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Rhodyjoe's Season Long Selection Thread

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  • Rhodyjoe's Season Long Selection Thread

    August 9th

    AAAH! Yea! The NFL season begins. Well, almost.
    The exhibition season can be the most profitable time of the entire season. Lifetime I am at 62% win rate for the Hall of Fame Game. Here is hoping that the success continues.
    Exhibition games are not part of my regular season format. For these exhibition games I pick the winners the old fashion way. No computers no nothing but human info.


    Game: Pittsburgh Steelers (241) vs. Minnesota Vikings (242)
    Time: Sunday 08/09 8:05 PM Eastern
    Pick: Pittsburgh +4 (-110)

    The preseason can be a good time to back underdogs, particulary in weeks one and four when so little is at stake. Here we find Pittsburgh as a dog despite winning a division title in 2014. That's because Minnesota went 4-0 last August under Mike Zimmer. However, Zimmer was a rookie head coach then and rookie coaches often want to show the fans and their new bosses that they hired the right man for the job. Zimmer has nothing to prove in 2015, coming off a decent inaugural season. This is still a rebuilding Vikings squad, one that has a young QB rotation and a defense ranked #25 against the run (121.4 yards per game). They face a talented and deep Steelers roster, one with a good QB rotation in Ben Roethlisberger, Landry Jones and Taj Boyd. Jones has shown improvement as the Steelers #3 QB, making the kind of progress over the past several practices in training camp that generally seemed to elude him over his first two seasons. A big reason is that he is playing with the big boys, throwing to targets such as Antonio Brown, Heath Miller, Markus Wheaton and Martavis Bryant, plus they add speedy rookie WR Sammie Coates (Auburn). Coach Mike Tomlin is 20-13 in preseason with all this talent, partly because he demands physical play even in August when many opponents are going through the motions to try to stay healthy. Even in practice the last week he was pleased with the physical play. This is a deep, talented young linebacking corps and the secondary has a slew of players fighting for roster spots with 26-year-old CB Cortez Allen and Mike Mitchell, plus rookies Senquez Golson (second round), Doran Grant and Gerod Holliman. Pittsburgh is on a 5-1 spread run and this shapes up as a good matchup for them. Take the Steelers. (Wunderdog)

    It Been A Long Strange Trip. I'd Like To Do It Again

  • #2
    Good Luck on Pitt!

    Comment


    • #3
      So much for the Lifetime record of 62% for the Hall of Fame Game.

      Last night was a loss but minus a quarter (-1/4) unit is nothing.



      It Been A Long Strange Trip. I'd Like To Do It Again

      Comment


      • #4
        08/13/2015

        NFL

        DETROIT -4.5 (-110)
        NY JETS vs DETROIT

        This is a tough preseason situation for the Cowboys, heading out on the road in the opener. The Dallas starters won't play against the Chargers, so the QB rotation is weak with Brandon Weeden, Dustin Vaughn and undrafted rookie Jameill Showers. Dallas coach Jason Garrett is 7-10 straight-up and 5-11-1 ATS in preseason. Dallas lost star RB DeMarco Murray in the offseason and this defense is still weak, and short on depth. San Diego is home and has a very good QB rotation, one that is deep on experience with Philip Rivers, Kellen Clemson, Brad Sorenson and Chase Rettig. A year ago San Diego opened preseason against Dallas and rolled, 27-7. In fact, they were 2-0 SU/ATS at home allowing 7 and 9 points. In that game the Chargers dominated Dallas in yards, 395-274, and riddled a suspect Cowboy secondary for 14-of-16 passing, 243 yards, 1 TD and no picks. Dallas is on a 1-7 SU/ATS preseason run under Garrett and opens 2015 with back-to-back road games, making this a great spot for the home team. Play on San Diego.

        2015 PreSeason
        0-1-0 = .000
        Last edited by rhodyjoe; 08-13-2015, 03:08 PM.
        It Been A Long Strange Trip. I'd Like To Do It Again

        Comment


        • #5
          Sorry wrong write up.
          It Been A Long Strange Trip. I'd Like To Do It Again

          Comment


          • #6
            08/13/2015 Results

            NFL

            DETROIT -4.5 (-110) Won 17-7
            NY JETS vs DETROIT

            Preseason
            1-1-0 =.500
            It Been A Long Strange Trip. I'd Like To Do It Again

            Comment


            • #7
              August 14

              NFL

              CAROLINA to Win +3(-110)
              CAROLINA vs BUFFALO

              The Carolina Panthers’ season last year didn’t go according to plan. They rode an outstanding defense the year before, but ultimately went backwards last season. However, even with a 7-8-1 record, the Panthers managed to make the playoffs. It was a train wreck of a season in the NFC South. Saints were putrid, Falcons didn’t have a defense, and the Panthers looked clueless at times, but still were able to make something out of nothing. It didn’t account for much, because they were ultimately bounced in the Divisional round. Led by Luke Kuechly, the Panthers have a formidable defense that should give the team enough to work with to be successful. I do like the drafting of linebacker Shaq Thompson as well. Cam Newton can do big things, but the rest of the team around him needs to help out, too.


              Preseason
              1-1-0 =.500

              It Been A Long Strange Trip. I'd Like To Do It Again

              Comment


              • #8
                Good Luck on Carolina!

                Comment


                • #9
                  August 14 Results

                  NFL

                  CAROLINA to Win +3(-110) Won 25-24
                  CAROLINA vs BUFFALO

                  PreSeason
                  2-1-0 =.666
                  It Been A Long Strange Trip. I'd Like To Do It Again

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    August 15th

                    HOUSTON to Win -2.5(-115)
                    SAN FRANCISCO vs HOUSTON

                    I expect Hoyer and Mallet to play in this game like they have something to prove. I don’t feel like either is going to lead the Texans to the playoffs this season, but both are going to be searching for the starting QB position in Houston. The defense is good, but isn’t going to be good enough in 2015 to bail out the quarterback situation. It doesn’t help any that Arian Foster will be absent from the starting lineup come week 1 of the regular season. JJ Watt is one of the best players in the NFL, and is going to be a force once again, but one defensive end isn’t going to amount to a postseason. In this particular game, keep a look out for wide receiver Jaelen Strong. Strong out of Arizona State always impressed me in his college career, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he makes an immediate impact, at least late in preseason games where he’ll see his playing time. I look for the Texans to win this game amidst a quarterback battle in Houston.

                    Point Total Over 36(-110)
                    TAMPA BAY vs MINNESOTA

                    I don’t see Hill having problems moving the ball on the Buccaneers. Conversely, Mike Glennon who has been a starter in Tampa for a great portion of his career, shouldn’t have problems. If you want to dig deeper, third stringer Mike Kafka of the Vikings has some experience as well. In any case, I think the matchup of Glennon and Hill will be able to facilitate some points for us. I don’t usually like taking OVER bets in the preseason, but when you have a plethora of experience at the quarterback position in these games, they tend to take advantage of second and third string defenders. I’ll take the OVER 36, in a game I see falling around 23-20.


                    PreSeason
                    2-1-0 =.666

                    It Been A Long Strange Trip. I'd Like To Do It Again

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Good Luck on the football plays today!

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        August 15th Results

                        HOUSTON to Win -2.5(-115) Won 23-10
                        SAN FRANCISCO vs HOUSTON

                        Point Total Over 36(-110) Won 42
                        TAMPA BAY vs MINNESOTA

                        PreSeason
                        3-1-0 = .750

                        It Been A Long Strange Trip. I'd Like To Do It Again

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          PreSeason Correction
                          4-1-0 = .800
                          It Been A Long Strange Trip. I'd Like To Do It Again

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            August 16th
                            Preseason Week #1

                            PHILADELPHIA to Win -4(-110)
                            INDIANAPOLIS vs PHILADELPHIA

                            Andrew Luck is going to be in and out in this game. A quick one or two series and he’ll be on the sidelines with a hat on. The ageless one Matt Hasselbeck will enter after Luck’s time is up. Hasselbeck is a capable backup, but what worries me is their third option. Hasselbeck has been in the NFL since 1999, with 17 years experience. He doesn’t need much preseason warmup time to be ready for the regular season. He’ll get some decent playing time, but when the game and cover is on the line it’ll be up to undrafted rookie out of Southeast Louisiana, Bryan Bennett. I have seen guys like Bennett get overwhelmed by their first start and not do much before. This may be Tebow’s last crack at the NFL, he’s going to be going all out. I’ll take Barkley and Tebow against Bennett any day of the week. Eagles should win by 6 or 7 here.


                            PreSeason Correction
                            4-1-0 = .800

                            It Been A Long Strange Trip. I'd Like To Do It Again

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              August 16th Results
                              Preseason Week #1

                              PHILADELPHIA to Win -4(-110) Won 36-10
                              INDIANAPOLIS vs PHILADELPHIA

                              PreSeason Correction
                              5-1-0 = .833

                              It Been A Long Strange Trip. I'd Like To Do It Again

                              Comment

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