NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Thursday, December 11 - Monday, December 15)

[Udog]

NFL Trends and Indexes

Thursday, December 11 - Monday, December 15

Additional trends and information will be added as available.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

NFL Opening Line Report: First place on the line as Cowboys visit Philly[/SIZE]

We’re through 14 weeks of the NFL season, and the playoff chase in both conferences still has a whole lot of uncertainty – for the teams involved, and the bettors who wager on them.

Several Week 15 matchups could help clear up the picture, including Dallas and Philadelphia getting together just two weeks after their Thanksgiving clash.

The Eagles (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS) rumbled to a 33-10 road victory as a 3-point road underdog in that contest to break a tie with the Cowboys atop the NFC East. However, on Sunday, Philly bowed down to Seattle 24-14 as a 1-point home dog.

Dallas (9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS) comes into this game with a little extra rest, having played back-to-back Thursday games – against the Eagles, then last week in a 41-28 road victory over Chicago laying 4 points.

John Lester, senior lines manager for BookMaker.eu, doesn’t expect a big change from two weeks ago.

“Well, we’re back to where we were two weeks ago -- first place on the line in a bitter NFC East rivalry,” Lester said. “Personally, I don’t see the outcome being much different than the first meeting, even with the extra time for the Cowboys. They just don’t have the personnel defensively to match up with the Eagles. Dallas is going to have to match scores to stay in it.”

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-8.5)

San Fran has been to the last three NFC championship games, and a Super Bowl two seasons ago. But the Niners are practically out of the playoff chase. San Francisco (7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS) fell to Seattle 19-3 on Thanksgiving as a 1-point home fave, then laid a complete egg Sunday as an 8-point home chalk against lowly Oakland, losing 24-13.

Seattle (9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS), the defending Super Bowl champ, appears to be hitting its stride just in time. The Seahawks have won six of seven SU (4-3 ATS), including Sunday’s 24-14 victory at Philadelphia laying 1 point.

“It’s going to be very difficult for the Niners to get up for this one, coming off the devastating upset at Oakland and knowing they are essentially out of the playoffs. Not to mention all the external distractions,” Lester said. “Meanwhile, Seattle certainly looks like it has regained its Super Bowl form. We had to move a full point higher after initially opening at -8.5.”


Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers

The defending AFC champion Broncos (10-3 SU, 6-7 ATS) are trying to push closer to a first-round playoff bye and put a stranglehold on the West Division. On Sunday, Denver held off Buffalo 24-17, failing to cash as a 9-point home favorite.

The Chargers (8-5 SU, 6-7 ATS) put themselves in a precarious spot by blowing an early 14-3 lead against New England on Sunday night, failing to score the rest of the way in a 24-4 loss as a 4-point home pup.

“The Denver defense is starting to come around. I still don’t think it’s great, but it is performing better overall,” said Lester, who hadn’t yet set a number on this game. “Sharps and squares weren’t afraid to bet against San Diego last week, and I doubt anything will change this week. That said, after this Sunday night performance by the Chargers, we’ll probably make the Broncos around 6-point chalk.”


Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots

New England (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS) has been on fire for two months now, with the only blemish a 26-21 loss at Green Bay during an 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS streak. On Sunday night at San Diego, the Pats spotted the Chargers a 14-3 lead early in the second quarter, then scored 21 unanswered points the rest of the way for a 24-14 victory giving 4 points.

Miami (7-6 SU and ATS), firmly in the playoff mix a couple of weeks ago, is now on the brink after a 28-13 home loss to Baltimore laying 3 points.

“The Pats may want to alter their defensive plan of attack after Baltimore exposed Miami’s O-line this weekend,” Lester said. “Also, Miami losing safety Louis Delmas (knee) should create more opportunities for New England through the air. It’s a big loss. The Dolphins always seem to have a good game plan in this matchup, so I expect some sharps will be looking for the dog at more than a touchdown.”

[Udog]

NFL line watch: Hang on to see if Manziel starts

Spread to bet on now

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-10.5)

In one year, this line has been stretched from a field goal game to 10.5, which says more about the 49ers than it does about the Seahawks. San Fran is 7-6 and just about cooked as far as the playoffs are concerned. Things are so bad that the coach is actually on the trading block and NFL GMs are saying that they would rather have Oakland rookie Derek Carr under center than Colin Kaepernick. Not exactly what the team had in mind for its first year in that new stadium. As for the 9-4 Seahawks, things are coming together after a rocky start and they have to be at least even money to catch 10-3 Arizona and win the NFC West. Tough to eat 10.5 points in a division game, but these are teams headed in opposite directions and we can’t see the books giving back that half-point.


Spread to wait on

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (+1)

Is it finally time for Johnny Manziel? Brian Hoyer knows that 14 for 31 with two interceptions in a losing effort just doesn’t get it done when the team’s No. 1 draft choice and the team’s fan base are chomping at the bit for change, and so the torch might be passed this coming Sunday in a game the Brownies must have to prevent another non-playoff season. If you like Manziel, hang on for a bit to see if he’s the starter. If you don’t like the rook’s chances in the biggest game of the year for Cleveland, you don’t want to be exposed if he does get the call.


Total to watch

Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams (40.5)

No reason not to like the over in this one. Fast track, home team playing well and averaging more than 34 points in its last three games. Important division game for the Cardinals with Seattle breathing down their necks, but the signs point to points in this one. The Rams put up 52 against a half-decent Oakland defense at home two weeks ago, and while St. Louis has not given up a point in the last eight quarters, Arizona scored 31 up in their last meeting. Over, and pretty easily, in this one.

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 15

Arizona at St. Louis
The Cardinals head to St. Louis to face a Rams team that is coming off a 24-0 win over Washington and is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. St. Louis is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Rams favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-4). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 11

Game 301-302: Arizona at St. Louis (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 131.458; St. Louis 139.483
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 8; 44
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 4; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-4); Over


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 14

Game 305-306: Oakland at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 127.155; Kansas City 134.771
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 7 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 10 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+7 1/2); Under

Game 307-308: Jacksonville at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 124.599; Baltimore 135.961
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 11 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 14; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+14); Under

Game 309-310: Pittsburgh at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 135.767; Atlanta 131.390
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 4 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-2 1/2); Under

Game 311-312: Houston at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 134.235; Indianapolis 138.303
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 4; 54
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 7; 49
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7); Over

Game 313-314: Cincinnati at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 131.747; Cleveland 128.315
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Pick; 44
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati; Over

Game 315-316: Miami at New England (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 136.444; New England 142.038
Dunkel Line: New England by 5 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: New England by 7 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+7 1/2); Under

Game 317-318: Tampa Bay at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 124.503; Carolina 132.956
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 7 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Carolina by 5; 42
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-5); Over

Game 319-320: Washington at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 120.205; NY Giants 131.298
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 11; 44
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-6 1/2); Under

Game 321-322: Green Bay at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 140.821; Buffalo 138.550
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 2 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 6; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+6); Over

Game 323-324: Minnesota at Detroit (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 129.159; Detroit 139.578
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 10 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Detroit by 7 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-7 1/2); Under

Game 325-326: NY Jets at Tennessee (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 122.810; Tennessee 123.285
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+2); Under

Game 327-328: Denver at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 140.176; San Diego 133.229
Dunkel Line: Denver by 7; 46
Vegas Line: Denver by 4; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-4); Under

Game 329-330: San Francisco at Seattle (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 136.559; Seattle 144.109
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 7 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Seattle by 10 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+10 1/2); Under

Game 331-332: Dallas at Philadelphia (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 135.433; Philadelphia 136.386
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 50
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3 1/2); Under


MONDAY, DECEMBER 15

Game 333-334: New Orleans at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 131.748; Chicago 126.308
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 54
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3); Over

[Udog]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 15

Thursday, December 11

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ARIZONA (10 - 3) at ST LOUIS (6 - 7) - 12/11/2014, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
ST LOUIS is 102-139 ATS (-50.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 3-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, December 14

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OAKLAND (2 - 11) at KANSAS CITY (7 - 6) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 27-50 ATS (-28.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (2 - 11) at BALTIMORE (8 - 5) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PITTSBURGH (8 - 5) at ATLANTA (5 - 8) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (7 - 6) at INDIANAPOLIS (9 - 4) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in dome games since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (8 - 4 - 1) at CLEVELAND (7 - 6) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (7 - 6) at NEW ENGLAND (10 - 3) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 165-125 ATS (+27.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 72-46 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (2 - 11) at CAROLINA (4 - 8 - 1) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 52-27 ATS (+22.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 73-41 ATS (+27.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 49-24 ATS (+22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
CAROLINA is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (3 - 10) at NY GIANTS (4 - 9) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (10 - 3) at BUFFALO (7 - 6) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 83-57 ATS (+20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (6 - 7) at DETROIT (9 - 4) - 12/14/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (2 - 11) at TENNESSEE (2 - 11) - 12/14/2014, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (10 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (8 - 5) - 12/14/2014, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 6) at SEATTLE (9 - 4) - 12/14/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 58-34 ATS (+20.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 6-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-2 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (9 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 4) - 12/14/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, December 15

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NEW ORLEANS (5 - 8) at CHICAGO (5 - 8) - 12/15/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 15

Thursday, Dec. 11

Arizona at St Louis, 8:25 ET
Arizona: 7-0 ATS off a non-conference game
St Louis: 11-30 ATS revenging a same season loss against opponent


Sunday, Dec. 14

Oakland at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 0-6 ATS off a upset win as an underdog
Kansas City: 7-1 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

Jacksonville at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 8-19 ATS as an underdog
Baltimore: 11-1 ATS in home games after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games

Pittsburgh at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 5-1 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games
Atlanta: 3-10 ATS after gaining 275 or more passing yards in 3 straight games

Houston at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Houston: 2-11 ATS after playing their last game on the road over
Indianapolis: 14-4 ATS in home games against conference opponents

Cincinnati at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 27-12 UNDER in road games after allowing 30 points or more last game
Cleveland: 27-9 UNDER as a home favorite of 3 points or less

Miami at New England, 1:00 ET
Miami: 8-1 UNDER versus division opponents
New England: 28-14 UNDER in home games off 2 or more consecutive unders

Tampa Bay at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 6-15 ATS against conference opponents
Carolina: 10-2 ATS off 1 or more straight overs

Washington at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Washington: 4-14 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points
New York: 53-27 ATS after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game

Green Bay at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 23-8 OVER after allowing 35 points or more last game
Buffalo: 23-10 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread

Minnesota at Detroit, 4:25 ET
Minnesota: 6-0 ATS revenging a same season loss against opponent
Detroit: 2-9 ATS off 1 or more straight overs

NY Jets at Tennessee, 4:05 ET
New York: 35-60 ATS off a road loss
Tennessee: 9-1 ATS after a loss by 28 or more points

Denver at San Diego, 4:05 ET
Denver: 27-15 ATS as a favorite
San Diego: 30-15 UNDER revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points

San Francisco at Seattle, 4:25 ET
San Francisco: 8-0 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games
Seattle: 16-7 ATS against conference opponents

Dallas at Philadelphia, 8:30 ET
Dallas: 11-25 ATS in road games after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game
Philadelphia: 27-13 ATS after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game


Monday, Dec. 15

New Orleans at Chicago, 8:30 ET
New Orleans: 15-4 ATS in road games after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game
Chicago: 6-15 ATS as an underdog

[Udog]

NFL

Week 15

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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 11

8:25 PM
ARIZONA vs. ST. LOUIS
Arizona is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing St. Louis
Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Arizona
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


Sunday, December 14

1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. CAROLINA
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games at home

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. NEW ENGLAND
Miami is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New England
Miami is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New England's last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 10 games

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing Cincinnati

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. BALTIMORE
Jacksonville is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Baltimore's last 16 games at home

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. BUFFALO
Green Bay is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ATLANTA
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 16 games at home

1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Houston is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games when playing Indianapolis
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indianapolis's last 15 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
OAKLAND vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games
Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NY GIANTS
Washington is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Washington is 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
NY Giants are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 7 games

4:05 PM
DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games on the road
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
San Diego is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games

4:05 PM
NY JETS vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the NY Jets last 11 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
NY Jets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games

4:25 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SEATTLE
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Seattle is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home

4:25 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 2-12-1 SU in its last 15 games ,on the road
Minnesota is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 13 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games

8:30 PM
DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Dallas


Monday, December 15

8:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. CHICAGO
New Orleans is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing New Orleans


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[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Cardinals (10-3) @ Rams (6-7)—St Louis is first NFL team in seven years to toss back/back shutouts; they won last three home games, beating Seattle/Denver. Arizona is 12-4 in last 16 series games, but lost last two visits here, by 14-3 points; Rams led 14-10 in 4th quarter at Arizona five weeks ago, before Palmer got hurt and Stanton threw winning TD pass, which was followed by two Arizona defensive TDs, which prompted QB change back to current starter Hill. Rams covered four of last six as home favorite; they’re +9 in turnovers over last four games, winning field position by 8+ yards in all four. Long road trip on short week for Arizona team that has home showdown with 2nd-place Seattle next week. Six of last eight Arizona games stayed under total; four of last five St Louis home games went over.




NFL

Thursday, December 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday Night Football betting preview: Cardinals at Rams
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Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams (-4.5, 39.5)

The Arizona Cardinals are still tied for the NFL's best record, but they're clinging to a one-game lead in the NFC West with a trip to face the surging St. Louis Rams looming Thursday night. The Cardinals beat the Rams 31-14 in Week 10 thanks to a pair of defensive touchdowns, but Arizona's offense has stalled in four games since. Meanwhile, the Rams have won three of four, outscoring Oakland and Washington by a combined 76-0 the past two weeks.

The Cardinals got the running game going enough to pull out a 17-14 win over Kansas City last week but now must face the league's hottest defense, as the Rams have recorded consecutive shutouts for the first time since 1945. "We have to lock it in and keep this thing going," Rams linebacker James Laurinaitis told reporters. "There's definitely momentum right now, and we just have to keep fighting and keep stacking wins." Arizona remains tied with Green Bay for the top spot in the NFC but is just a game clear of Seattle in the division and the Seahawks already have one head-to-head win with another meeting coming next week.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Rams as field goal faves but that's moved to -4.5. The total opened 40.5 but is down a full point.

INJURY REPORT: Cardinals - G Paul Fanaika (Questionable, ankle), CB Antonio Cromartie (Questionable, ankle), S Tyrann Mathieu (Out indefinitely, thumb), RB Andre Ellington (IR, hip).

POWER RANKINGS: Cardinals (-4.25) + Rams (-0.75) + home field (-3.0) = Cardinals -0.5

ABOUT THE CARDINALS (10-3 SU, 9-4 ATS, 4-8-1 O/U): Arizona has stayed afloat despite losing quarterback Carson Palmer for the season, but the Cardinals will need Drew Stanton to be more consistent. Stanton didn't throw an interception last week but was 15-of-30, while practice squad call-up Kerwynn Williams was impressive in his first action carrying the ball, racking up 100 yards on 19 carries. Arizona's secondary could be depleted, as safety Tyrann Mathieu (thumb) is out and cornerback Antonio Cromartie (ankle) is day-to-day.

ABOUT THE RAMS (6-7 SU, 6-7 ATS, 7-6 O/U): A renewed pass rush has played a huge rule in St. Louis' defensive revival, as the Rams have recorded 13 sacks over the past two games and 34 over the past eight. Quarterback Shaun Hill's play the past two weeks has been overshadowed by the defense, but the veteran has compiled a 124.8 rating with four TDs and no interceptions in the back-to-back victories. The Rams have found consistency in the running game in the form of Tre Mason, who leads NFC rookies with 628 rushing yards and has two 100-yard games in the past four contests.

TRENDS:

* Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
* Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 21-5-1 in Rams last 27 games in December.
* Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 55 percent of bettors are backing the Cardinals.


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NFL

Thursday, December 11


Suddenly surging Rams strong against the spread

The St. Louis Rams have gone 6-2 against the spread in their past eight games, including covering in their past four. Most notably, the Rams defense has been on the right end of two consecutive shutouts, while only allowing an average of 16.9 points in their past eight.

St. Louis is currently -4.5 for their Thursday night game against the Arizona Cardinals.

[Udog]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 15

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-7, 49)

Texans’ takeaway vs. Colts’ careless turnovers

It’s hard to imagine the Colts could be putting up more points than they already are, if not for turnover issues plaguing the offense. Indianapolis is tied for the third most giveaway in the NFL, turning the ball over 26 times heading into Week 16.

The Colts were lucky those turnover issues didn’t cost them a win in Cleveland last Sunday, with Andrew Luck throwing two interceptions and the Colts putting the ball on the ground four times – losing two of those fumbles. Not the kind of careless play you want heading into a showdown with division rival Houston.

The Texans defense thrives on forcing turnovers. And, in a season in which the club has allowed 373 yards per game (25th in the NFL), those turnovers are keeping the stop unit afloat. The Texans are tops in the league with 29 takeaways: 16 interceptions, 13 fumbles.

Indianapolis has a banged up offensive line that MVP candidate J.J. Watt is chomping at the bit to expose. He had two sacks and a fumble recovery for a touchdown when these teams met in October. Getting pressure on Luck is the catalyst for more turnovers from the Colts.


Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens (-14, 45.5)

Jaguars’ sloppy seconds vs. Ravens’ hot second halves

The Jaguars have shown their claws in recent weeks, but only for a couple quarters. Jacksonville would make one hell of a first-half wager in that span, leading Houston at the break last week and trailing Indianapolis 6-3 at half three weeks ago. Then everything went to crap.

The Jags are giving up 13.8 points per second half this season, including 7.7 points in fourth quarters. Jacksonville was outscored 17-0 in the second half versus both the Texans and Colts in the last three games. They’ve countered with only 8.4 average second-half points - 5.7 when playing on the road.

Baltimore is blistering opponents in the final two frames, sitting second in the NFL behind the Colts with an average of 15.2 second-half points. The Ravens had a slow start to last week’s game against Miami, trailing 10-7 at half, then erupted for a 21-3 second half show. Baltimore is finishing strong, which is tough to do at this point in the season, scoring 11.3 points per fourth quarter in its last three contests.


Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-10.5, 41.5)

Raiders’ third-down defense vs. Chiefs’ third-down offense

The Chiefs issues at wide receiver aren’t just contained to a lack of scoring punch downfield – having failed to score a single receiving touchdown on the season. Kansas City hasn’t been able to move the chains on third downs either – a passing down on most snaps – converting just 24 percent of its third-down tries over the last three games.

The Chiefs are 9 for 37 on third down during their current three-game slide, starting with a 24-20 loss to Oakland as 7.5-point road favorites in Week 12. They were 2 for 14 on third down in that game. Things get especially tricky on third and long, with QB Alex Smith averaging just under eight yards per attempt when needing nine or more to move the chains.

The Raiders are playing with a ton of momentum, picking up two wins in their last three games after starting the season 0-10. Oakland has held opponents to an 18.18 percent success rate on third downs during this turnaround, including limiting San Francisco to 3 for 11 on third down last Sunday. Even in the 52-0 ass-waxing to St. Louis, the Silver and Black left the Rams to go 1 for 8 on third downs.


Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5, 55)

Cowboys’ 10-day break vs. Eagles’ Seattle-softened lineup

In football, there is an underlying phenomena that takes place when a team is coming off a game with a very physical opponent. College football programs used to slump the week after playing pro-ready Alabama, as did NFL teams following a hard-hitting clash with the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The reasoning behind this theory was that the team was still feeling the effects of all those hits the next week, leaving the tenderized lineup to suffer a massive letdown. For those that poo-poo this school of thought, I present you the 2014 Seattle Seahawks and their past opponents.

Teams coming off a game against the hard-hitting defending Super Bowl champs are just 3-8 SU and 2-7-1 ATS (excluding Denver, which had a bye after its Week 3 loss to Seattle). And, ever since the Seahawks and their L.O.B. got their swagger back, their last seven opponents are 0-7 SU and ATS in the following game. The Philadelphia Eagles are up next.

Philadelphia is coming off a 24-14 beating at the hands of Seattle and opens the doors of Lincoln Financial Field to a well-rested Cowboys side, desperate to stay in the postseason hunt. The last time these teams met, Dallas was on a short week following a physical affair with the Giants and got run of its own field. This time around, the Cowboys have had 10 days off to prepare and take a perfect 6-0 SU road record (5-1 ATS) into Philly.

An interesting note: Dallas was one of only two teams to follow a game against the Seahawks with a win and cover this season, beating the Giants 31-21 as a 4.5-point home favorite in Week 7.

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Raiders (2-11) @ Chiefs (7-6)—Since 2007, Chiefs are 1-10 as a divisional home favorite. KC lost last three games overall, scoring 16.7 ppg; they’re 14-56 (25%) on 3rd down over last five games. Raiders are 3-2-1 as road underdogs, with one loss by more than 10 points. Chiefs are 3-1 as home favorites, winning at home by 27-27-14-4 points, with losses to Titans/Broncos. Oakland won two of last three games, losing 52-0 in between two wins, first of which was 24-20 (+7) home win over Chiefs three weeks ago, when Raiders ran for 179 yards, converted 8-16 on 3rd down on Thursday night home game that was similar scenario to this week’s Card-Ram game. Raiders won six of last nine against Chiefs, winning six of last seven visits here; they’re Seven of last nine Chief games stayed under the total.

Jaguars (2-11) @ Ravens (8-5)—Since ’03, Baltimore is 29-14-1 as non-divisional home favorite, 3-1 this year. Ravens won three of last four games, running for 168.5 ypg in wins by 14-7-15 points, with 34-33 loss to Chargers when they lost in last minute. Jax lost five of last six games, scoring two defensive TDs in only win (trailed 21-3 at half); they’re 1-4-1 as road underdogs, losing true road games by 17-31-19-2-10-20 points, with last two losses their only two games on carpet this year (0-1-1 vs spread, 4-7-1 last 12). Home side won last five series games, with Baltimore winning seven of last nine after losing eight in row to Jags. Jax averaged under 4.5 ypa in each of last three games. AFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 5-6 vs spread; AFC North home favorites are 6-6. Six of last nine Jaguar games stayed under the total.

Steelers (8-5) @ Falcons (5-8)—AFC North teams (11-2-1) have treated NFC South like a piñata this year, but Steelers have both losses and at home/ Pitt would be in playoffs if they started now after gaining 543 yards in 42-21 win at Cincy last week; Steelers are 4-2 on road, 1-2 on carpet- they’re 29-54 on third down in last four games. Short week for Falcons after they fought back from 31-7 halftime deficit to lose/cover 43-37 at Lambeau Monday night; health of star WR Jones (hip) obviously a big Atlanta concern. Falcons covered five of last six games, but are 1-8 SU in non-divisional games. Last five series games were decided by 4 or less points in OT, with last three going OT; Steelers won six of eight visits here, are 12-2-1 overall in last 15 series games. Six of last seven Steeler games, last three Atlanta games went over total.

Texans (7-6) @ Colts (9-4)—Indy can clinch division here; wary of teams off sloppy (3+ turnovers) wins, which is what Colts did in Cleveland last week, turning ball over four times but scoring in last 2:00 of each half, including game-winning TD with 0:32 left. Colts turned ball over 10 times (-5) in last three games, two of which were at home; they’re 21-4 in this series, 12-0 here, with three of last four home wins vs Texans by 12+ points. Houston is 3-1 since its bye; they’ve won last three road games, are 2-1 as road dogs (were favored in 4 of first 7 on road), 0-2 on carpet, losing by 13 at Giants, 3 in OT at Dallas. Indy (-2.5) won first meeting 33-28 in Houston, running 30 more plays (82-52) than Texans. Favorites are 7-0 vs spread in AFC South divisional games this year, 3-0 at home. Three of last four Houston games stayed under total.

Bengals (8-4-1) @ Browns (7-6)—Manziel gets first NFL start here for Browns squad that lost three of last four games, scoring five TDs on last 50 drives; they lost at home last week, even with defense scoring two TDs. Cleveland won three of last four series games, winning 24-3 (+6) at Cincy in Week 10 Thursday game; Browns ran for 170 yards, had 368-165 edge in yardage over Jekyll/Hyde Bengal squad that gave up 543 yards in home loss to Steelers last week, after winning previous three games, all on road, giving up 71.3 rushing ypg. Last time Browns swept Cincinnati was 2002; they’re 4-3 at home, but lost last two, to Texans/Colts. Underdogs covered six of eight AFC North games this year. Eight of last nine Cleveland games, four of last five Bengal games stayed under the total.

Dolphins (7-6) @ Patriots (10-3)—Miami offense is fading, scoring 16-13 points in last two games, running for just 63 yards vs Ngata-less Ravens last week. Dolphins are 3-2-1 as underdogs this year, 2-2 on road; they’re 2-4 as divisional road dogs under Philbin. NE is home after splitting pair of grass games at GB/SD, practicing all week in SoCal last week; Patriots covered four of last five home games, scoring 42.7 ppg in last three home tilts. Pats lost 33-20 (-4) to Miami in season opener, second straight loss to Dolphins after seven wins; Fish lost last five visits here, with four of five by 10+ points. Since 2005, NE is just 9-12 vs spread as divisional home favorites, 0-1 this year. Home teams are 5-3 vs spread in AFC East divisional games this season. Seven of last eight Dolphin games, last three New England games stayed under the total.

Buccaneers (2-11) @ Panthers (4-8-1)—Cam Newton was involved in a car wreck Tuesday afternoon; as I type this, not sure if he is injured or not. Carolina is 4-8-1 but only half-game out of first in hideous NFC South, where road teams are 7-2 vs spread in divisional games. Carolina won season opener 20-14 (+2.5) behind backup QB Anderson; Panthers were +3 in turnovers as they beat Bucs for third straight time, by 18-21-6 points. Tampa lost four of last six games in Charlotte; they’ve lost seven of last eight games overall, but are 4-2 as road underdogs with a win at Pittsburgh. Carolina had 271 rushing yards in easy win in Superdome last week; they’ve lost last three home games, scoring 12 ppg. Six of last seven Bucs’ games stayed under total; three of last four Panther games went over. This series has resulted in season sweeps last five years.

Redskins (3-10) @ Giants (4-9)—Washington QB McCoy (neck) is a ??; RGIII is back in lineup if he can’t go, as dysfunctional Redskins look to avenge 45-14 (-3) thrashing they took at home from Giants in Week 4, when Cousins-led Skins turned ball over six times (-5). Big Blue won 10 of last 13 series games but lost seven of last eight games overall; they’ve led last three games by 11+ points at half, but lost two of them. Washington lost last five games (1-4 vs spread); they’re 10 of last 40 on third down and look generally disinterested, allowing fake PAT and a punt return TD last week vs Rams. Giants are favored for only third time (1-1) this season; they’re 2-4 SU at home, beating Texans by 13, Falcons by 10. NFC East home favorites are 1-4 in divisional games. Five of last seven Redskin games stayed under; five of last seven Giant games went over.

Packers (10-3) @ Bills (7-6)—Short week for Packer defense that looked exhausted in second half Monday night, giving up 30 second half points after leading 31-7 at half. Green Bay won its last five games (3-2 vs spread) but is just 3-3 SU on road, (1-1-1 as road favorite) with two of three wins by FG (won 38-17 at Bears)- they lost three of four games on carpet this season. Bills covered last three games, are 4-3 SU at home, 0-2 as home dog- they allowed one TD on 23 drives in winning last two home games (Jets/Browns). Home side won last six series games and nine of 11, with Packers losing last five visits here, all by 7+ points. NFC North non-divisional favorites are 10-6, 1-0 on road; AFC East underdogs are 10-8, 3-2 at home. Eight of last ten Green Bay games went over; last five Buffalo games stayed under.

Vikings (6-7) @ Lions (9-4)—Favorites are 8-1 vs spread in NFC North divisional games. Detroit won six of last eight games, winning last two by 34-17 scores (8 TDs, 4 FGA on 19 drives); they beat Minnesota 17-3 (-1.5) in Week 6, picking off three passes in game where teams combined to go 4-27 on 3rd down (Lions were 1-13). Detroit is 6-1 at home, 5-2 as home favorite, with four of six home wins by 12+ points. Minnesota is playing rookie QB, had Peterson for only one game, so 6-7 is pretty good for them; they’ve won four of last six games, covered six of last seven- they’re 3-3 as road underdogs. Vikings are 19-6 in last 25 series games, but lost three of last four visits here; they’re 2-4 on road, losing four of last five on foreign soil. Last two Lion games went over total, after previous ten had stayed under.

Jets (2-11) @ Titans (2-11)—Both teams won season opener and very little since; have sense that Titans are subtly tanking season to get #1 pick in draft- they trailed last two games 24-0/23-0 at half. Jets are trying because Ryan knows he’s getting fired and he is auditioning for his next job. Home side won last three series games; Jets lost 14-10/38-13 in last two visits here. AFC East non-divisional road teams are 9-7 vs spread; AFC South home teams are 8-11. Mettenberger (shoulder) is done for year, so Locker, Whitehurst are their QBs. Tennessee’s last win was October 12; five of their last six losses are by 14+ points. Jets lost last three games, by 35-3-6- they gave up 87-yard TD pass in OT last week. Four of last five Jet games stayed under; three of last four Tennessee games went over. Bad teams don’t have a home field advantage.

Broncos (10-3) @ Chargers (8-5)—San Diego is just 2-8 vs spread in its last ten divisional home games; they had 3-game win streak snapped by Patriots last week, are 5-2 SU at home, but failed to cover last four at Qualcomm. Denver (-9) beat Bolts 35-21 in Week 8 Thursday night game, picking Rivers off twice (+2) and converting 8-13 on third down; Broncos won six of last seven series games, winning last three visits here by 3-11-8 points- they’re 9-2 vs spread in divisional road games in Manning era. Broncos ran ball for 201-214-133 yards in last three games since loss in St Louis; they’re 9-0 on grass this season, 1-3 on carpet. San Diego is just 31 of last 82 on 3rd down (22 of last 71 if you take out Raven win); they’ve lost field position in seven of last eight games, losing by 15-18 yards last two weeks—hard to win that way. Three of last four Denver games stayed under total.

49ers (7-6) @ Seahawks (9-4)—Niners’ last stand of the Harbaugh era; they got spanked 19-3 (-1.5) by Seattle at home two weeks ago, gaining only 164 yards with three turnovers (-3). SF is 3-4 in last seven games, losing last two weeks while scoring one TD on 18 drives (seven 3/outs); they’re -7 in turnovers last three games, with only one takeaway. Seattle won six of last seven games, allowing two TDs on 30 drives in last three games, with 13 3/outs; they’re 4-2 as home favorites this year, 7-2 overall under Carroll. 49ers split pair of games as road underdogs this year, losing at Denver, winning in New Orleans. Seahawks won four of last five series games; 49ers lost last three visits here, by 29-26-6 points. Five of last seven series totals were 36 or less. Last four 49er games, last three Seattle games stayed under the total.

Cowboys (9-4) @ Eagles (9-4)—In their last four wins, Philly is 32-65 on third down; in their last two losses, they’re 7-26, so its up to Sanchez to move chains when necessary and hand off to McCoy/Sproles rest of time. Eagles (+3.5) crushed Dallas 33-10 on Thanksgiving, running for 256 yards and outgaining Pokes by 197 yards. Iggles’ last six games were all decided by 10+ points; they’re 4-3 as home favorites, winning all seven SU. Dallas had 10 days off after Chicago game last week; they’re 3-1 as underdogs this year, won three of last four games SU. Home side lost last three games in series where Eagles won last two meetings after losing seven of previous ten; Dallas won four of last five visits here, winning 38-23/17-3 last two years. Three of last four Dallas games, four of last six Philly games went over the total.

Saints (5-8) @ Bears (5-8)—Neither team here inspires any confidence. Saints covered once in last eight games as a road favorite; they lost SU last four times they were favored, but they won last two road games, scoring 63 points. Road team won their last six games, after losing first seven. Dome team as road favorite on a December night in Chicago is a brutal spot, but Bears lost five of last seven games, allowing 75 points last two weeks and best WR Marshall (back) is done for year. Chicago failed to cover last five tries as a home underdog; they covered once in last seven tries as an underdog overall. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 4-10 vs spread, 0-3 on road. NFC North underdogs are 6-10, 1-2 at home. Four of last six Chicago games, four of last five Saint games went over the total.

[Udog]

NFL

Sunday, December 14

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Game of the Day: 49ers at Seahawks
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San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-10, 38)

The Seattle Seahawks are showing the form that carried them to a Super Bowl title last season and that spells bad news for the San Francisco 49ers, who are teetering on the edge of playoff elimination. The Seahawks go for their fourth straight victory when they host the 49ers on Sunday in the second meeting between the NFC West rivals in 18 days. Seattle has permitted 20 points over its past three, including a 19-3 win at San Francisco.

The 49ers had won three in a row before they were limited to 164 yards by the Seahawks on Thanksgiving night and followed that up by laying an egg in last week's 24-13 loss at lowly Oakland, dropping two games behind Seattle and two other clubs for the final two playoff slots in the NFC. A loss could KO the playoff hopes of San Francisco, which is expected to part ways with coach Jim Harbaugh after the season. “Sometimes they don’t see the magic that guys have," Seattle coach Pete Carroll said of the reported rift between Harbaugh and team management. "I think he’s fantastic football coach. He’s proven that. There’s no question about that."

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE HISTORY: After opening at Seattle -9.5 at most books, the total has shifted to -10. The total opened at a low 38.5, but has still dropped to 38.

INJURY REPORT: 49ers - G Mike Iupati (Ques-Elbow), C Marcus Martin (Ques-Knee), WR Stevie Johnson (Out-Knee) Seahawks - C Max Unger (Ques-Ankle),

WEATHER FORECAST: Skies are expected to be clear with temperatures between 42°F and 47°F. Winds are expected to be blowing throughout the game between 9 mph and 11 mph.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS, 4-9 O/U): San Francisco's offense has been among the most unproductive in the league, ranking 26th with an average of 18.8 points, and has taken a major step back over the past two months. The 49ers have been held to 17 points or fewer in six of their last seven games and are averaging 12.3 over their last four. Quarterback Colin Kaepernick continues to regress, completing under 56 percent of his passes in four of the past five games while throwing five interceptions and only two touchdowns over his last three. Running back Frank Gore hasn't cracked 100 yards since Week 5, putting more of an onus on a defense that ranks third in the league.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS, 7-6 O/U): Seattle was sitting at 3-3 following back-to-back losses to Dallas and St. Louis in mid-October but has rebounded to win six of seven and turned in three consecutive dominant defensive efforts. The Seahawks limited NFC West leader Arizona and San Francisco to a field goal apiece before holding Philadelphia's potent offense to a season-low 139 yards in last week's 24-14 road victory. While the defense has been superb, quarterback Russell Wilson has thrown for four touchdowns and run for another while not throwing an interception during the winning streak. Marshawn Lynch rushed for 86 yards last week to hit 1,000 for the fourth straight season.

TRENDS:

*49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC West.
*Under is 7-1 in Seahawks last 8 vs. NFC West.
*Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Seattle.
*49ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 57.2 percent of users are backing the 49ers +10 with 58.4 percent taking the over.


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[Udog]

NFL

Sunday, December 14

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Sunday Night Football: Cowboys at Eagles
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Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5, 55)

The Dallas Cowboys are the league's only undefeated team on the road but they will have to avenge a lopsided defeat against a bitter rival to keep that perfect mark intact. Dallas will pay a visit to the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday night in a showdown for first place in the NFC East. The Eagles crushed the Cowboys 33-10 in Dallas on Thanksgiving night and a victory Sunday night will essentially give them a two-game lead with two to play.

“Our attention has to go to Dallas and on winning the NFC East,” Philadelphia coach Chip Kelly said. “We’re not concerned with anything else besides that. Control what you can control. And that’s what we can control right now.” Dallas has been off for nine days since winning at Chicago 41-28 on Dec. 4 and regained a share of first place in the division when Seattle knocked off the Eagles 24-14 last week. The teams have split the last 10 meetings, but the Cowboys have won their last two in Philadelphia.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE HISTORY: The opening line of Dallas -3.5 and total of 55 has not shifted all week.

INJURY REPORT: Cowboys - DE Demarcus Lawrence (Prob-Chest), S Jeff Heath (Prob-Thumb) Eagles - QB Nick Foles (Ques-Collarbone)

WEATHER FORECAST: Expect party cloudy conditions with temperatures in the high 37-40°F range. Winds are expected to gust between 6-8 mph.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS, 7-5-1 O/U): DeMarco Murray is running away with the league's rushing title with 1,606 yards and has eclipsed 100 in 11 of 13 games this season, but he was held to a season-low 73 yards on 20 carries by Philadelphia. Quarterback Tony Romo had his worst game in last month's meeting, getting intercepted twice and sacked four times while failing to throw a touchdown pass for the only time this season. Romo bounced back by tossing three touchdowns - two to Cole Beasley - against the Bears and will be looking for Dez Bryant, who last week went over 1,000 yards for the third straight season. Dallas has only 19 sacks and is permitted 251.9 yards through the air.

ABOUT THE EAGLES (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS, 8-5 O/U): Philadelphia's vaunted offense was brought to a halt by reigning Super Bowl champion Seattle, which limited the Eagles to 139 total yards while holding the ball for nearly 42 minutes. Mark Sanchez had his worst game since replacing an injured Nick Foles, throwing for only 96 yards, while LeSean McCoy managed 50 yards on 17 carries after shredding Dallas for 159 yards and a touchdown on Thanksgiving. Wideout Jeremy Maclin had eight catches for 108 yards in the previous meeting with the Cowboys while rookie Jordan Matthews has five TD receptions in his last six games and has emerged as a favorite target of Sanchez.

TRENDS:

*Eagles are 5-14-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
*Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 road games.
*Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
*Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.

CONSENSUS: 54.31 percent of users are on the Cowboys +3.5, with 63.6 percent backing the over.


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[Udog]

NFL

Sunday, December 14


Cowboys league's best road team

The Dallas Cowboys are the lone undefeated team on the road this season, going an impressive 6-0 away from AT&T Stadium. All other teams in the NFL have at least two road losses this season.

In those six games the Cowboys have been a great bet on the road, going 5-1 against the spread.

They will need that success to continue if they hope to be NFC East champs when they visit the Philadelphia Eagles Sunday night. The Eagles are currently 3.5-point home favorites and are 5-2 ATS at home this season.


Home team is red-hot ATS in Patriots-Dolphins matchup

The home team in the Patriots-Dolphins matchup has been red-hot against the spread going 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.

The Patriots are currently 7.5-point home favorites and with a win with can clinch the AFC East. New England is 1-2 ATS when favored by 7.5-points or more this season.


Houston WR Andre Johnson expected to sit

The Houston Texans are expected to be without wideout Andre Johnson for their early Sunday afternoon matchup with the Indianapolis Colts, according to NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport.

Johnson is dealing with a concussion he suffered last week against Jacksonville.

The Texans are currently 7-point underdogs against the division rival Colts with a total sitting at 49.


Raiders place S Asante on IR

The Oakland Raiders placed safety Larry Asante on injured reserve Saturday and signed safety Ras-I Dowling and linebacker Bojay Filimoeatu from the practice squad to the active roster.

Asante had 23 tackles (18 solo) and one forced fumble in six games this year.

Dowling was signed to the Raiders' practice squad on Sept. 1. He was originally a second-round draft pick of the New England Patriots in 2011. He spent two seasons with the Patriots before joining the New York Jets in 2013. In nine NFL games, he has 10 tackles (seven solo) and one pass breakup.

Filimoeatu signed with the Raiders as an undrafted free agent in May out of Utah. In five games, he has 10 tackles (two solo).


Bears place Sharpton on IR, promote Fales

The Chicago Bears placed linebacker Darryl Sharpton on injured reserve Saturday and promoted quarterback David Fales from the practice squad to the 53-man roster.

Sharpton, who has a hamstring injury, has played 47 NFL games (21 starts) with the Houston Texans (2010-13) and Bears (2014). He has 171 tackles (six for loss) one sack, one interception, five pass breakups, one forced fumble and a fumble recovery. He also has 16 special teams tackles.

This season, Sharpton had 27 tackles, three quarterback pressures and two pass breakups in five games (two starts).

Fales has been on the Bears' practice squad after the team drafted him in the sixth round this year. In two seasons at San Jose State, Fales made all 25 starts, completing 68.1 percent of his passes for 8,382 yards, 66 touchdowns and 22 interceptions.

[Udog]

Where the action is: Sunday's biggest Week 15 NFL line moves

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions - Open: -7.5, Move: -8

The perennially competitive NFC North has seen the Chicago Bears grabbing the headlines for all the wrong reasons this year, while the Lions are one game behind the Packers at the top of the division heading into Sunday. Even without star running back Adrian Peterson for the majority of the campaign, the Vikings have been solid at the betting window (8-5 ATS) while showing signs of promise for the future with rookie Teddy Bridgewater under center.

"The spread reached as high as -8 and that’s when the wiseguys grabbed Minnesota," said Lester. "The under has seen even more significant movement, almost down a field goal from our open of 44. You know what you’re going to get with a much-improved Detroit D, and the first time these two met they didn't eclipse 20 points."


San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks - Open: -9.5, Move: -10, Move: -9.5

After enduring a mid-season slump, the Seahawks have looked more like last year's Super Bowl champs as the season draws to a close, winning and covering three games in a row ahead of the contest. Rumors of the potential departure of head coach John Harbaugh has dominated the 49ers season, as the Niners have looked completely out of sorts on the field on their way to a 7-6 straight-up record. San Fran's struggles have continued against the spread, failing to cover in three consecutive games ahead of Sunday.

"The betting public is well aware of San Francisco’s internal and external problems," stated Lester. "They never really backed off the Seahawks, even when they were struggling earlier in the year. We’ve bounced around between -9.5 and -10 for a few days and it will probably reach double digits again."


Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns - Open: +1, Move: -1.5

In case you didn't hear, it's Johnny Football time in Cleveland. Despite Brian Hoyer's struggles on the field this season, the Browns are the league's fourth-best bet (7-4-2 ATS) after 14 weeks. Cincinnati is hanging onto the top spot in the crowded AFC North which makes Sunday's all-Ohio clash a massive one for both sides.

"This one was already moving before the announcement of Manziel starting, but that’s when the squares really jumped on Cleveland," Lester tells Covers. "The sharps may have initially been taking a small position because we’ve seen some buyback when it got to -1.5. It’s kind of a muddied picture right now. I think the Bengals get the win."


Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills - Open: +5, Move: +4

The Packers have looked like a well oiled machine all year long and find themselves as the odds-on favorites to hoist the Lombardi trophy in February. The scrappy Bills have refused to throw in the towel and remain in the thick of the AFC Wild Card race, covering the spread in each of their past three matchups. Green Bay has been unbeatable on the frozen tundra (7-0 straight-up) but is just 3-3 SU away from Wisconsin.

"You know the public is on Green Bay (nearly 80 percent of our action), so this movement is all smart money," Lester said. "They know this is a must-win game for Buffalo, and they expect the Packers to slow down at some point. That said, I doubt this creeps any lower than +4."


Washington Redskins at New York Giants - Open: -6.5, Move: -7, Move: -6.5

Both the Redskins and the Giants enter Week 15 with a significantly larger amount of questions than answers. Each squad has long been out of playoff contention, and unsurprisingly, have been far from a safe bet. The G-Men are tied with Tampa Bay and New Orleans for the third worst ATS mark in the league (5-8 ATS) while the 'Skins are sole owners of the second worst spread play at 4-9.

"We’re back to our opener of -6.5 after brief moves of a half point in either direction," said Lester. "I don’t think the McCoy-RG3 situation has really had any bearing on this line. I could see this getting back to a touchdown by kickoff."

[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in the Westgate Hotel handicapping contest, where some of the best handicappers in America put up $1,500 apiece, pick 5 games a week:

6) Vikings, +8-- Trying to avenge 17-3 loss in first meeting.

5) 49ers, +10-- Trying to right the ship and get back in contention.

4) Colts, -6.5-- Survived four turnovers in narrow win last week.

3) Patriots, -7.5-- Back home after spending last week in California.

2) Cowboys, +3-- Better be prepared to stop the run this time.

1) Bills, +4.5-- Green Bay hasn't been as good on the road.

Season record of six most popular picks each week: 46-38

2013 season record of six most popular picks each week: 42-57-4