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Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 7/3 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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  • #16
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    -- Lance Stephenson turned down a 5-year, $44M deal from Indiana; when you're described as a "legitimate knucklehead" by a national sportswriter, I'd be skeptical to think another team is going to offer him a better deal than Indiana.

    -- Joe Mauer (oblique) goes on the DL for the struggling Twins.

    -- Cardinals hit .330 LY with runners in scoring position; coming into last night's game, they were hitting .243. .330 was an unusually exceptional season.

    -- Indians have to be worried about Justin Masterson; they scored 7+ runs in six of his starts this season, but Masterson got the win in only one of those games.

    -- Kyle Lowry re-ups with Toronto for four years, $48M, so good for him.

    -- New Orleans Saints save $5M thanks to an arbitrator’s decision calling Jimmy Graham a tight end, rather than a wide receiver.

    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Random stuff before a long weekend........

    13) Every contender in baseball's pennant races needs help, a reinforcement or two between now and the end of the season; none of the teams are strong enough, as they stand now, to feel secure about themselves as they head towards the second half of the season.

    Some teams will get help from injured players returning, but most need help from their front office, even if some of it is merely symbolic, adding a role player, but showing players/fans that they’re trying to help the cause. It perks everyone up when that happens.

    12) Look at the Giants; on June 6, they led the Dodgers by 9.5 games; just three weeks later, the lead was gone, it can happen that fast. Every team has at least one flaw; its up to the GM to address and fix those flaws, as best they can.

    11) A quick look at the AL West shows the big money Angels/Mariners chasing the small market A’s, who had a terrific first half but could use another starting pitcher to bolster a staff that has been weakened by three injuries.

    Someone like Brandon McCarthy or Jorge de la Rosa could give the A’s pitching a jolt and keep them on top of the standings; we’ll see deals like this all thru July. Some will seem smaller than others, but could actually be bigger than they appear.

    10) Oakland finished its fifth road trip of the season yesterday; all five were three-city trips, which is unusual, to have so many. Good news is that they don’t have any more three-city trips this season.

    9) Lesser teams can improve themselves greatly by trading an aging star for a prospect, if they strike gold with the prospect; in 1987, the Tigers traded for pitcher Doyle Alexander from Atlanta, who helped Detroit make the playoffs. Good deal, right? Well, the prospect they gave Detroit for Alexander turned out to be John Smoltz, so not so much. No one viewed Smoltz as a Hall of Famer back in ’87, but the Braves struck gold on the deal.

    8) Rick Porcello’s complete game shutout Tuesday, with no walks/strikeouts, was the first of its kind since Jeff Ballard in 1989. 25 years is a long time.

    7) Check out the highlights of Cleveland’s 7-2-4 triple play against the Dodgers Tuesday; line drive to left field is one out, runner gets thrown out at the plate, then Yasiel Puig gets thrown out trying to go to second. Unique play with three outs, two replay reviews and a rally killer for the Dodgers, who trailed 5-3 in the 4th inning at the time- -they wound up losing 10-3.

    6) Patty Mills/Manu Ginobili both came up with injuries that will keep out of the World Championships this summer; Mills might miss as much as seven months with a shoulder injury, bad timing for the free agent guard.

    5) Virginia Cavaliers are going to have their ninth different starting QB in the last ten seasons; kind of hard to have a solid program when you have instability at the most important position on the field.

    4) Buffalo Bills lose LB Kiko Alonso (ACL) for the season, big blow to Buffalo's defense.

    3) 51 years ago this week, July 2, 1963, Giants beat the Braves 1-0 in 16 innings. Starting pitchers were two Hall of Famers, Warren Spahn/Juan Marichal-- they both pitched complete games!!!! Vin Scully said that Marichal threw 227 pitches, Spahn 204-- could you imagine that happening today? Me either.

    2) I mean a 1-0 game in 16 innings, with Aaron-Mays-McCovey-Cepeda-Matthews all hitting in the game. Spahn was 42 years old at the time. Amazing.

    1) ESPN’s basketball coaches’ ranking is nearing the end; really tough choices for the top 5. They went with Rick Pitino #5, Mike Krzyzewski #4, Tom Izzo #3, leaving Calipari-Donovan as the top two. If you rank Coach K #4, don’t see how you put him ahead of Pitino, who I think might be #1 on the list, if I was doing it. That list was a thankless job that was bound to be criticized, but an interesting thing to talk about.

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    • #17
      MLB
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Thursday, July 3


      Cardinals-Giants
      Martinez is 1-0, 3.38 in three starts (only 13.1 IP).
      Bumgarner is 1-2, 3.86 in his last four starts.

      St Louis lost four of its last six games.
      Giants lost 13 of their last 16 home games.

      Under is 12-4-1 in last seventeen St Louis road games.

      Phillies-Marlins
      Kendrick is 0-2, 5.79 in his lastt couple starts.
      Hand was 0-1, 11.37 in two starts back in April.

      Philly lost seven of its last eight games.
      Miami lost nine of its last fourteen games, but won last two.

      Under is 3-1-1 in last five Kendrick starts.

      Arizona-Pirates
      McCarthy is 1-5, 5.50 in his last six starts.
      Worley is 2-0, 1.74 in his first three starts for Pittsburgh.

      Arizona lost seven of its last ten road games.
      Pirates won nine of their last eleven games.

      Last six Diamondback games stayed under total.

      Dodgers-Rockies
      Greinke is 2-2, 3.28 in his last four starts.
      Morales is 0-3, 8.16 in his last six starts, last of which was May 31.

      Dodgers are 13-6 in their last 19 games, but lost last two.
      Colorado lost 14 of its last 16 games.

      Four of last five Morales starts stayed under total.

      Rangers-Orioles
      Darvish is 1-2, 5.68 in his last three starts; he's allowed no runs in four of his last nine starts.
      Chen is 0-1, 6.32 in his last three starts.

      Rangers lost 12 of their last 14 games.
      Baltimore is 10-5 in its last fifteen games.

      Six of last nine Darvish starts stayed under total; six of last eight Chen starts went over.

      Rays-Tigers
      Bedard is 1-1, 5.76 in his last four starts.
      Scherzer is 1-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.

      Tampa Bay won seven of its last eight games.
      Tigers won eight of their last ten games.

      Eight of last twelve Detroit games went over the total.

      Bronx-Twins
      Tanaka is 5-2, 1.92 in his last seven starts but lost his last two, with Bombers scoring one run in the two games.
      Hughes is 1-2, 5.23 in his last three starts.

      Bronx lost nine of its last eleven games.
      Minnesota lost seven of their last nine games.
      Under is 5-0-1 in last six Tanaka starts.

      Blue-Jays-A's
      Dickey is 0-3, 5.31 in his last three starts.
      Gray is 1-2, 5.79 in his last four starts.

      Blue Jays lost five of their last six road games.
      Oakland lost its last three games, scoring seven runs.

      Six of last seven Toronto games stayed under.

      Astros-Angels
      Oberholtzer is 2-0, 2.33 in his last three starts.
      Shoemaker is 2-1, 5.47 in his last four starts.

      Houston lost 12 of its last 16 games.
      Angels won nine of their last twelve games.

      Six of last eight Peacock starts stayed under.

      Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
      -- Martinez 0-3; Bumgarner 3-17
      -- Kendrick 9-16 (8 of last 11); Hand 1-2
      -- McCarthy 4-17; Worley 0-3
      -- Greinke 3-17; Morales 2-11

      -- Darvish 2-15; Chen 6-16 (4 of last 7)
      -- Bedard 3-14; Scherzer 5-17
      -- Tanaka 5-16; Hughes 3-16
      -- Dickey 4-17 (3 of last 5); Gray 6-16
      -- Oberholtzer 5-10; Shoemaker 0-8

      Comment


      • #18
        CFL
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Week 2


        Ottawa (0-0) @ Winnipeg (1-0)-- First game for expansion Ottawa team that split its pair of exhibition games; no idea what to expect from them. Winnipeg is favored for first time since its last game in 2012, and just third time in last 39 games- they upset Toronto 45-21 last week on this field, averaging 11.3 yards/pass attempt while also running ball for 132 yards. Winnipeg is just 10-27 SU since losing 2011 Grey Cup to BC; they can't be overconfident here.

        Saskatchewan (1-0) @ Toronto (0-1)-- Road underdogs won SU in last four series games; dogs are 8-3-1 vs spread in dozen series tilts. Roughriders are 7-1 in last eight visits here, winning in last two trips, 36-10/39-28; they led Hamilton 24-1 at half last week in easy 31-10 win, with 164 rushing yards and three takeaways (+1). Toronto (-7) got drilled 45-21 in Winnipeg; they allowed 11.3 yards/pass attempt. Argos lost five of last six home games last year.

        BC Lions (0-1) @ Montreal (0-1)-- Home side won last six series games; Lions lost last three visits here, by 4-5-1 point; underdogs are 8-4-1 vs spread in last 13 series games, with five of last seven going over total. BC turned ball over five times (-4) to Edmonton last week, getting upset in home opener, with QB Lulay out; they lost last three road games LY, allowing 34.7 ppg. Montreal lost in Calgary last week; Troy Smith was just 17-40/127 passing.

        Hamilton (0-1) @ Edmonton (1-0)-- Eskimos won eight of last 12 series games, but TiCats' 30-29 (+3) win here LY snapped six-game skid here for Hamilton, which lost 31-10 last week in Regina, turning ball over three times (was 24-1 at half). Four of last five series games went over total. Edmonton pulled upset in Vancouver last week, picking off four passes, rallying back from 17-13 halftime deficit to win 27-20 (+8), taking advantage of QB Lulay's absence.

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