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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Army/Navy (Saturday, December 13)

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  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Army/Navy (Saturday, December 13)

    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, December 4 – Saturday, December 6

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    NCAAF
    Dunkel


    Navy vs. Army
    The Black Knights (4-7 SU) take on a Midshipmen team that is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games versus teams with a losing SU record. Army is the pick (+15) according to Dunkel, which has Navy favored by only 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Army (+15). Here are all of this week's NCAA Football picks.

    SATURDAY, DECEMBER 13

    Game 303-304: Navy vs. Army (3:00 p.m. EST)

    Dunkel Ratings: Navy 78.230; Army 65.643
    Dunkel Line: Navy by 12 1/2; 62
    Vegas Line: Navy by 15; 57
    Dunkel Pick: Army (+15); Over




    NCAAF
    Long Sheet

    Week 16


    Saturday, December 13

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    ARMY (4 - 7) vs. NAVY (6 - 5) - 12/13/2014, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARMY is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    ARMY is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    ARMY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    ARMY is 12-33 ATS (-24.3 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
    ARMY is 10-33 ATS (-26.3 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
    ARMY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    NAVY is 142-109 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
    NAVY is 142-109 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    NAVY is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    NAVY is 131-100 ATS (+21.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    NAVY is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
    NAVY is 34-14 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NAVY is 1-1 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
    NAVY is 2-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NCAAF
    Short Sheet

    Week 16


    Army at Navy, 3:00 ET
    Army: 2-10 ATS in road games after gaining 125 or less passing yards in last game
    Navy: 19-8 ATS in road games off 1 or more straight overs




    NCAAF

    Saturday, December 13


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    Trend Report
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    3:00 PM
    ARMY vs. NAVY
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Navy
    Army is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Navy
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 5 games when playing Army
    Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Army


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    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAF
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Week 16


      Navy hasn't lost to Army since 2001, winning 12 in row, but Cadets are 3-2 vs spread in last five meetings. Army is 4-7 even with playing pair of I-AA teams (lost 49-43 to Yale); they're 1-4 as underdogs this year- their last four losses are all by 17+ points. Navy scored 39+ points in each of last five games, winning four, running for 336+ yards in all five games; they also allowed 31+ points three of last four games. Army is 15-41 passing TOTAL in its last five games. This game is in Baltimore, where Middies opened season with 34-17 loss to Ohio State.




      NCAAF

      Saturday, December 13


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      Game of the Day: Navy vs. Army
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      Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knights (+15, 57.5)

      Is this finally Army's year? The Black Knights sure hope so as they look to end a 12-game losing streak against the rival Navy Midshipmen in their annual encounter in Baltimore. The 115th meeting between the storied foes sees Army looking to end a difficult season on a positive note, having won two of its previous three games coming in; the Midshipmen have more at stake in this one, as it will serve as a tuneup to a Dec. 23 bowl date with San Diego State.

      It looked like Army and Navy might share the same fate midway through the season, but the Midshipmen have won four of their last five games - losing only to nationally-ranked Notre Dame over that span - to surge into the Poinsettia Bowl against the Aztecs in hostile San Diego. Navy has scored at least 39 points in each of its past five games and ranks second in the nation at 357.8 rushing yards per game. Army ranks sixth at 305.5 yards on the ground.

      TV:
      3 p.m. ET, CBS

      LINE HISTORY:
      Navy has held steady as a 15-point favorite. The total opened at 60.5 but has since dropped three points.

      INJURY REPORT:
      Navy - G Patrick Forrestal (leg), S Lonnie Richardson (concussion) and G Cam Henson (undisclosed) are out. LB James Britton (foot) is questionable. Army - OL Justin Gilbert (knee) is out. DB Geoffery Bacon (ankle) is questionable.

      WEATHER REPORT:
      Temperatures at Jack Stephens Field at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium will be in the low-40s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing northwest across the length of the field at 10 mph.

      ABOUT NAVY (6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS, 4-6 O/U):
      The Midshipmen were led by fleet quarterback Keenan Reynolds, who was a QB in name only - the 5-11 junior rushed for 1,082 yards and an eye-popping 20 touchdowns while passing for just five. He had plenty of help on the ground; 10 different Navy players recorded a rushing touchdown, while nine had at least 100 yards on the ground on the season and 18 players registered at least one carry. Jamir Tillman led the receiving corps with 18 receptions for 338 yards and two scores; no other player had more than nine catches.

      ABOUT ARMY (4-7 SU, 4-7 ATS, 7-4 O/U):
      The roll call of Black Knights rushing threats isn't quite as long as that of the Midshipmen, but Army can also pound the ball with the best of them. Larry Dixon led the way with 1,012 rushing yards and nine scores, while quarterback Angel Santiago chipped in 793 yards on the ground and a team-best 10 TDs. The passing game was virtually nonexistent, with Santiago, A.J. Schurr and receiver Joe Walker combining to go 48-for-98 for 710 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions on the season.

      TRENDS:


      * Navy is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games following a SU victory.
      * Army is 6-20 ATS in its last 26 games following an ATS win.
      * Under is 8-1 in the Midshipmen's last nine November games.
      * Under is 8-0 in the last eight meetings.

      CONSENSUS:
      Navy has a slim edge among users, garnering 51.77 percent of the vote at -15.


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