CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 17 (Friday, October 17 - Sunday, October 19)

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CFL
Dunkel

Ottawa at Hamilton
The Tiger-Cats host Ottawa on Friday night and come into the contest with an 8-1 ATS record in their last 9 Friday games. Hamilton is the pick (-11 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tiger-Cats favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-11 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 17

Game 491-492: Ottawa at Hamilton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 104.858; Hamilton 119.924
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 15; 41
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 11 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-11 1/2); Under


SATURDAY, OCTOBER 18

Game 493-494: Montreal at Toronto (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 116.738; Toronto 118.168
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Toronto by 4 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+4 1/2); Over

Game 495-496: Calgary at Winnipeg (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 117.057; Winnipeg 103.752
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 13 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Calgary by 8 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-8 1/2); Over


SUNDAY, OCTOBER 19

Game 497-498: Edmonton at Saskatchewan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 110.172; Saskatchewan 115.571
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 5; 52
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 4; 48
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+4); Over




CFL
Long Sheet

Week 17

Friday, October 17

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OTTAWA (2 - 12) at HAMILTON (6 - 8) - 10/17/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in road games since 1996.
OTTAWA is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in road lined games since 1996.
OTTAWA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 1-0 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 18

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MONTREAL (6 - 8) at TORONTO (6 - 8) - 10/18/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 47-78 ATS (-38.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-4 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALGARY (12 - 2) at WINNIPEG (6 - 9) - 10/18/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-0 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 19

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EDMONTON (10 - 5) at SASKATCHEWAN (9 - 6) - 10/19/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 115-78 ATS (+29.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 104-69 ATS (+28.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 6-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-4 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 17

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 17

7:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Ottawa's last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games


Saturday, October 18

4:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. TORONTO
Montreal4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
Toronto is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Montreal

7:00 PM
CALGARY vs. WINNIPEG
Calgary is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home


Sunday, October 19

4:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
Edmonton is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,
Saskatchewan is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Saskatchewan is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games


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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 17

Ottawa (2-12) @ Hamilton (6-8)-- TiCats (-7) beat Ottawa 33-22 here in Week 5, running ball for 197 yards in game that was 20-17 at half. Hamilton won five of last six games, losing by a point in Toronto last week; they're 3-4 as home favorites this year, 6-2 SU with three of six home wins by 1 or 2 points. RedBlacks are 1-6 as road underdogs, losing 41-3 at BC last week; they've covered three of last five games overall. Six of last eight Ottawa games, four of last five TiCat tilts stayed under total.

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 17

Montreal (6-8) @ Toronto (6-8)-- Oddly these two teams are tied for first place in East. Toronto (+2) hammered Alouettes 31-5 in Week 6, holding Als to 167 yards in game that was only 10-5 at half. Argos won four of last six series games, but Montreal won its last three visits here, as home teams lost last seven series games. Argos won last three games despite allowing 29.7 ppg, winning last two games 33-32/34-33; they're 1-2 as home favorites this year. Alouettes won three in row, five of last six games, covering all five wins; they're 1-4 as road underdogs. Last four Toronto tilts went over the total.

Edmonton (10-5) @ Saskatchewan (9-6)-- Roughriders are in freefall, losing four of last five, with only win 35-32 over lowly Ottawa; Riders lost last three games by combined score of 95-33, with a 24-0 loss at Edmonton three weeks ago, when Eskimos ran ball for 299 yards, outgained Riders 454-205 with +2 turnover ratio. Edmonton is 5-2 vs spread on road but lost last two away games by total of 3 points, at Hamilton/Toronto. Five of last seven Saskatchewan games went over total, but three of last four Edmonton games stayed under.

Calgary (12-2) @ Winnipeg (6-9)-- Blue Bombers lost last six games (0-5 vs spread last five) with three of last four losses by 22+ points; Winnipeg lost four of last five home games- they've also lost last nine games with Calgary, losing last four played here by 3-1-11-13 points. Calgary has three less losses than anyone else in CFL, winning eight of last nine games, covering six of seven as a road favorite, but their last four wins were all by exactly seven points. Three of Winnipeg's last four games stayed under the total.