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  • #16
    Vikings quietly confident entering season

    EDEN PRAIRIE, Minn. -- Vikings coach Mike Zimmer was asked a week ago to explain his thought process on distributing playing time for his starters in the fifth and final preseason game at Tennessee on Sept. 3.

    "Those who need to play," he said, "will play."

    Apparently, the Vikings were more than ready for the regular season a week ago. Only two projected starters - strong safety Robert Blanton and middle linebacker Gerald Hodges - played in the 24-17 loss, the first defeat in nine preseason games over two years for Zimmer. And Hodges, an outside linebacker who was moved into the middle just last month, isn't a lock to line up with the starters on Sept. 14 in San Francisco.

    "We're excited that it's September," said starting quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, whose 82.9 completion percentage crushed the previous team preseason record of 71.7 set by Rich Gannon in 1992. "We like our chances this year, but we haven't done anything yet. We were 7-9 a year ago. We have to prove ourselves this year."

    Offensively, the starters lacked only one thing this preseason: A consistent running game. The Vikings ranked 28th in average yards per carry (3.0) this preseason, but weren't overly concerned internally because, well, there's a presumed savior on the way.

    Running back Adrian Peterson, who hasn't played since the season opener a year ago, will be unleashed upon the rest of the league starting on "Monday Night Football" in San Francisco. After a year spent dealing with the law and the league over child abuse charges, Peterson, now 30, looks well-rested and in typical prime condition.

    "He hasn't played in a year," Bridgewater said, "and he isn't happy about it."

    Meanwhile, under the radar is tight end Kyle Rudolph, finally healthy after missing 15 games over the past two seasons. He'll gobble up first downs as a mismatch who occupies the areas between Peterson's running and the deep-ball possibilities to Charles Johnson and first-year Viking Mike Wallace. In the fourth preseason game, Bridgewater checked out of one play and into a deep ball to Wallace, who gained separation in man coverage and pulled in a perfectly-thrown ball for a 39-yard gain.

    The biggest question mark offensively is the line, where every starter has something to prove. Left tackle Matt Kalil was horrendous a year ago. Left guard Brandon Fusco missed 12 games because of a torn pectoral and has switched positions from right guard. Center John Sullivan presumably will return to practice this week after missing three weeks of practice and two preseason games that he would have played in. Right guard Mike Harris is a career tackle who has played one regular season game at guard. And right tackle T.J. Clemmings is a rookie who was forced to start immediately when veteran Phil Loadholt went down with a season-ending Achilles' tendon tear.

    Defensively, the Vikings have the talent to make another jump from the dramatic one they made a year ago under Zimmer, the noted defensive strategist who believes in an aggressive, attacking style of play.

    "We don't sit back," linebacker Chad Greenway said. "We try to make the offense react to us a lot of times."

    The defensive line struggled against the run as the team ranked 25th a year ago. But Year 2 in Zimmer's scheme will help a solid unit balance between stopping the run and rushing the passer. Right end Everson Griffen is coming off a 12-sack season in his first year as a starter, while defensive tackle Sharrif Floyd is poised for a breakout year if he can stay healthy.

    At linebacker, Anthony Barr has All-Pro potential because of a body and skillset that has no limitations. He's also healthy again after knee injuries ended his rookie season after 12 games.

    Greenway, the 32-year-old in his 10th season, is expected to play only in the base defense for the first time. That means he'll likely play half of the snaps or less as rookie second-round draft pick Eric Kendricks assumes the second nickel linebacker job alongside Barr. Kendricks is small, but fast, instinctive and a polished tackler.

    Look for Kendricks to make a run at being a three-down linebacker by season's end. Right now, however, it appears the team is prepared to start Hodges in the middle despite his inexperience inside.

    In the secondary, free safety Harrison Smith and right cornerback Xavier Rhodes are two rising players with Pro Bowl-to-All-Pro potential. The other spots are shakier, particularly at strong safety, where Blanton appears to have won the job by default for the second straight year after the more preferred candidate Antone Exum battled injuries this summer.

    Meanwhile, the Nos. 2-4 corner jobs have some concerns. Starting left corner Terence Newman has been steady, except for getting badly burned by Raiders rookie Amari Cooper, but he's also 37 years old. The nickel job could be shared by veteran Captain Munnerlyn, a natural slot corner who lost his starting job from a year ago, and rookie first-round draft pick Trae Waynes, who has promise but has been slower to develop. When Waynes is used in the nickel sub package, Newman has to switch into the slot, where he's capable but less comfortable.

    On special teams, the Vikings have much to be happy about and some big things to worry about.

    First, their return games are extraordinary. Kick returner Cordarrelle Patterson, who broke off a 106-yard touchdown this preseason, appears to be back to his rookie All-Pro form, while the punt return job is in capable hands with annual roster survivor Marcus Sherels and exciting rookie Stefon Diggs.

    But there's another former All-Pro special teamer who is causing some angst, at least among fans. Kicker Blair Walsh, who made a career-low 74.3 percent of his field-goal attempts a year ago, was awful while making just 5 of 11 attempts and an extra point this preseason.

    "Blair is our kicker," Zimmer stated emphatically when asked if the team was concerned enough about their kicker to make a drastic move with the guy they just rewarded with a contract that makes him the fourth-highest paid kicker in the league.

    Punter Jeff Locke continues to be inconsistent after two inconsistent seasons. And the long-snapper is first-year Viking Kevin McDermott, who beat out 11-year veteran Cullen Loeffler.

    The Vikings also announced they signed 10 players to their practice squad on Sunday: defensive end B.J. DuBose, offensive lineman Isame Faciane, wide receiver Isaac Fruechte, safety Anthony Harris, linebacker Brian Peters, fullback Blake Renaud, linebacker Brandon Watts, running back Dominique Williams and offensive lineman David Yankey.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #17
      Cowboys acquire RB Michael from Seahawks

      SEATTLE - The Dallas Cowboys announced they have acquired running back Christine Michael from the Seattle Seahawks, reportedly for a conditional seventh-round draft pick.

      Michael will be expected to provide depth behind Darren McFadden, Joseph Randle and Lance Dunbar in the Cowboys' backfield.

      The Seahawks had high expectations for Michael as a second-round pick out of Texas A&M in 2013, but he failed to develop as the front office had expected and Seattle signed veteran Fred Jackson to serve as Marshawn Lynch's primary backup.

      Michael, 24, survived Saturday's roster cuts as Robert Turbin was placed on injured reserve, but the Seahawks were impressed with rookie Thomas Rawls during the preseason (21 carries for 127 yards and one touchdown)

      Touted for his combination of size and speed, Michael (5-feet-10, 221 pounds) has flashed during the preseason but has logged only 52 carries for 254 yards (4.9-yard average) and one touchdown through his first two seasons.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #18
        Kelly: Tebow not 'good enough' to be Eagles' No. 3 QB

        Tim Tebow apparently just wasn't "good enough" to be the Philadelphia Eagles' third-string quarterback in coach Chip Kelly's offense.

        Tebow had appeared to win the competition for the No. 3 job behind starter Sam Bradford and backup Mark Sanchez when Matt Barkley was traded to the Arizona Cardinals on Friday.

        But Tebow was one of 22 players released Saturday as the Eagles reduced their roster to 53 players.

        Kelly praised Tebow for working hard and getting better, but ultimately that wasn't enough to make the team.

        "We felt Tim has progressed, but we didn't feel he was good enough to be the (No.) 3 right now," Kelly said during a news conference Saturday.

        "(Tebow) really improved his throwing motion from when he was throwing a couple of years ago. He worked extremely hard on it and deserves a lot of credit for that. I talked to him a little earlier (Saturday) when we released him.

        "He just needs to get more playing time. Get out there and get actual reps. Because he has done a ton on his own from an individual basis, but it is about taking that next step and playing the game."

        Tebow, who hasn't played in a regular-season game since 2012, played in all four of the Eagles' preseason games, completing 21 of 36 passes with two touchdown passes and one interception.

        The 28-year-old Tebow took to Twitter later Saturday, thanking Kelly and the Eagles:

        "Thanks @Eagles and Coach Kelly for giving me the opportunity to play the game I love! Romans 8:28 #Blessed"

        Kelly said the Eagles were planning to acquire a third quarterback.

        "We are not done," Kelly said Saturday. "There could be a third quarterback. We'll see what happens with the waiver wire. Whether we add a quarterback to the active roster or the practice squad, we'll see."
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #19
          NFL
          Dunkel

          Week 1

          Pittsburgh @ New England

          Game 461-462
          September 10, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Pittsburgh
          133.226
          New England
          148.273
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          New England
          by 15
          48
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          New England
          by 7
          52
          Dunkel Pick:
          New England
          (-7); Under


          Detroit @ San Diego

          Game 479-480
          September 13, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Detroit
          135.101
          San Diego
          132.099
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Detroit
          by 3
          41
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          San Diego
          by 3
          46
          Dunkel Pick:
          Detroit
          (+3); Under

          Tennessee @ Tampa Bay

          Game 481-482
          September 13, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Tennessee
          115.971
          Tampa Bay
          126.498
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Tampa Bay
          by 10 1/2
          44
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Tampa Bay
          by 3
          41
          Dunkel Pick:
          Tampa Bay
          (-3); Over

          Cincinnati @ Oakland

          Game 483-484
          September 13, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Cincinnati
          137.820
          Oakland
          127.803
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Cincinnati
          by 10
          39
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Cincinnati
          by 3 1/2
          43 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Cincinnati
          (-3 1/2); Under

          Green Bay @ Chicago

          Game 463-464
          September 13, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Green Bay
          143.240
          Chicago
          122.810
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Green Bay
          by 20 1/2
          54
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Green Bay
          by 6 1/2
          50
          Dunkel Pick:
          Green Bay
          (-6 1/2); Over

          Baltimore @ Denver

          Game 485-486
          September 13, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Baltimore
          138.908
          Denver
          140.257
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Denver
          by 1 1/2
          52
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Denver
          by 4 1/2
          48 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Baltimore
          (+4 1/2); Over

          Kansas City @ Houston

          Game 465-466
          September 13, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Kansas City
          136.634
          Houston
          130.078
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Kansas City
          by 6 1/2
          37
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Houston
          by 1 1/2
          41
          Dunkel Pick:
          Kansas City
          (+1 1/2); Under

          NY Giants @ Dallas

          Game 487-488
          September 13, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          NY Giants
          134.710
          Dallas
          137.522
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Dallas
          by 3
          48
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Dallas
          by 6
          51 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          NY Giants
          (+6); Under

          Cleveland @ NY Jets

          Game 467-468
          September 13, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Cleveland
          126.552
          NY Jets
          125.578
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Cleveland
          by 1
          43
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          NY Jets
          by 3
          39 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Cleveland
          (+3); Over

          Indianapolis @ Buffalo

          Game 469-470
          September 13, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Indianapolis
          131.803
          Buffalo
          139.254
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Buffalo
          by 7 1/2
          42
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Indianapolis
          by 3
          47
          Dunkel Pick:
          Buffalo
          (+3); Under

          Miami @ Washington

          Game 471-472
          September 13, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Miami
          132.573
          Washington
          134.740
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Washington
          by 2
          47
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Miami
          by 4
          43
          Dunkel Pick:
          Washington
          (+4); Over

          Carolina @ Jacksonville

          Game 473-474
          September 13, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Carolina
          132.137
          Jacksonville
          120.072
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Carolina
          by 12
          44
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Carolina
          by 3
          41
          Dunkel Pick:
          Carolina
          (-3); Over

          Seattle @ St. Louis

          Game 475-476
          September 13, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Seattle
          144.362
          St. Louis
          132.506
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Seattle
          by 12
          38
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Seattle
          by 3 1/2
          42
          Dunkel Pick:
          Seattle
          (-3 1/2); Under

          New Orleans @ Arizona

          Game 477-478
          September 13, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          New Orleans
          128.377
          Arizona
          127.599
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          New Orleans
          by 1
          53
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Arizona
          by 3
          47 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          New Orleans
          (+3); Over


          Philadelphia @ Atlanta

          Game 489-490
          September 14, 2015 @ 7:10 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Philadelphia
          131.407
          Atlanta
          125.719
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Philadelphia
          by 5 1/2
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Philadelphia
          by 2 1/2
          55
          Dunkel Pick:
          Philadelphia
          (-2 1/2); Over

          Minnesota @ San Francisco

          Game 491-492
          September 14, 2015 @ 10:20 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Minnesota
          133.488
          San Francisco
          128.052
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Minnesota
          by 5 1/2
          36
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Minnesota
          by 2 1/2
          41 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Minnesota
          (-2 1/2); Under
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #20
            NFL
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Thursday, September 10

            Steelers @ Patriots-- Pats are 5-0-1 vs spread as favorite of less than 9 points in their home opener; since '07, they're 23-14-1 as non-divisional home faves, 16-8 vs spread in last 24 games where spread was 3 or less points. Steelers lost last four road openers, all by 10+ points. Pats won five of last seven games with Pitt; average total in last nine series games is 54.7. Since '97, Steelers are 1-8 as an underdog in its road openers. Over is 28-12 in Patriot home games the last five years. Since '02, defending Super Bowl champ is 8-3-2 vs spread in next season's opener. Dick LeBeau was forced out as Steelers' DC; lot of changes in the Pittsburgh defense. Change isn't always good.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #21
              Meet VI Expert CH Ballers

              September 8, 2015


              VegasInsider.com is proud to introduce CH Ballers to the pro football handicapping roster.

              The handicapping team burst onto the sports betting scene last year as they captured the SuperContest, which is widely known as the most prestigious pro football handicapping contest.

              Not only did CH Ballers win the event at the Westgate Las Vegas Casino SuperBook, they blew away the record field of 1,403 particpants with a 64-20-1 record (76%).

              Fortunately for VegasInsider.com users, CH Ballers will be providing their expert selections and in-depth analysis for the NFL regular season.

              With the NFL regular season kicking off this weekend, VI had a quick back and forth with last year’s winners of the SuperContest.

              How did the group CH Ballers form?
              CH: Three of us have been playing (and betting on in some shape or form) football together for over 15 years…the fourth joined us after college. We started getting serious about a year ago when we decided to officially enter the SuperContest for the first time. It took a couple of weeks to perfect our system, but after that it has been so far so good.

              What made you participate in the SuperContest?
              CH: It has always been something we had followed and looked up to as a “World Series of gambling” type event. Finally one of the Ballers said hey, we can’t win if we don’t give it a shot, so we put up the entry fee and the rest is history…

              How surprised were you with your success in last year’s SuperContest?
              CH: It is something we have always followed as experienced gamblers, so having a winning record halfway through the season was not surprising to us. That said, as the season went on and we continued to have winning weeks (with multiple 5-0 runs) it started to get a little exciting. When we went on to win what we consider to be a “world series” event and to have done it in our first year of competing while setting an all-time win % record is definitely something that came as a bit of a surprise…Obviously it is something that we are all very proud of and have dedicated ourselves to trying to repeat.

              Advertisement

              Do you believe you can show consistent winning records over multiple seasons?
              CH: While we hope to keep setting records, we realize that beating last year’s performance will be nothing short of incredible. That said, we think we have an efficient and successful system that we can replicate to produce a competitive win record.

              After receiving national attention for winning the SuperContest with a record-breaking performance, what’s your overall take on the sports betting industry?
              CH: Generally we have found that most people have been warm and welcoming…after some of the news coverage we started receiving phone calls and emails from people who wanted to take us out to dinner because they had made so much money following our picks throughout the season. That came as somewhat of a surprise and is what inspired us to start publishing our picks.

              Are you feeling any pressure this season?
              CH: A little, but we love the pressure…it keeps us focused.

              What’s your handicapping approach?
              CH: We look at a lot of data (historical results, matchups, ratings, line moves, etc.) but we wouldn’t say that we have a particular approach…one of our secrets is not getting caught up in groupthink and being able to analyze the contrarian view.

              How did you decide what were the selections each week for the SuperContest with four individuals? Did you review plays that were “on the cusp” for the previous week?
              CH: It took a couple of weeks to perfect our system, but we each submitted our top picks via email and then got on the phone to review and hash out what our top 5 were.

              What’s the most difficult part of handicapping as a group? Easiest?
              CH: It’s great when we all see a particular game the same way (and it makes for an easy discussion), but the hardest (and actually most important in our opinion) is when we take opposing sides of a play…the ability to see a given game from a different perspective and have a “voice of reason” to tell you to stay away is always a great asset.

              What do you believe is the hardest part about handicapping the NFL? Easiest?
              CH: It’s gotten a lot more complicated…now we have to think about things like football pressure and concussions…generally the toughest part is accounting for what can happen in garbage time at the end of a game.

              Was there one individual that had more losses than the rest? Did you razz him…?
              CH: There was plenty of healthy conversation along the way, but all final picks were made as a team.

              What can users expect from CH Ballers this season?
              CH: A dedicated team that will continue to hash out the details and continue to pick NFL winners .

              Do you plan to offer more than just 5 SuperContest picks each week?
              CH: Of course…we will share as many picks as we can assuming we feel comfortable about taking a side (including non-contest options like O/U).

              When did your group start handicapping for the upcoming season?
              CH: Right after the NFL draft concluded.

              Do you handicap any other sports besides the NFL?
              CH: College Football (although not as frequently).
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #22
                Trends To Watch - September

                September 9, 2015



                The pig is finally in the air.

                That means it is now September and with it an array of NFL handicapping team trends are suddenly in play for fans and ‘players’ alike.

                Listed below are some of the best and worst team performances during the opening month of September. Team breakdowns include records at home, away, as a favorite, as an underdog, and in division games. All results are ATS (Against The Spread) unless noted otherwise.

                Remember, as the late, great Howard Cosell once said, “What’s right isn’t always popular. What’s popular isn’t always right.”

                Play accordingly.

                HOME TEAMS

                Keep an eye on (Good):

                Detroit has been notorious fast starters for years and is 29-16 ATS on a field where Eminem calls home. The lone home game will not be easy, facing Denver.

                Baltimore is still a respectable 28-16 ATS at home, but is not as strong under coach John Harbaugh. Let's see if they flex their muscles against Cincinnati on the 27th of the month.

                Keep an eye on (Bad):

                Arizona is just 14-23 ATS in the desert this month and has home games against New Orleans in Week 1 and San Francisco in Week 3. Definitely worth watching.

                The New York Jets have Ryan Fitzpatrick as their signal caller for now. Cleveland is in New Jersey for the season lid-lifter and Philadelphia two weeks later as the Flyboys try and improve on 18-28 ATS mark the first month of the season at home.

                Cincinnati is a miserable 15-25 ATS this month and probably fortunately just has San Diego in Week 2 on the banks of the Ohio River.

                Washington has been laboring at home for years and is 16-27 ATS before the home crowd. Having Miami and St. Louis the first two weeks, we will find out quickly if Robert Griffin III is really is among the best quarterbacks in the NFL as he recently proclaimed, or whether Kirk Cousins is really the answer.

                AWAY TEAMS

                Keep an eye on (Good):

                Kansas City is money on the road to begin the season at 30-17 ATS and has two chances to better that record: In the opener at Houston and the Week 3 Monday nighter at Lambeau.

                Dallas was 8-0 and 7-1 ATS last season in away outings, which helped build a recent 29-16 ATS mark. That makes the Week 2 battle at Philly worth waiting for.

                Keep an eye on (Bad):

                It has never made sense why a franchise as consistently good as Pittsburgh struggles early on the road and is a dismal 15-29 ATS. They might catch a bit of a break being in New England for Game 1 of the season. Seventeen days later they will be in St. Louis.

                Speaking of the Rams, they are only marginally better at 15-28 ATS, but found a home team as bad as they are in Washington, leaving football bettors to choose the lesser of two evils.

                FAVORITES

                Keep an eye on (Good):

                Seattle is a rock solid 29-16 ATS favorite, however, like usual will be tested at St. Louis in the opener. Two weeks later they will likely have an easier time facing Jay Cutler and the Bears.

                Bad:

                With the Cardinals a lousy home team, it stands to reason they would be a mediocre favorite. At 7-18 ATS in September, this is as bad as it gets, so let's see of the Saints and Niners can expose them again as frauds in that role.

                If you have too much money, we have a perfect solution... bet Carolina as favorites this month. The Panthers are 8-18 and should be favored in all three games in September!

                St. Louis fits the bill also at 12-25 ATS, however, we know they will not be a favorite against Seattle in the first contest and chances are will not being handing out points at the Redskins or home to Pittsburgh. Watch the numbers and keep this in mind.

                UNDERDOGS

                Good:

                The Dallas Cowboys thrive in this role at a sensational 26-12 against the number. Their Week 2 showdown at Philly will be their lone chance to improve on record.

                Keep an eye on (Good):

                With road games at Houston and Green Bay, Kansas City will be an underdog and seeking to improve on 27-17 ATS. In between those contests is a home date with rival Denver and based on the past two years in this matchup at Arrowhead, the Chiefs might actually not be favored until their fifth contest.

                Bad:

                We already mentioned the Steelers slow starts and they are 10-21 ATS when catching points this month. They are underdogs at New England, with a Week 3 nonconference clash at St. Louis to be determined later.

                DIVISION

                Good:

                The Chiefs home opener will on Thursday night against Denver on the 17th and K.C. is a dandy 23-11 ATS in that role.

                Keep an eye on (Bad):

                With New England's quarterback situation temporarily settled with Tom Brady back, we’ll see whether the added weight and the bull eye of being defending Super Bowl champs weighs on the Pats disappointing 16-24 ATS vs. the AFC East.

                Cincinnati is a fairly disheartening 13-20 ATS against the AFC North early on, and its first division confrontation of 2015 will be at Baltimore.

                I’ll be back next month with our review of NFL trends for October.

                Good luck this month.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #23
                  NFL
                  Long Sheet

                  Thursday, September 10

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  PITTSBURGH (11 - 6) at NEW ENGLAND (15 - 4) - 9/10/2015, 8:30 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  NEW ENGLAND is 167-128 ATS (+26.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
                  NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
                  1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Sunday, September 13

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  GREEN BAY (13 - 5) at CHICAGO (5 - 11) - 9/13/2015, 1:00 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  GREEN BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  GREEN BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                  GREEN BAY is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                  3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  KANSAS CITY (9 - 7) at HOUSTON (9 - 7) - 9/13/2015, 1:00 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
                  KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
                  1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  CLEVELAND (7 - 9) at NY JETS (4 - 12) - 9/13/2015, 1:00 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                  NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                  1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  INDIANAPOLIS (13 - 6) at BUFFALO (9 - 7) - 9/13/2015, 1:00 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  INDIANAPOLIS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
                  INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  MIAMI (8 - 8) at WASHINGTON (4 - 12) - 9/13/2015, 1:00 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  MIAMI is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
                  WASHINGTON is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                  WASHINGTON is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                  WASHINGTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
                  WASHINGTON is 74-104 ATS (-40.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
                  WASHINGTON is 74-104 ATS (-40.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
                  WASHINGTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
                  WASHINGTON is 74-104 ATS (-40.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
                  WASHINGTON is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  CAROLINA (8 - 9 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 13) - 9/13/2015, 1:00 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  JACKSONVILLE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  SEATTLE (14 - 5) at ST LOUIS (6 - 10) - 9/13/2015, 1:00 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
                  SEATTLE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                  ST LOUIS is 143-180 ATS (-55.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
                  ST LOUIS is 143-180 ATS (-55.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
                  ST LOUIS is 102-142 ATS (-54.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
                  ST LOUIS is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in September games since 1992.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  ST LOUIS is 2-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
                  SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
                  3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  NEW ORLEANS (7 - 9) at ARIZONA (11 - 6) - 9/13/2015, 4:05 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
                  NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
                  1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  DETROIT (11 - 6) at SAN DIEGO (9 - 7) - 9/13/2015, 4:05 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  DETROIT is 77-104 ATS (-37.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
                  DETROIT is 77-104 ATS (-37.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
                  SAN DIEGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  TENNESSEE (2 - 14) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 14) - 9/13/2015, 4:25 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                  TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                  TENNESSEE is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
                  TAMPA BAY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  CINCINNATI (10 - 6 - 1) at OAKLAND (3 - 13) - 9/13/2015, 4:25 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  OAKLAND is 37-71 ATS (-41.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
                  OAKLAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  BALTIMORE (11 - 7) at DENVER (12 - 5) - 9/13/2015, 4:25 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
                  DENVER is 1-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
                  1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  NY GIANTS (6 - 10) at DALLAS (13 - 5) - 9/13/2015, 8:30 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
                  DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
                  4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Monday, September 14

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  PHILADELPHIA (10 - 6) at ATLANTA (6 - 10) - 9/14/2015, 7:10 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  PHILADELPHIA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games when playing on Monday night since 1992.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  MINNESOTA (7 - 9) at SAN FRANCISCO (8 - 8) - 9/14/2015, 10:20 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  SAN FRANCISCO is 29-10 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.
                  SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    NFL
                    Short Sheet

                    Week 1

                    Thursday - Sept, 10

                    Pittsburgh at New England, 8:30 EST
                    Pittsburgh: 1-7 ATS in September games
                    New England: 167-128 ATS against conference opponents


                    Sunday - Sept, 13

                    Green Bay at Chicago, 1:00 EST
                    Green Bay: 9-2 ATS in games played on a grass field
                    Chicago: 0-6 ATS in home games in the first half of the season

                    Kansas City at Houston, 1:00 EST
                    Kansas City: 94-68 ATS in the first half of the season
                    Houston: 44-24 OVER in games where the line is +3 to -3

                    Cleveland at New York Jets, 1:00 EST
                    Cleveland: 70-42 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3
                    NY Jets: 37-46 ATS in the first month of the season

                    Indianapolis at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
                    Indianapolis: 25-11 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
                    Buffalo: 10-2 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points

                    Miami at Washington, 1:00 EST
                    Miami: 210-164 UNDER in all lined games
                    Washington: 7-18 ATS as an underdog

                    Carolina at Jacksonville, 1:00 EST
                    Carolina: 84-59 UNDER as a favorite
                    Jacksonville: 0-8 ATS in September games

                    Seattle at ST Louis, 1:00 EST
                    Seattle: 20-8 ATS against conference opponents
                    ST Louis: 102-142 ATS against conference opponents

                    New Orleans at Arizona, 4:05 EST
                    New Orleans: 11-3 UNDER in road games against conference opponents
                    Arizona: 10-3 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3

                    Detroit at San Diego, 4:05 EST
                    Detroit: 77-104 ATS in road lined games
                    San Diego: 7-0 ATS in the first month of the season

                    Tennessee at Tampa Bay, 4:25 EST
                    Tennessee: 42-24 ATS in non-conference games
                    Tampa Bay: 2-10 ATS against AFC South division opponents

                    Cincinnati at Oakland, 4:25 EST
                    Cincinnati: 8-1 UNDER in road lined games
                    Oakland: 8-20 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less

                    Baltimore at Denver, 4:25 EST
                    Baltimore: 40-30 ATS in the first month of the season
                    Denver: 155-102 OVER as a favorite

                    New York Giants at Dallas, 8:30 EST
                    NY Giants: 31-14 UNDER on road where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5
                    Dallas: 12-4 ATS in the first half of the season


                    Monday - Sept, 14

                    Philadelphia at Atlanta, 7:10 EST
                    Philadelphia: 15-5 ATS in road games when playing on Monday night
                    Atlanta: 4-10 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3

                    Minnesota at San Francisco, 10:20 EST
                    Minnesota: 23-39 ATS as a road favorite
                    San Francisco: 29-10 ATS when playing on Monday night
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      NFL

                      Week 1

                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      Trend Report
                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Thursday, September 10

                      8:30 PM
                      PITTSBURGH vs. NEW ENGLAND
                      Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
                      Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 9 games
                      The total has gone OVER in 11 of New England's last 15 games at home


                      Sunday, September 13

                      1:00 PM
                      KANSAS CITY vs. HOUSTON
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
                      Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games
                      Houston is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games at home

                      1:00 PM
                      GREEN BAY vs. CHICAGO
                      Green Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
                      Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
                      Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
                      Chicago is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay

                      1:00 PM
                      MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
                      Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
                      Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home

                      1:00 PM
                      INDIANAPOLIS vs. BUFFALO
                      Indianapolis is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
                      Indianapolis is 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
                      Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games

                      1:00 PM
                      CAROLINA vs. JACKSONVILLE
                      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games on the road
                      Carolina is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games at home
                      Jacksonville is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games at home

                      1:00 PM
                      CLEVELAND vs. NY JETS
                      Cleveland is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 6 games at home
                      NY Jets are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games at home

                      1:00 PM
                      SEATTLE vs. ST. LOUIS
                      Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Seattle

                      4:05 PM
                      DETROIT vs. SAN DIEGO
                      Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 gamesThe total has gone UNDER in 12 of Detroit's last 16 games
                      San Diego is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
                      San Diego is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

                      4:05 PM
                      NEW ORLEANS vs. ARIZONA
                      New Orleans is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Arizona
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Arizona
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
                      Arizona is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans

                      4:25 PM
                      CINCINNATI vs. OAKLAND
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
                      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games
                      Oakland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati

                      4:25 PM
                      TENNESSEE vs. TAMPA BAY
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 9 games on the road
                      Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
                      Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at homeTampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

                      4:25 PM
                      BALTIMORE vs. DENVER
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Denver
                      Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                      Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
                      Denver is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games

                      8:30 PM
                      NY GIANTS vs. DALLAS
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing Dallas
                      NY Giants are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing Dallas
                      Dallas is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants
                      Dallas is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants


                      Monday, September 14

                      7:10 PM
                      PHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
                      Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
                      Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
                      Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

                      10:20 PM
                      MINNESOTA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
                      Minnesota is 2-14-1 SU in its last 17 games ,on the road
                      Minnesota is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games
                      San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        NFL
                        Armadillo's Write-Up

                        Thursday, September 10

                        Steelers @ Patriots-- Pats are 5-0-1 vs spread as favorite of less than 9 points in their home opener; since '07, they're 23-14-1 as non-divisional home faves, 16-8 vs spread in last 24 games where spread was 3 or less points. Steelers lost last four road openers, all by 10+ points. Pats won five of last seven games with Pitt; average total in last nine series games is 54.7. Since '97, Steelers are 1-8 as an underdog in its road openers. Over is 28-12 in Patriot home games the last five years. Since '02, defending Super Bowl champ is 8-3-2 vs spread in next season's opener. Dick LeBeau was forced out as Steelers' DC; lot of changes in the Pittsburgh defense. Change isn't always good.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          NFL Opening Line Report: Broncos open -4 vs. Ravens

                          Over the past 10 seasons, the Pats have won 83 percent of their home games straight-up.

                          When federal judge Richard Berman overturned Tom Brady’s four-game suspension last week, it was the metaphorical shot heard ‘round the world. And it was particularly loud and clear in Las Vegas, where the line on Thursday night’s Pittsburgh Steelers-New England Patriots game jumped by as much as a touchdown at some sportsbooks.

                          Yes, the defending Super Bowl champions will have their superstar quarterback under center when the 2015 season opens. And in the wake of the ruling that cleared Brady’s way, Patriots money flooded the books – rightly so, according to Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas.

                          “I don’t put the opening-week NFL lines up until the preseason is over, and this game in particular plays into the reasons why,” said Avello, who now has the Patriots (15-4 SU, 11-8 ATS in 2014) as 7-point favorites. “Tom Brady is worth approximately 6 to 7 points, and now that I know he’s in, a full touchdown is a good starting point for betting purposes. Over the past 10 seasons, the Pats have won 83 percent of their home games straight-up, and bettors will need to decide if the 7 points will come into play in this excellent NFL opener.

                          At offshore site bookmaker.ag, John Lester said his operation played it close to the vest while the Brady case made its way through the legal process.

                          “Obviously, this line has been all over the place due to the Deflategate saga, but we protected ourselves a bit by pulling it during most of camp and the preseason,” said Lester, who also had the Pats at -7. “I feel that the Steelers are a tad overhyped heading into this season, and not having LeVeon Bell (suspension) in this one will hurt. The Pats are perennially slow starters, but more often than not, when drama surrounds them, they use it as motivation. “

                          Along with Bell’s two-game suspension, Avello also cautioned bettors on the Steelers (11-6 SU, 9-8 ATS in 2014) being without center Maurkice Pouncey, who is expected to miss 10 weeks with a broken leg.

                          Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos (-4)

                          Two of the last three AFC champions collide in this Sunday matchup, with both teams holding high hopes for the 2015 season. And as much as two perennial playoff contenders can, Lester says the Ravens (11-7 SU, 9-8-1 ATS in 2014) and Broncos (12-5 SU, 8-9 ATS in 2014) are perhaps a little overlooked, and he likes the visitor in this contest.

                          “Here we have two very good teams that seem to be flying under the radar a bit, Baltimore more so than Denver,” Lester said. “I expect our sharper clients will let the public drive this spread up even further than it’s moved thus far, and then take a shot with the Ravens. They are very live dogs, in my opinion.”

                          Avello expects a good game but seems to have a bit more faith in Denver.

                          “The Broncos have only two home losses in the last three years and therefore one of the strongest home-field advantages in the NFL,” he said. “They may not be as strong offensively as they have been in the past, but may have their best defense during Manning’s tenure in Denver.

                          “The Ravens always put a quality team on the field but have traditionally been slow starters.”

                          New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-5)

                          Bettors get a clash of NFC East rivals right out of the gate, and in the Sunday night prime-time spotlight, no less. New York was a dismal 6-10 SU, 7-9 ATS last year, while Dallas reached the second round of the playoffs in going 13-5 SU, 11-7 ATS. Avello expects more Cowboys money on this game in the coming days.

                          “New York Giants fans like myself haven’t had a lot to root for the past two years, and this season, at least on paper, doesn’t look that promising. Eli Manning has been inconsistent over that time period, and the offensive line probably plays a big part in that,” Avello said. “The Cowboys, who are coming off their best season in a decade, should compete for at least the division title. They’ve beaten the Giants four straight, and I expect the money will show up on them come Sunday night.”

                          Lester, who pegged the Cowboys a 6-point chalk, echoed Avello’s sentiments

                          “Some people believe in the Giants this year, but I am not one of them. The defense is a glaring concern,” he said. “This number seems about right, and the minimal line movement over the last couple of months has supported that. The Cowboys are the most public team we have.”

                          Seattle Seahawks (-3) at St. Louis Rams

                          The Seahawks (14-5 SU, 10-8-1 ATS in 2014) have been to the past two Super Bowls, and if not for a horrible play call, they’d be the two-time defending champions. But they start the season with an NFC West road game against what is expected to be an improved Rams squad (6-10 SU, 7-9 ATS in 2014).
                          That said, Lester still finds the number curiously low.

                          “Bettors who have any sense are going to look at this line and see that it reeks of fish stench,” Lester said. “St. Louis usually plays Seattle tough (3-0 ATS last three at home), and Rams coach Jeff Fisher should be preaching to his players that this is a statement game to start the season. The squares will be all over Seattle at this short price.”

                          Avello, who put Seattle at -4, also expects the Fisher-led rams to make this interesting.

                          “St Louis stayed competitive in 2013 and ‘14 after losing quarterback Sam Bradford, and I attribute much of that to Coach Fisher, because I believe he’s one of the best in the league,” Avello said. “In the last three meetings at St Louis, the Rams have won twice and lost the third by five points, so going to Missouri hasn’t been a cakewalk for the Seahawks.

                          “Seattle will certainly be in the hunt to win it all again, but we’re talking Game No. 1 of the season here.”
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            NFL Line Watch: Don't wait for Colts to become field goal faves

                            Spread to bet now

                            Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills (+2.5)

                            The Bills apparently are going to be the first team in NFL history to try to win a game without a quarterback, going with Tyrod Taylor and basically telling the world that Buffalo will be running the ball 70 percent of the time and hoping its defense gets it done. It’s no surprise, then, that they are home dogs in the opener.

                            The Colt defense hasn’t undergone a major upgrade and was merely mediocre last season, but it won’t have to be overpowering in this one. Assuming even an average effort from Indianapolis’ offense, the Colts should be able to cover 2.5. Good idea to get in before it becomes a field-goal line.

                            Spread to wait on

                            Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons (+2.5)

                            The line in this one has bounced around from a pick ‘em to Philadelphia -3, depending on where you shop, and the feeling is that it will not go off at 2.5 on the early Monday night kickoff. Atlanta basically devoted its draft to defense after several dreadful performances last season, but the upgrades may need a month or more to get comfortable.

                            The Falcons also have a new coaching staff, which was mandated after the team lost 22 of its last 32 games. In Philadelphia, Chip Kelly is constantly adapting and not afraid to trade away stars. He now has a new QB (Sam Bradford) running the show as last year’s starter, Mark Sanchez, is relegated to No. 2.

                            Total to watch

                            Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots (52)

                            The angry Patriots waged war on the NFL in the wake of SpyGate in 2007, running up a total of 589 points against 16 befuddled opponents as oddsmakers struggled to produce totals high enough. Could it happen again post-Deflategate?

                            There may be high numbers again, but it might not be the result of a Patriots offense that enters the year banged up at the WR position. New England’s defense appears back in bend-don’t-break mode after letting most of its 2014 secondary walk away, and there are questions whether at 37 years old, Tom Brady can again make up for it on the other end. Both the Steelers and Pats were OK (9-7) teams at playing Over the total last year.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Coleman opens season as Falcons' starting running back

                              FLOWERY BRANCH, Ga. -- As the offseason progressed, it was clear the Atlanta Falcons would be making a change at running back.

                              Steven Jackson, Jacquizz Rodgers and Antone Smith did not return after the 2014 season.

                              Devonta Freeman, a fourth-round pick last season, returned while Tevin Coleman was selected in the third round of the this year's draft.

                              When the Falcons host the Philadelphia Eagles Monday night, Coleman will get the starting nod with Freeman recovering from a hamstring injury.

                              Head coach Dan Quinn said Wednesday, "That's (how) we'll start off. We are still working through some of the things. But (Coleman) is how we'll start it off."

                              Coleman averaged 142.6 rushing yards per game over the final 21 games of his college career at Indiana. He owns the school's single-season rushing record with 2,036 yards, which he set last season, and he set the mark while going for 228 yards against eventual national champion Ohio State.

                              The Falcons hope Coleman can add pop to their attack.

                              With Freeman potentially sidelined, undrafted rookie free agent Terron Ward is in line to be Coleman's backup. Ward is the younger brother of Denver safety T.J. Ward.

                              Said Quinn, "I think the combination as a protector and as a runner (was impressive). The detail that he went for on special teams, to really go for it, just jumped out at us right away."

                              Notes: Left guard Andy Levitre, who was acquired in a trade from Tennessee, restructured his contract to lower his base salary to $1.5 million, down from $6.5 million. The Falcons made up the difference with a $5 million signing bonus, which gave him a new salary-cap number of $2.875 million. He was set to receive $27.3 million on the original six-year, $46.8 million deal he signed with Tennessee as a free agent after spending four seasons in Buffalo. ... Tight end Jacob Tamme, who suffered a back injury in the preseason finale, has been cleared to play and is expected to start against the Eagles.

                              Free safety Robenson Therezie, an undrafted rookie from Auburn, was a utility player in college and played several positions. The Falcons decided he was best as a free safety. "We saw the big jump when we got to camp," Quinn said. "He was one that totally made the jump at free safety. Is he a corner? Is he a nickel? Or is he safety? It became really clear that he could be best featured at free safety."
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Patriots make roster moves before opener

                                The New England Patriots signed defensive back Justin Coleman to the 53-man roster from the Seattle Seahawks' practice squad and placed offensive lineman Bryan Stork on injured reserve on the eve of their season opener.

                                The Patriots also signed linebacker Alex Singleton to the practice squad and released offensive lineman Chris Barker from the practice squad on Wednesday.

                                Coleman, a 22-year-old rookie free agent, was released by the Minnesota Vikings on Aug. 30, signed by the Patriots on Sept. 4 and released a day later, and then signed by the Seahawks for their practice squad on Sept. 8.

                                Singleton, also a rookie free agent, was released by the Seahawks on Sept. 5.

                                Barker originally was claimed off waivers by the Patriots from the Miami Dolphins.

                                He played in four games for the Patriots as a rookie in 2013 and spent most of last season on the Patriots' practice squad. He was released by the team on Sept. 1 and signed to the practice squad on Sept. 8.

                                The Patriots open the regular season on Thursday night against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                                Comment

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