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**Udog** · 10-13-2014, 08:16 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Top six best bets in the Westgate contest went 2-4 Sunday, are 19-15 this year.

-- Kevin Durant has a broken foot, is out 6-8 weeks; you wonder if he had an issue with the foot this summer, when he begged off the national team.

-- Adrian Peterson is still owned in 52% of Yahoo fantasy leagues.

-- Cardinals are only NFL team not to throw an INT this season.

-- The President of Navajo Nation sat in the Redskins' box in Arizona yesterday, with owner Dan Snyder. The president and his wife were wearing Redskin caps.

-- Mississippi State is the new #1 team in college football. Uncharted territory for the Bulldogs.

Happy Thanksgiving to all our friends north of the border.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Summing up a sports Sunday....

13) Broncos 31, Jets 17-- Bad beat #1 of the day: Aqib Talib ran a pick-6 back with 0:15 left to cover the spread for Denver, which had 101 penalty yards, compared to nine for the Jets. Denver was +2 in turnovers, outgained the Jets 359-204.

12) Browns 31, Steelers 10-- Cleveland beat Pitt for just third time in last 23 tries, but lost center Alex Mack (broken leg) for season. Steelers didn't score a TD on any of its three red zone drives. Browns averaged 11.7 yards per pass attempt.

11) Titans 16, Jaguars 14-- Tennessee was outgained by 89 yards, but was +2 in turnovers, had 15-yard edge in field position. Steve Beuerlein broadcast the game; he blasted Jags' coach Gus Bradley's replay challenges; don't get lot of that on network TV. Jacksonville is 0-6; this was their first cover this season.

10) Bears 27, Falcons 13-- Atlanta couldn't stop the Bears on third down in second half, once they tied game 13-13; Chicago rang up 478 yards, won field position for first time this year. Falcons are now 0-4 when they score less than 37 points.

9) Packers 27, Dolphins 24-- Green Bay drove 60 yards in 2:01, scored winning TD with 0:03 left, winning its third straight game. Pack kicked FG to make it 24-20 with 4:09 left; on ensuing drive, Miami threw ball four times, ran it three, giving ball back to Aaron Rodgers with 2:04 left.

8) Lions 17, Vikings 3-- Detroit won in Twin Cities for just second time in last 17 visits, sacking Bridgewater eight times, picking him off three more, holding Vikings to 212 yards. Teams conbined to convert 4 of 27 on third down; Stafford was only 1-9 on passes that went more than ten yards downfield.

7) Panthers 37, Bengals 37-- Each team kicked FG in OT, then Nugent missed from 36 yards on last play of game, as Panthers got first tie in franchise history. Bengals had 119 penalty yards; teams combined to get eight first downs via penalty, tied for second-most in any NFL game this season.

6) Patriots 37, Bills 22-- Brady passed for 361 yards, four TDs; NE was 7-15 on third down, +3 in turnovers, won field position by 12 yards as they beat the Bills for 26th time in last 28 meetings. Bills' defenders didn't carry Jim Schwartz off the field this week, the way they did last week in Detroit. Go figure.

5) Ravens 48, Buccaaneers 17-- Flacco had five TD passes with 13:57 left in half; last QB to throw six TD passes in first half was Daryle Lamonica in '69, which was an AFL game but records got absorbed by merger. 60,041 tickets were sold for this mismatch; game was 38-0 at half. A refund is in order.

4) Chargers 31, Raiders 28-- Rookie Carr threw for 283 yards, four TDs despite numerous drops. San Diego scored 10 points in last 5:52 to pull this game out- they lost field position by 10 yards. NFL teams that lost field position by 10+ yards this season are now 1-31.

3) Cowboys 30, Seahawks 23-- Seattle led 10-0 on blocked punt/TD; its only other TD was on 14-yard drive, as Dallas outgained them 401-206, ran ball for 162 yards, converted 10-17 on 3rd down. TV executives are popping champagne at thought of Dallas being a contender. Good way to keep public's focus on the field.

2) Cardinals 30, Redskins 20-- Washington had ball five times in 4th quarter; four turnovers and a TD. You turn ball over four times in a quarter, you lose. You throw a pick-6 with 0:12 left down 23-20, you don't beat the spread either. This was bad beat of the day #2; if you had a Denver/Arizona parlay, the gods liked you today.

1) Eagles 27, Giants 0-- Very bad night for the Giants: Philly played its A-game here, and Victor Cruz tore his patellar tendon; in next five games, Giants play Dallas (twice) and Colts-49ers-Seattle. Very tough. Through six weeks, home favorites are now 8-10 vs spread in divisional games.

**Udog** · 10-13-2014, 08:17 AM

NCAAF opening line report: Hard to trust Notre Dame vs. Florida State

Yes, we’re heading into Week 8 of the 2014 college football season. But this week, we’re gonna party like its 1993.

Notre Dame at Florida State (-12.5)

Back then, unbeaten and top-ranked Florida State faced unbeaten and second-ranked Notre Dame in a late-season battle that the host fighting Irish won, 31-24. Notre Dame faltered a week later, though, losing to Boston College, while the Seminoles rebounded and ultimately won the national title.

Twenty-one years later, both are unbeaten again, and defending national champion Florida State will get to host Notre Dame this Saturday. The winner keeps alive hopes to reach the four-team playoff, and the loser is on the outside looking in. The No. 2 ‘Noles (6-0 SU) have been awful against the number, at 1-5 ATS, failing to cover as 23-point chalks in a 38-20 win at Syracuse last weekend. The fifth-ranked Irish (6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS) struggled Saturday, holding on for a 50-43 win over North Carolina as a 16.5-point favorite.

John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu, is wary of both sides – but more so Notre Dame.

“We still haven’t seen that convincing, marquee win from Florida State. Perhaps they’ve just been going through the motions,” Lester said. “This could be the week, as Notre Dame isn’t nearly as deep from a talent perspective. The Irish always have their supporters, but they’re tough to trust right now, from a sharp standpoint.”

Texas A&M Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide (-12.5)

Another week, another key clash in the Southeastern Conference, which continues to eat its own – with the exception of Mississippi State and Mississippi, whom A&M has lost to over the past two weekends to soil its season. On Saturday, the Aggies got drubbed at home by Ole Miss 35-20 as a 2.5-point fave.

Alabama bounced back from its loss at Mississippi by narrowly outlasting Arkansas 14-13, falling well short as a 9-point road chalk.

“Going back to last week, I called for the Aggies to get upset at home (by Mississippi,)” Lester said. “The Johnny Manziel hype is over; this is a bad defense with a decent offense. The Tide is poised for a breakout game, and this should be it. The Alabama offense will find its footing here.”

Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma Sooners (-9.5)

Oklahoma (5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS) has proven vulnerable the past two weekends, losing outright 37-33 at Texas Christian laying 3.5 points, then struggling to hold off overmatched Texas in a 31-26 win as a 16.5-point fave in the Red River Rivalry at the Cotton Bowl. Kansas State (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, coming off a bye, suffered its only loss against Auburn (20-14 catching 7 points at home last month). The Wildcats have cashed their last three in a row, most recently a 45-13 beatdown of Texas Tech giving 14 points at home.

“Is the blueprint out on Oklahoma?” Lester said. “Granted, it’s seen two very sound defenses recently, but Kansas State brings another one to the table, and Bill Snyder does a fine job getting his kids ready with extra preparation. The Wildcats aren’t the sexy team in this matchup, but I bet they keep it very close.”

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Christian Horned Frogs (-9.5)

TCU (4-1 SU) is the only team in the nation with a perfect ATS mark, cashing in all five of its games – though Mississippi and Virginia are both 5-0-1. After upending Oklahoma 37-33 getting 3.5 points two weekends ago, the Horned Frogs blew a big lead and lost a shootout at No. 3 Baylor 61-58, but covered as a 7-point underdog.

Since losing its season opener at home to Florida State, Oklahoma State (5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS) has peeled off five consecutive SU wins. But the Cowboys have alternated ATS wins and losses all season, winning 27-20 at Kansas on Saturday, well short of covering as 19.5-point chalks.

“You always know what you’re going to get with Gary Patterson’s (TCU) squads – sound defense and sound special teams,” Lester said. “But the offense goes as the quarterback goes, and Trevone Boykin is erratic. This is the Cowboys’ first test since their opener against Florida State, so we will certainly see what they’re made of.”

**Udog** · 10-13-2014, 08:18 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, October 13

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BALTIMORE (99 - 68) at KANSAS CITY (95 - 73) - 8:05 PM
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 95-73 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 20-7 (+11.9 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 15-5 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
KANSAS CITY is 91-70 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 69-48 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in playoff games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 55-40 (+10.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 21-11 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
KANSAS CITY is 49-35 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KANSAS CITY is 22-15 (+8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
GUTHRIE is 38-27 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 19-12 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 39-29 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 29-18 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 17-11 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 100-68 (+37.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 48-35 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 15-5 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-21 (+21.0 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 89-61 (+31.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 73-38 (+40.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 77-49 (+32.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 43-25 (+20.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 48-29 (+25.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 34-17 (+21.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CHEN is 20-12 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 20-8 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 18-9 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 6-3 (+2.8 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

WEI-YIN CHEN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
CHEN is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.418.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+3.9 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GUTHRIE is 2-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.4 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 13

Orioles-Royals
Chen is 0-2, 6.89 in his last three starts, 1-0, 5.40 in two playoff starts, 1-0, 2.19 in his two starts against the Royals this season.

Former Oriole Guthrie is making first postseason appearance after 11 years and 1,616 IP; he is 3-0, 1.33 in his last three starts, was 0-1, 3.60 in two starts vs Baltimore this year. Guthrie was an Oriole from 2007-11.

Orioles allowed 14 runs in losing first two series games; they've lost three of their last four road games.

Royals won seven games in row and 12 of last 14, with 11 of those 14 on road. KC won its last three home games.

Chen 20-12..........10-32 first inning
Guthrie 19-13......12-32 first inning

MLB

Monday, October 13

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Trend Report
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8:07 PM
BALTIMORE vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games

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MLB

Monday, October 13

O's producing high totals on grass

Game 3 of the ALCS goes Monday, and after jumping out to a 2-0 lead, the Kansas City Royals will look to keep the momentum going as the series shifts to Missouri.

The Royals have now won six straight playoff games. Despite their recent struggles, the O's have had no problem producing high totals on grass surfaces, as the Over is 7-1 in Baltimore's last eight games on grass. Over bettors will hope that trend continues when the two teams face off at Kauffman Stadium - a natural surface.

Wei-Yen Chen will get the ball for Baltimore, while Jeremy Guthrie counters on the bump for K.C.

The Royals are currently -110 faves on the moneyline with a total of 7.5.

**Udog** · 10-13-2014, 08:19 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 13

Hot teams
-- Montreal won first three games, all by one goal, last two in SOs.

Cold teams
-- Colorado was outscored 8-0 in losing first two games, both to Minnesota. Bruins lost two of their first three games.
-- Buffalo lost its first two games, outscored 9-3. Ducks split first two games allowing eight goals, both on road.
-- Florida lost its first two games, scoring total of three goals. Ottawa split first two games, both 3-2 road games.
-- Lightning split first two games, with both games either in OT or SO.

Series records
-- Visiting team won last six Colorado-Boston games.
-- Ducks won six of last nine vs Buffalo, beating them 6-3/6-2 last year.
-- Ottawa is 13-5 in last 18 games vs Florida; teams split last six meetings.
-- Canadiens swept Tampa Bay in playoffs LY; they're 9-3 in last 12 vs Lightning, overall.

Totals
-- Last three Colorado-Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last six Anaheim-Buffalo games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Ottawa-Florida games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-2-2 in last nine Montreal-Tampa Bay games.

NHL

Monday, October 13

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:00 PM
COLORADO vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Colorado
Boston is 5-11-1 SU in its last 17 games ,when playing Colorado

3:00 PM
ANAHEIM vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Anaheim

7:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. TAMPA BAY
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games
Ottawa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Florida is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games when playing Ottawa

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NHL

Monday, October 13

Avalanche failing to find the back of the net

The Colorado Avalanche have started the season slower than slow, being blanked in their first two games 5-0 and 3-0 by the Minnesota Wild.

The Avs weren't blanked in back-to-back games at all last season and captain Gabriel Landeskog thinks there is a reason for that.

"I don't think we're paying the price enough," Landeskog said. "We're being too fancy. It's little details."

The Avs visit the Boston Bruins in Monday afternoon action and will try to break their goal-scoring drought.

Krejci may play versus Avalanche Monday

Boston Bruins head coach Claude Julien says center David Krejci may be ready to go as they host the Colorado Avalanche Monday.

According to Amalie Benjamin of the Boston Globe, Julie said he's awaiting official medical clearance but that the possibility of Krejci playing Monday is "looking good."

The Bruins have lost two-straight games after winning their season opener 2-1 over the Philadelphia Flyers.

Habs love facing Tampa Bay

The Montreal Canadiens have had the Tampa Bay Lightning's number in recent matchups, as the Habs have won each of their last four games against Tampa Bay.

They'll renew acquaintances in the Sunshine State Monday. The Lightning are currently -132 faves on the moneyline with a total of 5.5.

**Udog** · 10-13-2014, 08:51 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Baltimore at Kansas City
The Orioles look to break through with their first win of the series and come into tonight' game with a 10-2 record in their last 12 Monday games. Baltimore is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 13

Game 950-960: Baltimore at Kansas City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 16.402; Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.831
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Under

**Udog** · 10-13-2014, 08:53 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Montreal at Tampa Bay
The Canadiens head to Tampa Bay tonight where they are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with the Lightning. Montreal is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Canadiens favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 13

Game 51-52: Colorado at Boston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.309; Boston 12.845
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-175); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-175); Under

Game 53-54: Anaheim at Buffalo (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 13.398; Buffalo 10.819
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-180); Over

Game 55-56: Montreal at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.870; Tampa Bay 11.719
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+115); Under

Game 57-58: Ottawa at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.852; Florida 12.296
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+100); Over

**Udog** · 10-13-2014, 09:18 AM

NHL

Monday, October 13

Road favorites heating up the ice

We are just about a week into the new NHL season and if you have been backing road favorites you have been a happy bettor.

Teams favored away from home have put up an impressive 7-1-1 record straight up so far in this young season, good for a success rate of over 77 percent.

There are two more road favorites on tap Monday with the Anaheim Ducks (-176) favored at Buffalo and Ottawa (-113) favored at Florida.

**Udog** · 10-13-2014, 09:22 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 13

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COLORADO (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) at BOSTON (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/13/2014, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 55-36 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 17-10 ATS (+27.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 95-65 ATS (+28.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
COLORADO is 28-9 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 170-143 ATS (-47.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-1 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 1-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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ANAHEIM (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at BUFFALO (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/13/2014, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 62-35 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 30-14 ATS (+12.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 173-143 ATS (+27.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 32-12 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 15-3 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 21-63 ATS (-75.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 2-0-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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MONTREAL (3-0-0-0, 6 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (1-0-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/13/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 59-43 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 27-15 ATS (+9.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 7-3 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 7-3-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.9 Units, Under=-0.0 Units)

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OTTAWA (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at FLORIDA (0-1-0-1, 1 pts.) - 10/13/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 10-20 ATS (-10.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 144-170 ATS (+337.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
FLORIDA is 131-162 ATS (-65.2 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-3 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 4-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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**Udog** · 10-13-2014, 12:22 PM

NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, October 13

Colorado at Boston, 1:05 ET
Colorado: 15-0 SU off a home loss
Boston: 11-1 SU off a home loss

Anaheim at Buffalo, 3:05 ET
Anaheim: 21-6 SU off a road win
Buffalo: 20-60 SU as an underdog

Montreal at Tampa Bay, 7:35 ET
Montreal: 27-15 SU vs. division opponents
Tampa Bay: 4-10 SU after 2 consecutive division games

Ottawa at Florida, 7:35 ET
Ottawa: 2-12 SU off a home loss by 2 goals or more
Florida: 11-29 SU after playing a home game

MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, October 13

AL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 3 - KC leads 2-0

Baltimore at Kansas City, 8:05 ET
Chen: 20-12 TSR in all games
Guthrie: KANSAS CITY 15-5 OVER after 4 or more consecutive wins

**Udog** · 10-13-2014, 03:30 PM

CFL
Dunkel

MONDAY, OCTOBER 13

Game 295-296: Saskatchewan at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 110.259; Montreal 111.404
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 1; 42
Vegas Line: Montreal by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+3 1/2); Under

Game 297-298: Winnipeg at Edmonton (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 103.657; Edmonton 121.225
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 17 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 8 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-8 1/2); Over

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 16

Monday, October 13

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SASKATCHEWAN (9 - 5) at MONTREAL (5 - 8) - 10/13/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 115-77 ATS (+30.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
MONTREAL is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.
MONTREAL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-0 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (6 - 8) at EDMONTON (9 - 5) - 10/13/2014, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Monday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-1 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 16

Ottawa (2-11) @ British Columbia (7-7)—Expansion RedBlacks got their second win last week, blasting Winnipeg 42-20 at home; they’re 1-5 as road underdogs, losing all six away games by 8-16-11-21-10-3 points- they’ve covered three of last four games overall. Lions lost last three games, scoring 15.7 ppg; they’re 3-4 SU at home, 2-5 as home favorites, with home wins by 36-7-17 points. BC (-9) won ugly 7-5 game at Ottawa in Week 11, forcing two turnovers (+2) in game where neither team gained 250 yards. Six of last seven Lion games, five of last seven Ottawa games stayed under the total.

Winnipeg (6-8) @ Edmonton (10-4)—Sliding Bombers lost last five games, losing by three TDs at expansion Ottawa last week; they lost 26-3 (-2) at home to Eskimos in Week 4, when both teams came into game at 3-0- Edmonton ran ball for 192 yards, outgained Winnipeg 384-241, led 13-3 at half. Eskimos won five of last six series games, taking last three by 18-8-23 points; Bombers lost last six visits here since a tie in ’07. Under is 7-3-1 in last 11 series games. Edmonton lost four of last six games, but covered last four, losing last two road games by combined total of 3 points- they’re 5-2 vs spread as favorite this year.

CFL

Week 16

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Trend Report
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Monday, October 13

1:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. MONTREAL
Saskatchewan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

4:30 PM
WINNIPEG vs. EDMONTON
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

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**Udog** · 10-13-2014, 03:32 PM

MLB

Monday, October 13

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ALCS Betting Preview: Orioles at Royals
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Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals (+102, 7.5)

The Kansas City Royals spent 28 years watching the postseason from home, and now that they’ve gotten back, they just can’t lose. The Royals go for their seventh straight win this postseason and a 3-0 lead in the American League Championship Series when they host the Baltimore Orioles in Game 3 on Monday. The Orioles have lost the battle of the bullpens in the first two games and will need to make some history in order to win the series.

No team ever has come back from a 2-0 deficit in the ALCS after losing the first two at home, a fact Baltimore has the talent to change. Adam Jones hit his first postseason homer in the Orioles’ 6-4 loss in Game 2 and insisted after the contest that the series was not over despite back-to-back late-inning meltdowns. If Baltimore hopes for a comeback, getting setup man Darren O’Day and closer Zach Britton on track would be one key, as the two have combined to allow four runs on four hits and three walks in the first two games.

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, TBS

LINE HISTORY: The Royals opened as slight -110 favorites, but the money has been coming in on the Orioles with the Kansas City moving all the way to +102. The total is set at 7.5.

INJURY REPORT: Royals - SP Yordano Ventura (day-to-day, shoulder).

WEATHER: It is expected to rain at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City. The forecast is calling for a 100 percent chance of rain and a chance of thunderstorms. There will also be a strong 15 mile per hour wind blowing in from left field.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Orioles LH Wei-Yin Chen (0-0, 12.27 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jeremy Guthrie (2014: 13-11, 4.13)

Chen was bailed out by the offense in Game 2 of the AL Division Series against Detroit after allowing five runs and seven hits in 3 2/3 innings. The Taiwan native surrendered two or fewer earned runs in each of his final five regular-season turns and held Kansas City to three runs over 12 1/3 frames in two starts earlier in 2014. Chen yielded a pair of home runs in his ALDS start and was reached for 29 blasts in 32 regular-season outings.

Guthrie missed out on the fun in the wild-card game and the ALDS but gets the nod against his former team in Game 3. The veteran spent five seasons at the top of Baltimore's staff without making the playoffs before leaving via free agency following the 2011 campaign. Guthrie finished the regular season strong, allowing a total of one earned run in 20 1/3 innings over his last three starts, but has not pitched since Sept. 26.

TRENDS:

* Orioles are 0-4 in their last four meetings with the Royals.
* Under is 4-0 in Chen's last four starts versus the Royals.
* Under is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in Kansas City.
* Orioles are 2-5 in their last seven meetings in Kansas City.

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**Udog** · 10-13-2014, 04:05 PM

MLB

Monday, October 13

Royals struggling with this ump in charge at home

Umpire Joe West will behind the plate for Game 3 of Monday's American League Championship Series matchup between the Kansas City Royals and the Baltimore Orioles in Missouri, which doesn't favor Royals backers.

In Kansas City's last four games with Joe West calling balls and strikes at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium, the Royals are 0-4.

The Orioles are curently slight -110 road faves on the moneyline with an O/U of 7.5.

**jt4545** · 10-13-2014, 04:45 PM

Thanks for the info

**Udog** · 10-13-2014, 10:15 PM

NFL Opening Line Report: Cowboys' betting bandwagon as full as ever

Week 7 of the NFL season is highlighted by the rekindling of a traditional rivalry, with one team on the rise – the Dallas Cowboys – and the other mired in a mediocre fog -- the New York Giants.

Dallas (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) is undergoing a completely unexpected resurgence, having won five in a row SU. On Sunday, the Cowboys were 10-point underdogs at Seattle, but pulled out a stunning 30-23 victory over the defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks.

New York (3-3 SU and ATS) looked as if it had gotten its season back on track, winning three in a row SU and ATS, but the Giants got completely shut down Sunday night at Philadelphia, losing 27-0 as a 1-point underdog.

John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu, expects the game to attract a lot of betting attention, with two very public teams. He held off setting a firm line, to evaluate New York after its blowout loss Sunday, in which the Giants likely lost star wideout Victor Cruz for the rest of the season with a knee injury.
“We always have loads of action on this matchup,” Lester said. “The Cowboys are obviously coming off a big win, and their betting bandwagon is as full as ever. I’m envisioning at least a 4-point spread here.”

San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos

The Niners still have unfinished Week 6 business, playing in the Monday night game at St. Louis. San Fran (3-2 SU and ATS) bounced back from two consecutive SU and ATS losses to win and cover at home against Philadelphia and Kansas City.

The Broncos (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) have covered two in a row, getting a late interception for a TD on Sunday to claim a 31-17 win laying 10 points against the host New York Jets.

“The Broncos didn’t peek ahead to this one, playing a complete game against the Jets,” Lester said. “If the Niners take care of business Monday night, we’ll probably make Denver around a 6-point favorite. This should be a good litmus test for both teams.”

Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-3)

Two of the league’s rising young quarterbacks square off in a matchup of division leaders. Andrew Luck and Indy (4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS) will come in with a little extra rest, after traveling to Houston last Thursday and winning 33-28 as a 2.5-point road fave – the Colts’ fourth consecutive win and cover.

Meanwhile, Andy Dalton and Cincy (3-1-1 SU, 3-2 ATS)have cooled off after a 3-0 SU and ATS start, getting walloped on the road at New England, then settling for a 37-37 home tie Sunday against Carolina as a 7-point favorite.

“A lot of perceptions about these teams have changed over the last few weeks,” Lester said. “The Colts appear to be hitting their stride offensively, and Cincy’s defense has sprung some leaks. With extra time to prepare and being a great team in the dome, I wanted Indy a bit higher, but we settled at the key number (-3).”

Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4)

It’s on the Monday night marquee, but these two middling franchises aren’t living up to that billing. Houston (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS) has lost two in a row SU, including last Thursday’s 33-28 home setback as a 2.5-point ‘dog against Indianapolis.

The Steelers (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) are much harder to explain. They lost at home earlier this season to hapless Tampa Bay, and they got smoked Sunday at Cleveland 31-10 catching 2.5 points.

“The casual bettor will be eager to side with the Steelers in this matchup. But that defense has certainly looked suspect the last couple of weeks,” Lester said. “The Texans can win this game if they run the ball well.”

Announcement

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 10/13 (MLB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 10/13 (MLB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

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