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**Udog** · 09-22-2015, 10:52 AM

NFL Opening Line Report: Oddsmakers debate Romo's worth to Dallas' odds

Tony Romo's injury has books debating what the line should be for the Cowboys' Week 3 matchup with the Falcons this coming Sunday.

After a solid 2014 season that culminated in a playoff appearance, the Dallas Cowboys had to make a tough decision: pay Dez Bryant or pay DeMarco Murray. They paid Bryant, and Murray left for greener pastures in Philadelphia.

Then Dez Bryant went down with a broken foot in Week 1 against the New York Giants. The Cowboys hope he’ll only miss four to six weeks. And on Sunday in Week 2 at Philadelphia, quarterback Tony Romo suffered a broken left clavicle – the same injury he suffered in 2010 – and is expected to miss eight to 10 weeks.

About the only good news for the Cowboys? Well, they’re 2-0 SU (1-1 ATS), with both wins over NFC East rivals. Dallas topped Philadelphia 20-10 as a 7-point road underdog, a week after edging the Giants 27-26 as a 7-point home favorite.

Now, the Cowboys return home to face Atlanta (2-0 SU and ATS), which is also off to a solid start after its paltry 6-8 SU and 7-9 ATS campaign in 2014. On Sunday, the Falcons put up two fourth-quarter touchdowns – the second with just over a minute left – to nab a 24-20 victory as 2-point road underdog against the Giants.

John Lester, senior lines manager for Bookmaker.eu, said the opening line on this game would have to wait a bit.

“We’re going to have to take some time here, considering everything that’s happened to Dallas personnel-wise,” Lester said. “Had Romo still been available, we would have opened around -6 for the Cowboys. The Falcons are improved from a year ago, but I don’t think they’re as good as they’ve looked thus far.”

Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, also had to sit tight on the opening number.

“It’s a great start to the season for the Falcons, beating two NFC East foes. Strangely enough, those two opponents (Eagles and Giants) are 0-4 between them, as they both also lost to the Cowboys,” Avello said. “With the loss of Tony Romo, the Cowboys would be happy with a 50/50 record from this point on until he returns.”

At offshore market, Sportsbook.ag, they opened Atlanta as a 1.5-point favorite and took immediate action on the Falcons to the point where they pulled the game from the board and consulted some industry experts on the potential pointspread. Those experts came back with a spread of pick'em, however, Sportsbook.ag linesmaker Peter Childs wasn't convinced the game should be that tight.

He reopened at Falcons -2.5 and again took one-sided action on Atlanta, forcing a move to three. Once at a field goal, Dallas bets started rolling in as well as sharp action on the Cowboys which dropped the line back down to Atlanta -2.5, which is were the book sits as of Monday morning. Childs says his biggest concern is how the Dallas offense struggled with backup QB Brandon Weeden under center, with Romo out with a back injury, against the Arizona Cardinals last season.

"The Cowboys were competitive early, but eventually the Cardinals shutdown Weeden and the Cowboys offense and got the easy win and cover," Childs recalled. "We lost a fortune on that game, so we knew that our customers were going to fade Weeden in this spot and all early indications are exactly that - fade Weeden. And last year for the Cowboys, they had Dez and Murray, who won’t be on the field come Sunday versus the Falcons. Interesting game, I do believe the Cowboys will be competitive but I also believe the Falcons should be a slight favorite."

Kansas City Chiefs at Green Bay Packers

Kansas City was in the primetime spotlight in Week 2, when the Chiefs were dealt a stunning 31-24 home loss after Denver scored two touchdowns in the final 40 seconds – the second on a shocking fumble return. So instead of hashing things out in overtime, K.C. stumbled as a 3-point favorite Thursday night.

With the exception of the extra three days’ rest, the Week 3 schedule doesn’t do the Chiefs (1-1 SU and ATS) any favors, as they are once again in primetime, but this time at Green Bay on Monday night.

The Packers (2-0 SU and ATS) are coming off a rematch of the NFC Championship Game, avenging their loss last January by beating Seattle 27-17 as a 3.5-point home favorite. With that being the Sunday night game, and some injuries on the Packers, the opening line isn’t set just yet.

“Going into Sunday night, we would have made the Packers between six and 7-point favorites for this one,” Lester said. “It’s a long layoff for the Chiefs, which I don’t think is a good thing considering how deflating their Week 2 loss was. They’ve got to be eager to get back on the field, but they’re in a holding pattern.”

Said Avello, “Another primetime spot for the Packers, but they are quite used to it now, and the Chiefs also get their second in a row after playing last Thursday. I believe playing these games in front of a large TV audience helps motivate a team to play its best. The Chiefs let one get away against Denver, but they're good enough to bounce back and play head-to-head with the Pack.”

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5)

Baltimore (0-2 SU and ATS) finally gets a home game after two long weeks on the road. The Ravens were dealt a tough loss at Denver in Week 1, falling 19-13 in a game they arguably should have won, then went to Oakland as a 6-point favorite and lost 37-33 on a last-minute Raiders touchdown.

Cincinnati (2-0 SU and ATS) has gotten out of the gate quickly with a pair of wins and covers. On Sunday, the Bengals fended off San Diego 24-19 as a 3.5-point home fave.

Avello opened Baltimore at -3.

“The Ravens have lost three straight to the Bengals, and this is no time to extend it,” he said. “There are no must-wins this early in the season, but it sure would be a very difficult road back after falling behind the division leader by three games right from jump street.”

Lester’s opening number was a shade tighter at Ravens -2.5.

“We’ll have a lot of players eager to back the Bengals, but that’s what we’re counting on with this number,” Lester said. “I fully anticipate Baltimore putting forth a great effort in this matchup, as the Ravens obviously can’t afford to start the season 0-3. John Harbaugh will have his guys ready to play.”

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (-6.5)

Arizona (2-0 SU and ATS) is looking stout in the early going, entering this NFC West clash after thumping Chicago 48-23 as a 2-point road chalk Sunday.

On the flip side, San Fran is coming off a blowout loss. The Niners were dealt a 43-18 shellacking Sunday catching 6 points at Pittsburgh.

“It’s a tale of two teams from the opener to Week 2 regarding San Francisco,” Lester said. “The Niners aren’t as bad as they looked at Pittsburgh, but this is a very difficult spot for them. Arizona has been dominant at home over the last couple of years, so we felt comfortable putting up this number. I expect it to bounce around between 6 and 7 all week, and we’ll probably get solid split action.”

Avello went slightly tighter on the line, with the Cards at -6.

“The Niners have had the Cards’ number, winning five of the last six and eight of the last 10,” he said. “That's because the 49ers were good and the Cardinals weren't. Well, a change in the guard has certainly occurred.

“Arizona was never an easy place to get a win, but the Cardinals’ home-field advantage is stronger now than ever, and that 13-3 record over the past two-plus years demonstrates that.”

**Udog** · 09-22-2015, 10:52 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 24

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WASHINGTON (1 - 1) at NY GIANTS (0 - 2) - 9/24/2015, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 4-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 27

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PITTSBURGH (1 - 1) at ST LOUIS (1 - 1) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 144-181 ATS (-55.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 144-181 ATS (-55.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN DIEGO (1 - 1) at MINNESOTA (1 - 1) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (1 - 1) at HOUSTON (0 - 2) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PHILADELPHIA (0 - 2) at NY JETS (2 - 0) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (0 - 2) at CAROLINA (2 - 0) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (1 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 0) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 168-128 ATS (+27.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CINCINNATI (2 - 0) at BALTIMORE (0 - 2) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 64-92 ATS (-37.2 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (1 - 1) at CLEVELAND (1 - 1) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games against AFC North division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 2) at TENNESSEE (1 - 1) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (2 - 0) at DALLAS (2 - 0) - 9/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 1) at ARIZONA (2 - 0) - 9/27/2015, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (0 - 2) at SEATTLE (0 - 2) - 9/27/2015, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (1 - 1) at MIAMI (1 - 1) - 9/27/2015, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (2 - 0) at DETROIT (0 - 2) - 9/27/2015, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, September 28

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KANSAS CITY (1 - 1) at GREEN BAY (2 - 0) - 9/28/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**Udog** · 09-22-2015, 10:53 AM

NFL

Week 3

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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 24

8:25 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NY GIANTS
Washington is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
Washington is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Giants last 7 games when playing Washington

Sunday, September 27

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. BALTIMORE
Cincinnati is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

1:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games

1:00 PM
OAKLAND vs. CLEVELAND
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home

1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY JETS
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
NY Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. HOUSTON
Tampa Bay is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Houston is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home

1:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. DALLAS
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. NEW ENGLAND
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Jacksonville's last 15 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

1:00 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
Indianapolis is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. CAROLINA
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of New Orleans's last 21 games when playing Carolina
Carolina is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

4:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games
San Francisco is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Arizona is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco

4:25 PM
BUFFALO vs. MIAMI
Buffalo is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

4:25 PM
CHICAGO vs. SEATTLE
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Chicago

8:30 PM
DENVER vs. DETROIT
Denver is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Denver is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Detroit's last 22 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Monday, September 28

8:30 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

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**Udog** · 09-22-2015, 10:53 AM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 3

Thursday - Sept, 24

Washington at NY Giants, 8:25 ET
Washington: 11-23 ATS in all games
New York: 6-1 ATS when playing on a Thursday

Total Trends for Skins at Giants:
Washington: 73-45 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
New York: 58-34 UNDER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards

**Udog** · 09-22-2015, 12:30 PM

NFL Line Watch: Brees' shoulder has total bettors on alert

Saints QB Drew Brees is likely to miss time with a rotator cuff injury, which has bettors watching New Orleans' totals closely.

Spread to bet on now

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys (+1)

Are the Falcons finally over the hump? Atlanta owns two tight wins over NFC East opponents (Eagles and Giants), and goes for the division trifecta against the wounded Cowboys Sunday. The Falcons have twice trailed in the late going, only to storm back both times and keep pace with the Panthers in the suddenly-relevant NFC South.

Tony Romo’s injury has caused Dallas money to dry up as bettors have pounded the Falcons 2-to-1. If you like Atlanta to make it three in a row, best lay the money down as soon as possible because the line could bump up pretty quickly.

Spread to wait on

Pittsburgh Steelers at St. Louis Rams (+1)

Steelers action has already tilted this one from Rams -1 to Rams +1, and with 70 percent of early bettors backing Pittsburgh, there could be even more volatility on this game. Pittsburgh’s 25-point blowout of the 49ers in Week 2 settled nerves in western Pennsylvania after the Steelers had been manhandled by the Patriots in the opener.

Rams fans may be in for a roller-coaster ride this season, if the early results are any indication. No one expected St. Louis to be dominated in Washington, but St. Louis just could not get its offense going.

Total to watch

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (45)

As Yogi would say, it gets late early around here, and at 0-2 the Saints find themselves in last place in the NFC South and with an injured quarterback. Reports about Drew Brees’s injured (throwing) shoulder are conflicting, and range from “he’s good to go on Sunday” to “he’ll be sidelined for several weeks”.

If Brees can’t go against the Panthers, the immortal Luke McCown takes over against a Carolina team that has allowed the second-fewest points in the league this season. Not hard to do the math from that point, especially considering that the Panthers’ offense is banged up itself and has been less than mediocre so far.

**Dr. Bubba** · 09-22-2015, 12:39 PM

Thanks Udog! Just glancing at your last section on Saints@Panthers, putting this into my notebook!

**Udog** · 09-22-2015, 07:21 PM

Originally posted by Dr. Bubba View Post

Thanks Udog! Just glancing at your last section on Saints@Panthers, putting this into my notebook!

I just checked the injury wire again, Bubba. There's been no update since 11:20 Monday morning. He's still a big question mark:

Type: rotator cuff
Status: "?"
Explanation: is "?" Sunday vs Carolina.

**Udog** · 09-23-2015, 07:22 PM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 24

Redskins (1-1) @ Giants (0-2)-- Big Blue lost first two games after leading in 4th quarter, despite winning field position by 11-9 yards; Giants have only two TDs, four FGs in 8 red zone drives- opponents are 17-28 on third down against them. Giants won last four series games; Redskins lost last three visits here by 4-14-11 points. Since '07, Washington is 16-7 as road dog in divisional games; Giants are 7-12 as divisional home fave since '07. Redskins ran ball for 171.5 ypg in first two games; both were at home- Skins lost six of last seven road openers, with four of last six going over total. Giants have been outscored 35-20 in second half so far.

**Udog** · 09-23-2015, 10:32 PM

NFL

Thursday, September 24

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Thursday Night Football betting preview: Redskins at Giants
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The Giants are 4-0 SU and ATS in the previous four meetings with the Redskins, including a 24-13 win at MetLife Stadium last season.

Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-3.5, 44)

The New York Giants are trying to avoid an 0-3 start - and second loss to an NFC East rival - when they host the Washington Redskins on Thursday night. The Giants have blown double-digit leads in the fourth quarter of each of their first two games but they have recent history on their side against the Redskins, winning the past four matchups.

Washington rebounded from a season-opening defeat to Miami with a 24-10 victory over the St. Louis Rams on Sunday behind a running attack that produced 182 yards. "I think that they have gone ahead and decided to do exactly what they like to do there - run the football,” New York coach Tom Coughlin said of the Redskins. It will be a matchup of strength versus strength - the Redskins are averaging a league-high 171.5 yards rushing while the Giants ranked third against the run with 68.0 yards surrendered. The teams met on a Thursday night almost exactly a year ago in Washington and the Giants breezed to a 45-14 victory.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Giants as 4-point home favorites but that has been moved to -3.5. The total has held at 44.

WEATHER: Temperatures expected to be in the low-70s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow across the field around four miles per hour.

INJURY REPORT: Redskins - T Tom Compton (Questionable, calf), CB Justin Rogers (Questionable, foot), LB Perry Riley (Questionable, calf), WR DeSean Jackson (Mid October, hamstring). Giants - DE Owamagbe Odighizuwa (Questionable, foot), TE Daniel Fells (Questionable, foot), DT Markus Kuhn (Questionable, knee), CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (Questionable, head), T Ereck Flowers (Questionable, ankle), LB Jon Beason (Questionable, knee), WR Victor Cruz (Out indefinitely, calf), DE Jason Pierre-Paul (Out indefinitely, finger).

POWER RANKINGS: Redskins (+3.5) - Giants (+2.5) + home field (-3.0) = Giants -4

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Redskins the early results from the Redskins defensive makeover have been impressive, with former Chargers LB coach Joe Barry paying immediate dividends as defensive coordinator. The New York media are primed to eat this team alive after the G-men blew double digit leads in the fourth quarter of each of their two losses to open the season."

ABOUT THE REDSKINS (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 0-2 O/U): After Alfred Morris rushed for 121 yards in the opener, rookie Matt Jones erupted for 123 yards and a pair of touchdowns last week to make life easy for quarterback Kirk Cousins, who finished 23-of-27 for 203 yards and a score. Cousins, who will be without top wideout DeSean Jackson (hamstring), had a nightmarish performance against the Giants last September, throwing four interceptions and losing a fumble. Tight end Jordan Reed has 13 receptions and a score through two games while Washington's defense ranks No. 1 overall, allowing an average of 234.5 yards per game, and fourth against the run (70.5 yards).

ABOUT THE GIANTS (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U): Coughlin on Monday admitted to being "frustrated" with the erratic play of quarterback Eli Manning, who has performed poorly and made some head-scratching decisions in the fourth quarter of both losses. Manning finally did connect with wideout Odell Beckham Jr., who had seven catches for 146 yards and a TD last week, but New York's running game has been inconsistent and could be without starting left tackle Ereck Flowers, who hurt his ankle Sunday. Conversely, the Giants could receive a big boost on defense as starting middle linebacker Jon Beason (knee) is expected to make his season debut.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
* Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a ATS win.
* Over is 4-1 in Giants last five vs. NFC East.

CONSENSUS: Sixty-two percent of users are backing the Giants.

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**Udog** · 09-23-2015, 10:37 PM

NFL

Thursday, September 24

Giants dominating Skins SU and ATS in past two years

The New York Giants have gone 4-0 both straight up and against the spread in the past four meetings with the Washington Redskins. The two NFC East rivals will renew acquaintances at MetLife Stadium Thursday night.

Quarterback Eli Manning and wide receiver Odell Beckham, Jr. have specifically feasted with the Redskins lined up opposite them. Manning, who will make his 169th consecutive start, was 51-of-73 for 550 yards with seven TDs and one interception in last season's sweep while Beckham had 12 catches for 143 yards and three TDs in the last meeting between the teams.

Books opened the Giants as 4-point home favorites, but that has since been adjusted to -3.5.

**Udog** · 09-24-2015, 09:38 AM

NFL

Thursday, September 24

Saints' Brees expects to start at Carolina

New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees has every intention of playing this week despite sustaining a shoulder injury last week that affected many of his throws in the Saints' 26-19 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Speaking during Wednesday's news conference, Brees said he is "pretty confident" that he will be under center when the 0-2 Saints travel to face the 2-0 Carolina Panthers on Sunday.

Brees avoided a major injury but admitted a direct hit he took on the shoulder from Bucs defensive end Jacquies Smith just as he started his throwing motion affected him on a few passes later in the game. After the hit, Brees shook his arm and rotated his shoulder while waiting for the next play call to come in.

Reports earlier in the week indicated Brees could miss a several games. He did not throw during Wednesday's practice.

"I do have to take it day to day, and I have to be smart with this. So that's what I'm doing," Brees told reporters after practice.

Steelers leading the way in the 2-point revolution

The Pittsburgh Steelers went for a 2-point conversion following each of their first two touchdowns against the San Francisco 49ers last week, but you had best get used to it as this could be something we see more and more in the 2015 season.

As Dale Lolley, Steelers beat reporter for the Observer-Reporter, points out, we are on pace for 56 two-point conversion attempts this season. That's double what we saw in 2014.

But it's Mike Tomlin and those Steelers that are leading the way, converting all three attempts so far.

Eleven clubs have opted for the 2-pointer instead of the extra point with six successfully converting. Only the Steelers, Indianapolis Colts and Buffalo Bills have attempted more than one.

**Udog** · 09-24-2015, 12:19 PM

Where the action is: Biggest midweek NFL Week 3 line moves

Thanks to Darrelle Revis and a defense that has allowed just 17 points through two weeks, the Jets head into Sunday's meeting with the Eagles 2-0 ATS.

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys - Open: +2.5, Move: +3.5, Move: +2.5

Cowboys wide receiver Dez Bryant went down in Week 1 and quarterback Tony Romo was hurt in Week 2 adding to the injury woes that have grabbed the headlines in Big D.

Still, Dallas is 2-0 heading into its showdown with the Falcons Sunday afternoon but the prospect of Brandon Weeden isn't exactly enticing to the betting community.

"We opened the Falcons as 2.5-point faves heading into Dallas adjusting the juice as the week has gone on with the majority of the action on the Falcons," Stewart says. "With the QB situation in Dallas up in the air I believe we will see this line up as high as 3-3.5 as the public will jump on Atlanta on those numbers to cover. Also, if the number gets up to Falcons -3.5 you will see the sharps come in and back the Cowboys."

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets - Open: +2.5, Move: -2.5

Talk about two teams going in opposite directions.

The Eagles have stumbled out to an 0-2 SU and ATS record to kick things off in 2015, while the Jets have gotten out to a 2-0 SU and ATS mark thanks to a defense that has allowed an NFL low 17 points through the first two weeks.

As Stewart points out, action is all over the hot Jets with both sharps and public bettors loving the home team.

"We had opened this game with the Eagles as 2-point faves last week, and with the Eagles' second loss and the Jets convincing win on Monday night over the Colts, the action pushed the Jets to our current number (at time of writing) of Jets -2.5 with 80 percent of the action," Stewart says. "This is a spot where we are seeing both public and sharp action backing the Jets."

Pittsburgh Steelers at St. Louis Rams - Open: +1, Move: +2

The Steelers are coming off a resounding win over the San Francisco 49ers in Week 2 and are one of eight teams bring perfect 2-0 ATS records into the third week of the season.

The Rams defeated the Seattle Seahawks in Week 1 at home before coming out flat in a 24-10 loss at the Washington Redskins in Week 2.

This has been all Steelers money thus far and Stewart doesn't expect that to stop as we get closer to Sunday.

"We opened the Steelers as 1-point faves and with over 90 percent of the action backing the Steelers, we have moved them to 2-point road faves against the Rams," Stewart tells Covers. "The Steelers were dominant in last week's game, blowing out the 49ers at home. We should see this line balloon as the week goes on if the action continues in on the Steelers."

**Udog** · 09-24-2015, 12:42 PM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 4

Washington @ NY Giants

Game 301-302
September 24, 2015 @ 8:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
126.288
NY Giants
132.929
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 6 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 3 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(-3 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ Carolina

Game 469-470
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
129.023
Carolina
130.115
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 3 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+3 1/2); Over

Jacksonville @ New England

Game 471-472
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
130.399
New England
140.208
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 10
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 14
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+10); Over

Cincinnati @ Baltimore

Game 473-474
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
132.820
Baltimore
138.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 5 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 2 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-2 1/2); Over

Oakland @ Cleveland

Game 475-476
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
125.000
Cleveland
126.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+3 1/2); Over

Indianapolis @ Tennessee

Game 477-478
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
136.884
Tennessee
124.944
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 12
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 3
46
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(-3); Under

Atlanta @ Dallas

Game 479-480
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
130.935
Dallas
137.601
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 6 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2 1/2); Over

San Francisco @ Arizona

Game 481-482
September 27, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
129.126
Arizona
136.522
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 7 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 6
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-6); Over

Pittsburgh @ St. Louis

Game 461-462
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
134.193
St. Louis
136.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
48
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+2); Over

Chicago @ Seattle

Game 483-484
September 27, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
126.860
Seattle
138.828
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 12
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 15
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+15); Over

San Diego @ Minnesota

Game 463-464
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
134.456
Minnesota
131.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 3
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+2 1/2); Over

Buffalo @ Miami

Game 485-486
September 27, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
131.476
Miami
136.415
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 5
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
43
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-2 1/2); Under

Tampa Bay @ Houston

Game 465-466
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
120.508
Houston
132.530
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 12
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6 1/2
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-6 1/2); Under

Denver @ Detroit

Game 487-488
September 27, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
138.897
Detroit
133.350
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 5 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 3
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-3); Over

Philadelphia @ NY Jets

Game 467-468
September 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
131.974
NY Jets
135.931
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 4
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Jets
by 2 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(-2 1/2); Under

Kansas City @ Green Bay

Game 489-490
September 28, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
135.399
Green Bay
139.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 4 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 7
49
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+7); Over

**Udog** · 09-24-2015, 12:51 PM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 4

Sunday - Sept, 27

Pittsburgh at St Louis, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 8-1 OVER in non-conf games
St Louis: 50-31 OVER in non-conf games

San Diego at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 8-1 OVER in non-conf games
Minnesota: 8-2 ATS off a division game

Tampa Bay at Houston, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 2-11 ATS against AFC South division
Houston: 3-11 ATS off a road game

Philadelphia at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
Philadelphia: 15-5 UNDER in road games off a home loss by 10 or more points
New York: 71-97 ATS off a road game

New Orleans at Carolina, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 1-8 ATS in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders
Carolina: 26-12 ATS at home off a non-conf game

Jacksonville at New England, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 4-14 ATS in the first half of the season
New England: 36-19 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game

Cincinnati at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 7-0 UNDER as a road underdog
Baltimore: 6-0 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses

Oakland at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 0-6 ATS off a upset win as an underdog
Cleveland: 39-23 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less

Indianapolis at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 10-0 ATS vs division opponents
Tennessee: 2-10 ATS at home

Atlanta at Dallas, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 4-22 ATS after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games
Dallas: 12-3 ATS as an underdog

San Francisco at Arizona, 4:05 ET
San Francisco: 1-5 ATS off a loss of 10 or more points
Arizona: 12-3 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest

Chicago at Seattle, 4:25 ET
Chicago: 26-13 UNDER in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses
Seattle: 6-0 UNDER off a road loss

Buffalo at Miami, 4:25 ET
Buffalo: 8-1 UNDER as an underdog
Miami: 6-0 UNDER off a loss of 6 or less points

Denver at Detroit, 8:30 ET
Denver: 0-6 ATS off a win against a division rival
Detroit: 6-0 UNDER after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game

Monday - Sept, 28

Kansas City at Green Bay, 8:30 ET
Kansas City: 43-26 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses
Green Bay: 15-7 OVER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points

Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 3 (Thursday, September 24 - Monday, September 28)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 3 (Thursday, September 24 - Monday, September 28)

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