NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (Thursday, October 16 - Monday, October 20)

[Udog]

NFL Trends and Indexes

Thursday, October 16 - Monday, October 20

Additional trends and information will be added as available.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

NFL Opening Line Report: Cowboys' betting bandwagon as full as ever

Week 7 of the NFL season is highlighted by the rekindling of a traditional rivalry, with one team on the rise – the Dallas Cowboys – and the other mired in a mediocre fog -- the New York Giants.

Dallas (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) is undergoing a completely unexpected resurgence, having won five in a row SU. On Sunday, the Cowboys were 10-point underdogs at Seattle, but pulled out a stunning 30-23 victory over the defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks.

New York (3-3 SU and ATS) looked as if it had gotten its season back on track, winning three in a row SU and ATS, but the Giants got completely shut down Sunday night at Philadelphia, losing 27-0 as a 1-point underdog.

John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu, expects the game to attract a lot of betting attention, with two very public teams. He held off setting a firm line, to evaluate New York after its blowout loss Sunday, in which the Giants likely lost star wideout Victor Cruz for the rest of the season with a knee injury.
“We always have loads of action on this matchup,” Lester said. “The Cowboys are obviously coming off a big win, and their betting bandwagon is as full as ever. I’m envisioning at least a 4-point spread here.”

San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos

The Niners still have unfinished Week 6 business, playing in the Monday night game at St. Louis. San Fran (3-2 SU and ATS) bounced back from two consecutive SU and ATS losses to win and cover at home against Philadelphia and Kansas City.

The Broncos (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) have covered two in a row, getting a late interception for a TD on Sunday to claim a 31-17 win laying 10 points against the host New York Jets.

“The Broncos didn’t peek ahead to this one, playing a complete game against the Jets,” Lester said. “If the Niners take care of business Monday night, we’ll probably make Denver around a 6-point favorite. This should be a good litmus test for both teams.”

Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-3)

Two of the league’s rising young quarterbacks square off in a matchup of division leaders. Andrew Luck and Indy (4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS) will come in with a little extra rest, after traveling to Houston last Thursday and winning 33-28 as a 2.5-point road fave – the Colts’ fourth consecutive win and cover.

Meanwhile, Andy Dalton and Cincy (3-1-1 SU, 3-2 ATS)have cooled off after a 3-0 SU and ATS start, getting walloped on the road at New England, then settling for a 37-37 home tie Sunday against Carolina as a 7-point favorite.

“A lot of perceptions about these teams have changed over the last few weeks,” Lester said. “The Colts appear to be hitting their stride offensively, and Cincy’s defense has sprung some leaks. With extra time to prepare and being a great team in the dome, I wanted Indy a bit higher, but we settled at the key number (-3).”

Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4)

It’s on the Monday night marquee, but these two middling franchises aren’t living up to that billing. Houston (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS) has lost two in a row SU, including last Thursday’s 33-28 home setback as a 2.5-point ‘dog against Indianapolis.

The Steelers (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) are much harder to explain. They lost at home earlier this season to hapless Tampa Bay, and they got smoked Sunday at Cleveland 31-10 catching 2.5 points.

“The casual bettor will be eager to side with the Steelers in this matchup. But that defense has certainly looked suspect the last couple of weeks,” Lester said. “The Texans can win this game if they run the ball well.”

[Udog]

NFL Week 7 line watch: Jump on Cardinals quick

Game to bet now

Arizona Cardinals at Oakland Raiders (+3.5)

There is a little bit of a buzz on the Oakland end of the Bay Bridge after the Raiders came within a whisker of beating the Chargers on Sunday. That’s all well and good, but a glance at the schedule shows what the Raiders are facing as they head into the middle of the schedule – Arizona, at Cleveland, at Seattle, Denver and at San Diego. All winning teams with chances on winning their divisions. In all probability Oakland will be 0-10 by the middle of November and neck and neck with the Jags for the overall No. 1 draft pick. A straight up loss with a cover is too narrow a needle to thread on this one. Arizona is getting Larry Fitzgerald back into the offense and smells Seattle’s blood. Swallow the 3.5 here before the number goes to 4.


Spread to wait on

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions (-2.5)

Early money is pretty much evenly divided between the two, though bettors appear to be waiting to see if the number will climb to 3 with backers of the Lions nudging it just a bit higher. Everyone is wondering just what is going on with the Saints, who sit at 2-3 and don’t seem to be getting much traction in an NFC South that appears winnable for any team that can figure out how to win four or five in a row. The Saints have trouble on the road, where their three defeats have come by an average score of 34-25. But the Lions couldn’t get it done at home a few weeks ago against Buffalo. Best to sit on this a bit and see what kind of odds are posted later in the week.


Total to watch

New York Jets at New England Patriots (46) (Thursday)

No matter how bad things are going for the Jets (and they are going real bad right now), they seem to be competitive against the Patriots in Foxboro. NYJ games at NE have turned into taffy pulls since the mid-2000s, and with forecasters calling for bad weather on Thursday night, this one has the makings of another 20-13 game. New York has no chance in a shootout, so it’s pretty much guaranteed that the Jets will run the ball at least for the first half. Under deserves a good look in this one.

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 7

NY Jets at New England
The Patriots host the Jets on Thursday night and come into the contest with an 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 home games. New England is the pick (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by 18 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New England (-9 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 16

Game 303-304: NY Jets at New England (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 123.454; New England 141.770
Dunkel Line: New England by 18 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: New England by 9 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: New England (-9 1/2); Over


SUNDAY, OCTOBER 19

Game 451-452: Cincinnati at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 136.294; Indianapolis 136.049
Dunkel Line: Even; 44
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2); Under

Game 453-454: Tennessee at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 124.246; Washington 126.857
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Washington by 6; 46
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+6); Under

Game 455-456: Miami at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 129.918; Chicago 135.253
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 5 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 49
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3); Under

Game 457-458: Cleveland at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 132.159; Jacksonville 121.114
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 11; 49
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 5; 45
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5); Over

Game 459-460: Seattle at St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 134.371; St. Louis 130.192
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4; 35
Vegas Line: Seattle by 7; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+7); Under

Game 461-462: Carolina at Green Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 130.205; Green Bay 140.509
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 10 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 7; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-7); Over

Game 463-464: Atlanta at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 133.312; Baltimore 137.287
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 4; 45
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 7; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+7); Under

Game 465-466: Minnesota at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 128.134; Buffalo 131.276
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 3; 50
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 5 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+5 1/2); Over

Game 467-468: New Orleans at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 130.818; Detroit 135.891
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 5; 56
Vegas Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2 1/2); Over

Game 469-470: Kansas City at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 134.141; San Diego 134.449
Dunkel Line: Even; 49
Vegas Line: San Diego by 4 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+4 1/2); Over

Game 471-472: NY Giants at Dallas (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 128.786; Dallas 142.717
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 14; 47
Vegas Line: Dallas by 6; 48
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6); Under

Game 473-474: Arizona at Oakland (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 133.182; Oakland 125.517
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 7 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-3 1/2); Over

Game 475-476: San Francisco at Denver (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 137.990; Denver 140.907
Dunkel Line: Denver by 3; 46
Vegas Line: Denver by 6 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+6 1/2); Under


MONDAY, OCTOBER 20

Game 477-478: Houston at Pittsburgh (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 130.426; Pittsburgh 128.260
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2; 38
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 7

Thursday, October 16

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NY JETS (1 - 5) at NEW ENGLAND (4 - 2) - 10/16/2014, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 162-124 ATS (+25.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS are 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 19

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CINCINNATI (3 - 1 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (4 - 2) - 10/19/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (2 - 4) at WASHINGTON (1 - 5) - 10/19/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 54-83 ATS (-37.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 73-100 ATS (-37.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 73-100 ATS (-37.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 73-100 ATS (-37.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 17-39 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI (2 - 3) at CHICAGO (3 - 3) - 10/19/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (3 - 2) at JACKSONVILLE (0 - 6) - 10/19/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (3 - 2) at ST LOUIS (1 - 3) - 10/19/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
SEATTLE is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 69-96 ATS (-36.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 99-137 ATS (-51.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (3 - 2 - 1) at GREEN BAY (4 - 2) - 10/19/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 158-114 ATS (+32.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ATLANTA (2 - 4) at BALTIMORE (4 - 2) - 10/19/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (2 - 4) at BUFFALO (3 - 3) - 10/19/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (2 - 3) at DETROIT (4 - 2) - 10/19/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 50-73 ATS (-30.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS CITY (2 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (5 - 1) - 10/19/2014, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 4-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (3 - 3) at DALLAS (5 - 1) - 10/19/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (4 - 1) at OAKLAND (0 - 5) - 10/19/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) off a division game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 2) at DENVER (4 - 1) - 10/19/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, October 20

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HOUSTON (3 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 3) - 10/20/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 93-63 ATS (+23.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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[Udog]

NFL

Week 7

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Trend Report
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Thursday, October 16

8:25 PM
NY JETS vs. NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 8 of the NY Jets last 9 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


Sunday, October 19

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. JACKSONVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Cleveland is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Jacksonville is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Jacksonville is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games at home

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Cincinnati8-3-1 SU in its last 12 games
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

1:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. ST. LOUIS
Seattle is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing Seattle
St. Louis is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Seattle

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. WASHINGTON
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Tennessee

1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. BUFFALO
Minnesota is 1-10-1 SU in its last 12 games ,on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota

1:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. BALTIMORE
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Baltimore's last 13 games at home

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 13 games when playing New Orleans
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. GREEN BAY
Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina

4:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas City's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

4:25 PM
NY GIANTS vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 8 of the NY Giants last 10 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

4:25 PM
ARIZONA vs. OAKLAND
Arizona is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. DENVER
San Francisco11-3-1 SU in its last 15 games
San Francisco9-3-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Denver is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home


Monday, October 20

8:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
Houston is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Houston is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games
Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Pittsburgh's last 21 games at home


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[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Jets (1-5) @ Patriots (4-2)—Pats won five of last six series games, with three of last four decided by exactly 3 points; Jets lost five of last six visits here, with only win in ’10 playoffs- they lost last three visits here by 9-3-3 points. Patriots scored 80 points in last two games since 41-14 loss to Chiefs, scoring seven TD’s on 23 drives- they’ve been +3 or better in three of four wins, lost field position by 8-19 yards. Jets have only three takeaways for season, are -9 in turnovers. Pats are 7-5 in last 12 games as divisional home favorite; they’re 0-1 as home faves this year. Jets are 8-11-1 in last 20 games as road underdog. Both teams suffered key injuries Sunday; Milliner for Jets, Mayo/Ridley for NE- they’re all out for year. Keep in mind that over is now 15-4 in primetime games this season.

[Udog]

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 7

Thursday, Oct. 16th

New York Jets at New England, 8:25 ET
NY Jets: 3-14 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
New England: 11-1 ATS off a division game


Sunday, Oct. 19th

Cincinnati at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 11-1 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games
Indianapolis: 15-5 ATS in home games

Tennessee at Washington, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 41-22 ATS in non-conference games
Washington: 30-48 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

Miami at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Miami: 38-21 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points
Chicago: 6-15 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3

Cleveland at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 1-6 ATS off a home win
Jacksonville: 2-10 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less

Seattle at St Louis, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 22-9 ATS against conference opponents
St Louis: 17-33 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points

Carolina at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Green Bay: 45-27 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better

Atlanta at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 0-6 ATS in road games in the first half of the season
Baltimore: 43-23 ATS after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored

Minnesota at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 57-36 OVER in weeks 5 through 9
Buffalo: 3-12 ATS after playing a game at home

New Orelans at Detroit, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 2-9 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5
Detroit: 50-73 ATS as a favorite

Kansas City at San Diego, 4:05 ET
Kansas City: 28-48 ATS when they allow 400 or more total yards
San Diego: 58-30 ATS when their defense forces 2 turnovers

New York Giants at Dallas, 4:25 ET
NY Giants: 49-29 ATS in road games off a division game
Dallas: 26-43 ATS after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games

Arizona at Oakland, 4:25 ET
Arizona: 21-7 ATS after allowing 7 or more yards/play in their previous game
Oakland: 48-70 ATS off a division game

San Francisco at Denver, 8:30 ET
San Francisco: 6-0 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5
Denver: 11-3 ATS after playing their last game on the road


Monday, Oct. 20th

Houston at Pittsburgh, 8:30 ET
Houston: 15-4 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games
Pittsburgh: 8-1 UNDER in October games

[Udog]

NFL

Thursday, October 16

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Thursday Night Football: Jets at Patriots
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New York Jets at New England Patriots (-10, 44)

Looking like a team whose time had passed just a couple of weeks ago, the New England Patriots are back atop the AFC East and preparing to face an opponent they have dominated in recent years. The Patriots aim to pad their division lead when they host the New York Jets on Thursday. New England has won six of the past seven meetings, but New York claimed a 30-27 overtime win in last season's second showdown.

The Patriots were all but counted out after a 41-14 drubbing by the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday night in Week 4, but they've claimed two straight impressive victories, including a 37-22 win at Buffalo on Sunday to move to the top of the standings. While the Jets have lost five straight since a 19-14 win over Oakland in Week 1, they gave defending AFC champion Denver a scare before falling 31-17 on Sunday. The Patriots have won 32 straight home games against AFC opponents, the longest streak since the NFL merger in 1970.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE HISTORY: After opening at Patriots -9.5, the line has since shifted to -10 where it sits currently. The toal opened as 45, but has sinced dropped a point to 44.

INJURY REPORT: Jets - WR David Nelson (Ques-Ankle) Patriots - DL Dominique Easley (Ques-Shoulder), CB Brandon Browner (Ques-Ankle), LB Dont'a Hightower (Ques-Knee)

WEATHER REPORT: Rain is suppose to be hitting Gillette Stadium hard from Wednesday night straight through till kickoff. Rain is supposed to open up right around kickoff and dropping 15 mm of rain. Winds are expected to be blowing between five and six mph.

ABOUT THE JETS (1-5 SU, 0-5-1 ATS, 3-3 O/U): New York ranks 30th in the league in total offense (303.3 yards per game) and last in passing (182.2) but coach Rex Ryan insists he is committed to second-year quarterback Geno Smith. Smith has thrown seven interceptions — at least one in every game — and has completed only 57.1 percent of his passes, so the Jets have leaned heavily on running backs Chris Ivory and Chris Johnson to power the offense. The Jets rank sixth in the league in total defense but 25th in scoring defense, largely because of unfavorable field position thanks to 12 giveaways.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U): After a disastrous game against the Chiefs, Tom Brady and the Patriots' offense have come back to life the past two games, though the loss of running back Stevan Ridley is a big one. Shane Vereen becomes the featured back with Ridley out, but Brady might have to go to the air more often. The Patriots lead the NFL with a plus-9 turnover margin in large part because of an AFC-best seven interceptions and will try to force Smith into the type of poor decisions he is prone to make.

TRENDS:

*Jets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
*Over is 14-3 in Patriots last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
*Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in New England.
*Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 57.48 percent of users are backing the Patriots -10, with 64.14 percent taking the over.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some NFL trends to ponder with Week 7 upon us........

-- Patriots covered eight of last 12 as a home favorite.

-- Saints failed to cover their last ten road games.

-- Bengals are 5-0-1 in last six games as a road underdog.

-- Green Bay covered once in last seven non-divisional games.

-- Falcons covered three of last eleven road games.

-- Jaguars are 4-14 vs spread in last 18 home games.

**********


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Our bottom 5, top 8 in NFL..........

32) Raiders—You start a rookie QB and before his career is five games old, you fire his head coach? How is this anything but incompetent management?

31) Jaguars—They finally covered a spread this week, so there’s that. Jags have actually played better since Bortles has been the QB.

30) Jets—By not cutting Michael Vick after he admitted to not being prepared to play, it appears to me they’ve given up the ship. Vick was supposed to be a mentor of sorts for Geno Smith, but now it is obvious he is just stealing money. If I owned the Jets, I'd clean house on December 29, the day after the season ends.

29) Rams—Just win, baby. You are what you are and the Rams are 1-4, despite having runs of 21-0/21-0/14-0 in their last three games. There is talent here, but not much maturity and the upcoming schedule is tough.

28) Titans—They beat Jacksonville at home by 2. With Charlie Whitehurst under center. In my fantasy league, the best available WRs are mostly Titans, because no one trusts their QB’s to get them the ball.

8) Cardinals—Guy like Bruce Arians almost never got his chance to be an NFL head coach. Now that he has it in his early 60’s, he is making the most out of it. He is 14-7 as coach of the Redbirds, in a tough division.

7) Patriots—Injury to Mayo is big blow to a defense; injury to Ridley means that Brady will have to throw more. Can his OL protect him enough?

6) Colts—Won last four games after an 0-2 start, but four games with Titans/Jags won’t hurt either. Has any team ever had a more seamless transition from an all-time great at QB (Manning-to-Luck)?

5) Bengals—They visit Indy this week, are 0-1-1 since their bye/3-0 start. Lose this week and that missed 36-yard FG at end of Carolina game is going to hurt more and more.

4) Eagles—Chip Kelly is good for the NFL; he’s making other coaches think differently, which makes the game more interesting. How was this guy an assistant coach at New Hampshire for so long?

3) Cowboys—Cue the mute buttons for Sunday night highlight shows, if Dallas wins. “The NFL is better when the Cowboys are good”; that was said on TV Sunday night and Jerry Jones didn’t say it, a guy on ESPN did. I want to puke, but that’s how people think.

2) Broncos—How much $$ do you think Peyton Manning is worth? If a journeyman NBA player like Steve Kerr can donate $1M to U of Arizona, how much money must a megastar like Manning be worth?

1) Chargers—Last NFL QB to wear a number in the 20’s? John Hadl, who was at his best as a Charger in late 60’s/early 70’s, throwing to Lance Alworth. Hadl was later Steve Young’s coach in the USFL with the LA Express.

[Udog]

Where the action is: Biggest midweek NFL line moves

If it wasn't obvious before, quarterbacks are the most important position in football. Several line moves have supported this as bettors are bailing from teams with questionable QB situations this week.

We look at some of the biggest line moves as Sunday draws near, and talk to Michael Stewart of Carbonsports.ag about why those odds are moving and where they could end up come kickoff:

Minnesota Vikings at Buffalo Bills - Open: -5.5, Move: -4

After the three interception performance Teddy Bridgewater displayed last week, money hit the home faves early and often in this matchup. Despite the Bills losing three of their last four, Kyle Orton has proven to be a calming presence for the team since taking over the starting job.

"Vikings QB Teddy Bridgewater will be making his first start on the road, it’s going to be interesting to see how he handles a very good Bills defense in a foreign environment," Stewart explains.


Tennessee Titans at Washington Redskins - Open: -4, Move: -6

Uncertainty has fueled the action in this one as it is still unknown whether QB Jake Locker or QB Charlie Whitehurst will get the start for the Titans on Sunday. In Whitehurst's last two starts he has completed 61.3 percent of his passes with two touchdowns and no interceptions, but the public is far from eager to back the 32-year old journeyman backup.

"With sharps and the public now on both sides of this game, no real need to move it for now," Stewart tells Covers. "We’re assuming Whitehurst will go for the Titans, but if Locker is announced the starting QB then expect this line to move back down to 4.5 or even 4."


Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams - Open: +6.5, Move: +7.5

After opening at the Rams +6.5, it should come as no shock that it has since moved to +7.5. St. Louis was leading the 49ers 14-0 after the first quarter Monday night, then got promptly outscored 31-3.

"After the Rams got annihilated in the second half on Monday Night, we can’t imagine they’re going to draw much support going up against a Seahawks team off a tough loss last week," Stewart explains. "With nearly 85% of the action on the Seahawks...This will be the biggest decision of the weekend for us."


Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars - Open: +4, Move: +6

With a running game that ranks first in the NFL and an offense that has given up a league low two turnovers, the Browns have captures the eyes of bettors. Across the field from the Browns are the winless Jaguars who have been abysmal straight-up and against the spread.

"After seeing how well this team played against the Steelers last week, the public is fully backing the Browns in this game. With over 75% of the early action on the favorite, I don’t see us going back down unless we see some sharp action on the homedog," says Stewart.


New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys - Open: -5, Move: -6.5

The Cowboys went to Qwest Field last week and shocked the world by winning in Seattle, only the second team to do that since the start of the 2012 season. However, Dallas has only gone 1-2 against the spread at home this season.

"As well as the Cowboys are playing, they have little to no home field advantage playing in Jerry’s World and their last home game QB Tony Romo had to go to a silent count because their was so much crowd noise against them," Stewart tells Covers.

[Udog]

NFL

Thursday, October 16


Rain on tap for Thursday Night Football

The Thursday Night Football matchup between the New York Jets and the New England Patriots could get a little wet and sloppy.

There is a 93 percent chance of rain around kickoff at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough with temperatures in the mid 60s. There will be a slight five mile per hour wind blowing towards the north endzone.

The Patriots are currently 9.5-point home favorites with the total sitting at 44.5.


Jets-Patriots routinely topping totals

In the past nine contests between the New York Jets and New England Patriots offense has dictated play. The over/under record for those nine games is 8-1.

The AFC East rivals have averaged 49.6 points per game during that stretch.

The total is currently set at 44.5 for Thursday.

[Udog]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 7

Miami Dolphins at Chicago Bears (-3.5, 48)

Dolphins’ starting field position vs. Bears’ poor return coverage

Miami has some issues on the offensive end but kick starting a drive with great field position isn’t one of them. The Dolphins are third in the NFL in average yards per kick return (29.2 ypr) and rank first in starting field position, finding themselves on average at their own 32 yard line when taking the ball. That great starting position has helped a very vanilla Miami attack average 24 points per game – pumping value into the Over for Fins games (4-1 O/U).

Chicago hasn’t done much to help its defense out when handing the ball to opponents. The Bears have watched foes start their drives at an average field position of 31.58 – third worst in the league behind only Oakland and Jacksonville. Chicago has allowed 9.9 yards per punt return and allowed a 79-yard punt return TD on a weirdo play to the Panthers in Week 5.

Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens (-7, 49)

Falcons’ home runs vs. Ravens’ big-play problems

The Ravens defense hasn’t given up much. Baltimore has allowed only nine touchdowns – second fewest in the NFL – and has put the clamps on opponents inside the 20-yard line, boasting a stingy 35 percent TD percentage in the red zone. However, the Ravens have shown a big weakness to the pass – 27th in the league vs. the pass (270.5 ypg) – and ranks second worst in protecting against big plays (20 or more yards), getting bombed for 16 passing plays of 20-plus gains.

Enter the Falcons, who do nothing but air it out to a talented receiving corps. Atlanta is tied for tops in the league in red-zone TD percentage (75%) but actually rarely needs to get inside the 20-yard line to score. It averages just 2.0 red-zone scoring attempts per game, usually finding paydirt from deep. The Falcons pick up 12.1 yards per completion - 10.3 on the road. While Atlanta doesn’t perform as well away from the Georgia Dome, oddsmakers are expecting some fireworks with this total hovering around 49 points.

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-6.5, 48)

Giants’ dominance in Dallas vs. Cowboys’ crappy home field

On paper, the Giants should be crapping their pants hitting the road after being shutout and visiting a team that just handled the defending Super Bowl champs in the most hostile of territories last week. But, the G-Men are right at home in AT&T Stadium. New York has won four of its previous five trips to “Jerrassic Park” SU and ATS, including the Cowboys stadium opener in which Eli Manning tagged the visitors’ locker room back in 2009.

The “Ba-gillion” dollar stadium draws pigskin patrons from all over, making it a destination for visiting fans. The Cowboys have complained all season about how loud the stadium gets when they’re trying to pick up a key third down, with Tony Romo slyly pleading with Dallas fans to fill the seats even joking that he would resort to buying tickets himself to keep the rival roars at bay. “If I need to, it would be worth it,” Romo told Fox Sports.

San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos (-6.5, 49.5)

49ers’ late-game defense vs. Broncos’ altitude edge

A big part of the Niners’ return to form has been their defense late in games. Over the past three games, in which San Francisco has won three straight and outscored opponents 79-55, the 49ers have allowed an average of just 3.3 points in the second half in that stretch and have given up just a single field goal in the fourth quarter in that three-game winning run.

That stingy stop unit and its ability to tighten up in the final frames will be put to the test by the thin air of Mile High. The Niners defense could be sucking wind with the Broncos expected to pick up the pace with a no-huddle attack. Denver will attempt to wear down this defense, especially at linebacker where San Francisco was already thin and now dealing with an injury to defensive captain Patrick Willis. The Broncos are averaging 17 points per second half in their last three games - 13.7 points per fourth quarter.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Some NFL trends to ponder with Week 7 upon us........

-- Chargers covered four of last five as a home favorite.

-- Giants covered six of last eight as a divisional underdog.

-- Denver is 13-5 in last 18 games as a home favorite.

-- Dolphins are 5-9 in last 14 games as a road underdog.

-- St Louis is 6-2 in last eight games as a divisional home dog.

-- Washington covered twice in its last seven home games.

**********


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for this weekend........

13) Chiefs-Chargers is an interesting game out west; Bolts have dominated series lately, but their two wins over KC last year were both by a FG.

12) Baylor lost 70-63 the last time they visited Morgantown; they beat WVU 73-42 LY in Waco. Bears gained over 1,500 total yards in the two games. Not sure why, but WVU coach Holgorsen has cooler full of Red Bull on his sidelines during games, just for him.

11) Bengals are 0-1-1 since their bye, which came at a bad time, when they were 3-0. Colts won their last four games after an 0-2 start. This will be a fun game.

10) UCLA is favored at Cal, but Bruins lost their last seven visits to Berkeley, the last five by 14+ points. If they lose this week, especially with UCLA coming off a loss, it’ll be a major upset.

9) Falcons’ owner Arthur Blank was quoted this week as being unhappy with his team’s 2-4 start, which makes sense, but given how dreadful Atlanta’s defense has been, will heads roll if Atlanta doesn’t make the playoffs this year?

8) Royals-Giants World Series will be first time since 1918 (in a non-strike year) that neither World Series team will have won 90 regular season games. Royals are like Colorado was a few years ago, getting very hot at the perfect time.

7) Saints are 0-10 vs spread in last ten road games; they visit defensively-stout Detroit, which is struggling on offense with star WR Calvin Johnson hobbled.

6) Last three Nebraska-Northwestern games were decided by total of seven points; Wildcats collapsed at end of LY’s game, blowing big second half lead to Nebraska. Can they beat the Cornhuskers this year?

5) Dallas won its last five games; Murray has chance to be first RB ever to start season with seven 100+-yard games. Can Giants protect Eli? If not, this’ll be a long day for Big Blue.

4) Kentucky is improved, which is a good thing, seeing as they lost their last three visits to LSU by combined score of 118-7. Tigers are young and slowly getting better; you better get ‘em this year.

3) Carson Palmer leads the 4-1 Cardinals into Oakland, where he played in 2011-12. Rookie QB Carr played his best game in near-miss vs Chargers last week. This is a game the first-place Cardinals have to win, to stay ahead of favored 49ers/Seahawks.

2) Sure is a lot of drama around the Florida State program, kind of like UNLV’s old basketball teams; lot of drama, but they just keep on winning. Notre Dame gave up 43 points at home to North Carolina last week; what will Heisman Trophy winner Winston hang on them? What were the odds of a TE named O’Leary playing for FSU and not the Fighting Irish?

1) Patrick Willis won’t play when the 49ers visit Denver this week, bad news for a 49er defense playing on short week after their strong second half showing in St Louis. Broncos are 2-0 since their bye, scoring 72 points.

[Udog]

Where the action is: Sunday's biggest NFL Week 7 line moves

Lines for Week 7 of the NFL season have been juking and jiving since late Sunday night. We look at some of the most notable line adjustments and get insight into the action from Scott Kaminsky of TheGreek.com.

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions – Open: 52, Move: 47

At first glance, a matchup between these two teams would demand nothing but Over action. However, with Detroit’s offense sputtering along and the Saints’ struggles on the road, most of the money has walked this number down as much as five points heading into the weekend.

“In hindsight, we opened this total too high due to the fact both teams look like they are going to be missing their big weapons in (Jimmy) Graham and (Calvin) Johnson respectively,” says Kaminsky. “Also throw in the fact Detroit leads the league in defense. The wildcard factor here is how bad New Orleans’ defense is. We moved it rather quickly so we don't have a lot of liability due to those factors.”


Tennessee Titans at Washington Redskins – Open: -4, Move: -6

Books opened Washington as a 4-point home favorite against a Titans squad starting backup QB Charlie Whitehurst again. Tennessee is coming off a victory over Jacksonville, which is far from enough to convince bettors to back them on the road in Week 7 – even against a Redskins team that has lost four in a row (1-3 ATS).

“It seems a little on the high side considering Washington has only have one win and that was against Jacksonville,” says Kaminsky. “Tennessee hasn't fared much better but they do have an impressive win over Kansas City and have been competitive against similar competition against weakfish teams like the Redskins. We will need Tennessee to cover here come kickoff.”


Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars – Open: +4, Move: +6

Behind the Cowboys, the Browns were the most talked-about team in the NFL this week. Cleveland is off back-to-back wins and is 3-0-2 ATS on the year. Early money jumped Cleveland in this road game, pushing the spread to the key number of six. However, buy back took the Jaguars there and has this spread bouncing between Cleveland -5 and the half-point hook.

“The Browns offense has been one of the more surprising aspects thus far ranking 10th in points scored,” notes Kaminsky.


New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys – Open: -5, Move: -7

This game opened with New York as a 5-point road underdog after Dallas invaded CenturyLink Field and took a win from the 12th Man in Week 6. Then the G-Men were promptly handed their own asses in a 27-0 blanking versus Philadelphia on Sunday Night Football. The line quickly jumped to a touchdown at some spot with money on the red-hot Cowboys.

“The X-factor here is the Dallas defense, which ranks ninth in points allowed. Put that together with their league leading rushing and the fact the Giants have suddenly had a relapse for the worse, and we are expecting the Cowboys to win easily,” says Kaminsky. “After opening the game Dallas -5.5 we kept the side on the high side compared to the market, drawing Giant money and will need the Cowboys in this game.”