 118 yards.

Reggie Nelson's second interception set up Mike Nugent's 44-yard field goal with 1:47 to go. The Steelers drove to the Cincinnati 16-yard line with 4 seconds left, but Roethlisberger's pass went out of the end zone to finish it.

SEAHAWKS 13, COWBOYS 12

ARLINGTON, Texas (AP) - Russell Wilson had a scoring pass for the game's only touchdown and directed a late drive to the winning field goal, leading the defending NFC champions (4-4) back to .500 after an 0-2 start.

The Cowboys (2-5) lost their fifth straight without Tony Romo in Dez Bryant's return from a five-game absence with a broken right foot.

The Seahawks started the decisive drive at their 15, with Wilson converting three third downs capped by a scramble that helped run the clock before Steven Hauschka's 24-yard field goal with 1:06 remaining.

All of Dallas' points came on Dan Bailey field goals.

Seattle receiver Ricardo Lockette had an injury scare and came away with a concussion and was moving his extremities after a vicious block by Jeff Heath on a punt return. Lockette was carted off the field after a lengthy delay.

BUCCANEERS 23, FALCONS 20

ATLANTA (AP) - Bouncing back after blowing a 17-point lead, the Bucs got a 31-yard field goal from Connor Barth in the extra period to beat the mistake-prone Falcons.

Matt Ryan tied the game for the Falcons (6-2) on an 8-yard pass to Julio Jones with 17 seconds left in regulation. Having squandered a 24-point edge the previous week at Washington, the Bucs (3-4) were in trouble again.

Instead, Jameis Winston led an impressive drive on the first possession of OT, converting three times on third down before the drive stalled when he short-hopped a pass into the end zone for an open Adam Humphries. Barth made his third field goal of the game.

Atlanta got the ball but didn't even make it to midfield. On fourth down, Ryan was heavily pressured by Gerald McCoy and Howard Jones, forcing a desperation pass that wasn't close to anyone.

Despite four turnovers, the Falcons rallied from a 20-3 deficit, benefiting from a highly questionable decision by Tampa Bay coach Lovie Smith to go on fourth-and-1 at the Bucs 40 with 2 minutes to go.

CARDINALS 34, BROWNS 20

CLEVELAND (AP) - Carson Palmer threw for four touchdowns, three in the second half, and for 374 yards as Arizona rallied.

Palmer had two TD passes in the third quarter when the Cardinals (6-2) overcame a 20-10 halftime deficit. His third TD of the second half, a 6-yarder to Larry Fitzgerald, gave Arizona a 31-20 lead.

Michael Floyd had a 60-yard TD catch and tight end Troy Niklas had two short TD receptions as the Cardinals overcame four turnovers and won in Cleveland for the first time since 1985.

The Browns (2-6) dropped their third straight, and cornerback Joe Haden and safety Donte Whitner sustained concussions on consecutive plays in the third quarter; Cleveland lost two defenders and the lead in a span of 7:25.

Quarterback Josh McCown had three TD passes. The 36-year-old also played much of the second half in pain after re-injuring his right shoulder and ribs.

VIKINGS 23, BEARS 20

CHICAGO (AP) - Adrian Peterson ran for 103 yards and Blair Walsh kicked a 36-yard field goal as time expired.

The Vikings had dropped seven straight at Soldier Field, and it looked like the streak would reach eight when Jay Cutler rolled to his right and plowed over safety Harrison Smith for a 4-yard touchdown with just under five minutes remaining. But two late scores lifted Minnesota (5-2) to its third straight win.

Stefon Diggs turned a short pass into a 40-yard TD when he spun around Sherrick McManis and went up the left side, tying it with 1:49 left.

After Chicago (2-5) punted, Teddy Bridgewater hit a leaping Charles Johnson for a 35-yard pass that put the ball on the 27. Two plays later Walsh booted the winner, pumping his right arm as the ball went through the uprights.

The Bears (2-5) lost star running back Matt Forte and receiver Eddie Royal to knee injuries while dropping their second straight game.

RAVENS 29, CHARGERS 26

BALTIMORE (AP) - Justin Tucker kicked a 39-yard field goal on the final play. Joe Flacco threw for 319 yards and ran for a score to help Baltimore (2-6) snap a three-game skid and hand the Chargers (2-6) their fourth straight defeat.

The Ravens' six losses this season have come by a combined 30 points, and their only win before Sunday came in overtime.

Tucker's fifth field goal came three plays after a third-down pass interference call against Steve Williams moved the ball 21 yards to the San Diego 22.

The victory came at a price: Receiver Steve Smith tore his right Achilles tendon in the third quarter and is lost for the season. After being tackled at the end of an 18-yard gain, the 36-year-old Smith had to be helped off the field and could not put any weight on his right leg.

Now in his 15th NFL season, Smith has said he will retire after this year. He had five catches for 82 yards before the injury.

San Diego's Philip Rivers threw three touchdown passes and went 28 for 37 for 301 yards, his franchise-record fifth consecutive 300-yard game. Two of his touchdown passes went to Malcom Floyd, including a 70-yarder.

RAMS 27, 49ERS 6

ST. LOUIS (AP) - Todd Gurley rushed for 133 yards on 20 carries, topping 100 yards for the fourth straight start to open his career, and the Rams had three sacks and a safety.

Gurley, who had a 71-yard touchdown run, is the first rookie to open his career with four consecutive 100-yard games, according to STATS, with data available since 1991.

Tavon Austin caught a 66-yard touchdown pass and ran for a 2-yard score, compensating for an early lost fumble.

The Rams (4-3) are 3-0 against the NFC West for the first time since 2004, and they're above .500 this late in the season for the first time since 2006. The St. Louis defense hasn't allowed a touchdown the last two games, permitting just four field goals.

The 49ers (2-6) were hit hard by injuries, losing Reggie Bush early, and haven't scored a touchdown in two games. They've lost six of seven, are 0-3 in the division and have lost two straight to St. Louis for the first time since 2004.

RAIDERS 34, JETS 20

OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) - Derek Carr threw for 333 yards and four touchdowns to help Oakland pick apart the Jets' vaunted defense.

Latavius Murray ran for 113 yards, Andre Holmes caught two touchdown passes and Charles Woodson intercepted his league-leading fifth pass of the season to give the Raiders (4-3) their first winning record this late in the season since 2011.

Michael Crabtree had 102 yards receiving and another touchdown, and Taiwan Jones got his first career score on a tackle-breaking 59-yard catch-and-run that exposed a New York defense that had been outstanding the first six games.

Ryan Fitzpatrick left with a left hand injury on the opening drive for the Jets (4-3), who have lost two straight games.

TEXANS 20, TITANS 6

HOUSTON (AP) - Brian Hoyer threw for 235 yards and two touchdowns, and Houston tied a franchise record with seven sacks.

A 21-yard touchdown reception by DeAndre Hopkins put Houston on top in the second quarter and the Texans (3-5) didn't trail after that. Nate Washington's 42-yard TD catch extended the lead.

Zach Mettenberger threw for 171 yards with an interception in his second straight start in place of rookie Marcus Mariota, who is out with a knee injury. Mettenberger was hurried and harassed all day to remain winless in eight career starts, with three losses against the Texans.

The Titans (1-6) had three turnovers in their sixth straight loss since a win over Tampa Bay in the opener.

Whitney Mercilus had a career-high 3 1/2 sacks and J.J. Watt added 2 1/2, including one where he caused a fumble that the Texans recovered early in the fourth quarter.

CHIEFS 45, LIONS 10

Alex Smith threw for 145 yards and two touchdowns, and ran for 78 yards and another TD to lead Kansas City over Detroit Lions at Wembley Stadium.

Smith scrambled his way through the Detroit defense for some big plays, including a career-high 49-yard run in the second quarter that set up his 12-yard touchdown run.

The Chiefs (3-5) were at Wembley for the first time, while the Lions (1-7) played in London for the second straight season.

De'Anthony Thomas, Charcandrick West and Spencer Ware also rushed for touchdowns for the Chiefs. Thomas ended up with 100 total yards, while West ran for 97. Travis Kelce and Jeremy Maclin caught TD passes in the second half.

The Lions were playing for the first time since offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter took over for the fired Joe Lombardi. And although the offense got moving on the opening possession, it stalled horribly after that.

Matthew Stafford threw for 217 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Also, Calvin Johnson had 85 receiving yards, while Joique Bell ran for 56. But after the Lions took a 3-0 lead on 35-yard field goal from Matt Prater, Detroit was hapless with the ball.

[StarDust Bum]

NFL RATED GAMES: (as of 11/01/15 )

SUNDAY'S RESULTS: ( 11/01/15 )


*****......................... 0 - 0 - 0
DOUBLE PLAYS.............2 - 2 - 0
TRIPLE PLAY.................0 - 2 - 0
BLOW OUT....................2 - 0
GOM.............................1 - 0
TOM..............................0 - 0

OVER ALL RATED PLAYS

*****.......................................... 13 - 12 - 2
double play...................................31 - 22 - 2
triple play......................................15 - 16 - 1
blow out........................................ 6- 2 - 0
gom............................................... 2 - 0
goy............................................... 0 - 0
tom............................................... 1 - 1
totals............................................ 27 - 12 - 2 ( TOTALS INCLUDED IN RATED PLAYS )

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

******.....................................2 - 0 - 1
DOUBLE PLAY............................1 - 3 - 1
TRIPLE PLAY..............................3 - 2 - 1
BLOW OUT.................................0 - 0
THURSDAY NIGHT GOM..............0 - 0
THURS. NIGHT GOY....................0 - 0

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:

SINGLE PLAY........................... 3 - 2 - 0
DOUBLE PLAY.......................... 6 - 3
TRIPLE PLAY............................ 1 - 4
BLOW OUT............................... 2 - 0
SUNDAY NIGHT GOM.................2 - 0
SUNDAY NIGHT TOM..................0 - 1
SUNDAY NIGHT GOY..................0 - 0

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

******......................................1 - 0
DOUBLE PLAY...........................4 - 2
TRIPLE PLAY.............................3 - 2
BLOW OUT................................0 - 0
MONDAY NIGHT GOM...............0 - 0
MONDAY NIGHT GOY................0 - 0


GOING INTO MONDAY'S FOOTBALL GAMES: 11/02/15


MONDAY, NOVEMBER 2

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Indianapolis - 8:30 PM ET Carolina -5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Carolina - Under 45.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY


TO ALL WHO VIEW MY NFL THREAD I'LL BE ON VACATION THE NEXT 2 WEEKS AND WILL TRY TO POST MY RATING OF GAMES WHEN POSSIBLE.......
TO ALL TAKE CARE AND GOOD LUCK !!

[Udog]

Enjoy your vacation, Bum! Thanks for all your hard work and good luck tonight!

[flashypants]

Have fun pal u earned it

[hammy85]

Have a great time Bum.Love your thread