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NFL Week 8

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  • NFL Week 8

    1* Chic +7

    2* TB -2.5 (buy half -120)

    1* KC/Rams over 43.5
    Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
    Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

    2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

    2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

    2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
    +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

    2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
    +3.4 units

    2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
    +15.1 units

    2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
    +16.3 units

    2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
    +16.8 Units

    2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
    +14.7 Units

  • #2
    Good luck Rock!
    Questions, comments, complaints:
    [email protected]

    Comment


    • #3
      The computer algorithm I developed in off season starts coming into play this week. See post from before season for more details. Will be having more plays, esp totals.

      1* 6 point tease: Den -1.5/KC -0.5

      1* Det/Atl under 47

      1* Seat/Car over 44.5

      1* Balt/cin under 46
      Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
      Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

      2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

      2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

      2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
      +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

      2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
      +3.4 units

      2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
      +15.1 units

      2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
      +16.3 units

      2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
      +16.8 Units

      2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
      +14.7 Units

      Comment


      • #4
        Rock

        What's your record so far, just curious
        Questions, comments, complaints:
        [email protected]

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by jcindaville View Post
          Rock

          What's your record so far, just curious
          14-16 -1.1 units
          Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
          Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

          2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

          2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

          2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
          +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

          2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
          +3.4 units

          2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
          +15.1 units

          2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
          +16.3 units

          2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
          +16.8 Units

          2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
          +14.7 Units

          Comment


          • #6
            Rocco how about a shout out for Bettorschat on your twitter feed?

            Dave T had a bunch of trends from a system he used.

            Also good luck on your plays!

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by roccodean View Post
              14-16 -1.1 units
              Thanks Roc

              Let's drill em this week!
              Questions, comments, complaints:
              [email protected]

              Comment


              • #8
                1* 1st half under 28 Den/SD
                Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
                Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

                2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

                2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

                2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
                +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

                2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
                +3.4 units

                2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
                +15.1 units

                2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
                +16.3 units

                2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
                +16.8 Units

                2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
                +14.7 Units

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by BettorsChat View Post
                  Rocco how about a shout out for Bettorschat on your twitter feed?

                  Dave T had a bunch of trends from a system he used.

                  Also good luck on your plays!
                  will do
                  what trends from Dave T are you referring to ?
                  Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
                  Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

                  2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

                  2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

                  2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
                  +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

                  2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
                  +3.4 units

                  2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
                  +15.1 units

                  2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
                  +16.3 units

                  2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
                  +16.8 Units

                  2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
                  +14.7 Units

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    good luck this week rocco
                    sigpic

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      thanks rocco,good luck

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        2* TB over Minnesota

                        2* at -2.5 or better

                        1* at -3
                        Tampa is in a GREAT spot here and I will back them to beat the Vikes. They are coming off a bye and the week prior they lost 48-17 at home to the Ravens. I love backing teams that got crushed before their bye. This actually puts them on a trend that is 18-4 ATS over the last 11 years. Minnesota is dead last in passing offense efficiency (and 31st in YPPA) and Tampa is pretty good at stopping the run (11th in pass efficiency D). Defensively, the Vikes are 27th vs the run and 14th vs the pass. My calculated line is right on the money in this game (TB-2.5). I think there is a misconception that every game you wager on needs to have "value". In the NFL, the lines are often accurate and you have to take advantage of situations.






                        1* 6 Point tease: Denver -1.5/KC -0.5

                        Denver:

                        Denver's defense has been lights out this year; they are 4th vs the run and 3rd vs the pass (efficiency rating). Although Rivers is having a very good year, the Charger's offense that is poor running the ball (27th). Conversely, the Chargers defense is 19th vs the run and 23rd vs the pass. SD has been extremely lucky this year regarding turnovers (+5 on fumbles) and have faced the 3rd easiest schedule thus far. I think the Broncos win this but SD has been good at keeping Manning off the field and controlling TOP so I will opt to tease.

                        KC:

                        This is a horrible scheduling spot for the Rams coming off SF and then an upset win over a division rival (Seattle) and having to face SF and Arizona in next two weeks. KC has been underrated all year, but the market is catching up to them and I think -7 is the correct line (hence the tease). The Rams pass D is dead last in efficiency and 29th in YPPA, so KC should have no issues scoring.



                        1* Chicago +7 over NE (Posted Monday)

                        I think all this "turmoil" in the Bear's locker room has lead to an under value on the Bears. I don't buy too much into it and I think it may actually light a fire under their behinds and get them to play better. I still think the Pats are a slightly above average team. They are 31st in rushing efficiency (26th in YPR), 23rd in stopping the run, and 12th in stopping the pass. Their strength is obviously Brady and the passing game that is 7th in effic., but the Bears pass D isn't bad (14th in efficiency). The Bear's run game is strong (7th) and will exploit a NE defense that is banged up. The Pats lost Mayo, the QB of their D, and it showed last week when they gave up 423 yards to the lowly Jets. Now, they will be playing without defensive end Chandler Jones....not good. My calculated line is NE -5. The Pats have benefited from tremendous fumble luck (+4) and an easy schedule (27th). After the KC game everyone was writing the Pats off, then they beat Cinci (a win that doesn't look that good now), Buff (below average team), and the Jets (bottom tier team) and they are supposed to be back...I'm not buying it.
                        Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
                        Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

                        2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

                        2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

                        2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
                        +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

                        2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
                        +3.4 units

                        2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
                        +15.1 units

                        2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
                        +16.3 units

                        2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
                        +16.8 Units

                        2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
                        +14.7 Units

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Good luck this weekend Rocky!
                          [email protected]

                          I'm just here so I won't get fined....

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            thanks

                            couple upgrades
                            (1-5*):2* TB -2.5 (1* at -3), 1* Tease Den-1.5/KC -0.5, Chicago +7,1* KC OV 43,1*Seat OV 44.5,2*Det Und 47, 2*Bal Und 46.
                            Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
                            Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

                            2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

                            2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

                            2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
                            +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

                            2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
                            +3.4 units

                            2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
                            +15.1 units

                            2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
                            +16.3 units

                            2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
                            +16.8 Units

                            2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
                            +14.7 Units

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              You really like that TB play? Is that your highest rating?
                              [email protected]

                              I'm just here so I won't get fined....

                              Comment

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