1* Detroit/Chicago 1st Half Under 24
I don't think the market has caught up with how good Detroit's D is (10-2 to the under) and how poor their offense is. Detroit is 1st in run effic defense and 2nd in pass efficiency defense. Meanwhile, they are dead last in run effic offense and 22nd in passing efficiency. They only managed 23 vs the Saints and 22 vs the Falcons (and were scoreless after half)...and those are the two worst defenses in the league based on efficiency. They have only scored over 24 points once this year and that was week 1 vs the Giants who are 28th in defensive effic. Chicago's defense is not great (14th in run def and 24th in pass defense effic), but as I stated Detroit's offense is not good (15 points in last 2 games). The Bear's offense is also average (10th in rushing eff and 16th in passing effic). In their last 8 games they have only scored over 24 once and that was against the lowly Falcons. My algorithm has this total set at 37. I know the Bears def is banged up, but I think the value outweights this.
Rocco on your byeweeks site on your algorithm totals plays you didn't post weather to play under or over on NO-Pitt Car-Minn and NE-GB Thanks and Gl this week
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