NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 17 (Sunday, December 28)

[Udog]

NFL Trends and Indexes

Sunday, December 28

Additional trends and information will be added as available.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Matchup Links

Sagarin NFL Power Ratings

NFL Matchups

NFL Hot or Not

NFL Trends

NFL News and Weather

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NFL Opening Line Report: Packers 7.5-point faves with NFC North title on the line

What more could you ask for in Week 17 of the NFL season? You’ve got a mad scramble for playoff seeding among several teams, and some extremely key matchups, including one at the hallowed frozen tundra of Lambeau Field.

Green Bay and Detroit both have paths to the No. 1 seed in the NFC, if they get some help in the other games – though first and foremost, both teams need a win to avoid being relegated to the wild card and a first-round road playoff game.

The Lions bested Green Bay 19-7 as a 1-point home underdog back in September. Detroit (11-4 SU, 7-8 ATS) has won its last four in a row SU (2-2 ATS), including Sunday’s 20-14 victory at Chicago, though the Lions failed to cash as 10-point chalk.

The Packers (11-4 SU, 8-6-1 ATS) have won six of their last seven (4-3 ATS), coasting past Tampa Bay 20-3 Sunday laying 11.5 points on the road. John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu, pegged the Pack a 7.5-point favorite in the regular-season finale.

“We know the public money and teaser money will be on the Packers so we didn’t want to open at less than a touchdown,” Lester said. “I do expect we will have some of the sharps on the underdog.”

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5)

Pittsburgh (10-5 SU, 8-7 ATS) clinched a playoff spot by besting Kansas City 20-12 on Sunday giving 2.5 points, winning and covering for the third straight week. The Bengals (9-4-1 SU, 7-6-1 ATS) still have some work to do, wrapping up Week 16 by hosting Denver in the Monday night game.

The Steelers have already clinched a playoff spot; the winner of this game would take the AFC North title, but if the Bengals falter against Denver and Pittsburgh, they could find themselves missing the playoffs altogether.

“Regardless of what happens Monday night, Cincinnati will want this game,” Lester said. “The Steelers are hot, and with all of their fans and supporters, we will have to be generous on their side. If nothing major changes from a personnel perspective Monday and the Bengals beat Denver, Pittsburgh will be at least 6-point chalk.”

The matchup could bring quite a climactic end to the regular season, as it’s been moved to the Sunday night slot. There is no Monday night game in Week 17.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-10.5)

The Pats (12-3 SU, 9-6 ATS) have won 10 of their last 11 SU, cashing eight times in the process, though they barely held off the hapless New York Jets on Sunday in a 17-16 road win giving 10 points. The Bills (8-7 SU and ATS) saw their playoff hopes end in a 26-24 loss at Oakland as a 7-point fave.

For the moment, this game has big ramifications for New England securing the No. 1 seed – but tonight’s game could make it a moot point.

“Monday’s outcome could have an impact on this line,” Lester said. “If Denver loses, then there’s a real chance New England will rest its starters in Week 17, and that would drop the numbers significantly. If the top seed in the AFC is on the line, we will post the Pats as double-digit favorites.”

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-4.5)

San Francisco has completely fallen apart and will miss the playoffs altogether, after making the last three NFC title games and earning a Super Bowl appearance. The Niners (7-8 SU, 6-8-1 ATS) were dealt a stunning blow Saturday, squandering a 28-7 lead in a 38-35 home loss to San Diego as a 2-point chalk.

But Arizona, on its third-string quarterback, is struggling too, while hoping to get some sort of momentum heading into the playoffs. The Cards (11-4 SU, 10-5 ATS) could have clinched the NFC West on Sunday night, but visiting Seattle ran roughshod in a 35-6 victory, with Arizona a hefty 9.5-point underdog.

“You could see the Niners crumbling at the seams on Saturday night,” Lester said. “There is no doubt that they’d like to finish the season with a win at their new stadium, but with the internal issues and their coach (Jim Harbaugh) all but gone, who knows what kind of effort or focus they’ll have.”

Still, Lester said he’ll have to hold off on making a line. The Cardinals remain alive for the division crown, but there’s uncertainty as to who will start at quarterback in the regular-season finale.

[Udog]

NFL line watch: Jets bettors should wait to get down on Rex's swan song

Spread to bet now

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-3)

The Giants started their annual late-season surge about three weeks too late, but at least they’re not mailing it in in December like the Cowboys used to.

But is New York playing well or are the Giants just getting fat against the soft underbelly of their schedule? New York’s last four opponents slog into Week 17 with a combined record of 15-45.

The Eagles, meanwhile, have to be scratching their heads after pissing away a playoff spot with that loss to Washington and figure to take things out on the Giants. Philadelphia (9-6) has been mediocre (3-4) on the road, but should be motivated enough to win outright.


Spread to wait on

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-4.5)

The Jets lost their version of the Super Bowl when they came up a point short to the Patriots Sunday, and now they have to hit the road in what certainly will be Rex Ryan’s final game as head coach.

This is basically a matchup of teams that have played hard but once again did not have the offensive talent to make things tough for New England.

Heavy money is on Miami as bettors seem willing to swallow the points. So if you like the Jets to play a fifth consecutive competitive game, hang on a bit to see if the line nudges up a half-point. If it doesn’t, the 4.5 will be there for you any time you want it.


Total to watch

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (42.5)

The Ravens’ loss at Houston Sunday may have turned their season upside down. Instead of cruising into the playoffs, 9-6 Baltimore now needs to defeat the Browns (definitely doable) and also hope that the Chargers can’t close their own deal and somehow lose in Kansas City.

There is good reason for Baltimore to keep things simple against the Browns. Joe Flacco threw three picks against the Texans and was sent to the ground 10 times out of 50 dropbacks. Expect a more-conservative game plan (and fewer points) this time around. Under players shouldn’t be scared off by the relatively low 42.5 total.

[Udog]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 17

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-4, 47.5)

Panthers’ red-zone struggles vs. Falcons’ red-zone success

Carolina can’t afford to leave points on the table when it visits the Falcons in Week 17. The winner of this game gets the NFC South crown (which I’d have to believe looks like one of those paper crowns from Burger King, with the way this division has stunk) and a ticket to the postseason.

The Panthers have problems inside the 20-yard line, finding paydirt on only 45.45 percent of its red-zone trips and is 27th in the NFL in red-zone efficiency. Carolina came away empty handed in its only venture inside the 20-yard line in its last meeting with Atlanta – a 19-17 home loss as 2.5-point underdog in Week 11.

The Falcons were just 1 for 3 in the red zone during that win but have been one of the best scoring teams when sniffing the end zone, scoring touchdowns on 64.29 percent of its red-zone sets. Atlanta has upped that red-zone TD production to 72.73 percent in its last three games and has picked up points in eight of its last 11 red-zone trips.


Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-14, 47.5)

Raiders’ fourth-down dominance vs. Broncos’ fourth-down defense

The Raiders have nothing to lose heading into Week 17, which makes them a very dangerous team. Interim head coach Tony Sparano is trying to beef up his resume before hitting the job hunt and a victory over the Broncos would look very impressive to possible landing spots – if he doesn’t stay in Oakland.

Sparano won’t hesitate to roll the dice, especially on fourth down, where the Silver and Black have actually been good this season. The Raiders have converted on 64.29 percent of their fourth downs this season – third best in the league – and will likely throw caution to the wind if they get behind against the Broncos.

Denver hasn’t been shutting the door on opponents when they roll the dice on fourth down, allowing foes to convert on 62.5 percent of those gambles. The Broncos have gotten softer in recent games, allowing their last three opponents move the chains on three of their four fourth-down attempts.


Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-3, 53)

Eagles’ big-play problems vs. Giants’ WR Odell Beckham

The Eagles’ issues at corner burned them bad in the home stretch of the season. Philadelphia watched corner Bradley Fletcher get torched on deep tosses by Dallas WR Dez Bryant and Washington WR DeSean Jackson the past two weeks. Defensive coordinator has benched Fletcher and instead throws LB-turned-CB Nolan Carroll out there in Week 17.

The Eagles have allowed 36 passes of 25 yards or more this season – tied with the Colts and Giants for most in the NFL. Philadelphia comes into the final game of the season with its head in its hands, and facing one of the best big-play receivers in the NFL. New York WR Odell Beckham has caught 10 passes of 25 yards or more heading into Week 17.

The Giants’ one-man highlight reel has plenty to prove Sunday. The talented rookie WR was snubbed by the Pro Bowl voters despite catching 11 touchdowns and posting 1,120 yards receiving. Oh, and he missed the first four games of the season with a hamstring injury. Had Beckham been healthy, we’re looking at an additional 407 yards and four more scores, which would make him third in yards and first in touchdowns. He’ll make up more ground versus the Eagles Sunday.


Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5, 47.5)

Bengals’ weakness to receiving RBs vs. Steelers’ RB Le’Veon Bell

If you’re currently wearing a makeshift championship belt or drinking from a tiny trophy, chances are you won your respective fantasy football league. And, chances are, Pittsburgh’s dynamic RB Le’Veon Bll got you there.

Bell is a threat to run or catch the ball on any down and heads into Week 17 with 1,341 gains on the ground and another 774 yards in receiving. He had just one catch against the Chiefs last weekend but had five for 72 yards versus the Falcons the week before. And, in his last game against the Bengals – a 42-21 win in Week 14 – Bell rumbled for 185 yards rushing and two scores while tacking on an addition 50 yards and a score through the air.

Cincinnati has had trouble with versatile running backs this season. The Bengals have allowed RBs to reel in 716 total yards receiving on 85 catches, and gave up notable gains to receiving running backs in games against Denver, Tampa Bay, Baltimore and Indianapolis, which had 77 passing yards and a touchdown go through its RBs.

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 17

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
The Bengals (10-4-1 SU) head to Pittsburgh on Sunday night to face a Steelers team that is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games against a team with a winning SU record. Pittsburgh is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Steelers favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3 1/2). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 28

Game 301-302: Detroit at Green Bay (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 132.879; Green Bay 143.196
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 10 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 7 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-7 1/2); Under

Game 303-304: Jacksonville at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 125.369; Houston 132.756
Dunkel Line: Houston by 7 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Houston by 10 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+10 1/2); Over

Game 305-306: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 134.320; Pittsburgh 140.294
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6; 51
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3 1/2); Over

Game 307-308: Indianapolis at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 130.666; Tennessee 125.039
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 5 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 7 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+7 1/2); Under

Game 309-310: Cleveland at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 127.532; Baltimore 134.116
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 6 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 10; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+10); Over

Game 311-312: Buffalo at New England (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 135.211; New England 146.708
Dunkel Line: New England by 11 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: New England by 5; 44
Dunkel Pick: New England (-5); Under

Game 313-314: NY Jets at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 132.340; Miami 134.627
Dunkel Line: Miami by 2 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Miami by 6; 42
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+6); Over

Game 315-316: Carolina at Atlanta (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 127.447; Atlanta 136.034
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 4; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4); Under

Game 317-318: Chicago at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 121.846; Minnesota 132.623
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 11; 41
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-6 1/2); Under

Game 319-320: San Diego at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 133.997; Kansas City 132.960
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+3); Over

Game 321-322: Philadelphia at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 131.032; NY Giants 132.498
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3; 52
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+3); Over

Game 323-324: Dallas at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 140.021; Washington 126.173
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 14; 45
Vegas Line: Dallas by 6; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6); Under

Game 325-326: New Orleans at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 134.743; Tampa Bay 128.389
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 6; 52
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3 1/2); Over

Game 327-328: St. Louis at Seattle (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 133.176; Seattle 142.991
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 10; 35
Vegas Line: Seattle by 13; 41
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+13); Under

Game 329-330: Arizona at San Francisco (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 130.972; San Francisco 130.742
Dunkel Line: Even; 40
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 7; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+7); Over

Game 331-332: Oakland at Denver (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 125.535; Denver 143.159
Dunkel Line: Denver by 17 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Denver by 14; 48
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-14); Under

[Udog]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 17

Sunday, December 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (11 - 4) at GREEN BAY (11 - 4) - 12/28/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 76-103 ATS (-37.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
DETROIT is 76-103 ATS (-37.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
DETROIT is 56-82 ATS (-34.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
DETROIT is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
GREEN BAY is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE (3 - 12) at HOUSTON (8 - 7) - 12/28/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (10 - 4 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 5) - 12/28/2014, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 64-91 ATS (-36.1 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANAPOLIS (10 - 5) at TENNESSEE (2 - 13) - 12/28/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games this season.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
TENNESSEE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TENNESSEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 5-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (7 - 8) at BALTIMORE (9 - 6) - 12/28/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (8 - 7) at NEW ENGLAND (12 - 3) - 12/28/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 166-126 ATS (+27.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 73-46 ATS (+22.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY JETS (3 - 12) at MIAMI (8 - 7) - 12/28/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS are 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
NY JETS are 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (6 - 8 - 1) at ATLANTA (6 - 9) - 12/28/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 52-29 ATS (+20.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
CAROLINA is 73-42 ATS (+26.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 49-25 ATS (+21.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 4-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (5 - 10) at MINNESOTA (6 - 9) - 12/28/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-32 ATS (-25.2 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (9 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (8 - 7) - 12/28/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 4-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (9 - 6) at NY GIANTS (6 - 9) - 12/28/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (11 - 4) at WASHINGTON (4 - 11) - 12/28/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 74-103 ATS (-39.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 74-103 ATS (-39.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
WASHINGTON is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 74-103 ATS (-39.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (6 - 9) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 13) - 12/28/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (6 - 9) at SEATTLE (11 - 4) - 12/28/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 102-141 ATS (-53.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
SEATTLE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-2 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (11 - 4) at SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 8) - 12/28/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (3 - 12) at DENVER (11 - 4) - 12/28/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 29-53 ATS (-29.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 28-51 ATS (-28.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
DENVER is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 17

Jacksonville at Houston, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 23-12 UNDER against conference opponents
Houston: 6-0 UNDER after having won 2 out of their last 3 games

Indianapolis at Tennesse, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 10-2 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game
tennessee: 1-8 ATS versus division opponents

Cleveland at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 8-1 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders
Baltimore: 24-11 UNDER in the last 2 weeks of the regular season

Buffalo at New England, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 0-6 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite
New England: 12-3 ATS off a division game

NY Jets at Miami, 1:00 ET
NY Jets: 47-29 ATS in road games versus division opponents
Miami: 5-15 ATS in home games after a win by 3 or less points

Chicago at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 2-11 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better
Minnesota: 13-4 ATS off a road loss

San Diego at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 59-37 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Kansas City: 18-34 ATS in home games after scoring 14 points or less last game

Philadelphia at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Philadelphia: 13-4 UNDER in road games after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games
NY Giants: 7-0 UNDER after scoring 35 points or more last game

Dallas at Washington, 1:00 ET
Dallas: 6-0 UNDER after scoring 30 points or more in 2 straight games
Washington: 13-4 UNDER in home games against conference opponents

New Orleans at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 56-36 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Tampa Bay: 19-34 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses

Detroit at Green Bay, 4:25 ET
Detroit: 1-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins
Green Bay: 6-0 ATS after playing their last game on the road

St Louis at Seattle, 4:25 ET
St Louis: 25-47 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse
Seattle: 8-1 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games

Carolina at Atlanta, 4:25 ET
Carolina: 56-36 ATS revenging a loss against opponent
Atlanta: 13-27 ATS in home games after allowing 14 points or less last game

Arizona at San Francisco, 4:25 ET
Arizona: 6-0 ATS after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game
San Francisco: 15-5 OVER in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points

Oakland at Denver, 4:25 ET
Oakland: 0-7 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more
Denver: 12-4 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, 8:30 ET
Cincinnati: 64-91 ATS versus division opponents
Pittsburgh: 80-56 ATS in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest

[Udog]

NFL

Week 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, December 28

1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY GIANTS
Philadelphia is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing NY Giants
NY Giants are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games
NY Giants are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games when playing Philadelphia

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

1:00 PM
DALLAS vs. WASHINGTON
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games

1:00 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. TENNESSEE
Indianapolis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
NY JETS vs. MIAMI
NY Jets are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
NY Jets are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games on the road
Miami is 7-14-1 ATS in their last 22 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against NY Jets

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 11 games
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

1:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. TAMPA BAY
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games at home
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. HOUSTON
Jacksonville is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston
Jacksonville is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

4:25 PM
OAKLAND vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games when playing Oakland

4:25 PM
CAROLINA vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina

4:25 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing San Francisco
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Arizona

4:25 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SEATTLE
St. Louis is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Seattle is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing St. Louis

4:25 PM
DETROIT vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 14 games
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games at home
Green Bay is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Detroit

8:25 PM
CINCINNATI vs. PITTSBURGH
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 17

Lions (11-4) @ Packers (11-4)-- Detroit lost last 20 visits to Lambeau; Packers' QB was Mike Tomczak last time Lions won here, year before Favre got to Titletown. Winner will be NFC North champ, should get bye; both are in playoffs. Detroit won first meeting at home 19-7 (-2.5) in Week 3, holding Pack to 223 yards, their lowest total of season. Pack is 1-4 on turf, 9-0 on grass; they're 5-2 as home favorites this season, winning by 7-6 in non-covers. Detroit won last four games, allowing 15.5 to non-playoff teams; they're 0-3 as underdogs this year, losing those games by 17-8-25 points. Home favorites are 6-1 vs spread in NFC North divisional games. Under is 12-2 in last 14 Detroit games, 4-1 in last five Packer tilts.

Jaguars (3-12) @ Texans (8-7)-- Get queasy laying 9.5 points with team using 4th-string QB; Texans won three of last four games, holding Ravens to 211 yards last week; they've got a +11 turnover ratio in last eight games. Houston is 6-2 in last eight games vs Jaguars, winning six of last eight played here (five by 10+ points). Jags are 0-2 in game following a win this season, losing both games 27-13; they're 2-4-1 as road dogs this year. Texans had seven red zone drives last week, had one TD, six FGs; week of practice should help Keenum, who was picked up last week. Favorites are 9-1 vs spread in AFC South divisional games this season. Houston needs to win, and Chargers/Ravens to lose to make playoffs. Four of last five Jaguar games, five of last six Texan games stayed under total.

Colts (11-4) @ Titans (2-13)-- Tennessee will probably get #1 pick in draft, so no way do they (or should they) win this game; Titans (+7.5) lost 41-17 at Indy in Week 4, with Colts outgaining them, 498-261, converting 7-14 on third down. Colts won 11 of last 12 in series, but struggled to win 19-13/30-27 in last two visits here. Titans are down to #3 QB Whitehurst here, with Jordan Palmer on bench; Tennessee lost its last nine games, is 0-5 vs spread in last five- they scored total of 31 points in last three. Colts are 3-0 vs the spread in game following a loss this year, winning those games by 27-16-20 points. Faves are 9-1 vs spread in AFC South divisional games this year. Four of last five Indy games, last three Titan games stayed under.

Browns (7-8) @ Ravens (9-6)-- Baltimore needs win/Charger loss to make playoffs after their faceplant in Houston last week; Ravens are 4-1 vs spread in game following a loss this season, Cleveland lost its last four games, but is 5-1 as road underdog, losing away games by 3-18-16-4 points. Baltimore is 4-3 as home favorite, 0-2 in last two. After so much talk about Hoyer/Manziel, Browns start Connor Shaw as QB here; he played in 43 games at South Carolina in college; this is his first-ever NFL experience. Dogs are 6-3 vs spread in AFC North divisional games. 10 of last 11 Cleveland games, last three Raven games stayed under the total. Again, if Chargers win concurrent game at Arrowhead, this becomes irrelevant for Ravens, but if Chiefs win, this game is Baltimore's season.

Bills (8-7) @ Patriots (12-3)-- Game opened NE -8.5, is now at 4.5 or 5.0 raising ???'s as to how much Brady-Gronkowski-Edelman will play, with nothing at stake here for Pats, who beat Buffalo 37-22 (-3) in first meeting in Week 6. NE had +3 turnover ratio which led to 12-yard edge in field position. Bills had chance to make playoffs until losing last week at 3-12 Oakland, terrilbe loss; they are 1-21 in last 22 series games, losing last 13 visits here (three of last five by 8 or less points); Patriots scored 31+ points five of last six meetings. Buffalo is playing for first winning season since '04; they're 4-2 as dogs on road this season, losing last three SU by 13-7-2 points. Six of last seven Buffalo games, four of last five Patriot games stayed under total.

Jets (3-12) @ Dolphins (8-7)-- Home side lost eight of last ten series games; Jets are 3-1 in last four visits here, 5-2 in last seven, but Rex Ryan era comes to sorry end, with Jets losing despite giving decent efforts-- their last four games were all decided by five or less points or in OT. Miami won first meeting 16-13 (-7) four weeks ago, running ball for 277 yards but averaging just 3.3 ypa. Dolphins are playing for winning season; coach Philbin will be back next year-- Miami is 2-3 as home favorite this year, 13-32 since '03-- they won 37-35 over Vikings last week, blocking punt for safety in last minute. Fish allowed 34.7 ppg in last three games, but Jets averaged 14.4 ppg in last four. Six of last seven Jet games stayed under the total.

Carolina (6-8-1) @ Falcons (6-9)-- Winner here wins NFC South, Panthers advance if the teams tie; Atlanta won last four series games, winning 19-17 (-1) in Week 11. Panthers lost five of last six visits here, winning 21-20 LY; they won first two games this season, won last three games, went 1-8-1 in between. Carolina allowed 13.3 ppg in its last three games, giving up four TDs on 42 drives; they're 4-3 as road underdogs and have Newton back at QB- they've run ball for 194.8 ypg last four weeks. Falcons are +10 in turnovers the last seven games, holding three of last four opponents under 60 yards rushing. Seven of last ten Atlanta games stayed under total; last six Carolina road games went over total. Panthers are 3-6 vs spread in games where spread was 4 or less points.

Bears (5-10) @ Vikings (6-9)-- Cutler is back at QB as Bears try for damage control after horrible second half of season; they've lost last four games, losing last three on road by a combined 140-54 margin. Minnesota covered five in row, eight of last nine games; they're 3-0 as home favorites this year; seven of their last nine games were decided by 3 or less points or in OT. Chicago lost 21-14/23-20 in last two visits to Twin Cities, as home side won last five series games; Bears won eight of last ten series games, winning 21-13 (-3) in Week 11, outgaining Vikings 468-243 in game Minnesota led 10-0 early on. Vikings have scored 30+ points in three of last four games overall; they're 17 of last 35 on third down, as rookie QB Bridgewater is turning out to be a keeper.

Chargers (9-6) @ Chiefs (8-7)-- Alex Smith (lacerated spleen) is out; Chase Daniel makes his 2nd NFL start here. San Diego makes playoffs with win; Chiefs need win and help to make it. KC (+4) won 23-20 at San Diego in Week 7, running for 154 yards in a game they trailed 14-10 at half. Bolts won four of last five series games; last three were decided by three points. Chargers' last three wins were all by three or less points; over last 10+ years, they're 8-1-3 as a road underdog in division games. Chiefs lost four of last five games, are 4-1 as home favorites this year, after being 5-19-1 from '07-'13. Red flag for Chargers: they've lost field position in last five games, four by 8+ yards; teams that lost field position by 10+ yards this season are 4-85 SU. Four of last five Charger road games went over total; three of last four Chief games stayed under.

Eagles (9-6) @ Giants (6-9)-- Philly (-3) blanked Giants 27-0 in Week 6, running ball for 203 yards, but Foles was QB then and Beckham had yet to establish himself as one of best WRs in NFL. Eagles won 10 of last 13 series games, are 6-1 in last seven visits here but they're only third team since '90 to be at 9-3 or better after 12 games yet not make it to playoffs. Philly lost last three games, allowing 29.7 ppg (11 TDs on last 32 drives). Giants won last three games, scoring 16 TDs on 57 drives in last five; they scored 32.3 ppg in last three games, all vs losing teams. Big Blue is +5 in turnovers last three games, has converted 38 of last 79 (48.1%) on third down. Eagles have 21 penalties in last two games, for 197 yards. Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Eagle games, 6-3 last nine Giant games.

Cowboys (11-4) @ Redskins (4-11)-- Washington snapped Cowboys' 6-game winning streak with 20-17 (+9) OT win in Week 8; Redskins are 4-8 in last 12 series games, with Dallas winning four of last six visits here. Series has been swept in four of last five years. That said, Cowboys are NFC East champs, are playing for first round bye which would be big for Romo's back/Murray's hand. Dallas is 7-0 on road, 5-5 vs spread as a favorite; they scored 40.3 ppg in winning last three games, with +7 turnover ratio (9-2). Redskins snapped six-game skid by eliminating Eagles last week; Griffin has played better in last two games, but they still have only three TDs on last eight red zone drives-- they're nine of last 40 on third down plays, which has hampered their field position.

Saints (6-9) @ Buccaneers (2-13)-- Saints (-10) needed OT to beat Bucs 37-31 in Week 5, outgaining Tampa 511-314 while surviving three INTs (-2 ratio). Saints won last six in series, winning four of last five visits here (won 16-14 in T-storm here LY). Bucs could get #1 pick in draft with loss here, and can't drop below #2, so no way should they win this game. Tampa Bay lost five in row, 10 of last 11 games; they're 1-3 as home dogs this year, 7-18-1 as home dogs since '09. Saints lost five of last seven games, allowing 30+ in four of last five, but they won last three road games by 18-3-16 points. Eight of last nine Buc games stayed under the total. Tampa Bay lost field position in last three games by 7-22-11 yards; they scored 12.6 ppg during current five-game losing streak.

Rams (6-9) @ Seahawks (11-4)-- Seattle takes NFC West with win here; they lost first meeting 28-26 (-7) in St Louis in Week 7, when Rams used couple trick plays on special teams to hold on after they almost squandered 21-6 halftime lead. Rams lost last eight in Seattle, with six of last seven losses here by 10+ points; their last win here was a playoff game ten years ago. Seattle won its last five games overall (4-0-1 vs spread), allowing only three TDs on last 50 drives, holding all five foes under 5.0 ypa. Seahawks are 4-2-1 as home favorites, with last three home wins by 21-16-10 points. Four of last five Seattle games stayed under total. Rams are 6-4 as an underdog this year, 4-2 on road; they lost last two games when favored at home.

Cardinals (11-4) @ 49ers (7-8)-- Arizona switched starting QBs twice during week; looks like Lindley gets second start here. Redbirds are in playoffs but hit road unless Rams pull unlikely upset in Seattle. Cardinals (+3) won first meeting 23-14 n Week 3, getting seven of 24 first downs via 49er penalties in just their second series win in last 11 tries. Cards lost last five visits to Bay Area, all by 12+ points but 49ers are is disarray. losing four in a row and with coaching change rumored to be imminent- they blew 28-7 halftime lead in home loss to Chargers last week, after scoring total of 23 points in previous three games. Cardinals haven't scored a TD in last two games and only one in game before that came on a 42-yard drive. Seven of last ten Arizona games stayed under the total.

Raiders (3-12) @ Broncos (11-4)-- Denver needs win to get bye next week, which is big for team with old, immobile QB and creaky OL. Broncos (-11) won first meeting 41-17 in Week 10, outgaining Oakland 471-232 in their sixth straight series win. Raiders lost last two visits here 37-6/37-21; they're 3-2 in last five games overall after 0-10 start, but lost 52-0/31-13 in games in between the wins. Oakland is 19-7 in last 26 games as a divisional road dog, 1-1 this year; they're 3-3-1 as road dogs this year, with four seven road losses by 7 or less points. Six of last eight Raider games went over total; four of last five Denver games stayed under. Denver is 3-4 as home favorite, getting backdoored in last two home games. Halftime scores of last three series games: 27-7/31-0/20-10, all Denver.

Bengals (10-4-1) @ Steelers (10-5)-- Pitt won 12 of last 16 series games, winning 42-21 (+3.5) in first meeting three weeks ago, running ball for 193 yards; Cincy is 2-3 in its last five visits here, with all three losses by 10+ points. Both teams are in playoffs, winner gets division title, possible bye but at least home game next week. Bengals won seven of last nine games, Pitt won/covered last three; in last eight games, Steelers converted 54-102 on third down- they're 2-3 as home favorite this year. Bengals are 4-1 as road dogs- they won last four road tilts overall. Six of seven Steeler home games went over total; five of last seven Cincy games stayed under. Pitt hasn't turned ball over in its last three games; Bengals have six INTs in last two games, winning field position by 15-16 yards.

[Udog]

NFL injury report for Sunday games

ARIZONA CARDINALS at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

ARIZONA CARDINALS

--Out: QB Drew Stanton (knee)

--Doubtful: LB Larry Foote (knee)

--Questionable: S Deone Bucannon (knee), TE John Carlson (calf), G Jonathan Cooper (wrist), DT Dan Williams (foot)

--Probable: LB Lorenzo Alexander (knee), WR Jaron Brown (foot), DE Calais Campbell (hip), WR Larry Fitzgerald (knee), S Rashad Johnson (ankle), G Ted Larsen (shoulder), S Tyrann Mathieu (thumb), LB Matt Shaughnessy (shoulder)

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

--Out: RB Carlos Hyde (ankle), WR Steve Johnson (knee), S Eric Reid (concussion)

--Questionable: CB Tramaine Brock (hamstring), LB Ahmad Brooks (thumb), CB Perrish Cox (shoulder), WR Bruce Ellington (hamstring)

--Probable: WR Michael Crabtree (knee), CB Chris Culliver (knee), WR Brandon Lloyd (groin), C Marcus Martin (illness), DE Justin Smith (back)


BUFFALO BILLS at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

BUFFALO BILLS

--Doubtful: DT Marcell Dareus (knee), CB Stephon Gilmore (concussion)

--Probable: K Dan Carpenter (right groin), S Aaron Williams (hip)

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

--Out: CB Alfonzo Dennard (hamstring), RB Jonas Gray (ankle)

--Questionable: LS Danny Aiken (finger), CB Kyle Arrington (hamstring), RB LeGarrette Blount (shoulder), CB Brandon Browner (groin), LB Jamie Collins (hip), G Dan Connolly (knee), WR Julian Edelman (thigh, concussion), T Cameron Fleming (ankle), LB Dont'a Hightower (shoulder), DE Chandler Jones (hip), WR Brandon LaFell (shoulder), DE Rob Ninkovich (heel), RB Shane Vereen (ankle), T Sebastian Vollmer (back), LB Chris White (ankle)

--Probable: QB Tom Brady (ankle)


CAROLINA PANTHERS at ATLANTA FALCONS

CAROLINA PANTHERS

--Questionable: LB A.J. Klein (knee)

--Probable: RB DeAngelo Williams (hand)

ATLANTA FALCONS

--Questionable: G Jon Asamoah (back), RB Steven Jackson (quadriceps), WR Julio Jones (hip), CB Robert McClain (illness), CB Josh Wilson (hamstring)

--Probable: K Matt Bryant (illness), WR Harry Douglas (foot), WR Roddy White (ankle)


CHICAGO BEARS at MINNESOTA VIKINGS

CHICAGO BEARS

--Out: QB Jimmy Clausen (concussion), S Chris Conte (back), K Robbie Gould (right quadriceps)

--Questionable: DE Jared Allen (ribs), CB Al Louis-Jean (hamstring), DT Jay Ratliff (knee)

--Probable: DE David Bass (knee), DT Ego Ferguson (ankle), G Kyle Long (hip), WR Marquess Wilson (knee)

MINNESOTA VIKINGS

--Out: LB Anthony Barr (knee), LB Brandon Watts (hamstring)

--Questionable: LB Chad Greenway (knee), TE Kyle Rudolph (ankle), WR Jarius Wright (back)

--Probable: RB Matt Asiata (foot), S Robert Blanton (ankle), S Antone Exum (knee), DT Sharrif Floyd (knee), TE Chase Ford (foot), T Mike Harris (foot), WR Greg Jennings (hamstring), G Charlie Johnson (ankle), S Andrew Sendejo (thumb)


CLEVELAND BROWNS at BALTIMORE RAVENS

CLEVELAND BROWNS

--Out: DT Ishmaa'ily Kitchen (fibula), QB Johnny Manziel (hamstring), DT Ahtyba Rubin (ankle), T Ryan Seymour (hamstring)

--Doubtful: QB Brian Hoyer (right shoulder, right biceps)

--Questionable: TE Gary Barnidge (rib), DE Desmond Bryant (thumb), CB Joe Haden (shoulder), WR Andrew Hawkins (thumb), LB Jabaal Sheard (foot), TE Ryan Taylor (elbow), CB K'Waun Williams (hamstring)

BALTIMORE RAVENS

--Doubtful: T Eugene Monroe (ankle)

--Questionable: DE Chris Canty (ankle, thigh), LB Terrell Suggs (back, thigh), RB Fitzgerald Toussaint (ribs)


DALLAS COWBOYS at WASHINGTON REDSKINS

DALLAS COWBOYS

--Out: LB Dekoda Watson (hamstring)

--Doubtful: T Doug Free (ankle)

--Probable: S Jeff Heath (thumb), G Zack Martin (ankle), LB Rolando McClain (knee, not injury related), RB DeMarco Murray (hand, illness), DT Josh Price-Brent (calf), QB Tony Romo (back)

WASHINGTON REDSKINS

--Doubtful: DE Jason Hatcher (knee)

--Questionable: DE Chris Baker (toe, elbow), DE Stephen Bowen (ankle, illness), LB Gabe Miller (ankle), LB Keenan Robinson (knee), T Trent Williams (shoulder)

--Probable: CB Bashaud Breeland (thigh), DT Barry Cofield (shoulder), T Tom Compton (knee), LB Will Compton (shoulder), QB Robert Griffin (right shoulder), LB Jackson Jeffcoat (calf), C Kory Lichtensteiger (stinger), RB Darrel Young (ankle)


DETROIT LIONS at GREEN BAY PACKERS

DETROIT LIONS

--Out: DT Nick Fairley (knee)

--Probable: RB Joique Bell (Achilles), WR Calvin Johnson (ankle), CB Mohammed Seisay (hamstring)

GREEN BAY PACKERS

--Out: CB Davon House (shoulder)

--Probable: G T.J. Lang (ankle), LB Clay Matthews (biceps), LB Mike Neal (abdomen), QB Aaron Rodgers (calf), G Josh Sitton (toe)


INDIANAPOLIS COLTS at TENNESSEE TITANS

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

--Out: TE Dwayne Allen (knee), T Gosder Cherilus (groin), LB Bjoern Werner (shoulder)

--Questionable: LB Jerrell Freeman (hamstring), WR T.Y. Hilton (hamstring), G Joe Reitz (ankle)

--Probable: DE Cory Redding (knee), G Hugh Thornton (knee), LB Erik Walden (knee)

TENNESSEE TITANS

--Questionable: DT Sammie Lee Hill (foot), T Terren Jones (concussion), T Taylor Lewan (ankle), QB Zach Mettenberger (right shoulder), T Byron Stingily (ankle), LB Kamerion Wimbley (hamstring)

--Probable: LB Zaviar Gooden (hamstring)


JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS at HOUSTON TEXANS

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

--Doubtful: DT Roy Miller (knee)

--Probable: QB Blake Bortles (foot), C Luke Bowanko (wrist), DE Andre Branch (groin), DE Chris Clemons (knee), RB Toby Gerhart (ribs), WR Cecil Shorts (shoulder), WR Tommy Streeter (abdomen)

HOUSTON TEXANS

--Out: TE Garrett Graham (ankle), LB Mike Mohamed (concussion), WR DeVier Posey (calf), QB Tom Savage (knee)

--Probable: G Brandon Brooks (knee, ankle), T Tyson Clabo (shoulder), LB Brian Cushing (ankle), TE C.J. Fiedorowicz (shoulder), RB Arian Foster (not injury related), WR DeAndre Hopkins (wrist), CB Kareem Jackson (back), WR Andre Johnson (not injury related), CB Johnathan Joseph (ankle), LB Whitney Mercilus (back, finger), DT Ryan Pickett (groin), G Xavier Su'a-Filo (back), LB Jeff Tarpinian (knee)


NEW ORLEANS SAINTS at TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

--Out: T Terron Armstead (neck)

--Questionable: DT John Jenkins (abdomen)

--Probable: S Jamarca Sanford (hamstring), T Zach Strief (neck)

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

--Doubtful: LB Mason Foster (Achilles)

--Questionable: CB Isaiah Frey (ankle), S Dashon Goldson (shoulder), WR Robert Herron (hip), WR Solomon Patton (foot), RB Bobby Rainey (wrist)


NEW YORK JETS at MIAMI DOLPHINS

NEW YORK JETS

--Out: S Rontez Miles (shin)

--Questionable: DT Damon Harrison (illness), WR Percy Harvin (ankle, ribs), S Jaiquawn Jarrett (shoulder), S Dawan Landry (illness), C Nick Mangold (ankle, finger), CB Darrin Walls (shoulder), DE Muhammad Wilkerson (toe, illness)

--Probable: S Antonio Allen (hand), G Willie Colon (knee), K Nick Folk (right hip), RB Chris Ivory (hamstring), RB Chris Johnson (knee)

MIAMI DOLPHINS

--Questionable: LB Jelani Jenkins (foot), DE Derrick Shelby (ankle), G Dallas Thomas (foot)

--Probable: TE Charles Clay (hamstring, knee), CB Cortland Finnegan (ankle, knee), LB Jonathan Freeny (hamstring), S Don Jones (shoulder), LB Koa Misi (hamstring, knee), DT Earl Mitchell (back), DT Jared Odrick (ankle), RB Daniel Thomas (knee), WR Mike Wallace (back)


OAKLAND RAIDERS at DENVER BRONCOS

OAKLAND RAIDERS

--Out: WR Vincent Brown (groin), CB Chimdi Chekwa (hamstring), WR Denarius Moore (knee, ankle)

--Questionable: CB T.J. Carrie (ankle), LB Khalil Mack (hamstring), T Menelik Watson (foot, ankle)

--Probable: CB Ras-I Dowling (hamstring)

DENVER BRONCOS

--Out: LB Brandon Marshall (foot)

--Questionable: T Paul Cornick (toe), WR Emmanuel Sanders (hip), S T.J. Ward (neck)

--Probable: RB C.J. Anderson (ankle), LB Lamin Barrow (illness), S David Bruton (calf), T Ryan Clady (thigh), T Chris Clark (back), RB Ronnie Hillman (foot), QB Peyton Manning (thigh), C Will Montgomery (knee), C Manuel Ramirez (illness), TE Jacob Tamme (foot), WR Demaryius Thomas (ankle, hip), TE Julius Thomas (ankle), RB Juwan Thompson (hip, knee), DT Mitch Unrein (illness), CB Kayvon Webster (shoulder), DE Derek Wolfe (knee)


PHILADELPHIA EAGLES at NEW YORK GIANTS

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

--Out: QB Nick Foles (collarbone)

--Questionable: CB Bradley Fletcher (hip)

--Probable: DT Beau Allen (shoulder), DE Brandon Bair (knee), TE Trey Burton (back), LB Trent Cole (hand), LB Mychal Kendricks (ankle), S Chris Maragos (hamstring), WR Jordan Matthews (knee)

NEW YORK GIANTS

--Out: LB Devon Kennard (toe)

--Questionable: RB Andre Williams (shoulder)

--Probable: LB Paul Hazel (hamstring), RB Rashad Jennings (ankle), LB Jameel McClain (knee)


SAN DIEGO CHARGERS at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

--Out: RB Ryan Mathews (ankle), P Mike Scifres (shoulder)

--Doubtful: WR Keenan Allen (ankle, shoulder)

--Questionable: G Chris Watt (ankle)

--Probable: DT Corey Liuget (ankle), QB Philip Rivers (chest, back), CB Shareece Wright (concussion)

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

--Out: CB Phillip Gaines (illness), QB Alex Smith (spleen)

--Questionable: WR Dwayne Bowe (shoulder), RB Jamaal Charles (hamstring, ankle), G Zach Fulton (foot, toe)

--Probable: TE Anthony Fasano (knee), LB Tamba Hali (knee), LB Josh Martin (hand), LB Joe Mays (knee)


ST. LOUIS RAMS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

ST. LOUIS RAMS

--Doubtful: CB E.J. Gaines (concussion)

--Probable: CB Janoris Jenkins (back), DE Chris Long (not injury related), C Scott Wells (back)

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

--Out: DE Demarcus Dobbs (ankle), WR Jermaine Kearse (hamstring)

--Questionable: TE Cooper Helfet (ribs), WR Chris Matthews (hamstring), CB Tharold Simon (shoulder), C Max Unger (knee, ankle)

--Probable: RB Marshawn Lynch (back), TE Tony Moeaki (shoulder), T Russell Okung (chest)


CINCINNATI BENGALS at PITTSBURGH STEELERS on Sunday night

CINCINNATI BENGALS

--Questionable: CB Adam Jones (illness), LB Emmanuel Lamur (hamstring), CB Chris Lewis-Harris (illness), S Reggie Nelson (illness), CB Terence Newman (illness), WR James Wright (knee)

--Probable: G Clint Boling (illness), LB Chris Carter (knee), CB Darqueze Dennard (shin), DE Wallace Gilberry (hamstring), WR A.J. Green (biceps), K Mike Nugent (illness)

PITTSBURGH STEELERS

--Questionable: TE Michael Palmer (groin), S Troy Polamalu (knee), CB Ivan Taylor (shoulder, forearm)

--Probable: T Kelvin Beachum (back), TE Matt Spaeth (elbow), LB Vince Williams (ankle)

[Udog]

NFL

Sunday, December 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday Night Football: Bengals at Steelers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5, 47.5)

The Cincinnati Bengals earned a playoff slot by knocking off Denver on Monday night, but they have plenty to play for when they visit the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday night in a showdown for the AFC North title. Cincinnati has to overcome a short week following Monday's win and find a way to avenge a 21-point home loss to the Steelers on Dec. 7. “I wouldn’t want it any other way,” Bengals defensive end Wallace Gilberry said. “It’s always good to be playing meaningful football in December.”

Pittsburgh has won three straight and seven of nine to return to the postseason following a two-year hiatus that featured consecutive 8-8 records. The Steelers scored 25 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to stun Cincinnati three weeks ago and will claim the No. 3 seed with a victory. Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton missed practice Wednesday and is among a number of key players battling the flu while Pro Bowl wideout A.J. Green is questionable due to an arm injury.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE HISTORY: Most shops opened Big Ben's squad as field goal favorites. After some slight movement upwards to -4, the line is currently sitting at -3.5.

ABOUT THE BENGALS (10-4-1): Cincinnati still has an outside shot at earning the No. 2 seed and a first-round bye if Denver somehow loses at home to Oakland, but the biggest concern is the health of Green, who torched the Steelers for 11 catches for 224 yards and a TD earlier this month. Green reported improvement after injuring his arm early in Monday's victory but did not have a catch in that game and was unable to practice Wednesday. Rookie running back Jeremy Hill has rumbled for 295 yards and three touchdowns in the last two wins, but he was limited to 46 yards on eight carries by Pittsburgh. The Bengals picked off Peyton Manning four times Monday, but they were shredded for 543 yards by the Steelers in earlier matchup.

ABOUT THE STEELERS (10-5): Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has established career highs with 4,635 yards and 30 touchdowns (against only eight interceptions) and has the league's most consistent weapon in wide receiver Antonio Brown, who leads the NFL with 122 catches and 1,570 yards. Running back Le'Veon Bell provides outstanding balance to the offense, rushing for 1,341 yards and eight scores to go with 77 receptions and three more touchdowns. Bell has been limited to a combined 110 yards rushing over the last two games, but he piled up 235 total yards and three scores against the Bengals in Week 14. Pittsburgh is vulnerable to the pass, ranking 27th with an average of 255.2 yards allowed, and has only nine interceptions.

TRENDS:

* Steelers are 7-0 ATS against a team with a winning record
* Under is 5-0 in the Bengals' last five road games
* Over is 6-1 in the Steelers' last seven home games
* Road team is 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 meetings

CONSENSUS: At the time of writing, 56 percent of users were on the black and gold to cover the spread.



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NFL

Sunday, December 28


Chargers yet to cover vs. a division opponent

The San Diego Chargers will try to cover the spread against a division rival from the AFC West for the first time this season and stamp their ticket to the postseason when they visit the Kansas City Chiefs Sunday.

The Chargers are 0-5 against the spread so far against the AFC West and Sunday will be their final chance to do so as 1-point road dogs against the Chiefs.

Kansas City will be without starting quarterback Alex Smith due to lacerated spleen.


Colts cashing tickets against poor teams

The Indianapolis Colts have been very successful cashing tickets against teams with a losing record, going 18-3 against the spread in those instances.

The Colts, who can't change their playoff standing, are 7.5-point favorites against the two-win Tennessee Titans. The Colts have also covered the spread in the last six meetings with the Titans.


Cowboys try for perfect road record

The Dallas Cowboys will try to end their season with a win in Washington and end their season a perfect 8-0 on the road.

The Cowboys have also been a great bet on the road, going 6-1 against the spread and are currently 3.5-point road favorites against Washington.

[Udog]

Where the action is: Sunday's biggest NFL Week 17 line moves

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots - Open: -5, Move: -4.5, Move: -5

Before last week against Oakland, the Buffalo Bills had to win their remaining two games and get some help to have any hope at attaining one of AFC Wild Card spots. After a 26-24 loss in the Black Hole, the Bills head into the matchup just playing out the schedule while the perennially competitive Pats will view this one as a warm up game before the real season starts.

"This is a very hairy game for us," said Kaminsky. "New England doesn't need to win, so the issue we're facing is if Bill Belichick will rest his starters. We opened the Pats at -5 which is where it currently sits, but if news breaks that Brady and Gronkowski will be on the sideline I expect that number to go down to -3 or -3.5."


Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers - Open: -3.5, Move: -4, Move: -3.5

Both of these AFC North rivals have already secured playoff spots, but the all-important home field advantage is on the line as the winner of this matchup will be crowned division champions. The hated rivals met just three weeks ago in Cincy where the black and gold hammered Andy Dalton and company 42-21 while easily covering as 3-point dogs.

"It's quite possible the Bengals could find themselves in a letdown spot in the wake of their enormous victory over Denver last Monday," Kaminsky told Covers. "We have Pittsburgh at -3.5, but the public will be on Big Ben's squad in this one, so I think there's a shot we close this game at -4."


Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens - Open: -8.5, Move: -13.5

Have the Cleveland Browns asked you to play quarterback yet? Check your cell phone, you may have a missed call from their GM Ray Farmer. When "Johnny Football" was ruled out for the season following a hamstring injury he suffered against Carolina in Week 16, the man who lost his job to Manziel - Brian Hoyer - has also been deemed ineligible to play, meaning undrafted rookie signal caller Connor Shaw will make his first NFL start versus Baltimore Sunday.

"We opened the Browns as +8.5 dogs but when it was announced Hoyer wasn't going to play, we re-opened them at +13," states Kaminsky. "Cleveland is going to have a tough time putting points on the board. Baltimore needs to win to reach the playoffs, but we've seen so many clubs over the years in their spot that don't come through in the last week with so much on the line. On the other side of the coin, that's a huge pointspread. It's tough to lay that many points in the NFL."


Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers - Open: -6, Move: -6.5

In what's been the worst kept secret in the league this year, Sunday will mark the end of the Jim Harbaugh era in San Francisco. Deep postseason runs have become the norm for the Niners over the last few seasons, but they'll be watching from the couch come January this time around following a disappointing campaign which has been dominated by rumors surrounding the head coach's looming departure.

"Our book opened San Fran at -6, but now have them as 6.5-point chalk," Kaminsky said. "This is another tricky game for us. The Cardinals are officially in the playoffs, but they need to win this game and have the Seahawks lose to the Rams in order to clinch the NFC West. Since both the Cards and Seahawks play at the same time, that's working in our favor. However, if Seattle is blowing out St. Louis in the first half, you have to wonder if Bruce Arians will rest his main guys, which could have a huge impact on the second half line. Considering how ravaged Arizona has been by injuries this season that may not be a bad idea, but it's all up in the air as of now."


Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings - Open: -7, Move: -6

After a short-lived benching it's once again Jay Cutler time in the Windy City, but you won't be seeing much excitement from Bears fans. Chicago's uninspiring season took another turn once head coach Marc Trestman benched the Vanderbilt product in the wake of the Bears' Week 15 loss to the Saints. Due to a concussion suffered by Jimmy Clausen last week, Cutler will lead the Monsters of the Midway onto the field Sunday before they enter an offseason with more questions than answers surrounding the team.

"We opened Minnesota at -7 with the assumption that Clausen would start," said Kaminsnky. "When it was announced Cutler would be under center, that line dropped to -6. The Bears are a team in disarray, so it wouldn't be a surprise to see the Vikes cover this number with ease."

[BettorsChat]

Situational Trends

Carolina at Atlanta

Any team where total is between 42.5-49 -an average team (+/- 3 PPG Differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG Differential) after scoring 30+ Points the last game. (40-11 Under) PLAY = Under the Total

Cleveland vs. Baltimore

Home favorites of 3.5 to -10 points - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing losing team in 2nd half season. (20-54 ATS) PLAY = Cleveland against the spread

Dallas vs. Washington

Road favorites - an average defensive team (18 to 23 ppg) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG) after allowing 9 points or less last game. (7-28 ATS) PLAY = Washington ATS

Indianapolis vs. Tennessee

Underdogs or picks - after 7 or more consecutive losses in the 2nd half of the season (95-48 ATS) PLAY = Tennessee ATS

Detroit vs. Green Bay

Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 pts - good team - outscoring opponents 4+ pts/game after allowing 3 pts or less in the first half of the game (76-31 Over) PLAY = Over the total


Play against favorites (Seattle) revenging a loss against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. This situations record is 36-9 over the last 10 seasons (80.0% +26.1 units)

Play against - Home teams (Minnesota) off a road loss, marginal loosing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%).
This situations record is 46-14 since 1983 (76.7% +30.6 units)

Play on - Road underdogs or pick (Arizona) in a game involving 2 average teams (+/- 3 PPG Differential) after scoring 14 or less points the last game. This situations record is 90-41 since 1983 (68.7% +44.9 units)


Betting System Jacksonville vs. Houston
Home favorites of 3.5-10 points after winning 2 of their last 3 games, marginal winning team (51%-60%) playing a loosing team in the 2nd half of the season (20-54 ATS) PLAY =Jacksonville against the spread

Betting System San DIego vs. Kansas City
any team where the total is 42.5-49 points in a game involving 2 average offenses teams (18-23PPG) after 8+ games after playing a game where 50+ total points were scored. (93-40 Under) PLAY = Under total

NY Jets vs. Miami
any team against the total - after going over the total by 35 or more points in their last 5 games versus division opponents (79-38 Under) PLAY = Under the total

Chicago vs. Minnesota
Home teams off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25%-40%) (14-46 ATS) PLAY = Chicago ATS

Buffalo vs. New England
Favorites of 10.5 or more points after 3 consecutive wins in the 2nd half of the season (15-41 ATS) PLAY = Buffalo ATS


Detroit 0-11 ATS (-12.1 units) against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game in the 2nd half of the season since 1992.
The average score was Detroit 16.5 Opponent 34.7 PLAY = Green Bay

Buffalo is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 units) off a road loss over the last 3 seasons.
The Average score was Buffalo 26.1 opponent 17.5 PLAY = Buffalo

Indianapolis 9-0 ATS (+9 units) vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 points or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was Indianapolis 25.2 Opponent 12.4 PLAY = Indianapolis

[BettorsChat]

Philadelphia Vs. NY Giants
Underdogs or Pick - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(42-16 ATS) PLAY = Philadelphia

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh
Any team off an upset win as a home underdog with a winning record on the season (13-34 ATS) PLAY = Pittsburgh ATS

New Orleans vs. Tampa Bay
Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points slow starting team outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 17 points or less in 4 straight games.
(82-41 ATS) PLAY = Tampa Bay

Arizona vs. San Francisco
Road underdogs or Pick in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG Differential) after scoring 14 points or less their last game.
(90-41 ATS) PLAY = Arizona ATS

St. Louis vs. Seattle
Favorites revenging a loss against opponent after 2 consecutive covers, as a favorite (9-36 ATS) PLAY = St. Louis

Oakland vs. Denver
Any team revenging a loss where the opponent scored 28 or more points, a terrible team (<25%) playing a team with a winning record
(37-13 ATS) PLAY = Oakland ATS