NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Tuesday, November 25 - Saturday, November 29)

[Udog]

NCAAF

Friday, November 28

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Game of the Day: Arizona State at Arizona
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Arizona State Sun Devils at Arizona Wildcats (-2.5, 62.5)

No. 12 Arizona will host No. 13 Arizona State on Friday in a Territorial Cup battle that could very well determine the Pac-12 South's representative in the conference championship game. The Wildcats have won three consecutive contests and another victory - along with a UCLA loss to Stanford - would see Rich Rodriguez's team punch its ticket to the title tilt against Oregon. However, Arizona has lost two straight and three of the last four meetings in the series.

Arizona State also needs the Bruins to fall to the Cardinal in order to reach the Dec. 5 Pac-12 Championship Game at Levi's Stadium. The Sun Devils have won six out of their last seven games, but their unexpected loss to unranked Oregon State on Nov. 15 took them out of the driver's seat in the division. Arizona State has lit up the scoreboard in its last two meetings with Arizona - scoring 99 combined points - and hopes for more of the same as it looks to advance to its second straight Pac-12 title tilt.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, FOX Sports 1.

LINE HISTORY: The lines have not moved from their opening mark of Arizona -2.5 and 62.5.

INJURY REPORT: Arizona State - WR Jaelen Strong (Prob-Concussion), DB Ezekiel Bishop (Ques-Knee), DL Jaxon Hood (Ques-Personal) Arizona - QB Anu Solomon (Ques-Ankle), S Trevor Emisch (Ques-Arm), LB DeAndre Miller (Ques-Shoulder)

WEATHER FORECAST: Clear sunny skies are expected for the game. Temperatures should hit a high of 80°F and winds gusting to five mph.

ABOUT ARIZONA STATE (9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS, 5-6 O/U): Taylor Kelly went 15-of-25 for 232 yards and four touchdowns in the 52-31 win over Washington State. D.J. Foster - who is the only active FBS running back to gain 900 rushing yards and over 500 receiving yards this season - ran for three touchdowns versus the Cougars. Jaelen Strong - who leads the team with 71 receptions for 982 yards and nine touchdowns - is expected to return to the lineup after missing the Washington State game with a concussion.

ABOUT ARIZONA (9-2 SU, 4-7 ATS, 3-8 O/U): Freshman quarterback Anu Solomon accounted for 180 yards and a touchdown before sitting out the second half with an ankle injury in the 42-10 win over Utah and his status for Friday's game in uncertain. Nick Wilson was named the Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Week after rushing for a career-high 218 yards and three touchdowns versus the Utes. Wilson has scored three touchdowns in each of his last two games and became the only freshman in program history to top the 1,000 yard mark (1,085) in a single season.

TRENDS:

*Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
*Wildcats are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
*Under is 6-0 in Sun Devils last 6 games following a ATS win.
*Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 60.62 percent of users are backing Arizona -2.5 with 65.8 percent taking the over.


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Friday, November 28


Western Michigan still top play against spread

There has been no better spread team in college football this season than Western Kentucky. The Broncos are a stellar 10-1 ATS this season, with their one failure to cover coming in the first game.

In those 10 consecutive covers, the Broncos have beaten the spread by an average of 12.1 points per game. Those games saw Western Michigan favored four times, dogs five times and one game closed as a pick'em.

WMU are 7.5-point home faves against Northern Illinois Friday.


Poor defense has made Tulsa top over play

It may come as a surprise that Tulsa is leading the nation in anything, but they are currently tied for the most overs in the nation. The Golden Hurricane have a 9-2 over/under mark, thanks in large part to a horrible defense.

Tulsa is giving up 484.6 yards per game, while opposing teams are averaging 38.4 points per game.

The Golden Hurricanes host East Carolina with a current total of 66.5.

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 29

Game 345-346: Michigan at Ohio State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 85.622; Ohio State 110.615
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 25; 47
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 20 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-20 1/2); Under

Game 347-348: Syracuse at Boston College (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 83.512; Boston College 89.625
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 6; 38
Vegas Line: Boston College by 11 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+11 1/2); Under

Game 349-350: Old Dominion at Florida Atlantic (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 73.933; Florida Atlantic 71.042
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 3; 63
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 4; 67
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+4); Under

Game 351-352: Wake Forest at Duke (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 68.715; Duke 94.174
Dunkel Line: Duke by 25 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Duke by 18; 43
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-18); Under

Game 353-354: Tennessee at Vanderbilt (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 98.113; Vanderbilt 75.210
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 23; 55
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 16 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-16 1/2); Over

Game 355-356: Minnesota at Wisconsin (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 101.282; Wisconsin 111.340
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 10; 46
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 14 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+14 1/2); Under

Game 357-358: Pittsburgh at Miami (FL) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 87.094; Miami (FL) 95.351
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 8 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 359-360: Rutgers at Maryland (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 81.818; Maryland 92.889
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 11; 48
Vegas Line: Maryland by 8; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-8); Under

Game 361-362: Rice at Louisiana Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 84.082; Louisiana Tech 86.581
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 2 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 7; 50
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+7); Over

Game 363-364: North Carolina State at North Carolina (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina State 85.332; North Carolina 98.727
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 13 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 6 1/2; 69
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-6 1/2); Over

Game 365-366: Illinois at Northwestern (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 81.869; Northwestern 96.840
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 15; 57
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 8; 52
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-8); Over

Game 367-368: Purdue at Indiana (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 84.163; Indiana 80.119
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 4; 55
Vegas Line: Indiana by 3 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+3 1/2); Under

Game 369-370: Idaho at Appalachian State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.352; Appalachian State 90.153
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 36; 62
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 17; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (-17); Under

Game 371-372: Cincinnati at Temple (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 84.703; Temple 82.181
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 7; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+7); Over

Game 373-374: Texas State at Georgia State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 73.599; Georgia State 52.849
Dunkel Line: Texas State by 20; 68
Vegas Line: Texas State by 13 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (-13 1/2); Over

Game 375-376: West Virginia at Iowa State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 98.071; Iowa State 77.801
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 10 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 377-378: New Mexico State at Arkansas State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 54.933; Arkansas State 74.508
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 19 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 24; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+24); Over

Game 379-380: UAB at Southern Mississippi (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 80.960; Southern Mississippi 68.046
Dunkel Line: UAB by 13; 62
Vegas Line: UAB by 3 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-3 1/2); Over

Game 381-382: Wyoming at New Mexico (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 75.895; New Mexico 77.016
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 1; 55
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 4 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+4 1/2); Under

Game 383-384: Utah State at Boise State (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 82.428; Boise State 99.568
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 17; 60
Vegas Line: Boise State by 8 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-8 1/2); Over

Game 385-386: San Jose State at San Diego State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 81.227; San Diego State 88.415
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 7; 61
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 387-388: Washington at Washington State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 97.645; Washington State 88.456
Dunkel Line: Washington by 9; 61
Vegas Line: Washington by 3; 65
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3); Under

Game 389-390: Baylor at Texas Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 108.277; Texas Tech 86.090
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 22; 83
Vegas Line: Baylor by 26; 79 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+26); Over

Game 391-392: Georgia Tech at Georgia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 91.858; Georgia 107.411
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 15 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Georgia by 12 1/2; 66
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-12 1/2); Under

Game 393-394: Kansas at Kansas State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 81.041; Kansas State 103.947
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 23; 56
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 28; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+28); Over

Game 395-396: BYU at California (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 80.756; California 103.947
Dunkel Line: California by 13; 66
Vegas Line: California by 4; 72 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-4); Under

Game 397-398: Oregon at Oregon State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 111.021; Oregon State 94.729
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 16 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: Oregon by 20; 67
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+20); Over

Game 399-400: Michigan State at Penn State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 111.009; Penn State 89.997
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 21; 40
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 13; 45
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-13); Under

Game 401-402: Auburn at Alabama (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 95.431; Alabama 111.213
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 16; 59
Vegas Line: Alabama by 8 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-8 1/2); Over

Game 403-404: Florida at Florida State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 99.210; Florida State 102.722
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 3 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Florida State by 7 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+7 1/2); Over

Game 405-406: Nevada at UNLV (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 74.592; UNLV 72.017
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 2 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Nevada by 10; 64
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+10); Under

Game 407-408: UL-Monroe at Georgia Southern (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 63.529; Georgia Southern 84.468
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 21; 50
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 14; 54
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (-14); Under

Game 409-410: South Carolina at Clemson (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 94.493; Clemson 94.274
Dunkel Line: Even; 46
Vegas Line: Clemson by 4 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+4 1/2); N/A

Game 411-412: Hawaii at Fresno State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 72.915; Fresno State 86.582
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 13 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 10 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-10 1/2); Under

Game 413-414:Utah at Colorado (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 87.509; Colorado 84.292
Dunkel Line: Utah by 3; 54
Vegas Line: Utah by 9 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+9 1/2); Under

Game 415-416: Connecticut at Memphis (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 66.825; Memphis 96.310
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 29 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Memphis by 21; 45
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-21); Over

Game 417-418: Kentucky at Louisville (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 89.349; Louisville 98.156
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 9; 58
Vegas Line: Louisville by 14; 53
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+14); Over

Game 419-420: Mississippi State at Mississippi (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 110.733; Mississippi 104.666
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 6; 56
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 2 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-2 1/2); Over

Game 421-422: Middle Tennessee State at UTEP (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 75.051; UTEP 77.035
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 2; 52
Vegas Line: UTEP by 4; 56
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+4); Under

Game 423-424: UL-Lafayette at Troy (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 85.770; Troy 59.272
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 26 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 10; 57
Dunkel Pick:: UL-Lafayette (-10); Under

Game 425-426: North Texas at TX-San Antonio (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 67.468; TX-Sa Antonio 74.416
Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 7; 38
Vegas Line: TX-San Antonio by 4 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (-4 1/2); Under

Game 427-428: Notre Dame at USC (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 95.317; USC 100.336
Dunkel Line: USC by 5; 56
Vegas Line: USC by 7; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+7); Under

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 29

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Game of the Day: Auburn at Alabama
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Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-8.5, 53.5)

The Iron Bowl features one of the premier rivalries in college football, but in terms of pure drama, it will be nearly impossible to top last year's finish. No. 1 Alabama hopes to exact a measure of revenge for last season's devastating loss when it hosts No. 16 Auburn in the regular-season finale for both SEC powerhouses. The Crimson Tide's hopes of a third straight national championship ended against the Tigers last season when Chris Davis returned a missed field goal 109 yards on the final play of the game, giving Auburn a stunning 34-28 win en route to a trip to the BCS title game.

This season, the Crimson Tide have rebounded in impressive fashion to take over No. 1 in the Coaches Poll and also the top spot in the College Football Playoff rankings. A seventh straight win on Saturday would send Alabama to the SEC title game against either Missouri or Georgia while a loss would likely end their national championship dreams. Auburn, meanwhile, watched its title hopes slip away with back-to-back losses to Texas A&M and Georgia followed by a lethargic win over Samford last weekend.

TV: 7:45 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: The line opened at Alabama -9.5, but dropped a full point to -8.5 Tuesday night. The total of 53.5 has yet to move since open.

INJURY REPORT: Auburn - WR Ricardo Louis (Prob-Undisclosed), WR D'haquille Williams (Prob-Knee), DL Jeffrey Whitaker (Ques-Neck) Alabama - RB T.J. Yeldon (Prob-Ankle), TE Brian Vogler (Doub-Knee), DL Anthony Orr (Ques-Undisclosed), WR DeAndrew White (Prob-Undisclosed), LB Reuben Foster (Prob-Undisclosed)

WEATHER FORECAST: Clouds are expected to be partly cloudy with minimum wind come game time. Temperatures are expected to be in the mid to high 50's.

ABOUT AUBURN (8-3, SU, 4-7 ATS, 6-5 O/U): The Tigers failed to reach 400 yards against Samford as Nick Marshall continued to put up underwhelming passing statistics. The senior quarterback passed for 171 yards and has not thrown for more than 254 yards in any game this season, while he only has one game of more than two TDs passes this year and has thrown five interceptions in his last six contests. On the other side of the ball, the Tigers' defense recorded two sacks and hurried Samford's quarterback a season-high 21 times, prompting Auburn coach Gus Malzahn to say, "The big factor was we put pressure on the quarterback. That was the key to our defensive performance."

ABOUT ALABAMA (10-1 SU, 3-8 ATS, 4-6 O/U): The Crimson Tide are second in the nation in points allowed (14.5) and fell right on that number in last week's 48-14 triumph against Western Carolina as they outgained the Catamounts 612-213. Alabama knows it can rely on its defense, as well as senior quarterback Blake Sims (20 TDs, four INTs) and junior wideout Amari Cooper, who is tied with D.J. Hall (2004-07) with a school-record 194 receptions. "I think the Iron Bowl is one of the greatest rivalries in college football," coach Nick Saban told reporters. "This game means a lot to a lot of people in this state, regardless of which side you're on, and also around the country. As a competitor, it's a great opportunity because this game has had a lot of significance over the past few years and it's certainly no different last year or this year."

TRENDS:

*Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
*Under is 5-0 in Crimson Tide last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
*Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
*Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Alabama.

CONSENSUS: 50.09 percent of users are backing Alabama -8.5 with 57 percent on the over.


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 29


Ohio State dominating Michigan in rivalry week

The rivalry week matchup between Michigan and Ohio State is storied, it's been far from competitive in recent years.

The Buckeyes have outscored the Wolverines 216-129 in their last seven meetings with a 12.5-point average margin of victory. Ohio State is 6-1 against the spread and and straight up during that span.

The Wolverines are presently listed as 20.5-point road dogs with a total of 52.


South Carolina's D likes to play Clemson tough

South Carolina backers get wide-eyed when the Gamecocks face off against Clemson.

The Gamecocks are riding a five-game winning streak over the Tigers ahead of their rivalry week meeting Saturday. In those five games, South Carolina has 21 sacks and has created 15 turnovers.

At the time of writing, the line for the game was off the board.


Jameis Winston coming up big when it counts

Lost among all of the controversy that seems to surround Florida State signal caller Jameis Winston is his ability to answer the call when his team needs him most.

The sophomore has a 165.3 passer rating in the second half of games this season, completing 68.8 percent of his passes and throwing for 10 touchdowns in the process.

"Famous Jameis" and the rest of the Seminoles play host to Florida Saturday. The No. 2 ranked 'Noles are currently -7.5 home faves with an O/U of 53.


Defense leading the charge for Penn State

Defense has been the name of the game for Penn State so far this year.

The Nittany Lions feature one of the top defensive units in the country, ranking first in pass rushing (81.7), third in total defense (267.2) and fourth in scoring defense (16.2). Michigan State travels to University Park for a clash with Penn State Saturday.

Oddsmakers have the Spartans as 13.5-point road faves with an O/U of 45.

[Udog]

College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 14

The college football season is almost through the regular schedule, which means bowl season is just around the bend. But not before an action-packed Week 14, boasting some of the biggest and best rivalries in sports. We break down all the games involving Top 25 teams and give you need-to-know notes for betting each and every one:

(15) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at (9) Georgia Bulldogs (-12.5)

*Georgia Tech's 116 points off turnovers are the fourth-most in FBS this season. The Yellow Jackets are one of only five teams to score 110+ points off turnovers in 2014.

*Facing the triple-option attack of Georgia Tech, Georgia coach Mark Richt was preaching the basics to his young backend this week. "If one guy makes a mistake or one guys decides he's not going to play good fundamentals this play or one guy decides he's going to do his own thing, bam, big play. Because you'll see a lot of three, four, three, two and a half, you know, and then bam, big play, pass or run."


Kentucky Wildcats at (23) Louisville Cardinals (-12.5)

*Entering rivalry week, the extremely young Kentucky team (64 percent underclassman) needed to be taught what this game means. "We educated them today about the Governor's Cup, what it means. Some of the coaches talked about their personal memories," offensive coordinator Neal Brown said.

*Cardinals S Gerod Holliman - who leads the nation with 13 interceptions - has picked off five passes in his last three games and needs one more to equal the NCAA single-season record.


Michigan Wolverines at (7) Ohio State Buckeyes (-21)

*Running against the Wolverines has been easier said than done this season. Michigan has allowed a mere 2.94 yards per carry and has 55 tackles for a loss in Big Ten games this season.

*Though "The Game" is storied, it has been far from competitive in recent years. The Buckeyes have outscored the Wolverines 216-129 in the past seven meetings (12.5 average margin of victory). Ohio State is also 6-1 SU and ATS during that seven game span.


South Carolina Gamecocks at (24) Clemson Tigers

*The Gamecocks have a five-game winning streak over Clemson (since 2009) thanks to their defense. In those five games, South Carolina has 21 sacks and has created 15 turnovers.

*The question is who will be starting at QB for Clemson this week as Deshaun Watson re-injured himself last week. "He's not going to be at 100 percent," Clemson coach Dabo Swinney said. "Very few players are at 100 percent when you're in the 12th game of the season, but he's got to be able to execute at a high level."


Florida Gators at (2) FSU Seminoles (-7.5)

*The Gators know what playing FSU is all about and they will be practicing for a hostile environment this week. Florida will be blaring the Seminoles war chant throughout practices to get the players comfortable with communicating over the noise.

*No other player in football has been better at putting teams away than Jameis Winston. The redshirt sophomore has a 163.5 passer rating in the second half this year while completing 68.8 percent of his passes and has thrown for 10 touchdowns.


(4) Mississippi State Bulldogs at (19) Ole Miss Rebels (+2.5)

*Even though Ole Miss had a bad last game against Arkansas, coach Dan Mullen is not ready to accept that as the norm. "One of the things that can get you in danger is judge last week’s game as having any relevance toward this week," the Bulldogs coach said. "I think they turned it over six times last week. That’s not going to happen."

*Bo Wallace injured his ankle in last week's loss to Arkansas, but the Bulldogs pivot won't miss this game. "It would take a lot more than that to keep him out of this game. He's hungry and wants to play in this game in a bad way," coach Hugh Freeze said. "He's going to try to go no matter what. He's gotten better each day. Hopefully he'll be close to 100 percent."


(8) Michigan State Spartans at Penn State Nittany Lions (+13)

*Michigan State's offense is on pace to become the most prolific in school history. The Spartans have already set school records for most points (483), total offense (5,660 yards), offensive touchdowns (61) and made point-after attempts (63).

*The Nittany Lions feature one of the best defenses in the nation. Penn State ranks first in rushing (81.7), third in total defense (267.2) and fourth in scoring defense (16.2) the FBS.


(22) Minnesota Golden Gophers at (14) Wisconsin Badgers (-14)

*Minnesota has rushed the ball 522 times this season, compared to throwing just 203. The team is also 6-1 when they rush for 200 or more yards as a team. However, the Golden Gophers will likely be without top RB David Cobb due to a hamstring injury.

*We all know how impressive Melvin Gordon has been this year, but has been stellar against the best teams. In the last seven against Top 25 teams, Gordon is averaging 172 rushing yards and 9.95 yards per carry.


(6) Baylor Bears at Texas Tech Red Raiders (+24.5)

*The state of Texas has been owned by Baylor for years now. Since 2011, the Bears are 39-11 SU and 33-17 ATS in games held in the Lone Star State.

*There is no doubt that Texas Tech is simply playing spoiler at this point and coach Kingsbury is fine with that. "It's our last game. For some of these seniors, it's the last game they'll ever play and for some of these juniors it's the last game they'll play for eight months. So if you're not motivated for that reason alone, you're probably in the wrong sport."


Kansas Jayhawks at (11) Kansas State Wildcats (-27.5)

*Kansas ranks first in the Big 12 and 14th nationally in red-zone defense, allowing 32 scores in 44 trips.

*The Wildcats are currently boasting one of the deadliest QB-WR combinations in college football. Since the beginning of 2013, Jake Waters and Tyler Lockett have hooked up for an average of seven times per game while averaging 112.9 yards per game.


(16) Auburn Tigers at (1) Alabama Crimson Tide (-8.5)

*With the offense sputtering, it was Auburn's defense that ensured there was no Cinderella story against Samford last week. The Tigers' defense recorded two sacks and hurried Samford's quarterback a season-high 21 times, prompting Auburn coach Gus Malzahn to say, "The big factor was we put pressure on the quarterback. That was the key to our defensive performance."

*There is no doubt that the Crimson Tide will be looking towards WR Amari Cooper come the Iron Bowl. In Cooper's two games against Auburn, the receiver has 11 catches for 287 yards and three touchdowns.


(3) Oregon Ducks at Oregon State Beavers (+19.5)

*The Ducks are one of the most dominant teams over the past five seasons and they have routinely blown out opponents. In 50 of Oregon's 57 victories since 2010, the Ducks won by 14 points or more.

*It will be Sean Mannion's last chance to get a win over the rival Ducks. The senior QB has thrown for 924 yards with six touchdowns and seven interceptions in his starts against Oregon.


Utah State Aggies at (25) Boise State Broncos (-8.5)

*The Aggies are 6-1 in Mountain West road games under coach Matt Wells and have beaten 13 of their last 14 conference opponents on the road.

*Quietly, Boise State has the fourth longest home winning streak in college football, winning their past 12 SU (6-6 ATS). The Broncos are topping teams by an average of 26.7 ppg on the blue turf.

[Udog]

Where the action is: Saturday's biggest college football line moves

Cincinnati Bearcats at Temple Owls – Open: +5, Move: +7

The Bearcats have fought hard to the finish, claiming an impressive win over East Carolina and pitching a 41-0 shutout over Connecticut in their last contest.

“This was as low as +4.5 and we got bet up to +6.5,” Kaminsky tells Covers. “Cincinnati has been playing really well the last five or six games. Their only losses are to Miami, Memphis, and and a 50-28 loss to Ohio State. There’s no shame in that.”


North Carolina State Wolfpack at North Carolina Tar Heels – Open: -8, Move: -6.5

North Carolina has had an up-and-down week, coming off a big win over rival Duke but getting in hot water for vandalizing the Blue Devils' locker room. Early action smells a letdown from UNC, moving this spread across the key number of a touchdown.

“It went down fairly early in the week with action on the dog, and it stayed there,” says Kaminsky. “North Carolina can put up a lot of points on the board but that defense is rather shaky.”


New Mexico State Aggies at Arkansas State Red Wolves – Open: -21.5, Move: -24

Arkansas State has dropped back-to-back games, losing to FCS Appalachian State and Texas State, but that hasn’t scared off wiseguys from betting the Red Wolves against the lowly Aggies, who have not won since a two-game winning run to open the year.

“They bet the favorite and they also bet the Over, which coincides,” Kaminsky says. “If you’re going to lay that many points with the big favorite you’ve got to like the Over.”


Minnesota Golden Gophers at Wisconsin Badgers – Open: -13, Move: -15

Wisconsin is trying to get a spot in the Big Ten Championship against a Golden Gophers squad that limps into the final game of the regular season. Minnesota could be without top RB David Cobb due to a hamstring injury.

“We opened -13 and went to -14.5 on the 26th,” says Kaminsky. “Wisconsin has pounded teams with weak defenses this year - that win against Nebraska (59-24) stands out. They can certainly put up a lot of points.”


Baylor Bears at Texas Tech Red Raiders – Open: +23.5, Move: +26.5

Baylor is out to impress the College Football Playoff committee and wants to add some style points in this road game. The number moved from BU -23.5 to 25.5 early in the week but another flood of money hit the Bears Friday, pushing the spread another point.

“We see the same thing with Baylor every week,” Kaminsky says of the line movement on the Bears. “Now, that’s a team that can score in a hurry. They’re No. 1 overall in offense so this move is not surprising in the least.”


Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles – Open: -10, Move: -7.5

Early money pounded the visitor in this game, pushing the spread off the key number of 10 and now sits just above a touchdown. The money going against Florida State is a trend that’s becoming more and more common with bettors each week.

“This was just a real bad opening number. Way too high,” admits Kaminsky. “Florida State just isn’t looking like a very good team right now. They’re lucky to be undefeated. It wouldn’t matter if Florida was winless on the year. This is a big rivalry and whatever is going on or what teams need, it goes out the window because these teams want to beat each other.”