Announcement

**Udog** · 10-08-2014, 04:30 PM

NFL opening line report: Colts road chalk at Texans

Going into the 2014 NFL season, nobody thought too much about the Dallas Cowboys. They’ve been the poster child for mediocrity for pretty much the entire 21st century.

But after five weeks, Dallas (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) looks surprisingly solid, and it will play in the marquee game of Week 6 when the Cowboys travel to Seattle to face the defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks (2-1 SU and ATS). The Cowboys outlasted Houston 20-17 Sunday, falling short as 5-point home chalk but winning SU for the fourth consecutive week.

The Seahawks had a bye in Week 4 after edging Denver 26-20 in overtime as a 4-point home favorite in Week 3. They still have unfinished business in Week 5 – they travel to face Washington in the Monday night game, so there’s no line on the Cowboys-Seahawks contest yet.

John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu, expects an uphill battle for Dallas, despite its current upswing.

“Bettors are hopping back on the Cowboys bandwagon, but I think they'll shy away from this one,” Lester said. “The Seahawks are on a short week, but with the massive home-field advantage, we’ll have to make Dallas at least a touchdown dog.”

Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) at Houston Texans

The AFC South is either mediocre or awful – Indy and Houston are both 3-2 SU, Tennessee is 1-4 SU and Jacksonville is a dismal 0-5 SU. So the best of the batch meet in Houston for the Thursday night game.

The Colts (4-1 ATS) fended off Baltimore 20-13 Sunday to cash as 2.5-point favorites, while the Texans (also 4-1 ATS) came up short in a 20-17 overtime loss at Dallas, but covered as 5-point underdogs.

“The Colts are the better team, which is why we made them road chalk,” Lester said. “Defense will have to keep the Texans in it, and it could, because I don't think they have enough offensively to hang with Indy.”

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (-3)

Back in Week 3, Atlanta (2-3 SU and ATS) plastered Tampa Bay 56-14. But the Falcons have had nothing since, getting trounced 41-28 at undermanned Minnesota as a 5-point fave, then losing 30-20 Sunday to the New York Giants as a 4-point road pup.

Chicago (2-3 SU and ATS) has also been up and down and is also coming off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, falling 31-24 at Carolina on Sunday as a 1.5-point dog.

“Atlanta’s offensive line is in shambles. Both O-lines in this one are pretty bad, actually,” Lester said. “The Falcons are much better at home, and with the NFC South wide open, they really need this.”

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-3)

Philly (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) is tied with Dallas atop the NFC East, and New York (3-2 SU and ATS) is back in the chase with a three-game SU and ATS winning streak after dumping its first two games. The Eagles held off St. Louis 34-28 laying 3.5 points at home Sunday, and the Giants bested Atlanta 30-20 giving 4 points at home.

“For the time being, the NFC east is looking pretty competitive – a far cry from where it was last year,” Lester said. “Neither defense can be trusted here. These are two teams with loyal followers, but I’m guessing the money from the Philly fans and the public will outweigh New York’s for this prime-time affair.”

**Udog** · 10-08-2014, 04:31 PM

NFL Week 6 line watch: Act fast if you like the Eagles

Spread to bet now

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)

This is the week of the home dog. When the Week 6 lines first hit the books, no fewer than seven of the 11 games that had numbers available featured home teams getting points.

One that doesn’t has the Giants at Philly in a game that could make things even messier at the top of the NFC East. The Eagles have hardly been dominant at home over the past several years, and even last year when the Giants were going belly up, NY managed to come into Philly and beat the Eagles outright, 15-7.

The Eagles are a different team this time around, though, and while neither team has played against much A-level competition, the Eagles look like they are ready to start putting up decent numbers and New York might have been playing a little over its head.

If you’re on the Eagles, eat the points now before this becomes a field goal game.

Spread to wait on

Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5)

Early-week money is heavy on the Ravens in this one, figuring Baltimore will use the Buccaneers as retaliation after losing in Indianapolis. But scrape below the surface a bit and we can see that Tampa Bay’s 1-4 record is a bit misleading.

The Bucs were a possession away from beating Carolina and St. Louis in Weeks 1 and 2, knocked off the Steelers in Pittsburgh, then had the Saints pinned on the mat on Sunday, leading by 11 in the fourth period before running out of gas in overtime.

Tampa Bay may fall victim to injuries and a lack of depth as we get to November, but right now the Bucs are competing. And with heavy money already on the Ravens, it’s worthwhile swimming with the sharps on this one, seeing if the line nudges up a bit and then playing TB at 4 or 4.5.

Total to watch

Denver Broncos at New York Jets (46.5)

Life is miserable for the QB-less Jets right now, sitting at 1-4 and seeing Buffalo playing well and the Patriots back on track. Looks like another lost season in East Rutherford.

The NYJ really need a competitive game to keep their fan base from outright rebellion. The only way to do that against the Broncos is to run the ball, keep possession as much as possible and hope to move the chains well enough early to put a score on the board and prevent things from getting out of hand. If you think they can do that, an under play is worth a look. Besides, you can still cash on the under even if the final is 43-3 Denver.

**Udog** · 10-08-2014, 04:31 PM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, October 9

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INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 2) at HOUSTON (3 - 2) - 10/9/2014, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Thursday since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 12

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DENVER (3 - 1) at NY JETS (1 - 4) - 10/12/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PITTSBURGH (3 - 2) at CLEVELAND (2 - 2) - 10/12/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 59-35 ATS (+20.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (0 - 5) at TENNESSEE (1 - 4) - 10/12/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (2 - 3) at ATLANTA (2 - 3) - 10/12/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GREEN BAY (3 - 2) at MIAMI (2 - 2) - 10/12/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 157-114 ATS (+31.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (3 - 2) at MINNESOTA (2 - 3) - 10/12/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (3 - 2) at CINCINNATI (3 - 1) - 10/12/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (3 - 2) at BUFFALO (3 - 2) - 10/12/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 99-72 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (3 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 4) - 10/12/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN DIEGO (4 - 1) at OAKLAND (0 - 4) - 10/12/2014, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 84-59 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OAKLAND is 64-89 ATS (-33.9 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 64-89 ATS (-33.9 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 22-42 ATS (-24.2 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 114-147 ATS (-47.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (4 - 1) at SEATTLE (3 - 1) - 10/12/2014, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 29-53 ATS (-29.3 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (1 - 4) at ARIZONA (3 - 1) - 10/12/2014, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY GIANTS (3 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 1) - 10/12/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 158-124 ATS (+21.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 2-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 13

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SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 2) at ST LOUIS (1 - 3) - 10/13/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 69-96 ATS (-36.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 99-137 ATS (-51.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 10-08-2014, 04:32 PM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, Oct. 9th

Indianapolis at Houston, 8:25 ET
Indianapolis: 59-36 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game
Houston: 1-8 ATS after playing their last game on the road

Sunday, Oct. 12th

Denver at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
Denver: 17-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
NY Jets: 16-5 ATS after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse

Pittsburgh at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 42-24 OVER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
Cleveland: 0-6 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs

Jacksonville at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 8-21 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
Tennessee: 9-1 OVER after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game

Chicago at Atlanta, 4:25 ET
Chicago: 5-16 ATS after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored
Atlanta: 3-19 ATS after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games

Green Bay at Miami, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 44-27 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better
Miami: 6-0 ATS as a home underdog

Detroit at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 0-9 ATS off a non-conference game
Minnesota: 67-40 OVER after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game

Carolina at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 11-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins
Cincinnati: 8-24 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points

New England at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
New England: 76-52 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games
Buffalo: 31-14 ATS after a win by 3 or less points

Baltimore at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 38-22 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Tampa Bay: 19-5 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games

San Diego at Oakland, 4:05 ET
San Diego: 16-6 ATS after allowing 6 points or less last game
Oakland: 16-6 UNDER after a bye week

Dallas at Seattle, 4:25 ET
Seattle: 12-4 ATS against conference opponents
Dallas: 42-25 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse

Washington at Arizona, 4:25 ET
Washington: 0-4 against NFC West division opponents
Arizona: 10-3 off 1 or more straight overs

NY Giants at Philadelphia, 8:30 ET
NY Giants: 33-12 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Philadelphia: 30-13 UNDER in home games in October games

Monday, Oct. 13th

San Francisco at St Louis, 8:30 ET
San Francisco: 10-2 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
St Louis: 7-0 OVER after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games

**Udog** · 10-08-2014, 04:32 PM

NFL

Week 6

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Trend Report
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Thursday, October 9

8:25 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games
Indianapolis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Houston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home

Sunday, October 12

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games when playing Miami
Green Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 9 games at home
Tennessee is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New England's last 16 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
New England is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Buffalo's last 16 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
Minnesota is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Detroit

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CLEVELAND
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
DENVER vs. NY JETS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
NY Jets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Tampa Bay is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

4:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games
San Diego is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing San Diego
Oakland is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against San Diego

4:25 PM
CHICAGO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games
Chicago is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 12 games at home

4:25 PM
DALLAS vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games at home
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:25 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games when playing Washington

8:30 PM
NY GIANTS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Giants are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing NY Giants

Monday, October 13

8:30 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
San Francisco is 8-2-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games

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**Udog** · 10-08-2014, 04:32 PM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6

Thursday Game
Colts (3-2) @ Texans (3-2)—Indy is 20-4 in series, winning last three by 12-3-22 points, but they’ve lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 10+ points; home side won seven of last eight series games. Colts won last three games after 0-2 start; they’re 5-1-1 as road favorites under Pagano, 9-6-1 in games where spread was 3 or less points. Texans are 2-0 at home, allowing three TDs on 24 drives; they’re 4-6 as home dogs since ’09, 3-1 this year in games with spread of 3 or less. Colts allowed 30+ points in both losses, 17 or less in all three wins; Houston scored exactly 17 points in three of five games. Three of last four Indy games went over the total. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 3-3 vs spread.

**Udog** · 10-08-2014, 04:35 PM

NFL

Thursday, October 9

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Thursday Night Football: Colts at Texans
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Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (+3, 46)

The Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans already have separated themselves from the AFC South pack as they prepare for a first-place showdown Thursday night in Houston. "The division games are huge. I think everybody that has played in the league knows that and really understands how much they mean," Texans quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick told reporters. "There is an added emphasis on this week, for sure, especially with it being Indianapolis." The defending division champion Colts have won nine straight against AFC South rivals dating to 2012.

The Colts have won three straight after dropping their first two games by a combined 10 points, and their defense has been impressive during the winning streak. They'll try to continue that trend against a Houston offense that has struggled to find consistency, particularly in the passing game. The Colts have won three straight meetings and 20 of 24 all-time.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: The Colts opened as 2.5-point road faves, but that has moved to -3. The total opened 45.5 but has increased a half-point to 46.

INJURY REPORT: Colts - LB Jerrell Freeman (Questionable, hamstring), T Jacke Mewhort (Questionable, ankle). Texans - DB Darryl Morris (Questionable, ankle), CB Johnathan Joseph (Questionable, knee), LB Brian Cushing (Out, knee).

POWER RANKINGS: Colts (-2.0) + Texans (+1.0) + Home Field (-3.0) = Pick

ABOUT THE COLTS (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS, 4-1 O/U): The defense has been a pleasant surprise in Indianapolis, holding three straight opponents under 350 total yards and forcing three turnovers in each contest. That unit turned in a strong effort in Sunday's 20-13 home win over Baltimore, helping the Colts overcome four turnovers. The Colts hope last week's offensive miscues were an anomaly and look for a bounce-back effort from quarterback Andrew Luck, who threw two interceptions against the Ravens but is aiming for his fourth straight 300-yard passing game.

ABOUT THE TEXANS (3-2, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U): Fitzpatrick has been inconsistent in his first year with Houston, but he has excelled in two home starts against the Colts, compiling 377 yards with four TDs and no interceptions for a 116.6 rating. Running back Arian Foster also has enjoyed facing Indianapolis — he has 752 rushing yards and six TDs in six meetings, including a career-high 231 yards and three scores in 2010. Houston's defense has given up big yardage totals all season but has bailed itself out with a league-best 12 takeaways.

TRENDS:

* Colts are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games.
* Home team is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
* Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last four Thursday games.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, the Colts are seeing 66.84 percent of support from bettors

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**Udog** · 10-09-2014, 08:12 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Indianapolis at Houston
The Colts head to Houston (2-0 SU at home) on Thursday night and come into the contest with a 2-6 ATS record in their last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record. Houston is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Texans favored by 3. Dunkel Pick Houston (+3). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 9

Game 101-102: Indianapolis at Houston (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 135.092; Houston 138.071
Dunkel Line: Houston by 3; 49
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3; 46
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3); Over

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 12

Game 251-252: Denver at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 140.520; NY Jets 125.841
Dunkel Line: Denver by 14 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Denver by 8; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-8); Under

Game 253-254: Pittsburgh at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 132.593; Cleveland 130.826
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+2 1/2); Under

Game 255-256: Jacksonville at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 117.219; Tennessee 127.141
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 10; 48
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-6); N/A

Game 257-258: Chicago at Atlanta (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 129.213; Atlanta 128.352
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 1; 56
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3 1/2); Over

Game 259-260: Green Bay at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 134.613; Miami 128.047
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 6 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 49
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-3); Under

Game 261-262: Detroit at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 134.822; Minnesota 130.203
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Detroit by 2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2); Under

Game 263-264: Carolina at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 133.323; Cincinnati 137.176
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 4; 48
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 7 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+7 1/2); Over

Game 265-266: New England at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 139.140; Buffalo 133.506
Dunkel Line: New England by 5 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: New England by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: New England (-3); Under

Game 267-268: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 132.651; Tampa Bay 131.513
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 48
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3 1/2); Over

Game 269-270: San Diego at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 141.199; Oakland 122.380
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 19; 38
Vegas Line: San Diego by 7; 43
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-7); Under

Game 271-272: Dallas at Seattle (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 137.281; Seattle 141.807
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Seattle by 8 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+8 1/2); Over

Game 273-274: Washington at Arizona (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 125.276; Arizona 135.763
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 10 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-3 1/2); N/A

Game 275-276: NY Giants at Philadelphia (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 136.244; Philadelphia 135.280
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 50
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Under

MONDAY, OCTOBER 13

Game 277-278: San Francisco at St. Louis (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 136.075; St. Louis 130.107
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 6; 40
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-3); Under

**Udog** · 10-11-2014, 10:10 PM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6

Broncos (3-1) @ Jets (1-4)—Gang Green lost last four games, scoring three TDs on last 33 drives; they benched QB Smith in second half last week, will go back to him here, vs Denver team that lost its only road game, in OT at Seattle. Broncos are 11-5 as road favorites under Fox, 20-12-1 after a win. Jets are 6-3 as home underdog under Ryan, 0-1 this year; they’ve lost three of last four games with Denver- Broncos won three of last four visits here. Jets lost last two home games, to Bears/Lions; fans will turn on them if they start of badly- they were outscored 38-3 in first half of last two games. AFC East teams are 5-9 vs spread in non-division games, 1-6 at home; AFC West teams are 11-4 vs spread outside their division.

Steelers (3-2) @ Browns (2-2)— First rematch of season; Steelers (-6.5) nipped Cleveland 30-27 in opener, kicking FG at end after blowing 27-3 halftime lead. Pitt outgained Browns 490-389 in games; they’re 26-3 in series, winning last four, three by 13+ points. Steelers are 3-1 in last four visits here, winning by 32-4-16 points. Decisive points in all four Cleveland games were scored in last 1:09 of game; they’ve rallied to tie or take lead from 27-3/28-3 deficits, so they believe in QB Hoyer, who averaged 10.9/7.5 ypa in last two games. Since ’08, Cleveland is 5-12-2 as home favorite; they’re favored here for first time this year. Browns split pair of 2-point home decisions, beating Saints, losing to Ravens; all four of their games went over total.

Jaguars (0-5) @ Titans (1-4)—These teams split season series each of last five years, with five of last six series meetings decided by 6 or less points. Jags split last four visits to Music City, but are 0-5 vs spread this season, losing by average of score of 36-14- only one of their five losses was by less than 17 points. Titans lost last four games, allowing 32.3 ppg; they’re first home team ever to lose after leading by 25+ points. Ever. Since ’10, Tennessee is 8-13-1 as home favorite, 0-2 this year; Locker got hurt last week, not sure which of three Titan QBs starts here. None are that attractive an option. Jags are -8 in turnovers the last four games, with only one takeaway; they’re 11-15 in last 26 games as a road dog, 0-3 this year.

Bears (2-3) @ Falcons (2-3)—Devin Hester’s old team visits Georgia Dome after turning ball over on last three drives in ugly 31-24 loss at Carolina last week, Bears’ first loss in three road games; they’ve allowed 20-19 points in their wins, 23+ in three losses. Chicago is 6-11-1 (2-1 this year) in last 18 games as a road dog. Home side won last four series games with Chicago losing last two visits here, 22-20/21-14. Home side also won all five Falcon games this year; Atlanta won 37-34/56-14 at home, are 22-15-1 as home favorite under Smith, 24-11-1 after a loss. NFC South road teams are 1-6 vs spread in non-division games. Over is 3-1-1 in Falcon games this year, 3-0 in last three Chicago tilts.

Packers (3-2) @ Dolphins (2-2)—Miami is off bye after hammering Raiders in London; they upset Pack 23-20 at Lambeau after its bye in last meeting (2010), Dolphins’ 10th win in last 13 series games. Pack’s 34-24 win here in last visit (’06) is their only win in seven visits here, other than Super Bowl II vs Raiders. Miami scored 10+ points in all four halves in its two wins; they trailed 9-0/14-3 at half of two losses. Green Bay was held to 7-16 points in its two losses, both on artificial surface; they’ve had three extra days to prep after Thursday game, are 16-13 in last 29 games as road favorite. AFC East home teams are 1-6 vs spread in non-division games; NFC North non-divisional home favorites are 1-3. Three of four games for both sides went over total.

Lions (3-2) @ Minnesota (2-3)—Vikings started three different QBs in first five games, never a good thing; best chance here is if rookie Bridge water plays. Minnesota is 19-5 in last 24 series games, 3-1 in last four; Lions are 1-15 in last 16 visits here, losing last two by 1-10 points- three of their last four losses here were by 10+ points. Health of Calvin Johnson a key for Lions, who folded at home vs Bills last week with Megatron sidelined, losing 17-14 after leading 14-0. Lions held last three opponents to 7-17-17 points, but they’re 0-3 when they don’t get 2+ takeaways- they’re 4-10-1 in divisional road games since ’09. Last four Detroit games stayed under the total. Vikings are 7-2 in last nine games as home underdog, 1-1 this season.

Panthers (3-2) @ Bengals (3-1)—Curious to see how Cincy bounces back from first loss; they’re 6-1 vs spread in game following last seven losses and covered nine in row as home favorites, winning 24-10/33-7 in two home games this year. Bengals are also 10-2-1 in last 13 games vs NFC teams. Carolina has 10 takeaways (+7) in its three wins, none (-3) in two losses; they’ve covered eight of last ten games as road dog (1-1 this year), are 14-11 off win under Rivera. Panthers allowed 37-38 points in two losses, average of 15 ppg in their wins. AFC North home teams are 4-1 vs spread in non-divisional games; NFC South road teams are 1-6. Three of four Bengal games stayed under total; last three Carolina games went under.

Patriots (3-2) @ Bills (3-2)—Pats are 25-2 in last 27 series games, winning last five in row, three by 14+ points; they’ve won nine of last ten visits here, with seven wins by 13+, but NE is just 1-7 vs spread in last eight games as road favorite, losing two of three SU on road this year. Patriots are 5-8 vs spread in game following their last 13 wins. Bills have been plus in turnovers in four games, even in 5th, turning ball over only four times- they scored 10-17-17 points in last three games, but won at Detroit in Orton’s first start. Bills are 1-1 at home this year, 6-1 as home dogs under Marrone- they’re 3-0 this year allowing 20 or less points, with losses by 12-6 points. All five Buffalo games this season stayed under the total.

Ravens (3-2) @ Buccaneers (1-4)—Under Harbaugh, Ravens are 17-15-1 vs spread off a loss; they’re 1-1 on road this year, winning late at Cleveland, losing 20-13 at Indy last week. Baltimore is 5-8 in last 13 games as road favorites. Bucs led by 11 in 4th quarter at Superdome last week, couldn’t finish off Saint squad that ran 86 plays for 511 yards; Tampa Bay lost first two home games by total of 8 points; they’re 5-15-1 in last 21 games as home dog, 0-0 under Smith. Ravens have only five TDs on last 11 red zone drives (1 of 3 last week). NFC South teams are 4-8 vs spread in non-division games, 3-2 at home; AFC North teams are 7-3 vs spread out of division, 3-2 on foreign soil. Last three Tampa Bay games went over total.

Chargers (4-1) @ Raiders (0-4)—Tony Sparano takes over as interim coach in Oakland; they’re 0-4, losing only home game 30-14 (+3) to Houston. Raiders lost last 10 games overall; last time they covered was last Thanksgiving- they’ve lost four of last five games with San Diego, with three of four losses by 8+ points. Chargers won eight of last ten visits here, with six of last seven wins by 8+. Bolts won last four games, all by 9+ points, but three of those four were at home. SD’s only road win was 22-10 (+2.5) at Buffalo. Since ’10, Chargers are 5-9 as road favorites; they’ve covered seven of last nine AFC West road games. Raiders were 3-8 as home underdogs under Allen; over last decade, Oakland is 5-14 as a divisional home underdog.

Cowboys (4-1) @ Seahawks (3-1)—Seattle allowed total of 68 rushing yards (37 tries) in last two games; curious to see if Dallas can run on them. Short week for Seattle after Monday night game, long flight home; they’re 14-5 as home favorites under Carroll, 2-0 this year. Much-improved Cowboys are 2-0 on road, beating Titans/Rams- they were down 21-0 in win at St Louis. Dallas is 14-8 as home dogs under Garrett, 1-0 this year. Overall, dogs are 21-12-1 vs spread in Dallas road games in Garrett era. Home side won last six series games; Cowboys lost last three visits here by 3-1-20 points, with last win here in ’04. NFC West teams are 7-7 vs spread out of division, 2-4 as home favorites. NFC East teams are 8-7, 2-2 as road dogs.

Redskins (1-4) @ Cardinals (3-1)—Not sure who plays QB for Redbirds; 3rd-stringer Thomas isn’t NFL-ready, no way I’m laying points if he plays. Washington has long trip west after Monday night loss, when refs tried to help them but couldn’t help enough; they’ve won last eight series games, winning three of last four here- they’re 13-8 in last 21 series games, with all eight losses by 4 or less points. Redskins lost last three games; they’ve scored 17 or less points in three of four losses; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as road underdogs. Arizona lost Campbell last week; they’ve got some injuries on defense; Cardinals are 6-3-1 vs spread at home under Arians, 3-2-1 as home favorite- they’re 2-0 SU at home this year, winning by 1-9 points.

Giants (3-2) @ Eagles (4-1)—Teams split series last three years, after Iggles had won six in row prior to that; Philly won first meeting four of last five years, but Giants are 4-3 in last seven visits here. Giants scored 30-45-30 points in winning last three games after 0-2 start; since 2011, they’re 12-7 as road underdogs, 1-1 this year, losing 35-14 at Detroit, winning big at Washington. Eagles allowed 27+ points in each of last four games; they’re 3-0 at home (2-1 as home favorites) winning by 17-3-6 points, making them 5-6 as home faves under Kelly, 14-21 as home favorites since ’10. Philly allowed 29.3 ppg, 461.3 ypg last three weeks. Giants have been moving chains, converting 20 of last 31 on third down.

49ers (3-2) @ Rams (1-3)—Home team is honoring ’99 Super Bowl champs tonite, current Rams are 4-13-1 in last 18 games vs their rival, losing 35-11/23-13 in two meetings LY, when backup QB Clemens was playing. This year’s backup QB Davis has proven to be more capable starter; Rams scored seven TDs on 22 drives in losing last two games, when they led Dallas 21-0 and finished on 21-0 run at Philly, but in between those two runs they were outscored 68-17—young Rams make too many mistakes. Thru four games, St Louis was penalized 305 yards, their opponents 105. 49ers split last four visits here; they’ve scored only two TDs, six FGs on last eight red zone drives, winning last two games by five points each, after losses to Bears, Cards.

**Udog** · 10-11-2014, 10:15 PM

NFL

Sunday, October 12

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Sunday Night Football: Giants at Eagles
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New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5, 50)

The hottest offense in the NFC will be on display in Philadelphia on Sunday night but it does not belong to the host team. The resurgent New York Giants, averaging 35 points during a three-game winning streak, look to continue their momentum against the Eagles in an NFC East matchup. New York stumbled out of the gate with a pair of meager offensive efforts, but has won each of its last three by double digits entering a two-game road trip versus division co-leaders Philadelphia and Dallas.

It comes as little surprise that the Eagles are having few issues finding the end zone under Chip Kelly, but the bulk of the scoring over the past two weeks has been provided by their defense and special teams. "I don't care how we win," said Eagles wide receiver Jeremy Maclin, one of the few constants on offense. "We can win 2-0 or we can win 50-49. As long as we win." The longtime rivals have split their past six meetings, with the road team emerging victorious in both matchups last season.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE HISTORY: Eagles opened as fieldgoal faves, but that has since moved to -2.5. The total has held at 50.

INJURY REPORT: Giants - CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (Probable, ankle), DE Robert Ayers (Questionable, neck), LB Jon Beason (Questionable, toe), RB Rashad Jennings (Out indefinitely, knee). Eagles - LB DeMeco Ryans (Probable, going), RB Chris Polk (Doubtful, hamstring), WR Brad Smith (Out, abdominal)

POWER RANKINGS: Giants (-0.25) + Eagles (-0.5) + home field (-3.0) = Eagles -3.25

WEATHER FORECAST: Temperatures in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow across the field at 5 mph.

ABOUT THE GIANTS (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U): Eli Manning tossed a career high 27 interceptions last season and was picked off twice in each of New York's first two games, but has rebounded to throw eight touchdowns versus one interception during the three-game winning streak. Starting running back Rashad Jennings suffered a knee injury in last week's 30-20 victory over Atlanta, but Kelly doesn't expect a drop-off with rookie Andre Williams starting. "He is a big physical runner," Kelly said. "You watch him in the preseason or watch him when he was at Boston College - he ran for over 2,000 yards last season at BC." The Giants, who lead the league with eight interceptions, are surrendering an average of 17 points over their past three.

ABOUT THE EAGLES (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 4-1 O/U): Although running back LeSean McCoy has scored only one touchdown and is averaging a paltry 2.9 yards per carry, New York is wary of a breakout game by last season's leading rusher. "As soon as you forget about him he'll have 100 yards in the first quarter. Then you look stupid," Giants defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul said. As expected, Nick Foles has been unable to match last season's ridiculous numbers of 27 TDs versus only two interceptions and is averaging 201 yards passing the past two weeks after opening the season with three straight 300-yard games. The defense and special teams have made up for the offensive struggles with five TDs - two blocked punts, fumble, interception and punt return - in the past two contests.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Philadelphia.
* Road team is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. NFC East.
* Over is 5-1 in Giants last six games in Week 6.

CONSENSUS: 59 percent of wagers are backing the Eagles.

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**Udog** · 10-11-2014, 10:26 PM

NFL

Sunday, October 12

Cardinals QB Stanton cleared to play

Arizona Cardinals backup quarterback Drew Stanton, who is recovering from a concussion, was cleared to start if Carson Palmer is not available Sunday against the Washington Redskins.

Stanton and Palmer were both listed as questionable Friday.

Palmer has a nerve injury in his throwing (right) shoulder. He has not played since the season opener.

Stanton sustained a concussion last Sunday against the Denver Broncos. In three games, Stanton has thrown for 529 yards with two touchdowns and zero interceptions.

Brady heads to Buffalo without walking boot

Quarterback Tom Brady of the New England Patriots, listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Buffalo Bills because of an ankle injury, made the trip to Buffalo without the walking boot he had been wearing since sustaining the injury in practice on Friday, according to the Boston Herald.

Brady is coming off probably his best game of the season, completing 23 of 35 passes for 292 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions last Sunday in a victory over the Cincinnati Bengals.

Titans winless ATS in their last eight home games

The Tennessee Titans continue to post ugly numbers against the spread at LP Field. In the Titans' last eight home games, they're 0-7-1 ATS.

Tennessee will try and buck that trend when they host the Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday. The Jags have had their own issues this year, as they've yet to produce a single cover in their first five games.

The Titans are currently listed as 4.5-point home faves with a total of 43.

Jets continue to post ugly spread numbers

It's been a tough start to the season for the New York Jets, and their backers are reeling as a result.

The Jets are 0-4-1 against the spread in their last five games. New York hosts Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos Sunday.

The Broncos are currently 8.5-point road faves with an O/U of 48 for the matchup.

Rain in the forecast as Bengals host Panthers

Weather forecasts are not looking promising for Ohio as there is a good chance thunderstorms hit Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati as the Bengals host the Carolina Panthers Sunday.

According to weather site WUnderground.com, there is a 49 percent chance of thunderstorms in the area during game time. Temperatures will be in the low-60s and wind will blow toward the NW endzone at 5 mph.

Presently, the Bengals are 6.5-point home favorites and the total is 43.5.

Pats-Bills have history of going Over

When the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills get together, high totals are the norm.

Five out of the last six meetings between the two clubs have gone over the total. They'll renew acquaintances at Ralph Wilson Stadium Sunday afternoon.

The Pats are currently 2.5-point road faves. The O/U presently sits at 45.

Cleveland sizzling on the Over

The Cleveland Browns have quietly gone an over tear as of late, as all four of the Browns' last four games have cashed Over tickets.

Brian Hoyer's crew host Pittsburgh Sunday. The Browns are presently 1.5-point home faves for the contest.

Chargers put perfect ATS record on the line Sunday

The San Diego Chargers are the last team standing with an unblemished record against the spread in the NFL. The Chargers are 4-1 straight up, but are 5-0 at the betting window - the last team left to win each game ATS.

The Cleveland Browns still have yet to lose ATS, but have a pair of pushes to go along with their two covers.

San Diego has been covering in fairly convincing fashion of late, pitching a shutout against the New York Jets (31-0) as 7-point faves last week. The Chargers have outscored opponents 133-63 so far this season, and have covered the spread by an average of 12 points per game heading into Sunday's game.

The Oakland Raiders host the Chargers Sunday and are presently 7.5-point home dogs.

Thunderstorms could impact Jags-Titans game

Forecasts are calling for thunderstorms in Nashville as a pair of AFC South rivals square off Sunday. The Tennessee Titans host the Jacksonville Jaguars but weather could play a factor in the game as there is a 61 percent chance of thunderstorms in the area.

Temperatures will be in the low-70s and wind will blow toward the north endzone at 6 mph during the game.

The Titans are presently 4-point home favorites with a total of 43 for the matchup.

Vikings wide receivers not performing well

It hasn't been a spectacular beginning to the season for the Minnesota Vikings as they've posted a record of 2-3 both straight up and against the spread.

One area that certainly needs improvement is catching the football.Vikings' intended receivers only catch the 57.3 percent of the time - second worst in the NFL behind the Arizona Cardinals. Furthermore, Vikings receivers drop 8.5 percent of passes.

They've got a touch matchup against the Detroit Lions Sunday. The Lions defense ranks eighth in the league allowing catch on 60.6 percent of passes.

Minnesota is currently a 2.5-point home favorite with a total of 43.

Bengals WR Jones ruled out vs. Panthers

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Marvin Jones was downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Carolina Panthers.

Jones was listed as questionable Friday on the team's injury report with an ankle injury. He has not played this season.

Jones was injured in August. He did not practice this week.

Also, No. 1 wide receiver A.J. Green is considered day to day but not expected to play Sunday. He was seen wearing a walking boot Friday. He was listed as questionable Friday with a toe injury.

With the injuries, Mohamed Sanu is in place to be quarterback Andy Dalton's top target. Sanu is tied for the team lead with 17 catches. He has 234 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

**Udog** · 10-11-2014, 10:28 PM

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 6

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (+1.5, 44)

Lions’ pass rush vs. Vikings’ awful o-line

Losing Adrian Peterson to his off-field scandals has put a lot of pressure on the Vikings offensive line. Without the threat of “All Day”, opponents can throw the kitchen sink at Minnesota’s protection – which is why the Vikes offensive line is the most penalized in the league. Minnesota has been whistled for 10 false starts and nine offensive holding infractions, equaling 137 yards just handed over.

The protectors in purple will have their hands full with more than jerseys this weekend when Detroit comes to town. The Lions have one of the most dominant front lines in football and sit second in the NFL with 17 sacks. Vikings third-stringer Christian Ponder was sacked six times last Thursday, and was pressured into throwing two interceptions. Even if Teddy Bridgewater’s ankle is good to go, Minnesota may want the rookie to sit Week 6 out.

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (-3.5, 53.5)

Bears’ yards after the catch vs. Falcons’ poor tackling

Bears head coach Marc Trestman’s offense is all about picking up gains after the catch, which is why Chicago ranks fourth in the league in that category with a total of 744 YAC. Receiver Brandon Marshall is a monster with the football, dragging defenders for extra gains, and running back Matt Forte is the NFL’s leader in YAC with 324 and an average of nine yards after the catch per reception.

Atlanta is actually great in that category too. But as for defending those added pick-ups, the Falcons fall short. They’re giving up an average of 152.6 yards after the catch this season, with poor tackling as their biggest flaw. Coach Mike Smith has thrown some exotic looking coverages out on the field but it seems to be more confusing to his players than the opposing offense.

Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks (-8, 47)

Cowboys' offense vs. Seahawks' wind and rain

The Cowboys have been complaining about the lack of a home-field advantage in Arlington, with opposing fans making noise in AT&T Stadium. That means Dallas should feel right at home in CenturyLink Field, where the infamous 12th Man will ring in their ears for days after Week 6 is through. But it’s not the crowd noise that will get to the Cowboys Sunday – it’s the rain.

This Dallas team does not like to play in the elements and the wind and rain in Seattle will have the Cowboys longing for the warm, dry track inside “Jerry’s World”. The forecast for Seattle is calling for a 90 percent chance of rain with winds blowing at 12 mph. Those conditions will not only neutralize Tony Romo’s deep threat but also make the ball slick for the already-buttered fingers of RB DeMarco Murray, who’s fumbled four time already and faces a Seahawks defense that has forced 43 fumbles the past three seasons.

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5, 50)

Giants’ mistakes vs. Eagles’ no-offensive offense

The Eagles offense was supposed to be stacking the yards and blowing away opponents with Chip Kelly’s up-tempo playbook. But over the past two weeks, Philadelphia’s stop unit has outscored its offense 41-14. The Eagles got all their 21 points versus San Francisco two weeks ago via no-offensive plays – blocked punt, INT return, punt return – and scored another TD off a blocked punt versus St. Louis in Week 5. They’re picking up 15.9 per punt return and 30.9 yards per kickoff, among the top special teams units in the NFL.

The Giants have won three straight but this is a team that loves to shoot itself in the foot. Eli Manning has thrown just one interception during this winning streak but was picked up four times in the first two games of the year and threw three INTs against the Eagles in Week 5 last year. New York has allowed 14 yards per punt return – fourth worst in the NFL – and have already allowed one of those punts to come back for six points.

**Udog** · 10-12-2014, 11:30 AM

NFL

Sunday, October 12

Windy conditions in Minnesota Sunday

Forecasts are calling for windy conditions at TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis as the Minnesota Vikings host the Detroit Lions Sunday.

Wind will blow from sideline to sideline at roughly 14 mph throughout the course of the game. Temperatures will be in themid-50s in Minneapolis but skies should be clear.

The Vikes are currently 2-point home faves and the total is 43.

Glennon a strong bet versus AFC teams

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Mike Glennon took over the starting duties in Week 4 last season and since then, has gone a perfect 3-0 straight up and against the spread versus opponents from the AFC.

Glennon and Bucs won and covered versus the Miami Dolphins (22-19, +3.5) and Buffalo Bills (27-6, -3) last season and Pittsburgh Steelers (27-24, +7.5) in Week 4 this season.

The Bucs get another AFC opponent his week as they host the Baltimore Ravens from Raymond James Stadium Sunday. The Bucs are currently 3.5-point home dogs for the matchup.

Tom Brady will start vs. Bills

New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady, despite being listed as questionable with an ankle injury, will start Sunday against the Buffalo Bills, league sources told ESPN NFL Insider Adam Schefter. Brady injured his ankle during Friday's practice, when he rolled it on the foot of one of New England's interior offensive linemen, a source told Schefter.

Bengals' A.J. Green out Sunday

Bengals receiver A.J. Green will not play Sunday against the Carolina Panthers, sources told ESPN's Bob Holtzman on Friday. That news came as Green -- who left practice during warm-ups on Wednesday after aggravating an injury to his right big toe -- had his right foot in a walking boot during Friday morning's walkthrough.

October hasn't been kind to Ravens backers

The Baltimore Ravens have had trouble coming through for their backers in he month of October.

The Ravens are just 1-8 against the spread in their last nine games in the Halloween month.

Baltimore are currently listed as 3.5-point road favorites when they visit the revamped Tampa Bay Buccaneers early Sunday afternoon.

Bengals banking for bettors at the Jungle

The Cincinnati Bengals have been a cash cow for bettors in games on their home turf at Paul Brown Stadium, covering in 11-straight regular season games in front of their home crowd.

They put that streak on the line Sunday with the Carolina Panthers in town. Presently, the Bengals are 7-point favorites.

The last time Cincinnati failed to cover the spread at home in the regular season was Week 14 in 2012. The Dallas Cowboys defeated Cincy 20-19, covering as 3.5-point road dogs.

Moreno probable versus Packers Sunday

Miami Dolphins running back Knowshon Moreno has been listed as probably as the Fish welcome the Green Bay Packers to town Sunday.

Moreno has been out since injuring his elbow early on in Week 2's loss to the Buffalo Bills.

He was limited in practice Friday and stated that h was having issues with wearing a "bulky" brace on his left arm to ESPN's James Walker.

The Dolphins are 2.5-point home dogs and oddsmakers have tabbed the game with a total of 48.5.

Saints TE Graham could miss 2-3 more weeks

The New Orleans Saints could be without their top receiving threat longer than was originally expected.

Star tight end Jimmy Graham could miss 2-3 more weeks with a shoulder sprain following the Saints bye in Week 6, according to NFL.com Insider Ian Rapoport.

Further evidence the Saints could be without Graham for a time is the signing of tight end Tom Crabtree.

Broncos move to double-digit favorites

Earlier Sunday, oddsmakers adjusted the spread for the Denver Broncos-New York Jets game to Broncos -10 after opening -7.5.

The spread has been on the move since oddsmakers posted the opening number with bettors lining up in droves to back Peyton Manning and Co.

Books both offshore and in Vegas are currently dealing either Denver -9.5 or -10.

The Broncos are 3-1 against the spread in their last three games versus the Jets.

Lions have trouble covering in Minnesota

The Detroit Lions have had trouble covering the spread when they travel to Minnesota and it won't be any easier this week as they are expected to be missing Calvin Johnson and Reggie Bush.

The Lions haven't covered in their last five trips to Minnesota, putting up a 0-3-2 record against the spread in that span. The Vikings are currently 2.5-point home favorites for their early Sunday afternoon matchup.

Palmer expected to start for Cardinals

Arizona should get a boost at the quarterback position Sunday with Carson Palmer expected to make his first start for the Cardinals since suffering a nerve injury in Week 1, according to NFL.com Insider Ian Rapoport.

The Cardinals are currently 4.5-point home favorites with Washington in town for a late Sunday afternoon matchup. The total is at 45.5.

Packers performing well for bettors coming off bye

With an extra week of preparation the Green Bay Packers have been a solid wager for bettors.

The Packers are 9-1 against the spread in their last 10 games following a bye week.

Green Bay travels to Miami to take on the Dolphins early Sunday afteroon and are currently 2-point road favorites.

**Udog** · 10-12-2014, 11:32 AM

Where the action is: Sunday's biggest NFL line moves

Lines have been on the move since the Week 6 NFL odds hit the board. We talk to Michael Stewart, oddsmaker for online book CarbonSports.ag, about some of the biggest adjustments heading into Sunday’s games:

Denver Broncos at New York Jets - Open: +7.5, Move: +9, Move: +10

Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos return to the site of their Super Bowl beatdown last February. Luckily, it's not the Seattle Seahawks they'll face, but the lowly New York Jets. According to Stewart, it's been nothing but Broncos money on both the spread and moneyline for this early game.

"We opened the Broncos as 7.5-point road favorites and have seen nothing but Broncos money moving to -8 on Monday and still the Broncos money poured in forcing us to -9 on early Wednesday morning then finally to -10 Wednesday afternoon where we currently sit with the Broncos getting 88 percent on the side and 92 percent on the money line," Stewart tells Covers.

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings - Open: +1, Move: Pick:, Move: -2

The line in this NFC North battle has been on the move since news that Calvin Johnson 50/50 status started making the rounds. Add to that, it's now expected that Reggie Bush would miss out for the rivalry game as well. Books were seeing a steady flow of money backing the home team here, but at the current number, the Lions are starting to see a bit more support.

"We opened the Lions as 1-point favorites on Friday and with the news of Megatron being 50/50 to play on Sunday we went to a pick ’em late Friday morning," says Stewart. "Later in the day the money kept pouring in on the Vikings forcing us to move to Vikings -1 then to -2 where we currently sit. With the action moving towards the Lions at +2 they are getting 62 percent of the action and the over 43.5 point total is getting 79 percent of the action."

Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks - Open: -8, Move: -9, Move: -8.5

A lot of people dismissed the Cowboys before a regular season snap was ever made, but those people are on their way to eating crow as the Cowboys are an impressive 4-1 straight up (3-2 ATS) to start the season. They'll be tested in the Pacific Northwest Sunday, however, as they visit the Super Bowl Champs in front of the 12th Man.

"We opened the Seahawks as 8-point favorites and took some sharp bets at that number forcing us to move to -9," Stewart says."We started to see some money come in on the Cowboys moving us back to -8.5 where we are seeing solid two-way action at that number with the action slightly favoring the Seahawks with 59 percent."

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles - Open: -3, Move: -2.5

Remember when people thought the NFC East was one of the worst division in football? Here we are with the Eagles hosting the Giants in one of the biggest games of the week. Oddsmakers opened the Eagles as field goal favorites where they've had to adjust in response to some Giants action. Also, bettors are hoping for a high-scoring game with a pair of potent offenses on the field.

"We opened the Eagles as a 3-point home fave back on the 5th but took some action we had to respect on Giants at +3 forcing us to move to Giants +2.5 where we currently sit," Stewart tells Covers. "Sixty-two percent of the action is on the Giants to cover. The 51.5 point total is seeing 74 percent of the action come in on the over with the high powered Eagles attack."

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NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 6 (Thursday, October 9 - Monday, October 13)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 6 (Thursday, October 9 - Monday, October 13)

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