Week 11 NCAA Plays

[capping-guru]

I will update record later, I post at other sites and couldnt get around to posting all plays here so my record will fluctuate from other sites. I dont want to put down fudged numbers. Regardless, Saturday was a grind!

UConn -3 for 3 Units
Army is just miserable! What a horrible team and Huskies have really improved the last 2 games, giving ECU all they could handle and then knocking off UCF. HC Bob Diaco finally has the players buying into his system and I think we are looking at the Huskies winning my double digits. Huskies OL has really stood out to me of late and this will be huge when playing a run oriented team.

[capping-guru]

Texas +4 for 3 Units
WV off such a huge emotional/physical loss to TCU and go on the road to face a very hungry Longhorns team. Line is quite low considering where both teams are at. As a few have said, 2 wins in their next 3 to become bowl eligible. Lots of motivation for Texas here. Love the play of their D the last few weeks, so if offense can ever get it together, they could very well pull the upset.

[capping-guru]

MSU -3 and ASU -1.5 have me thinking big time. I welcome your discussion on these two games.

MSU on National TV and Gameday coming to town, yet they are only a FG fav. Honestly line smells. A banged up Barrett at QB for OSU and this line seems far too low for me. Too much of a gimme. If it was 4.5 or 5 I would jump on it, but this line has me scared. Urban can flat out coach and the Buckeyes can run and pass the ball, score points at will sometimes. Spartans offense has its hiccups. Thoughts?

ASU on the other hand have had 10k empty seats, expect them to be filled by Irish fans. The Irish fan base in AZ is huge! ASU is usually a solid home fav, last week prime example, -6.5 over Utah who were playing their best ball of the year. Yet this line is only -1.5. Seems a tad low as well. I was leaning ASU as I think Jalean Strong gives the Irish secondary match up problems plus the Devils up tempo offense will give the Irish D fits too. But......a big but.......Irish offense is going to eat up the ASU D in my eyes. I look for ASU to start out quick at home but if they dont pull away enough in that first half, then ND wins this game and turns it on in the 2nd half. Taylor Kelly hasnt been particularly good since returning, good for 1 INT per game. DJ Foster at RB is the type of back that the Irish excel at stopping on the ground. Irish WR's and TE's will cause ASU D match up problems and Golson is the better of the two starting QB's that will take to the field in Tempe. Temps in low 80's so heat wont be a big issue.

Thoughts?

[capping-guru]

ND has the better QB, but defensively is my concern more than ever with ND. They lost LB Joe Schmidt for the season. When he left the game, the ND defense really collapsed. Reason being he is the play caller on the defensive side of the ball. After he left the game, Brian Kelly said they went with one defense the rest of the game.......extremely vanilla and Kelly is undecided on who will call the defensive signals. Freshman, 4 star recruit takes Schmidt's place. For me, right now.......its ASU or bust.

[capping-guru]

Kent St. +13.5 for 2 Units - Tuesday night play
Key number, so going the other way. Huge money coming in on fav here and I love double digit conf. home dogs in these primetime games. No way I couldnt bit. Been too many MAC games this year where double digit favs just havent covered.

[Dr. Bubba]

>...as I think Jalean Strong gives the Irish secondary match up problems plus the Devils up tempo offense will give the Irish D fits too. But......a big but.......Irish offense is going to eat up the ASU D in my eyes.
>....Irish WR's and TE's will cause ASU D match up problems
>... Temps in low 80's so heat wont be a big issue.

Over the total?

[KazDog]

It's hard as hell for any team to win at a Pac12 stadium. I don't know why, but the Pac12 teams at home are really tough to beat. If there are Pac12 officials doing this game, I'd take ASU over the Fighting Padres.....

[jcindaville]

I don't understand the line on mich st either. It's enough for me to pass on the game or tease the buckeyes up to 10 if I play it

[capping-guru]

Over the total?

Oh yes when the line comes out! GL

[capping-guru]

It's hard as hell for any team to win at a Pac12 stadium. I don't know why, but the Pac12 teams at home are really tough to beat. If there are Pac12 officials doing this game, I'd take ASU over the Fighting Padres.....

Great point, home cooking doesnt hurt and I really find ND doesnt get the calls when its PAC12 officials over the years. GL!

[capping-guru]

I don't understand the line on mich st either. It's enough for me to pass on the game or tease the buckeyes up to 10 if I play it

I have been doing alot of number crunching on this one and I will have a play on this end of the week. GL!

[capping-guru]

Ball St. +3 for 2 Units - Wednesday night play
Huge public money on NIU, and they have lost their last 5 ATS. Give me the home team again in the MAC in a primetime game.

[capping-guru]

WF +22.5 for 2 Units - Thursday night play
Clemson doesnt blow out anyone in conference........ok NC St. lol. But look at Clemson on the road, lost at UGA and FSU, squeaked by BC by 4 pts. QB Stoudt cant throw the deep ball and the Tigers will play mega conservative yet again on the road. This is the Deacons bowl game! Getting over 3TDs at home over a conf. foe. I will take it!

[jcindaville]

Kent St. +13.5 for 2 Units - Tuesday night play
Key number, so going the other way. Huge money coming in on fav here and I love double digit conf. home dogs in these primetime games. No way I couldnt bit. Been too many MAC games this year where double digit favs just havent covered.

Good job Guru!!

[capping-guru]

Good job Guru!!

Thanks! Hoping for Ball St. to turn it around here.