Announcement

**Udog** · 12-03-2014, 10:47 AM

NFL Opening Line Report: Patriots favored in San Diego

Just when the defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks appeared on the ropes, they put together back-to-back wins that put them squarely in the playoff picture. In fact, as the NFL gears up for Week 14, Pete Carroll’s troops have a legitimate shot to win the NFC West.

In back-to-back games, Seattle (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS) shut down division-leading Arizona and archrival San Francisco by identical 19-3 scores, dropping the visiting Cardinals as a 7.5-point chalk and the host 49ers as a 1-point underdog on Thanksgiving night.

Now the Seahawks travel cross-country to face NFC East-leading Philadelphia (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS). The Eagles bounced back from a 53-20 whitewashing at Green Bay by posting a pair of routs, including wiping out host Dallas 33-10 getting 3 points on Thanksgiving.

John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu, installed the Eagles as 1-point chalk.

“This is a really good measuring stick for both teams and a potential playoff preview,” Lester said. “You have to wonder if the Seahawks have shaken off the distractions that plagued them early. And let’s see how the Eagles’ Mark Sanchez handles a good defense, because he hasn’t seen one since taking over. I expect we’ll have pretty even action on the side, and majority will be on the over.”

New England Patriots (-3) at San Diego Chargers

After a 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS hot streak, New England finally cooled off in Week 13 at Lambeau Field, falling to Green Bay 26-21 catching 2.5 points. But the Pats (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS), who are still the top seed in the AFC, could find it tough sledding in better weather this week when they travel to sunny San Diego.

The Chargers (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS), looking to bolster their playoff prospects, have won their last three after a three-game midseason slide. San Diego edged Baltimore 34-33 Sunday as a 6.5-point road pup.

“We’ll see if the Pats can bounce back from a physically exhausting game at Green Bay,” Lester said. “San Diego is also in a tight spot after the emotional win at Baltimore. I don’t foresee the Chargers’ defense holding New England under 30 points. The Pats deserve to be road chalk here, but there will be some smart money on the home dog.”

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (-3)

Cincinnati gained a little breathing room in the airtight AFC North by squeaking out a 14-13 victory at Tampa Bay, while falling short as a 6-point fave. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) took a step back with a 35-32 loss at New Orleans getting 3.5 points.

“The Bengals were the only member of the AFC North not to lose Sunday, but the division remains wide open,” Lester said. “Cincy has been very strong at home, and I thought we should have been a little higher on its side. But there are always going to be Steelers supporters. Under should be a popular sharp
play.”

Kansas City Chiefs at Arizona Cardinals

Arizona was the darling of the league and bettors a few weeks ago, with a 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS record. But the Cards (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS) have dumped two in a row SU and ATS to jeopardize what had been a big lead in the NFC West. Arizona tumbled at Atlanta 29-18 Sunday laying 1.5 points.

Kansas City is also backsliding, following up a 5-0 SU and ATS spree with back-to-back SU and ATS losses. The Chiefs got dominated at home by Denver, losing 29-16 as a 1-point favorite. With that game taking place Sunday night, Lester held off on setting the line, but he’s leaning toward the Cardinals.

“The Cardinals can’t afford another loss with Seattle back on track,” Lester said. “They’ve been perfect in the desert, and it’s a letdown spot for Kansas City. It’s not a terribly sexy matchup in the eyes of the public, but it should be a good defensive battle, and I’d look for the home team to come out on
top as a small favorite.”

**Udog** · 12-03-2014, 10:49 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 14

Thursday, December 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (8 - 4) at CHICAGO (5 - 7) - 12/4/2014, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
DALLAS is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DALLAS is 32-54 ATS (-27.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CHICAGO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, December 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (7 - 5) at MIAMI (7 - 5) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (7 - 5) at CINCINNATI (8 - 3 - 1) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-2 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-2 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANAPOLIS (8 - 4) at CLEVELAND (7 - 5) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (6 - 6) at JACKSONVILLE (2 - 10) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (3 - 9) at TENNESSEE (2 - 10) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (3 - 8 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 7) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 51-27 ATS (+21.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
CAROLINA is 72-41 ATS (+26.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 48-24 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (2 - 10) at DETROIT (8 - 4) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 52-76 ATS (-31.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (5 - 7) at WASHINGTON (3 - 9) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 101-139 ATS (-51.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 73-102 ATS (-39.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 73-102 ATS (-39.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 73-102 ATS (-39.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 17-41 ATS (-28.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY JETS (2 - 10) at MINNESOTA (5 - 7) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (7 - 5) at DENVER (9 - 3) - 12/7/2014, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (7 - 5) at ARIZONA (9 - 3) - 12/7/2014, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
ARIZONA is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 5) at OAKLAND (1 - 11) - 12/7/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OAKLAND is 117-150 ATS (-48.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 27-52 ATS (-30.2 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 26-50 ATS (-29.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (8 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 3) - 12/7/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 161-126 ATS (+22.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
SEATTLE is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (9 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (8 - 4) - 12/7/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 164-125 ATS (+26.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 103-73 ATS (+22.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 71-46 ATS (+20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, December 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (5 - 7) at GREEN BAY (9 - 3) - 12/8/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
GREEN BAY is 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 54-31 ATS (+19.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-03-2014, 10:49 AM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 14

Thursday, Dec. 4

Dallas at Chicago, 8:25 ET
Dallas: 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after a loss by 21 or more points
Chicago: 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against conference opponents

Sunday, Dec. 7

Baltimore at Miami, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 12-4 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game
Miami: 14-29 ATS after a 2 game road trip

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games
Cincinnati: 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) versus division opponents

Indianapolis at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 55-36 OVER (+15.4 Units) in road games off 1 or more straight overs
Cleveland: 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse

Houston at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Houston: 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) after a win by 21 or more points
Jacksonville: 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents

NY Giants at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
New York: 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a road loss
Tennessee: 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games

Carolina at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points
New Orleans: 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less

Tampa Bay at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games
Detroit: 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off 1 or more straight overs

St Louis at Washington, 1:00 ET
St Louis: 21-8 OVER (+12.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Washington: 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points

NY Jets at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
New York: 3-10 ATS off a division game
Minnesota: 10-2 ATS after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game

Buffalo at Denver, 4:05 ET
Buffalo: 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games
Denver: 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite

Kansas City at Arizona, 4:05 ET
Kansas City: 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders
Arizona: 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off 1 or more straight overs

San Francisco at Oakland, 4:25 ET
San Francisco: 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games
Oakland: 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game

Seattle at Philadelphia, 4:25 ET
Seattle: 106-75 OVER (+23.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Philadelphia: 24-11 OVER (+11.9 Units) in home games off a upset win as an underdog

New England at San Diego, 8:30 ET
New England: 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game
San Diego: 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games after allowing 30 points or more last game

Monday, Dec. 8

Atlanta at Green Bay, 8:30 ET
Atlanta: 3-13 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog
Green Bay: 26-13 ATS in home games off a non-conference game

**Udog** · 12-03-2014, 10:49 AM

NFL

Week 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, December 4

8:25 PM
DALLAS vs. CHICAGO
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

Sunday, December 7

1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games on the road
St. Louis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

1:00 PM
NY GIANTS vs. TENNESSEE
NY Giants are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
NY Giants are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants

1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. DETROIT
Tampa Bay is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. JACKSONVILLE
Houston is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Houston
Jacksonville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

1:00 PM
NY JETS vs. MINNESOTA
NY Jets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
NY Jets are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games at home

1:00 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. CLEVELAND
Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Carolina
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

4:05 PM
BUFFALO vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Denver
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games

4:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. ARIZONA
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home

4:25 PM
SEATTLE vs. PHILADELPHIA
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Seattle is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

4:25 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. OAKLAND
San Francisco is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco

8:30 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. SAN DIEGO
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against New England
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New England

Monday, December 8

8:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-04-2014, 08:53 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 14

Dallas at Chicago
The Cowboys head to Chicago to face a Bears team that is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 Thursday games. Dallas is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cowboys favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3 1/2). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 4

Game 101-102: Dallas at Chicago (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 135.943; Chicago 129.987
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 6; 55
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3 1/2); Over

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 7

Game 151-152: Baltimore at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 134.973; Miami 135.833
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 41
Vegas Line: Miami by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Under

Game 153-154: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 134.446; Cincinnati 135.468
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3 1/2); Under

Game 155-156: Indianapolis at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 138.050; Cleveland 129.568
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 8 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-3 1/2); Over

Game 157-158: Houston at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 133.817; Jacksonville 125.117
Dunkel Line: Houston by 8 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Houston by 5; 42
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-5); Under

Game 159-160: NY Giants at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 124.662; Tennessee 121.922
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 2 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Pick; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants; Over

Game 161-162: Carolina at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 121.628; New Orleans 134.076
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 12 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-9 1/2); Over

Game 163-164: Tampa Bay at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 125.726; Detroit 132.723
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 7; 38
Vegas Line: Detroit by 10; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+10); Under

Game 165-166: St. Louis at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 134.277; Washington 125.411
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 10; 49
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-2 1/2); Over

Game 167-168: NY Jets at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 127.269; Minnesota 125.363
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 2; 36
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+6); Under

Game 169-170: Buffalo at Denver (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 127.676; Denver 140.821
Dunkel Line: Denver by 13; 52
Vegas Line: Denver by 10; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-10); Over

Game 171-172: Kansas City at Arizona (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 136.040; Arizona 134.651
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Arizona by 1; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+1); Under

Game 173-174: San Francisco at Oakland (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 130.567; Oakland 126.095
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 4 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 9; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+9); Under

Game 175-176: Seattle at Philadelphia (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 139.074; Philadelphia 142.688
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 1; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-1); Over

Game 177-178: New England at San Diego (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 145.740; San Diego 135.527
Dunkel Line: New England by 10; 54
Vegas Line: New England by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-3); Over

MONDAY, DECEMBER 8

Game 179-180: Atlanta at Green Bay (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 133.124; Green Bay 143.086
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 10; 52
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 13; 56
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+13); Under

**Udog** · 12-04-2014, 09:04 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Cowboys (8-4) @ Bears (5-7)—Both teams played on Thursday last week, so normal prep here; Chicago won last three series games, by 7-16-17 points. Dallas opponents were 19 of 31 on 3rd down last two games, ran 21/16 more plays than Pokes in scoring 61 points. Eagles ran for 256 yards against them last week, expect to see lot of Forte here. Bears won last two home games, both 21-13 games, after losing first three; since ’11, they’re 1-3 as home underdogs. Last five Chicago TD drives were all less than 60 yards; they were outgained by 163/105 yards in last two games. Dallas is 2-0 on grass, winning by 14-16. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 9-7. NFC North underdogs are 6-9. Last four Dallas road games went over total; four of five Chicago home games stayed under.

NFL

Thursday, December 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday Night Football betting preview: Cowboys at Bears
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears (+3.5, 51)

Suddenly in a fight for their playoff lives, the Dallas Cowboys visit the Chicago Bears for a crucial NFC contest on Thursday night. After falling to division rival Philadelphia on Thanksgiving Day, Dallas is just 2-3 over its last five games and locked in a three-team tie for a wild-card berth as the season heads down the stretch. The Cowboys are, surprisingly, 5-0 on the road this season.

A mess on the defensive side of the ball, the Bears are clearly playing out the string with questions aplenty. Chicago had its modest two-game winning streak snapped at Detroit on Thanksgiving Day after blowing a 14-3 first-quarter lead and yielding 474 yards. The Bears rank 26th in total defense and 30th in scoring defense, allowing 28.1 point,s and once again quarterback Jay Cutler's future with the team seems uncertain.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Bears as 3.5-point home dogs. The total opened at 50.5 and moved up a half-point.

INJURY REPORT: Cowboys - DE George Selvie (Questionable, thigh), S Jeff Heath (Out, thumb). Bears - DT Jeremiah Ratliff (Questionable, knee), WR Alshon Jeffery (Probable, hamstring), TE Martellus Bennett (Probable, foot), S Chris Conte (Questionable, eye), K Robbie Gould (Doubtful, groin).

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-30s with wind blowing toward the north endzone at around 10 mph.

POWER RANKINGS: Cowboys (+0.25) - Bears (+2.25) + home field (-3.0) = Bears -1.0

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS, 8-4 O/U): In a matchup that seemed to favor the offenses, Tony Romo posted a 53.7 quarterback rating - his lowest since 2011 - in a dreadful 33-10 loss to the Eagles. At 6-1 the Cowboys seemed to be a Super Bowl contender but since then their lone wins have come against lightweights Jacksonville and the New York Giants. With 1,427 yards, DeMarco Murray still has a wide lead in the NFL rushing ranks but Romo threw two picks and no touchdowns last time out, breaking a streak of 38 straight games with a scoring pass.

ABOUT THE BEARS (5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS, 7-5 O/U): Chicago has once again thrust its offense on the shoulders of Cutler with sub-par results, as the veteran has thrown 24 touchdowns and 14 interceptions on the season. Already in shambles, the Bears' defense took another hit when it put steady linebacker Lance Briggs on season-ending injured reserve Friday. With Josh McCown under center, Chicago blasted Dallas last season 45-28, racking up 490 total yards and never punting in the contest.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last four road games.
* Bears are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight Thursday games.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 60 percent of bettors are on the Cowboys.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-04-2014, 09:06 AM

Where the action is: Biggest midweek NFL line moves

Thanksgiving is long gone and all that’s left is a dried up turkey wing, congealed cranberry sauce and some grey potatoes. And of course, the home stretch of the NFL season.

December is here and teams are fighting for playoff positioning in Week 14. We talk with Jeff Stoneback, sportsbook manager at the MGM Mirage in Las Vegas, about the action coming in on this week’s NFL offerings and where those lines will end up come kickoff.

Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears – Open: +3.5, Move: +4

If your book hasn’t gone to Dallas -4 for the Thursday night, they probably will soon. Cowboys money is coming in strong on the road team, despite Dallas getting exposed by the Eagles on Thanksgiving Day. According to MGM, ticket count is heavy on Dallas a 4/1 pace.

“We’ve taken quite a bit of money on Dallas and will likely be pushing it up to -4 very soon,” says Stoneback. “We’re heavy on Dallas sides and also there are a lot parlays. And we’re on the verge of going to 51.5 or 52 on the total. Looks like we’ll need the underdog and the Under.”

Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns – Open: +3.5, Move: +4

Some books are dealing a full four points on this line following the announcement that Cleveland will stick with QB Brian Hoyer and not start rookie QB Johnny Manziel. “Johnny Football” has been a draw for football bettors, sparking a massive wave of futures action on the Browns when drafted. But even if Manziel was to get the nod against the Colts, Stoneback doesn’t think the public would jump on board the Browns.

“Being that they’re winning and they are where they’re at with Hoyer, I don’t think people would have bet them any different (if Manziel played),” says Stoneback. “If it was like the third game of the season and they were playing poorly, I could see it having an impact. But the hype has worn down.”

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars – Open: +4, Move: +5.5

Books have gone as high as Houston -5.5 with this AFC South battle, despite the Jaguars coming off a win over the Giants last Sunday – just their second victory of the season and sixth in the last two years. Jacksonville is just 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games off a victory.

“There’s no excitement for Jacksonville,” says Stoneback. “In fact, we haven’t written one single ticket on the Jaguars at any of our books as of Wednesday morning. Not a single bet at 12 different properties. There is someone out there with them tied in a parlay though. One guy.”

Kansas City Chiefs at Arizona Cardinals – Open: Pick, Move: -1.5

This line opened at pick at some books while MGM posted Arizona -1 and have stayed there despite a growing amount of money on the Cardinals. Stoneback says they actually have more tickets written on the Chiefs but more money riding on the home side.

“It’s a bunch of smaller wagers on the Chiefs,” he says. “This is one of those games where the public and sharps are going to be split. Kansas City is pretty popular with the public. There’s a lot of parlay money on them for a Wednesday.”

Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles – Open: Pick, Move: -1.5

Some offshore markets are offering Seattle +1.5 with the early action hitting the Eagles hard. Stoneback, who is dealing Philadelphia -1, expects that money to even out by gametime. As of Wednesday, there is one more ticket on the Eagles than the Seahawks at MGM’s Las Vegas properties. The total in this offense-versus-defense showdown is a tough number to set and has dropped from the opener of 49 points.

“We’re currently at 49 but there are some places out there with a 48,” says Stoneback. “The majority of the early money is on the Under 49.”

Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos – Open: -10, Move: -9.5

A limit play on the Bills moved this spread off the key number of Denver -10 early in the week. As of Wednesday, that’s the only significant action on this game. However, Stoneback says the money will come in on Denver – as it does every week.

“It’ll be the same scenario as it always is: Sharps on Bills and the public on the Broncos,” he says. “The real danger you get into is when the public and sharps are both on Denver.”

**Udog** · 12-07-2014, 06:20 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Ravens (7-5) @ Dolphins (7-5)-- Ravens’ DT Haloti Ngata is suspended for four games for violating NFL’s performance enhancing substances policy; very, very bad news for the Baltimore defense. Miami won last two home games, allowing no TDs on 22 drives; three of their last four games were decided by 4 or less points. Baltimore won last four series games, with three of those four played here; Ravens won last three visits here. Miami's last two series wins were both in OT. Baltimore allowed 61 points in last two games; they've allowed 8+ ypa in four of last five games, 14 first downs via penalty in last four. Short week for Fish, who allowed 277 rushing yards to 2-10 Jets Monday night; they covered four of last five games when favored. Ravens ran ball for 163.7 ypg last three weeks, are 3-3 on road, 1-1 as road dogs. Miami won special teams in nine of last ten games. Four of last five Raven games went over total; five of last six Miami games stayed under.

Steelers (7-5) @ Bengals (8-3-1)—Cincy has 1.5-game lead in AFC North after escaping 14-13 in Tampa last week; they’ve won last three games (all on road), allowing 12 ppg, allowing two TDs on last 30 drives (10 3/outs on last 21 drives). Steelers are -6 in turnovers last three games; they allowed 27.1 ppg in last seven, are 3-3 on road, beating Panthers, Titans, Jags (combined 7-28-1 record). Bengals lost six of last eight games with Steelers, with LY’s 20-10 win here their first home win over Pitt in last four years. Roethlisberger banged his hand on a helmet last week, put up big numbers despite that, but hand is wounded. Underdogs covered five of seven AFC North divisional games. Five of last six Steeler games went over total; last four Bengal games stayed under.

Colts (8-4) @ Browns (7-5)—Indy is dependable 7-2-1 as road favorite under Pagano, 3-1 this year, winning by 27-10-16 points, losing at Denver/Pittsburgh. Colts allowed 30+ points in all four losses this year; they’re 8-2 since an 0-2 start- four of their five road games were on grass. Browns lost two of last three games; ; they scored 6-7-10 points in last three losses. Cleveland is 4-2 at home; they scored 22+ points in all seven wins, a figure Indy gave up in four of last five games. Hoyer threw six picks in last three games, was yanked in Buffalo; starter for this week is unnamed at I type this. Colts won six of last seven series games, with average total of 25.2 in last five. Four of last five Indy games went over total; seven of last eight Cleveland games stayed under.

Texans (6-6) @ Jaguars (2-10)—Jax is 3-9-1 as home underdog under Bradley, 2-3 this year, losing by 27-8-14 points, with upset wins over Browns/Giants; they were down 21-3 at half to 3-9 Giants last week, scored two defensive TDs to pull game out, 25-24. Jags are 2-10 vs spread in game after their last 12 wins. Houston got swept 13-6/27-0 by Jaguars LY during their 2-14 nightmare; they had won previous five series games. Texans are 3-3 on road this year; they were favored in half those games, are 2-1 as road favorites this year, 10-8-1 in that role since ’10. Fitzpatrick threw for six TDs last week in his return to starting lineup; Jaguars are still competing, while Titans might not be. Favorites covered first six AFC South divisional games this year (3-0 on road). Five of last seven Texan games, three of last four Jax games went over total.

Giants (3-9) @ Titans (2-10)—Giants lost last seven games, outscored 74-13 in second half of last four; Titans lost last six. Giants led last two games by 10+ at the half, still lost. Tennessee was missing three starters on OL, gave up six TD passes to Fitzpatrick; they’ve allowed 88 points in last two games, 11 TDs on last 33 drives, are 1-4 at home, with only win 16-14 over 2-10 Jaguar team that upset Giants last week. Big Blue led 21-3 at half in Jax’ville LW before offense yielded two defensive scores in catastrophic loss. Six of last ten series games were decided by 4 or less points. NFC East non-divisional road teams are 7-9 vs spread. AFC South home teams are 8-10, 3-4 when dogs. Five of last six Giant games, four of last five Titan games went over total.

Panthers (3-8-1) @ Saints (5-7)—Road team won last five Saint games after losing first seven; Saints (-3) won 28-10 at Carolina in Week 9 Thursday game, holding Carolina to 231 TY, 3.8 ypa in game that was 14-nil at half. NO lost last three home games; they’re 2-4 as HFs this year, 5-8-1 vs spread in game following last 14 wins. Saints scored 35 at Pittsburgh last week without one target to star TE Graham. Carolina is 1-8-1 in last ten games, 2-4 as road dogs, losing last three away games by combined score of 114-51 (38-17 average)- they’ve got only one takeaway in last three games (-7). Panthers lost four of last five visits to Bourbon Street, with three of four losses by 10+ points. Road team covered six of first eight NFC South divisional games this season (HFs 1-3).

Buccaneers (2-10) @ Lions (8-4)—You’d think Lions would have edge with 10-day post-Thanksgiving break, but they’ve lost this game the last five years. Not sure what to make of NFL team (Bucs) driving for winning score last week but having 12 men on field for more than one play; how is that not noticed? Tampa allowed 93 points in losing its two games on carpet (1-1 vs spread) this season; they’re 4-2 as road underdogs, with only road loss by more than 8 points Thursday debacle in Atlanta in Week 3. Visitor won last four series games, with six of last nine in series decided by 4 or less points. NFC North non-divisional home favorites are 7-5 vs spread; NFC South road underdogs are 6-8. 10 of last 11 Detroit games, last six Tampa Bay games stayed under total.

Rams (5-7) @ Redskins (3-9)-- Washington gave Rams two #1 picks plus more for right to draft RGIII, now he's on bench; Redskins lost last four games (1-3 vs spread), are 2-3 at home, scoring 14.3 ppg in last four (3-5 as dog, 0-1 at home). Four of Redskins' last six games were decided by 4 or less points. Rams are favored for third time this season; they're 2-4 on road, with wins by total of five points. This is first time Rams have been road favorite since 2010. St Louis won four of last six series games; this is its first visit to Maryland since '09. Rams are +7 in turnovers last three games, after being -5 in first nine. Redskin DC Haslett was once DC/interim coach of Rams. Three of last four Ram games went over total; last three Redskin home games stayed under.

Jets (2-10) @ Vikings (5-7)-- Not big fan of losing teams week after they play Monday night game. Minnesota covered five of last six games, winning two of last three at home; they're first team since '90 to block two punts for TDs in same game. Travel on short week for Jets after 16-13 loss Monday, when they ran for 277 yards but threw for only 49; Gang Green scored one TD on 20 drives in two post-bye games; they're 2-3 on road, covering one of last four- Smith is obviously not the answer at QB. Minnesota is 2-0 as a favorite this season. Jets won eight of nine series games, with six of last seven losses by 7+ points; they've won three of four visits here, with last visit in '06. Three of last four Jet games, five of last seven Viking games stayed under total.

Bills (7-5) @ Broncos (9-3)—Ex-Bronco QB Orton returns with playoff contending Bills, who allowed one TD on 23 drives (12 3/outs) last two games; they’re 3-2 SU on road, 3-2 as road underdogs, losing away games by 6-13 points, losing 22-9 on short week at Miami- both their road losses (and win at Chicago) came on grass fields. Denver ran ball for 201/214 yards in last two games- they ran ball for 36-43-28 yards in three losses, so they’re emphasizing it more. Broncos are 15-6 as home favorites in Manning era, 3-3 this year, with three wins by 14+ points; they’re 18-34 on third down last two games. AFC East non-divisional underdogs are 9-7 vs spread, 6-5 on road. AFC home favorites are 8-4. Seven of last nine Denver games went over total; five of last six Buffalo games stayed under.

Chiefs (7-5) @ Cardinals (9-3)— KC lost last two games after 7-1 run that followed 0-2 start; they’re 8-42 on third down in last four games- five of opponents’ last eight TDs came on drives of 60 or less yards. Arizona lost last two games after 9-1 start, running ball 31 times for 99 yards (3.2/carry); they’re 4-19 on third down last two games, losing field position by 18/16 yards. Ellington’s injury leaves them without dynamic threat out of backfield. Cardinals are 6-0 at home, allowing two TDs on 23 drives in last two. AFC West non-divisional road dogs are 8-4 vs spread; NFC West favorites are 12-9, 6-7 at home. Home side won six of last eight series games; KC won two of three visits here, are 8-2-1 in last 11 series games. Six of last eight KC games, five of last seven Redbird games stayed under total.

49ers (7-5) @ Raiders (1-11)—49ers won last three games in Bay Area rivalry by 3-14-8 points; this is their first visit here in 12 years. Niners scored 17 or less points in five of last six as they struggle in red zone (two TDs, five FGs on last 8 red zone drives). SF is 3-1 as road favorites this year, winning away games by 11-14-3-6 points, with losses in Arizona/Denver. Oakland went in tank last week, a 52-0 debacle in St Louis, but Raiders are 3-2 vs spread in last five games, 2-3 as home underdogs, losing games in Coliseum by 16-3-11-24 points, with an upset of Chiefs. 49ers have only four offensive TDs in last three games, turning ball over eight times on last 30 drives. NFC West non-divisional road favorites are 6-2 vs spread. Four of last five Niner games stayed under total; four of last five Oakland games went over.

Seahawks (8-4) @ Philadelphia (8-4)—Sanchez played 16 games for Pete Carroll at USC, then left school early against his coach’s advice. Eagles are 9-3 under Kelly in games where spread was 3 or less points, 4-1 this year; Seattle is 14-13-3 in such games under Carroll, 1-1 this year. Philly won four of last five games, scoring 31+ in all four wins; they’re 6-0 at home, with four wins by 17+ points. Seattle won five of last six games after a 3-3 start; they didn’t allow TD in last two weeks vs division rivals, with four takeaways, seven 3/outs on 18 drives- their rematch with 49ers is at home next week. Home side lost six of last seven series games, with Seattle winning three of last four meetings- this is their first trip to Philly since ’07. Four of last five Eagle games went over the total.

Patriots (9-3) @ Chargers (8-4)—Pats flew from Green Bay to west coast, practiced in warm weather all week; they’ve won five of last six games with San Diego, winning two of last three visits here. NE had 7-game win streak snapped by Pack in Lambeau last week; Pats allowed 33-41-26 points in three losses- they’re 9-0 when allowing less than 26. Chargers won three close games since their bye, rallying from down 10 late to win 34-33 at Baltimore last week; Bolts have only four takeaways in last six games (-8) and three of them came in same game, 27-24 win over Rams in last home game. San Diego is 11-5 vs spread on Sunday Night Football. Patriots are 15-8 vs spread in last 23 games where spread was 3 or less points, 5-2 this year. San Diego is 4-4-1 in such games under McCoy. Last two Patriot games stayed under total, after previous seven went over.

Falcons (5-7) @ Packers (9-3)—Pack won last four games, last two by total of eight points; they haven’t turned ball over at all in last three games (+5, +15 for season). Falcons won three of last four games, covering last four games away from home- they’re 3-3 as underdogs. Since ’09, Atlanta is 3-0 as a double digit underdog. Pack is 12-9 under McCarthy when laying double digits. Green Bay won last three series games by 27-1-11 points, nipping Atlanta 22-21 here LY; Falcons are 3-2 in last five visits to Green Bay. Pack won last four games overall (3-1 vs spread); they’ve outscored last five visitors to Lambeau 151-23 in first half of last five home games. NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 6-8 vs spread; NFC North home favorites are 7-5. Five of last seven Falcon games stayed under total; seven of last nine Packer games went over.

**Udog** · 12-07-2014, 06:33 AM

NFL

Sunday, December 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday Night Football: Patriots at Chargers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers (+3.5, 51)

Their seven-game winning streak now history, the New England Patriots will look to avoid back-to-back defeats for the first time since September 2012 when they visit the San Diego Chargers on Sunday. The Patriots were unable to keep pace with Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay in last week's 26-21 road loss but remain even with Denver and hold the tiebreaker for the top seed in the AFC. Tom Brady threw for 245 yards against the Packers - his lowest total since Week 4 - but he is 5-0 lifetime versus San Diego.

The Chargers have rebounded from a three-game skid to rip off three wins in a row, including last week's 34-33 stunner at Baltimore in which Philip Rivers threw a pair of touchdown passes in the final 3:40 to erase a 10-point deficit. No teams are better over the final quarter of the season than New England and San Diego, who are each an NFL-best 17-3 over the last four games of the season since 2009. "You get down to the home stretch and it just has a little different feel to it," Rivers said. "And you throw in the fact that we will play one of the best teams ever, as far as tradition-wise, what this franchise has done over the last 15 years or so."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE HISTORY: The Patriots opened as 3-point road faves and have moved to -3.5. The total opened 50.5 and is up a half-point.

INJURY REPORT: Patriots - QB Tom Brady (Probable, ankle), RB Shane Vereen (Questionable, ankle), CB Kyle Arrington (Questionable, ankle), G Dan Connolly (Questionable, ankle), WR Julian Edelman (Questionable, thigh), LB Dont'a Hightower (Questionable, shoulder), WR Brandon LaFell (Questionable, shoulder). Chargers - LB Andrew Gachkar (Probable, knee), QB Philip Rivers (Probable, chest), DE Corey Liuget (Probable, knee), LB Donald Butler (Questionable, quad), T D.J. Fluker (Questionable, concussion), DT Ryan Carrethers (Out, elbow).

POWER RANKINGS: Patriots (-8.0) + Chargers (-2.75) + home field (-3.0) = Chargers +2.25

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with wind blowing across the field at 3 mph.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS, 8-4 O/U): New England averaged 39.6 points during its winning streak but was forced to abandon the running game and play catch-up against the Packers, who held the ball for 36 1/2 minutes. While Brady has thrown 28 touchdowns passes versus only six interceptions, the Patriots are only 3-3 on the road and the two-time Super Bowl MVP has been limited to 257 yards or less in five of those games. Tight end Rob Gronkowski has 32 receptions and five touchdowns over the past five games and Brandon LaFell caught a pair of scoring passes last week, but New England must find a way to pressure Rivers. The Patriots were unable to generate any pass rush against Rodgers, who threw for 282 yards in the first half alone as Green Bay racked up 478 yards of total offense.

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS, 6-6 O/U): San Diego's playoff hopes appeared to take a major hit following a 37-0 drubbing in Miami entering its bye week, but it has bounced back with three straight narrow victories to move within one game of the first-place Broncos in the AFC West. Rivers, who leads the AFC in completion percentage at 69.1, had three TD passes and threw for a season-high 383 yards in the improbable victory over the Ravens. Wideout Keenan Allen, who has struggled to maintain consistency following a superb rookie season, had a pair of touchdown catches among his career-high 11 receptions while going over 100 yards for the second straight week. Ryan Mathews has rushed for 215 yards and two TDs since returning from injury but the defense has permitted 57 points in the past two games.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in San Diego.
* Patriots are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games on grass.
* Chargers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 14.
* Over is 4-1 in Patriots last five games in December.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 66 percent of bettors are on the Pats

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-07-2014, 06:40 AM

NFL

Sunday, December 7

Threat of ice pellets in Minnesota Sunday

According to forecasts, there is a 60 percent possibility of ice pellets during the game between the New York Jets and Minnesota Vikings Sunday. As the game progresses, those ice pellets are expected to turn into snow.

Temperatures at TCF Bank Stadium are expected to hover around the low-30s and wind is expected to blow across the field at around 13 mph during the game.

Currently, the Vikings are 5.5-point home favorites and oddsmakers have the total at 40.

Windy day predicted as Browns host Colts

Whomever has the ball on offense and is headed toward the southwest endzone at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland will be aided by some strong wind. Forecasts are calling for winds blowing toward that SW endzone at around 13 mph during Sunday's game between the Indianapolis Colts and Cleveland Browns.

The Browns are 3.5-point home dogs and the total is 50 - the second highest on Sunday's board behind only the 52 in the Patriots-Chargers matchup

Steelers trending Over ahead of matchup with Bengals

The Over is 5-1 in the Pittsburgh Steelers' last six games.

Big Ben and company travel to Cincinnati for a date with the Bengals in Week 14 NFL action Sunday.

Books currently have Cincy as 3-point home faves for the contest. The total is sitting at 47.

Rams are having problems covering after a SU win

The St. Louis Rams are just 1-4 against the spread following a straight-up win.

That's a trend that won't appeal to Rams backers in the wake of the team's 52-0 blowout against the Oakland Raiders in Week 13.

Washington welcomes the Rams to town Sunday. The 'Skins are presently +3 home dogs with an O/U of 44.

Lynch feasting on NFC East opposition

In his last 10 games versus opponents from the NFC East, Seattle Seahawks running back Marshawn Lynch has ran for 100-plus yards and at least one touchdown nine times.

Lynch has put up some of his best career stats against the NFC East, rushing for 1,223 yards on 5.05 per attempt and 94.1 yards per game - easily his best number.

In those 10 games, the Seahawks have gone an impressive 8-2 against the spread. They've played the NFC East three times already this season and are 2-1 both straight up and against the spread. The Seahawks are presently 1-point underdogs at the Philadelphia Eagles Sunday.

**Udog** · 12-07-2014, 06:43 AM

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 14

St. Louis Rams at Washington Redskins (+2.5, 44.5)

Rams’ pass rush vs. Redskins’ poor protection

You can’t blame Robert Griffin III for being pissed at his teammates. In his two games back before getting benched for Colt McCoy, RG3 was sacked 11 times in losses to Tampa Bay and San Francisco. And if things don’t tighten up on the Redskins offensive line, McCoy could have some serious beef with his teammates as well.

McCoy was sacked six times in last week’s defeat to Indianapolis – a grand total of 17 sacks allowed in three games. Washington has given up 39 sacks on the year which means almost 44 percent of those QB kills have come in that three-game span.

The Redskins face the Rams at the worst possible time. St. Louis, which has its vaunted pass rush rolling after a slow start to the season, just returned star DE Chris Long from injury last week and it didn’t take him any time to find his form, recording a sack and fumble recovery. Fellow DE Robert Quinn had three sacks in the blowout win against Oakland and sits 13th in the NFL with nine on the season, despite going sack-less through the first five games.

Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos (-10)

Bills’ WR Sammy Watkins vs. Broncos’ thin Mile-High air

Hitting the rookie wall is even harder when you’re nursing a hip injury. And it’s doubly hard when you’re trying to play through all that in the altitude of Sports Authority Field, high up in the Rocky Mountains. The Bills head to Denver for a Sunday showdown with the Broncos, knowing they need their star rookie to play at the same pace he was earlier in the year.

Watkins returned to practice this week and has told the media that he needs to “get back in the groove”. Easier said than done. Opponents aren’t getting caught by surprise against Watkins any more, with plenty of tape on the dynamic wideout, and Buffalo will undoubtedly turn to the passing game to keep pace with Denver’s offense.

Watkins has been QB Kyle Orton’s favorite target since he took over the starting gig. But outside of two big days versus Detroit and Minnesota, Watkins has had more than three catches only once – a 4-for-10 day for just 27 yards against Kansas City – with Orton under center. Buffalo gets to Denver Friday, hoping to get used to the thin air before Sunday’s game. But Watkins tank could already be on empty.

Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles (-1, 48)

Seahawks’ penalty problems vs. Eagles’ flag-flying offense

If the defending Super Bowl champs have a vice, it’s that they don’t know how to play by the rules. Seattle is tied for the most penalized team in the NFL, forcing 102 flags to fly heading into Week 14. This is nothing new for the Seahawks, who topped the league with 152 infractions last season. However, the big cause for concern is the split between penalties given and penalties taken. Seattle has only drawn 51 flags so far – dead last in the NFL.

Instead of preaching fair play to his players, head coach Pete Carroll is crying foul to the NFL and pointing out the discrepancy in the penalty numbers. “We’re not going to change the way we play,” Carroll told the media following a 14-flag day that equaled 105 yards against versus San Francisco last week – the most penalties Seattle has committed in Carroll’s five years with the team.

The Seahawks can’t afford to just hand over extra yards to the Eagles' up-tempo offense Sunday. Philadelphia is not only hitting its stride offensively – averaging 451.7 yards over the last three games – but has drawn the fifth most penalties (91) in the league, equaling 821 free yards. With the Eagles no-huddle attack taking its toll, expect a tired Seattle stop unit to start clutching and grabbing as the game wears on.

New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers (+3.5, 50.5)

Patriots’ tight end troubles vs. Chargers TE Antonio Gates

It seems like every couple weeks we feature a team getting trounced by tight ends. Welcome to the evolution of the NFL. And if you were to look at the progression of tight ends over the past 20 years – like one of those homo-sapien charts that go from neanderthal to modern man – there would be a huge jump in the chain when you got to Antonio Gates.

The Chargers veteran TE is still among the biggest end zone threats in the league, reeling in a team-high nine touchdowns which ranks second among tight ends, tied with Jimmy Graham and his counterpart Sunday night, Rob Gronkowski. Gates isn’t just a red-zone target. He’s coming off a 83-yard performance in the win over Baltimore and has 574 yards receiving on the year.

The Patriots love to exploit teams with their talented tight end but haven’t fared well when opponents turn the tables. New England has given up five touchdowns, 786 yards and has failed to intercept a pass in the 93 times foes have thrown to their tight ends. The Pats watched Green Bay TE Richard Rodgers score last week and were scorched for 144 yards by Colts TE Coby Fleener three weeks ago. With the Bolts’ deep threats keeping the secondary busy, Gates could be in for a big game with linebackers in coverage.

**Udog** · 12-07-2014, 06:45 AM

Where the action is: Sunday's biggest Week 14 NFL line moves

New York Giants at Tennessee Titans - Open: Pick, Move: -1, Move: +1

It's been an embarrassing season for both of these franchises who could very well find themselves in the bottom of their respective divisions depending on some of Sunday's outcomes. The Giants are mired in an ugly seven-game losing skid (1-6 against the spread), while the Titans have dropped their previous six games (1-5 ATS).

"We opened at a PK and this one has crossed over both sides," Lester tells Covers. "Initially it went to Titans -1 and most of our sharp money is on Tennessee. The public is pretty split. I could see this closing with Giants as short chalk."

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars - Open: +3.5, Move: +4, Move: +6

The Texans head in eager to make a push for a wild-card spot at the very least. They are currently two games back of the Indianapolis Colts and one game back of a wild-card position. Meanwhile, it's been another long season in Jacksonville, but the Jags are coming in off a 25-24 victory over the aforementioned Giants.

"We moved it from +3.5 to +4.5 within the first 24 hours and have been forced to steadily increase as the week’s drawn on," said Lester. "Everyone is on the Texans as they realize Jacksonville’s "upset" last week was a little bit of fool’s gold. I expect some buyback on Jags if it gets any higher."

Kansas City Chiefs at Arizona Cardinals - Open: Pick, Move: -2, Move: +1

Glendale will be the site as a pair of slumping teams meet up at the University of Phoenix Stadium in late-afternoon action. Both of these teams have dropped their last two games SU and ATS and are rapidly losing a hold of playoff positioning. Sunday will not end well for one of these floundering franchises.

"We’ve had some big swings here, opened at PK, got as high as Cards -2 and now we’re dealing Cards +1," states Lester. "The wiseguys haven’t been too interested in this one. I think it closes where we opened, and my opinion is that the home team gets it done."

San Francisco 49ers at Oakland Raiders - Open: +7, Move: +8.5

The Battle of the Bay will have a new chapter written as the two Northern California teams meet for the first time since 2010. The Niners have won three-straight meetings (2-1 ATS) since 2002 and will be playing for their playoff lives Sunday, but will be dealing with some off the field news involving their head coach.

"There is plenty of drama for this one amid the Harbaugh coaching speculation," Lester points out. "We’ve been fairly one-sided with Niners action after opening at +7. I think this could creep up to +9 by kickoff."

New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers - Open: +3, +3.5

Something will have to give in Sunday's marquee matchup as Patriots quarterback Tom Brady owns a 5-0 SU record (4-1 ATS) versus Philip Rivers in his career, but the latter owns an incredible 30-6 SU record in the month of December. The Chargers have been hot and cold this season, but followed up a three-game losing streak with a three-game winning streak. They haven't been kind to bettors of late, however, as they've covered the spread just once in their last seven games.

"Majority backing the road chalk, and we moved from +3 on the open to +3.5 very quickly after taking a smart bet on New England," Lester said. "This could reach +4, but at that number I would expect some players to side with San Diego. Everyone is grabbing the over for this primetime affair."

**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 06:17 AM

NFL

Monday, December 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday Night Football: Falcons at Packers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (-13, 55.5)

The Atlanta Falcons would be out of the playoff picture in any other division, but residing in the NFC South has provided them with a clear path to the postseason. That doesn't equate to an easy road for the Falcons, who face a daunting obstacle Sunday when they visit Aaron Rodgers and the red-hot Green Bay Packers. Atlanta is tied for first in the NFC South while Green Bay leads the NFC North and is unbeaten (6-0) at home.

Last week's 29-18 over Arizona - the Falcons' first against a team with a winning record - actually was a boost for the Packers, who are among three 9-3 teams fighting for the top overall seed in the conference. Green Bay prevailed in a high-profile matchup last week, snapping New England's seven-game winning streak for its fourth victory in a row and eighth in nine games. "We have some big goals, and we know what we have in front of us, we have a four-game stretch here," Packers top wideout Jordy Nelson said. "We can’t let up at all and we need to make sure we take care of business."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Packers as 11.5-point favorites, but action has moved that to -13. The total opened at 56 and is down a half-point.

INJURY REPORT: Falcons - G Justin Blalock (Probable, back), WR Harry Douglas (Probable, foot), WR Roddy White (Questionable, ankle), DT Paul Soliai (Questionable, personal). Packers - CB Sam Shields (Questionable, concussion), LB Jamari Lattimore (Questionable, ankle).

POWER RANKINGS: Falcons (+2.75) + Packers (-6.0) + home field (-3.0) = Packers -11.75

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-30s and wind blowing across the field at 6 mph.

ABOUT THE FALCONS (5-7SU, 5-7 ATS, 5-7 O/U): An injury-ravaged offensive line has contributed to the offensive inconsistency for Atlanta, but Matt Ryan is coming off his highest output since Week 1 with a 361-yard, two-TD performance in last week's win over Arizona. Julio Jones had a monster performance with 10 catches for 189 yards and has scored a TD in consecutive games, but fellow wideout Roddy White missed last week's game due to an ankle injury and did not practice Friday, although coach Mike Smith said he expected the veteran to play. Running back Steven Jackson has failed to crack 60 yards in 10 of 12 games but went over 100 yards for the first time last week. The Falcons rank last with 403.2 yards allowed, but they have permitted an average of 19 points during the current 3-1 streak.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (9-3 SU, 7-4-1 ATS, 9-3 O/U): Green Bay has been a juggernaut on its home field, averaging nearly 44 points prior to behind held to 26 by the Patriots despite rolling up 478 total yards. Rodgers is coming off his sixth 300-yard game and has 32 touchdowns versus only three interceptions while posting numbers at Lambeau Field that are off the charts - 20 TDs and zero picks this season to extend his NFL records of 32 scoring passes and 366 attempts without being intercepted at home. Nelson and Randall Cobb are the first tandem in franchise history with at least 10 TD passes in a season while running back Eddie Lacy has rushed for 223 yards on 46 carries the past two weeks. A defense that has held eight of its last 10 opponents to 21 points or fewer could be without cornerback Sam Shields (concussion).

TRENDS:

* Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in Green Bay.
* Under is 5-1 in Falcons last six vs. NFC.
* Over is 6-1 in Packers last seven vs. NFC.
* Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 67 percent of bettors are backing the Packers.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-08-2014, 06:20 AM

NFL

Monday, December 8

It's going to be a cold night at Lambeau for MNF

If you're heading to the Monday Night Football matchup between Green Bay and Atlanta at Lambeau Field, make sure you're bundled up.

The forecast is calling for a cool night on the frozen tundra with a temperature of 34 degrees Fahrenheit at kickoff. Western winds of 7 mph are also expected in the Green Bay area. There is currently a 30 percent chance of precipitation.

Oddsmakers have the Pack as -13 home faves for the contest. At the time of writing, the total was sitting at 55.

Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Thursday, December 4 - Monday, December 8)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Thursday, December 4 - Monday, December 8)

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment