NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (Thursday, September 17 - Monday, September 21)

[Udog]

NFL Trends and Indexes

Thursday, September 17 - Monday, September 21

Additional trends and information will be added as available.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

NFL Opening Line Report Week 2: Packers faves over Seahawks

Last January, the Packers let a 19-7 fourth-quarter lead evaporate, ultimately losing 28-22 in overtime but cashing as an 8.5-point road underdog to the Seahawks.

Highlighting the Week 2 schedule is a battle of NFC heavyweights on Sunday night, in a rematch of last year’s conference championship game. Two-time defending NFC champ Seattle travels to the currently unfrozen tundra to face a Green Bay team surely looking for some payback.

Last January, the Packers let a 19-7 fourth-quarter lead evaporate, ultimately losing 28-22 in overtime but cashing as an 8.5-point road underdog to the Seahawks. Seattle then went on to a heart-wrenching 28-24 Super Bowl loss as a 1-point pup to New England.

In their respective season openers, the Seahawks rallied with 18 fourth-quarter points to force overtime, but lost 34-31 at St. Louis as 3.5-point favorites, while the Packers bested host Chicago 31-23 as 6-point chalk.

John Lester, senior lines manager for Bookmaker.eu, tabbed Green Bay a 3.5-point fave over Seattle.

“This budding rivalry just keeps getting better,” Lester told Covers. “Seattle’s offensive line issues were apparent in Week 1, but Green Bay doesn’t quite have the firepower St. Louis does along the defensive line. Again, two teams that rate about the same, but we know Lambeau Field will be starving for a victory against this Seahawks squad.

Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, set the Pack at -3.

“They also met to open the season last year, and Seattle won at home convincingly (36-16),” Lester said. “The Seahawks rarely lose at home, but the road hasn't been quite as friendly. Green Bay, Wisconsin, is about as strong a home field as you'll find in the NFL.”


Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-4/OTB)

Dallas could quickly learn what it lost by not re-signing running back DeMarco Murray, who will line up in Philadelphia’s backfield in an NFC East clash.

Some books have this game at Philadelphia -4, with news that Dallas WR Dez Bryant is out 4-6 weeks with a broken foot, while most places have this game off the board as of Monday morning. Books estimate his value between one and 1.5 points to the Cowboys' pointspreads.

The Cowboys opened their season by piling up a boatload of yards (436) and a boatload of costly turnovers (three), but somehow rallied in the final minute to upend the New York Giants 27-26. The Boys failed to cash, going off as a 7-point chalk.

The Eagles, meanwhile, still haven’t kicked off their season, playing in a Monday night game at Atlanta.

Avello expected to set the number around 2.5 – before news of Bryant’s injury got out.

“It's only Week 2 and things may change, but these two appear to be the ones that will be competing for the division crown,” Avello said. “Home-field advantage hasn't meant much the last two years in this rivalry, as each team has lost at home and won on the road.”

Lester was figuring on a field-goal pointspread, but spoke too soon when it came to Bryant’s broken foot.

“If there are no major injuries in either teams’ Week 1 games, we will look to make Philadelphia around 3-point chalk,” Lester said before the conclusion of Sunday night’s game. “It’s a case of two of the most public teams we have, and they look pretty even on paper, so we’ll account for the Eagles’ home-field edge. We’ll have to set the total extremely high to attract under bettors.”


New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (+1.5)

The defending Super Bowl champion Pats come in with extra rest after dispatching the Pittsburgh Steelers 28-21, though they failed to cash as 7.5-point closing chalk in the Thursday night season opener. Tom Brady, who a week earlier had his four-game suspension rescinded, lit up the Pittsburgh defense, completing 25 of 32 passes for 288 yards and four touchdowns – three to tight end Rob Gronkowski.

Buffalo, in its first game under new coach Rex Ryan, was surprisingly dominant in a 27-14 victory over Indianapolis as a 1-point home underdog. The Bills led 24-0 midway through the third quarter and didn’t let the Colts score until the final minute of that quarter.

“Another semi-rivalry that’s been dominated by the favorite, but one where the books can be tossed out,” Lester said. “Of course, the Bills will be a trendy pick this season, as we took a ton of action on them in Week 1. And of course, they delivered. The Rex Ryan hype machine is well-oiled, so again, I expect the squares to be on the Pats and the sharps to be on the home dog. We’ve already adjusted down to +1.”

Said Avello, “The Bills and Rex Ryan got the start they were looking for and now can prove they are contenders for at least the AFC East. They've only beat the Pats a couple of times over the past 10 years, but they should be well prepared for this one.”


Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5)

The Broncos, under new coach Gary Kubiak, had an extremely pedestrian offensive showing in their opener against Baltimore, but their defense was stout. Denver got a pick-6 for its only touchdown and another interception to end a Ravens threat in the waning seconds, notching a 19-13 home win laying 4.5 points.

The Chiefs scored all of their points in the first half, then held off Houston for a 27-20 win as a 1-point road fave. Kansas City has dropped six in a row SU (2-4 ATS) in its AFC West rivalry with Denver.

“It’s been a one-sided rivalry recently, but Kansas City always keeps things competitive,” Lester said. “We expect the public players to back the Broncos, but wiseguy money showed up early on the home dog, moving the spread to -3 shortly after we opened. The over will certainly be a popular play, but I’d take a long look at playing the under.”

Avello opened the Chiefs at -2.5.

“Against the Ravens, Manning and company played like it was the end of the season, and his arm appeared to be tired,” he said. “The Chiefs have dropped six straight to the Broncos and have only been the favorite once since Manning arrived in Denver.”

[Udog]

NFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 17

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DENVER (1 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (1 - 0) - 9/17/2015, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 20

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HOUSTON (0 - 1) at CAROLINA (1 - 0) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (0 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (0 - 1) at MINNESOTA (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 77-105 ATS (-38.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
DETROIT is 77-105 ATS (-38.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
DETROIT is 57-83 ATS (-34.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (1 - 0) at BUFFALO (1 - 0) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 85-49 ATS (+31.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 167-128 ATS (+26.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (1 - 0) at CHICAGO (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TENNESSEE (1 - 0) at CLEVELAND (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 0-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO (1 - 0) at CINCINNATI (1 - 0) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (1 - 0) at WASHINGTON (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 103-142 ATS (-53.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in September games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 74-105 ATS (-41.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 74-105 ATS (-41.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 74-105 ATS (-41.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (1 - 0) at NY GIANTS (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (0 - 1) at OAKLAND (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI (1 - 0) at JACKSONVILLE (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (1 - 0) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (0 - 1) at GREEN BAY (1 - 0) - 9/20/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, September 21

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NY JETS (1 - 0) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 1) - 9/21/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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[Udog]

NFL

Week 2

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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 17

8:25 PM
DENVER vs. KANSAS CITY
Denver is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver


Sunday, September 20

1:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing NY Giants
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
NY Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 8 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. CHICAGO
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home

1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. CAROLINA
Houston is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games

1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games

1:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. CINCINNATI
San Diego is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
San Diego is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
Cincinnati is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit

1:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games at home
Pittsburgh is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. CLEVELAND
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Tennessee is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee

4:05 PM
MIAMI vs. JACKSONVILLE
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 6-12-2 ATS in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games

4:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. OAKLAND
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore

4:25 PM
DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games on the road
Dallas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Philadelphia is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

8:30 PM
SEATTLE vs. GREEN BAY
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games at home

8:30 PM
NY JETS vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
NY Jets are 4-7-2 ATS in their last 13 games on the road
Indianapolis is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets


Monday, September 21

8:25 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NY GIANTS
Washington is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants
NY Giants are 1-4-1 SU in their last 6 games ,at home
NY Giants are 3-9-1 SU in their last 13 games


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[Udog]

NFL Line Watch: Window closing on Chiefs' Thursday night spread

If you like KC, it might be a good idea to jump now before oddsmakers pile on another half-point.

Spread to bet now

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

It wasn’t exactly Willie Mays falling down in the outfield during his final season, but Bronco bettors have to be a little concerned about what they saw out of Peyton Manning in the opener – 24 for 40, no TDs, 1 INT. At home.

Eerily similar to the numbers PM put up in Denver’s playoff loss to the Colts last season. And now Manning is getting only a few days of rest before a road game against the pumped-up Chiefs.

Does KC actually have a QB advantage in this one? This one opened at KC -2.5 and is now at 3. If you like K.C., it might be a good idea to jump now before oddsmakers pile on another half-point.


Spread to wait on

New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts (-7)

Repeat after me: Week 1 is only one week.

The Jets looked dominant against a crummy Browns team, and the Colts drew the tough assignment of playing in Buffalo last Sunday. This same game played just about at any point last season would carry a line in the vicinity of 13-14 points. Two factors are keeping this spread as tight as it is – the way each team played last week, and NY money on the Jets.

Suggestion here is to hang tight and wait to see if heavier money either way moves the line either way just before kickoff.


Total to watch

Houston Texans at Carolina Panthers (40.5)

Bill O’Brien has the unenviable task of trying to win NFL games without a top-level quarterback, and even with a good defense that’s like spending all week pushing a boulder up a hill only to see it come crashing down in 15 minutes on Sunday afternoon.

Now O’Brien says he won’t even reveal which former Patriot backup (Brian Hoyer or Ryan Mallet) will start in Carolina.

Until Houston can get its offense untracked, Texan bettors can expect to see low totals all season – even against a weak schedule and in a soft AFC South.

[Dr. Bubba]

Great stuff as usual, UDog!!

[Udog]

Great stuff as usual, UDog!!

Thanks, Bubba! Here's a little more.

For some reason, the sources aren't putting it out as quickly as they did last week.

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 2


Denver @ Kansas City

Game 101-102
September 17, 2015 @ 8:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
137.976
Kansas City
136.800
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 3
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+1); Over

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 17

Broncos (1-0) @ Chiefs (1-0)-- Chiefs were 5-2 as home favorites last year, after being 5-19-1 in that role from 2007-13. Since '07, Denver is 14-19 as road dog but they've covered last four tries as a road dog in division games. Denver won last six games vs Chiefs, all six by 7+ points; they won last four visits here, but last week, they averaged only 3.4 ypa in 19-13 win over the Ravens last week, didn't score an offensive TD, didn't get into red zone until last 4:00 of game. KC is 2-5 in their last seven home openers- they're 2-8-1 as favorites in home openers; under is 19-3-2 in their last 24. Only Denver TD last week was scored by the defense.

[Udog]

NFL

Thursday, September 17

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Game of the Day: Broncos at Chiefs
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Kansas City eased to a 27-20 win at Houston that was not as close as the final score indicated.

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 41.5)

The Denver Broncos have won four consecutive AFC West titles but they'll face an early-season showdown for division supremacy when they visit the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday night. The Broncos failed to score an offensive touchdown in a 19-13 victory over visiting Baltimore while Kansas City eased to a 27-20 win at Houston that was not as close as the final score indicated.

Denver quarterback Peyton Manning attempted to allay concerns over the lack of productivity from the offense as the team adopts more of a ball-control offense under new coach Gary Kubiak. "Everybody is looking for these summaries of our offense and our team after Week 1 and I just don't think we're going to be able to do that," Manning said. "It's Week 1. We're a work in progress. ... We're trying to get better every single week." Meanwhile, the Chiefs shot out to a 27-9 halftime lead over the Texans behind three scoring passes from Alex Smith, but they face a nemesis in Manning and the Broncos. Denver has won six consecutive meetings in the series, including its last four visits to Kansas City.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Chiefs as 2.5-point home faves but that is now up to -3. The total is down to 41.5 from the opening 43.

INJURY REPORT: Broncos - QB Peyton Manning (Probable, back), LB Lerentee McCray (Probable, groin), S David Bruton Jr. (Probable, ankle), WR Demaryius Thomas (Probable, hand), S Darian Stewart (Questionable, groin), DE Malik Jackson (Questionable, concussion), RB C.J. Anderson (Questionable, toe), S Omar Bolden (Doubtful, foot), DE Kenny Anunike (Out, knee). Chiefs - LB Tamba Hali (Probable, neck), DB Sean Smith (Eligible Week 4, suspension).

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 15 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow toward the north at around 14 miles per hour.

POWER RANKINGS: Broncos (-4) + Chiefs (-2.5) + home field (-3) = Chiefs -1

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Denver showed on Sunday that they are capable of winning games against solid foes even when Peyton Manning looks like the 39-year-old QB that he is. Alex Smith still didn't throw a touchdown pass to a wide receiver, but he did throw three TD?s to TE Travis Kelce and RB Jamaal Charles."

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We opened the Chiefs as 2.5 point faves at home and after the struggles of the Denver offense on Sunday we went to Chiefs -3 where we currently sit adjusting the juice as the week has moved on. The Chiefs are seeing 58 percent of the action to cover the spread as of writing this."

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U): Manning's arm strength, or lack thereof, has been a hot-button topic throughout the preseason and he finished with only 175 yards without a scoring pass in the opener, but he has thrown for 1,736 yards with 16 TDs versus three interceptions in six meetings against the Chiefs since joining Denver. C.J. Anderson was limited to 29 yards on 12 carries while dealing with a sprained toe, but he was at practice Tuesday night along with star wideout Demaryius Thomas, who suffered a hand injury versus Baltimore. The Broncos' defense, which produced the lone touchdown in Week 1 on Aqib Talib's interception return, limited the Ravens to only 173 total yards.

ABOUT THE CHIEFS (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U): Smith has been typecast as a game manager but he got a vote of confidence - “Alex was on the money all day” - from tight end Travis Kelce, who had a huge opening game with six catches for 106 yards and a pair of scores. Running back Jamaal Charles had a relative quiet season debut with 57 yards rushing while matching newcomer Jeremy Maclin with five catches, but he has scored 15 touchdowns in his last 14 games overall. Kansas City yielded an AFC-low 281 points last season and received a boost with the return of linebacker Derrick Johnson, who registered a team-high eight tackles in his first game back after suffering a ruptured Achilles tendon.

TRENDS:

* Under is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings.
* Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Kansas City.
* Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. AFC West.
* Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-nine percent of users are the Chiefs.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NFL

Thursday, September 17


Small chance of thunderstorms at Arrowhead Stadium

According to weather forecasts, there is around a 15 percent chance of thunderstorms scheduled for the early stages of the Denver Broncos' visit to the Kansas City Chiefs before shooting up to a 60 percent possibility later in the game.

Furthermore, wind is expected to blow toward the north corner of the stadium at around 14 mils per hour during the game.

The Chiefs are presently 3-point home faves for the showdown with their AFC West rivals. The total, which opened at 32, is down to 41.5.

[Udog]

Where the action is: Biggest midweek NFL Week 2 line moves

Following a 28-21 win against the Steelers in Week 1, the Patriots visit the Buffalo Bills in Week 2 where they have gone 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

With Week 1 in the books, we now turn our attention to Week 2. The 2015 NFL season curtain raiser gave us many talking points, but bettors will be able to get more of a feel where certain teams stand and see which teams are for real and which teams were nothing more than a flash in the pan.

Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns - Open: -2.5, Move: +1

It was a fantastic debut from rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota and the Titans who crushed fellow rookie Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 42-14 and covered the spread by a whopping 31 points in Week 1. Now, Mariota and the Titans travel to Cleveland where Titans money has flipped this line from one side of a Pick to the other.

"Despite the line flipping from Titans +2.5 on Monday all the way to them being a 1-point favorite, the action on the Titans has not slowed," Sloan tells Covers. "Bets are still 7-1 on Tennessee, and the money action is 4-1 on them as well. Some of the sharps were lucky enough to grab Tennessee at 2 and 2.5, so the value bets seem to be gone at this point. We would expect this line to possibly move another half point to 1.5, but not much more than that."


Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints - Open: -10.5, Move: -10

Speaking of Winston, it wasn't the opener that he and the Bucs envisioned, but surely there's nowhere to go but up from the shellacking in Week 1. Considering the Saints closed out 2014 with an 0-5 record both straight up and against the spread in their last five home games, perhaps New Orleans is the place where Winston and the Bucs can right the ship.

"We opened this matchup Saints -10.5, moving Saints -10 on Monday with 57 percent of the action coming in on the Saints to cover," Stewart tells Covers. "I can see us moving to Saints -9.5 come the weekend as I think the sharps will back the Bucs to cover, with the poor defense of the Saints allowing Tampa to put points on the board."


Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers - Open: -3, Move: -3.5

In what could be a forecast of a playoff matchup come January, the Packers host the Seahawks in one of the marquee matchups on the Week 2 docket. The Seahawks have traditionally not fared well in their visits to Wisconsin and the betting patterns on this game reflect that with a bit of faith in the home team.

"We don’t anticipate this line from moving off of GB -3.5," Sloan says. "The house is going to need Seattle plus the 3.5 for our lunch money come Sunday, but we’re fine with that. Currently, the bets are at 2-1 on GB, and the money is at 4-1, however the sharps have yet to pile in to show us who they like. With a steady line, there isn’t much need for them to act in advance."


New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills - Open: +1.5, Move: Pick, Move: +1.5

Thanks to a 27-14 win over the Indianapolis Colts as 1-point home dogs, Rex Ryan's Bills were a big Week1 highlight, but they'll face a stern test from a familiar foe in the New England Patriots.

The Pats have owned the Bills in upstate New York, posting a record of 9-2 ATS in the previous 11 meetings in Buffalo and, according to Stewart, bettors like the majority of action is on the Pats to keep that trend alive Sunday.

"This is a matchup I really like Belichick and the Patriots offense vs Ryan and the Bills defense," Stewart says. "We opened the Patriots as 1.5-point faves on the road and getting as low as a pick’em before moving back up to the Patriots -1.5 with 78 percent of the action to cover. I like the bills in this spot at home and I think the sharps will back the Bills as we get closer to game time."

[Udog]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 2

Jordan Matthews, at 6-foot-3, is one of the Eagles' many tall receiving options going against a small Cowboys secondary in Week 2 of the NFL season.

St. Louis Rams at Washington Redskins (+3.5, 41)

Rams’ red-zone defense vs. Redskins’ new kicker

Kicker turnover is nothing new in the early weeks of the NFL season. Teams are quick to drop any leg that underperforms, and the Redskins did just that with the release of Kai Forbath this week. Forbath was axed for being a dud on kickoffs, leaving Washington to bring in Dustin Hopkins as the team’s kicker heading into Week 2. Hopkins, who was practicing his form in public parks just last week after being dropped by the Saints, has the leg strength for kickoff but how will he fare on field goals?

He was a stud at Florida State but his pro career has been marred by injuries and underachievement. This preseason, he was 3 for 5 on FG attempts but has never played in a regular season game and doesn’t have much room to work on timing with his long snapper and holder, who had been with Forbath since 2012. Washington could find itself turning to Hopkins’ untested leg more than it would like in Week 2.

St. Louis’ defense doesn’t let opponents get inside the 20-yard line very often, allowing only 2.4 red zone attempts per game in 2014. Last week, the Rams kept Seattle out of the end zone in three of their four treks inside the twenty and forced the Seahawks to settle for three field goals. St. Louis forced opponents to kick 15 FG attempts of 40-plus yards last season, including seven of 50-plus, and have been known to block a FG from time to time.

Daily fantasy watch: St. Louis defense/special teams


Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants (-2.5, 51)

Falcons’ follies against pass-catching RBs vs. Giants’ pass-catching RBs

After the clock management snafu in Dallas Sunday night, Giants head coach Tom Coughlin is preaching possession. New York, despite a chance to put the Cowboys away late, was owned in TOP in Week 1, holding on to the ball for less than 23 minutes. That's about as long as an episode of your favorite sitcom. The G-Men really never got their West Coast offense going and underutilized their running backs, especially when it came to the passing game.

New York has two of the better pass-catching RBs in the NFL with Rashad Jennings and Shane Vereen combining for 673 receiving yards in 2014. Vereen was targeted five times, catching four of those passes for a team-high 46 yards in Week 1. Jennings was thrown to once for an incompletion. If Coughlin and offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo want to chew up the clock, finding the RBs in the flat will be a huge part of that game plan.

Atlanta had its hands full with pass-catching running backs against the Eagles Monday night. The Falcons gave up 111 yards on 14 catches – almost eight yards per reception – and a touchdown to Darren Sproles, Ryan Mathews, and DeMarco Murray. That was one third of Philadelphia’s total passing yards. Getting burned by versatile backs is nothing new to Atlanta, even if head coach Dan Quinn is now calling the shots for the stop unit. The Falcons allowed 785 yards receiving to RBs last season, which ranks fifth most in the NFL.

Daily fantasy watch: RB Shane Vereen, RB Rashad Jennings


Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-5, 55)

Cowboys’ short secondary vs. Eagles’ taller targets

Even if top corner Orlando Scandrick didn’t shred his knee this offseason, the Cowboys would still be in trouble versus the Eagles in Week 2. While everyone focuses on Murray’s first game against his former club, this game will likely be decided in the air. Dallas’ secondary could come up short – literally and figuratively – Sunday, having a tough time measuring up to Philadelphia’s taller receivers.

Brandon Carr stands 6-foot while rookie CB Byron Jones goes 6-foot-1. Then Dallas shrinks with Morris Claiborne (5-foot-11) and Tyler Patmon (5-foot-10), who will draw the short straw when it comes to covering Eagles WR Jordan Matthews, who runs a cool 6-foot-3 and adds to that with freakish athletic ability. The Cowboys have been small in the secondary for some time and have been bullied by bigger pass catchers in the past, like Detroit.

Behind Matthews, Philadelphia rolls out a receiving corps that could double as a solid basketball lineup. Riley Cooper stands 6-foot-4, rookie Nelson Agholor is 6-foot-1, Miles Austin is 6-foot-2, and TEs Brent Celek and Zach Ertz run 6-foot-4 and 6-foot-5 respectively. Hell, even Murray and Mathews are 6-foot. In fact, the only two receiving options under six feet are Sproles (5-foot-6) and Josh Huff (5-foot-11). That’s a tall order for Dallas to topple.

Daily fantasy watch: QB Sam Bradford, WR Jordan Matthews, WR Riley Cooper, TE Zach Ertz


Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers (-3.5, 49)

Seahawks’ softening secondary vs. Packers' deep pass attack

Can we dare say the “Legion of Boom” is no more? The Seahawks once-impenetrable secondary is a shell of its former self. Seattle has watched key members like Byron Maxwell walk away for big money while its most talented player, SS Kam Chancellor, collects dust during a contract holdout with the team. Even the brains behind the boom is gone, with Quinn taking the head coaching job in Atlanta. It would certainly seem like the Seahawks’ pass defense is ripping at the seams.

They allowed St. Louis to torch them for eight passing plays of 20 or more yards – most in Week 1 – and four of those were for 25-yards or more. To put that number into perspective, Seattle gave up just 14 passes of 25 yards or more in 2014… for the entire season. Enter the Packers, who may have lost some home run power when WR Jordy Nelson busted his knee this summer, but still have Aaron Rodgers slinging the pigskin. Green Bay put 34 passing plays of 25 or more on the board last year – fifth most – and had two in the opener against Chicago. Rodgers hit four passes of 20 or more yards and had a 34-yard pass interference call on the Bears in the fourth quarter.

James Jones blossomed in his return to the Cheeseheads but it was second-year WR Davante Adams who looks to be stepping into Nelson’s role as the deep threat. Randall Cobb, who was slowed by a sore shoulder, is another week healthier and will draw the attention of Seattle CB Richard Sherman in the slot – dragging the Seahawks' premier pass defender underneath and opening up the downfield threat for Rodgers.

Daily fantasy watch: QB Aaron Rodgers, WR Davante Adams

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 2


St. Louis @ Washington

Game 277-278
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
131.337
Washington
130.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
by 4
41
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+4); Over

Atlanta @ NY Giants

Game 279-280
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
128.680
NY Giants
134.390
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 5 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 2 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(-2 1/2); Under

Baltimore @ Oakland

Game 281-282
September 20, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
135.573
Oakland
125.869
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 9 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 6
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-6); Under

Houston @ Carolina

Game 261-262
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
131.495
Carolina
132.533
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 3 1/2
40
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+3); Over

Miami @ Jacksonville

Game 283-284
September 20, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
132.442
Jacksonville
123.774
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 8 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 6
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-6); Under

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans

Game 263-264
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
117.968
New Orleans
132.023
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 14
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 10
48
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-10); Under

Dallas @ Philadelphia

Game 285-286
September 20, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
129.403
Philadelphia
136.899
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 7 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 5
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-5); Under

San Francisco @ Pittsburgh

Game 265-266
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
129.126
Pittsburgh
137.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 8
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 5 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-5 1/2); Under

Seattle @ Green Bay

Game 287-288
September 20, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
139.718
Green Bay
140.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 1
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 4
49
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+4); Over

Detroit @ Minnesota

Game 267-268
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
130.414
Minnesota
134.895
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 4 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-2 1/2); Under

New England @ Buffalo

Game 269-270
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
141.247
Buffalo
136.107
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 5
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 1
45
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-1); Under

Arizona @ Chicago

Game 271-272
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
128.354
Chicago
129.860
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 2 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+2 1/2); Over

Tennessee @ Cleveland

Game 273-274
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
121.944
Cleveland
123.987
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 1 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+1 1/2); Over

San Diego @ Cincinnati

Game 275-276
September 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
135.134
Cincinnati
135.820
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 3 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+3 1/2); Over


NY Jets @ Indianapolis

Game 289-290
September 21, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
132.109
Indianapolis
136.277
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 4
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 7
47
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(+7); Over

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 2

Texans (0-1) @ Panthers (1-0)-- Houston already has QB controversy after Hoyer was yanked in loss to KC last week; Mallett came off bench and put 10 points up in garbage time. Texans won last six road openers but were a favorite in last five; they are 2-1 vs Carolina, winning 34-21 in only visit here, in '07. Carolina is 1-9-1 vs spread as favorite in home openers; under is 13-5 in their last 18. Last 2+ years, Texans are 0-6-1 as road favorites of 3 or less points. Panthers were 8-17 on third down, had three takeaways (+2) in win at Jacksonville last week. Last two years, Carolina is 7-2-2 as home favorite; since '07, 14-10-1 as home fave of 3 or less.

Buccaneers (0-1) @ Saints (0-1)-- Winston had tough time in NFL debut, tossing pick-6 on first pass; they were down 21-0 before his first completion. Saints won last seven series games, with three of last four by 3 or less points or in OT; Bucs lost last four visits here, with three losses by 11+ points. NO won six of last seven home openers (5-1-1 as a favorite in HO's)- eight of last 11 home openers stayed under total. Tampa lost last three and seven of last nine road openers; five of their last seven went over. Saints were 2-6 as home faves LY, after being 31-18 in that role from '07-'13. Since '09, Buccaneers are 25-19-1 as a road underdog.

49ers (1-0) @ Steelers (0-1)-- Over last decade, team that lost the Thursday night season opener is 3-6-1 vs spread m its Week 2 game. Short week, long travel for Niner squad that ran ball for 230 yards in 20-3 win over Minnesota Monday night. Since '11, 49ers are 6-2 as non-divisional road underdogs. Steelers are 7-5 as home favorites last two years; under is 25-15 in their home games since '10. Pitt put up 464 total yards in loss at Foxboro last week; they're 11-1 in last 12 home openers, 7-3 vs spread when favored. Five of last six home openers stayed under. 49ers are 6-2 in last eight road openers; under is 4-1-1 in last six. Niner coach Tomsula won his first game as head coach, now comes back to where he grew up for this.

Lions (0-1) @ Vikings (0-1)-- Detroit blew 21-3 lead in opening loss at San Diego; Rivers was 35-42/388 passing against them. Minnesota was dismal in Monday night loss at 49ers, giving up 230 rushing yards. Lions are 6-3 in last nine series games, but lost four of last six visits here. Minnesota lost five of last seven home openers; three of last four went over total. Last four years, Vikings are 7-9-1 as a home favorite, 2-3 in division games. Detroit is 4-9 as road underdog since 2012; in Chargers' last three drives Sunday, they scored three TDs in row, gaining 172 yards on 21 plays. Lion defense faded late after scoring TD in second quarter.

Patriots (1-0) @ Bills (1-0)-- Pats are 21-2 in last 23 games vs Buffalo, 7-1 last eight games vs Rex Ryan; NE is 10-1 in last 11 visits here, winning last three by 24-2-15 points- they're 6-3 in last nine road openers. Super Bowl champ does well in first game following year, but over last 14 years, they're 2-12 vs spread in Week 2 tilt. Bills are 10-3 as home dogs since '11, 7-2 in last nine AFC East home games- they are 9-7 in games with spread of 3 or less points since '13. Taylor averaged 10-3 ypa in his first NFL start last week, upset win over Indy. Patriots were 7-11 on 3rd down last week; they're 22-13 in last 35 games with spread of 3 or less points.

Cardinals (1-0) @ Bears (0-1)-- Arizona is 13-3-1 under Arians in games where the spread was 3 or less points. Redbirds covered last seven road openers, going 5-2 SU; four of their last five road openers were decided by 4 or less points. Seven of Arizona's last eight road openers stayed under total. Chicago won six of last eight series games; home side lost last three meetings. Arizona won 41-21 in last visit here ('09). Bears ran ball for 189 yards in LW's loss to Packers, but scored only 10 points in three red zone drives- over last three years, Bears are 6-16-2 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or less points. Arizona was stingy in red zone last week, allowing one TD on Saints' four drives since their 20.

Titans (1-0) @ Browns (0-1)-- Cleveland is 2-14 in home openers, 0-5 when they're favored. Browns (+2) upset Titans 29-28 LY, after trailing 28-10 at half. Browns won four of last six series games; home side lost six of last eight. Titans won four of last five visits here, last of which was in 2011. Over last 4+ years, Tennessee is 7-14-2 in games with spread of 3 or less points. Cleveland is 16-22-2 vs spread at home since '10- under is 21-10-1 in Browns home games since '11. Mariota had a great debut (13-16/185, 10.3 ypa); they were 4-4 in red zone, scored defensive TD. McCown had concussion last week; Manziel struggled in Swamp last week.

Chargers (1-0) @ Bengals (1-0)-- San Diego won four of last five visits here, in a series where visitor won last three meetings. Since '12, Chargers are 12-6-1 as road underdogs- over is 24-16 in their road games since '10. Bolts covered last three road openers- five of their last eight went over. Bengals are 10-5-2 as home faves since '12; over is 11-5 in Cincy home games last two years. Bengals won four of last five home openers (under 6-1 in last seven); they waxed Oakland last week, while Chargers came back from 21-3 deficit at home to beat Lions-- Rivers was 35-42/388 passing. Since '07, Cincy is 24-13-1 in games with spread of 3 or less.

Rams (1-0) @ Redskins (0-1)-- Huge trap game for St Louis squad that upset the Seahawks last week; Rams blanked Washington 24-0 here LY, when Fisher sent out six guys for coin toss acquired in RGIII trade. Rams won five of last seven in series, winning two of last three here (average total 25.3). St Louis lost 12 of last 13 road openers (over 3-1 last four). Washington is 3-7 in last ten games as home underdog; since '07, they're 3-10-2 as non-divisional home dogs. Rams were one of two teams (Dallas) last week to win despite -2 or worse turnover margin- they ran punt back for TD. Washington gave up PR to Miami for game-losing TD.

Falcons (1-0) @ Giants (0-1)-- Giants need win here after poor management cost them win in Dallas Sunday night, but they've lost last three home openers, giving up 30 ppg. Big Blue won five of last six series games, with five of six decided by 10+ points; Atlanta lost last three visits here, by 3-22-10 points. Last 2+ years, Falcons are 5-10 in games with spread of 3 or less points- they're on short week after Monday night win, when they blew 20-3 halftime lead, then kicked GW FG late. Giants allowed 356 passing yards in Dallas, allowing 356 PY in game where they had +3 TO ratio- could struggle vs Julio Jones, who caught nine balls for 141 yards with two TDs Monday night.

Ravens (0-1) @ Raiders (0-1)-- Unsure of Carr's status (hand) here; McGloin led two garbage time TD drives last week. Baltimore is 7-1 in last eight series games, winning last four meetings by average score of 33-12; Ravens are here for first time since '09- they're 7-10 as road favorites since '11. Since 2010, Oakland is 9-15-1 as home underdog; seven of its last nine home games went over total. Ravens' only TD in Denver loss was scored by defense; they were outgained 219-173, got to Bronco red zone once, but didn't score. Baltimore was one of three teams not to score offensive TD last week (Broncos/Vikings). Raiders last series win: '03.

Dolphins (1-0) @ Jaguars (0-1)-- Miami is trying to cover as road favorite for 2nd week in row; over last ten years, teams are 30-26 vs spread in this spot, but Miami is one of six NFL teams that hasn't been in this spot. Dolphins (-6) scored two defensive TDs in 27-13 win over Jax LY; they won last three vs Jaguars by 4-21-14 points. Since '12, Jaguars are 11-28-1 as home underdogs. Miami covered three of last four as road favorite. Jax turned ball over three times (-2) last week, gave up a defensive TD, but their defensive only allowed one TD- they scored only 10 points in three red zone drives. Under is 32-17 in Dolphin road games since '09, 21-12 in last 33 Jaguar home tilts.

Cowboys (1-0) @ Eagles (0-1)-- Home side lost six of last seven games in rivalry that was intensified by Murray signing with Iggles as free agent. Dallas won last three visits here, all by 11+ points. Philly is 2-4 in last six home openers, 6-13 after losing as a favorite- they scored 30-34 points in two HOs under Kelly. Cowboys covered seven of last eight road openers; they're 9-3 as underdog in road opener, with five of last seven staying under total. Dallas needed miraculous comeback to nip Giants last week; Eagles rallied back from 20-3 halftime deficit but fell 26-24 in Atlanta; Bradford threw for 336 yards in Eagle debut, is now 18-31-1 as NFL QB.

Seahawks (0-1) @ Packers (1-0)-- Seattle won last three series games, winning OT game at home in playoffs LY, after Pack couldn't recover onside kick, but Hawks also lost last five visits to Lambeau, with two of those five playoff games. Since 2007, Packers are 35-20-2 as home favorites; they're 6-2 vs spread last eight home openers (7-1 SU), with last four going over total. Since '11, Seattle is 8-4-3 as road underdog; they gave up 297 passing yards to Foles last week- what will Rodgers do vs secondary weakened by Chancellor's absence? Pack won in Chicago last week after trailing 13-10 at half; Bears ran for 189 yards, were 11-17 on 3rd down.

Jets (1-0) @ Colts (0-1)-- Jets took advantage of Browns' lousy QB situation last week, getting five turnovers in 31-10 win, but over last three years, Indy is 6-0-1 vs spread in game after they lost as a favorite. Colts are 10-7-1 as home favorites since '12, but covered only one of last five as a favorite in home opener. Jets won three of last four series games; two of four were playoff games; they're 3-2 in last five visits here. Since 2011, Jets are 9-14-2 as road underdogs, 2-11-2 outside the AFC East. Last five years, under is 24-16 in Colt home games. Not sure why Indy is letting Pagano coach as free agent, but it ain't helping- they had a -3 turnover ratio last week, lost to a QB making his first NFL start.