Announcement

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 08:30 AM

NFL Opening Line Report: Saints favored in crucial Week 10 matchup

Week 10 of the NFL season features several contests among teams normally in the playoff hunt. But almost all those teams need to start winning games in a hurry to keep it going this year. San Francisco and New Orleans are both definitely in that boat for their Sunday meeting in the Big Easy.

The 49ers, who have reached three straight NFC championship games and advanced to the Super Bowl two seasons ago, are a lackluster 4-4 SU and ATS. San Fran was dealt a stunning home loss Sunday to St. Louis, tumbling 13-10 as a hefty 10.5-point favorite.

The Saints (4-4 SU and ATS) have been perennial NFC contenders with Drew Brees, but are plodding along in the mediocre NFC South this year. New Orleans comes in with a little more rest, having dispatched Carolina 28-10 last Thursday as a 3-point road fave.

John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu, made the Saints a 3.5-point favorite.

“New Orleans’ home-field edge is akin to Seattle's. It’s not worth as much, but it’s close,” Lester said. “With the extra prep time and the added pressure that they can’t afford to lose many more games, if any, the Saints had to be favored. However, I expect the Niners to give a huge effort here.”

New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks

New York won the Super Bowl three seasons ago. Seattle won it all last year. Both teams have some serious work to do just to get to the playoffs, let alone entertain Super Bowl thoughts.

The Seahawks (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS) had to battle to hold off Oakland on Sunday, winning 30-24 but falling well short as a 13.5-point home chalk. The Giants (3-4 SU and ATS) still have some work to do, capping off the Week 9 schedule as a 3-point underdog against visiting Indianapolis in the Monday night game.

“It’s a short week with lengthy travel for the Giants,” Lester said. “The Seahawks somewhat found their footing against Oakland. If New York beats Indy on Monday night, we’ll put the line somewhere north of a touchdown. If not, Seattle will be close to double-digit chalk.”

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-7)

Green Bay (5-3 SU, 4-3-1 ATS) is coming off its bye week, after getting flattened at New Orleans 44-23 catching two points on Oct. 26. That setback ended a stout 4-0 SU and ATS streak that began with a 38-17 blowout of Chicago as a 2-point road fave.

The Bears’ loss in that contest started their current 1-4 SU and ATS tailspin. Like the Pack, Chicago (3-5 SU and ATS) is coming off a bye following a blowout loss – the Bears got boatraced 51-23 at New England as 5.5-point dogs on Oct. 26.

“I don’t know if a bye week was enough to quell all of Chicago’s internal problems,” Lester said. “Meanwhile, the Packers have been stewing over that Saints loss for two weeks. I expect to see a motivated, and healthier, Green Bay bunch cruise in this one. We’re expecting to move past the key number at some point.”

Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles (-5.5)

Philadelphia’s solid season may be in some jeopardy after quarterback Nick Foles suffered an injury to his left (non-throwing) shoulder Sunday at Houston. Foles left late in the first quarter, but the Eagles (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) went on to a 31-21 victory laying 1.5 points.

Meanwhile, the Panthers (3-5-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) have dumped three in a row SU (1-2 ATS), including last Thursday’s 28-10 home loss to New Orleans as a 3-point pup.

“The difference between Foles and Mark Sanchez is somewhat significant, but in this offense, it won’t affect the numbers much," Lester said. "Carolina is having all kinds of problems offensively right now, and they might not be able to keep up here.”

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 08:30 AM

NFL line watch: Niners' return to run gives value to Under

Spread to bet now

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1)

Another Falcons season is circling the toilet and the only thing fans in Atlanta have to look forward to is the inevitable firing of coach Mike Smith. Smith had it going for a few seasons, but Atlanta has won just six of its last 24 games, and no coach can survive that kind of record in this zero-sum business.

The Falcons are 0-4 on the road this season and haven’t really been in a position to win any of its games away from home. Tampa Bay, on the other hand, has been competitive in most of its games and its points for/points against numbers are skewed by a couple of blowout losses – including one at Atlanta.

With the Bucs sitting at 1-7 and still a 1-point favorite, the line says more about the Falcons than it does about the Buccaneers. Eat the point here in basically a pick’em game.

Spread to wait on

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills (+1)

The Bills never seem to get much love from bettors and this game is no different. Early money has been solidly on the Chiefs, getting a point on the road, perhaps because Kansas City might have new life in the AFC West after the Chiefs gained a full game when they beat the Jets and the Broncos lost at New England Sunday.

The 5-3 Bills, though, are coming off their bye week and should be rested and ready for what could be a rare run to the playoffs. If money keeps coming in on the Chiefs the way it has early in the week, the line could melt to a pick and create a solid opportunity for Bills backers.

At any rate, the number is not likely to move to 1.5 or 2, so there’s no penalty in waiting this one out until at least later in the week.

Total to watch

San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints (50)

All of a sudden the 49ers can’t run the ball and the players are starting to snipe at each other. The Niners still have one of the best defenses in the league, but sit at 4-4 halfway into the season and three full games behind Arizona in the NFC West. There are also tons of questions about whether Colin Kaepernick is indeed the guy.

With all that in the mix, the last thing San Francisco needs is a shootout in New Orleans this Sunday. Expect the Niners to work all week on getting their running game back in order (they have just 142 yards on the ground in the last two games combined), which should help grease the skids for an Under play in this one.

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 08:32 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 10

Cleveland at Cincinnati
The Browns head to Cincinnati on Thursday night to face a Bengals team that is coming off a 32-22 win over the Jaguars on Sunday and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Cleveland is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bengals favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+6 1/2). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 6

Game 109-110: Cleveland at Cincinnati (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 129.807; Cincinnati 133.410
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 6 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+6 1/2); Over

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 9

Game 251-252: Dallas vs. Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.584; Jacksonville 122.394
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 10; 42
Vegas Line: Dallas by 7; 45
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-7); Under

Game 253-254: Miami at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 132.014; Detroit 136.631
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2 1/2); Over

Game 255-256: Kansas City at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 135.150; Buffalo 135.109
Dunkel Line: Even; 38
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+2 1/2); Under

Game 257-258: San Francisco at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 130.583; New Orleans 140.516
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 10; 52
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 4 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-4 1/2); Over

Game 259-260: Tennessee at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 124.461; Baltimore 132.098
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 7 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 10; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+10); Under

Game 261-262: Pittsburgh at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 136.865; NY Jets 126.557
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10; 41
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-4 1/2); Under

Game 263-264: Atlanta at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 126.873; Tampa Bay 123.345
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1 1/2); Over

Game 265-266: Denver at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 138.251; Oakland 128.722
Dunkel Line: Denver by 9 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Denver by 12 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+12 1/2);

Game 267-268: St. Louis at Arizona (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 130.971; Arizona 134.836
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 4; 46
Vegas Line: Arizona by 7 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+7 1/2); Over

Game 269-270: NY Giants at Seattle (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 125.497; Seattle 137.427
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 12; 41
Vegas Line: Seattle by 9; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-9); Under

Game 271-272: Chicago at Green Bay (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 124.022; Green Bay 137.678
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 13 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 7; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-7); Over

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 10

Game 273-274: Carolina at Philadelphia (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 129.712; Philadelphia 133.867
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 4; 52
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 6; 48
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+6); Over

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 08:36 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 10

Thursday, November 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (5 - 3) at CINCINNATI (5 - 2 - 1) - 11/6/2014, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 63-89 ATS (-34.9 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, November 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (6 - 3) vs. JACKSONVILLE (1 - 8) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (5 - 3) at DETROIT (6 - 2) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 34-56 ATS (-27.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
DETROIT is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (5 - 3) at BUFFALO (5 - 3) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
BUFFALO is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
BUFFALO is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 4) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-1 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (2 - 6) at BALTIMORE (5 - 4) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (6 - 3) at NY JETS (1 - 8) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 93-63 ATS (+23.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
NY JETS are 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
NY JETS are 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (2 - 6) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 7) - 11/9/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (6 - 2) at OAKLAND (0 - 8) - 11/9/2014, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (3 - 5) at ARIZONA (7 - 1) - 11/9/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 139-176 ATS (-54.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 139-176 ATS (-54.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 71-98 ATS (-36.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 101-138 ATS (-50.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ARIZONA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 3-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (3 - 4) at SEATTLE (5 - 3) - 11/9/2014, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (3 - 5) at GREEN BAY (5 - 3) - 11/9/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 159-114 ATS (+33.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, November 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (3 - 5 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 2) - 11/10/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 159-125 ATS (+21.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 08:37 AM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 10

Thursday, Nov. 6

Cleveland at Cincinnati, 8:25 ET
Cleveland: 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) in road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
Cincinnati: 63-89 ATS (-34.9 Units) versus division opponents

Sunday, Nov. 9

Dallas at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Dallas: 9-2 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games
Jacksonville: 1-8 ATS in non-conference games

Miami at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Miami: 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game
Detroit: 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) as a favorite

Kansas City at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 15-5 OVER (+9.5 Units) in road games off 3 or more consecutive unders
Buffalo: 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after allowing 150 or less passing yards in 2 straight games

San Francisco at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
San Francisco: 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game
New Orleans: 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games

Tennessee at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points
Baltimore: 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game

Pittsburgh at New York Jets, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game
NY Jets: 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games

Atlanta at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after 4 or more consecutive losses
Tampa Bay: 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents

Denver at Oakland, 4:05 ET
Denver: 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games
Oakland: 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games off a road loss

St Louis at Arizona, 4:25 ET
St Louis: 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Arizona: 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents

New York Giants at Seattle, 4:25 ET
NY Giants: 40-22 UNDER (+15.8 Units) off 2 or more consecutive overs
Seattle: 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a home win

Chicago at Green Bay, 8:30 ET
Chicago: 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games
Green Bay: 104-69 ATS (+28.1 Units) after playing their last game on the road

Monday, Nov. 10

Carolina at Philadelphia, 8:30 ET
Carolina: 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Philadelphia: 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 08:39 AM

NFL

Week 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, November 6

8:25 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CINCINNATI
Cleveland is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 12-2-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Sunday, November 9

1:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. TAMPA BAY
Atlanta is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta

1:00 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. BUFFALO
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Detroit is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. BALTIMORE
Tennessee is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tennessee's last 9 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games

1:00 PM
DALLAS vs. JACKSONVILLE
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. NY JETS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the NY Jets last 14 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Jets are 4-14 SU in their last 18 games when playing Pittsburgh

1:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NEW ORLEANS
San Francisco is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 11 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 11 games when playing at home against San Francisco

4:05 PM
DENVER vs. OAKLAND
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver

4:25 PM
NY GIANTS vs. SEATTLE
NY Giants are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
NY Giants are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games at home
Seattle is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games at home

4:25 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. ARIZONA
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Arizona is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing St. Louis

8:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. GREEN BAY
Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Monday, November 10

8:30 PM
CAROLINA vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Carolina's last 19 games
Carolina is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games ,
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 08:39 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Thursday
Browns (5-3) @ Bengals (5-2-1)—Cincy is 12-1-1 vs spread in last 14 home games, 9-1-1 in last 11 as home favorite; they won five of last seven series games, with home side winning last five. Browns lost last five visits here, losing by 9-2-3-7-21 points. Bengals scored 27-33 points in winning last two games; they’ve scored 20+ points in second half in three of last four games. Browns are 4-1 since their bye, 2-0 as road underdogs; only one of their three losses was by more than a FG. NFL-wide, home favorites in divisional games are 9-13 vs spread; dogs are 4-2 in AFC North games this season. Cleveland has eight takeaways (+8) in its last three games. Four of last five Bengal games went over total; last four Cleveland games stayed under.

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 08:46 AM

NFL

Thursday, November 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday Night Football: Browns at Bengals
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-6, 44.5)

Unbeaten at home, the Cincinnati Bengals look to maintain their grip on the AFC North Division lead when they host the Cleveland Browns on Thursday night. Cincinnati got back wide receiver A.J. Green in its win over Jacksonville last week and the receiver paid immediate dividends by snaring a touchdown catch. The Bengals are 13-0-1 at home in a streak that has spanned three seasons.

Despite a rushing game that has struggled mightily of late, the Browns have won two straight and four of their last five games and are in the thick of the division race. Cleveland, however, will have to break a long skid on road if it wants to climb into a tie atop the division as it has lost its last 17 AFC North games on the road. In fact, the last time the Browns won a division game away from home was in 2008 at Cincinnati.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: Most shops opened the Bengals -6. They have spent some time -6.5, but most books are dealing -6 again. The total has held at 44.5.

INJURY REPORT: Browns - WR Andrew Hawkins (Questionable, knee), TE Jordan Cameron (Questionable, concussion). Bengals - RB Gio Bernard (Questionable, hip), CB Leon Hall (Questionable, head), LB Vontaze Burfict (Out indefinitely, knee).

WEATHER: There is a 60 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 14 mph. Temperatures will be in the low-40s.

POWER RANKINGS: Browns (+2.75) + Bengals (-0.75) + home field (-3.0) = Bengals -6.5

ABOUT THE BENGALS (5-2-1 SU, 4-3-1 ATS, 4-4 O/U): Green caught three passes for 44 yards and had another touchdown nullified by penalty in his first game in a month since suffering a toe injury. Running back Giovani Bernard (ribs, shoulder) is questionable but his replacement, Jeremy Hill, rushed for 154 yards and a pair of scores last week. It will be an emotional night for defensive tackle Devon Still, whose daughter drew headlines with her battle with cancer and is expected to attend Thursday's game.

ABOUT THE BROWNS (5-3 SU, 4-2-2 ATS, 4-4 O/U): Lead back Ben Tate has rushed for just 65 yards in his past three games, prompting the Browns to re-evaluate its backfield roles. Terrance West actually had more touches than Tate last week and scored on a short pass in Cleveland's narrow win over Tampa Bay. The Browns have not recovered from the loss of center Alex Mack to a broken leg, but Brian Hoyer has continued to impress and threw for 300 yards and two scores against the Bucs.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Underdog is 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
* Bengals are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 home games.
* Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 62 percent of bets on this matchup are backing the Bengals.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 08:53 AM

Where the action is: Biggest midweek NFL Week 10 line moves

Believe it or not, Week 10 of the NFL season is this week. With the playoff races taking shape and teams turning up the intensity, bettors are tipping their hand as to which teams they have faith in.

We talk to Scott Kaminsky of TheGreek.com about the biggest line adjustments to the Week 10 odds and where those spread and totals could end up come kickoff:

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Dallas Cowboys – Open: OTB

Most books are keeping odds for this London, England showcase off the board until more is known about the status of Dallas quarterback Tony Romo, who traveled to the UK despite a broken back. The Cowboys will be favorites in this neutral-site game at Wembley Stadium, but by how many points will depend on Romo.

“Dallas -10 with him and -5 without him,” Kaminsky tells Covers. “Myself, I would lay about Dallas -7 with the fact that early reports sound like (Romo’s) going to play. I would take a flyer on him playing. But I think if he plays, its should probably be about nine points.”

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Open: -1, Move: Pick, Move: +1.5

This NFC South matchup could be the nail in the coffin for Falcons head coach Mike Smith. This line has jumped the fence at some markets, with money on Atlanta banking on the Falcons to come to their coach’s rescue off a bye week – a good spot for Smith, who is 5-1 SU off the bye in his tenure in Atlanta.

“I don’t know if I buy into (the Falcons playing for Smith),” says Kaminsky. “They should be motivated anyways. It should take something like that to motivate your team. I don’t even know how much they really like the guy.”

San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints – Open: -3.5, Move: -4.5

Action has bumped the spread for one of Sunday’s marquee matchups a full point at some books, with money coming in on New Orleans at home. The Saints are a completely different team inside the Superdome, where they’ve gone 35-16 ATS – 68 percent – in their last 51 home dates.

“Early money likes the Saints but we’re pretty even on this game,” says Kaminsky. “The first bet out of the box was on the dog but we moved to -4.5 even though some took +4, thinking this game will close at 4.5 or higher. I think 4.5 is about right.”

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers – Open: 52, Move: 53

The total is ticking upwards for this NFC North rivalry. Chicago’s defense has been miserable and now faces a high-powered Packers attack in Lambeau Field, where the early forecasts are calling for a chance of snow and temperatures dipping into the 20s.

“We opened 52 and less than an hour after posting it we went to 52.5,” says Kaminsky. “I was thinking they’d bet the Over and they did, so we’re at 53. I’m going to look at it again and will probably go up to 53.5. It seems like this year all these games that should go Over, are all going Over.”

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 12:10 PM

Matchup links are working again

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 01:12 PM

NFL

Thursday, November 6

Lots of weather in forecast for Thursday Night Football

The Cleveland Browns visit the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 10's edition of Thursday Night Football and there is some weather on tap you should be aware of before placing your bets for this AFC North showdown.

It's going to be a cool, wet night in Cincinnati with temperatures around 40 degrees and a 52 percent chance of rain during the game. There will also be a strong 13 mile per hour wind blowing from west to east throughout the game.

The Bengals are currently listed as 6-point home favorites with the total sitting at 44.5.

Faves dominant under Thursday night lights

Thursday night action has taken some abuse for being blow out this season, but lost in the shuffle of the mismatches is the dominant faves play. Through nine Thursday night games, the favorites are 7-2 against the spread.

The Cincinnati Bengals are currently 6.5-point home faves against the Cleveland Browns Thursday.

Bengals coach Lewis says Bernard won't play Thursday

Cincinnati Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis said running back Giovanni Bernard will not play Thursday night against the Cleveland Browns.

Lewis told SiriusXM NFL Radio that Bernard would not suit for the Bengals tonight after missing last weeks game against Jacksonville with a hip injury. Bernard is officially listed as doubtful on the injury report.

The Bengals are currently listed as 6-point home favorites and will turn to rookie Jeremy Hill to take over the starters duties once again. Hill ran for a career high 154 yards and two touchdowns last week.

**Udog** · 11-07-2014, 10:26 AM

Where the action is: Biggest midweek NFL Week 10 line moves

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Dallas Cowboys – Open: OTB

Most books are keeping odds for this London, England showcase off the board until more is known about the status of Dallas quarterback Tony Romo, who traveled to the UK despite a broken back. The Cowboys will be favorites in this neutral-site game at Wembley Stadium, but by how many points will depend on Romo.

“Dallas -10 with him and -5 without him,” Kaminsky tells Covers. “Myself, I would lay about Dallas -7 with the fact that early reports sound like (Romo’s) going to play. I would take a flyer on him playing. But I think if he plays, its should probably be about nine points.”

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Open: -1, Move: Pick, Move: +1.5

This NFC South matchup could be the nail in the coffin for Falcons head coach Mike Smith. This line has jumped the fence at some markets, with money on Atlanta banking on the Falcons to come to their coach’s rescue off a bye week – a good spot for Smith, who is 5-1 SU off the bye in his tenure in Atlanta.

“I don’t know if I buy into (the Falcons playing for Smith),” says Kaminsky. “They should be motivated anyways. It should take something like that to motivate your team. I don’t even know how much they really like the guy.”

San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints – Open: -3.5, Move: -4.5

Action has bumped the spread for one of Sunday’s marquee matchups a full point at some books, with money coming in on New Orleans at home. The Saints are a completely different team inside the Superdome, where they’ve gone 35-16 ATS – 68 percent – in their last 51 home dates.

“Early money likes the Saints but we’re pretty even on this game,” says Kaminsky. “The first bet out of the box was on the dog but we moved to -4.5 even though some took +4, thinking this game will close at 4.5 or higher. I think 4.5 is about right.”

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers – Open: 52, Move: 53

The total is ticking upwards for this NFC North rivalry. Chicago’s defense has been miserable and now faces a high-powered Packers attack in Lambeau Field, where the early forecasts are calling for a chance of snow and temperatures dipping into the 20s.

“We opened 52 and less than an hour after posting it we went to 52.5,” says Kaminsky. “I was thinking they’d bet the Over and they did, so we’re at 53. I’m going to look at it again and will probably go up to 53.5. It seems like this year all these games that should go Over, are all going Over.”

**Udog** · 11-07-2014, 10:28 AM

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills (+1.5, 41)

Chiefs’ third-down defense vs. Bills’ third-down offense

Keeping the chains moving will make the difference if this game is as tight as the spread indicates. And doing so may be tough for the Bills, who haven’t had much success on third down this season.

Buffalo has converted just under 36 percent of its third downs, including a dismal 3 for 12 on third down versus the Jets two weeks ago. Making life tougher on those key downs is the lack of a running game to keep the defense honest. The Bills are without third-down back C.J. Spiller and fellow RB Fred Jackson is questionable with a groin injury. Add to that rookie WR Sammy Watkins injured his groin in practice and Buffalo could be dealing with plenty of three-and-outs Sunday.

Kansas City is among the best in the league at turning away opponents on third down, with foes converting just under 33 percent of those tries. The Chiefs have been especially stingy in those spots the previous three games, holding teams to a 30.3 percent conversion rate on third down and just 3.3 third downs per game in that stretch.

Miami Dolphins at Detroit Lions (-2.5, 43.5)

Dolphins' kicking woes vs. Lions' red-zone defense

Miami is marching on a three-game SU and ATS winning streak and getting points in Motown Sunday afternoon. The Dolphins defense is playing well, the offense has erupted for 91 points the last three games – and only something as silly as kicking could throw a banana peel in front of the Fins.

Miami kicker Caleb Sturgis has been a sore spot in recent weeks. Sturgis, who ranks 23rd in accuracy going 16 for 20 on field goal attempts, has shanked three kicks in his last 10 attempts including a 45-yarder that went unnoticed in the blowout win over San Diego last Sunday. Sturgis was chewed out by head coach Joe Philbin for missing two FGs in Week 7 and Miami can’t afford to be missing points against one of the tougher stop units in the league.

Detroit ranks tops in the NFL in yards allowed, budging for only 290.4 yards a game. Things get even tighter when opponents actually fight their way inside the 20-yard line. The Lions have given up only 2.6 red-zone opportunities per game and have held foes out of the end zone on 47.62 percent of those chances. Detroit’s defense could force the Dolphins to turn to the shaky leg of Sturgis more than it would like Sunday.

St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals (-7, 43)

Rams’ wretched second halves vs. Cardinals’ closing ability

Arizona backers are used to sweating through the first half of games this season, with the Cardinals waiting until late to turn it on. Arizona has won four in a row SU and ATS thanks to its ability to land KO blows late in the game.

The Cardinals average just under two touchdowns per second half and 8.8 points per fourth quarter – third best in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, Arizona is giving up an average of only 4.2 points in the final frame and coming through big for bettors.

St. Louis has shown a tendency to start strong in recent games, then fizzle out as its lack of talent takes over. The Rams score 11.2 points in the first 30 minutes then drop off to 7.4 in the last two chapters. Things get even uglier on defense in the second half. St. Louis is handing out 16.8 points per second half – most in the NFL – including an average of more than eight points in the fourth quarter.

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-7.5, 52.5)

Bears’ grounded game plan vs. Packers’ poor run defense

When you think about Marc Trestman’s offense in Chicago, you think pass. A lot. The Bears have thrown the ball on 62.92 percent of their offensive snaps this season – fourth most in the league. But, against the rival Packers, Trestman defies convention and hits the ground running with a rush-heavy playbook.

In Trestman’s three games as Bears head coach versus Green Bay, Chicago has totaled 527 rushing yards on 98 carries – an average of 5.4 yards per run. The Bears have handed the ball off only 209 total times through eight games this season – an average of 26 runs per game – for just 4.2 yards per carry.

The Packers rank dead last in the league at defending the turf, getting bulldozed for 153.4 rushing yards per game. The Cheese Heads gave up 193 yards on the ground versus the Saints – not known for their rushing prowess – on Sunday Night Football in Week 8. Chicago is hoping to eat up as much clock as possible with the run game and leave Aaron Rodgers “Discount Double Checking” his watch on the sidelines.

**Udog** · 11-09-2014, 06:38 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Cowboys (6-3) vs Jaguars (1-8) (London)—Romo made trip across pond, figures to play after Weeden was 18-33/174 in dismal home loss to Arizona last week (Bryant’s first catch came with 1:55 left). Jaguars haven’t led at halftime since Week 1; in last five games, they’ve been outscored 48-26 in first half. Jags are 2-6-1 vs spread this season, 1-3-1 as road underdogs, 5-7-1 in 1.5 years under Bradley. Dallas is 11-29-1 as a favorite under Garrett, 4-7-1 on road; last week was first time this year Murray ran for less than 100 yards. Cowboys lost last two games after 6-1 start; they’re 2-3 overall vs Jaguars, with four of five games played in Dallas. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 5-5 vs spread; AFC South underdogs are 5-7. Four of last five Jax games stayed under.

Dolphins (5-3) @ Lions (6-2)—Detroit won last three games before its bye, last two by one point each; they were down 21-0 last game, 23-10 with 4:00 left in game before that, so they’re finding ways to win and now they expect back Johnson/Bush back for this game, with Bush facing old team. Miami also won its last three games, thrashing San Diego 27-0 last week; they’ve won last three road games, all by 13+ points and won five of last six games with Lions, but last visit to Motor City was in ’06. Miami is 5-3 in its last eight games as a road underdog. Detroit is 2-2 as a home favorite in ’14. AFC East non-divisional underdogs are 6-4 vs spread; NFC North home favorites are 3-5. Last seven Lion games, last three Miami games stayed under total.

Chiefs (5-3) @ Bills (5-3)—Chiefs are 3-0 since their bye, scoring 27 ppg; they’ve covered last seven games, are 2-2 SU on road, losing to Broncos/49ers. KC lost five of last seven games vs Buffalo, but won fluky 23-13 game (-4) here LY; they were outgained 470-210, but were +3 in turnovers, with two of three miscues run back for Chief TDs. Not many NFL teams run for 241 yards and lose, but Bills did that day. Bills won three of last four games before their bye, with two wins in last minute; they’re 2-2 SU at home, 3-1 with Orton the starting QB. Buffalo has 17 sacks in its last four games, Chiefs have 15. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 7-3 vs spread; AFC East underdogs are 6-4. Last four Chief games, six of eight Buffalo tilts stayed under.

49ers (4-4) @ Saints (4-4)—49ers lost last two games, scoring three TD’s on 23 drives; their 3.8 points/red zone drive is worst in NFL (eight empty trips out of 25, only 11 TDs). Niners are 2-2 on road, with three of those games (2-1) in dome; they’re 4-0 when scoring 22+ points, 0-4 when scoring less. NO had extra time to prep after Thursday win in Carolina; they’re 3-0 at home, winning by 11-6-21 points while scoring 33.7 ppg (12 TD’s/29 drives). Saints won seven of last nine series games, with three of last four decided by 4 or less points; Niners lost five of last six series games here, plus they also lost Super Bowl to the Ravens on this field- they’re 6-4-1 as road underdogs under Harbaugh, 0-1 this year. Six of eight 49er games stayed under total.

Titans (2-6) @ Ravens (5-4)—First road start for rookie QB Mettenberger (27-41/290 in first start, 30-16 home loss to Houston); Titans are 2-2 as road underdogs, losing by 26-24-2 points. Since ’06, they’re 26-19 as road dogs. Ravens gave up 70 points in losing last two games to AFC North rivals; they’re 3-1 as home favorites this year, winning last three at home by 20-28-22 points. Baltimore only has one division game left; they’re 3-1 vs spread outside division. Last 10+ years, Ravens are 28-13-1 as non-divisional home favorite (12-14-1 in division). Road team won four of last six series games, with Titans winning last two visits here, but last one was in ’08. Over is 4-1 in last five Tennessee games, 5-2 in last seven Baltimore games.

Steelers (6-3) @ Jets (1-8)—Big Ben is first-ever QB to throw 12 TD passes in two-game span, but Steelers are 2-2 away from home, scoring 17 or less in three of four games, only one of which (26-6 loss in Baltimore) was on carpet. Since ’09, Pitt is 8-11-1 vs spread on artificial turf. Steelers are 19-4 overall vs Jets, winning last three by 5-17-13 points. Gang Green lost last eight games; they’re lost at QB, using Matt Simms for while last week. Jets forced only three turnovers all year, none in last four games (-8). Last six series games played here, average total was 22.6. Last three Steeler games, three of last four Jet games went over the total. Weird things happen in NFL, but if you bet Jets in this game, you’re a masochist.

Falcons (2-6) @ Buccaneers (1-7)—Atlanta is 9-3 in last 12 series games, last of which was 56-14 (-6.5) pounding in Week 3 Thursday tilt, last game Glennon didn’t start for Bucs. Falcons had punt return for TD, a defensive score and three TD drives of less than 40 yards in game that was 35-nil at half- they’re 3-2 in last five visits here, with three of last four decided by 4 or less points. Last week was first time Bucs led at half; they’ve been blanked in four of eight first halves, are 0-4 at home, scoring 17 or less points in all four games. Last three Atlanta games stayed under total; they’re 1-7-1 vs spread in last nine NFC South road games. Bucs been more competitive since their bye, losing in OT to Vikings, 22-17 in Cleveland last week.

Broncos (6-2) @ Raiders (0-8)—Denver is 6-1 vs spread in game following a loss with Manning at QB; they got riddled in Foxboro last week, but have beaten Raiders five times in row, all by 13+ points. Denver won last three visits here by 14-13-20 points. Broncos are 12-6 as road favorites under Fox, 1-1 this year; in 27 red zone drives, they have 22 TDs, 4 FGs, one empty trip, by far best mark in NFL. Oakland hasn’t won but none of last four losses (four games Sparano coached) were by more than 11 points; Raiders are 6-12-1 in last 19 games as home underdogs, 1-2 this year. Second half last week was only second half Oakland outscored foe this year. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 7-9 against spread this season. Last five Denver games went over.

Rams (3-5) @ Cardinals (7-1)—Third road game in row for St Louis, traditional soft spot for NFL teams; Rams are just 7-23 on 3rd down last two games- their passing game misses Quick, their best WR. Fisher’s teams compete; Rams are 3-1 as road dogs this year, 12-8 in 2.5 years under Fisher. Last time Arizona was 7-1 was 40 years ago when Don Coryell was coaching the St Louis Cardinals; they’ve won/covered last four games, are 1-1 as home favorites this year, winning all four home games by 11-9-10-4 points- they’re 4-2-1 as home favorites under Arians, and have +10 turnover ratio. Rams won three of last four series games, splitting last four played here, with losses by 6-20 points; Last three Arizona games stayed under total.

Giants (3-5) @ Seahawks (5-3)—Nothing’s been easy for Seattle; they led winless Oakland 24-3 at half last week, but allowed punt block for TD and wound up hanging on for 30-24 win. Seahawks are 0-4 vs spread in last four games, winning last two by 4-6 points; they hammered Giants 23-0 in Swamp LY, picking off five passes, holding Giants to 181 yards, but their defense hasn’t been as dominant this year. Giants are 1-3 as road underdogs this year, losing away games by 21-27-10 points, with win at Washington. Giants won last visit here 41-7 in ’10, their one win in last five trips to Seattle. NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 7-2 vs spread; NFC East road underdogs are 3-4. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Giant games, 3-1 in last four Seattle tilts.

Bears (3-5) @ Packers (5-3)—Green Bay won/covered its last five post-bye games. Rodgers tweaked his hamstring in game before bye; no way of knowing if he is 100%. Green Bay is 5-0 on grass, 0-3 on turf, 2-1 as home favorites- they’re 25-15 in last 40 games as HF, with home wins this year by 7-32-21 points. Chicago lost four of last five games before its bye; they’re 0-5 when allowing 23+ points, 3-0 when allowing 20 or less. Bears are 3-6 as road underdogs under Trestman, 2-2 this year. Packers won eight of last nine series games, winning five of last six here (Rodgers was KO’d early in Bears’ win here LY), with three of five wins by 13+ points. Favorites are 5-0 vs spread in NFC North divisional games. Last five Packer games and four of last six Chicago games went over the total.

Panthers (3-5-1) @ Eagles (6-2)-- Sanchez gets first start at QB for Philly after Foles broke collarbone last week; he was 33-29 in four years as starter for Jets. Since 2010, Eagles are 11-19 as home favorites, 5-7 under Kelly, 2-2 this year, winning home games by 17-3-6-27 points. Philly turned ball over 16 times in last five games (-9) prompting rumors Eagle brass was souring on Foles even before he got hurt. Carolina is 1-5-1 in last seven games after its 2-0 start; they’ve lost last three games by 21-4-18 points, are 2-2 as road dog, losing away games by 28-21 points, with win at Tampa, tie in Cincinnati. Panthers have one TD, four turnovers in last two games. NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 3-4; NFC road underdogs are 4-5. Last three Carolina road games went over total.

Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 10 (Thursday, November 6 - Monday, November 10)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 10 (Thursday, November 6 - Monday, November 10)

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment