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Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 10/7 (MLB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

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  • #16
    NFL Week 6 line watch: Act fast if you like the Eagles

    Spread to bet now

    New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)


    This is the week of the home dog. When the Week 6 lines first hit the books, no fewer than seven of the 11 games that had numbers available featured home teams getting points.

    One that doesn’t has the Giants at Philly in a game that could make things even messier at the top of the NFC East. The Eagles have hardly been dominant at home over the past several years, and even last year when the Giants were going belly up, NY managed to come into Philly and beat the Eagles outright, 15-7.

    The Eagles are a different team this time around, though, and while neither team has played against much A-level competition, the Eagles look like they are ready to start putting up decent numbers and New York might have been playing a little over its head.

    If you’re on the Eagles, eat the points now before this becomes a field goal game.

    Spread to wait on

    Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5)


    Early-week money is heavy on the Ravens in this one, figuring Baltimore will use the Buccaneers as retaliation after losing in Indianapolis. But scrape below the surface a bit and we can see that Tampa Bay’s 1-4 record is a bit misleading.

    The Bucs were a possession away from beating Carolina and St. Louis in Weeks 1 and 2, knocked off the Steelers in Pittsburgh, then had the Saints pinned on the mat on Sunday, leading by 11 in the fourth period before running out of gas in overtime.

    Tampa Bay may fall victim to injuries and a lack of depth as we get to November, but right now the Bucs are competing. And with heavy money already on the Ravens, it’s worthwhile swimming with the sharps on this one, seeing if the line nudges up a bit and then playing TB at 4 or 4.5.

    Total to watch

    Denver Broncos at New York Jets (46.5)


    Life is miserable for the QB-less Jets right now, sitting at 1-4 and seeing Buffalo playing well and the Patriots back on track. Looks like another lost season in East Rutherford.

    The NYJ really need a competitive game to keep their fan base from outright rebellion. The only way to do that against the Broncos is to run the ball, keep possession as much as possible and hope to move the chains well enough early to put a score on the board and prevent things from getting out of hand. If you think they can do that, an under play is worth a look. Besides, you can still cash on the under even if the final is 43-3 Denver.

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