Tweet
Went 6-1 here at Bettor's Chat last week in CFB. 5 Plays Today.
Colorado vs Oregon State
Not only are the Oregon State Beavers on of the worst offensive teams in the nation, but they are also one of the worst defensive teams as well. The Beavers rank 106th in scoring (21.7 ppg) and 116th in total offense (332.7 ypg) and offense is where the Buffaloes have the biggest edge in this game as they rank 36th in total yards (447.9 ypg) and 55th in scoring (31.7 ppg). Oregon State can’t put up those kinds of numbers, even vs the 76th ranked scoring defense in the nation that has allowed 27.6 pg on the year. Colorado also gets the edge on defense as the Beavers rank 85th in yards allowed and 103rd in points allowed (33.5 ppg). Neither team has been good in Pac-12 play, but the Buffaloes have been a bit more competitive and they are the better team here. Take Colorado on the road in this one.
Play Colorado in a PK over Oregon State
New Mexico vs San Jose State
I don't get this line Yes I know this is New Mexico on the road this year, but this is also not a very good San Jose State team Earlier in the year they were favorites of just 5 on this field vs a very bad Fresno State squad that I would say is worse than the Lobs and yet San Jose State is favored by nearly a FG more here. Don't make sense. Looking at the stats we find that New Mexico has the overall better offense here, they allow a point per game less than San Jose State, the Spartans have the 117th ranked run defense, while New Mexico is 12th in the nation on the ground, plus the Lobos have the better record, yet they are getting a little over a TD in this one. I don't think so.
Play New Mexico +7.5 over San Jose State
Texas A&M vs Ole Miss
The Texas A&M Aggies come into this game off their first loss of the year. That lost was a 41-23 defeat at the hands of the Alabama Crimson Tide. The loss dropped Texas A&M to 5-1 on the year overall and 2-1 in the SEC. This is a team that was nat supposed to make much noise this year, but hey have and a big reason why has been the play of Kyle Allen. So far this year Kyle has hit 60.9% of his passes for 1537 yards, with 14 TDs and just 5 INTs. He also has run for 117 yards and 2 TDs as well. The Aggie offense isn’t as potent as it used to be, but still they they rank 32nd in total offense and 28th in scoring, putting up 36.5 ppg. The defense has been the real surprise for this team so far as they has allowed 73 ypg less and 4 ppg less than last year.
The Ole Miss ReBels started out on fire this year as they put up 70+ points in each of their first 2 games and then went into Alabama and won a wild 43-37 shootout. Since then this team has been mediocre at best as they have gone 2-2 in their last 4 games, with their losses being by 28 points at Florida and then last week they went to Memphis as a double digit favorite and lost the game by 13 points points. The two wins in their last 4 games have been vs Vanderbilt and New Mexico State. Not really resume builders. Ole Miss has been excellent on offense this year ranking 11th in total yards, 10th in passing and 7th in scoring (43.6 ppg). The Defense has been decent so far, ranking 42nd in yards allowed and 40th in points allowed, giving up just 22.1 ppg.
I have a feeling this one will go the way of the Aggies. They just have been the steadier team this year. Especially of late and Ole Miss just isn’t playing well right now. Sure they have beaten Vandy and New Mexico State, but so what. Those are not teams the caliber of the Aggies. The Aggies are a very good team and this is just too high a spread, for a game that should be decided by a FG or less. I will call for the Aggies to win this one outright.
Play Texas A&M +5 Over Ole Miss
Two Other Plays I Like:
Alabama/ Tennessee Over 48.5
Toledo -14.5 over UMass
GLA
Colorado vs Oregon State
Not only are the Oregon State Beavers on of the worst offensive teams in the nation, but they are also one of the worst defensive teams as well. The Beavers rank 106th in scoring (21.7 ppg) and 116th in total offense (332.7 ypg) and offense is where the Buffaloes have the biggest edge in this game as they rank 36th in total yards (447.9 ypg) and 55th in scoring (31.7 ppg). Oregon State can’t put up those kinds of numbers, even vs the 76th ranked scoring defense in the nation that has allowed 27.6 pg on the year. Colorado also gets the edge on defense as the Beavers rank 85th in yards allowed and 103rd in points allowed (33.5 ppg). Neither team has been good in Pac-12 play, but the Buffaloes have been a bit more competitive and they are the better team here. Take Colorado on the road in this one.
Play Colorado in a PK over Oregon State
New Mexico vs San Jose State
I don't get this line Yes I know this is New Mexico on the road this year, but this is also not a very good San Jose State team Earlier in the year they were favorites of just 5 on this field vs a very bad Fresno State squad that I would say is worse than the Lobs and yet San Jose State is favored by nearly a FG more here. Don't make sense. Looking at the stats we find that New Mexico has the overall better offense here, they allow a point per game less than San Jose State, the Spartans have the 117th ranked run defense, while New Mexico is 12th in the nation on the ground, plus the Lobos have the better record, yet they are getting a little over a TD in this one. I don't think so.
Play New Mexico +7.5 over San Jose State
Texas A&M vs Ole Miss
The Texas A&M Aggies come into this game off their first loss of the year. That lost was a 41-23 defeat at the hands of the Alabama Crimson Tide. The loss dropped Texas A&M to 5-1 on the year overall and 2-1 in the SEC. This is a team that was nat supposed to make much noise this year, but hey have and a big reason why has been the play of Kyle Allen. So far this year Kyle has hit 60.9% of his passes for 1537 yards, with 14 TDs and just 5 INTs. He also has run for 117 yards and 2 TDs as well. The Aggie offense isn’t as potent as it used to be, but still they they rank 32nd in total offense and 28th in scoring, putting up 36.5 ppg. The defense has been the real surprise for this team so far as they has allowed 73 ypg less and 4 ppg less than last year.
The Ole Miss ReBels started out on fire this year as they put up 70+ points in each of their first 2 games and then went into Alabama and won a wild 43-37 shootout. Since then this team has been mediocre at best as they have gone 2-2 in their last 4 games, with their losses being by 28 points at Florida and then last week they went to Memphis as a double digit favorite and lost the game by 13 points points. The two wins in their last 4 games have been vs Vanderbilt and New Mexico State. Not really resume builders. Ole Miss has been excellent on offense this year ranking 11th in total yards, 10th in passing and 7th in scoring (43.6 ppg). The Defense has been decent so far, ranking 42nd in yards allowed and 40th in points allowed, giving up just 22.1 ppg.
I have a feeling this one will go the way of the Aggies. They just have been the steadier team this year. Especially of late and Ole Miss just isn’t playing well right now. Sure they have beaten Vandy and New Mexico State, but so what. Those are not teams the caliber of the Aggies. The Aggies are a very good team and this is just too high a spread, for a game that should be decided by a FG or less. I will call for the Aggies to win this one outright.
Play Texas A&M +5 Over Ole Miss
Two Other Plays I Like:
Alabama/ Tennessee Over 48.5
Toledo -14.5 over UMass
GLA
Comment