NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 5 (Thursday, October 8 - Monday, October 12)

[Udog]

NFL Trends and Indexes

Thursday, October 8 - Monday, October 12

Additional trends and information will be added as available.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Oddsmakers can't give Cowboys enough points versus Patriots

“We’ll look to make the Pats at minimum touchdown chalk... We should get good two-way action with the Cowboys as rare, sizeable home dogs.” - John Lester, Bookmaker.eu

This was supposed to be the week that a franchise quarterback would have to sit out a big game between the New England Patriots and Dallas Cowboys.

As it’s turned out, that will be the case – except the quarterback will be Tony Romo for Dallas, rather than New England’s Tom Brady, who would have been serving the final game of his four-game suspension if that hadn’t been overturned.

The Cowboys (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS), just hoping to tread water as Romo continues recovering from a broken left clavicle, were dealt a 26-20 overtime loss as 3-point underdogs at New Orleans Sunday night.

Along with a big edge at QB, the Patriots also come in rested after having their bye in Week 4. New England (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) is coming off a 51-17 swamping of Jacksonville as a 14.5-point chalk on Sept. 27.

John Lester, senior lines manager for Bookmaker.eu, held off on the opening line, since the Cowboys were playing Sunday night – in a game in which they lost star linebacker Sean Lee to a concussion. But Lester told Covers he expects to make the Pats healthy road favorites.

“This was going to be a massive handle with all of the superstars involved before the injuries,” Lester said, also alluding to Dallas being without Dez Bryant (foot). “But this is still a big-impact game for the books, with a ton of appeal for the bettors.

“We’ll look to make the Pats at minimum touchdown chalk if nothing strange happens Sunday night. We should get good two-way action with the Cowboys as rare, sizeable home dogs.”

Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, echoed Lester’s sentiments.

“Dallas isn't playing too bad since Brandon Weeden took over for Romo. But against this Patriots group, you want your team at full strength, and the Cowboys are not,” Avello said. “Expect the Cowboys to be getting a full touchdown at home for this one.”

Seattle Seahawks at Cincinnati Bengals (N/A)

The two-time defending NFC champion Seahawks look to continue righting this season’s ship after they lost their first two games. Seattle (1-2 SU and ATS) is hosting Detroit in the Monday nighter this week, after posting a 26-0 rout of Chicago as a 16.5-point fave in Week 3 for its first win of the season.

The Bengals are perfect on the field and against the oddsmakers at 4-0 SU and ATS. On Sunday, Cincy had no trouble in dispatching Kansas City 36-21 giving 3.5 points at home.

“I think the folks who thought Cincinnati was smoke and mirrors are now convinced, maybe,” said Lester, who again had to hold on the line due to the Seahawks’ Monday night affair. “This matchup will be a good test for the teams and the oddsmakers. The Seahawks will probably have trouble keeping Russell Wilson upright against this ferocious front seven of Cincinnati. I’m looking closer to a pick ‘em here, with the way the Bengals have played at home.”

Avello noted the Seahawks need to find their form away from Seattle, while Cincy can show whether it has a legitimate top-tier team.

“Seattle lost its first two road games this year and can't afford another one,” he said. “The Bengals are off to a great start, but this is where we can tell if they belong in the after-party that starts in January. The game will be near pick ‘em.”

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (+5.5)

As ugly as it may have looked, Denver (4-0, 3-1 ATS) won its first three games SU and ATS. On Sunday against Minnesota, the Broncos uglied it up a little more, yet won again 23-20 on a late field goal, though they failed to cash as 7-point favorites.

Oakland (2-2 SU and ATS) looks to be an improving squad and was on the verge of a 3-1 SU start. But the Raiders allowed the Bears to drive for a last-second field goal Sunday, losing 22-20 as 3-point road favorites.

“The Broncos are another of the undefeated teams, but I can't tell you exactly why, except that Peyton Manning loves playing football with less than two minutes in a game,” Avello said. “Oakland is surely improving the quality of its team, but unlike Manning, the Raiders are still finding ways to lose. They have a seven-game losing streak (0-6-1 ATS) to the Broncos, but I sense there is a belief that they can win this.”

Said Lester, “Both of these West division squads have played on par with expectations this season, so we feel comfortable with this number. Obviously, the public is going to be eager to get on the visitors, and we’ll certainly have a ton of teaser money involved with Denver. But this will be the biggest game at the Coliseum in quite a while, so there should be a good home-field edge for Oakland.”

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (N/A)

With Andrew Luck not really looking like, well, Andrew Luck, the Colts (2-2 SU, 0-4 ATS) haven’t yet cashed for bettors this season and are part of a muddled AFC South.

After dropping its first two games of the season, Indianapolis barely snuck past host Tennessee 35-33 laying three points in Week 3. And without Luck (shoulder) as 4-point home faves Sunday, the Colts needed overtime to edge perennially hapless Jacksonville 16-13.

Houston (1-3 SU and ATS) will attempt to right its unstable ship after getting shellacked Sunday as a 4-point pup at Atlanta, 48-21.

“A couple of underwhelming teams that aren’t as poor as their records indicate,” Lester said. “We will wait to hang a line until the status of Luck is determined. We don’t know who the Texans quarterback will be, but that’s negligible. Both squads desperately need a win on Thursday night.”

Avello wouldn’t argue with that assessment one bit.

“The Colts have won two straight after losing the opening pair, but haven't looked anything like the team that won 11 games in each of the last three seasons,” he said. “Houston can't find its way right now, and without a win here, their season is most likely over after only five weeks.”

[Udog]

NFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 8

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INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 2) at HOUSTON (1 - 3) - 10/8/2015, 8:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 11

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JACKSONVILLE (1 - 3) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 3) - 10/11/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (2 - 2) at TENNESSEE (1 - 2) - 10/11/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (1 - 3) at BALTIMORE (1 - 3) - 10/11/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (2 - 2) at ATLANTA (4 - 0) - 10/11/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (1 - 3) at KANSAS CITY (1 - 3) - 10/11/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (1 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (1 - 3) - 10/11/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (2 - 2) at GREEN BAY (4 - 0) - 10/11/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 145-182 ATS (-55.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 145-182 ATS (-55.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 104-143 ATS (-53.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (2 - 2) at CINCINNATI (4 - 0) - 10/11/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (3 - 1) at DETROIT (0 - 4) - 10/11/2015, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (3 - 0) at DALLAS (2 - 2) - 10/11/2015, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DENVER (4 - 0) at OAKLAND (2 - 2) - 10/11/2015, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 3) at NY GIANTS (2 - 2) - 10/11/2015, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 12

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PITTSBURGH (2 - 2) at SAN DIEGO (2 - 2) - 10/12/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 62-36 ATS (+22.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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[Udog]

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 5

Thursday - Oct, 8

Indianapolis at Houston, 8:30 ET
Indianapolis: 10-2 ATS versus division opponents
Houston: 1-4 ATS when playing on Thursday


Sunday - Oct, 11

Jacksonville at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 8-1 OVER in non-conference games
Tampa Bay: 2-12 ATS against AFC South division opponents

Buffalo at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 15-5 UNDER in all lined games
Tennessee: 0-6 ATS off a home loss

Cleveland at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 23-39 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs
Baltimore: 6-0 ATS off in 2 straight division games

Washington at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Washington: 73-45 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5
Atlanta: 0-7 ATS in home games off a home blowout win by 21 points or more

Chicago at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 7-20 ATS in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49
Kansas City: 13-2 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games

New Orleans at Philadelphia, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 61-36 OVER off a home win
Philadelphia: 6-1 ATS off a road loss

St Louis at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
St Louis: 104-143 ATS against conference opponents
Green Bay: 8-0 ATS after playing their last game on the road

Seattle at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 22-10 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders
Cincinnati: 3-10 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread

Arizona at Detroit, 4:05 ET
Arizona: 13-2 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
Detroit: 1-6 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game

New England at Dallas, 4:25 ET
New England: 10-2 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
Dallas: 1-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 of last 4 games

Denver at Oakland, 4:25 ET
Denver: 7-0 ATS in road games versus division opponents
Oakland: 24-43 ATS in home games versus division opponents

San Francisco at NY Giants, 8:30 ET
San Francisco: 0-6 ATS after a loss by 10 or more points
New York: 41-24 UNDER after a win by 14 or more points
nfl football betting online bovada


Monday - Oct, 12

Pittsburgh at San Diego, 8:30 ET
Pittsburgh: 70-48 ATS as an underdog
San Diego: 17-33 ATS at home after allowing 6 or more yards/play in previous game

[Udog]

NFL

Week 5

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Trend Report
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Thursday, October 8

8:25 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. HOUSTON
Indianapolis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Houston is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games at home


Sunday, October 11

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. TAMPA BAY
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games at home
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Chicago

1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. GREEN BAY
St. Louis is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Green Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against St. Louis

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 12 games
Tennessee is 5-17-2 ATS in its last 24 games
Tennessee is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. PHILADELPHIA
New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Philadelphia is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games at home
Philadelphia is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

1:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Seattle is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
Cleveland is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Baltimore's last 19 games at home
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

4:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 12 games when playing Detroit
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

4:25 PM
DENVER vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Oakland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
Oakland is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games

4:25 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 7 games when playing Dallas
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home

8:30 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
NY Giants are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 6 games


Monday, October 12

8:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. SAN DIEGO
Pittsburgh is 6-1-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

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[Udog]

NFL

Thursday, October 8


Lions DT Walker suffers broken leg

Nearly forgotten amid the controversial finish in Monday's game between the Detroit Lions and Seattle Seahawks was the injury suffered by Lions defensive tackle Tyrunn Walker, who had to be taken off the field on a cart during the game.

Walker was scheduled to have surgery for a broken fibula on Tuesday and could be lost for the season, according NFL Media Insider Ian Rapoport.

The Lions are expected to put Walker on the injured-reserve list.

Walker was signed by the Lions in March after playing his first three NFL seasons for the New Orleans Saints. Walker started each of the Lions' first four games, the first season in which he has been a regular starter in the NFL.

He was injurted when his leg got twisted during a pileup.

Lions defensive tackle Haloti Ngata suffered a calf injury in the game, and his status is uncertain.


Cowboys WR Bryant could return Week 8

All-Pro wide receiver Dez Bryant is on pace to return to the Dallas Cowboys as soon as October 23.

The Cowboys (2-2) are off next week following Sunday's matchup with the undefeated New England Patriots, when linebacker Rolando McClain and defensive end Greg Hardy are expected to play for Dallas for the first time this season.

Owner Jerry Jones said Tuesday more reinforcements could be coming soon, namely Bryant, who had surgery to repair a broken right foot. Bryant was hurt in the third quarter of the Cowboys' season opener last month.


Falcons place Hester on short-term IR

The Atlanta Falcons placed Devin Hester on short-term injured reserve with the turf toe injury that has sidelined the veteran receiver and return man through the first four games of the season.

The team also signed safety Charles Godfrey and tight end Tony Moeaki and released tight end Mickey Shuler.

Hester will not be eligible to practice with the Falcons for six weeks and will not be eligible to play until Week 13 at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.


Buccaneers sign PK Barth

Connor Barth is back with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The place-kicker outlasted Kai Forbath, Randy Bullock and Billy Cundiff in a tryout Monday, the same day the Buccaneers released kicker Kyle Brindza. Brindza missed three kicks in Sunday's loss, part of a growing epidemic of inaccuracy for kickers around the league.

During Tampa Bay's latest loss, Barth proclaimed his willingness to return to the Buccaneers "for the right price" via Twitter.

Barth is back where he kicked from 2009-2012.

Week 4 around the NFL included 14 missed field goals and four missed extra points prior to the Monday night game. It’s been four years since the league has seen 18 missed kicks in one week of play.

Perhaps even more alarming, placekickers made only 15 of 22 attempts (68.2 percent) from under 40 yards. That’s about a 12 percent drop from that distance since the start of 2013.


Bills RB Williams could miss Week 5; Herron signed

Buffalo Bills running back Karlos Williams entered the NFL concussion protocol on Monday and could miss the Bills' Week 5 game against the Tennessee Titans.

With running back LeSean McCoy also injured, the Bills hosted a workout for several players, including former first-round pick Trent Richardson, the 25-year-old bust with the Cleveland Browns, Indianapolis Colts and Oakland Raiders. Richardson was cut by the Raiders before the start of the 2015 season.

However, the Bills signed running back Dan Herron to the team's 53-man roster on Tuesday.

Herron, 26, spent the 2014 and 2013 seasons with the Indianapolis Colts. He played 16 games, including three starts, for the Colts last season, rushing for 351 yards and catching 21 passes for 173 yards.

Williams started Sunday in place of McCoy, whose hamstring injury has been a problem for more than a month. McCoy is not expected to return until he's 100 percent healthy.


Falcons hope to get injured RB Coleman back this week

FLOWERY BRANCH, Ga. – Atlanta Falcons running back Tevin Coleman, who suffered fractured ribs against the New York Giants on Sept. 20, may return to practice on Wednesday.

“We’re hopeful, we’ll probably be able to get him for sure some work on starting Wednesday,” Falcons head coach Dan Quinn said. “We are hoping that he’ll be back with us.”

With Coleman out, Devonta Freeman has taken over at running back. He had 193 yards from scrimmage against the Cowboys and 149 against the Texans, while scoring six touchdowns.

When Coleman returns, the Falcons still plan to split up the load at running back.

[Udog]

Best betting value takes timing for these NFL Week 5 odds

The betting public doesn't care for the Bears and if you're betting Kansas City this week, it is best to do it now.

Spread to bet on now

Chicago Bears at Kansas City Chiefs (-10)

This line says more about the Bears than it does about the Chiefs. Kansas City was buried at Cincinnati last week and was a double-digit loser at Green Bay the week before, but is now a 10-point favorite back home against a Bears team that is shedding players and heading into rebuild mode before even Columbus Day.

Money is solidly on the Bears in this one but the line hasn’t budged yet. Kansas City is at the bottom of the AFC West and needs this one badly. If you like the Chiefs in this one at Arrowhead, best lay the money now before the betting swings toward a home team in a must-win situation.

Spread to wait on

New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys (+9)

Action on the Patriots has already bumped this line up a point and a half, and it yet may go to the magic 10 as attention is focused on these two high-profile teams. The Patriots crushed Indianapolis last year coming off their bye week, and were one bad call from winning at Carolina after their 2013 bye.

Add in the fact that New England is healthy and the Cowboys are missing key players on both offense and defense, and there is the possibility of plenty of volatility. Heavy money on Sunday morning/early afternoon could also affect this number.

Total to watch

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (43.5)

Has this number been set low enough to entice Over bettors? Before you jump, bear in mind that Denver has been held to 24 points or fewer in three of its four games, and the Broncos are being carried by the league’s best defense. The Peyton Manning-is-finished crowd got more ammunition last week when he completed just 17 of 27 passes and had more picks (2) than TDs (1).

Oakland has a below-average running game that will go up against a Top-8 defense. The Raiders should get a little boost playing at home, but yards will still be at a premium for both teams.

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 5


Indianapolis @ Houston

Game 301-302
October 8, 2015 @ 8:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
129.698
Houston
128.260
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 1 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(+1 1/2); Over


New Orleans @ Philadelphia

Game 461-462
October 11, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
127.016
Philadelphia
133.940
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 7
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-4 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-4 1/2); Over

St. Louis @ Green Bay

Game 463-464
October 11, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
133.270
Green Bay
140.313
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 7
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 10
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+10); Under

Seattle @ Cincinnati

Game 465-466
October 11, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
139.252
Cincinnati
138.057
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+3); Under

Arizona @ Detroit

Game 467-468
October 11, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
134.621
Detroit
133.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+3); Over

New England @ Dallas

Game 469-470
October 11, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
144.331
Dallas
131.228
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 13
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 8 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-8 1/2); Over

Denver @ Oakland

Game 471-472
October 11, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
134.175
Oakland
131.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 2 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 5
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+5); Under

Jacksonville @ Tampa Bay

Game 451-452
October 11, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
121.392
Tampa Bay
125.412
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 4
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
40
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-2 1/2); Under

San Francisco @ NY Giants

Game 473-474
October 11, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
126.583
NY Giants
140.045
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 13 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 7
43
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(-7); Under

Buffalo @ Tennessee

Game 453-454
October 11, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
134.529
Tennessee
128.548
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 6
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 2 1/2
42
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-2 1/2); Under

Cleveland @ Baltimore

Game 455-456
October 11, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
123.430
Baltimore
137.523
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 14
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 6 1/2
43
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-6 1/2); Over

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 457-458
October 11, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
129.194
Atlanta
133.675
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 4 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 7 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+7 1/2); Over

Chicago @ Kansas City

Game 459-460
October 11, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
123.387
Kansas City
135.642
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 12 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 9
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-9); Under


Pittsburgh @ San Diego

Game 475-476
October 12, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
134.600
San Diego
132.210
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
by 3
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+3); Over

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 5


Thursday's game
Colts (2-2) @ Texans (1-3)-- Luck is expected back here; Colts were outgained at home by 110 yards by Jaguars LW, but Jax missed three FG tries late. Indy won last five games vs , Houston, with three of last four by 7 or less points; home side won ten of last 13 games in series- Colts won 27-24/33-28 in last two visits here. Indy is 0-2 as road favorite this year after being 8-3-1 in that role last two years- three of its four games stayed under the total. Houston was outscored 74-19 in first half of first four games; they've got QB dilemma in that neither guy seems good enough. Texans trailed 28-nil at half last week, scored couple of garbage time TDs; they're 6-12 vs spread in last 18 home games, 2-5 as a home dog.

[Udog]

NFL

Thursday, October 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday Night Football Betting Preview: Colts at Texans
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Andrew Luck is planning to play and start Thursday night against the Texans, but will he?

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (Pick, 44.5)

The Indianapolis Colts are hoping Andrew Luck will be back under center when they visit the struggling Houston Texans on Thursday night in an AFC South matchup. Luck missed the first game of his career in last week's 16-13 overtime win over Jacksonville due an injured right shoulder, but Colts coach Chuck Pagano said his quarterback is "trending in the right direction."

Luck told reporters he is not giving any "credence" to a report that he is dealing with a subluxation of his throwing shoulder and said he is preparing to start against Houston. "I don’t think I’m necessarily where I would want to be today in a perfect, perfect world. But better every day," Luck said. The Texans are having quarterback issues of their own, but coach Bill O'Brien said he is sticking with Ryan Mallett, who replaced Brian Hoyer after Week 1. Indianapolis has won five in a row over the Texans and 15 straight against division opponents.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: The game has opened at a Pick, with Andrew Luck's status still up in the air. The total has opened at 44.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Colts - QB A. Luck (probable Thursday, shoulder), QB M. Hasselbeck (probable Thursday, illness), CB G. Toler (probable Thursday, neck), TE D. Allen (probable Thursday, ankle), RB F. Gore (probable Thursday, foot), CB V. Davis (probable Thursday, foot), RB T. Varga (questionable Thursday, concussion), S M. Adams (questionable Thursday, neck), LB J. Freeman (questionable Thursday, groin), LB B. Werner (questionable Thursday, hamstring), DE H. Anderson (questionable Thursday, foot), DE K. Langford (questionable Thursday, back).

Texans - RB A. Foster (probable Thursday, groin), LB B. Cushing (probable Thursday, foot), RB C. Polk (probable Thursday, knee), T D. Brown (probable Thursday, hand), S E. Pleasant (probable Thursday, thigh), LB J. Clowney (probable Thursday, knee), CB J. Joseph (probable Thursday, hip), S L. Ballentine (questionable Thursday, knee), RB J. Grimes (questionable Thursday, knee), LB J. Dent (questionable Thursday, hamstring), S Q. Demps (questionable Thursday, hamstring), WR C. Shorts (questionable Thursday, shoulder), LB W. Mercilus (questionable Thursday, thigh), WR N. Washington (doubtful Thursday, hamstring).

POWER RANKINGS: Colts (-1) - Texans (+3) + home field (-3) = Texans +1

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "After watching the Colts barely escape at home against Jacksonville, it?s very clear. Without Andrew Luck in the lineup, Indy is no better than the Jaguars. And Despite an ongoing quarterback controversy, a struggling offensive line and no running game to speak of, the Texans continue to play at the fastest pace in the NFL on offense."

ABOUT THE COLTS (2-2): Wide receiver Andre Johnson was a dominant force during a 12-year tenure with the Texans, racking up 1,012 career receptions, but he has labored in his first season with Indianapolis and does not have a catch in either of his past two games. Running back Frank Gore is also off to a slow start with the Colts, who survived three missed field goals by the Jaguars before prevailing last week behind 40-year-old quarterback Matt Hasselbeck. Indianapolis' defense has been vulnerable through the air, allowing 268 yards passing per game while registering only five sacks.

ABOUT THE TEXANS (1-3): Mallett was benched in favor of Hoyer during last week's 48-21 loss at Atlanta after completing 12-of-27 passes for a season-low 150 yards with no touchdowns and an interception. O'Brien also is sticking with Mallett despite the fact that he owns a completion percentage of 51.8 percent. Arian Foster made his season debut after returning from groin surgery, but failed to provide a lift to the ground game with only 10 yards rushing on eight carries. Third-year wideout DeAndre Hopkins has 31 catches and is coming off back-to-back 100-yard games.

TRENDS:

* Colts are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Houston.
* Home team is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is split right down the middle for this game at this point.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NFL

Thursday, October 8


Colts QB Hasselbeck to start at Texans

Matt Hasselbeck will start at quarterback for the Indianapolis Colts on Thursday at Houston, ESPN reported.

The backup is pressed into action for the second consecutive game as Andrew Luck recovers from an injury to his throwing shoulder. Luck hurt his right shoulder in Week 3, according to the quarterback, but his performance to date was atypical and prompts doubt about the timing of the injury. Luck was dead last in passer rating (65.0) with five touchdowns and seven interceptions.

Hasselbeck missed Tuesday's practice with an illness and was listed on the injury report as questionable. The Colts re-signed quarterback Josh Johnson, who served as the backup to Hasselbeck during Week 4, as insurance.

Hasselbeck, 40, guided the Colts to an overtime victory last week, beating Jacksonville on Adam Vinatieri's field goal after the Jaguars missed a field goal attempt to start overtime.


Bears hope WR Jeffery returns vs. Chiefs

LAKE FOREST, Ill. -- The Chicago Bears passing game could take on an added dimension this week if wide receiver Alshon Jeffery is able to go Sunday against Kansas City.

He hasn't played since the five-catch effort against Green Bay in the opener.

"You're talking about a quality wide receiver in the league," coach John Fox said. "Any time you're missing a guy who is, quote, a starter, there's a reason he's a starter.

"It's (injuries) problematic. When you look around the league, it's happened to a variety of football teams (at receiver)."

Quarterback Jay Cutler remains limited in practice, but did not aggravate his injured hamstring further against Oakland and will get plenty of rest much of the week in anticipation of playing at Kansas City.

--The ankle injury to Antrel Rolle that has left the Bears with rookie Adrian Amos as the most experienced safety within this system isn't causing Fox any lost sleep.

The Bears had to play Harold Jones-Quartey at the other safety spot.


Concussed Reed might not play Sunday

ASHBURN, Va. -- The Washington Redskins could be without star tight end Jordan Reed (concussion), who has battled health issues throughout his career.

Tied with wide receiver Pierre Garcon in receptions (24) and the team's leading receiver (278 yards), Reed is a dynamic presence who can outrun most safeties and linebackers and causes matchup problems elsewhere for the defense when they use a corner to cover him.

But his fourth documented concussion since college leaves his status in doubt for this weekend's contest. Reed did not participate in practice on Wednesday and has little time left to make it through the NFL's concussion protocol program.

[Udog]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 5

Not only has Russell Wilson been sacked 18 times already this season but the 5-foot-11 QB is going up against a towering defensive line in Week 5.

Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans (+2.5, 42)

Bills’ coach Rex Ryan vs. Titans’ rookie QB Marcus Mariota

Rex Ryan looks at rookie quarterbacks the same way he looks at “All You Can Eat” ribs: must destroy. In his six-year tenure with the Jets, Ryan’s squads went 9-2 SU in their first look at rookie QBs and with the No. 2 overall pick up next, the Buffalo defense is putting on the bibs and stacking the wet-naps in preparation for a feast.

The Bills throw out a lot of different looks when it comes to their pass rush, and while they haven’t recorded a ton of sacks (7) and QB hurries (18), they do have six interceptions. Disguising the blitz, collapsing the pocket, and getting opposing QBs to move around is how they’re getting those picks, and that can be too much for seasoned quarterbacks to deal with – let alone a rookie.

Mariota has been stellar in his three games, completing almost 63 percent of his throws for a QB rating of 109.2. However, he’s been sacked 12 times already and has been hesitant to run with the ball, scrambling only five times – a drastic flip-flop when compared to his work at Oregon. Mariota will see plenty of Mario Williams and Jerry Hughes Sunday.

Daily fantasy watch: Buy - Buffalo D/ST, Pass - QB Marcus Mariota


Seattle Seahawks at Cincinnati Bengals (-3, 43)

Seahawks’ poor protection vs. Bengals’ pass rush

Russell Wilson is likely still black and blue from the pounding dished out by the Lions this past Monday. The Seahawks QB was sacked six times and fumbled twice against Detroit, bringing his season total to 18 sacks. That puts the Seattle offensive line on pace for the worst protection ever through the first four games.

Cue the Bengals, who have been full blast on defense since Week 1. Cincinnati’s pass rush has crushed 11 quarterbacks and recorded 18 defensive hurries, coming off a five-sack performance against Kansas City. Russell, being a dual-threat QB, is used to taking some licks and was sacked 42 times last season. But not having a healthy Marshawn Lynch in the back field with him has allowed opponents to bring more pressure with fear of the run.

Another thing working against Russell on this short week is his height. He’s much shorter than the prototypical QB, standing only 5-foot-11. Cincinnati knows this and will use its towering defensive line to blind Wilson’s view down field. The Bengals have huge ends in 6-foot-6 Carlos Dunlap and 6-foot-7 Michael Johnson, along with 6-foot-3 nose tackle Domata Peko. The runt of the litter is DT Geno Atkins – only 6-foot-1 – and he only has a sack in three of Cincy’s first four games.

Daily fantasy watch: Buy - Cincinnati D/ST, Pass - QB Russell Wilson


Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders (+4.5, 43.5)

Broncos’ “different” looks vs. Raiders’ coach Jack Del Rio

On the surface, it would look like the Broncos are a whole new team. Head coach Gary Kubiak has retooled the offense, implementing his zone-blocking schemes while coming to terms with how Peyton Manning wants to do things. On defense, Wade “Don’t call me Bum” Phillips has flipped from the 4-3 scheme to the 3-4 formation, shaking up the stop unit after a complete coaching overhaul.

One of the men axed in Denver along with the John Fox regime this past offseason is former defensive coordinator and current Raiders head coach Jack Del Rio, who told the media this week that while the Broncos may look different, they’re still doing a lot of the same things. Del Rio has intimate knowledge about the Denver defense, and knows how their key talents want to play.

He also has detailed info on Manning, having run his defense against the aging QB the past three seasons while also studying “Mr. Omaha” for years during his time as the Jaguars head coach, playing Manning’s Colts twice a year. So far, Manning hasn’t been sharp in 2015, getting intercepted five times and sacked 10 times with a patchwork offensive line trying to protect. "We're going after him,” Del Rio told NFL Radio this week.

Daily fantasy watch: Buy - Oakland D/ST, Pass - QB Peyton Manning


San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants (-6.5, 43)

Niners’ dependency on big runs vs. Giants’ rushing defense

We knew things would get ugly in the City by the Bay this season, but maybe not this ugly - Steve Buscemi ugly. So far, the 49ers offense has been the biggest strain on the eyes. The passing game is MIA, with Colin Kaepernick boasting a QB rating of 67.7 and averaging only 158.8 yards through the air per game – dead last in the NFL.

That noodle-armed passing attack has put extra emphasis on the run game to pick up big yards this season. San Francisco has recorded 17 runs of 10 yards or more, most of those coming from a scrambling Kaepernick and RB Carlos Hyde, who hasn’t done much since a huge Week 1 performance. Hyde rushed for just 20 yards on eight attempts in a loss to Green Bay last Sunday.

The Giants defense has been among the toughest to run against through the first four weeks. New York has allowed an average of just under 70 yards per game despite facing some vaunted rushing attacks in the opening stretch of schedule. The G-Men have limited opponents to only 3.1 yards per carry and have given up just five runs of 10 yards or more heading into the Sunday nighter.

Daily fantasy watch: Buy - New York D/ST, Pass - RB Carlos Hyde

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 5


Sunday's games
Jaguars (1-3) @ Buccaneers (1-3)-- Third straight road game for Jax, historically 30% or so play in NFL; Jags outgained Luck-less Colts by 110 yards, but couldn't make FG at end lost in OT- they're 8-9-1 as road dogs under Bradley, 3-7-1 in non-division games, 6-10 in games with spread of 3 or less points. Winston threw pick-6 in first quarter of both games at home; Bucs allowed 79 points in losing both home games- they failed to cover four in a row as home favorites. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 6-1 vs spread. AFC South underdogs are 2-4. Jags won last four series games, three by 7 or less points; home side won four of last five in series. Teams split a pair of one-point decisions in last two here.

Bills (2-2) @ Titans (1-2)-- Buffalo's last playoff game was Music City Miracle loss here in '99. Tennessee won last five series games, four by six or less points; Bills lost last four visits to Nashville, with last win in '94. Titans lost four of last five post-bye games; they are 2-12 SU off a loss and since '12, they're 4-10-1 as home underdogs- all three of their games went over. Buffalo won its only road game 41-14 at Miami; they allowed 14 points in both wins, 40-24 in losses, both to QBs with multiple Super Bowl wins. Since '07, Bills are 6-3 as road favorites. AFC South teams are 3-7 vs spread out of conference. Titans are in odd stretch in that Tennessee doesn't play a road game in October (4 home and the bye).

Browns (1-3) @ Ravens (1-3)-- Baltimore got first win LW in Pittsburgh, had three extra days to prep for this, vs Cleveland team they've beaten 13 of last 14 times. Browns lost last seven visits here, with last five all by 10 or less points. Over last 8+ years, Ravens are 7-14-1 as home favorite in divisional games; Browns are 6-2-1 in last nine games as a dog in divisional tilts- they're 7-4-1 as divisional road dog since '11. Cleveland lost both games on road, allowing 30-31 points; they lost on last play in San Diego last week after jumping offside on missed FG, giving Chargers second chance to win. All four Browns games went over total. All four Baltimore games this season were decided by six or less points.

Redskins (2-2) @ Falcons (4-0)-- Unbeaten Atlanta has 10 TDs on 21 drives in last two games; they haven't turned ball over since Week 1. Falcon OC Shanahan worked for his dad with Redskins as recently as two years ago, when Washington lost here 27-26. Atlanta is 4-6 as home favorite last 2+ years, 2-5 in non-divison games. Falcons won last four series games, scoring 26.5 ppg. Skins are 4-11 as road dogs the last 2+ years, 2-5 in non-division games; they are 29-62 on 3rd down this year; Cousins has moved chains well. Under is 3-1 in Washington games this year; over is 14-10-1 in its road games last 3+ years. Redskins were outscored in second half in all four games. NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 6-1 vs spread so far this season.

Bears (1-3) @ Chiefs (1-3)-- KC allowed 35 ppg in losing last three games; they gave up 9.0/13.4 ypa in last two games. Chiefs are 5-3 in last eight games as a home favorite; they were 5-19-1 in that role from '07-'13. Bears got first win LW, with Cutler returning from injury- they converted 10-17 on third down (5 of 25 in previous two games). Chicago was outscored 46-9 in second half of last three games; their last second half TD was in Week 1. Bears are 13-24-2 as road dogs since '08; over is 18-7 in their last 25 road games. Reid was 4-0 vs Fox last two years when Fox was in Denver; Chiefs are 6-5 in series, 3-2 here; this is Bears' first visit to Arrowhead since '03. All four KC games this year went over total.

Saints (1-3) @ Eagles (1-3)-- Iggles rallied from down 13-0 at half to lead in 4th quarter at Washington last week, but Cousins marched Skins to winning TD in last 0:30 to drop Philly to 1-3 and Bradford's career record to 19-33-1. Eagles are 14-20-1 as home favorites since '10. Saints won in 0:13 of OT vs Dallas, fastest OT in regular season history; they've won five of last six games vs Philly, scoring 34 ppg in winning last three; NO won 26-24 in last visit here, a '13 playoff game. Saints' only win was vs backup QB Weeden (5-17 as an NFL starter); Eagles were +3 in turnovers in only win- they didn't score in second half of that game or first half last week. Since 2009, New Orleans is 6-9-1 as a road underdog.

Rams (2-2) @ Packers (4-0)-- Green Bay won/covered all four games, winning all four by 8+ points; they're 8-1-1 in last ten games as home favorite, 7-6-1 in last 14 non-divisional games. Emergence of rookie RB Gurley should give Rams balance on offense, but loss of LB Ogletree is big loss to talented defense. St Louis is 13-11 as road underdog with Fisher. Green Bay won last four series games, all by 10+ points, scoring 30.8 ppg; St Louis lost three of last four visits here, losing by 10-28-21 points. Rams beat Seattle/Arizona by total of five points, looked pathetic in other two games, getting inside opponents' 20 once in the two games. St Louis covered one of last four pre-bye games. Over is 27-15 in Green Bay's last 42 home games.

Seahawks (2-2) @ Bengals (4-0)-- Unbeaten Cincy has 16 TDs on 40 drives and averaged 10.9/13.4 ypa last two games, huge numbers that'll be tested by Seattle defense that hasn't allowed offensive TD in two games since Chancellor returned. Hawks survived tough tilt late Monday night; they're 0-2 on road- since '11, they're 8-5-3 as road dogs. Last couple of years, Bengals are 10-3-1 as home favorites. Seattle is 3-2 in last five series games; they are 5-3 in last eight visits here, but last one was in '03. NFC North non-divisional favorites are 5-2; NFC West underdogs are 1-4. Over is 12-6 in Bengal home games last 2+ years; three of four Bengal games went over the total; last three Seahawk games stayed under.

Cardinals (3-1) @ Lions (0-4)-- Short week for Detroit after last-minute loss Monday nite in Seattle; Lions are only NFL team with less than 20 rushing attempts in every game this year- they're 1-4-1 as home dogs since 2010, losing 24-12 to Denver in only home game so far. Redbirds are 4-2 in last six games as road favorite; they crushed Bears in only game on road, running back for TD and scoring defensive TD. Arizona is 12-5 vs spread in last 17 road games, 20-5-1 in last 26 non-division games, 7-4-1 in games following an upset loss. Cardinals won last six series games; five of those six were in desert; they lost three of last four visits here, winning last viist in '09. Arians vs Caldwell is huge coaching mismatch.

Patriots (3-0) @ Cowboys (2-2)-- Since 2009, Patriots are 11-3 vs teams playing backup QB due to injury; they Weeden is now 5-18 as NFL starter (0-3 for Dallas) but he did lead tying TD drive last week and never got back on field as Saints scored last ten points of game; Cowboys are 4-18 on 3rd down last two games, after going 10-23 in first two; they also haven't had takeaway in three of four games so far. New England is just 3-7 as a home favorite last 2+ years, 1-3 vs spread in last four post-bye games- they won last four series games with Dallas; three of those four were in Foxboro; Patriots lost four of last five visits here, but won 48-27 in last visit here, in '07. Since '08, Dallas is 6-2 as a home underdog.

Broncos (4-0) @ Raiders (2-2)-- Del Rio was Broncos' DC last few years; his Raiders are improved at 2-2 after tough loss in Chicago last week- they're 10-15 as home dogs since '10. Oakland averaged 7.5/9.8 ypa in their two wins, 4.1/4.9 in two losses. Broncos are yet to allow more than 5.9 ypa. Raider foes converted 18-33 on third down last two weeks; three of their four games went over total. Denver won last seven series games, all by 13+ points; they won last four visits here by average score of 35-16. Del Rio came to Oakland from being DC in Denver; four of nine TDs Broncos scored vs Oakland LY came on drives of less than 50 yards. Since 2011, Broncos are 15-8 against the spread as a road favorite.

49ers (1-3) @ Giants (2-2)-- TE Fells is in hospital with MRSA; not sure how much of a distraction this is for Giant club that won last two games by 11-14 points after blowing a double digit 4th quarter lead in each of first two games. 49ers were outscored 90-25 in two road losses, giving up 13.7/9.3 ypa at Pitt/Arizona. Niners were outscored 67-13 in first half of last three games; only offensive TD they scored last two weeks came on drive of 19 yards. Big Blue won five of last seven series games, but lost three of last five played here; 49ers ran for 148 yards in 16-10 win here (-3.5) LY. Last 2+ years, Giants are 8-5 as home favorites. Niners are 2-5-1 in last eight games as a road underdog, but they're 6-2-1 in last nine games as a non-divisional road dog.

Monday's game
Steelers (2-2) @ Chargers (2-2)- Expect Pitt to try and run ball; Chargers allowed 176/163 rushing yards in two losses, 69/100 in wins. Not convinced Vick isn't washed up; he was 19-26/96 passing LW, but that was on short week of prep; they have three extra days to prep here after OT loss to Baltimore LW. San Diego allowed 24+ points in all four games; they beat Browns on last second FG, rallied from down 21-3 to beat Lions. Pitt is 20-11 vs spread in last 31 games as an underdog; they're 8-2 in last ten games vs San Diego, with last visit in '12. Pitt hasn't been here since 2006. Since '11, Bolts are 9-12 as home faves; they're 9-13 vs spread in last 22 games where spread was 3 or less points; Steelers are 14-7 in last 21 such games.

[Udog]

NFL

Sunday, October 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday Night Football betting preview: 49ers at Giants
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Odell Beckham Jr. has 24 catches for 307 yards and two touchdowns so far this season. He caught six balls for 93 yards versus the Niners last season.

San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants (-6.5, 43)

The New York Giants answered a pair of disheartening losses to open the season with two convincing victories to move into a three-way tie atop the NFC East. The Giants look to continue their good fortune and hand the struggling San Francisco 49ers their fourth consecutive loss on Sunday night when the teams meet at MetLife Stadium.

Eli Manning has tossed seven touchdown passes in his last three weeks, including three scoring strikes in a 24-10 victory over Buffalo last Sunday. While Manning has won five of his seven career contests with San Francisco, he was intercepted five times in the 49ers' 16-10 victory on Nov. 16. Kaepernick threw a touchdown pass in that game, but has failed to do so for the third time in four contests this season in Sunday's 17-3 setback to Green Bay. "I want a confident man; just full-bore ahead at that position," San Francisco coach Jim Tomsula told reporters of his commitment to Kaepnerick. "I believe it's critical and I believe in Colin Kaepernick."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Giants as 7-point home faves but that's been moved to -6.5. The total remains at 43.

INJURY REPORT:

49ers

G Alex Boone (Probable, ankle), T Joe Staley (Probable, leg), TE Vernon Davis (Out, knee), CB Shareece Wright (Questionable, undisclosed), WR Quinton Patton (Questionable, concussion), LB Ahmad Brooks (Out, personal), WR Jerome Simpson (Elig Week 7, suspension), WR Dres Anderson (I-R, knee), G Daniel Kilgore (I-R, ankle), WR DeAndre Smelter (I-R, knee).

Giants

DE George Selvie (Questionable, calf), CB Jayron Hosley (Questionable, concussion), CB Trumaine McBride (Questionable, groin), DT Markus Kuhn (Questionable, knee), TE Jerome Cunningham (Questionable, knee), WR Odell Beckham (Questionable, knee), DE Robert Ayers (Doubtful, hamstring), LB Devon Kennard (Doubtful, hamstring), WR Victor Cruz (Out, calf), DE Jason Pierre-Paul (Out indefinitely, finger), TE Daniel Fells (I-R, ankle), S Nat Berhle (I-R, calf), C Brett Jones (I-R, knee), S Bennett Jackson (I-R, knee), S Mykkele Thompson (I-R, Achilles), T Will Beatty (I-R, pectoral).

WEATHER: Temperatures in the low-60s with wind blowing across the field at four miles per hour.

POWER RANKINGS: 49ers (+5.0) + Giants (-0.5) + home field (-3.0) = Giants -8.5

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Offensive coordinator Geep Chryst hasn?t been an NFL OC since the 2000 season. QB coach Steve Logan has never been an NFL QB coach before. The inexperience shows! The G-men continue to cash winning bets in one role, year after year ? as road underdogs. They?re 2-0 ATS as road dogs this year and 59-38 ATS on the road in the Coughlin era."

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Not as popular of a game as we had hoped thus far but more action will come in as Sunday gets going. We are at 60 percent on the Giants and that should grow as the general betting community has completely lost faith in San Francisco. I anticipate this will get back to the opener of -7."

ABOUT THE 49ERS (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U): Carlos Hyde has been limited to just 114 rushing yards during the team's three-game skid after running for 168 yards and two touchdowns in a 20-3 season-opening victory over Minnesota. Kaepernick's troubles in the last two contests have obviously taken a toll on wideouts Anquan Boldin (five receptions, 28 yards) and Torrey Smith (two catches, 54 yards). Boldin, however, enjoyed a strong performance with five receptions for 53 yards in his last meeting with New York.

ABOUT THE GIANTS (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U): While Odell Beckham Jr. received plenty of fanfare in the offseason, Rueben Randle has snared a touchdown reception in each of his last two games. Randle also enjoyed a dominant effort in his last meeting with San Francisco, reeling in a team-high seven catches for 112 yards while Beckham added six for 93. Rashad Jennings, who has mustered just 3.2 yards per carry this season, showed he still has plenty left in the tank after he broke three tackles en route to a 51-yard touchdown reception last week versus the Bills.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine meetings.
* 49ers are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
* Over is 6-2 in Giants last eight games in Week 5.

CONSENSUS: Sixty-nine percent of users are backing the Giants.

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[Udog]

NFL

Sunday, October 11


NFL Injury Report for Sunday games

ARIZONA CARDINALS at DETROIT LIONS

ARIZONA CARDINALS

--QUESTIONABLE: TE Darren Fells (hip), WR J.J. Nelson (shoulder)

--PROBABLE: CB Justin Bethel (foot), S Chris Clemons (hamstring), RB Andre Ellington (knee), LB Alani Fua (hamstring), S Rashad Johnson (hip), DT Frostee Rucker (thigh), LB LaMarr Woodley (thigh)

DETROIT LIONS

--OUT: RB Joique Bell (ankle), TE Eric Ebron (knee), DT Haloti Ngata (calf)

--QUESTIONABLE: S James Ihedigbo (quadriceps), G Larry Warford (ankle)

--PROBABLE: DE Ezekiel Ansah (shoulder), LB DeAndre Levy (hip), LB Travis Lewis (ankle), P Sam Martin (left knee), CB Rashean Mathis (calf), WR Lance Moore (ankle), TE Brandon Pettigrew (hamstring), T Corey Robinson (ankle), CB Darius Slay (quadriceps)


BUFFALO BILLS at TENNESSEE TITANS

BUFFALO BILLS

--OUT: RB LeSean McCoy (hamstring), S Bacarri Rambo (quadriceps), RB Karlos Williams (concussion)

--QUESTIONABLE: WR Sammy Watkins (calf)

--PROBABLE: TE Charles Clay (calf), T Cordy Glenn (ankle), WR Marquise Goodwin (ribs), CB Corey Graham (shoulder), WR Percy Harvin (hip), WR Chris Hogan (hamstring), G John Miller (groin), S Aaron Williams (neck), DT Kyle Williams (calf)

TENNESSEE TITANS

--DOUBTFUL: DT Sammie Lee Hill (knee)

--QUESTIONABLE: CB Cody Riggs (knee), G Chance Warmack (knee)

--PROBABLE: CB Jason McCourty (groin), LB Wesley Woodyard (not injury related)


CHICAGO BEARS at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

CHICAGO BEARS

--OUT: T Jermon Bushrod (concussion, shoulder)

--DOUBTFUL: S Antrel Rolle (ankle)

--QUESTIONABLE: CB Alan Ball (groin), QB Jimmy Clausen (back), QB Jay Cutler (hamstring), T Tayo Fabuluje (ankle), WR Alshon Jeffery (hamstring), T Kyle Long (back, ankle), LB Shea McClellin (elbow), CB Sherrick McManis (hamstring), LB Pernell McPhee (shoulder), G Patrick Omameh (ankle), DT Jay Ratliff (ankle), WR Eddie Royal (ankle), DE Will Sutton (elbow)

--PROBABLE: P Pat O'Donnell (right knee)

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

--OUT: LB Joshua Mauga (groin, Achilles)

--QUESTIONABLE: WR Albert Wilson (shoulder)

--PROBABLE: TE Travis Kelce (groin, thumb), TE James O'Shaughnessy (hand)


CLEVELAND BROWNS at BALTIMORE RAVENS

CLEVELAND BROWNS

--OUT: S Tashaun Gipson (ankle), LB Craig Robertson (ankle)

--DOUBTFUL: RB Shaun Draughn (back)

--QUESTIONABLE: DE Desmond Bryant (shoulder), LB Karlos Dansby (ankle), CB Joe Haden (finger, ribs), WR Brian Hartline (thigh, ribs), LB Scott Solomon (ankle), RB Robert Turbin (ankle)

--PROBABLE: CB Johnson Bademosi (elbow), RB Duke Johnson (ankle), QB Johnny Manziel (right elbow), T Mitchell Schwartz (thumb), S Donte Whitner (illness), CB K'Waun Williams (concussion)

BALTIMORE RAVENS

--OUT: DE Chris Canty (calf), TE Crockett Gillmore (calf), WR Breshad Perriman (knee)

--DOUBTFUL: WR Steve Smith (back)

--PROBABLE: LB Albert McClellan (abdomen), T Eugene Monroe (concussion), LB Daryl Smith (not injury related), RB Lorenzo Taliaferro (foot), G Marshal Yanda (ankle)


DENVER BRONCOS at OAKLAND RAIDERS

DENVER BRONCOS

--OUT: WR Cody Latimer (groin), T Ty Sambrailo (shoulder)

--QUESTIONABLE: WR Bennie Fowler (hamstring), G Evan Mathis (hamstring)

--PROBABLE: CB Omar Bolden (foot), TE James Casey (knee), TE Owen Daniels (not injury related), T Ryan Harris (knee), QB Peyton Manning (not injury related), WR Demaryius Thomas (neck), G Louis Vasquez (knee), LB DeMarcus Ware (not injury related)

OAKLAND RAIDERS

--OUT: DT Denico Autry (concussion), CB T.J. Carrie (chest), DT Justin Ellis (ankle), RB Taiwan Jones (foot)

--QUESTIONABLE: S Taylor Mays (ankle)

--PROBABLE: WR Michael Crabtree (ankle), LB Ben Heeney (hamstring), DE Benson Mayowa (knee), CB Keith McGill (foot), RB Latavius Murray (shoulder), DE Justin Tuck (knee), DE C.J. Wilson (calf), S Charles Woodson (shoulder)


JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS at TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

--OUT: WR Marqise Lee (hamstring), LB John Lotulelei (concussion), RB Denard Robinson (knee)

--DOUBTFUL: S James Sample (shoulder)

--QUESTIONABLE: DT Sen'Derrick Marks (knee), LB Paul Posluszny (ankle), TE Julius Thomas (hand)

--PROBABLE: S Sergio Brown (calf), DE Chris Clemons (knee), CB Aaron Colvin (shoulder), CB Davon House (illness), WR Allen Hurns (ankle, thigh), TE Marcedes Lewis (knee)

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

--DOUBTFUL: CB Johnthan Banks (knee), TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins (shoulder), WR Russell Shepard (hamstring), C Evan Smith (ankle)

--QUESTIONABLE: G Logan Mankins (groin), DT Gerald McCoy (shoulder), TE Luke Stocker (hip)

--PROBABLE: S Major Wright (abdomen)


NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS at DALLAS COWBOYS

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

--QUESTIONABLE: CB Bradley Fletcher (hamstring), DE Trey Flowers (knee, shoulder)

--PROBABLE: CB Tarell Brown (foot), C Ryan Wendell (illness)

DALLAS COWBOYS

--OUT: WR Dez Bryant (foot), WR Brice Butler (hamstring), DE Randy Gregory (ankle)

--QUESTIONABLE: TE James Hanna (ankle)

--PROBABLE: LB Andrew Gachkar (foot), LB Sean Lee (concussion), DE Ryan Russell (groin)


NEW ORLEANS SAINTS at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

--OUT: T Terron Armstead (knee), P Thomas Morstead (right quadriceps)

--QUESTIONABLE: G Jahri Evans (knee), DE Bobby Richardson (hip)

--PROBABLE: S Jairus Byrd (knee), WR Marques Colston (not injury related), WR Brandin Cooks (ankle), G Tim Lelito (back), CB Keenan Lewis (hip), DT Kevin Williams (not injury related)

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

--OUT: LB Kiko Alonso (knee), DE Brandon Bair (groin), LB Mychal Kendricks (hamstring)

--QUESTIONABLE: T Jason Peters (quadriceps)

--PROBABLE: G Allen Barbre (groin), DE Taylor Hart (shoulder), T Lane Johnson (knee), S Chris Maragos (quadriceps), CB Byron Maxwell (quadriceps), DE Cedric Thornton (hand)


SEATTLE SEAHAWKS at CINCINNATI BENGALS

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

--OUT: CB Marcus Burley (hand), RB Marshawn Lynch (hamstring), CB Tharold Simon (toe)

--DOUBTFUL: DE Demarcus Dobbs (shoulder), LB Kevin Pierre-Louis (hamstring), CB Tye Smith (hip)

--QUESTIONABLE: RB Fred Jackson (ankle)

--PROBABLE: WR Ricardo Lockette (shortness of breath), DT Brandon Mebane (groin), S Steven Terrell (hip)

CINCINNATI BENGALS

--QUESTIONABLE: DE Wallace Gilberry (calf), S George Iloka (ankle)

--PROBABLE: RB Jeremy Hill (knee), CB Adam Jones (groin), S Reggie Nelson (hamstring)


ST. LOUIS RAMS at GREEN BAY PACKERS

ST. LOUIS RAMS

--OUT: LB Alec Ogletree (ankle)

--DOUBTFUL: S Maurice Alexander (groin)

--QUESTIONABLE: DE Eugene Sims (knee)

--PROBABLE: WR Kenny Britt (knee), DE Robert Quinn (not injury related), RB Chase Reynolds (knee)

GREEN BAY PACKERS

--OUT: S Sean Richardson (neck)

--DOUBTFUL: LB Jake Ryan (hamstring)

--QUESTIONABLE: WR Davante Adams (ankle), T Bryan Bulaga (knee), S Morgan Burnett (calf), CB Demetri Goodson (hamstring)


WASHINGTON REDSKINS at ATLANTA FALCONS

WASHINGTON REDSKINS

--OUT: CB Chris Culliver (knee), CB DeAngelo Hall (toe), WR DeSean Jackson (hamstring), TE Jordan Reed (concussion, knee, ankle)

--QUESTIONABLE: LB Perry Riley (calf)

--PROBABLE: WR Pierre Garcon (knee), DE Kedric Golston (hand), LB Ryan Kerrigan (hip), C Josh LeRibeus (calf), C Kory Lichtensteiger (finger), G Spencer Long (ankle), LB Trent Murphy (hip)

ATLANTA FALCONS

--OUT: LB Justin Durant (elbow)

--QUESTIONABLE: WR Julio Jones (toe, hamstring)

--PROBABLE: S Ricardo Allen (knee), RB Tevin Coleman (ribs), WR Leonard Hankerson (thumb), LB Brooks Reed (groin), TE Jacob Tamme (concussion), WR Roddy White (not injury related)


SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS at NEW YORK GIANTS on Sunday night

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

--OUT: TE Vernon Davis (knee)

--DOUBTFUL: LB Ahmad Brooks (not injury related, shoulder)

--QUESTIONABLE: WR Quinton Patton (concussion), T Joe Staley (knee)

--PROBABLE: G Alex Boone (shoulder, ankle), LB NaVorro Bowman (not injury related), S L.J. McCray (knee), TE Vance McDonald (chest)

NEW YORK GIANTS

--OUT: DE Robert Ayers (hamstring), WR Victor Cruz (calf), LB Devon Kennard (hamstring), DE George Selvie (calf)

--QUESTIONABLE: LB Jonathan Casillas (calf), CB Jayron Hosley (concussion), CB Trumaine McBride (groin)

--PROBABLE: TE Jerome Cunningham (knee), T Ereck Flowers (ankle), DT Markus Kuhn (knee)




Three teams left with unblemished ATS records

The Atlanta Falcons, Cincinnati Bengals and Green Bay Packers are the last teams standing in the NFL with perfect 4-0 records against the spread.

Each team is still 4-0 straight up and each will be playing at home in Week 5 of the NFL schedule.

The Bengals host the Seattle Seahawks as 3-point home favorites, while the Washington Redskins visit the Atlanta Falcons (-7) and the Green Bay Packers welcome the St. Louis Rams as 10-point faves at Lambeau.


Seahawks QB Wilson at his best versus AFC

It hasn't been the best starts for the Seattle Seahawks (2-2 straight up) or their backers (1-3 against the spread) but maybe a meeting with an AFC opponent will cure the early season woes. If history is any indication, quarterback Russell Wilson will be bringing his A game.

Wilson has shredded AFC opponents for 24 touchdowns versus only five interceptions in 14 games (including two Super Bowls).

In those 14 games versus the other conference, the Seahawks are 9-5 SU and 8-6 ATS.

The Seahawks are currently tabbed as 3-point road dogs for their trip to Cincy.


Jaguars own Bucs in rare in-state matchup

The Jacksonville Jaguars will visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sunday afternoon and while these two Florida teams don't meet frequently, the Jaguars have had the edge.

The Jags head into Sunday's meeting winners of four-straight versus the Bucs and lead the all-time series 4-1. Jacksonville has covered the spread in four of those five meetings and in three straight versus Tampa.

This time around, the Jags are pegged as 2.5-point road dogs after opening +3. The Jags have been dogs in each of the last three meetings have have won outright.


Will Fox's success versus Chiefs carry over to Bears?

The Chicago Bears and Kansas City Chiefs have not met since the 2011 season and the Bears haven't visited Arrowhead since 2003, but new head coach John Fox is very familiar with the team from his days with the Denver Broncos.

Fox has been a head coach since the 2002 season and had spent the previous four in the AFC West with the Broncos. He's got a career 9-1 record straight up versus the Chiefs and his teams are 7-3 against the spread in those games.

His Bears venture to Kansas City and are currently pegged as 10-point road dogs for the matchup.

Seem like a lot of points for the Chiefs? That's because it is. Kansas City has been a double-digit favorite just once in the last eight-plus seasons. That was as an 11-point home favorite versus the Oakland Raiders in Week 15 last season. The Chiefs triumphed 31-13.


Chargers' Johnson (hamstring) to miss MNF

San Diego Chargers wide receiver Stevie Johnson has been ruled out of Monday Night's game against the Pittsburgh Steelers because of a hamstring injury.

Johnson, who is San Diego's second-leading receiver with 18 catches for 205 yards and two touchdowns, suffered the injury during the third quarter of last week's 30-27 victory over the Cleveland Browns.

The Chargers, though, get Antonio Gates back after the tight end served his four-game suspension for PEDs.

Also, wide receiver Malcom Floyd practiced in full Thursday after suffering a concussion versus Cleveland. It appears Floyd will play Monday as long as he is cleared by an independent neurologist.