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3* Denver/Cinci 1st Half Under 24+
2* Denver/Cinci under 48
Between both of these plays, this is the largest wager of the year so far.
I don't like to us the term "game of the year" because it implies that you cannot lose the wager, but this is a huge play for me. Denver has shifted to an under team. 4 of their last 5 games have gone under. They have run the ball an average of 37 times/game the last 4 games. And these games were competitive so they were not running because they had the lead. They face a Bengal's defense that is 30th in rushing efficiency. Manning knows this so they will pound the ball even more. Manning has not looked himself in recent weeks and his velocity looks bad (he may be hiding an injury) and will face a Bengal's pass defense that is 9th in efficency. The Bengal's offense is only avergage and wil face a Denver defense that is 3rd in efficiency (2nd vs the run and 5th vs the pass). Last week the Bengals were successful pounding the ball (vs Clev who has one of the worst run def in the league) and after the game the coaching staff commented how they have to be more commited to running. Plus, they will try to control the clock to keep Manning off the field. But, they won't have much success running against one of the best run defenses in the league. I see a very low scoring game.
2* Denver/Cinci under 48
Between both of these plays, this is the largest wager of the year so far.
I don't like to us the term "game of the year" because it implies that you cannot lose the wager, but this is a huge play for me. Denver has shifted to an under team. 4 of their last 5 games have gone under. They have run the ball an average of 37 times/game the last 4 games. And these games were competitive so they were not running because they had the lead. They face a Bengal's defense that is 30th in rushing efficiency. Manning knows this so they will pound the ball even more. Manning has not looked himself in recent weeks and his velocity looks bad (he may be hiding an injury) and will face a Bengal's pass defense that is 9th in efficency. The Bengal's offense is only avergage and wil face a Denver defense that is 3rd in efficiency (2nd vs the run and 5th vs the pass). Last week the Bengals were successful pounding the ball (vs Clev who has one of the worst run def in the league) and after the game the coaching staff commented how they have to be more commited to running. Plus, they will try to control the clock to keep Manning off the field. But, they won't have much success running against one of the best run defenses in the league. I see a very low scoring game.
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