CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (Thur., August 6 - Sun., August 9)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, August 6 - Sunday, August 9

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Matchup Links

CFL Matchups

CFL Hot or Not

CFL Trends

CFL News and Weather


NASCAR Schedules

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 7


Edmonton @ BC Lions

Game 121-122
August 6, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
109.825
BC Lions
115.597
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 6
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 1
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+1); Over

Montreal @ Ottawa

Game 123-124
August 7, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
111.124
Ottawa
116.581
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 5 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
by 1
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+1); Over

Saskatchewan @ Toronto

Game 125-126
August 8, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
106.134
Toronto
118.209
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 12
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 9 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-9 1/2); Under

Winnipeg @ Hamilton

Game 127-128
August 9, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
109.264
Hamilton
121.816
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 12 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 7
54
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-7); Under

[Udog]

CFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (4 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 3) - 8/6/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
EDMONTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, August 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MONTREAL (2 - 3) at OTTAWA (3 - 2) - 8/7/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 2-1 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, August 8

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SASKATCHEWAN (0 - 6) at

TORONTO (3 - 2) - 8/8/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. SASKATCHEWAN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in dome games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 105-74 ATS (+23.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, August 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (3 - 3) at HAMILTON (3 - 2) - 8/9/2015, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 5-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 6-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

CFL

Week 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, August 6

10:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Edmonton's last 11 games
Edmonton is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games at home


Friday, August 7

7:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. OTTAWA
Montreal is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Montreal is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Ottawa's last 17 games


Saturday, August 8

7:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. TORONTO
Saskatchewan is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 15 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan


Sunday, August 9

5:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. HAMILTON
Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
Winnipeg is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

CFL

Wednesday, August 5


CFL Week 7 lines hit the board

There are four more CFL games on tap in Week 7 and the lines for all four games have hit the board:

* The Edmonton Eskimos visit the B.C. Lions in what opened as a Pick with a total of 47.5, but has already moved to Edmonton -1. The Eskimos are 4-0 ATS as a favorite this season.

* A matchup between the Montreal Alouettes and the RedBlacks in Ottawa has also opened at a Pick, with a total of 46.5. The under is a combined 2-8 in the Als and RedBlacks games this season.

* The Toronto Argonauts welcome the winless Saskatchewan Roughriders to town and the Argos are big 9.5-point faves. The total opened at 48.5.

* And finally, the Hamilton Tiger-Cats opened as touchdown favorites over the visiting Winnipeg Blue Bombers, with a total of 54.

Underdogs and the under have been the play so far this season, with dogs going 17-5-1 ATS and the under at 17-7.

[Udog]

CFL

Thursday, August 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the day: Eskimos at Lions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edmonton Eskimos at B.C. Lions (+1, 47.5)

The Edmonton Eskimos look to distance themselves from the rest of the pack when they hit the road to face the BC Lions on Thursday. The Eskimos have reeled off four consecutive wins since a Week 1 loss, and are coming off an impressive 30-5 victory over the Saskatchewan Roughriders to move into top spot in the West Division.

Edmonton won both meetings against the Lions last season by an average margin of 20.5 points as it looks to notch five straight wins for the first time since 2011. BC dropped back-to-back games for the first time this season after a disappointing 23-13 setback to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in Week 6. Travis Lulay had his worst outing of the year, throwing three interceptions as the Lions' high-powered offence, which had put up at least 27 points in each of the last three games, was held to its lowest scoring output of 2015. "Everybody is responsible," BC coach Jeff Tedford told reporters. "We all have to be accountable to get it right."

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN2

LINE HISTORY: The line opened as a pick'em, but has since shifted to BC +1. The opening total of 47.5 has yet to move.

INJURY REPORT: Eskimos - QB Mike Reilly (Out-Knee) Lions - G Cody Husband (Ques-Undisclosed)

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 1-4 O/U): Matt Nichols bounced back after being pulled in the third quarter in Week 6 by going 27-of-39 for 300 yards and two touchdowns against the Roughriders. "He responded like he always responds," Edmonton coach Chris Jones told reporters. "He did exactly what we as a coaching staff thought he would do." Kenny Stafford is in the midst of a breakout season as the fourth-year wide receiver has hauled in 19 passes for 278 yards and three touchdowns, including two in his last two games.

ABOUT THE LIONS (2-3 SU, 0-3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U): Lulay went 22-of-33 for 255 yards and a score versus the Blue Bombers but has thrown four interceptions compared to two touchdown passes in his last two games. "We just got to get better," Lulay told reporters. "The biggest thing for us is being consistent in our execution for 60 minutes." Running back Andrew Harris continues to be BC's most consistent player as he racked up 167 yards from scrimmage against Winnipeg after accumulating 129 yards and three touchdowns in the previous week.

TRENDS:

*Eskimos are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
*Lions are 0-6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
*Under is 12-2 in Eskimos last 14 vs. West.
*Over is 4-0-1 in Lions last 5 home games.

CONSENSUS: 53.6 percent of the community is backing the Eskies with the total split 50/50.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, August 6


Edmonton (4-1) @ British Columbia (2-3)-- Eskimos won/covered last four games, but three of those four were on road (won 23-12 at Ottawa); Edmonton beat BC twice LY 27-20/37-3 after going 1-9 in previous ten series games; Edmonton lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 20-10-14. Over is 8-3 in last 11 series games played here. Lions lost last two games, outscored 39-9 in second half; they're 0-4-1 vs spread this year, with only wins by FG each in only two played here. Four of five Eskimo games stayed under the total. Edmonton outscored last two foes 48-1 in second half.

[Udog]

CFL

Thursday, August 6


Eskimos only team finding ATS success as a favorite

The Edmonton Eskimos are the only good bet as a favorite to this point in the Canadian Football League season.

The Eskimos have been a favorite in all five games this season, going 4-1 against the spread, which includes their last four row. Meanwhile, the rest of the CFL is 1-16-1 ATS as favorites combined.

The Eskimos will try to make it five covers in a row as a favorite tonight when they visit the B.C. Lions, where they are currently 1.5-point road faves.


Eskimos seeing action in Thursday's clash with Lions

The Edmonton Eskimos are seeing the majority of the action since opening as a Pick'em for their Thursday night clash with the B.C. Lions.

The Eskimos have moved from a Pick'em to as high as 2.5-point road favorites at some books, but can still be found at -1.5 and -2 at other places.

[Udog]

CFL

Friday, August 7


Alouettes look to remain a perfect under play

Through five games this CFL season, the Montreal Alouettes have been a flawless under play.

The Als are combining a league-worse offense (21.4 ppg) with a top level defense (18.8 ppg) to make total bettors happy. The combined average score of an Als game this season is 40.2 compared to an average closing total of 49.9.

Montreal will travel to Ottawa Friday with the total currently 46.5.




CFL

Friday, August 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the day: Alouettes at Redblacks
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Montreal Alouettes at Ottawa Redblacks (+2, 46.5)

The Ottawa Redblacks look to take sole possession of first place in the East Division when they host the Montreal Alouettes on Friday. The Redblacks have already surpassed their win total from a year ago following an impressive 29-26 overtime victory over the Calgary Stampeders on July 24.

Ottawa has won two home games after dropping five of its seven contests at TD Place last season and hopes to beat the Alouettes in back-to-back meetings for the first time in franchise history, and earn the tiebreaker over its division rival in the process. Montreal is left to pick up the pieces after letting a 17-point lead slip away in a 25-22 loss to the Stampeders in Week 6. The last-placed Alouettes are 1-3 in games decided by four points or fewer this season and their three losses have come by a combined nine points, but can create a four-team logjam at the top of the division by beating the Redblacks for the fourth time in the last five meetings. "We have to learn how to win," Montreal wide receiver S.J. Green told reporters. "We have to execute in critical moments."

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS, ESPN2

LINE HISTORY: The spread opened as a pick'em, but has since shifted to OTT +2. The total has not changed since opening at 46.5.

INJURY REPORT: Alouettes - SB Justin Caliste (Out-Suspension), WR Chad Johnson (Out-Suspension), QB Kyle Quinlan (Out-Suspension) Redblacks - QB Brock Jensen (Ques-Undisclosed), WR Khalil Paden (Ques-Undisclosed), WR Chris Williams (Out-Undisclosed)

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (2-3 SU, 4-1 ATS, 0-5 O/U): Slotback Fred Stamps should return to the lineup Friday after missing the loss to Calgary to attend to an urgent personal matter at home in Louisiana. Rakeem Cato continues to impress after being thrust into a starting role as he completed 20-of-32 passes for 278 yards and a touchdown against the defending Grey Cup champions. Montreal coach Tom Higgins said defensive end Michael Sam will make his season debut at some point in August but it's not known whether he will be activated for Friday's contest.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U): Ottawa released Delbert Alvarado, who missed two field goals against the Stampeders and brought in Canadian kicker Chris Milo as his replacement. "We just felt we needed to be better and we hope Chris can be that guy," Redblacks GM Marcel Desjardins told reporters. "What happened in the last game just wasn't good enough." Kick returner/wide receiver Chris Williams has lived up to the hype after returning to Canada from a two-year stint in the NFL as he's ranked third in the CFL with 432 receiving yards, and has 14 receptions for 252 yards in his last two games.

TRENDS:

*Alouettes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
*RedBlacks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
*Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
*Under is 11-5-1 in RedBlacks last 17 games overall.

CONSENSUS: The community is split 50/50 on the spread with 57.3 percent on the under.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, August 7

Montreal (2-3) @ Ottawa (3-2)-- Four of five Alouette games this year were decided by 4 or less points, with Montreal losing 25-23/25-22 in its two road games, covering both as underdogs. Ottawa is off its bye week after upsetting Calgary here in Week 5; they're 2-1 at home, and 3-0 overall when they score 20+ points. RedBlacks (+8) opened season with 20-16 road upset over Als, outgaining Montreal 377-197 in game they trailed 13-5 at half. It was first series win in four tries for Ottawa, which lost to Alouettes by 10-8-6 points in their expansion year LY.

[Udog]

CFL

Saturday, August 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the day: Roughriders at Argonauts
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Toronto Argonauts (-9.5, 48.5)

The Toronto Argonauts look to pull ahead in the race for the top spot in the East Division when they host the winless Saskatchewan Roughriders on Saturday. The Argonauts missed a chance to take sole possession of first place when they dropped a 34-18 decision to the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and find themselves tied with two division rivals.

Toronto plays at the Rogers Centre for the first time after the Pan Am Games forced the team on the road for five weeks and hopes to beat the Roughriders once more following a thrilling 42-40 double-overtime victory in Week 2. Saskatchewan remains the only winless team in the CFL following a 30-5 setback to the Edmonton Eskimos in Week 6. The Roughriders were forced to use their third different starting quarterback of the season after Kevin Glenn was ruled out with a shoulder injury and rookie Brett Smith was left to run for his life as he was sacked five times. Saskatchewan coach Corey Chamblin was given a vote of confidence by general manager Brendan Taman earlier in the week and hopes to turn things around in order to avoid the team's first 0-7 start since 1979.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The spread and total have both remained at TOR -9.5, 48.5 since open.

INJURY REPORT: Roughriders - LB Shea Emry (Ques-Neck) Argonauts - RB Anthony Coombs (Ques-Undisclosed), SB Chad Owens (Ques-Ankle), LB Cory Greenwood (Out-Concussion)

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (0-6 SU, 0-5-1 ATS, 3-3 O/U): Smith struggled in his debut as a starter as he finished with zero touchdown passes and two interceptions before being relieved in favour of Tino Sunseri, who fared no better by turning the ball over twice. Saskatchewan signed former Alabama quarterback Blake Sims, who led the Crimson Tide to the SEC title last year, to the practice roster Tuesday while wide receiver James Richardson was apparently let go. "He's no longer with the team at this point right now," Chamblin told reporters. "I can't tell you exactly what his status is."

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U): Toronto's rookie receivers continue to shine as Vidal Hazelton caught 10 passes for a career-high 134 yards and a touchdown while Kevin Elliott had five receptions for 61 yards against the Tiger-Cats. "I just tried to go out there and compete," Hazelton told reporters. "When my number is called in the huddle it's just my mindset to go out there and come down with the ball." Wide receiver Chad Owens suffered an ankle injury versus Hamilton and is questionable for Saturday's contest as is halfback Anthony Coombs, who is suffering from concussion-like symptoms.

TRENDS:

*Roughriders are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
*Argonauts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
*Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
*Under is 4-0 in Argonauts last 4 home games.

CONSENSUS: 51 percent of users are backing the Argos and 56 percent are on the over.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

CFL

Saturday, August 8

Saskatchewan (0-6) @ Toronto (3-2)-- Argonauts (+3) won 42-40 in OT at Regina in Week 2, in a game Roughriders led 17-10 at half; Toronto has now won four of last six series games, with five of the six going over total. Riders are 7-2 in last nine visits here, but lost 48-15 LY; they're 0-6 this year, losing twice in OT- they've only trailed three of the games at halftime- Riders allowed an average of 23.2 ppg in last five games, just in second half!!!! Toronto is favored for first time this year after 4-1 start vs spread as a dog- they beat Edmonton 26-11 (+4) in only home game so far.

[Udog]

CFL

Saturday, August 8


Roughriders still winless strait-up and against the spread

The Saskatchewan Roughriders continue to falter as the CFL season wears on, with the team going 0-6 straight-up and 0-5-1 against the spread. The Riders have dropped their games by an average of 7.8 points per game this season.

It has been the 'Riders defense that has let them down this season, allowing a league-high points per game. Saskatchewan has also held a fourth quarter lead in five of their six games this season despite losing every game.

The Roughriders are currently +9 when they visit the Argos Saturday.

[Udog]

CFL

Sunday, August 9


Blue Bombers quickly becoming a red-hot under play

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers have gone under in their past four contests, after starting the season looking like they were going to be an over team.

Through the first two weeks of the CFL season the Bombers scored 28 points per game while allowing 39 ppg. From Week 3 onwards, the Bombers have tallied 19 ppg while allowing 23.5.

In their past four games Winnipeg has faced an average closing total of 51.5 despite an average combined final score of 42.5.

The Bombers visit the Hamilton Tiger-Cats Sunday with a current total of 53.


Tiger-Cats undefeated at Tim Hortons Field

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats may have to wait to move into Tim Hortons Field last season, but it has proven the wait. The Ti-Cats are a perfect 8-0 straight-up in their new home.

That eight game span, one of which was this season, has seen the Ti-Cars outscore their opponents by an average of 10.5 points per game. That average has been padded by some lopsided victories, which shows up in their mediocre 4-4 record against the spread.

Hamilton is currently -7.5 when they host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers Sunday.

[Udog]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, August 9

Winnipeg (3-3) @ Hamilton (3-2)-- Hamilton (even) hammered Bombers 52-26 in Winnipeg back in Week 2, outgaining hosts 457-276 in game they led 38-13 at half. TiCats won seven of last eight in series, but Bombers pulled 27-26 upset in last visit here LY. Six of last nine series games went under the total. Winnipeg is 3-1 vs spread as an underdog this year, but lost last two road games, by 29 at Edmonton, 1 at Saskatchewan. TiCats won three of last four games, beating Toronto 34-18 in home opener last week. Under is 4-0 in last four Bomber games, 4-1 in Hamilton's last five games.

Underdogs are 21-6 vs spread in CFL games this year, 3-0 this week, with three games decided by a total of ten points.