CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 11 (Thur., September 3 - Mon., September 7)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

September 3 - Monday, September 7

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 11

BC Lions @ Montreal

Game 291-292
September 3, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
106.988
Montreal
121.378
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 14 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
by 5
47
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(-5); Over

Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan

Game 293-294
September 6, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
102.428
Saskatchewan
111.040
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 8 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 3 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(-3 1/2); Under

Toronto @ Hamilton

Game 295-296
September 7, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
116.873
Hamilton
121.364
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 4 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 7 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+7 1/2); Under

Edmonton @ Calgary

Game 297-298
September 7, 2015 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
120.959
Calgary
117.320
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 3 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 5 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+5 1/2); Over

[Udog]

CFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 3

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 5) at MONTREAL (4 - 5) - 9/3/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 51-27 ATS (+21.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
MONTREAL is 49-79 ATS (-37.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 6

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WINNIPEG (3 - 6) at SASKATCHEWAN (0 - 9) - 9/6/2015, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 107-74 ATS (+25.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, September 7

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TORONTO (6 - 3) at HAMILTON (6 - 3) - 9/7/2015, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 6-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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EDMONTON (6 - 3) at CALGARY (7 - 2) - 9/7/2015, 4:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

CFL

Week 9

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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 3

7:30 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. MONTREAL
British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
British Columbia is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Montreal is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 7 games at home


Sunday, September 6

4:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg


Monday, September 7

1:00 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

4:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
Edmonton is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
Edmonton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton


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[Udog]

CFL

Thursday, September 3


Lions struggling ATS on the road this year

The BC Lions head into the Week 11 schedule with a 1-3 record against the spread in their four road games this season and have gone just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games dating back to last season.

The Lions will visit the Montreal Alouettes Thursday evening and are currently tabbed as 5-point road underdogs for the meeting.

BC is coming off a bye week but lost to the Als in Week 9 by a score of 23-13 and closed as 3-point faves.

[Udog]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 3


British Columbia (3-5) @ Montreal (4-5)-- Alouettes (+3) upset Lions 23-13 out west two weeks ago, their first win in last five visits to Vancouver; Als had 411-249 edge in yardage. Lions had last week off after their fourth loss in last five games, while Montreal (+10) upset TigerCats in Hamilton last week. Montreal won three of last four series games, winning the last five played here, last two by 24-9/50-17 scores. BC is 1-3 on road, losing by 11-10-30, with only win at winless Saskatchewan. Montreal is 2-2 at home, 1-1 as a home favorite; eight of their nine games stayed under total.

[Udog]

CFL

Thursday, September 3


Blue Bombers trade for Eskimos QB Nichols

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers have acquired veteran quarterback Matt Nichols from the Edmonton Eskimos Wednesday for a conditional draft pick in the 2017 CFL draft.

Nichols went 5-2 with 1,488 passing yards eight touchdowns and 10 interceptions when stepping in for injured QB Mike Reilly, but with the emergence of young James Franklin, Nichols became expendable.

Nichols also fills a need for the sputtering Blue Bombers, who have dropped three straight games since losing starter Drew Willy to a knee injury.

The Blue Bombers are currently 3.5-point road dogs for Sunday's matchup with rival Saskatchewan.

[Udog]

CFL

Sunday, September 6


Brohm to start for Blue Bombers Sunday

Quarterback Brian Brohm has been given the starting nod for the Winnipeg Blue Bombers as the struggling club visits the Saskatchewan Roughriders Sunday afternoon.

Regular No. 1 quarterback Drew Willy is scheduled to be back later this month as he nurses a knee injury, though Ed Tait of the Winnipeg Free Press speculates a mid-to-late October return, and backup Robert Marve has placed on the injured list with a leg injury.

Winnipeg traded for Matt Nichols from the Edmonton Eskimos earlier in this week.

The Bombers have lost three-consecutive games straight up and against the spread and are presently 3.5-point road dogs at the Saskatchewan Roughriders in the lone CFL matchup Sunday.

[Udog]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Sunday, September 6

Winnipeg (3-6) @ Saskatchewan (0-9)-- An 0-9 team that just fired its coach and GM is favored over a 3-6 team? Bombers lost 14 of last 17 games with Saskatchewan, but snapped an 11-game losing skid in Regina when they upset Riders 30-26 (+6) in Week 1. Winnipeg lost last three games overall by a combined score of 101-37. Saskatchewan is a disaster; they've been favored in four of the losses with five of the nine losses at home. Last seven Winnipeg games, four of last six Roughrider games stayed under the total, Robert Marve, who wasn't even good in college (Miami/Purdue) is Bombers' QB.


Monday, September 7

Toronto (6-3) @ Hamilton (6-3)-- TiCats (-3.5) beat Toronto 34-18 in Week 6 in their home opener; they had 5-game win streak snapped here by Montreal last week. Hamilton won five of last seven vs Toronto, winning four of last five played here- home side won last four series games. Argonauts won three of last four games, are 3-3 SU on road (3-2 as road dogs)- they scored 27+ points in all six wins, 20 or less in their three losses. Hamilton held six of last seven opponents to 22 or less points- they're 3-1 as home favorites. Under is 5-2 in last seven TiCat games, 1-3 in last four Toronto tilts.

Edmonton (6-3) @ Calgary (7-2)-- Stampeders won last 11 games with provincial rivals, hammering Eskimos 43-8 (-6.5) in playoffs LY. Edmonton lost last five visits here (2-3 vs spread); they split last four games after a 4-1 start. Eskimos are 2-2 on road, 1-0 as road dogs; three of their last four games went over. Calgary won its last four games after a 3-2 start, scoring 35.8 ppg during its win streak; they're 1-4 as a home favorite, winning 48-3 (-9) over Ottawa in last home game. Edmonton allowed 17 or less points in all six wins; 26-26-49 in losses. Four of last six series games stayed under.

[Udog]

CFL

Tuesday, September 8


Favorites have second straight profitable week in CFL

It has been a year dominated by the underdogs in the CFL, but the trend has finally started to even out for the past two weeks.

With two Labor Day games on Monday, favorites closed out the week going 3-1 against the spread and are now 6-2 over the past two weeks.

Even with the recent success, favorites are still just 16-26-1 ATS for the season.