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  • Da Bum's College Football Best Bets-Trends-News Etc. !

    Mid-Major Money: Big profits from NCAAF small conferences

    Team to watch: Colorado State Rams (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS)

    This week: -6.5 at San Jose State

    Don’t be fooled by the fact that San Jose State boasts the nation’s leading pass defense. After all, it just faced a Navy team that attempted eight passes. The Spartans have not yet played an opponent that has more pass attempts than rushes on the season.

    Head coach Ron Caragher basically admitted in his most recent press conference that his team has not been tested through the air. That may not be a good thing when the trend suddenly changes against Colorado State. The Rams’ feature senior quarterback Garrett Grayson, who earned Mountain West Offensive Player of the Week honors after CSU’s 45-31 win over Wyoming last Saturday. He leads the Mountain West with 2,456 passing yards and 21 touchdowns.

    If SJSU wants to keep the Rams’ offense off the field, it won’t be helped in that effort with the two running backs expected to lead the way heading into this season on the sideline. Jarrod Lawson is suspended and Thomas Tucker is out for the year with a foot injury.


    Team to beware: Army Black Knights (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS)

    This week: +3.5 vs. Air Force

    Army has some well-documented issues on its hands heading into this weekend’s home game against Air Force. A recent scandal emerged when it was reported that a recruiting trip in January included alcohol, women, and the general VIP treatment in order to impress possible incoming freshman. Starting quarterback Angel Santiago was allegedly among those involved.

    A spokeswoman said the institution is coming down hard on the cadets with administrative punishments, but will not affect anyone athletically. Santiago and everyone else is expected to be on the field this Saturday.

    It’s not like Army needs any distractions, either. It has lost two in a row by at least 20 points and fell 48-28 last season at Air Force. The Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last eight trips to West Point.


    Total team: Georgia Southern Eagles (6-2 SU, 5-3 O/U)

    This week: vs. Troy

    The college football week begins on Thursday with Georgia Southern vs. Troy (and FSU at Louisville, which also kicks off at 7:30 p.m.). Scoring should come in bunches in Statesboro, where the Eagles are coming off a 69-31 rout of Georgia State last Saturday. Behind an offensive line that has been awesome all season, six different GSU players scored rushing touchdowns and three had at least 12 carries.

    It will be short week of preparation for both teams, which generally tends to hurt more on the defensive side of the ball. Troy at least got to play last Friday instead of Saturday (lost to South Alabama 27-13) but will have to travel on Wednesday—albeit a short distance. The over is 5-2 in the Eagles’ last seven overall and 4-0 in the Trojans’ last four Thursday games.

  • #2
    NCAAF opening line report: Championship hopes on the line in Auburn-Ole Miss

    The Southeastern Conference is almost inarguably the best college football conference in all the land. But if it keeps eating its own on a weekly basis, who knows what will be left when it comes time to decide which four teams will make the first-ever playoff.

    Auburn at Mississippi (-3)

    As we head into Week 10, all eyes will be on Oxford, Miss., where No. 9 Ole Miss will host No. 4 Auburn, with the loser almost certainly out of the national championship picture. That’s because the Rebels (7-1, 6-1-1 ATS) lost for the first time this season – SU or ATS – on Saturday at Louisiana State, dropping a defensive showdown 10-7 as a 4-point chalk.

    Meanwhile, Auburn (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) bounced back from its loss at Mississippi State, holding off South Carolina 42-35 while failing to cash as a massive 18.5-point favorite.

    “We’ll see how Ole Miss handles the emotional letdown,” said John Lester, lines manager for bookmaker.eu. “My guess is the defense will do its part again, but as I’ve said before, (quarterback) Bo Wallace is a liability. Auburn comes in with a full head of steam, but the prime-time, home-field edge for the Rebs gave them the nod.”


    Florida State Seminoles at Louisville Cardinals (+6.5)

    Defending national champion Florida State is certainly now in a great spot. The No. 2 Seminoles, coming off a bye week after fending off Notre Dame 31-27 in a thriller, stand at 7-0 SU. However, to their discredit, they failed to cash against the Irish as 9.5 point home faves and are just 1-6 ATS – tied for the second-worst mark in the nation at the betting window.

    Louisville (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) has also had an extra week to rest, after beating North Carolina State 30-18 laying 19 points at home.

    “Both teams are coming off open dates, and this is the type of sneaky win Bobby Petrino can pull off,” Lester said. “It will be interesting to see how efficient Florida State’s offense will be against a much-improved Louisville defense.”


    Stanford Cardinal at Oregon Ducks (-11)

    With all the bloodletting in the SEC, Oregon (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) could certainly find its way into the four-team playoff. Since a stunning home loss to Arizona, the No. 6 Ducks have won and cashed three in a row, with their offense going haywire Friday night in a 59-41 victory at California to barely cash as a 17.5-point favorite.

    Stanford (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) has been inconsistent at best, but has gone 4-1 SU and ATS at home, including a 38-14 rout of Oregon State giving 12 points Saturday.

    “This is always a great matchup, because Stanford’s defense always comes in prepared,” Lester said. “I’m pretty sure the defense will keep the Cardinal in the game, but you certainly can’t trust the Stanford offense. It just feels like it’s lost some of the identity and creativity it once had.”


    Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs (neutral site – Jacksonville, -13)

    The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party resumes at its usual site in Jacksonville, and Georgia (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) is now in a position to climb back into the playoff picture. Since losing at South Carolina, the No. 8 Bulldogs have won five in a row (3-2 ATS), including Saturday’s 45-32 victory at Arkansas laying 3 points.

    Florida coach Will Muschamp, meanwhile, is trying to give the school a reason not to fire him. The Gators (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) had a bye this past weekend, after losing back-to-back home games to LSU and Missouri. Against the Tigers, Florida got lambasted 42-13 as a 6.5-point dog.

    “With the state the Gators are in, we had to be generous on Georgia’s side here,” Lester said. “I just don’t think Florida’s offense will be able to move the chains. Gator fans should have plenty of cocktails prepared, because this one isn’t going to be close."

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAF line watch: Best wait late to fade 7-0 ATS TCU

      Spread to bet now

      Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas State Wildcats (-13.5)

      Kansas State opened as 13-point home favorites over Oklahoma State, but expect this line to tick up at least to the key number of 14. The Wildcats were in a terrible situational spot last Saturday after upsetting Oklahoma on the road the week before, but they still came to play and beat Texas 23-0.

      Oklahoma State is finally struggling like many thought it would at the beginning of the season. The Cowboys have lost back-to-back games by a combined score of 76-19. They’ve shown nothing that indicates they can turn things around, especially against a good team like Kansas State.

      It would be wise to lay the points now with Kansas State before the line goes up to and possibly higher than the key number of 14.


      Spread to wait on

      TCU Horned Frogs at West Virginia Mountaineers (+6)

      Texas Christian was originally posted as a 4-point road favorite at West Virginia, and the early money quickly came in on the Horned Frogs, moving the line up to -6. I expect the line to go up some more, especially when the public bettors get involved.

      Texas Christian comes in off an incredible 82-27 home win over Texas Tech. The Horned Frogs are a perfect 7-0 ATS this season, so they are sure to attract public money in this game. West Virginia has been undervalued all season by the oddsmakers and bettors alike, and it’s the case once again in this contest.

      The home dog Mountaineers hold the value in this game and it will be greater closer to kick off.


      Total to watch

      Northwestern Wildcats at Iowa Hawkeyes (46.5)

      Northwestern and Iowa are two teams built the same way. Both teams have conservative coaches that prefer to play ball control and win with their defense. The Wildcats are only averaging 20.9 points per game on just 4.6 yards per play this season. The Hawkeyes are averaging 27 points per game on 5.1 yards per play.

      Both defenses have played above average football this year. Northwestern is allowing only 20.4 points per game on 5.1 yards per play versus offenses averaging 29.4 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. Iowa is allowing just 21.9 points per game on 5.2 yards per play versus opponents averaging 28.1 points per game on 5.4 yards per play.

      There will be value on the Under if the oddsmakers keep this total at 45 or higher.

      Comment


      • #4
        Mid-Major Money: Big profits from NCAAF small conferences

        Team to watch: Colorado State Rams (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS)

        This week: -6.5 at San Jose State

        Don’t be fooled by the fact that San Jose State boasts the nation’s leading pass defense. After all, it just faced a Navy team that attempted eight passes. The Spartans have not yet played an opponent that has more pass attempts than rushes on the season.

        Head coach Ron Caragher basically admitted in his most recent press conference that his team has not been tested through the air. That may not be a good thing when the trend suddenly changes against Colorado State. The Rams’ feature senior quarterback Garrett Grayson, who earned Mountain West Offensive Player of the Week honors after CSU’s 45-31 win over Wyoming last Saturday. He leads the Mountain West with 2,456 passing yards and 21 touchdowns.

        If SJSU wants to keep the Rams’ offense off the field, it won’t be helped in that effort with the two running backs expected to lead the way heading into this season on the sideline. Jarrod Lawson is suspended and Thomas Tucker is out for the year with a foot injury.


        Team to beware: Army Black Knights (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS)

        This week: +3.5 vs. Air Force

        Army has some well-documented issues on its hands heading into this weekend’s home game against Air Force. A recent scandal emerged when it was reported that a recruiting trip in January included alcohol, women, and the general VIP treatment in order to impress possible incoming freshman. Starting quarterback Angel Santiago was allegedly among those involved.

        A spokeswoman said the institution is coming down hard on the cadets with administrative punishments, but will not affect anyone athletically. Santiago and everyone else is expected to be on the field this Saturday.

        It’s not like Army needs any distractions, either. It has lost two in a row by at least 20 points and fell 48-28 last season at Air Force. The Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last eight trips to West Point.


        Total team: Georgia Southern Eagles (6-2 SU, 5-3 O/U)

        This week: vs. Troy

        The college football week begins on Thursday with Georgia Southern vs. Troy (and FSU at Louisville, which also kicks off at 7:30 p.m.). Scoring should come in bunches in Statesboro, where the Eagles are coming off a 69-31 rout of Georgia State last Saturday. Behind an offensive line that has been awesome all season, six different GSU players scored rushing touchdowns and three had at least 12 carries.

        It will be short week of preparation for both teams, which generally tends to hurt more on the defensive side of the ball. Troy at least got to play last Friday instead of Saturday (lost to South Alabama 27-13) but will have to travel on Wednesday—albeit a short distance. The over is 5-2 in the Eagles’ last seven overall and 4-0 in the Trojans’ last four Thursday games.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF
          Dunkel

          Week 10

          SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 1

          Game 311-312: Notre Dame at Navy (8:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 98.079; Navy 85.833
          Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 12; 62
          Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 15 1/2; 56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Navy (+15 1/2); Over

          Game 313-314: Boston College at Virginia Tech (12:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 85.632; Virginia Tech 91.194
          Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 5 1/2; 46
          Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 3; 42
          Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-3); Over

          Game 315-316: East Carolina at Temple (12:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 95.666; Temple 85.089
          Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 10 1/2; 62
          Vegas Line: East Carolina by 7; 58 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-7); Over

          Game 317-318: Central Florida at Connecticut (12:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 90.644; Connecticut 80.457
          Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 10; 35
          Vegas Line: Central Florida 12 1/2; 39
          Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+12 1/2); Under

          Game 319-320: Wisconsin at Rutgers (12:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 102.964; Rutgers 88.674
          Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 14 1/2; 48
          Vegas Line: No Line
          Dunkel Pick: N/A

          Game 321-322: NC State at Syracuse (3:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: NC State 86.814; Syracuse 88.361
          Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 1 1/2; 38
          Vegas Line: Syracuse by 3 1/2; 51
          Dunkel Pick: NC State (+3 1/2); Under

          Game 323-324: Duke at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Duke 89.105; Pittsburgh 95.225
          Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6; 62
          Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 51
          Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-2 1/2); Over

          Game 325-326: Maryland at Penn State (12:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 87.859; Penn State 88.344
          Dunkel Line: Even; 55
          Vegas Line: Penn State by 4; 48
          Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+4); Over

          Game 327-328: North Carolina at Miami (FL) (12:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 89.286; Miami (FL) 98.760
          Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 9 1/2; 60
          Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 17 1/2; 70 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+17 1/2); Under

          Game 329-330: Georgia State at Appalachian State (3:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 55.492; Appalachian State 77.090
          Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 21 1/2; 63
          Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 7 1/2; 70
          Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (-7 1/2); Under

          Game 331-332: Air Force at Army (11:30 a.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 72.298; Army 71.316
          Dunkel Line: Air Force by 1; 65
          Vegas Line: Air Force by 3 1/2; 56
          Dunkel Pick: Army (+3 1/2); Over

          Game 333-334: Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 84.275; Eastern Michigan 54.879
          Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 19 1/2; 61
          Vegas Line: No Line
          Dunkel Pick: N/A

          Game 335-336: Northwestern at Iowa (12:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 94.172; Iowa 93.596
          Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 1; 43
          Vegas Line: Iowa by 4 1/2; 42
          Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+4 1/2); Over

          Game 337-338: Texas at Texas Tech (7:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Texas 90.130; Texas Tech 82.514
          Dunkel Line: Texas by 7 1/2; 52
          Vegas Line: No Line
          Dunkel Pick: N/A

          Game 339-340: Purdue at Nebraska (3:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 86.209; Nebraska 106.672
          Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 20 1/2; 53
          Vegas Line: Nebraska by 24; 61 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+24); Under

          Game 341-342: Kansas at Baylor (4:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 72.992; Baylor 112.617
          Dunkel Line: Baylor by 39 1/2; 66
          Vegas Line: Baylor by 35 1/2; 62
          Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-35 1/2); Over

          Game 343-344: Western Michigan at Miami (OH) (2:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 79.407; Miami (OH) 70.364
          Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 9; 53
          Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 6 1/2; 56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-6 1/2); Under

          Game 345-346: Auburn at Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 109.935; Mississippi 108.840
          Dunkel Line: Auburn by 1; 58
          Vegas Line: Mississippi by 2 1/2; 50
          Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+2 1/2); Over

          Game 347-348: Kentucky at Missouri (4:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 95.899; Missouri 96.211
          Dunkel Line: Even; 57
          Vegas Line: Missouri by 6 1/2; 49 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+6 1/2); Over

          Game 349-350: Arkansas at Mississippi State (7:15 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 101.437; Mississippi State 115.324
          Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 14; 58
          Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 10 1/2; 64 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-10 1/2); Under

          Game 351-352: Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech (3:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 79.871; Louisiana Tech 83.150
          Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 3 1/2; 65
          Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 6 1/2; 70 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+6 1/2); Under

          Game 353-354: UL-Monroe at Texas A&M (12:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 63.443; Texas A&M 105.919
          Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 42 1/2; 64
          Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 32; 58 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-32); Over

          Game 355-356: BYU at Middle Tennessee State (3:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: BYU 88.818; Middle Tennessee State 81.101
          Dunkel Line: BYU by 7 1/2; 48
          Vegas Line: BYU by 3; 64 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: BYU (-3); Under

          Game 357-358: Tennessee at South Carolina (7:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 95.724; South Carolina 95.916
          Dunkel Line: Even; 64
          Vegas Line: South Carolina by 8; 56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+8); Over

          Game 359-360: Florida vs. Georgia (3:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Florida 84.922; Georgia 110.753
          Dunkel Line: Georgia by 26; 48
          Vegas Line: Georgia by 12 1/2; 51 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-12 1/2); Under

          Game 361-362: USC at Washington State (4:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: USC 102.392; Washington State 99.583
          Dunkel Line: USC by 3; 57
          Vegas Line: USC by 7; 64 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+7); Under

          Game 363-364: Stanford at Oregon (7:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 104.690; Oregon 109.032
          Dunkel Line: Oregon by 4 1/2; 58
          Vegas Line: Oregon by 9 1/2; 54 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+9 1/2); Over

          Game 365-366: Oklahoma at Iowa State (12:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 107.036; Iowa State 87.242
          Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 20; 53
          Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 16; 62 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-16); Under

          Game 367-368: Oklahoma State at Kansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 91.270; Kansas State 108.158
          Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 17; 63
          Vegas Line: Kansas State by 14; 52
          Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-14); Over

          Game 369-370: Indiana at Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 83.044; Michigan 87.371
          Dunkel Line: Michigan by 4 1/2; 68
          Vegas Line: Michigan by 7; 53 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+7); Over

          Game 371-372: Virginia at Georgia Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 88.832; Georgia Tech 96.104
          Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 7 1/2; 59
          Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 3; 56
          Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-3); Over

          Game 373-374: Arkansas State at Idaho (5:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 75.593; Idaho 65.716
          Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 10; 66
          Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 15; 63
          Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+15); Over

          Game 375-376: South Alabama at UL-Lafayette (5:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 69.030; UL-Lafayette 85.236
          Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 16; 73
          Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 6 1/2; 55
          Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-6 1/2); Over

          Game 377-378: Old Dominion at Vanderbilt (7:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 69.804; Vanderbilt 73.868
          Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 4; 54
          Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 8; 61
          Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+8); Under

          Game 379-380: Rice at Florida International (12:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Rice 85.176; Florida International 76.302
          Dunkel Line: Rice by 9; 46
          Vegas Line: Rice by 5 1/2; 50 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Rice (-5 1/2); Under

          Game 381-382: Washington at Colorado (1:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Washington 91.654; Colorado 90.143
          Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 54
          Vegas Line: Washington by 4 1/2; 60
          Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+4 1/2); Under

          Game 383-384: California at Oregon State (10:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: California 89.266; Oregon State 89.320
          Dunkel Line: Even; 63
          Vegas Line: Oregon State by 3; 67 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: California (+3); Under

          Game 385-386: Arizona at UCLA (10:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 95.155; UCLA 104.255
          Dunkel Line: UCLA by 9; 64
          Vegas Line: UCLA by 6; 70 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-6); Under

          Game 387-388: Colorado State at San Jose State (7:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 86.749; San Jose State 82.062
          Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 4 1/2; 64
          Vegas Line: Colorado State by 7; 54
          Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+7); Over

          Game 389-390: Utah at Arizona State (11:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Utah 96.672; Arizona State 106.508
          Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 10; 51
          Vegas Line: Arizona State by 5; 56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:: Arizona State (-5); Under

          Game 391-392: TCU at West Virginia (3:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: TCU 115.149; West Virginia 106.662
          Dunkel Line: TCU by 8 1/2; 66
          Vegas Line: TCU by 5; 72 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: TCU (-5); Under

          Game 393-394: Houston at South Florida (4:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Houston 90.794; South Florida 83.395
          Dunkel Line: Houston by 7 1/2; 56
          Vegas Line: Houston by 10; 44
          Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+10); Over

          Game 395-396: UAB at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: UAB 77.911; Florida Atlantic 78.980
          Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 1; 67
          Vegas Line: No Line
          Dunkel Pick: N/A

          Game 397-398: Southern Mississippi at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 70.969; UTEP 84.710
          Dunkel Line: UTEP by 13 1/2; 64
          Vegas Line: UTEP by 6 1/2; 59
          Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-6 1/2); Over

          Game 399-400: New Mexico at UNLV (5:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 76.762; UNLV 81.176
          Dunkel Line: UNLV by 4 1/2; 54
          Vegas Line: UNLV by 1; 56 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-1); Under

          Game 401-402: Texas State at New Mexico State (4:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 62.124; New Mexico State 57.865
          Dunkel Line: Texas State by 4 1/2; 67
          Vegas Line: Texas State by 7 1/2; 58
          Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+7 1/2); Over

          Game 403-404: Illinois at Ohio State (8:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 85.060; Ohio State 103.413
          Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 18 1/2; 72
          Vegas Line: Ohio State by 28 1/2; 65
          Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+28 1/2); Over

          Game 405-406: Wyoming at Fresno State (10:45 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 70.411; Fresno State 84.350
          Dunkel Line: Fresno State by14; 57
          Vegas Line: Fresno State by 11; No Total
          Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-11); N/A

          Game 407-408: San Diego State at Nevada (10:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 82.565; Nevada 89.514
          Dunkel Line: Nevada by 7; 57
          Vegas Line: Nevada by 3 1/2; 48 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-3 1/2); Over

          Game 409-410: Utah State at Hawaii (11:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 87.814; Hawaii 87.049
          Dunkel Line: Utah State by 1; 54
          Vegas Line: Utah State by 3; 42
          Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+3); Over

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAF

            Long Sheet

            Week 10


            Saturday, November 1

            -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NOTRE DAME (6 - 1) vs. NAVY (4 - 4) - 11/1/2014, 8:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NAVY is 140-108 ATS (+21.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
            NAVY is 140-108 ATS (+21.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
            NAVY is 86-53 ATS (+27.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
            NAVY is 87-43 ATS (+39.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
            NAVY is 92-63 ATS (+22.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
            NAVY is 65-37 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
            NAVY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NAVY is 1-1 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
            NOTRE DAME is 2-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BOSTON COLLEGE (5 - 3) at VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 4) - 11/1/2014, 12:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
            VIRGINIA TECH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
            VIRGINIA TECH is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
            VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            E CAROLINA (6 - 1) at TEMPLE (4 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            UCF (5 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CONNECTICUT is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
            CONNECTICUT is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
            CONNECTICUT is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
            CONNECTICUT is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
            CONNECTICUT is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            CONNECTICUT is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            CONNECTICUT is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
            UCF is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WISCONSIN (5 - 2) at RUTGERS (5 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NC STATE (4 - 4) at SYRACUSE (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 3:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            SYRACUSE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
            SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
            SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DUKE (6 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 4) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DUKE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
            DUKE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            DUKE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            DUKE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
            DUKE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
            DUKE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DUKE is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
            PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MARYLAND (5 - 3) at PENN ST (4 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PENN ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            N CAROLINA (4 - 4) at MIAMI (5 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 12:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            N CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
            MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
            MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            GEORGIA ST (1 - 7) at APPALACHIAN ST (2 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
            GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            AIR FORCE (5 - 2) at ARMY (2 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 11:30 AM
            Top Trends for this game.
            AIR FORCE is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            AIR FORCE is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            AIR FORCE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
            AIR FORCE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
            AIR FORCE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            AIR FORCE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
            AIR FORCE is 68-95 ATS (-36.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
            AIR FORCE is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
            ARMY is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            ARMY is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            ARMY is 12-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
            ARMY is 10-32 ATS (-25.2 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
            ARMY is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            ARMY is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
            ARMY is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            C MICHIGAN (5 - 4) at E MICHIGAN (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            C MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            C MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
            C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NORTHWESTERN (3 - 4) at IOWA (5 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NORTHWESTERN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            NORTHWESTERN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            NORTHWESTERN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
            IOWA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
            IOWA is 1-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TEXAS (3 - 5) at TEXAS TECH (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 7:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
            TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PURDUE (3 - 5) at NEBRASKA (7 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NEBRASKA is 1-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
            NEBRASKA is 1-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            KANSAS (2 - 5) at BAYLOR (6 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 4:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            KANSAS is 63-92 ATS (-38.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
            KANSAS is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) in road games since 1992.
            KANSAS is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
            KANSAS is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
            KANSAS is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
            KANSAS is 69-101 ATS (-42.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
            KANSAS is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
            KANSAS is 44-71 ATS (-34.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
            KANSAS is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
            BAYLOR is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            BAYLOR is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            BAYLOR is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
            BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
            BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            BAYLOR is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
            BAYLOR is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            W MICHIGAN (5 - 3) at MIAMI OHIO (2 - 7) - 11/1/2014, 2:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            W MICHIGAN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
            W MICHIGAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
            W MICHIGAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
            W MICHIGAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
            W MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
            W MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
            MIAMI OHIO is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            AUBURN (6 - 1) at OLE MISS (7 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 7:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            OLE MISS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
            OLE MISS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
            OLE MISS is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
            OLE MISS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
            OLE MISS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
            AUBURN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            AUBURN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            AUBURN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
            AUBURN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
            AUBURN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
            AUBURN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
            AUBURN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
            OLE MISS is 1-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            KENTUCKY (5 - 3) at MISSOURI (6 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 4:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            KENTUCKY is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
            KENTUCKY is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
            KENTUCKY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MISSOURI is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
            MISSOURI is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ARKANSAS (4 - 4) at MISSISSIPPI ST (7 - 0) - 11/1/2014, 7:15 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MISSISSIPPI ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
            MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            W KENTUCKY (3 - 4) at LOUISIANA TECH (5 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 3:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            W KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LA MONROE (3 - 4) at TEXAS A&M (5 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LA MONROE is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
            LA MONROE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
            LA MONROE is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
            TEXAS A&M is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
            LA MONROE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BYU (4 - 4) at MIDDLE TENN ST (5 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BYU is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
            BYU is 1-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TENNESSEE (3 - 5) at S CAROLINA (4 - 4) - 11/1/2014, 7:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TENNESSEE is 2-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
            S CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            FLORIDA (3 - 3) vs. GEORGIA (6 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            FLORIDA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            GEORGIA is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
            GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            USC (5 - 3) at WASHINGTON ST (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 4:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            WASHINGTON ST is 1-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
            WASHINGTON ST is 1-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            STANFORD (5 - 3) at OREGON (7 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 7:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            STANFORD is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
            STANFORD is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
            STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            OKLAHOMA (5 - 2) at IOWA ST (2 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            OKLAHOMA is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
            OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            OKLAHOMA ST (5 - 3) at KANSAS ST (6 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 8:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            KANSAS ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            KANSAS ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            KANSAS ST is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
            KANSAS ST is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
            KANSAS ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
            KANSAS ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
            KANSAS ST is 111-79 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
            KANSAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
            KANSAS ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
            KANSAS ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
            KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            INDIANA (3 - 4) at MICHIGAN (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MICHIGAN is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
            MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            VIRGINIA (4 - 4) at GEORGIA TECH (6 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            VIRGINIA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            GEORGIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
            GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ARKANSAS ST (4 - 3) at IDAHO (1 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 5:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            IDAHO is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
            ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            S ALABAMA (5 - 2) at LA LAFAYETTE (4 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 5:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
            LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            OLD DOMINION (3 - 5) at VANDERBILT (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 7:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            VANDERBILT is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
            VANDERBILT is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            RICE (4 - 3) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 12:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            RICE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
            RICE is 103-73 ATS (+22.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
            RICE is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
            FLA INTERNATIONAL is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
            FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
            FLA INTERNATIONAL is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
            FLA INTERNATIONAL is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WASHINGTON (5 - 3) at COLORADO (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            WASHINGTON is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
            COLORADO is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in November games since 1992.
            COLORADO is 99-131 ATS (-45.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            WASHINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
            WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CALIFORNIA (4 - 4) at OREGON ST (4 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 10:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CALIFORNIA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            CALIFORNIA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            CALIFORNIA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
            CALIFORNIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
            CALIFORNIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
            CALIFORNIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
            CALIFORNIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
            OREGON ST is 105-77 ATS (+20.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            OREGON ST is 100-69 ATS (+24.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
            OREGON ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
            OREGON ST is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
            CALIFORNIA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
            CALIFORNIA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            OREGON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
            OREGON ST is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ARIZONA (6 - 1) at UCLA (6 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 7:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            ARIZONA is 70-104 ATS (-44.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
            ARIZONA is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
            UCLA is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
            UCLA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
            UCLA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
            UCLA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            UCLA is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
            UCLA is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            COLORADO ST (7 - 1) at SAN JOSE ST (3 - 4) - 11/1/2014, 7:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            COLORADO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
            COLORADO ST is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SAN JOSE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
            SAN JOSE ST is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            UTAH (6 - 1) at ARIZONA ST (6 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 11:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            ARIZONA ST is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
            UTAH is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
            UTAH is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            ARIZONA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
            ARIZONA ST is 2-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TCU (6 - 1) at W VIRGINIA (6 - 2) - 11/1/2014, 3:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            TCU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
            TCU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
            TCU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            W VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
            W VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            HOUSTON (4 - 3) at S FLORIDA (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 4:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            HOUSTON is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
            HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
            HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            S FLORIDA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
            HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            UAB (4 - 4) at FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 7:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
            FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            SOUTHERN MISS (3 - 5) at UTEP (4 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 8:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            SOUTHERN MISS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            SOUTHERN MISS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            SOUTHERN MISS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
            SOUTHERN MISS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
            UTEP is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
            UTEP is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SOUTHERN MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
            UTEP is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NEW MEXICO (2 - 5) at UNLV (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 5:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            UNLV is 70-104 ATS (-44.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            UNLV is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
            UNLV is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TEXAS ST (4 - 3) at NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 4:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NEW MEXICO ST is 74-103 ATS (-39.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
            NEW MEXICO ST is 33-59 ATS (-31.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
            NEW MEXICO ST is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
            NEW MEXICO ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
            NEW MEXICO ST is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TEXAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
            TEXAS ST is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ILLINOIS (4 - 4) at OHIO ST (6 - 1) - 11/1/2014, 8:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            ILLINOIS is 110-142 ATS (-46.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
            ILLINOIS is 110-142 ATS (-46.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
            ILLINOIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
            ILLINOIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            ILLINOIS is 70-110 ATS (-51.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
            OHIO ST is 160-116 ATS (+32.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
            OHIO ST is 160-116 ATS (+32.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
            OHIO ST is 134-97 ATS (+27.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
            OHIO ST is 104-73 ATS (+23.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            OHIO ST is 148-102 ATS (+35.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
            OHIO ST is 122-91 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            OHIO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
            OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WYOMING (3 - 5) at FRESNO ST (3 - 5) - 11/1/2014, 10:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
            FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            SAN DIEGO ST (4 - 3) at NEVADA (5 - 3) - 11/1/2014, 10:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
            SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            UTAH ST (5 - 3) at HAWAII (2 - 6) - 11/1/2014, 11:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            UTAH ST is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            UTAH ST is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            UTAH ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            UTAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
            UTAH ST is 1-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAF

              Short Sheet

              Week 10


              Saturday, Nov. 1

              Notre Dame at Navy, 8:00 ET
              Notre Dame: 5-19 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games
              Navy: 86-53 ATS as an underdog

              Boston College at Virginia Tech, 12:30 ET
              Boston College: 34-17 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers
              Virginia Tech: 6-16 ATS as a favorite

              East Carolina at Temple, 12:00 ET
              E Carolina: 0-7 ATS in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
              Temple: 6-1 OVER after scoring 14 points or less last game

              Central Florida at Connecticut, 12:00 ET
              C Florida: 1-8 ATS off a home win against a conference rival
              Connecticut: 24-10 ATS in home games after playing a conference game

              Wisconsin at Rutgers, 12:00 ET
              Wisconsin: 25-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games
              Rutgers: 12-2 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs

              North Carolina State at Syracuse, 3:00 ET
              N Carolina St: 24-9 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders
              Syracuse: 6-0 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival

              Duke at Pittsburgh, 12:00 ET
              Duke: 8-1 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games
              Pittsburgh: 27-46 ATS after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers

              Maryland at Penn State, 12:00 ET
              Maryland: 7-0 ATS in road games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game
              Penn State: 1-8 ATS after playing a game at home

              North Carolina at Miami Florida, 12:30 ET
              N Carolina: 6-0 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games
              Miami FL: 18-37 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games

              Georgia State at Applachian St, 3:30 ET
              Georgia St: 8-1 ATS off a home loss
              Applachian St: 3-6 ATS in all lined games

              Air Force at Army, 11:30 AM ET
              Air Force: 2-11 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games
              Army: 9-19 ATS after playing a non-conference game

              Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan, 1:00 ET
              C Michigan: 11-3 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games
              E Michigan: 0-7 ATS after playing a game at home

              Northwestern at Iowa, 12:00 ET
              Northwestern: 28-13 ATS in road games after allowing 37 points or more last game
              Iowa: 13-1 ATS in home games off 2 or more consecutive overs

              Texas at Texas Tech, 7:30 ET
              Texas: 1-5 ATS after scoring 6 points or less last game
              Texas Tech: 3-12 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games

              Purdue at Nebraska, 3:30 ET
              Purdue: 10-24 ATS after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored
              Nebraska: 9-2 ATS after playing a game at home

              Kansas at Baylor, 4:00 ET
              Kansas: 36-55 ATS in road games against conference opponents
              Baylor: 22-10 ATS in all lined games

              Western Michigan at Miami Ohio, 2:30 ET
              W Michigan: 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread
              Miami OH: 5-1 ATS as an underdog

              Auburn at Mississippi, 7:00 ET
              Auburn: 10-2 ATS after playing a conference game
              Mississippi: 7-1 ATS in all lined games

              Kentucky at Missouri, 4:00 ET
              Kentucky: 6-16 ATS as an underdog
              Missouri: 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

              Arkansas at Mississippi St, 7:15 ET
              Arkansas: 36-17 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game
              Mississippi St: 6-0 ATS after playing their last game on the road

              Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech, 3:00 ET
              W Kentucky: 14-4 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread
              Louisiana Tech: 16-31 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival

              UL - Monroe at Texas AM, 12:00 ET
              UL - Monroe: 22-10 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses
              Texas AM: 2-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

              BYU at Mid Tennessee State, 3:30 ET
              BYU: 0-6 ATS after playing 2 straight non-conference games
              Mid Tenn St: 6-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games

              Tennessee at South Carolina, 7:30 ET
              Tennessee: 26-13 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses
              South Carolina: 1-5 ATS off a loss against a conference rival

              Florida at Georgia, 3:30 ET
              Florida: 34-17 ATS after a 2 game home stand
              Georgia: 11-25 ATS off a double digit road win

              USC at Washington State, 4:30 ET
              USC: 12-3 ATS in road games off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival
              Washington St: 21-37 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread

              Stanford at Oregon, 7:30 ET
              Stanford: 62-41 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games
              Oregon: 65-42 ATS after a win by 17 or more points

              Oklahoma at Iowa State, 12:00 ET
              Oklahoma: 2-9 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
              Iowa St: 4-13 ATS after a playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored

              Oklahoma State at Kansas State, 8:00 ET
              Oklahoma St: 1-5 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders
              Kansas St: 16-5 ATS against conference opponents

              Indiana at Michigan, 3:30 ET
              Indiana: 25-42 ATS in road games after playing 2 straight conference games
              Michigan: 3-12 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points

              Virginia at Georgia Tech, 3:30 ET
              Virginia: 7-17 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
              Georgia Tech: 8-22 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs

              Arkansas St at Idaho, 5:00 ET
              Arkansas St: 13-4 ATS after playing a conference game
              Idaho: 1-5 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games

              S Alabama at LA Lafayette, 5:00 ET
              S Alabama: 2-9 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers
              LA Lafayette: 10-23 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread

              Old Dominion at Vanderbilt, 7:00 ET
              Old Dominion: 0-6 ATS after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game
              Vanderbilt: 16-30 ATS in home games off a road loss against a conference rival

              Rice at FLA International, 12:00 ET
              Rice: 44-23 ATS after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game
              FLA International: 4-14 ATS after a bye week

              Washington at Colorado, 1:00 ET
              Washington: 73-103 ATS after playing a conference game
              Colorado: 47-29 ATS in November games

              California at Oregon St, 10:30 ET
              California: 29-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
              Oregon St: 30-12 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference rivals

              Arizona at UCLA, 7:00 ET
              Arizona: 20-8 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games
              UCLA: 5-15 ATS after a 2 game road trip

              Colorado St at San Jose St, 7:00 ET
              Colorado St: 12-4 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
              San Jose St: 0-6 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game

              Utah at Arizona St, 11:00 ET
              Utah: 32-17 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
              Arizona St: 43-25 ATS in home games after playing their last game on the road

              TCU at W Virginia, 3:30 ET
              TCU: 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread
              W Virginia: 5-15 ATS in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games

              Houston at S Florida, 4:00 ET
              Houston: 7-0 ATS in road lined games
              S Florida: 5-19 ATS in home games after playing 2 straight conference games

              UAB at FLA Atlantic, 7:00 ET
              UAB: 12-4 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses
              FLA Atlantic: 13-4 ATS after playing a conference game

              Southern Miss at UTEP, 8:00 ET
              Southern Miss: 10-22 ATS in all lined games
              UTEP: 49-71 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games

              New Mexico at UNLV, 5:30 ET
              New Mexico: 7-1 OVER after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more
              UNLV: 5-15 ATS in home games off a cover where the team lost as an underdog

              Texas St at New Mexico St, 4:00 ET
              Texas St: 6-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders
              New Mexico St: 2-14 ATS after 5 consecutive games where they committed 2 or more turnovers

              Illinois at Ohio St, 8:00 ET
              Illinois: 2-10 ATS in road lined games
              Ohio St: 134-97 ATS as a favorite

              Wyoming at Fresno St, 10:00 ET
              Wyoming: 15-3 ATS in road games after a game where they committed no turnovers
              Fresno St: 22-38 ATS in home games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers

              San Diego St at Nevada, 10:30 ET
              San Diego St: 5-1 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game
              Nevada: 1-5 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins

              Utah St at Hawaii, 11:00 ET
              Utah St: 16-6 ATS as a favorite
              Hawaii: as a home underdog of 7 points or less

              Comment


              • #8
                NCAAF

                Week 10

                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Trend Report

                Saturday, November 1

                11:30 AM
                AIR FORCE vs. ARMY
                Air Force is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Army
                Air Force is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Army
                Army is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing Air Force
                Army is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Air Force

                12:00 PM
                MARYLAND vs. PENN STATE
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games
                Maryland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 6 games
                The total has gone OVER in 10 of Penn State's last 15 games at home

                12:00 PM
                RICE vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rice's last 5 games
                Rice is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                Florida International is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games at home
                Florida International is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games

                12:00 PM
                EAST CAROLINA vs. TEMPLE
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games on the road
                East Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                Temple is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
                Temple is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

                12:00 PM
                DUKE vs. PITTSBURGH
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 6 games
                Duke is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
                Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

                12:00 PM
                WISCONSIN vs. RUTGERS
                Wisconsin is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                Wisconsin is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
                Rutgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                Rutgers is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home

                12:00 PM
                LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. TEXAS A&M
                Louisiana-Monroe is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                Louisiana-Monroe is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 7 games
                Texas A&M is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

                12:00 PM
                CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. CONNECTICUT
                Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Florida's last 6 games
                Connecticut is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
                Connecticut is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

                12:00 PM
                NORTHWESTERN vs. IOWA
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa
                The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Northwestern's last 9 games when playing Iowa
                Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 7 games at home

                12:30 PM
                NORTH CAROLINA vs. MIAMI
                North Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games at home
                Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

                12:30 PM
                BOSTON COLLEGE vs. VIRGINIA TECH
                Boston College is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
                Boston College is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road
                Virginia Tech is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games

                1:00 PM
                CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
                Central Michigan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 6 games on the road
                Eastern Michigan is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
                Eastern Michigan is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

                1:00 PM
                WASHINGTON vs. COLORADO
                Washington is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
                Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games

                2:00 PM
                TEXAS vs. TEXAS TECH
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Texas Tech
                The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas's last 12 games when playing Texas Tech
                Texas Tech is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
                Texas Tech is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games

                2:30 PM
                WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
                Western Michigan is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
                Western Michigan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
                Miami (Ohio) is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games
                Miami (Ohio) is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home

                3:00 PM
                NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. SYRACUSE
                North Carolina State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
                North Carolina State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Syracuse's last 7 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Syracuse's last 9 games at home

                3:00 PM
                WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. LOUISIANA TECH
                Western Kentucky is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                Western Kentucky is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
                Louisiana Tech is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisiana Tech's last 9 games at home

                3:30 PM
                BYU vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
                BYU is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
                BYU is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                Middle Tennessee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games at home

                3:30 PM
                TCU vs. WEST VIRGINIA
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games
                TCU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                West Virginia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games

                3:30 PM
                VIRGINIA vs. GEORGIA TECH
                Virginia is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 7 games when playing at home against Virginia
                Georgia Tech is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Virginia

                3:30 PM
                FLORIDA vs. GEORGIA
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
                Florida is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                Georgia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida
                Georgia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Florida

                3:30 PM
                GEORGIA STATE vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
                Georgia State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia State's last 8 games
                Appalachian State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                Appalachian State is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games

                3:30 PM
                INDIANA vs. MICHIGAN
                Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                Indiana is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
                Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
                Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

                3:30 PM
                PURDUE vs. NEBRASKA
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games on the road
                Purdue is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
                Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nebraska's last 7 games at home

                TBA
                OKLAHOMA STATE vs. KANSAS STATE
                Oklahoma State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas State
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma State's last 7 games when playing Kansas State
                Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
                Kansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

                TBA
                OKLAHOMA vs. IOWA STATE
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 6 games when playing Iowa State
                Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Iowa State
                Iowa State is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa State's last 6 games

                4:00 PM
                HOUSTON vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
                Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
                South Florida is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games

                4:00 PM
                TEXAS STATE vs. NEW MEXICO STATE
                The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas State's last 12 games
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas State's last 7 games on the road
                New Mexico State is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games at home
                New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

                4:00 PM
                KANSAS vs. BAYLOR
                Kansas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baylor
                Kansas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games when playing Kansas
                Baylor is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas

                4:00 PM
                KENTUCKY vs. MISSOURI
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 6 games
                Kentucky is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
                Missouri is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games at home

                4:30 PM
                SOUTHERN CAL vs. WASHINGTON STATE
                Southern Cal is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
                The total has gone OVER in 11 of Southern Cal's last 15 games when playing Washington State
                Washington State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Southern Cal
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington State's last 5 games when playing at home against Southern Cal

                5:00 PM
                SOUTH ALABAMA vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
                The total has gone UNDER in 10 of South Alabama's last 12 games
                South Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                Louisiana-Lafayette is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
                Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games

                5:00 PM
                ARKANSAS STATE vs. IDAHO
                Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Idaho
                Arkansas State is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
                Idaho is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
                Idaho is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

                5:30 PM
                NEW MEXICO vs. UNLV
                New Mexico is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UNLV's last 7 games when playing New Mexico
                UNLV is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Mexico

                7:00 PM
                AUBURN vs. MISSISSIPPI
                Auburn is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Auburn's last 7 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi's last 5 games
                Mississippi is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

                7:00 PM
                UAB vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
                UAB is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
                UAB is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida Atlantic's last 6 games at home
                Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

                7:00 PM
                COLORADO STATE vs. SAN JOSE STATE
                Colorado State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 6 games on the road
                San Jose State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
                San Jose State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

                7:00 PM
                OLD DOMINION vs. VANDERBILT
                Old Dominion is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                Old Dominion is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
                Vanderbilt is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
                Vanderbilt is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

                7:15 PM
                ARKANSAS vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
                Arkansas is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arkansas's last 9 games
                Mississippi State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arkansas
                Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

                7:30 PM
                STANFORD vs. OREGON
                Stanford is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                Stanford is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Oregon
                Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Stanford
                Oregon is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home

                7:30 PM
                TENNESSEE vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
                Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing on the road against South Carolina
                South Carolina is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tennessee
                South Carolina is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tennessee

                8:00 PM
                SOUTHERN MISS vs. TEXAS EL PASO
                Southern Miss is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
                Southern Miss is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
                Texas El Paso is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
                Texas El Paso is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games

                8:00 PM
                NOTRE DAME vs. NAVY
                Notre Dame is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Navy
                Notre Dame is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games on the road
                Navy is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
                Navy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

                8:00 PM
                ILLINOIS vs. OHIO STATE
                Illinois is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
                Illinois is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games on the road
                Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio State's last 5 games

                See more trends!
                10:30 PM
                SAN DIEGO STATE vs. NEVADA
                San Diego State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 6 games on the road
                Nevada is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nevada's last 7 games at home

                10:30 PM
                CALIFORNIA vs. OREGON STATE
                California is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
                California is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
                Oregon State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing California
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State's last 5 games when playing California

                10:30 PM
                ARIZONA vs. UCLA
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing UCLA
                Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing UCLA
                UCLA is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
                UCLA is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

                10:45 PM
                WYOMING vs. FRESNO STATE
                Wyoming is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                Wyoming is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
                Fresno State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
                Fresno State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

                11:00 PM
                UTAH vs. ARIZONA STATE
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games
                Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                Arizona State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona State's last 9 games

                11:00 PM
                UTAH STATE vs. HAWAII
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah State's last 8 games when playing Hawaii
                Utah State is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
                Hawaii is 3-16-1 SU in its last 20 games ,
                Hawaii is 3-7-1 SU in its last 11 games ,at home

                Comment


                • #9
                  ACC Report - Week 10

                  October 29, 2014


                  The headliner of the ACC schedule will be the Thursday night contest, as defending national champ Florida State, again surrounding by off-the-field controversy, heads to Louisville for a date with the Cardinals. Papa John's Stadium is not an easy place to play, and if the Seminoles aren't on point, it could be a tough weekend. Outside of FSU, no one else has a legitimate shot at the four-team playoff, so FSU is the conference flag carrier.

                  2014 ACC STANDINGS

                  Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

                  Boston College 5-3 2-2 5-3 2-5-1

                  Clemson 6-2 5-1 4-4 3-5

                  Duke 6-1 2-1 4-2-1 1-5

                  Florida State 7-0 4-0 1-6 3-4

                  Georgia Tech 6-2 3-2 4-4 5-3

                  Louisville 6-2 4-2 5-3 1-6-1

                  Miami (Fla.) 5-3 2-2 4-4 3-5

                  North Carolina 4-4 2-2 3-5 4-3

                  North Carolina State 4-4 0-4 4-4 3-4-1

                  Pittsburgh 4-4 2-2 3-4-1 3-4-1

                  Syracuse 3-5 1-3 4-4 2-5-1

                  Virginia 4-4 2-2 5-2-1 3-5

                  Virginia Tech 4-4 1-3 3-5 2-5

                  Wake Forest 2-6 0-5 4-4 1-7

                  Florida State at Louisville (Thurs. - ESPN, 7:30p.m. ET)

                  The defending champs hit the road after last week's bye looking to get on track. While they have been winning, they're still just 1-7 ATS in their past eight games overall, 0-4 ATS in their past four home games and 2-7 ATS in their past nine road games against a team with a winning home record. As mentioned above, there is off-the-field controversy with RB Karlos Williams and an alleged domestic violence issue. The soap opera continues in Tallahassee. For Louisville, they are 4-1 ATS in the past five against a winning team, 16-5 ATS in their past 21 conference tilts dating back to their days in the AAC and Big East, and they're 7-3 ATS in their past 10 games overall. FSU will need to play at its best to come home with a victory.

                  Duke at Pittsburgh (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m. ET)

                  Duke takes it on the road to the Steel City looking to come home with another win and cover. The Blue Devils, already bowl eligible have posted a 10-2-1 ATS mark in the past 13 games on a grass surface, and they're 15-5-1 ATS in their past 21 games overall. In addition, Duke is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 road games, although they were humbled at Georgia Tech in their last road adventure. Duke is also 9-2 ATS in the past 11 conference tilts. For Pitt, they have struggled with a 1-4-1 ATS mark in the past six, and they're just 2-5 ATS in their past seven games at home. However, they are 10-2 ATS in their past 12 home games against a team with a winning road mark. These two teams played to an exciting 58-55 final last season in Durham, but this year things should be markedly different. The under is 6-0 in Duke's past six ACC games, and 5-1 in their past six overall while going 39-19-2 in their past 60 away from Wallace Wade. The under is 4-1 in Pitt's past five, and 3-1-1 in the past five against a team with a winning overall mark.

                  Boston College at Virginia Tech (ESPN3, 12:30 p.m.)

                  Boston College travels to Blacksburg looking to become bowl eligible and pave the way toward securing an upper-tier bowl in the conference, while Virginia Tech is looking to simply remain alive for a postseason bid. This one will be tough for the Hokies, as Boston College is 7-3 ATS in their past 10 trips to Blacksburg, and 11-5 ATS in the past 16 meetings overall in this series. Neither team has been particularly impressive against the number recently, with BC going 4-11 ATS in their past 15 road tilts, but Virginia Tech going just 1-5 ATS in the past six overall and 0-4 ATS in their past four games at home. The Hokies are 6-2 ATS in their past eight home games against a team with a winning road record, however.

                  North Carolina at Miami (Fla.) (ESPN3, 12:30 p.m.)

                  North Carolina put the skids on its losing streak, winning in dramatic fashion at Virginia last week. Miami finally ended their losing ways on the road at Virginia Tech, thumping the Hokies soundly in their own shack last Thursday. These are two teams feeling good about themselves finally, but only one team will continue that euphoria after Saturday's tilt. The Heels, for all of their troubles on the defensive side of the ball, are still 7-3 ATS in the past 10 conference games, while the Canes are 3-8 ATS in their past 11 ACC battles, and just 5-11 ATS in the past 16 games overall. However, Miami is 11-5 ATS in their past 16 at home, while UNC is 5-12 ATS in their past 17 road games against a team with a winning home record.

                  North Carolina State at Syracuse (ESPN3, 3:00 p.m.)

                  Syracuse returns from a respectable showing, especially defensively, at Clemson last week, albeit a loss. North Carolina State has been difficult to figure, as they played Florida State tight, but then were bombed by Clemson and Boston College. N.C. State is just 2-6 ATS in the past eight ACC games, and 4-9 ATS in their past 13 games overall. They're also an abysmal 4-10-1 ATS in the past 15 away from Raleigh. 'Cuse can hold their heads high after going 4-1 ATS in the past five games, although they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five. However, that cover came last time out at home against Florida State. The better play could be the under, which has hit in six of the past seven road games for the Wolfpack against a team with a losing home record. The under is also 3-1-1 in their past five overall. The under is 5-1-1 in Syracuse's past seven, and 6-2 in their past eight following a straight-up loss.

                  Virginia at Georgia Tech (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)

                  Virginia started the season as cover kings, but they have been slipping lately, failing to cover in each of the past two against Duke on the road and UNC at home. In fact, they're just 6-13-2 ATS in their past 21 conference games, and 5-11-1 ATS in their past 17 following an ATS loss. Georgia Tech has been a little sketchy lately, too, starting out 5-0 SU and 3-2 ATS, but going just 1-2 SU/ATS over the past three. Their offense has been brilliant, averaging 49.5 points per game over the past two, but defense has been an issue all season, with the Yellow Jackets allowing 24 or more points in five of the past six.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Big Ten Report - Week 10

                    October 30, 2014


                    GAME OF THE WEEK

                    Ohio State (-28.5) vs. Illinois - 8:00 p.m. ET

                    Nothing came easy for the Buckeyes against Penn State in Happy Valley last week. Quarterback J.T. Barrett came back down to earth a bit after a torrid four game stretch (20 total TD, 1 INT) to complete just 12-of-19 passes for 74 yards with 1 TD and 2 INT. Overall the Bucks notched just 293 total yards and 17 points in regulation. They gave up a 10-point second half lead as PSU scored a late field goal to tie it at 17-17 and send the game to overtime. Barrett scored two rushing touchdowns in overtime and the defense held to allow OSU to escape with a 31-24 victory. The Buckeyes 'D' limited the Nittany Lions to just 240 total yards, including just 16 rush yards on 31 carries (0.5 YPC). PSU QB Hackenberg completed 31-of-49 passes for a meager 224 yards with 1 TD and 2 INT. Credit the Bucks for coming away with a win in Happy Valley in a hectic atmosphere when they didn't get stellar play from the offensive side. Barrett will need to clean up his act before OSU travels to Michigan State in two weeks in the conferences most important game of the season. Barrett and Co. get a chance to get right against the Illini this weekend. Illinois snapped a three-game losing streak with a quality win over Minnesota last week. They were outgained by 148 yards, but the defense made a few key plays - including a game-winning fumble return for TD with six minutes remaining - and QB Riley O'Toole played mistake-free football, leading the Illini to an upset. Illinois continues to struggle running the football. They rank second to last in the B1G in rush offense with just 106.5 YPG on 3.6 YPC. QB O'Toole is off of a nice performance, but he'll have tougher sledding against this OSU pass defense that has surrendered just eight passing touchdowns this year. He'll need some help from RB Ferguson and this rushing attack if the Illini want any chance of the upset. Ohio State is 6-0 SU & 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings with Illinois, winning by an average of 19.3 PPG over that span. Last year OSU won 60-35 in Champaign behind 441 rush yards and five rush TD. Ohio State is 17-5 ATS in the last 22 games as a home favorite of 20 points or more. Illinois is just 2-11 ATS in its last 13 road games.

                    The REST

                    Nebraska (-23.5) vs. Purdue - 3:30 p.m. ET

                    It was a one-man show in Nebraska's 42-24 win over Rutgers last week as RB Ameer Abdullah set the single-game school record for all-purpose yards with 341. Most of it came on the ground as he notched 225 rush yards and three scores on just 19 carries. Defensively the Huskers limited Rutgers' scoring chances early en route to a 35-10 3rd quarter lead, and it helped that the Scarlet Knights were without starting QB Gary Nova for much of the 2nd half, who exited the game with a leg injury. Rutgers managed just 348 yards and 15 first downs against this Nebraska defense. The Huskers can't afford to sleep on this Purdue squad that has shown great improvement in 2014 and is coming off of a bye. Quarterback Austin Appelby has revitalized this offense that was downright putrid in 2013. He has led Purdue to three straight games of 30+ points, two of which came against the stout defenses of Michigan State and Minnesota. The Boilers took an 11-point lead into halftime against the Gophers and led by nine points late in the 3rd quarter before Minny scored the final 10 points to notch the 39-38 victory two weeks ago. Appleby threw three touchdown passes and the Boilers rushed for 298 yards on 8.5 YPC. Purdue has now covered six of eight games this season, including four of five as the underdog. Despite the obvious improvement, it’ll be tough for the Boilers to become bowl eligible as they need to win three of the remaining four games against Nebraska, Wisconsin, Northwestern, and Indiana. But the arrow is definitely pointing up for Purdue as they'll try to play spoiler for some of the big boys in the B1G. Purdue has covered its last three as an underdog of 20 points or more, including twice this season. Nebraska is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 as a favorite of 20 points or more. The Huskers won last year's meeting in Purdue, 44-7, behind 251 rush yards and 5 rush TD.

                    Wisconsin (NL) at Rutgers - 12:00 p.m. ET

                    **Rutgers QB Nova remains questionable for this matchup and the line for this game has not yet been released.

                    The Badgers are off of an absolutely dominating performance against B1G newcomer Rutgers. They had +352 yards and +15 first downs in the 52-7 blowout win. QB Joel Stave appears to have rid himself of the yips as he was efficient in tossing for 155 yards and 2 TD and 0 INT. Melvin Gordon is on an absolute tear. He has averaged 198 rushing yards per game on 8.1 YPC with 15 TD over the last five games. It's a more impressive feat considering that opposing defenses have focused their gameplan on stopping him and they still can't slow him down. Wisconsin is now third nationally in rushing and have rushed for 250+ yards in six of seven games. One of the most impressive aspects of this team has been its defensive prowess. The Badgers are 1st in the B1G in scoring defense (16.1 PPG allowed), 1st in total defense (270 YPG allowed), 1st in pass defense (49.4%, 163 YPG allowed), and 3rd in rush defense (106.7 YPG, 3.1 YPC allowed). With that dominating rushing attack and a statistically elite defense, the Badgers will be a tough out the rest of the way and could be the B1G West's representative in the title game. Rutgers' QB Gary Nova went down with a leg injury just before halftime in the loss to Nebraska. He remains questionable and if he can't go it'll be backup QB Laviano making the start. Laviano isn't nearly as good of a passer as Nova, but he brings a dual-threat capability to the position (5 rushed for 54 yards last week). Whoever starts at quarterback will have the difficult task of moving the football against this Wisconsin defense. Defensively the Scarlet Knights have allowed 616 rush yards (7.1 YPC) and 8 rush TD the last two weeks. That's not good news with Melvin Gordon coming to town. They aren't much better against the pass, surrendering a B1G-high 7.8 yards per completion on 60.8% completions. Wisconsin has failed to cover four straight road games and is just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 overall. Rutgers is just 3-7 ATS in the last 10 games following a SU loss, but 4-1 ATS in the last five vs. a team with a winning record.

                    Iowa (-4) vs. Northwestern - 12:00 p.m. ET

                    At 5-2 overall and 2-1 in the Big Ten, the Hawkeyes still control their own fate in the B1G West with games remaining against Minnesota, Nebraska, and Wisconsin; but there's still much to be fixed on this team after a troubling loss to Maryland. The good news is that the Hawks have had a bye week to fix their issues before the meat of their schedule truly hits. In its last game, Iowa had two quick touchdowns at Maryland and appeared to be in great position to pull off the upset – and then Maryland scored 38 of the next 45 points. Iowa QB Rudock threw for 317 yards with 2 TD and 1 INT, but he completed just 32-of-56 passes (57%) and the INT he threw was returned for a Maryland touchdown. Rudock has been forced to throw it more than he should because Iowa has trouble mustering any sort of rushing threat (90th in rush YPG). As is the case with a number of other Big Ten squads this year, a stout defense will only carry this Iowa team so far before the offense needs to pick up some slack. Northwestern comes to town this week needing a win of its own. The Wildcats are a streaky team as evidenced by a two-game losing streak to start the season, followed by a three-game winning streak, followed by the current two-game losing streak. Their most recent loss - two weeks ago - was to Nebraska. They were leading at halftime against the Huskers before Nebraska scored the final 24 points in the game. The Wildcats will need to figure out how to add a little punch to this offense moving forward. QB Siemian has just four TD passes this season and this rushing attack is ranked 105th nationally. They have yet to reach the 30-point mark in a game and have been held to 20 points or fewer in three consecutive league games. The defense is good enough to keep Northwestern competitive against most opponents, but that will go unnoticed as long as this offensive ineptitude continues. Iowa hosted last year's meeting and won by seven points in overtime, but Northwestern has enjoyed success when playing the Hawkeyes. They've won six of the last nine straight up, including three of five visiting Iowa City. Northwestern is 0-6 ATS in the last six games following a loss and just 3-9 ATS in the last 12 B1G games. Iowa has failed to cover five of the last six home games.

                    Penn State (-3) vs. Maryland - 12:00 p.m. ET

                    Penn State has now dropped three straight games since starting the season 4-0. Last week was a disheartening overtime loss at home to highly ranked Ohio State. The Nittany Lions fought back from a 10-point deficit to tie the game with nine seconds remaining, but ultimately fell short in overtime. It was another subpar day offensively for the Nittany Lions, who notched just 240 total yards. Granted, it was against a swarming OSU defense, but the offensive ineptitude is an unnerving trend for this team. PSU's offense has managed just 120 rush yards on 91 carries for a measly 1.3 YPC during its three-game losing streak. And Hackenberg has been unable to pick up the rushing game slack, as he's completing just 58% with 2 TD and 4 INT during the skid. Defensively you won't see many better units in the B1G. The Nittany Lions are 2nd in the conference in scoring defense and 1st in rush defense - surrendering just 17.4 PPG and 83.4 rush YPG on 2.4 YPC. PSU plays at home again on Saturday to host the Terrapins. There aren't too many positives to take away from Maryland's performance at Wisconsin. The Terps had just 175 total yards and 10 first downs in the 52-7 loss. They managed just 46 rush yards on 28 carries (1.6 YPC) and QB Brown was just 13-of-29 for 129 yards and 1 TD (that came with 52 seconds remaining). The defensive front was dominated by Wisconsin's offensive line as the Terps were gashed for 311 rush yards and five rush TD on 6.3 YPC. This was the kind of defeat that can affect a team for weeks and make coaches and players want to start from scratch. Maryland is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games following a SU loss but 4-1 ATS in the last five as a road 'dog of fewer than seven points.

                    Michigan (-7.5) vs. Indiana - 3:30 p.m. ET

                    The Wolverines had another hapless showing against Michigan State last week. The Wolves were outgained by 260 yards, had just 61 rush yards on 2.3 YPC, and turned the ball over three times. Michigan is now an FBS-worst -14 in turnover ratio, and QB Gardner is a huge reason for that. Gardner has just 3 TD and 10 INT in Michigan's last seven games. Gardner's inability to keep the ball in Michigan's possession are a big reason why the Wolverines are 118th in total offense and 113th in scoring offense - having not exceeding 24 points in five straight games. If Gardner still can't have a good day against an Indiana defense that has allowed 16 pass TD and just 5 INT, then it'll be time to officially move on from the senior QB. Indiana is off of a bye week after a blowout loss to Michigan State on October 18th. A season-ending injury to starting QB Sudfeld pushed freshman Zander Diamont under center against Michigan State for the first start of his career. It did not go well as he completed just 5-of-15 passes for 11 yards. Somehow, Indiana held a 17-14 lead in the second quarter before Michigan State scored the game’s final 42 points. Other than a stout offensive line that paves the way for star RB Tevin Coleman (132 yards on 15 carries against the Spartans), there isn’t much to like about the direction of this team. What once looked like a promising season in Indiana has now been replaced by concern over whether Indiana will win another game this season. RB Coleman has been a one-man wrecking crew, averaging 170 rush yards per game with 11 rush TD. It won't be easy to rush against this Michigan defensive front that allows just 109 rush YPG (16th nationally), but Indiana needs a strong rushing attack to aid its young QB if it wants any shot at the upset. Michigan has won 18 straight against the Hoosiers and is 10-0 SU at home over that span, winning by 18.7 PPG. That includes a 63-47 win at home over the Hoosiers last year. Indiana is just 4-10 ATS in the last 14 games as a road 'dog of 7 points or more.

                    Michigan State - Bye

                    The bye week came at a perfect time for the Spartans. They are off of an emotional victory over in-state rival Michigan and they have a huge showdown with OSU on deck. There aren't many negative things to say about the Spartans right now as they are playing extremely sound football right now. The offense - ranked 13th in yards per game and 5th in points per game - is humming behind QB Cook (17 TD, 5 INT) and RB Langford (100+ rush yards in five straight games). The run defense is surrendering just 95.4 YPG on 3.3 YPC and the pass defense is allowing opposing QB's to complete just 51 percent. They host OSU in the B1G regular season Game of the Year next week. Michigan State is just 2-8 SU & 4-6 ATS in the last 10 meetings with OSU, but they won the most recent meeting in last year's B1G Championship, 34-24.

                    Minnesota - Bye

                    Many people expected Minnesota to falter in the conference at some point, but not a lot of pundits expected it to come against Illinois. Minnesota was able to pull off back-to-back close victories over Northwestern and Purdue, but couldn't do it a third straight time against Illinois last week. The lack of a competent passing attack really hurt the Gophers as QB Leidner completed just 12-of-30 passes. The Gophers actually held a three-point lead in the 4th quarter before Illinois returned a Leidner fumble for a TD. The good news is that Minnesota has a bye week to figure out its issues before the meat of its schedule hits (Iowa, OSU, Nebraska, Wisconsin). Next week is the battle for the Floyd of Rosedale trophy against Iowa, which the Hawkeyes have won in back-to-back seasons.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Pac-12 Report - Week 10

                      October 29, 2014


                      The Pac-12 rolls on into November, and there are still plenty of teams who can stake a claim to a division title and spot in the league championship game. Some dreams will be dashed this weekend, depending upon how things break. The clear marquee game of the schedule will be in Tempe, where Utah and Arizona State battle for supremacy down south. Who would have ever though that would be the headliner game of any weekend this season?

                      2014 PAC-12 STANDINGS

                      Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

                      Arizona 6-1 3-1 3-4 3-4

                      Arizona State 6-1 4-1 4-3 3-4

                      California 4-4 2-4 5-3 5-3

                      Colorado 2-6 0-5 4-4 5-3

                      Oregon 7-1 4-1 4-4 4-3-1

                      Oregon State 4-3 1-3 2-5 3-3-1

                      Southern California 5-3 4-2 5-3 4-4

                      Stanford 5-3 3-2 4-4 1-6

                      UCLA 6-2 4-2 1-7 3-4-1

                      Utah 6-1 3-1 6-1 2-4-1

                      Washington 5-3 1-3 3-5 2-6

                      Washington State 2-6 1-4 3-5 4-4


                      Washington at Colorado (Pac-12 Network, 1:00 p.m. ET)

                      Washington heads to Boulder looking to score another win and become bowl eligible, while Colorado hopes to avoid another narrow, heartbreaking loss. The Huskies were dropped at home in a soggy game against Arizona State last weekend, their second straight loss in a row. However, they are 10-4 ATS in their past 14 against a team with a losing overall record. They haven't fared well away from Seattle, however, going just 6-13 ATS in their past 19 road games. Colorado nearly pulled off a much-needed win last week against UCLA, but faltered in overtime. It was their second OT battle in four weeks, and both games ended in similar disappointment. Colorado is a respectable 4-2 ATS over its past six games, and the over has connected in four straight for the Buffs.

                      Southern California at Washington State (Pac-12 Network, 4:30 p.m. ET)

                      The Trojans head to the Palouse looking to take out some aggressions after losing a heartbreaker at Rice-Eccles last weekend in Utah. USC is 5-2 ATS in its past seven trips to Pullman, and the road team has covered each of the past four meetings in this series, including Washington State's stunning 10-7 win at the Coliseum last year. Despite that low-scoring game, the over is 10-4 in the past 14 meetings in this series, including a perfect 7-0 in the past seven at Washington State. The over is 34-16-1 in the past 51 for the Cougs at home, while the over is 4-0 in USC's past four road games against a team with a losing home record.

                      Stanford at Oregon (FOX, 7:30 p.m.)

                      This game has lost some of its luster due to Stanford's rare three-loss season to date, but it is still very important. Plus, Oregon can ill-afford to look past the defensive-minded Cardinal. The Cardinal finally saw the over cash for the first time in seven games last weekend. Now, they need to work on covering. They're 0-4 ATS in their past four road games, and just 2-5 ATS in their past seven against a team with a winning record. However, Stanford is 26-12-1 ATS in their past 39 Pac-12 battles. However, that type of dominance seems so long ago given the difficulties of the current season. Oregon is just 2-5 ATS in its past seven at Autzen Stadium, but they are 5-2 ATS in their past seven against a team with a winning record. The dog has covered five of the past six in this series.

                      California at Oregon State (Pac-12 Network, 10:30 p.m.)

                      After an impressive start to the season which saw California as a division leader briefly, the Bears have fallen on hard times. Cal has dropped three straight, and they're just 1-2 ATS during the span. Oregon State has had an equally rough go of it lately, starting out 3-0 SU, but going just 1-3 SU/ATS over the past four outings, including a 38-14 whitewashing from Stanford in Palo Alto last weekend. Cal is just 7-18 ATS in the past 25 overall, and 5-13 ATS in their past 18 against a team with a winning overall mark. In addition, Cal is just 1-6 ATS in the past seven with Oregon State, and the favorite has connected in four straight in the series.
                      Arizona at UCLA (ESPN, 13:00 p.m.)
                      This is essentially an elimination game for the loser in the Pac-12 South Division, especially for UCLA. Neither team has been particularly attractive against the number lately, with Arizona going 1-4 ATS in their past five against a team with a winning record, and 0-4 ATS in their past four on grass. Their lone cover against a winning team was that upset at Oregon as a 21-point favorite three weeks ago. UCLA has posted an 0-4 ATS mark in their past four Pac-12 games, and they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five home games, while managing only one cover in five tries against a team with a winning record. The favorite has cashed in six of the past seven in this series, and the Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in the past seven overall. However, the home team is also 8-3 ATS in the past 11 meetings.

                      Utah at Arizona State (ESPN, 11:00 p.m.)

                      The game of the weekend, and who could have forseen this at the start of the season, will be the late-night game. Utah kept their conference title hopes alive with a stunning last-season win over USC last weekend. Arizona State fought through the raindrops to record an impressive road win at Washington last week. The Utes are on fire against the number, going 6-1 ATS in the past seven overall, including a 6-0 ATS mark in their past six against a team with an overall winning mark. Arizona State started out 1-3 ATS in their first four, but they're 3-0 ATS in the past three games. Their 62-27 home loss to UCLA is looking like quite the anomaly, but given the fact Utah won at UCLA, the Utes look mighty attractive getting almost a touchdown in this game.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Total Notes - Week 10

                        October 31, 2014

                        Week 9 Recap

                        We finally saw some shootouts last week and bettors playing the ‘over’ benefited with 27-22 record. The high-scoring affairs started Tuesday with ULL and Arkansas State combining for 95 points and that momentum carried over to Friday. BYU and Boise State combined for 85 while Oregon blasted California 59-41 and it actually slowed down the game late.

                        On Saturday afternoon, TCU destroyed Texas Tech 82-27 as the Horned Frogs set the school record for points in a game. This was also the highest output by a school this season.

                        Another shootout worth noting was Western Kentucky’s 66-51 win over Old Dominion. This game easily sailed ‘over’ the closing total of 76 ½ and only 10 points were scored in the fourth quarter.

                        If you’re looking for Bad Beats from Week 9, turn your attention to the Big Ten. Ohio State led Penn State 17-0 at halftime and won 31-24, with its final 14 points coming in two overtime sessions. For those who had ‘under’ tickets (53), we apologize.

                        Big Five Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

                        Even though Florida State and Louisville combined for 73 points this past Thursday, the ‘under’ had been a great wager in ACC games. The ‘under’ went 4-1 in the five ACC matchups last week and is now 13-3 over the previous three weeks.

                        While the ACC has been a solid ‘under’ lean this season, the Big Ten has been the opposite. The ‘over’ went 3-2 in conference matchups last week and the two ‘under’ tickets just missed. Northwestern is the only school in the Big Ten that has been a clear-cut ‘under’ (6-1) lean this season.

                        Despite the aforementioned shootout between TCU and Texas Tech, the other two games in the Big 12 went ‘under’ last week. The big game this week will feature West Virginia hosting TCU and that total is steadily coming down.

                        The ‘over’ went 5-2 in Pac-12 play last weekend, which was helped with 59-point performances from both Oregon and Arizona. One of the games that went ‘under’ included Washington and that shouldn’t be a surprised since the Huskies are now 6-2 to the ‘under’ this season.

                        It’s rare to see everything go as planned but that was the case in the SEC last week. The ‘over’ went 4-2 and the two ‘under’ tickets occurred in games that had totals listed in the low forties. Three of the high-scoring games had numbers at 59 or higher.

                        Down the Stretch

                        Handicapping college football isn’t easy but many astute ‘cappers will break up the season quarterly, which enables them to adjust their ratings throughout the season. We’re now entering the third quarter and I asked VegasInsider.com Totals Expert James Manos to explain his approach in the final month of the regular season.

                        He answered, “Entering the final portion of the college football season I do have some advice for bettors. As the season progresses, in general, the lines get sharper. Information is more readily available and most teams have "identified" themselves in terms of how'll they'll play and the talent level they possess. Now becomes a time to be more selective and to focus on betting value even more than in the early portions of the season. The edges this time of year are very sparse so I'll lean even more towards playing dogs and totals. The totals marketplace continues to show some inefficiencies as this week we still see some major movement from the openers, suggesting, that certain totals are still bet worthy, especially vs weak opening numbers. Following these movements works better earlier in the season, when numbers can move but still have value, than now when a three point line move can reduce the value of a bet by 5-6%. Quality originators always do better but steam chasers/followers need to be more aware of risk this late in the season.”

                        How low can you go?

                        It’s rare to see college footballs listed in the forties these days, yet alone that the thirties but that’s the case In Week 10.

                        Four games feature numbers at 41 ½ points or lower and all of the games have dropped off their openers.

                        Boston College at Virginia Tech (43.5 to 41.5)

                        UCF at UConn (40 to 38.5)

                        Northwestern at Iowa (43.5 to 41.5 to 43)

                        Utah State at Hawaii (43.5 to 41)

                        James Manos offered up his quick thoughts on low numbers in general and how you should analyze them.

                        He said, “With the current state of college football it's just very difficult to take the low totals UNDER. Of course, each game must be capped on its own merits, but the margin for error in playing UNDER 42 in today's marketplace is very small. As little as 4 years ago, I used to place a strong value on the difference between the college 41 and 42, now…..not so much. Of those four lower totals that have been bet down, I'd be wary of playing UNDER in the Utah State-Hawaii game. The total has slipped below 42 and the long travel to the Islands may sap some of the effort from the best unit on the field, the Utah State defense. The other movements are all correct and I wouldn't fade them at their current numbers.”

                        James Manos (58%) continues to produce college winners on VegasInsider.com!

                        Easy-Over?

                        Oklahoma vs. Iowa State – Sooners off the bye and off a loss which they scored 30, lowest number of the season. The 'over' has cashed in the last two encounters between the pair.

                        Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Tech – Similar to the Hilltoppers, the Bulldogs (6-1-1) have leaned heavily to the ‘over’ this season. High total (69.5) but looks doable based on tendencies.

                        Georgia vs. Florida – The “World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party” returns to Jacksonville and both the Bulldogs (6-1) and Gators (5-1) have leaned ‘over’ this season. On Tuesday afternoon, CRIS/Bookmaker sent out 57 on this game and that was a mistake. Within five hours, the number was hit down to 48 and as of Friday evening, it's down to 46.5. The 'under' is on a 3-0 run in this series.

                        Ohio State vs. Illinois – The Buckeyes kept their ‘over’ streak intact last week with their overtime win against Penn State. The ‘over’ has now cashed in six straight. This week’s number for Ohio State is listed at 65 ½, which is the highest total Urban’s troops have seen. With Michigan State on deck, hard to imagine OSU looking to show off in this spot. However, OSU has dropped 52 adn 60 the last two seasons against Illinois, both 'over' winners.

                        Line Moves

                        This segment has become a very popular feature of our weekly piece and all the credit should be directed towards Manos, who analyzes the line moves in the totals market for us and breaks them into four categories.

                        1) Correct Sharp Movement– East Carolina/Temple OVER

                        2) Incorrect Sharp Movement – Kentucky/Missouri UNDER

                        3) Public Movement – Arizona/UCLA OVER

                        4) Market Manipulation - Auburn/Ole Miss OVER

                        Listed below are all of the Week 10 total moves by 3.5 or more points based on openers from CRIS as of Friday.

                        Week 10 Moves

                        Rotation Open Current

                        North Carolina at Miami, Fl. 65 68.5

                        Kentucky at Missouri 50.5 46.5

                        Arkansas at Mississippi State 63 59.5

                        UL Monroe at Texas A&M 56.5 61.5

                        Florida at Georgia 57 46.5

                        Oklahoma State 56.5 52.5

                        Arkansas State at Idaho 60.5 66.5

                        Washington at Colorado 61.5 58

                        New Mexico at UNLV 54.5 61.5

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Saturday's Top Action

                          October 31, 2014


                          FLORIDA GATORS (3-3) vs. GEORGIA BULLDOGS (6-1)
                          Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Georgia -13, Total: 51

                          No. 9 Georgia looks to stay on top of the SEC East standings when it takes on a struggling Florida team at Everbank Field in Jacksonville.

                          The Gators have done well against lesser opponents this year but have not able to contend with some of the tougher competition that they face as part of the toughest conference in college football. They are just 1-4 ATS in SEC play and have surrendered 114 points in three conference defeats. In Florida's last contest on Oct. 18, the school was actually favored by seven points over visiting Missouri, but suffered a 42-13 loss. The defense actually held the Tigers to a meager 119 yards of total offense that day, but turned the ball over six times (two returned for touchdowns), while also allowing Missouri to score 2 TD on special teams.

                          The Bulldogs have not had quite as tough of a schedule as some of the other teams in their division and are 4-3 ATS so far while taking one SU loss when they were defeated by South Carolina early in the season. They headed to Arkansas as three-point favorites in their last game on Oct. 18 and left with a nice 45-32 victory. They had a 38-6 lead at the half in the contest as they totaled 386 yards of offense for the game and forced four turnovers while not turning the ball over themselves for the fourth time this year.

                          Georgia has won this neutral-field matchup in each of the past three seasons (2-1 ATS). In 2013, the team escaped with a 23-20 victory, but failed to cover a 3.5-point spread despite a 23-3 halftime lead. Bettors should know that the Gators are 34-17 ATS (67%) after a two-game homestand since 1992 while the Bulldogs are 36-30 ATS (55%) when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the same timeframe. Injuries will not affect Florida in this contest while HB Keith Marshall (ankle) is questionable and HB Todd Gurley (suspension) has been ruled out until mid-November for Georgia.

                          Florida’s offense has sputtered all season and ranks 76th in FBS scoring (28.7 PPG), 94th in passing (198.5 YPG) and 61st in rushing (169.5 YPG). Freshman QB Treon Harris (263 pass yards, 3 TD, 1 INT) will be getting the start over Jeff Driskel who had nine interceptions over his past four games. Harris was solid in his last game on Oct. 18, completing 8-of-12 passes for 98 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT while also picking up 26 yards and a score on eight carries. HB Matt Jones (424 rush yards, 3 TD) has been the lead back for the team but has averaged a mere eight attempts over the past two games. WR Demarcus Robinson (524 rec yards, 4 TD) is the one real factor in the passing game and has three performances where he went over the century mark while averaging 15.4 yards per catch. The defense has not been much better, allowing 25.5 PPG to its opponents while actually ranking 12th in the nation in total defense (317.3 YPG). LB Antonio Morrison (52 tackles, 1 INT, 4.5 TFL) and DB Keanu Neal (33 tackles, 3 INT) have been solid as the leaders of this defense.

                          Georgia has scored many of its 43.4 PPG (9th in nation) with a fierce rushing attack (265.9 YPG, 15th in FBS) while not doing much through the air (171.3 YPG, 112th in nation). QB Hutson Mason (1,022 pass yards, 10 TD, 3 INT) has been extremely efficient with minimal turnovers and has hit on 69.2% of his passes for a low 7.0 YPA. He is not much of a runner, but has been able to get in near the end zone, scoring four times with his legs. With HB Todd Gurley suspended, HB Nick Chubb (569 rush yards, 5 TD) has stepped up in the past two games with 345 rushing yards on 68 attempts (5.1 YPC) while getting into the end zone three times. WRs Chris Conley (336 rec yards, 3 TD) and Michael Bennett (231 rec yards, 4 TD) have been the top targets through the air with Conley averaging an impressive 17.7 yards per catch. While their offense has been impressive, their defense has done just as well, allowing 20.0 PPG to their opposition (19th in FBS) behind the huge efforts of LBs Amarlo Herrera (57 tackles, 3 sacks) and Ramik Wilson (55 tackles, 5.5 TFL).

                          TCU HORNED FROGS (6-1) at WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS (6-2)
                          Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: TCU -5.5, Total: 72.5

                          No. 20 West Virginia looks to continue its surprise start to the season when it hosts No. 10 TCU on Saturday.

                          Last season, these two schools played an exciting game, with West Virginia recording a 30-27 overtime victory. The Horned Frogs were able to gain nearly 500 yards of offense, but the Mountaineers were able to force four turnovers to help earn the victory. TCU is a different team this season, in large part because of the improved play of QB Trevone Boykin. The Horned Frogs are coming off a game in which they scored 82 points against Texas Tech. TCU is 7-0 ATS when scoring at least 28 points this season, while West Virginia is only 5-14 ATS the past three seasons when giving up at least 28 points.

                          The Mountaineers were supposed to be down again this season, but the team has been one of the biggest surprises in college football. They have only two losses this season, and they are to Alabama and Oklahoma. Since the loss to the Sooners, WVU is 4-0 SU with 33+ points in each of the four victories. Both teams got good news about star offensive players this week, as both TCU WR Josh Doctson (foot) and WVU RB Rushel Shell (ankle) have been upgraded to probable.

                          TCU leads the nation in scoring (50.4 PPG), while ranking sixth in FBS passing (360.1 YPG) and 35th in rushing (212.9 YPG). The offense has been tremendous this season, in large part because of the performance from QB Trevone Boykin (2,306 pass yards, 374 rush yards, 24 total TD). He has always had the ability to make plays with his legs, but now he is becoming more consistent throwing the ball. He still does not complete a great percentage of his throws (58.7%), but he has limited the mistakes that have hurt him early in his career, tossing only 3 INT all season. Last week against Texas Tech, he threw for 433 yards and seven touchdowns. RB B.J. Catalon (78 carries, 388 yards, 8 TD) has shown to be a strong rusher out of the backfield, making the read-option very difficult to stop. WRs Josh Doctson (35 catches, 573 yards, 7 TD), Deante Gray (27 catches, 431 yards, 6 TD) and Kolby Listenbee (22 catches, 494 yards, 3 TD) are all capable of taking over the game at the wideout position.

                          While most teams have one cornerback that can slow down an opponent’s top receiver, very few teams have the secondary depth to stop TCU. Boykin has done a nice job of finding the mismatch and making them pay. The Frogs defense ranks 29th in FBS scoring defense (21.6 PPG allowed), and has shown the ability to make the big play. Paul Dawson (79 tackles, 11 TFL, 3 sacks, 3 FR, 2 INT) is all over the field on defense, and is a guy the quarterback has to know where he is at every play. Dawson helps out in the run, but he can also guard the running back out of the backfield. S Chris Hackett (51 tackles, 3 INT, 1.5 TFL) is a very important guy in this game, as he is going to be matched up against one of the best receivers in the country in Kevin White.

                          West Virginia is ninth in the nation in passing this year (346.1 YPG), 23rd in scoring (36.9 PPG) and 51st in rushing (180.9 YPG). Quarterback Clint Trickett (2,763 pass yards, 17 TD, 5 INT) has become a star in the Big 12, and is the biggest reason why the Mountaineers are off to such a terrific start. His favorite target is WR Kevin White (72 catches, 1,047 yards, 8 TD, who is a threat all over the field. He not only makes tough catches over the middle, but has the speed to catch the deep route on the outside. With the presence of WR Mario Alford (45 catches, 600 yards, 6 TD), defenses are not able to double-team White on the outside. While the passing game gets a lot of the talk, the ground game has been solid as well this year. RBs Rushel Shell (114 carries, 503 yards, 6 TD) and Wendell Smallwood (100 carries, 476 yards, 1 TD) have both done a nice job of forcing defenses to keep an extra guy in the box to stop the run. They also are very good when it comes to pass blocking, allowing Trickett more time to find an open receiver.

                          The defense ranks 55th in the nation in scoring defense (25.0 PPG), but it is much improved compared to the past two seasons. LB Nick Kwiatkoski (62 tackles, 9 TFL, 2 PD) is the leading tackler on the team, making his presence felt in the backfield. The best player on the unit is S Karl Joseph (60 tackles, 2 TFL), who has been a star from day one of his freshman year, and is now not having to make as many tackles as he did in the previous two seasons. This has allowed him to roam around a little bit more, using his speed to make quarterbacks hesitant to take a risk.

                          STANFORD CARDINAL (5-3) at OREGON DUCKS (7-1)
                          Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Oregon -7.5, Total: 54.4

                          No. 5 Oregon looks for some revenge on Saturday night when it hosts an unranked Stanford team that has had the upper hand in this series recently.

                          Last year, the Cardinal picked up a home victory against the Ducks, winning, 26-20. The biggest reason why Stanford was able to get the victory was because it dominated time of possession (42:34) by carrying the football 66 times for 274 yards, keeping Oregon's terrific offense on the sidelines. The Cardinal also won their last trip to Eugene in 2012 keeping the ball for 37:05 in a 17-14 victory. Stanford (4-4 ATS) has alternated wins and losses in each of its past five games, bouncing back from a 26-10 loss at Arizona State on Oct. 18 with a convincing 38-14 victory over Oregon State last week. The defense, which has played tremendous all season long, dominated Beavers star QB Sean Mannion, allowing him to complete only 14-of-30 passes for 122 yards (4.1 YPA).

                          For the Cardinal, who are 6-0 ATS as an underdog under head coach David Shaw, to pick up a third straight win in this series, the defense will once again have to be on top of its game. Since their lone season loss to Arizona, the Ducks (4-4 ATS) offense has been tremendous during a three-game win streak (SU and ATS) with 48.7 PPG and 537 total YPG broken down nicely into 291 passing YPG and 247 rushing YPG. Oregon scored 56 points against California last week, and is 7-0 ATS in the past two seasons after scoring at least 50 points, winning these games by a margin of 52 to 17. Stanford has a couple of defensive injury concerns with DB Ra'Chard Pippens (undisclosed) and DL David Parry (leg) both considered questionable, while Oregon's only recent injury is a WR Keanon Lowe, who is questionable with a bad hamstring.

                          Stanford has struggled on offense this season, ranking 91st in the nation in scoring (25.8 PPG), 93rd in rushing (141.3 YPG) and 63rd in passing (241.5 YPG). The Cardinal have been able to defeat the Ducks the past two games because of their ability to rush the ball, averaging 237 rushing yards per game against Oregon in the past two seasons. However, the offense has really struggled to run the ball, putting more of the pressure on QB Kevin Hogan (1,814 pass yards, 13 TD and 6 INT). Hogan is at his best when the Cardinal are running the ball, allowing him to use the play-action fake. RB Remound Wright (69 carries, 326 yards, 2 TD) and Barry Sanders (40 carries, 290 yards, 7.3 YPC) will have to play much better than they have this season to help control the time of possession. If the Cardinal are able to establish the running game, that could open up big plays for speedy WR Ty Montgomery (49 catches, 514 yards, 3 TD). Montgomery is one of the elite receivers in the country, as his speed allows him to get behind the defense.

                          While the offense has not been as good as it has in the past, the defense has continued to be one of the best in the country. The unit currently ranks second in the nation in points allowed (12.5 PPG allowed) and has given up a meager 251 total YPG (3.7 yards per play). Linebackers Blake Martinez (60 tackles, 5 TFL, 3.5 sacks) and A.J. Tarpley (53 tackles, 4 TFL, 2 sacks) are one of the best duos in the country, as they roam all over the field. LB Peter Kalambayi (21 tackles, 7.5 TFL, 5.5 sacks) does a great job of getting after the quarterback. The Cardinal do a tremendous job of tacking and not allowing the big plays to open up. That will once again be a key, as the Ducks have the playmakers to score from anywhere on the field.

                          Entering Saturday’s game, the Ducks ranks fifth in FBS scoring (45.5 PPG), 16th in passing (311.8 YPG) and 28th in rushing (223.1 YPG). The offense starts with one guy, and that is QB Marcus Mariota (2,283 pass yards, 235 rush yards, 29 total TD). What separates Mariota is how well he does at limiting mistakes (1 INT all season), while also completing nearly 69 percent of his passes. Joining Mariota in the backfield is freshman RB Royce Freeman (136 carries, 748 yards, 13 TD). At 230 pounds, Freeman is a great combination of size and speed, making him very difficult to bring down. However, it is not a one-man show, as RB Thomas Tyner (66 carries, 279 yards, 1 TD) and WR Byron Marshall (37 carries, 306 yards, 1 TD) both have the ability to break off long gainers. Marshall is also the leading receiver on the team (38 catches, 521 yards, 4 TD), while WR Devon Allen (27 catches, 487 yards, 6 TD) is a speedster who can take it the distance on any given night. These two will be counted upon more, as WR Keanon Lowe (17 catches, 266 yards, 4 TD) may be out due to a hamstring injury.

                          The Ducks defense enters the game ranked 61st in the country in points allowed (25.9 PPG) and has surrendered 462 total YPG. DB Erick Dargan (53 tackles, 7 PD, 4 INT) is a star in the secondary, as he does a nice job of stopping both the run and pass. He will play a big role in this game, as he will be seeing a lot of time covering Montgomery. LB Derrick Malone (50 tackles, 2.5 TFL, 1 fumble recovery) is key in stopping the run, and will have to do that against a Stanford team that is struggling to rush the football.

                          AUBURN TIGERS (6-1) at OLE MISS REBELS (7-1)
                          Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Ole Miss -1.5, Total: 51

                          In another huge SEC matchup with playoff implications, No. 4 Auburn heads to Oxford on Saturday to take on No. 7 Ole Miss.

                          It’s been another big year for SEC teams, and it has been no different for the Tigers, as they have been putting up some gaudy offensive numbers despite going a mere 3-4 ATS. They have faced three ranked opponents thus far and were victors against both Kansas State (20-14) and LSU (41-7) while taking a 38-23 loss against No. 1 Mississippi State as three-point favorites in their lone defeat. Last week, they played in a barnburner with South Carolina and narrowly avoided a big upset as an 18-point favorite. Auburn secured a 42-35 victory thanks to three interceptions while the offense ran for an amazing 395 yards on 8.4 YPC. Ole Miss has surprised many with its success this season, defeating its first seven opponents both SU and ATS while having an average margin of victory of 24.9 PPG. The Rebels' flawless season ended last week though, as they fell at LSU by a score of 10-7. Despite the low score, these two teams actually combined for some big yardage (719 total yards). While the Rebels forced four turnovers in Baton Rouge, they were unable to convert when it mattered, as QB Bo Wallace threw a pass that was picked off at the 1-yard line with just nine seconds left on the clock.

                          The home team has won SU in six of the past seven meetings between these programs while being 5-2 ATS. Auburn is 5-2 SU in that time and was able to pull out a solid 30-22 victory as a two-point underdog last season. The Tigers dominated in the rushing game with 282 yards (5.9 YPC) as they held off a big passing attack (340 yards) behind the arm of Wallace in the contest. Some trends that bettors should know include that Auburn is a solid 10-1 ATS when coming off one or more straight Overs in the past two seasons while Ole Miss is 6-0 ATS when playing on turf this year. On the injury front, the Tigers have no significant players missing from their lineup, but the Rebels defense could be thin with DB Cody Prewitt (undisclosed) and DL Robert Nkemdiche (undisclosed) listed as questionable while LB Denzel Nkemdiche (ankle) is out for the year.

                          Auburn has been one of the most explosive offensive teams in the nation all season long, scoring the 15th-most points (39.3 PPG) behind an amazing ground game (281 rush YPG) which ranks 10th in the nation. QB Nick Marshall (1,103 pass yards, 11 TD, 3 INT) has done well with ball control while throwing the pigskin more than 19 times in just three of his seven games. The real threat comes from his legs, as he has gone for 581 yards (6.8 YPC) and seven touchdowns on the ground while getting over the century mark four different times. He is not the only threat in this big running offense as HB Cameron Artis-Payne (831 rush yards, 6 TD) has had at least 20 carries in 5-of-7 games while cracking 100 yards five times. He also has eight catches for 99 yards. The big target through the air is WR D’haquille Williams (527 rec yards, 5 TD) who is the only wideout on the team with more than 15 receptions (34) and has averaged a solid 15.5 yards per catch while having three big performances of 100 yards or more. Their defense also ranks fairly high (25th in nation) while allowing 20.7 PPG, but has given up a robust 36.5 PPG to their past two SEC opponents. DB Jonathan Ford (48 tackles, 2 INT) and LB Cassanova McKinzy (46 tackles, 6.5 TFL) hope they can improve their scoring defense on Saturday afternoon.

                          Ole Miss plays a much different offensive game than its opponent, as it does most of its work through the air (268.8 YPG, 37th in FBS) while still being solid in the run game (149.5 YPG, 83rd in nation) and has scored 31.9 PPG (50th in FBS). QB Bo Wallace (2,075 pass yards, 18 Ts, 7 INT) has been the key component on this side of the ball and had gone three consecutive games without throwing a pick before his late interception at LSU. He has also had at least 11 rushing attempts in each of the past four games while averaging 38.8 YPG running in that time with two scores. Joining him in the backfield will be HB Jaylen Walton (376 rush yards, 4 TD) who has not run the ball more than 12 times or for more than 90 yards in any one game this season, but has averaged 5.3 YPC plus 13 catches for 160 yards and 2 TD. WR Laquon Treadwell (529 rec yards, 4 TD) leads the team with 38 receptions while both 6-foot-1 WR Vince Sanders (431 rec yards, 4 TD) and 6-foot-3 WR Cody Core (390 rec yards, 5 TD) are big red-zone targets. The defense for the Rebels ranks as the best in the conference while allowing just 10.5 PPG to their opponents behind the strong play of DB Senquez Golson (23 tackles, 8 INT), DB Tony Connor (47 tackles, 1 INT, 5.5 TFL) and DE Marquis Haynes (20 tackles, 6.5 sacks).

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Auburn at Ole Miss

                            October 31, 2014


                            After losing for the first time this season at LSU last week in heartbreaking fashion, Ole Miss returns home to take on Auburn in a battle of one-loss teams who were both in the top four of the College Football Playoff selection committee's first rankings released this past Tuesday.

                            In other words, the losses on each team's resume are irrelevant because Saturday's winner in Oxford will make the playoffs by winning out.

                            As of late Friday afternoon, my books had Ole Miss (7-1 straight up, 6-1-1 against the spread) listed as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 51.

                            Auburn (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) was fortunate to get past South Carolina on The Plains last week. The Gamecocks produced 30 first downs and 535 yards of total offense against the Tigers, who won thanks to three timely interceptions of Dylan Thompson, including a pair of picks inside the red zone. Steve Spurrier's team easily took the cash as a 19-point underdog.

                            Although Gus Malzahn had to be concerned about his defense's woes, all is good on the other side of the ball. Auburn's six scoring drives covered at least 75 yards and two of those spanned more than 90 yards. The Tigers finished with 395 rushing yards, with Nick Marshall running for three scores and throwing for another.

                            For the season, Marshall has completed 58.3 percent of his passes for 1,103 yards with an 11/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has run for 581 yards and seven TDs while averaging 6.8 yards per carry.

                            Cameron Artis-Payne has rushed for a team-high 831 yards and six TDs, averaging 5.5 YPC. Duke Williams has emerged as one of the SEC's best playmakers, hauling in 34 receptions for 527 yards and five TDs.

                            Ole Miss didn't suffer its first loss because of its defense. The Rebels went down by a 10-7 score at LSU because they were held to less than 23 points for the first time all season. They also failed to convert a pair of fourth-down conversions and QB Bo Wallace had the worst game of his senior campaign.

                            Wallace connected on just 14-of-33 passes for 176 yards. With nine seconds remaining, Ole Miss had the chance to attempt a game-tying field goal from 47 yards out, but Hugh Freeze elected to put the ball in his senior signal caller's hands. Freeze wanted Wallace to throw an out pattern to the sidelines since the Rebels didn't have any timeouts, but the QB elected to go for the end zone and underthrew his receiver for a game-ending interception.

                            Wallace now has an 18/7 TD-INT ratio. His favorite target is sophomore Laquon Treadwell, who has 38 catches for 529 yards and four TDs.

                            Ole Miss' defense has the country's top-ranked scoring defense, giving up only 10.5 points per game. The Rebels are ranked ninth in total defense and are 23rd in rushing 'D.'

                            The 'under' has been a major money maker in Ole Miss games this season, cashing at a 7-1 overall clip. The 'under' has gone 3-1 for the Rebels in their home games.

                            The 'over' is 4-3 overall for AU, but the 'under' has hit in both of its previous road assignments.

                            Auburn has won four of the last five head-to-head meetings both SU and ATS, including a 30-22 win as a three-point home underdog. Marshall rushed for 140 yards and a pair of TDs. Wallace countered with 336 passing yards and two TDs, but he was intercepted twice, including a costly pick-six late in the first quarter that put AU ahead, 13-3.

                            Ole Miss prevailed by a 41-20 count as a four-point home 'chalk' in the 2012 showdown in Oxford. Wallace threw for 226 yards and one TD and also had a pair of rushing scores.

                            Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

                            **B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**

                            -- The 'over' is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings between Ole Miss and Auburn.

                            -- Ole Miss owns an 8-3-1 spread record in 12 games as a home favorite on Freeze's watch.

                            -- Going back to 1985, the biggest underdog situation for the Gators against Georgia came in 2004 when UGA was a seven-point favorite. Most spots have the Bulldogs installed as 12-point favorites for Saturday's showdown in Jacksonville. Many UF insiders feel like Will Muschamp will get fired Sunday if the Gators don't end a three-game losing streak to UGA.

                            -- As a player at Georgia, Muschamp went 0-4 vs. Florida. As the coach at UF, he is 0-3 versus his alma mater.

                            -- Tennessee has limped to a 2-5 spread record as a road underdog during Butch Jones's tenure. The Volunteers are six-point underdogs Saturday at South Carolina. The Gamecocks will be looking to avenge a 23-21 loss in Knoxville last season.

                            -- Mississippi State has thrived as a home favorite during Dan Mullen's six-year tenure, compiling a 16-8 spread record. The Bulldogs are 10.5-point home 'chalk' vs. Arkansas on Saturday. The Razorbacks, who are still looking for their first SEC win on Bret Bielema's watch, are 2-4 ATS as road underdogs during Bielema's two-year time at the helm.

                            -- The current Egg Bowl line at Sportsbook.ag: Ole Miss -3 vs. Mississippi St. (in Oxford). -- The current Iron Bowl line at Sportsbook: Alabama -6.5 vs. Auburn (in Tuscaloosa).

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