NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 13 (Tuesday, November 18 - Saturday, November 22)

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Thursday's games
Kansas State whacked West Virginia 35-12/55-14 the last two years, as Wildcats outgained WVU by 168.5 yards/game. K-State beat Oklahoma, Iowa State on road by combined total of 5 points, lost 41-20 at TCU in last game. Snyder is now 13-2 in his last 15 games as a road dog. WVU lost last two games, allowing 31-33 points; they're 1-3 as favorite this year, 2-2 SU at home vs D-I teams, losing to Oklahoma/TCU, beating Kansas/Baylor. Better than average Thursday game.

Duke upset North Carolina 27-25/33-30 last two years, after losing 14 of previous 15 series games; last time Blue Devils were series favorite was 2002. Tar Heels won seven of last eight visits to Durham, with dogs 4-2 vs spread in their last six. Duke had won four games in row before 17-16 home loss to Va Tech last game; Blue Devils were held to 10-16 points in their two losses. Carolina won three of last four games after 2-4 start, despite allowing 38 ppg in those games.

Arkansas State lost first two road games at Miami/Tennessee, couple of cash-grab games; they scored 40+ points in last three road games, taking two of them. ASU (-7) beat Texas State 38-21 LY, running ball for 328 yards. Texas State covered last four games but lost last two by combined total of seven points; Bobcats ran ball for 200+ points in last four wins, less than 200 in last four losses. TSU covered its last five games as a dog.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Thursday, November 20

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Game of the Day: Kansas State at West Virginia
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Kansas State Wildcats at West Virginia Mountaineers (-2.5, 58)

Kansas State tries to bounce back from a devastating loss at TCU when it visits West Virginia on Thursday night, but the oddsmakers do not see it happening as the unranked Mountaineers are favored to defeat the No. 11 Wildcats. Kansas State was in the national championship picture before dropping a 41-20 decision to the Horned Frogs on Nov. 8, but still has an outside shot to win the Big 12 title with wins in its final three games and some help. The Wildcats are tied with No. 6 Baylor - one-half game behind No. 5 TCU - with a showdown looming with the Bears in Waco, Texas, on Dec. 6 to finish the regular season.

West Virginia has dropped two straight, including a 31-30 decision to TCU on Nov. 1 before falling at Texas 33-16 on Nov. 8. While the Mountaineers are not involved in the Big 12 race, they will be tough to beat on Senior Night. "We still have things to fight for like a good bowl game,'' junior safety K.J. Dillon said in Monday's press conference. "No one is down, everyone still wants to win for the seniors this Thursday and wants to win and finish out a good season."

TV: 7 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1.

LINE HISTORY: West Virginia opened as 1.5-point home favorites and have been bet up a point to sit at -2.5. The total has remained at the opening number of 58.

INJURY REPORT: N/A.

WEATHER REPORT: It will be a chilly night in West Virginia with temperatures in the mid 20's for the game. There will also be a 20 percent chance of snow flurries to go along with an 11 mile per hour wind blowing across the field from west to east.

ABOUT KANSAS STATE (7-2, 6-3 ATS, 6-3 O/U): The Wildcats have two of the top receivers in the Big 12 in Tyler Lockett (60 receptions, 14.6 yards per catch, six touchdowns) and Curry Sexton (53, 13.6, four), but might be better off trying to run. Quarterback Jake Waters (63.6 completion rate, 13 TDs, four interceptions) has rushed for 406 yards and seven TDs, second in both departments to Charles Jones (430, 11), and they'll go against a defense that yields an average of 181.5 rushing yards - eighth in the 10-team Big 12. Kansas State won its first two road games versus Iowa State and Oklahoma by a combined five points.

ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA (6-4, 6-4 ATS, 3-7 O/U): Quarterback Clint Trickett is putting together a solid season with a 68.3 completion rate and 18 touchdowns against eight interceptions. His favorite target is wide receiver Kevin White, who has 91 catches (second in the nation) for 1,207 yards (third) and eight TDs. The Mountaineers can also get it done on the ground with Wendell Smallwood (585 yards, two TDs), Rushel Shell (560, six) and Dreamius Smith (411, five).

TRENDS:

* Kansas State is 6-0 ATS in its last six games following a bye week.
* West Virginia is 0-7 in its last seven games following a bye week.
* Over is 5-0 in Kansas State's last five road games versus a team with a winning home record.
* Under is 6-0 in West Virginia's last six games overall.

CONSENSUS: The consensus is fairly split with just 52 percent of wagers backing West Virginia at -2.5.


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Thursday, November 20


Chilly conditions at Mountaineer Field Thursday

The Kansas State Wildcats travel to West Virginia to face the Mountaineers and weather looks like it won't be the most favorable Thursday.

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-20s and wind blowing from sideline to sideline at around 10 mph in Morgantown, West Virginia.

[Udog]

Bettors beware the week before college football's biggest rivalries

Next week is Rivalry Week in college football, which makes Week 13 “Lookahead Week” for NCAAF bettors. Many programs could get caught looking past this week’s matchup and to their yearly grudge match.

We look at some of the more heated rivalries in college football and how those teams perform the week before butting heads over the past 10 seasons.

Rivalry: Oregon vs. Oregon State (Civil War)

How does Oregon perform the week before?

4-6 SU, 1-9 ATS, 7-3 O/U

How does Oregon State perform the week before?

7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS, 4-6 O/U

What does this mean?

Injuries to the Oregon offensive line have held back most books from opening this game. It also doesn’t help Ducks backers that Oregon is 0-5 ATS over the last five years and 1-9 ATS in the last 10 years the week before the Civil War. Oregon State tends to play well the week before the Oregon game and is currently a 6.5-point dog against Washington.


Rivalry: Michigan vs. Ohio State (The Game)

How does Michigan perform the week before?

5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS, 7-3 O/U

How does Ohio State perform the week before?

7-3 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 4-6 O/U

What does this mean?

Both of these teams, especially Ohio State seem a little guilty of looking ahead. Ohio State is a 34.5-point favorite against Indiana and, while the Hoosiers haven't played well of late, it takes a lot to paste a conference foe by that many points. Michigan is a 5-point favorite against Maryland.


Rivalry: Alabama vs. Auburn (Iron Bowl)

During the last 10 years, Auburn had five byes in weeks heading up to the Iron Bowl with Alabama enjoying one in 2009 and both teams had one game that had no total on the board.

How does Alabama perform the week before?

5-4 SU, 2-5-2 ATS, 3-5 O/U

How does Auburn perform the week before?

4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U

What does this mean?

As good as these two teams have been recently, these trends don't reflect their success. With both teams scheduling down this week, Alabama faces Western Carolina and Auburn faces Samford, put a check mark in the win column. As for the spread, some places will book these FCS punching bags with massive lines.


Rivalry: Arizona vs. Arizona State (Duel in the Desert)

How does Arizona perform the week before?

4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS, 6-4 O/U

How does Arizona State perform the week before?

5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS, 6-4 O/U

What does this mean?

The trends definitely aren't telling us anything about this Pac-12 bad blood. But, if you look at an eight-year window, instead of a 10, Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last eight before facing ASU. Arizona is a 4-point dog at Utah – tough to look past the Utes - and Arizona State is a 16-point favorite against Washington State.


Rivalry: Notre Dame vs. USC

This rivalry is a little strange to look at because both teams have had byes in weeks leading up the games. Notre Dame had a bye in 2004, 2005, 2009, 2011 and 2013. Southern Cal had a bye in 2004, 2008 and 2009. And what makes it even more difficult is USC is playing rival UCLA this week.

How does Notre Dame perform the week before?

3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS, 0-4-1 O/U

How does USC perform the week before?

5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS, 3-4 O/U

What does this mean?

Notre Dame is a 3.5-point favorite versus Louisville this week but has lost three of its last four, including three straight blown covers. Quarteback Everett Golson is nursing a sore shoulder and the Irish are without defensive line leader Sheldon Day, to go along with other missing cogs on the stop unit. As mentioned above, the Trojans won’t risk looking past rival UCLA this weekend. Southern Cal has failed to cover in four of its last five meetings with the Bruins.


Rivalry: Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss (Egg Bowl)

How does Mississippi State perform the week before?

3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS, 7-3 O/U

How does Ole Miss perform the week before?

2-8 SU, 6-4 ATS, 6-4 O/U

What does this mean?

These trends are muddled a bit by the fact that both of these schools are playing at a higher level this season then they have in the past. Ole Miss is a 3.5-point favorite at Arkansas while Mississippi State gives 29 points to Vanderbilt at home Saturday.


Rivalry: Kansas vs. Kansas State

Kansas had three byes prior to the Kansas State game in 2006, 2010 and 2012. Kansas State had a bye in 2012.

How does Kansas perform the week before?

1-6 SU, 4-3 ATS, 2-6 O/U

How does Kansas State perform the week before?

3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS, 9-0 O/U

What does this mean?

Kansas finds itself in a dreaded sandwich spot, coming off a strong effort versus TCU last week. A letdown could be in store for the Jayhawks, even with them getting 25 points in Norman Saturday. The Wildcats don’t have the same healthy respect for its yearly rival as other programs might have – and can you blame them. Kansas State won’t be looking past West Virginia as a 2.5-point road underdog Thursday.

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Friday's games
Rice won seven of last eight games with UTEP, scoring 39.3 ppg in last three; Miners lost last four visits here, by 38-4-1-8 points. Underdogs are 8-4 vs spread in last 12 series games, five of last seven here. Owls are 6-1 as favorites this year; undefeated Marshall ended their six-game win streak last week. UTEP won four of its last five games, covering all five; they're 3-2 as road dogs this season. Miners allowed 16.5 ppg last four games, after allowing 37.2 ppg in first six.

San Diego State won last four games with Air Force; Falcons lost four of last five visits here, losing 28-9/27-25 in last two. Underdogs are 10-6 vs spread in last 16 series games, 5-2 in last seven here. Air Force won last four games, scoring 37.8 ppg; they're 2-1 as underdogs this year, are 3-6 in last nine games as a road dog. Aztecs blew 20-0 lead at Boise in 38-29 loss last week; they're 2-4 in last six games as home favorites. San Diego State is 5-0 if it allows 21 or less points, 0-5 if it allows more.

Utah State won last five games with San Jose State, covering four times, averaging 278.6 rushing yards; they won 40-12/49-27 the last two years. Spartans lost three of last four visits here, losing by 1-15-7. Aggies are way down the QB depth chart; they are 3-4 as favorites this year, 0-4 when laying double digits. San Jose lost last four games, none by more than 14 points; they lost 13-0 at home last week but never punted, with three missed FGs, three turnovers, losing ball three times on downs.




NCAAF

Friday, November 21

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Game of the Day: Air Force at San Diego State
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Air Force Falcons at San Diego State Aztecs (-6, 50.5)

Few teams in the Mountain West Conference are running as hot as the Air Force Falcons, who carry a four-game winning streak into a Friday night encounter with the host San Diego State Aztecs. Air Force wasn't as sharp defensively last time out as it would have liked, but got a Shayne Davern touchdown in overtime to upend Nevada 45-38. The Falcons have leaned on the run game all season, ranked eighth in the nation at 288.4 yards per game.

It may be a good time for Air Force to catch the Aztecs, who have dropped two of their last three to fall to the .500 mark in conference play. San Diego State has had one of the strongest defensive units in the country so far this season but fell flat last weekend, surrendering 399 total yards in a 38-29 defeat at the hands of Boise State. The Aztecs are a perfect 4-0 so far at Qualcomm Stadium in 2014, scoring at least 34 points in three of those contests.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network.

LINE HISTORY: The line opened -4 but has since jumped two points. The over/under has risen a half-point to 50.5.

INJURY REPORT: Air Force: OL Sevrin Remmo (foot) is questionable. RB Jacobi Owens (foot) is doubtful. LB Joey Nichol (groin) and OL Allen Caunitz (ankle) are out. San Diego State: DL Alex Barrett (foot) is doubtful. LB Jake Fely (wrist) is out.

WEATHER REPORT: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies and calm winds.

ABOUT AIR FORCE (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS, 4-6 O/U): Just how run-reliant are the Falcons? They've racked up a whopping 628 carries through 10 games, with 26 touchdowns and 15 different players registering at least one rush attempt. Jacobi Owens leads the way with 204 attempts for 1,054 yards and five scores, but he's doubtful with a foot injury - leaving quarterback Kale Pearson (143 carries, 587 yards, six TDs) and Shayne Davern (80 carries, 340 yards, five TDs) to pick up the slack in his absence.

ABOUT SAN DIEGO STATE (5-5 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 1-9 O/U): The Aztecs are led by running back sensation Donnel Pumphrey, who erupted for 147 yards and two touchdowns on 24 carries against Boise State and has seven 100-yard games on his resume this season. Quarterback Quinn Kaehler was solid in a win over Idaho two weeks ago, throwing for 249 yards and three touchdowns, but had just 173 yards and a score in last week's defeat. San Diego State has just nine receiving touchdowns on the year, with no player recording more than two.

TRENDS:

* Air Force is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a win.
* San Diego State is 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight games.
* Over is 7-1 in the Falcons' last eight November games.
* Under is 9-1 in the Aztecs' last 10 games.

CONSENSUS: Voters are 54.54 percent in favor of Air Force +6.


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NCAAF

Friday, November 21


Aztecs still top under team, despite first over

In their last matchup against Boise State, San Diego State managed to tally their first over of the season. The Aztecs now have a 1-9 over/under mark on the season, which is the top under record in the nation.

SDSU has averaged 24.1 points per game this season, while their defense has been stellar holding teams to a mere 22 ppg. Despite games involving the Aztecs averaging just 46.1 points, the average total for their games have been nearly 55.

The current total for San Diego State hosting Air Force is 50.5.


San Jose State's defense a boon for overs

After starting trending towards the under, San Jose State's defense has fallen apart causing the team to become a hot over play. In the past five games, the Spartans are 4-1 over/under with their defense allowing an average of 30 points per game.

San Jose State travels to Utah State with a total currently set at 46.


UTEP cashing out against the spread this season

Through the NCAAF season, there have been few teams better at covering the spread than UTEP. The Miners are a stellar 8-2 against the spread, including a perfect 5-0 in their last five contests.

In the eight games the Miners have covered, they have covered by an average of 15 points per game. UTEP is also a perfect 4-0 ATS when they have been favorites this season.

UTEP is currently +7.5 against Rice Friday.

[Udog]

College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 13

The college season is almost done, with just two more games left for most programs. With Rivalry Week on deck, there could be some surprise finishes in Week 13 with teams looking ahead to those annual grudge matches. We give you need-to-know betting notes for all of Saturday's Top 25 action.

(18) Marshall Thundering Herd at UAB Blazers (+20)

*Marshall is tops nationally with a 30.8-point scoring margin and is the only team in the FBS to score at least 35 points in each of its games this season.

*Blazers head coach Bill Clark has no reservations about how difficult this game is going to be. "They have put it on the people they have played and on some good opponents in our league. As the season has gone on, it has gotten worse," the coach said. "We should play like we have everything to gain and nothing to lose."

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at (9) Michigan State Spartans (-22)

*With Rutgers traveling to Michigan State's open air, natural grass stadium this week, Scarlet Knights head coach Kyle Flood has the team practicing outside in freezing conditions. “Once you get moving around you really don’t feel it,” Flood said. “It’s only the guys standing around like the coaches that actually feel it. The players, once they get moving around, I don’t see any difference.” The forecast is calling for ice showers and temperatures hovering around freezing in East Lansing.

*Balance has been the name of the game for the Spartans this season. They are averaging 245.9 yards rushing with 34 TDs and 268.1 yards passing with 21 TDs. Twelve different offensive players have scored touchdowns this season for the Spartans, including 10 with at least two touchdowns.

Charleston Southern Buccaneers at (10) Georgia Bulldogs (OTB)

*Quietly the Buccaneers may be able to earn an at-large bid to the FCS playoffs. "Our guys are more comfortable and we've figured out who we are," coach Jamey Chadwell said. "We're more comfortable in who we are and what we want to do and guys believe in it. Our guys believe that it's going to work."

*Under the direction of Mark Richt, Georgia owns a 54-10 SU record against teams from outside the SEC. They are 38-1 at home since 2001.

Minnesota Golden Gophers at (19) Nebraska Cornhuskers (-10.5)

*The Golden Gophers are no strangers to close games this season. Two of their four Big Ten victories have been by seven or fewer points, while both of Minnesota’s conference losses have been by a touchdown or less.

*"I don't want to make an excuse - because I'm not making an excuse," Nebraska coach Bo Pelini said. "sometimes our guys put so much pressure on themselves to win that they're not playing to win, they're playing not to lose."

Indiana Hoosiers at (7) Ohio State Buckeyes (-34.5)

*Hoosiers RB Tevin Coleman has been near unstoppable this season averaging 167.8 rushing yards per contest. The junior back is averaging more yards on the ground per game than 67 FBS schools this season.

*It may be time for J.T. Barrett to get some Heisman talk. Barrett has been responsible for at least four touchdowns in six of 10 games this season while completing 64.0 percent of his passes.

Kansas Jayhawks at (22) Oklahoma Sooners (-25)

*Kansas is looking to snap several long streaks when it travels to Oklahoma. The Jayhawks have lost 28-consecutive true road games and 31 games away from Lawrence overall. Kansas' last road win came at UTEP on Sept. 12, 2009. The Jayhawks have not won a Big 12 Conference road game since defeating Iowa State on Oct. 4, 2008.

*Last week, freshman Cody Thomas got his first start for the Sooners and Bob Stoops is expecting a better game this week. "I feel confident he'll even make a bigger jump this week, having been out there that whole game and having the experience of it,'' Stoops said

Washington State Cougars at Arizona State Sun Devils (-15)

*Many were worried how the Cougars would play once they lost top QB Connor Halliday for last week's game. However, redshirt freshman Luke Falk stepped in and threw for 471 yards and five touchdowns.

*Even though QB Taylor Kelly is back from injury, there seems to be doubt that he is fully healed. "Before the injury, I think he was moving a lot better and was able to execute the zone read stuff. I’m not sure he is 100 percent back yet," Sun Devils coach Todd Graham said.

New Mexico Lobos at (23) Colorado State Rams (-21.5)

*All three of the Lobos' victories this season have come on the road. In those three victories, New Mexico is4 2-1 against the spread while only winning two games by three points each.

*Rams WR Rashad Higgins has been lost in the shuffle of bigger name receivers, but the sophomore has been more dominant than any other this season. Higgins ranks first nationally in receiving yards per game (142.2) and tied for No. 1 in receiving TDs (13).

(13) Arizona Wildcats at (21) Utah Utes (-4)

*Wildcats LB Scooby Wright has been nominated for the Bronko Nagurski Trophy as he should be. The sophomore is the only player in the nation to rank in the top 25 in tackles (117), tackles for loss (21), sacks (12) and forced fumbles (five).

*It has been a bad year on the injury front for Utes receivers. Utah has lost both Dres Anderson, the team's leading receiver for the past two seasons, and Tim Patrick this season, both of which were team starters.

Boston College Eagles at (1) FSU Seminoles (-17)

*Boston College head coach Steve Addazio has some reasoning as to why FSU has been trailing early in games. "I think that teams come out and give them their best shot early, but you have to sustain it when you play that team. You have to come out and play well and sustain it; get it to the fourth quarter and win it. No one's been able to do that."

*After erasing a 16-0 deficit at Miami on Saturday night, Florida State became the first team since the 2005 UCLA Bruins to win three games after trailing by 15+ points in a single season. FSU managed to go 2-1 against the spread in those games as well.

(8) Ole Miss Rebels at Arkansas Razorbacks (+3.5)

*Ole Miss is still in the running for the SEC West crown, but they will need some help. The Rebels will need to win their final two games and then needs to hope for Auburn to top Alabama next week.

*The Razorbacks have been knocking on the door of being a top tier team in the SEC all season and they've finally achieved it thanks to a power run game. Arkansas' offensive line averages 328 lbs which has helped Jonathan Williams and Alex Collins tally 1818 yards and 22 touchdowns this season.

(15) Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes (+10)

*Though Melvin Gordon gets the headlines, it's the Badgers offensive line that is pushing the team above and beyond. "We don't want to get our names in the paper or anything like that," center Dan Voltz said. "We want to get Melvin's game in the paper. If he has a good day, we did our job."

*Saturday will mark the fourth time this season the Hoosiers will face a running back ranked inside the top seven in yards per game. In the previous three they have allowed an average of 149 yards to each back with an average of 7.5 yards per carry.

Western Carolina Catamounts at (2) Alabama Crimson Tide (OTB)

*WCU has managed to outscore opponents 98-55 in the first quarter this season, a huge improvement over the 29 point they scored in the first stanza during the 2013 season.

*The Crimson Tide running game is still missing it's best piece as RB T.J. Yeldon was limited in practice this week and coach Nick Saban said he was "day-to-day."

Colorado Buffaloes at (3) Oregon Ducks (-32.5)

*The Buffaloes may be taking to the field without arguably their best player in Sefo Liufau who is dealing with a concussion. "Sefo was able to do a little bit more (this week), but he’s still not at completely 100 cleared. We think he will be. We’ll see how that goes as the week goes along to exactly how much we do on Saturday.”

*If history is any indication, than you can expect Marcus Mariota to have a large game against Colorado. The Heisman candidate has played the Buffaloes twice, throwing for 491 yards and seven touchdowns while adding three more with his feet.

Samford Bulldogs at (17) Auburn Tigers (OTB)

*Bulldogs RB Denzel Williams has scored at least one rushing touchdown in all 10 of Samford's games this season. The sophomore has 16 rushing TDs on the season.

*There is no hope for Aurburn to make the playoffs or the SEC Championships after a second straight loss last week. "It's dreadful because that's what our whole goal was this year, to get back being SEC champions and having a shot at the national championship," quarterback Nick Marshall said Tuesday. "But it didn't fall our way this year. We're going to finish out strong."

Oklahoma State Cowboys at (6) Baylor Bears (-28.5)

*Offense continues to sputter for the Cowboys during their five game losing streak. The team is averaging 10 points per game, while QB Daxx Garman has thrown almost four times as many interceptions than touchdowns (2 TDs-to-7 INTs).

*Baylor's high scoring offense has been even better at home. In the Bears past 12 home games, the team has averaged 60.25 points per game and 686 yards of offense.

(20) Missouri Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers (-3.5)

*Missouri has won nine straight road games SU and ATS. The flawless road record has seen the Tigers outscore opponents by an average of 18 ppg.

*With both A.J. Johnson and Michael Williams suspended due to rape allegations, the Tennessee coaches have told the players to practice as if they are going to start this week. Freshman LB Jakob Johnson will be expected to step in and man the MLB spot for the Volunteers.

Vanderbilt Commodores at (4) Mississippi State Bulldogs (-30.5)

*The Commordores have more first time starters (26) than any FBS team in the nation. Vanderbilt's leading passer, rusher, receiver and tackler are first-year contributors, lending more proof to a young 'Dore squad.

*“We’ve handled winning very well this season, so we’ll see how we handle this adversity at this point,” Mississippi State coach Dan Mullen said. The Bulldogs are coming off their first loss of the season against Alabama.

(24) USC Trojans at (12) UCLA Bruins (-4)

*USC is averaging a Pac-12-high 9.2 penalties and saw three touchdowns called back against the Golden Bears last week.

*If UCLA wants to ensure victory early, they will need to get the offense going quickly. UCLA is 21-3 under coach Jim Mora when scoring first and 23-0 when leading at halftime.

[Udog]

Where the action is: Saturday's biggest college football line moves

Week 13 of the college football season can be one of the most volatile slots of schedule in the entire year. With Rivalry Week up next, some teams can get caught looking ahead to those big games and lose focus on this week’s opponents.

We talk with Scott Kaminsky of TheGreek.com about the biggest adjustments on the Week 13 board and where those odds could end up come kickoff Saturday.

Northwestern Wildcats at Purdue Boilermakers – Open: +3, Move: -1.5

This spread has been bet hard toward the home team, with Purdue jumping the fence from underdog to favorite Saturday afternoon. The Boilermakers enjoyed a bye last week while the Wildcats seem ripe for regression after a stunning win over Notre Dame in South Bend.

“Northwestern is coming off that big win over Notre Dame and (bettors) are expecting a letdown,” says Kaminsky. “Coming off that upset, it makes sense that they would bet Purdue.”

Boston College Eagles at Florida State Seminoles – Open: -20, Move: -17

The Seminoles are being faded at home against an upset-minded Eagles side that already stunned Southern Cal this season. Early money trimmed a field goal off this spread, which is still a mountain of chalk for FSU to climb with the way it’s been playing.

“Florida State isn’t blowing people out like it did last season,” says Kaminsky. “They’ve even had to come back a couple of times, too. They’ve won only two games by more than 17 points, which happens to be the spread for this game. This looks like the right number.”

Louisville Cardinals at Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Open: -4.5, Move: -3

After falling apart against Northwestern for their third loss in the last four games, bettors are fading the Fighting Irish before their showdown with USC next week. On top of that, QB Everett Golson is nursing a shoulder injury suffered in the 43-40 loss to the Wildcats but is listed as probable against the fifth-ranked defense in the country.

“Notre Dame hasn’t played to the potential that everyone thought they would this season,” Kaminsky says. “Louisville really only has one bad loss, coming to Florida State, and I thought they were going to win that game. They were leading in the first half (21-0).”

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Baylor Bears – Open: -25.5, Move: -29

The Cowboys are without QB Dax Garman due to a concussion, putting the ball in the hands of true freshman backup Mason Rudolph when the Pokes head to Waco this weekend. Oklahoma State seems like it’s bringing a knife to a gun fight against the most powerful offense in college football.

“They’d have big problems even if he did play,” Kaminsky says of Garman and the Cowboys. “Baylor is going to have no trouble scoring points. It’s just a matter of if they can cover this big spread. They’re averaging 50 points a game, so in hindsight this looks like a weak opening line.”

Boise State Broncos at Wyoming Cowboys – Open: +14, Move: +12

Boise State has won five in a row heading to Wyoming in Week 13, a week before an important matchup with Utah State in the season finale. The Broncos have the 16th best passing game in the country – tossing it for 300 yards per game – but could run into an unstoppable foe Saturday. And it’s not Wyoming.

“The forecast is calling for it to be quiet windy in Wyoming Saturday night,” says Kaminsky. “Boise State could have a tough time passing the ball if it is.”

The forecast for War Memorial Stadium in Laramie is calling for winds upwards of 32 mph and a chance of snow later in the evening.

[Udog]

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 13

Sat, Nov. 21

Virginia Tech at Wake Forest, 12:30 ET
Virginia Tech: 12-2 ATS in road games off a close win by 7 points or less over a conference rival
Wake Forest: 4-13 ATS in home games off 2 consecutive losses by 10 points or more to conference rivals

Miami Florida at Virginia, 12:00 ET
Miami FL: 3-12 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive unders
Virginia: 25-9 UNDER after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game

Missouri at Tennessee, 7:30 ET
Missouri: 22-6 OVER after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers
Tennessee: 16-6 ATS in home games off a home win against a conference rival

South Alabama at South Carolina, 12:00 ET
S Alabama: 1-10 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games
S Carolina: 14-5 OVER off an upset win as an underdog

Eastern Michigan at Ball State, 2:00 ET
E Michigan: 0-6 ATS in road games off a loss against a conference rival
Ball St: 6-1 ATS after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers

Rutgers at Michigan State, 12:00 ET
Rutgers: 2-9 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 to 28 points
Michigan State: 22-10 ATS off a double digit road win

Minnesota at Nebraska, 12:00 ET
Minnesota: 7-1 UNDER after a 2 game home stand
Nebraska: 22-9 ATS after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers

Vanderbilt at Mississippi State, 7:30 ET
Vanderbilt: 6-0 ATS after a bye week
Mississippi State: 17-33 ATS in home games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Indiana at Ohio State, 12:00 ET
Indiana: 15-32 ATS in road games off 1 or more straight overs
Ohio State: 106-74 ATS against conference opponents

Maryland at Michigan, 12:00 ET
Maryland: 31-16 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points
Michigan: 23-46 ATS after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers

Kansas at Oklahoma, 12:00 ET
Kansas: 47-74 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games
Oklahoma: 13-2 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Syracuse at Pittsburgh, 3:30 ET
Syracuse: 6-1 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders
Pittsburgh: 5-1 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games

Northwestern at Purdue, 12:00 ET
Northwestern: 22-9 ATS after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers
Purdue: 5-1 OVER after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games

Western Michigan at Central Michigan, 1:00 ET
W Michigan: 8-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread
C Michigan: 10-2 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games

Tulane at East Carolina, 12:00 ET
Tulane: 82-111 ATS as an underdog
E Carolina: 8-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses

Boston College at Florida State, 12:00 ET
Boston College: 70-47 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers
Florida St: 3-10 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points

Penn State at Illinois, 12:00 ET
Penn State: 0-6 ATS after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game
Illinois: 10-3 OVER off 1 or more consecutive unders

Wisconsin at Iowa, 12:00 ET
Wisconsin: 11-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Iowa: 6-1 UNDER after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Marhsall at UAB, 12:00 ET
Marshall: 7-1 ATS after a win by 17 or more points
UAB: 3-11 ATS after playing a game at home

Louisiana Tech at Old Dominion, 1:00 ET
Louisiana Tech: 12-3 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive overs
Old Dominion: 0-6 ATS after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored

New Mexico at Colorado State, 1:30 ET
New Mexico: 5-1 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games
Colorado St: 16-5 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals

Tex San Antonio at Western Kentucky, 12:00 ET
Tex San Antonio: 6-0 ATS off a home win
W Kentucky: 1-9 ATS in home games against conference opponents

Boise State at Wyoming, 10:15 ET
Boise St: 72-50 ATS against conference opponents
Wyoming: 4-13 ATS after a playing a game where 24 total points or less were scored

Texas Tech at Iowa State, 3:30 ET
Texas Tech: 5-14 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
Iowa St: 12-2 ATS after allowing 450 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games

Mississippi at Arkansas, 3:30 ET
Mississippi: 20-7 ATS in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
Arkansas: 1-8 ATS in home games after playing a game at home over

Oklahoma State at Baylor, 7:30 ET
Oklahoma St: 0-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses
Baylor: 54-34 ATS as a favorite

Tulsa at Houston, 3:00 ET
Tulsa: 23-42 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points
Houston: 9-1 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 or more

Colorado at Oregon, 3:30 ET
Colorado: 5-1 OVER after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games
Oregon: 47-23 OVER after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game

Louisville at Notre Dame, 3:30 ET
Louisville: 8-2 UNDER after a win by 17 or more points
Notre Dame: 15-29 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games

Florida International at North Texas, 3:30 ET
Florida INT: 12-2 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game
N Texas: 11-3 UNDER in home lined games

Stanford at California, 5:00 ET
Stanford: 0-6 ATS in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers
California: 30-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points

Appalachian State at UL - Lafayette, 5:00 ET
Appalachian St: 5-10 ATS in all games
UL Lafayette: 8-1 ATS after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers

Arizona at Utah, 7:00 ET
Arizona: 2-10 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games
Utah: 72-48 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers

Oregon State at Washington, 3:30 ET
Oregon St: 36-19 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
Washington: 0-6 ATS in home games after playing their last game on the road

Georgia State at Clemson, 7:00 ET
Georgia St: 11-3 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games
Clemson: 1-5 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games

Washington State at Arizona State, 1:00 ET
Washington St: 15-4 ATS in road games off an upset win as an underdog
Arizona St: 43-26 ATS in home games after playing their last game on the road

South Florida at Memphis, 7:00 ET
S Florida: 12-3 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games
Memphis: 5-15 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals

Florida Atlantic at Mid Tennessee State, 7:00 ET
Florida ATL: 7-0 ATS after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game
Mid Tenn St: 10-3 UNDER after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers

Cincinnati at Connecticut, 7:00 ET
Cincinnati: 7-0 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival
Connecticut: 1-9 ATS after playing a non-conference game

UL - Monroe at New Mexico State, 4:00 ET
UL Monroe: 24-10 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses
New Mexico St: 33-61 ATS after playing a conference game

SMU at Central Florida, 8:00 ET
SMU: 6-17 ATS after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored
C Florida: 3-11 ATS off a home win

USC at UCLA, 8:00 ET
USC: 6-16 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins
UCLA: 34-17 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins

Fresno State at Nevada, 10:30 ET
Fresno St: 5-1 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games
Nevada: 0-6 ATS after having won 3 out of their last 4 games

UNLV at Hawaii, 11:00 ET
UNLV: 19-7 ATS after allowing 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games
Hawaii: 7-1 UNDER off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Saturday's games
Top games of week
Favorites are 9-0 vs spread in Miami’s lined games this season; Hurricanes were all-out to win against Florida State last week, fell short 30-26, now hits road where they’re 1-3 SU, with only win 30-6 at Va Tech; all three of their road losses are by 11+ points. Underdogs are 8-1-1 in last 10 Miami-Virginia games; ‘canes lost 41-40/24-19 in last two visits here- dogs won SU in four of last five series games here. Cavaliers lost last four games after a 4-2 start; they’re 3-2 at home, losing 28-20 to UCLA, 28-27 to UNC- they’re 2-0 as home dogs.

Virginia Tech won/covered last four games with Wake Forest, though Wake outgained Tech 347-327 LY; Hokies won by 7-31-21 points in last three visits here. Tech lost three of last four games, with last two decided by total of three points; they’re 1-4 as a favorite this year, 3-1 SU on road with wins by 14-1-17 points- they need another win to be bowl eligible. Young Wake Forest squad lost last six games, but they’re 3-1 as home underdogs this year, with home losses by 23-6-14 points and a win over Army.

Missouri beat Tennessee 51-48/31-3 last two years, gaining 956 TY in two games; Tigers won last four games after getting smoked 34-0 at Georgia Oct 11, allowing average of 16 ppg. 8-2 Mizzou somehow lost to Indiana at home, but they’re also 4-0 SU on road, scoring 36.5 ppg. Tennessee found QB in soph Dobbs; they scored 95 points in winning last two games, need one more win to be bowl eligible (they play Vandy next week). Was ready to jump on Vol bandwagon here until they had couple kids arrested earlier in week, always a red flag.

Wisconsin won four of last six games with Iowa, with three of last four wins by 4 or less points; Badgers won three of last four visits here, winning 28-9/31-30 in last two visits to Iowa City. Favorites covered Hawkeyes’ last six games; Iowa is 1-2 as a dog this year, 3-1 SU at home, losing 20-17 to Iowa State. Badgers won/covered all four games since their bye week, with all four wins by 18+ points; they’re 5-3 as favorites this year, 2-1 on road, 4-2 when laying double digits. Big 14 home underdogs are 12-9 vs spread.

Northwestern had lost four games in row before unlikely 43-40 OT win at Notre Dame last week; Wildcats can get bowl eligible with wins here and vs Illinois next week. Wildcats are 4-3 in last seven games with Purdue (three of four wins by 6 or less points), winning two of last three here, in series where road team won four of last six series games. Boilers lost last four games, allowing 38.3 ppg; they’re 1-4 SU at home, with only win 43-34 in season opener over Western Michigan, but 3-2 vs spread in games with single digit spread.

Boise State has outgained Wyoming by 307 yards/game in last four meetings; they’ve won its last eight games with Cowboys, covering last two (3-4 vs spread in last seven). Broncos won last four visits to Laramie (3-1 vs spread) with three of four wins by 20+ points. Wyoming lost five of last six games, covered two of last seven; they lost last two home games 27-20/20-3. Only one of their last four losses was by more than 14 points. Boise scored 51 ppg in last three games, but covered only two of last six games overall.

Underdogs covered five of last seven Arizona-Utah games, including all three played here; Wildcats won last two meetings by 11-10 points- they won two of last three visits here. Arizona is 8-2, losing to both LA schools; they’re 3-1 on road, losing 17-7 at UCLA. Utah won in OT at Stanford last week after getting waxed at home by Oregon the week before; Utes are 7-2 vs spread this season- six of their last seven games were decided by 3 or less points, or in OT- they lost two of last three home games.

Arizona State won nine of last ten games with Washington State, winning 46-7/55-21 last two years; Coogs lost last five visits here, losing last four by average score of 41-5. Under Graham, ASU is 5-4 vs spread in game following a loss; they’re 1-1 as home favorites this year- they were underdogs in ahlf their four home games (3-1 SU). Sun Devils allowed 31-35 points in last two games. Wazzu is 2-1 as road dog this year; they allowed average of 45.8 ppg in their last five games, losing four of them (1-4 vs spread).

Underdogs covered six of last eight USC-UCLA games, with Mora winning both his games in this rivalry, 35-14/38-28, both as underdog. Trojans won five of last seven visits to Pasadena, with underdogs covered last five series games played here. 8-2 Bruins won last four games but allowed 30+ points in three of four; both their losses were at home (Oregon/Utah)- average total in their last seven games is 63.4. USC is 3-2 on road, with four of five games decided by six or less points; they won four of last five games SU.

Underdogs covered three of last four Oregon State-Washington games, with Huskies running ball for 530 yards in 69-27 romp LY, U-Dub’s third win in last four series games. Beavers lost 20-17/35-34 in last two visits to Seattle after winning two of previous three here. OSU snapped 4-game skid with second half rally to upset ASU 35-27 last week, Beavers’ first cover in last seven games. State is 0-2 as road dog this year, losing 35-10 (+8) at USC, 38-14 (+13) at Stanford. Pac-12 home favorites are 9-14 against the spread this season.

Stanford won last four games with Cal, with three wins by 18+ points; they crushed Cal 63-13 LY and won 21-3/48-14 in last two visits here, but Cardinal lost four of last six games overall, getting outscored 88-40 in losing last three road games. Cal is 6-3 vs spread this year, scoring 30+ points in every game but one (7-31 vs Wash), but they’ve also allowed 31+ in last eight games. Golden Bears lost four of last five games, are playing in Berkeley for first time in five weeks. Pac-12 home underdogs are 9-12 against the spread.

Underdogs covered last three Ole Miss-Arkansas games; Rebels won two of last three visits here with wins by combined total of five points. Ole Miss won four of last six series games; they basically had two byes in row, playing I-AA team after Auburn loss, then a real bye last week. Rebels are 2-1 on road, beating Vandy/A&M, losing 10-7 at LSU. Hogs allowed total of 34 points in last three games, blanking LSU last week, their first SEC win in two years. Arkansas needs this win or a win at Missouri to be bowl-eligible.

Notre Dame somehow lost in OT at home to Northwestern last week as Kelly turned into Sam Wyche with his sloppy game management; Irish lost three of last four games after 6-0 start, have allowed 42.2 ppg in last five games, including 43 in each of last two at home. Irish are 3-1 this year in games with single digit spread. Louisville scored 30+ points in each of last three games; they’re 3-2 on road, losing at Virginia/Clemson but they’ve also lost their QB for year. ACC non-conference underdogs are 7-2 vs spread, 4-2 on road.

Rest of card
-- South Alabama is 0-4-1 vs spread in its last five games; they lost 35-3 at home to Miss State earlier this year. South Carolina needs this win to get bowl eligible; their last two games went OT.
-- Ball State won eight of last nine games with Eastern Michigan; dogs are 4-2 vs spread in last six series games.
-- Michigan State is 5-1 as double digit favorite this year. Rutgers is 6-2 vs spread in last eight games; both losses were as double digit dogs.
-- Nebraska won two of last three games with Minnesota, but Gophers had 271 rushing yards LY in 34-23 win. Nebraska got shredded for 500+ rushing yards in the snow at Wisconsin last week.

-- Vandy/Miss State haven't met since '09; how do Bulldogs bounce back after loss at Alabama? Vandy covered five of last six games, is 3-0 when a road underdog this season.
-- Ohio State won its last 13 games with Indiana but Hoosiers covered last three. Indiana lost last seven visits here, six by 23+ points.
-- Michigan won three of last four games; they scored less than 20 in two of the three wins, still need one more to be bowl eligible. Maryland is 3-1 vs spread in its last four away games.
-- Oklahoma won last nine games with Kansas, which is 3-2 vs spread in last five. Sooners lost last two home games, allowing 79 points.

-- Pitt won eight of its last nine games with Syracuse, covering last five; Panthers allowed 49 ppg in last three games, are 1-7 vs spread in their last eight. Syracuse lost last three games, scoring 11 ppg.
-- Favorites covered last five Western Mich-Central Mich games; Chips won six of last eight in series, with three of last five wins by 5 or less.
-- Tulane lost last six visits to East Carolina, losing 34-13/35-12 in last two. ECU lost last two games, is 0-5 vs spread in its last five.
-- Underdogs covered six of last eight BC-Florida State games; Seminoles won 48-34/51-7 last two years. Eagles covered three of last four visits to Florida State.

-- Underdogs covered seven of last eight Penn State-Illinois games, with Lions winning last three by 7-28-3 points. PSU scored exactly 13 points in all three true road games, winning two of them.
-- Marshall won seven of last nine games with UAB, winning 56-14 in LY's game; underdogs won SU in Herd's last four visits to UAB.
-- Old Dominion lost five of last six games (0-6 vs spread); they're 0-4 vs spread at home, and allowed 35+ points in last seven overall. Louisiana Tech is 8-1 vs spread; they scored 99 points in last two games.
-- Colorado State won last four games with New Mexico, covering three; Lobos lost last three visits to Fort Collins by 4-24-14 points- they've covered last four games overall.

-- UTSA is 1-7 vs spread in last eight games, scoring total of 19 points in its last three. Western Kentucky scored 34+ points in every game but one this year; they're 2-2 as home favorites.
-- Underdogs covered three of last four Texas Tech-Iowa State tilts; Tech is 3-2 in last five visits to Ames- favorites covered four of those five.
-- Baylor averaged 56+ ppg in last 14 home games; they're 2-1 as a home favorite this year and scored 108 points in last two games. Oklahoma St is 0-5 vs spread in last five games, losing last four by 38-10 average.
-- Home side lost last four Tulsa-Houston games; underdogs covered three of Tulsa's last four visits here. Tulsa is allowing 39.6 ppg in five road games (2-2 as road dog). AAC home favorites are 6-12.

-- Oregon ran ball for 382 yards.game in winning last three games against Colorado by average score of 57-11. Buffaloes lost last six games, giving up an average of 44.5 ppg (1-2 as road dog).
-- FIU won last five games with North Texas, with four wins by 19+; Panthers won 34-10/42-10 in last two visits here, and are 3-0 vs spread on road this year, with both their road losses by a FG.
-- UL-Lafayette won its last six games, is 4-0-1 vs spread in its last five games; Ragin' Cajuns are 2-2 as home favorites this year. Appalachian State won three of its last four games, needs a win to be bowl eligible.
-- Clemson had 4-game win streak ended in ugly loss at Georgia Tech in which #1 QB was hurt, #2 QB was benched; they play South Carolina next week. Georgia State lost last three games by combined 158-52.

-- Memphis (-1.5) won 23-10 at South Florida LY, despite 6-13/59 day throwing ball. Tigers allowed 12.5 ppg in winning last four games; they are 1-2 as home favorites this year. USF scored 11.3 ppg last 3 games.
-- Middle Tennessee won last six games with FAU,. covering last five; Owls lost last four visits here, covering once. Blue Raiders ran ball for 598 yards in last two series games.
-- Favorites covered last four Cincy-UConn games; Bearcats won three in row over UConn by 25-17-8 points. Huskies lost six of last seven games, are 1-3 as home dogs. Cincy won last four games, scoring 41.8.
-- New Mexico State lost its last eight games after a 2-0 start, allowing an average of 41.3 ppg; Aggies are 1-2-1 as home dogs. ULM is 1-3 as fave this year; they lost last six games, after a 3-1 start.

-- SMU lost its last three visits to Central Florida by 25-10-14 (0-2-1 vs spread); Mustangs are 0-9, losing last week on TD with 0:04 left- they led 13-0 in 4th quarter. UCF is 3-1 as a home favorite.
-- Underdogs covered three of last four Fresno-Nevada games; Bulldogs lost 41-23/52-36 in last two series games. Fresno gained 500+ yards in last three series games; they covered five of last seven games overall.
-- Underdogs covered four of last five UNLV-Hawai'i games, with home team, winning last three. Rebels lost 48-10/42-13 in last two visits here. Mountain West home favorites are 12-13.

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 13

USC at UCLA
The Trojans face crosstown rival UCLA tonight with the Bruins coming off a 44-30 win at Washington and coming into the contest with an 0-4 ATS record in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. USC is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: USC (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's NCAA Football picks.

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 22

Game 123-124: Virginia Tech at Wake Forest (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 91.559; Wake Forest 74.079
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 17 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 15; 39
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-15); Over

Game 125-126: Miami (FL) at Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 96.744; Virginia 93.173
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 3 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 6; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+6); Over

Game 127-128: Missouri at Tennessee (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 99.877; Tennessee 98.724
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 1; 52
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (+3 1/2); Over

Game 129-130: South Alabama at South Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 66.804; South Alabama 98.166
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 31 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 25 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-25 1/2); Under

Game 131-132: Eastern Michigan at Ball State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 58.673; Ball State 72.094
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 13 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Ball State by 17; 51
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+17); Under

Game 133-134: Rutgers at Michigan State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 85.020; Michigan State 110.807
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 26; 54
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 22; 57
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-22); Under

Game 135-136: Minnesota at Nebraska (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 97.120; Nebraska 109.569
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 12 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 10; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-10); Under

Game 137-138: Vanderbilt at Mississippi State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 79.329; Mississippi State 107.414
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 28; 57
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 31; 52
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+31); Over

Game 139-140: Indiana at Ohio State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 76.376; Ohio State 117.930
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 41 1/2; 71
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 34 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-34 1/2); Over

Game 141-142: Maryland at Michigan (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 94.081; Michigan 93.771
Dunkel Line: Even; 46
Vegas Line: Michigan by 5; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+5); Over

Game 143-144: Kansas at Oklahoma (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 71.552; Oklahoma 111.519
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 40; 60
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 25; 53
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-25); Over

Game 145-146: Syracuse at Pittsburgh (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 81.826; Pittsburgh 84.183
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 50
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+7); Under

Game 147-148: Northwestern at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 89.759; Purdue 87.167
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 2 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Pick; 50
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern; Over

Game 149-150: Western Michigan at Central Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 78.910; Central Michigan 83.331
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 4 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 1; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-1); Over

Game 151-152: Tulane at East Carolina (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 78.522; East Carolina 88.181
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 9 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 18; 57
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+18); Over

Game 153-154: Boston College at Florida State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 86.625; Florida State 108.997
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 22 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Florida State by 19 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-19 1/2); Over

Game 155-156: Penn State at Illinois (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 90.560; Illinois 81.305
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 9 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Penn State by 6 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-6 1/2); Under

Game 157-158: Wisconsin at Iowa (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 101.842; Iowa 94.827
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 7; 48
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 9 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+9 1/2); Under

Game 159-160: Marshall at UAB (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 102.490; UAB 80.654
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 22; 74
Vegas Line: Marshall by 20; 68
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-20); Over

Game 161-162: Louisiana Tech at Old Dominion (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 85.889; Old Dominion 77.740
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 8; 72
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 12; 67
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+12); Over

Game 163-164: New Mexico at Colorado State (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 78.372; Colorado State 93.829
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 15 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 21 1/2; 65
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+21 1/2); Under

Game 165-166: TX-San Antonio at Western Kentucky (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 65.698; Western Kentucky 81.508
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 16; 63
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 8 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-8 1/2); Over

Game 167-168: Boise State at Wyoming (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 93.039; Wyoming 78.525
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 14 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Boise State by 12 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-12 1/2); Under

Game 169-170: Texas Tech at Iowa State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 79.413; Iowa State 77.478
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 2; 77
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 1; 69
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+1); Over

Game 171-172: Mississippi at Arkansas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 106.495; Arkansas 110.518
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 4; 52
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 3; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+3); Over

Game 173-174: Oklahoma State at Baylor (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 85.952; Baylor 116.608
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 30 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: Baylor by 28 1/2; 67 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-28 1/2); Over

Game 175-176: Tulsa at Houston (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 69.067; Houston 86.640
Dunkel Line: Houston by 17 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Houston by 20; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+20); Under

Game 177-178: Colorado at Oregon (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 81.526; Oregon 117.121
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 35 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Oregon by 32 1/2; 72 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-32 1/2); Under

Game 179-180: Louisville at Notre Dame (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 93.809; Notre Dame 103.271
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 9 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-3 1/2); Over

Game 181-182: Florida International at North Texas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 73.814; North Texas 73.468
Dunkel Line: Even; 54
Vegas Line: North Texas by 3; 48
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+3); Over

Game 183-184: Stanford at California (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 96.512; California 94.678
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 2; 60
Vegas Line: Stanford by 5 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: California (+5 1/2); Over

Game 185-186: Appalachian State at UL-Lafayette (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 68.548; UL-Lafayette 82.951
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 14 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 9 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-9 1/2); Under

Game 187-188: Arizona at Utah (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 99.423; Utah 93.088
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 6 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Utah by 4; 54
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+4); Under

Game 189-190: Oregon State at Washington (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 90.472; Washington 98.780
Dunkel Line: Washington by 8 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Washington by 6; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-6); Under

Game 191-192: Georgia State at Clemson (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 59.124; Clemson 97.749
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 38 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Clemson by 41; 57
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (+41); Over

Game 193-194: Washington State at Arizona State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 80.347; Arizona State 98.847
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 18 1/2; 75
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 16; 70 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-16); Over

Game 195-196: South Florida at Memphis (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 70.798; Memphis 99.188
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 28 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Memphis by 19; 46
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-19); Under

Game 197-198: Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 69.706; Middle Tennessee State 73.387
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 3 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 7; 57
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+7); Under

Game 199-200: Cincinnati at Connecticut (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 86.699; Connecticut 79.531
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 7; 60
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 9; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+9); Over

Game 201-202: UL-Monroe at New Mexico State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 71.371; New Mexico State 57.246
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 14; 48
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 8; 54
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (-8); Under

Game 203-204: SMU at Central Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 58.836; Central Florida 88.813
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 30; 55
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 27 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-27 1/2); Over

Game 205-206: USC at UCLA (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 103.083; UCLA 103.094
Dunkel Line: Even; 56
Vegas Line: UCLA by 3 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: USC (+3 1/2); Under

Game 207-208: Fresno State at Nevada (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 68.284; Nevada 86.551
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 18 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Nevada by 7; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-7); Under

Game 209-210: UNLV at Hawaii (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 63.326; Hawaii 68.284
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 5; 59
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 10; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+10); Over


OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

Game 221-222: Fordham at Army (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 74.887; Army 68.370
Dunkel Line: Fordham by 6 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 223-224: Samford at Auburn (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 63.767; Auburn 112.237
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 48 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 225-226: Charleston Southern at Georgia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 66.366; Georgia 102.795
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 36 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 227-228: Eastern Kentucky at Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 66.446; Florida 93.454
Dunkel Line: Florida by 27; 47
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 229-230: Savannah State at BYU (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Savannah State 23.319; BYU 89.407
Dunkel Line: BYU by 66; 66
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 231-232: Western Carolina at Alabama (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 64.068; Alabama 108.132
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 44; 44
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 22

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Game of the Day: USC at UCLA
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USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins (-4, 61)

The path hasn’t been as smooth as expected, but No. 12 UCLA controls its own destiny heading into Saturday’s Pac-12 South showdown against visiting USC. The Bruins rebounded from back-to-back losses against Utah and Oregon with four straight wins and can secure a spot in the Pac-12 championship game by defeating No. 24 USC and Stanford. UCLA has won the last two meetings against USC, which can clinch the division with a win over the Bruins and one Arizona State loss in its final two games.

The crosstown rivalry game features two of the top quarterbacks in the league in UCLA’s Brett Hundley and USC’s Cody Kessler, who is connecting on 70 percent of his passes while throwing 29 touchdowns and just three interceptions. The Trojans’ stellar defensive line needs to pressure Hundley, who threw for 302 yards and accounted for four TDs in last week’s 44-30 win over Washington. After allowing 23 sacks in their first five games, the Bruins have permitted eight in their past five contests.

TV: 8 ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: The opening line saw UCLA -3 where it stayed until Tuesday when it jumped to -3.5. By Friday afternoon, the Bruins were -4. The opening total of 61 has yet to move.

INJURY REPORT: USC - LB J.R. Tavai (Prob-Knee), FB Soma Vainuku (Prob-Undisclosed), CB Josh Shaw (Ques-Suspension) UCLA - FB Nate Iese (Ques-Shoulder)

WEATHER OUTLOOK: Yet another good night of football at the Rose Bowl. The skies are expected to be partly cloudy with light winds blowing no more than 2 mph.

ABOUT NO. 24 USC (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS, 4-6 O/U): Kessler has one of the best targets in the country in wide receiver Nelson Agholor, who was named Pac-12 offensive player of the week after catching a career-best 16 passes for 216 yards with two touchdowns in a 38-30 win over California. USC is averaging a Pac-12-high 9.2 penalties and saw three touchdowns called back against the Golden Bears. Versatile safety Su'a Cravens has 14 tackles for loss to lead the Trojans, who rank second in the Pac-12 in scoring defense (23.3 points per game).

ABOUT NO. 12 UCLA (8-2 SU, 3-7 ATS, 4-5-1 O/U): Hundley has sparked the Bruins’ surge with five rushing scores in the last five games, while wide receiver Jordan Payton has a team-high 58 receptions and seven touchdowns. Running back Paul Perkins averages a league-high 6.2 yards per carry and ranks second behind USC’s Javorius Allen with an average of 117.2 yards on the ground. Linebacker Eric Kendricks has eight double-digit tackle games this season to lead the defense, which held Arizona to seven points two weeks ago.

TRENDS:

*Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
*Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
*Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
*Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in UCLA.


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 22


Rain, high winds expected for Penn State-Illinois

Mixed precipitation is expected to fall Friday through Saturday in Champaign causing field issues for the Penn State-Illinois game. Come kickoff, the weather is expected to be cloudy with an 80 percent chance of rain in the forecast with winds gusting as high as 28 mph.

The Fighting Illini are currently 6.5-point home dogs and the total sits at 45.5.


Rain/snow mix expected to affect Rutgers-MSU

East Lansing will not be the prettiest place for a football game Saturday. Throughout the morning the weather is expected to snow before turning into a snow/rain mix in the late hours of the morning. Rain is expected to continue to fall throughout the remainder of the afternoon for the Rutgers-Michigan State game.

The Spartans are currently 22-point home faves with a total resting at 57.


Kansas-Oklahoma play in possible thundershowers

Norman will certainly be seeing rain Saturday, but there is a possibility of thundershowers that could affect the Kansas-Oklahoma game. Rain is expected to start Friday evening and continue through the game Saturday, with a high humidity in the 97 percent range.

Rain is supposed to amount to 5-10 mm over the next 24 hours.

The Sooners are currently 25-point favorites with a total of 53.


Freezing rain in Western and Central Michigan

Central Michigan will host Western Michigan with Kelly/Shorts Stadium at least wet from rain, but temperatures are going to be near freezing in the morning causing chances of ice accumulation. Wind is not expected to affect the game severely, with winds consistently around 7 mph.

The game is currently a pick-em with a total of 52.5.


Well-rounded offense carrying Michigan State

The Michigan State Spartans have been a very balanced squad this season - a large reason why they're sitting at No. 9 in the country as the college football campaign begins to draw to a close.

The Spartans are averaging 245.9 yards rushing/game this year and 268.1 yards per game passing. Twelve different offensive players have accounted to score touchdowns for the squad, including 10 with at least two touchdowns.

Rutgers invades East Lansing for a date with Michigan State Saturday. The Crimson Nights are presently +22 road dogs with the total sitting at 57.


Marshall lighting up scoreboard this season

When you're preparing to watch a Marshall contest, there's one thing you're guaranteed to see: Offense.

The Thundering Herd rank No. 1 nationally with a 30.8-point scoring margin. They're also the only team in the FBS to score at least 35 points in each of its games this season.

Alabama-Birmingham welcomes Marshall into town in college football action Saturday. The Herd are listed as 20-point road faves with an O/U of 68 for the affair.


Georgia dominating non-SEC competition under Richt

To say Georgia has been dominant against teams outside of their own conference under the direction of head coach Mark Richt would be a massive understatement.

The Bulldogs are 54-10 straight up against squads from outside the SEC with Richt in charge, including a fantastic 38-1 record at home.

Richt's crew finds themselves at home against another non-SEC opponent Saturday - Charleston Southern. The line for the contest is currently off the board.


Close games becoming the norm for Minnesota

The Minnesota Golden Gophers have been participating in a lot of close games this season - something bettors backing the spread in their matchups need to be aware of.

Two of Minny's four Big Ten victories have been by seven or fewer points, while both of the Golden Gophers' conference losses have been by a touchdown or less.

No. 19 Nebraska welcomes Minnesota to town in Week 13 NCAAF action Saturday. The Cornhuskers are presently 10-point home faves for the affair.