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CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 8 (Thur., August 13 - Sat., August 15)

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  • CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 8 (Thur., August 13 - Sat., August 15)

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, August 13 - Saturday, August 15

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    CFL
    Dunkel

    Week 8


    Edmonton @ Montreal

    Game 111-112
    August 13, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Edmonton
    114.234
    Montreal
    118.143
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Montreal
    by 4
    41
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Edmonton
    by 1
    45
    Dunkel Pick:
    Montreal
    (+1); Under

    Toronto @ Winnipeg


    Game 113-114
    August 14, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    111.624
    Winnipeg
    108.931
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 2 1/2
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Winnipeg
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Winnipeg
    N/A

    BC Lions @ Hamilton


    Game 115-116
    August 15, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    BC Lions
    111.345
    Hamilton
    125.150
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Hamilton
    by 14
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Hamilton
    by 8 1/2
    51
    Dunkel Pick:
    Hamilton
    (-8 1/2); Under

    Ottawa @ Calgary


    Game 117-118
    August 15, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ottawa
    105.352
    Calgary
    120.743
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Calgary
    by 15 1/2
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Calgary
    by 7 1/2
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    Calgary
    (-7 1/2); Over





    CFL
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, August 13


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    EDMONTON (4 - 2) at MONTREAL (2 - 4) - 8/13/2015, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    EDMONTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1996.
    EDMONTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MONTREAL is 2-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    MONTREAL is 2-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Friday, August 14

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    TORONTO (4 - 2) at WINNIPEG (3 - 4) - 8/14/2015, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Saturday, August 15

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    BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 3) at HAMILTON (4 - 2) - 8/15/2015, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 51-26 ATS (+22.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games in August games since 1996.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games off a win over a division rival since 1996.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HAMILTON is 2-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
    HAMILTON is 2-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    OTTAWA (4 - 2) at CALGARY (4 - 2) - 8/15/2015, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OTTAWA is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road lined games since 1996.
    CALGARY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.
    CALGARY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
    CALGARY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
    CALGARY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CALGARY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on turf this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALGARY is 2-1 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 2-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    CFL

    Week 8


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Thursday, August 13

    7:30 PM
    EDMONTON vs. MONTREAL
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Edmonton's last 10 games on the road
    Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Montreal is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing Edmonton


    Friday, August 14

    8:00 PM
    TORONTO vs. WINNIPEG
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
    Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
    Winnipeg is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Winnipeg is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto


    Saturday, August 15

    7:00 PM
    BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. HAMILTON
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games on the road
    British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Hamilton is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against British Columbia
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Hamilton's last 11 games when playing at home against British Columbia

    10:00 PM
    OTTAWA vs. CALGARY
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games on the road
    Ottawa is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games on the road
    Calgary is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games at home


    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Comment


    • #3
      CFL

      Thursday, August 13


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Game of the day: Eskimos at Alouettes
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Rakeem Cato threw for 303 yards and a touchdown, but also had two interceptions, including a pick in Ottawa's end zone in the third quarter of Friday's loss.

      Edmonton Eskimos at Montreal Alouettes (PK, 44.5)

      The Edmonton Eskimos look to bounce back from a disappointing Week 7 loss when they travel to Montreal to face the Alouettes on Thursday. The Eskimos let one slip away as they blew a 13-point lead in the 26-23 setback to the BC Lions and missed a golden opportunity to take sole possession of first place in the West Division.

      Edmonton swept the season series against the Alouettes in 2014, including a 33-23 victory at Molson Stadium, but have dropped six of the last seven meetings in Montreal. The Alouettes are in danger of falling out of contention in the East Division following a 26-23 loss to the Ottawa Redblacks. Montreal defensive end Michael Sam made his much-anticipated debut but it was largely uneventful as the CFL's first openly gay player failed to record a tackle, and the Alouettes fell four points behind the rest of the pack. "This team is going through some adversity right now," Sam told reporters. "Hopefully we put this game aside and focus on Edmonton."

      TV:
      7:30 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS, ESPN2

      LINE HISTORY:
      This game opened as a Pick and the total opened at 45 but has been moved to 44.5.

      INJURY REPORT:
      Eskimos - RB Shakir Bell (Probable, concussion).

      ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 2-4 O/U):
      Quarterback Mike Reilly returned to the practice field in a limited role for the first time since injuring his knee in the season-opening loss to the Toronto Argonauts. "He's still a ways away, but when he's completely healthy we'll put him back out there," Edmonton coach Chris Jones told reporters. "He's got distinct cadence so it was good to have him back." Adarius Bowman, who leads the team with 400 receiving yards, sat out the second half with a lower-body injury against the Lions and is questionable for Thursday.

      ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS, 1-5 O/U):
      Rakeem Cato threw for 303 yards and a touchdown, but also had two interceptions, including a pick in Ottawa's end zone in the third quarter. Montreal released kicker Sean Whyte, who lost his starting job to Boris Bede; linebacker Bryn Roy; and wide receiver Dobson Collins, whose fumble proved costly in the loss to the Calgary Stampeders in Week 6. S.J. Green had five receptions for 66 yards to go over the 6,000-yard mark for his career and currently leads the league with 539 receiving yards this season.

      TRENDS:


      * Over is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings.
      * Eskimos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
      * Eskimos are 2-5 ATS in their last seven Thursday games.
      * Alouettes are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.

      CONSENSUS:
      Fifty-four percent of users are backing the Alouettes.


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        CFL
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Thursday, August 13


        Edmonton (4-2) @ Montreal (2-4)-- Alouettes lost their two post-bye games by total of six points, after leading both games at half; five of their six games stayed under total. Montreal is 2-1 at home, 1-1 as favorite at home. Eskimos are 1-2 on road, winning 23-12 at Ottawa but losing by 15 at Toronto, 3 in Vancouver last week. Edmonton swept Alouettes 33-23/33-16 last year, after losing previous eight series games; over is 6-0-1 in last seven series games. Eskimos' win here LY was their first in last eight visits to Quebec.

        Comment


        • #5
          CFL

          Friday, August 14


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Game of the day: Argonauts at Blue Bombers
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          The Argonauts have scored a touchdown on 12 of their 17 trips to the red zone this season (71 percent) the highest percentage in the CFL.

          Toronto Argonauts at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+6, 48.5)

          Winnipeg begins life without quarterback Drew Willy when it hosts the Toronto Argonauts on Friday, and Blue Bombers coach Mike O'Shea isn't saying who will be his replacement. Willy is expected to be sidelined 6-to-8 weeks after suffering a tibial plateau fracture and partial PCL tear in Winnipeg's 38-8 loss in Hamilton on Sunday - its third setback in the last four games, leaving Brian Brohm or Robert Marve to keep the Blue Bombers afloat until Willy returns.

          Brohm hasn't recorded a touchdown pass while throwing five interceptions in 121 attempts covering two seasons, while Marve has thrown 29 passes in two years. Winnipeg also will be without running back Paris Cotton (team-best 268 yards) and slotback Darvin Adams (team-leading 360 receiving yards), who suffered a broken arm and an upper-body injury, respectively, against Hamilton. Toronto has won three of its last four contests and sits in a three-way tie for first place in the East Division following a come-from-behind 30-26 victory over Saskatchewan on Saturday. A big reason for the Argonauts' success has been the play of backup quarterback Trevor Harris, who leads the CFL in all major passing categories but could be back on the bench soon with Ricky Ray's return from offseason shoulder surgery looming.

          TV:
          8 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN3

          LINE HISTORY:
          The lines have yet to shift since opening at WPG +6, 48.5.

          INJURY REPORT:
          Argonauts - LB Cory Greenwood (Ques-Concussion), S Jermaine Gabriel (Ques-Groin), K Swayze Waters (Ques-Quad) Blue Bombers - RB Paris Cotton (Out-Arm), SB Nick Moore (Ques-Lower Body), DT Bryant Turner Jr. (Ques-Hand)

          ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 3-3 O/U):
          Harris tossed two of his CFL-leading 14 touchdown passes in the fourth quarter last week and also paces the league in completion percentage (75.0) and yards (1,819). Toronto boasts a deep stable of receivers including Diontae Spencer, who caught five passes for 94 yards and a touchdown Saturday in his first CFL contest. The depth will be key because Kevin Elliott (22 catches, 303 yards, three touchdowns) is doubtful to play Friday (ribs) while it appears Chad Owens (26, 284, one) will miss his second straight contest (ankle).

          ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS, 2-5 O/U):
          O'Shea said Da'Rel Scott, a seventh-round draft pick of the New York Giants in 2011 who carried 31 times for 98 yards over three NFL seasons, will make his CFL debut while replacing Cotton. The expected return of Nick Moore (team-best 28 catches, 308 yards), who missed the last two games because of a lower-body injury, could soften the blow of losing Adams. The Blue Bombers' defence allows 30 points per game - second-worst to winless Saskatchewan (32.1) - but could be bolstered by the return of defensive linemen Greg Peach and Bryant Turner.

          TRENDS:


          *Argonauts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
          *Blue Bombers are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
          *Under is 8-3 in Argonauts last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
          *Under is 5-0 in Blue Bombers last 5 games overall.

          CONSENSUS:
          53 percent of backers are taking the Argos with 55 percent on the over.


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            CFL
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Friday, August 14


            Toronto (4-2) @ Winnipeg (3-4)-- Argonauts won eight of last ten series games; five of last six went over the total. Toronto split its four road games this season; four of their last five games were decided by five or less points. Argos have yet to lead (0-5-1) at halftime so far this season. Three of Winnipeg's four losses are by 26+ points; they're 2-1 at home, with a 52-26 loss to Hamilton-- their last five games overall stayed under the total. After scoring 13+ points in each of first four games, they were outscored 45-10 in first half of last three.

            Comment


            • #7
              CFL

              Friday, August 14



              Another day, another dog cashes in the CFL

              Have you been paying attention?

              Because underdogs in the Canadian Football League are absolutely on fire.

              The Edmonton Eskimos were the latest underdog to cover the spread Thursday night, gutting out a 15-12 win over the Montreal Alouettes on the road, making pups a crazy good 22-6-1 ATS in CFL action so far this season.

              That is a cash rate of 78.57 percent, which is almost unfathomable through 29 regular season games.

              The Winnipeg Blue Bombers will try to be the latest underdogs to keep the trend going when they host the Toronto Argonauts on Friday night. The Bombers are currently listed as 6-point home dogs.

              Comment


              • #8
                CFL

                Saturday, August 15


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Game of the day: CFL Doubleheader
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Despite being 4-2 straight-up, the Calgary Stampeders are 0-6 against the spread.

                B.C. Lions at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-9, 50.5)

                The Hamilton Tiger-Cats look to continue their winning ways when they host the BC Lions on Saturday. The Tiger-Cats scored 31 first-half points en route to a 38-8 win over the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to earn their third straight victory, and pull into a three-way tie for top spot in the East Division.

                Hamilton is 8-0 in regular-season games at Tim Hortons Field since the stadium opened on Sept. 1, 2014, including a 19-17 victory over the Lions last October, and hopes to improve to 4-1 against West Division opponents this season. BC snapped a two-game skid with a morale-boosting 26-23 victory over the Edmonton Eskimos in Week 7. Andrew Harris seems to be fully recovered from an ankle injury, which kept him out of the last five games of 2014, as he's rushed for more than 100 yards in his last two contests and leads the league with 519 yards on the ground. The Lions have scored at least 36 points in three of the last six meetings with the Tiger-Cats and look for their first win against an East Division foe after failing to the Ottawa Redblacks and Toronto Argonauts earlier in the year.

                TV:
                7 p.m. ET, TSN

                INJURY REPORT:
                Lions - G Cody Husband (Ques-Undisclosed), DL Ese Mrabure-Ajufo (Ques-Undisclosed) Tiger-Cats - OL Landon Rice (Ques-Undisclosed), OL Brian Simmons (Ques-Undisclosed), DT Drake Nevis (Ques-Undisclosed)

                LINE HISTORY:
                The Tiger-Cats opened as 8-point favorites before jumping a full point to -9. The total has fallen half-a-point from 51 to 50.5.

                ABOUT THE LIONS (3-3 SU, 2-3-1 ATS, 3-3 O/U):
                Harris was named one of the CFL Top Performers of the Week after he accounted for 175 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns to lead the Lions past the Eskimos. "Andrew Harris is a tremendous running back and he's one of the biggest threats in the CFL," BC fullback Rolly Lumbala told reporters. "Just when you think he's hit his peak he surprises you with another crazy run." Travis Lulay overcame two interceptions to finish with 195 yards and two touchdowns, but has thrown six picks in his last three outings.

                ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS, 1-5 O/U):
                Emanuel Davis became the first Hamilton player to return two interceptions for touchdowns in the same game and earned one of the CFL Top Performers of the Week honours for his feat against the Blue Bombers. "I'm just happy to be part of something great this year," Davis told reporters. "I just had to wait for my time and luckily it's paying off right now." Zach Collaros threw for 280 yards and three touchdowns and has racked up 793 passing yards and seven scores during Hamilton's three-game winning streak.

                TRENDS:


                *Lions are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
                *Tiger-Cats are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
                *Under is 8-2 in Lions last 10 road games.
                *Under is 4-0 in Tiger-Cats last 4 games following a S.U. win.



                Ottawa Redblacks at Calgary Stampeders (-8.5, 48)

                The Calgary Stampeders look to stay undefeated at home when they take on the Ottawa Redblacks on Saturday. The Stampeders erased a 17-point deficit en route to a 25-22 victory over the Montreal Alouettes in Week 6 to improve to 4-0 at McMahon Stadium, and have won 10 of their last 11 home games dating back to last season.

                Calgary is tied with the Edmonton Eskimos for first place in the West Division with eight points and hopes to pull ahead of its provincial rival by avenging a 29-26 overtime loss to the Redblacks on July 24. Ottawa has already doubled its win total from a year ago following a 26-23 victory over the Alouettes in Week 7. Henry Burris is back on track after two disappointing displays against the Eskimos as he's thrown for 712 yards and five touchdowns in his last two games, including 389 yards and three scores against the Stampeders three weeks ago. Ottawa hopes to win three consecutive games for the first time in franchise history and break out of the three-team logjam at the top of the East Division.

                TV:
                10 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN2

                LINE HISTORY:
                The Stamps opened at 7.5-point favorites before jumping a full point to -8.5. The total has remained at 48 since open.

                INJURY REPORT:
                Redblacks - WR Chris WIlliams (Ques-Undisclosed) Stampeders - WR Joe West (Ques-Leg)

                ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 3-3 O/U):
                Ottawa made some roster moves as it signed running back Travon Van and released Jock Sanders. "We brought Jock in hoping to implement him a bit more offensively but it hadn't gotten to that point," Redblacks general manager Marcel Desjardins told reporters. "He's been good, but he hasn't been what we'd hoped he'd be." Chris Williams had seven catches for 162 yards and a touchdown in the first meeting with Calgary and leads the team with 432 receiving yards.

                ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (4-2 SU, 0-6 ATS, 1-5 O/U):
                Calgary signed running back Keith Toston, who was cut at the end of preseason, to the practice squad to provide depth with Jon Cornish out for the foreseeable future with a broken thumb. "Keith had a really good training camp for us and he knows our system," Stampeders coach John Hufnagel told reporters. "If his numbers gets called he'll be ready to go." Defensive back Adam Thibault sustained an ankle injury in the first meeting with the Redblacks but is likely to return in time for Saturday's contest.

                TRENDS:


                *RedBlacks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
                *Stampeders are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
                *Over is 4-1-1 in RedBlacks last 6 games following a S.U. win.
                *Under is 5-0 in Stampeders last 5 home games.


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • #9
                  CFL
                  Armadillo's Write-Up

                  Saturday, August 15


                  Ottawa (4-2) @ Calgary (4-2)-- RedBlacks (+4.5) upset Calgary 28-26 at home three weeks ago in game that Stampeders led 19-17 at half; that was only Ottawa game this season that went over total. RedBlacks outgained Stamps 422-350. Three of Ottawa's four wins are by four or less points; this is their first road game in five weeks- they're 1-1 on road, losing at Edmonton 46-17, winning in Montreal. Calgary is off its bye week; they're 0-6 vs spread so far this season; all four of their wins are by 5 or less points (0-3 as home favorite).

                  BCLions (3-3) @ Hamilton (4-2)-- Home side won six of last seven series games; Lions lost last two visits here, 37-29/19-17. Over is 7-4 in last 11 series games. TiCats won last three in a row, scoring 34.3 ppg; they won their two home games 34-18/38-8-- five of their six games stayed under the total. Lions have played six weeks in row since their Week 1 bye; they lost 27-16 in Ottawa, 23-13 in Winnipeg won at winless Saskatchewan. Hamilton's two losses are by total of five points; they've yet to trail a game at halftime (5-0-1) this season.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    CFL

                    Monday, August 17



                    Finally a favorites weekend in the CFL

                    In a season where underdogs have dominated against the spread, we finally had a weekend where favorites came through for backers in the CFL.

                    With Toronto, Hamilton and Calgary all able to cover this weekend, favorites went 3-1 ATS in the four Week 8 matchups. The lone dog to cover was the Edmonton Eskimos.

                    Despite the solid weekend, favorites are still just 9-22-1 ATS to this point in the season.

                    The lines for Week 9 are currently off the board.

                    Comment

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