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  • Friday's Trends and Indexes - 10/10 (MLB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, October 10

    Good Luck on day #283 of 2014!

    At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of MLB, NHL and CFL until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    College football trends for Week 6.......

    -- Alabama covered five of last six games with Arkansas.

    -- TCU covered eight of last ten as a road underdog.

    -- Washington State covered its last six Pac-12 road games.

    -- Fresno State won last ten games with UNLV by an average score of 38-16.

    -- Minnesota covered seven of last nine games with Northwestern; road team has covered 15 of last 17 series games.

    -- Georgia Tech is 9-2-1 in last 12 games as a home favorite.

    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for this weekend.......

    13) Patriots-Bills play for first place in AFC East; when was last time Buffalo was playing for first place any time after Week 2?

    12) Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze has a tough job, taking his Rebels to Texas A&M the week after they upset Alabama and people took the goalposts down Main Street. Peaks and valleys, people.

    11) Home team won all five Atlanta games so far this season; Falcons are 2-0 at home. Devin Hester welcomes his old team, the Bears to the Georgia Dome Sunday, after Chicago fumbled away their last game, at Carolina.

    10) Underdogs are 8-1 vs spread in last nine USC-Arizona games, with last seven all decided by 7 or less points. Trojans visit Tucson this week; RichRod has his Wildcats scoring lot of points.

    9) Steelers visit Cleveland in first rematch of NFL season; every Browns game was decided in last 1:09 of play- they’ve been most interesting team in NFL so far.

    8) Auburn-Miss State is suddenly a game with national implications, after State trounced Texas A&M last week. Gus Malzahn’s offense has taken the college game by storm; not too long ago he was a high school coach in Arkansas.

    7) ALCS features a Showalter-Yost manager mismatch that’s like comparing Kate Upton to Roseanne Barr; not close. Players win games, but hard to believe Orioles don’t have a significant edge in strategy in this 7-game series.

    6) Oregon-UCLA was a marquee matchup for FOX until both teams got beat last week; still a big game in Pac-12. Wasn’t impressed by Duck QB Mariota last week; Arizona defender just took ball out of his hand on last drive last week- that should never happen.

    5) 4-1 Cowboys had to use silent count at home last week, with lot of Houston fans in their stadium; now they’ll really have to use it, playing in raucous Seattle stadium, where Seahawks covered 14 of last 19 home games. Can Dallas run ball against that defense?

    4) Alabama bludgeoned Arkansas 52-0 in each of last two meetings; Razorbacks are better this year, and Crimson Tide is off loss at Ole Miss. Harder for young QBs to excel on road; can Bielema get a statement for his rebuilding Hogs here?

    3) Good Sunday night game, Giants-Eagles. Philly allowed 27+ points in each of last four games, but they’re still 4-1. Giants won last three games, scoring 30+ points in all three games- rumors of Coughlin’s demise have apparently been exaggerated.

    2) Texas Tech already fired its defensive coordinator this year, now West Virginia comes to Lubbock with its high-powered attack. None of West Virginia's road trips are short; this is a game they need to win.

    1) Rams are honoring ’99 Super Bowl champs Monday night, with rival 49ers in town. Young St Louis team has to learn how to win; their talent level isn’t deficient anymore, but their maturity level is. 49ers have only two TDs on last eight red zone drives.

    Comment


    • #3
      CFL
      Dunkel


      Hamilton at Toronto
      The Tiger-Cats head to Toronto on Friday night and come into the contest with a 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 Friday games. Hamilton is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

      FRIDAY, OCTOBER 10

      Game 291-292 Hamilton at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)

      Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 115.862; Toronto 115.680
      Dunkel Line: Even; 47
      Vegas Line: Toronto by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+3 1/2); Under


      SATURDAY, OCTOBER 11

      Game 293-294: Ottawa at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)

      Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 99.382; BC 116.643
      Dunkel Line: BC by 17 1/2; 49
      Vegas Line: BC by 10; 44
      Dunkel Pick: BC (-10); Over


      MONDAY, OCTOBER 13

      Game 295-296: Saskatchewan at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)

      Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 110.259; Montreal 111.404
      Dunkel Line: Montreal by 1; 42
      Vegas Line: Montreal by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+3 1/2); Under

      Game 297-298: Winnipeg at Edmonton (4:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 103.657; Edmonton 121.225
      Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 17 1/2; 55
      Vegas Line: Edmonton by 8 1/2; 50 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-8 1/2); Over




      CFL
      Long Sheet


      Week 16

      Friday, October 10

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      HAMILTON (6 - 7) at TORONTO (5 - 8) - 10/10/2014, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TORONTO is 5-4 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
      HAMILTON is 5-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Saturday, October 11

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      OTTAWA (2 - 11) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 7) - 10/11/2014, 10:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OTTAWA is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
      OTTAWA is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in road lined games since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      OTTAWA is 1-0 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Monday, October 13

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SASKATCHEWAN (9 - 5) at MONTREAL (5 - 8) - 10/13/2014, 1:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 115-77 ATS (+30.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
      MONTREAL is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.
      MONTREAL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MONTREAL is 5-0 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
      MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      WINNIPEG (6 - 8) at EDMONTON (9 - 5) - 10/13/2014, 4:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Monday since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      EDMONTON is 4-1 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
      EDMONTON is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      CFL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Week 16


      Hamilton (7-7) @ Toronto (5-8)—Red-hot TigerCats won last five games after 2-7 start, holding three of last four opponents to 17 or less points; TiCats (-2.5) beat Toronto 13-12 at home in Week 9, passing for 317 yards while being held scoreless in second half- they’ve won last four series games, winning 33-19/36-24 in last two visits here. Argonauts won last two games, scored 33+ points in last three; they’re 3-2 at home, 1-1 as home favorite. TiCats are 3-2 as road underdogs. Three of last four series games stayed under total, as have last four Hamilton games. Last three Argos games went over.

      Saskatchewan (9-5) @ Montreal (6-8)—Hoege was mercifully relieved after throwing three picks in nine passes last week, as Riders lost 31-24 to Calgary, their third loss in four games, all with starting QB Durant out injured; Saskatchewan (-14) beat Alouettes 16-11 at home in Week 8, with three takeaways (+3) in game that was 4-4 at half. Home side won four of last five series games; Riders lost five of last six visits here, losing 34-28/17-12 in last two. Montreal won four of last five games, winning last three at home by 7-10-16 points. Seven of last nine series games stayed under total, as have seven of last ten Montreal games.

      Ottawa (2-11) @ British Columbia (7-7)—Expansion RedBlacks got their second win last week, blasting Winnipeg 42-20 at home; they’re 1-5 as road underdogs, losing all six away games by 8-16-11-21-10-3 points- they’ve covered three of last four games overall. Lions lost last three games, scoring 15.7 ppg; they’re 3-4 SU at home, 2-5 as home favorites, with home wins by 36-7-17 points. BC (-9) won ugly 7-5 game at Ottawa in Week 11, forcing two turnovers (+2) in game where neither team gained 250 yards. Six of last seven Lion games, five of last seven Ottawa games stayed under the total.

      Winnipeg (6-8) @ Edmonton (10-4)—Sliding Bombers lost last five games, losing by three TDs at expansion Ottawa last week; they lost 26-3 (-2) at home to Eskimos in Week 4, when both teams came into game at 3-0- Edmonton ran ball for 192 yards, outgained Winnipeg 384-241, led 13-3 at half. Eskimos won five of last six series games, taking last three by 18-8-23 points; Bombers lost last six visits here since a tie in ’07. Under is 7-3-1 in last 11 series games. Edmonton lost four of last six games, but covered last four, losing last two road games by combined total of 3 points- they’re 5-2 vs spread as favorite this year.




      CFL

      Week 16


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Friday, October 10

      7:00 PM
      HAMILTON vs. TORONTO
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
      Hamilton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
      Toronto is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Hamilton


      Saturday, October 11

      10:00 PM
      OTTAWA vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
      Ottawa is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ottawa's last 11 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of British Columbia's last 8 games at home
      British Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa


      Monday, October 13

      1:00 PM
      SASKATCHEWAN vs. MONTREAL
      Saskatchewan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
      Saskatchewan is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Montreal
      Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

      4:30 PM
      WINNIPEG vs. EDMONTON
      Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
      Edmonton is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
      Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg


      -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      CFL

      Week 16



      Tiger-Cats' low scoring offense has led to unders

      The Hamilton Tiger-Cats offense has been falling off the map over the past two months. The Ti-Cats have gone under in six of their past seven contests.

      The team from 'Steel Town' is averaging 21.7 points per game and have averaged 40.9 ppg accumulative with their opponents over that time.

      The total for the Ti-Cats and Argos is currently 52.5.

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Dunkel


        Kansas City at Baltimore
        The Royals head to Baltimore to face the Orioles in Game 1 of the ALCS on Friday and come into the contest with a 6-0 record in their last 6 games as an underdog. Kansas City is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

        FRIDAY, OCTOBER 10

        Game 951-952: Kansas City at Baltimore (8:00 p.m. EST)

        Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 16.403; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.988
        Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 8
        Vegas Line: Baltimore (-130); 7
        Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110); Over




        MLB
        Long Sheet

        Friday, October 10


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        KANSAS CITY (93 - 73) at BALTIMORE (99 - 66) - 8:05 PM
        JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
        Top Trends for this game.
        BALTIMORE is 100-66 (+39.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
        BALTIMORE is 38-22 (+13.0 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
        BALTIMORE is 52-31 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
        BALTIMORE is 89-59 (+34.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
        BALTIMORE is 73-36 (+42.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
        BALTIMORE is 77-47 (+34.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
        BALTIMORE is 56-42 (+17.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
        BALTIMORE is 48-27 (+27.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        BALTIMORE is 34-15 (+23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
        TILLMAN is 26-10 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
        TILLMAN is 39-21 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
        TILLMAN is 24-9 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
        TILLMAN is 20-7 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
        TILLMAN is 16-9 (+7.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
        TILLMAN is 11-4 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
        TILLMAN is 18-10 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
        KANSAS CITY is 93-73 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
        KANSAS CITY is 29-19 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
        KANSAS CITY is 16-9 (+8.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
        KANSAS CITY is 49-34 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
        KANSAS CITY is 11-3 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday this season.
        KANSAS CITY is 89-70 (+6.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
        KANSAS CITY is 67-48 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
        KANSAS CITY is 67-52 (+5.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
        KANSAS CITY is 53-40 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
        KANSAS CITY is 47-35 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        KANSAS CITY is 45-34 (+14.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        SHIELDS is 44-26 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
        SHIELDS is 14-4 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
        SHIELDS is 15-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
        SHIELDS is 7-1 (+6.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
        SHIELDS is 13-4 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
        SHIELDS is 9-2 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. (Team's Record)
        SHIELDS is 14-3 (+10.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
        SHIELDS is 8-0 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
        SHIELDS is 7-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
        BALTIMORE is 16-26 (-13.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        KANSAS CITY is 4-3 (+0.6 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
        5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units)

        JAMES SHIELDS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
        SHIELDS is 11-7 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.214.
        His team's record is 15-11 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-12. (-1.0 units)

        CHRIS TILLMAN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
        TILLMAN is 2-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.20 and a WHIP of 1.413.
        His team's record is 3-2 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Saturday, October 11

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SAN FRANCISCO (92 - 75) at ST LOUIS (93 - 73) - 8:05 PM
        MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
        Top Trends for this game.
        ST LOUIS is 199-146 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        ST LOUIS is 53-30 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
        ST LOUIS is 53-30 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
        ST LOUIS is 43-31 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        ST LOUIS is 24-14 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
        WAINWRIGHT is 24-9 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
        WAINWRIGHT is 32-13 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
        WAINWRIGHT is 10-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
        WAINWRIGHT is 48-23 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
        SAN FRANCISCO is 92-75 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 46-38 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 16-8 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 3 seasons.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 92-75 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 86-73 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 61-45 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in playoff games over the last 3 seasons.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 52-39 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 21-17 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        BUMGARNER is 14-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
        BUMGARNER is 14-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
        BUMGARNER is 12-2 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season. (Team's Record)
        ST LOUIS is 46-45 (-7.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SAN FRANCISCO is 4-3 (+1.3 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

        MADISON BUMGARNER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
        BUMGARNER is 3-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.184.
        His team's record is 3-5 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-6. (-5.3 units)

        ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
        WAINWRIGHT is 5-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.86 and a WHIP of 1.131.
        His team's record is 6-5 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-2.2 units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        KANSAS CITY (93 - 73) at BALTIMORE (99 - 66) - 4:05 PM
        YORDANO VENTURA (R) vs. WEI-YIN CHEN (L)
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        KANSAS CITY is 4-3 (+0.6 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
        5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units)

        YORDANO VENTURA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
        VENTURA is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.26 and a WHIP of 1.186.
        His team's record is 1-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

        WEI-YIN CHEN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
        CHEN is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.418.
        His team's record is 3-3 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+3.9 units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        MLB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Friday, October 10


        Royals-Orioles
        Shields is 1-1, 4.40 in his last five starts, 3-4, 4.96 in eight postseason starts; he is 2-0, 3.21 against Baltimore this season.

        Tillman is 3-1, 3.03 in his last five starts; he threw nine shutout innings in his only '14 start vs Kansas City, but didn't get a decision. Tillman allowed two runs in five IP in winning his first postseason start.

        Royals won ten of last twelve games, including last five in row; they're 8-2 in their last ten road games.

        Orioles won last four games, allowing 10 runs; they're 22-6 in last 28 at home.




        MLB

        Friday, October 10


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        8:07 PM
        KANSAS CITY vs. BALTIMORE
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing Baltimore
        Kansas City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Baltimore
        Baltimore is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Kansas City
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        MLB

        Friday, October 10


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        ALCS Betting Preview: Royals at Orioles
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ALCS Betting Preview: Royals at Orioles (-125, 7)

        The Kansas City Royals are entering their first American League Championship Series since winning the World Series in 1985. The Baltimore Orioles, who host the Royals in Game 1 of the ALCS on Friday, are back for the first time since 1997 and are searching for the franchise’s first pennant since 1983. The Orioles and Kansas City present a contrast of styles but got to the ALCS the same way – with strong starting pitching and dominant bullpen work.

        Baltimore led the majors in home runs and was last in stolen bases during the regular season while Kansas City was last in home runs but sat on top in stolen bases. The Royals do all the things well that teams need to do to win without hitting home runs, including playing great defense, but started to power up in the postseason with key extra-inning blasts from Mike Moustakas and Eric Hosmer. Even without Manny Machado, Chris Davis and Matt Wieters in the lineup, the Orioles pounded Detroit pitching in the ALDS behind a strong series from Nelson Cruz and consistent production from Nick Markakis in the leadoff spot.

        TV:
        8:07 p.m. ET, TBS

        LINE HISTORY:
        The Orioles opened as -120 favorites and are now up to -125. The total is set at 7.0.

        INJURY REPORT:
        Orioles - 1B Chris Davis (out indefinitely, suspension).

        WEATHER REPORT:
        There is a 74 percent chance of rain at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, while temperatures will be in the mid 50's. There will also be a slight five mile per hour wind blowing in from center field.

        PITCHING MATCHUP:
        Royals RH James Shields (1-0, 4.91 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Chris Tillman (1-0, 3.60)

        “Big Game” James was bailed out by his offense after allowing four runs in five innings in the wild-card game against Oakland and surrendered a pair of solo home runs before earning the win over Los Angeles in his lone ALDS start. The free agent to-be’s big-game reputation outpaces the actual results as he is 3-4 with a 4.96 ERA in eight career postseason starts, including 0-2 in the ALCS. Shields picked up a pair of wins over the Orioles earlier this season, yielding a total of five runs and 12 hits in 14 innings.

        Tillman battled through five innings against Detroit in Game 1 of the ALDS and held the Tigers to a pair of solo home runs in earning the win. The 26-year-old completed seven innings only once in his last seven starts but issued only one walk against Detroit while striking out six. Tillman had no trouble going deep into the game against the Royals on May 16, when he tossed a five-hit shutout.

        TRENDS:


        * Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Baltimore.
        * Under is 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings.
        * Royals are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
        * Orioles are 20-6 in their last 26 home games versus a team with a winning record.

        CONSENSUS:
        Just over 63 percent of wagers are backing the Orioles at -125.


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Dunkel


          NY Islanders at Carolina
          The Islanders open up their season in Carolina tonight against a Hurricanes team that is 1-5 in its last 6 home games. New York is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Islanders favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

          FRIDAY, OCTOBER 10

          Game 1-2: NY Islanders at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)

          Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.598; Carolina 10.291
          Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 6
          Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-120); 5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-120); Over




          NHL
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Friday, October 10


          Hot teams
          Not a lot to go on this early in the season, but after a week or so, we'll have good knowledge in this space every day until the Stanley Cup is hoisted next spring.

          -- Only one NHL game tonight.

          Cold teams
          --

          Series records
          -- Carolina won six of last seven games with the Islanders.

          Totals
          -- Over is 11-4 in last fifteen Carolina-Islander games.




          NHL

          Friday, October 10


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          7:00 PM
          NY ISLANDERS vs. CAROLINA
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of the NY Islanders last 9 games when playing Carolina
          NY Islanders are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing Carolina
          Carolina is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Carolina's last 15 games


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL
            Long Sheet

            Friday, October 10


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NY ISLANDERS (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) at CAROLINA (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/10/2014, 7:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CAROLINA is 5-1 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
            CAROLINA is 5-1-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




            NHL
            Short Sheet

            Friday, October 10


            NY Islanders at Carolina, 7:05 ET
            NY Islanders: 21-20 SU in road games
            Carolina: 34-46 SU in all games




            MLB
            Short Sheet

            Friday, October 10


            AL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 1

            Kansas City at Baltimore, 8:05 ET

            Shields: KANSAS CITY 33-17 UNDER after scoring 8 runs or more
            Tillman: 9-2 TSR at home when the money line is +125 to -125

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB

              Friday, October 10



              Royals entering ALCS thriving as the underdog

              The Kansas City Royals are entering Game 1 of the ALCS as the underdog, which is a role they have relished. The Royals have won their last six straight games as the dog.

              Kansas City is currently +117 for Game 1 against the Baltimore Orioles Friday.


              Tillman not disappointing as the favorite

              Chris Tillman takes to the mound for the favored Baltimore Orioles in Game 1 of the ALCS Friday. That spells good things for the O's, as Tillman has won his last eight starts as the favorite.

              During that stretch Tillman has not allowed more than three runs once and has held opposing teams to less than five hits per game.


              Shields one of the best away pitchers in baseball

              There may be no better traveling pitcher in baseball this season than James Shields. In the righties starts on the road this season he is 10-2 with a 2.97 ERA, which is 0.32 points lower than his season average.

              'Big Game James' also sports a stellar 104-27 strikeout-to-walks ratio on the visiting mound this season.

              Comment


              • #8
                Thank u dog
                jt4545


                Fat Tuesday's - Home

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