The Bum's Major League Baseball Best Bets-News,Trends For July !

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Sunday

July 6, 2014


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Mariners are 0-13 since May 24, 2011 after an extra inning win and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1327 when playing against.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Tim Lincecum starts the Giants are 0-12 since June 29, 2011 on the road after he had a WHIP of less than one and allowed less than five hits in his last start for a net profit of $1231 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Cubs are 4-15 since June 20, 2013 as a road 140+ dog it is the last game of the series.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Reds are 11-0 since May 30, 2011 as a favorite after a loss in which their starter pitched at least 8 innings for a net profit of $1100.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- When Mat Latos starts the Reds are 14-2 since April 29, 2012 as a home 140+ favorite after a quality start for a net profit of $1005.

[StarDust Bum]

Rays, Tigers hook up

July 5, 2014


Tampa Bay (40-50) at Detroit (48-36)

First pitch: Sunday, 8:10 p.m. ET

Sportsbook.ag Line and Total: Rays -110, Tigers +110, Total 7.5

The Rays and Tigers do battle Sunday night in the finale of their four-game series.

Tampa Bay has been having a dreadful season, but has turned it on lately by going 9-3 over its past 12 games. Six of those victories came against division rivals, and in the Rays' most recent series, they swept the Yankees in three games; allowing just seven runs in the set. But their offense was able to muster only two hits in their 8-1 defeat at the hands of the Tigers on Thursday, with OF Desmond Jennings (.241 BA) having one of those hits and is 5-for-13 with two doubles and two runs in his past three contests. Detroit has once again taken a strong five-game lead in the AL Central, coming away with victories in 12 of the past 16 contests.

Max Scherzer gave his club eight innings of two-hit, one-run baseball in the series-opening rout, and was backed by home runs from 2B Ian Kinsler, DH Victor Martinez and OF Torii Hunter. Kinsler has been on fire over his past 10 games coming into Friday, going 16-for-40 (.400) with two doubles, three homers, 10 RBI and nine runs. Sunday's pitching matchup is a great one, as Rays LHP David Price (7-7, 3.50 ERA) goes toe-to-toe with RHP Rick Porcello (11-4, 3.12 ERA) for the Tigers. The road has not been easy for Tampa Bay, as it has gone just 20-26 in away games through Saturday, but Detroit is a pedestrian 23-20 in front of its hometown fans this season. Over the past three years, the Tigers hold a 9-6 edge in this series, which includes a 5-3 record at home.

Amidst all of the frequent trade rumors surrounding David Price, he has managed to put together another solid season while dropping his ERA from 4.42 to his current 3.50 over his past seven starts. In that time he has posted five double-digit strikeout performances and 69 punch-outs in 53.2 innings (11.6 K/9). Overall on the year he has mowed down 10.5 batters per nine innings while having a miniscule 1.2 BB/9, but his 17 home runs allowed are tied for second-worst in the league. In Price’s last outing, he went seven strong innings while allowing only one run on four hits and three walks with nine strikeouts in a win over the Yankees. In his career against Detroit, Price has gone 4-1 in seven games (5 starts) with a 2.23 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, and has allowed just one home run in 36.1 frames.

DH Victor Martinez is one player that has owned the lefty over his career, going 8-for-17 with two doubles, three homers and 5 RBI. On the other hand, 1B Miguel Cabrera (1-for-14, 6 K’s) and OF Austin Jackson (2-for-14, 8 K’s) have had no luck in the matchup. Prior to Friday’s contest, the Rays bullpen has gone 14-14 with a 3.80 ERA and 1.22 WHIP while saving 17-of-25 (68%) games. Grant Balfour has lost his job as closer and Joel Peralta (4.00 ERA, 1 save), Jake McGee (1.21 ERA, 3 saves) and Juan Oviedo (2.48 ERA, 1 save) are all getting chances to earn ninth-inning appearances.

Rick Porcello became the first Tigers’ pitcher since 1944 to throw two consecutive complete-game shutouts when he dominated Oakland in his last start, allowing just four hits while failing to record either a strikeout or walk. Overall in his past three starts (24 IP), Porcello has given up just 13 hits while holding his opponents scoreless and going 3-0. At just 25 years old, Porcello already has nearly 1,000 innings (975.1 IP) and has put together six straight seasons of double-digit wins despite striking out just 5.4 batters per nine innings over his career. He has been somewhat lucky in 2014 though, with batters hitting .266 BABIP, while he has held a career-high 75.7% of runners on base. Against the Rays, Porcello has gone 2-2 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.06 WHIP, and has given up just one home run in that time (33 IP).

OF Desmond Jennings is a solid 3-for-10 with 1 RBI in the matchup against Porcello, while 2B Ben Zobrist, 3B Evan Longoria, OF Matt Joyce and INF Sean Rodriguez have combined to go just 4-for-30 (.133) with six strikeouts against him. Through Thursday’s game, the Tigers’ bullpen has gone 11-10 with a subpar 4.61 ERA and 1.39 WHIP while converting 22-of-30 (73%) saves. Joe Nathan (6.16 ERA, 17 saves) is only 17-for-22 in his save chances and has already allowed five home runs in 30.2 innings.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

-- Braves quietly won their last nine games, lead NL East by 1.5 games.

-- Victor Martinez (back) might not play again until after the All-Star break.

-- Edwin Encarnacion was helped off field with an injured quad Saturday.

-- Ryan Braun left Saturday's game with back spasms.

-- Clayton Kershaw's scoreless streak is now at 36 innings.

-- Three of the best four records in the AL are teams from the AL West.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but..........

13) Some leftover stuff from A's-Cubs trade; Chicago saves $5.5M in salary when Oakland takes on the two big league contracts; some Cub fans on Twitter are upset the team folded its tent on this year and next when they were only 7.5 games out of a Wild Card spot-- they had won 11 of last 19 games, six of seven on the road, but they got waxed 13-0 by Washington in the first post-trade game.

12) Oakland sent Tommy Milone to AAA, a shocking move considering he has a 6-0, 2.62 record in his last 11 starts. Think its procedural- they might've lost Brad Mills had they sent him down, but sending Jesse Chavez to the bullpen seemed like a more probable outcome. Tough one for Bob Melvin to explain, considering there is no way it was his idea.

11) Jeff Samardzija is signed thru 2015; Jason Hammel is a free agent this winter, but A's get Parker/Griffin back from injury next year. Oakland has to demote another pitcher when Hammel arrives on Sunday.

10) Ever watch House on TV? Actor Hugh Laurie's father won a gold medal in the 8-man crew event in 1936 Olympics. KL Wheat sent me that gem of a tidbit.

9) Toronto's Mark Buehrle has two career no-hitters, and the same umpire was behind the plate for both of them-- Eric Cooper-- he hasn't worked any of Buehrle's games behind the plate this season.

8) Edwin Encarnacion hurt his quad Saturday; his spot in lineup has come up to bat with the most men on base this season, 276. Miami's Casey McGehee (272) is next, followed by Albert Pujols (270).

7) Looking at players with 125+ plate appearances, Miguel Cabrera (27%) has knocked in highest percentage of baserunners, followed by Ryan Braun (24.1%) and Robinson Cano (22.8%).

6) Best wishes to former Baylor guard Pierre Jackson, who tore his achilles tendon down at the Orlando summer league-- thought he had gotten a big break by getting traded to the 76ers, but now he has a long year of rehab ahead of him.

5) They have the no-foul out rule in Orlando; any personal foul after the 6th is a technical foul on that team. ABA used to have this rule; its a good one.

4) Bahamas won the Caribbean basketball championship this weekend, which I'm mentioning only because Larry Eustachy is the Bahamas coach. ESPN did their top 50 coaches thing, then mentioned another 25 guys who just missed the list, and Eustachy still wasn't mentioned, which is poppycock. He is a terrific coach who has battled personal problems, but if I'm a college AD, I'd be glad to have him as coach.

3) Toronto dumped the rest of Steve Novak's contract ($7.5M, two years) on Utah; they never used Novak, who can shoot but do very little else. Boy can he shoot, but Toronto is actually good now and needed that $7.5M to pay someone else.

2) Rangers' Adrian Beltre has now homered in 40 major league ballparks, most of any active player.

1) Thru Friday night, there had been 547 instant replay reviews this season, with about 50% resulting in overturned calls. This system has worked out better than most thought it would-- I'm guessing the powers-that-be are pleasantly surprised.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Milwaukee at Cincinnati
The Brewers look to follow up yesterday's 1-0 win over the Reds and come into today's contest with a 5-1 record in Yovani Gallardo's last 6 starts against Cincinnati. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+120). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 6

Game 951-952: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.832; Cincinnati (Latos) 14.676
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+120); Under

Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Washington (1:35 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Arrieta) 13.799; Washington (Zimmermann) 15.382
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-165); Over

Game 955-956: Arizona at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 15.733; Atlanta (Wood) 14.646
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+150); Under

Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Burnett) 13.318; Pittsburgh (Locke) 15.724
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-160); Over

Game 959-960: Miami at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 14.155; St. Louis (Gonzalez) 15.662
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Over

Game 961-962: San Francisco at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.770; San Diego (Hahn) 14.669
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 5
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+105); Under

Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Beckett) 17.128; Colorado (Flande) 15.566
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers 1 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 11
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-160); Over

Game 965-966: Tampa Bay at Detroit (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 17.715; Detroit (Porcello) 16.933
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-110); Under

Game 967-968: Kansas City at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Duffy) 16.785; Cleveland (Kluber) 15.658
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Under

Game 969-970: Baltimore at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gausman) 15.200; Boston (Peavy) 16.894
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-125); Over

Game 971-972: NY Yankees at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.200; Minnesota (Nolasco) 15.194
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+100); Under

Game 973-974: Seattle at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Walker) 16.152; White Sox (Noesi) 14.636
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-130); Over

Game 975-976: Houston at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (McHugh) 16.359; LA Angels (Richards) 17.805
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-185); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-185); Over

Game 977-978: Toronto at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 15.725; Oakland (Samardzija) 14.616
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+140); Under

Game 979-980: Texas at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 14.685; NY Mets (Wheeler) 13.766
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100); Under

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, July 6

Brewers-Reds
Gallardo is 2-1, 3.09 in his last five starts.
Latos is 1-1, 1.29 in his last two starts.

Milwaukee lost four of its last five games.
Reds won five of last seven home games.

Four of last five Gallardo starts stayed under total.

Cubs-Nationals
Arrieta is 4-0, 0.78 in his last five starts.
Zimmerman is 3-2, 1.43 in his last six starts.

Cubs won seven of their last nine road games.
Washington won six of its last seven games.
Eight of last ten Washington games went over total.

Diamondbacks-Braves
Miley is 0-3, 4.71 in his last nine starts.
Wood is 1-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.

Arizona lost five of its last six games.
Atlanta won its last nine games.

Eight of last ten Miley starts stayed under total.

Phillies-Pirates
Ex-Pirate Burnett is 1-2, 3.30 in his last four starts.
Locke is 1-1, 2.45 in his last five starts.

Philly lost nine of its last eleven games.
Pirates won eleven of their last fourteen games.
Four of last five Burnett starts stayed under.

Marlins-Cardinals
Marlins won last nine Alvarez starts (3-0, 1.35).
Gonzales is 0-1, 9.65 in two starts; he has a 27.03 RA after third inning.

Miami lost six of its last nine games.
St Louis won eight of its last twelve home games.

Three of last four Alvarez starts stayed under total.

Giants-Padres
Lincecum is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (17 IP), one of which was no-hitter against San Diego June 25.
Hahn is 4-0, 1.13 in his last four starts.

Giants lost nine of their last twelve games.
San Diego won five of its last six games.
Four of five Hahn starts stayed under the total.

Dodgers-Rockies
Beckett is 2-1, 2.53 in his last five starts.
Flande is 0-1, 6.10 in his first two MLB starts.

Dodgers won 15 of their last 22 games.
Colorado lost 16 of its last 19 games.

Six of last eight Beckett starts stayed under total.

Rays-Tigers
Price is 3-1, 2.01 in his last four starts.
Porcello is 3-0, 0.00 in his last three starts (24 IP).

Tampa Bay won nine of its last eleven games.
Tigers won nine of their last thirteen games, but lost last two.

11 of last 15 Detroit games went over the total; Price's last five starts stayed under. .

Royals-Indians
Duffy is 3-2, 1.69 in his last six starts.
Kluber is 1-2, 1.73 in his last four starts.

Royals won 12 of their last 14 road games.
Cleveland lost five of its last seven home games.
Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Duffy starts.

Orioles-Red Sox
Gausman is 3-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
Red Sox lost last six Peavy starts (0-5, 5.65).

Baltimore is 12-6 in its last eighteen games.
Red Sox lost ten of their last fifteen games.

14 of last 17 games at Fenway Park stayed under.

Bronx-Twins
Kuroda is 1-3, 3.66 in his last five starts.
Nolasco is 1-1, 5.08 in his last five starts.

Bronx Bombers lost six of their last eight games.
Minnesota lost nine of their last twelve games.
Last six Kuroda starts stayed under the total.

Mariners-White Sox
Walker won his first '14 start, allowing three runs in six IP.
Chicago lost last four Noesi starts (0-2, 6.35).

Seattle won 11 of its last 14 games.
White Sox lost eight of their last eleven home games.

Seven of last ten Seattle games stayed under the total.

Astros-Angels
McHugh is 0-4, 5.25 in his last four starts.
Angels won last six Richards starts (5-0, 1.49).

Houston lost 14 of its last 18 games.
Angels won eleven of their last fourteen games.

Over is 3-0-1 in last four Richards starts.

Blue-Jays-A's
Hutchison is 1-2, 4.67 in his last three starts.
Samardzija was 0-2, 5.48 in his last four starts for Chicago; Cubs scored 3 or less runs in 12 of his 17 starts.

Blue Jays lost eight of their last nine road games.
Oakland won ten of its last twelve home games.

Nine of last ten Toronto games stayed under.

Rangers-Mets
Tepesch is 1-1, 1.93 in his last three starts.
Wheeler is 0-3, 8.56 in his last three home starts.

Texas lost ten of its last eleven road games.
Mets lost eight of their last ten games.

Four of last five Wheeler home starts stayed under.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Gallardo 5-17 (3 of last 4); Latos 0-4
-- Arrieta 3-11; Zimmerman 1-17
-- Miley 3-18; Wood 5-9
-- Burnett 5-18; Locke 2-6
-- Alvarez 5-17 (1 of last 8); Gonzales 0-2
-- Lincecum 6-17; Hahn 0-5
-- Beckett 3-16; Flande 0-2

-- Price 7-18; Porcello 6-16
-- Duffy 2-11; Kluber 4-18
-- Gausman 0-5; Peavy 4-17 (3 of last 6)
-- Kuroda 6-17 (1 of last 7); Nolasco 6-17 (4 of last 5)
-- Walker 1-1; Noesi 3-12
-- McHugh 1-13; Richards 4-17
-- Hutchison 3-17; Samardzija 8-17

-- Tepesch 2-8; Wheeler 6-17

Umpires
-- Mil-Cin-- Four of last six Baker games stayed under.
-- Chi-Wsh-- Six of eight Everitt games went over total.
-- Az-Atl-- Nine of eleven Basner games went over.
-- Phil-Pitt-- Seven of last ten Scott games stayed under.
-- Mia-StL-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Timmons games.
-- SF-SD-- Favorites won 11 of last 12 Hoye games.
-- LA-Col-- Favorites won seven of last eight Kellogg games.

-- TB-Det-- Six of last eight Gibson games went over.
-- KC-Clev-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Cooper games.
-- Balt-Bos-- Underdogs are 9-5 in last fourteen Estabrook games.
-- NY-Min-- Five of last seven Drake games stayed under.
-- Sea-Chi-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen LBarrett games.
-- Tor-A's-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Morales games.
-- Hst-LAA-- Eight of last ten Vanover games went over.

-- Tex-NYM-- Underdogs won 12 of last 15 Hudson games; under is 10-6 in his games behind the plate.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Sunday, July 6

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Trend Report
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1:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CLEVELAND
Kansas City is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

1:10 PM
TEXAS vs. NY METS
Texas is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
NY Mets are 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Texas

1:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games

1:35 PM
CHI CUBS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing Chi Cubs

1:35 PM
ARIZONA vs. ATLANTA
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:35 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

1:35 PM
BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore

2:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Seattle is 6-19 SU in their last 25 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games at home
Chi White Sox are 19-6 SU in their last 25 games when playing Seattle

2:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. MINNESOTA
NY Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
NY Yankees are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games
Minnesota is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Minnesota is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games

2:15 PM
MIAMI vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Miami's last 25 games on the road
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of St. Louis's last 12 games at home

3:35 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA ANGELS
Houston is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
Houston is 0-4-1 SU in their last 5 games ,when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels11-3-1 SU in their last 15 games
LA Angels10-4-1 SU in their last 15 games when playing Houston

4:05 PM
TORONTO vs. OAKLAND
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

4:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games
San Francisco is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing San Francisco

4:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. COLORADO
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of LA Dodgers's last 19 games on the road
Colorado is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games
Colorado is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers

8:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Tampa Bay is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Detroit is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Sunday, July 6


Blue Jays' starter scorching hot on the road

Drew Hutchison has been dominant for the Blue Jays on the road this season. In Hutchison's last six road starts the Jays are 5-1 and bettors have cashed in on the under five times.

Hutchison has only surrendered 10 runs over those six games and has kept the other team scoreless three times.


Royals shakey at best against Indians pitcher

The Kansas City Royals will be staring down Corey Kluber Sunday, which does not bode well for them. The Royals are 1-5 in their last six games against the Cleveland Indians when Kluber starts.

The Royals have whiffed an average of six times per game, including a dominant 11 K performance by Kluber earlier this season.


Little-known pitcher strong against Astros

The Los Angeles Angels will be sending Garrett Richards to the mound against the Houston Astros Sunday. The 'Halos' are 4-1 in Richards last against the Astros.

Richards has supplied a bend don't break method giving up double-digit hits twice in that span, but has allowed less than three runs per game.


Young lefty pitching well for Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates can often go unnoticed after years of terrible baseball, but pitcher Jeff Locke should not be ignored. The Pirates have won Locke's last four starts with the young lefty never allowing more than three runs.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Sunday, July 6

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Game of the Day: Rays at Tigers
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Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers (+105, 7.5)

Logan Forsythe was struggling much like his Tampa Bay Rays in mid-June, batting .178 and spending plenty of time watching from the bench. Forsythe has batted .431 since then to help ignite the Rays, who look to finish their 11-game road trip with nine victories when they visit the Detroit Tigers on Sunday night. Runs will be hard to come by as Detroit’s Rick Porcello, coming off the first two shutouts of his career, takes the mound against David Price -- the major-league strikeout leader.

The Rays have taken two of three in the series and lost only once in their last eight as Forsythe boasts three homers and eight RBIs on the road trip. The Tigers have dropped the last two after winning 12 of their previous 14 and lead the American League Central while hot-hitting Victor Martinez is day-to-day with a sore back. J.D Martinez is 8-for-19 with two homers and five RBIs in July though for the Tigers.

TV: 8 p.m. ET; ESPN

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Tigers -104 home faves, but that line has moved to +105. The total opened 7.5.

POWER RANKINGS: Rays (+103), Tigers (-188)

INJURY REPORT: Rays: SS Yunel Escobar (Shoulder/Out), LF David DeJesus (Hand/Out) Tigers: DH Victor Martinez (Back/Doubtful)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rays LH David Price (7-7, 3.50 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Rick Porcello (11-4, 3.12)

After a five-game winless streak, Price has won three of his last four starts while yielding only seven runs over 31 1/3 innings. The Vanderbilt product leads the majors in strikeout-walk ratio (153-17, 9.00), but has surrendered 17 homers – among the most in the majors. Miguel Cabrera is only 1-for-14 with six strikeouts against Price, who is 4-1 with a 2.23 ERA in seven appearances (five starts) versus Detroit.

Before Porcello’s two shutouts, he blanked Cleveland over six innings on six hits in his previous start to begin a three-game winning streak. The 25-year-old New Jersey native has permitted two or fewer runs in 10 of his 16 starts in 2014 and 96 hits in 106 2/3 innings overall. Desmond Jennings is 3-for-10 in his career against Porcello, who is 2-2 in five career starts versus Tamps Bay with a 2.73 ERA.

TRENDS:

*Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
*Tigers are 23-7 in Porcellos last 30 starts.
*Under is 5-0 in Porcellos last 5 starts vs. Rays
*Rays are 7-16 in the last 23 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 61.9 percent of backers are taking the Tigers at +102

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Sunday, July 6

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Game roundup: Belt's blast lifts Giants in 10th
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SAN DIEGO -- Brandon Belt hit a two-run homer off San Diego reliever Dale Thayer in the 10th inning Saturday night to give the San Francisco Giants a 5-3 victory over the Padres at Petco Park.

Belt, who returned from the disabled list Friday after missing 50 games with a broken thumb, followed a leadoff double by Hunter Pence with a 406-foot line drive into the right field stands on a 2-2 pitch.

The win stopped a three-game skid for the Giants, who were 6-18 in their past 24 games. The Padres had won five straight and are 10-6 in their last 16 games.

A's 5, Blue Jays 1

OAKLAND, Calif. -- Left-hander Scott Kazmir pitched seven strong innings, Josh Donaldson homered and Oakland defeated Toronto at O.co Coliseum.

The A's beat the Jays for the third straight time and will go for a sweep in their four-game series Sunday afternoon when former Cubs right-hander Jeff Samardzija makes his Oakland debut. Kazmir (10-3) entered the game with a 5-1 record and 1.61 ERA at the Coliseum and pitched another gem in front of the home fans. He allowed just three hits and one run.

Blue Jays left-hander Mark Buehrle (10-6) lost his fifth straight decision. He gave up three runs and 10 hits in six innings, including Donaldson's solo shot in the third inning and Alberto Callaspo's double in the fourth when the A's scored twice.

Angels 11, Astros 5

ANAHEIM, Calif. -- Albert Pujols is climbing the home run ladder with each one he delivers. The latest boosted the first baseman another rung and propelled Los Angeles past Houston at Angels Stadium.

The homer was only part of the carnage. The Angels scored eight runs in the seventh inning, which lasted nearly an hour and was highlighted by three home runs.

Pujols now has 19 home runs this season and 511 in his career, which ties him with Mel Ott for 23rd all time.

Orioles 7-2, Red Sox 4-3

BOSTON -- Nelson Cruz hit his 27th home run of the season as part of a career-high five-hit night that powered Baltimore to a split of the day-night doubleheader.

In the first game, pinch-hitter Jonathan Herrera drove in the winning run on a broken-bat single with one out in the ninth inning to help the Red Sox snap their three-game losing streak.

Nick Hundley hit a two-run homer in the nightcap for the Orioles, who won for the fifth time in six games.

Indians 7, Royals 3

CLEVELAND -- Michael Bourn homered and rookie left-hander T.J. House pitched into the seventh inning for his first major league win as Cleveland beat Kansas City at Progressive Field.

Bourn's solo home run leading off the third inning ignited a three-run rally and House was steady throughout his eighth appearance and seventh start for the Indians. In 6 2/3 innings, House (1-2) gave up three runs on nine hits, with three strikeouts and no walks.

Mariners 3, White Sox 2, 14 innings

CHICAGO -- Brad Miller drove in the winning run with a ground-rule double in the top of the 14th inning and Seattle outlasted Chicago at U.S. Cellular Field.

Mariners closer Fernando Rodney shut the door in the bottom of the 14th to give Seattle a split of the first two games of a three-game weekend series.

Miller, hitless in his first five trips to the plate, drove in Michael Saunders with one out in the 14th.

Pirates 3, Phillies 2

PITTSBURGH -- Edinson Volquez pitched seven strong innings to win his third straight start and Andrew McCutchen hit a two-run homer to lead Pittsburgh over Philadelphia.

Volquez (7-6) won for the sixth time in his last eight decisions after beginning the season 1-4. The right-hander gave up one run and four hits in seven innings with four walks and five strikeouts in improving to 4-1 with a 1.72 ERA in five career starts against the Phillies.

Jordy Mercer was 2-for-2 with a double and a walk for the Pirates, making him 9-for-14 with four doubles in July. Pittsburgh won for the 12th time in its last 16 games.

Marlins 5, Cardinals 4

ST. LOUIS -- Miami was down to its final strike on Saturday but still had enough to come back and beat St. Louis.

The Marlins were trailing 5-4 before Casey McGehee capped an 11-pitch at-bat with a single to right to score Donovan Solano from first base to tie it, and McGehee later scored on a pinch-single by Jeff Baker.

The Marlins claimed their 15th comeback victory this season but their first when trailing after eight innings. They had been 0-38 in those situations before Saturday.

Nationals 13, Cubs 0

WASHINGTON -- Gio Gonzalez won his third straight start with eight scoreless innings and Ryan Zimmerman had four hits and three RBIs as Washington erupted for six runs in the third inning against Chicago.

The Nationals won for the sixth time in seven games and are a season-high eight games above .500.

Jayson Werth and (three RBIs) and Anthony Rendon (two RBIs, three doubles) banged out three hits and Ian Desmond (two RBIs) and Wilson Ramos added two hits for the Nationals, who smashed out 19 hits, including eight doubles but no homers.

Rays 7, Tigers 2

DETROIT -- Kevin Kiermaier had two triples to drive in three runs, Logan Forsythe hit a home run and beat out a squeeze bunt for an RBI single and Chris Archer checked Detroit on six hits in 8 1/3 innings to help Tampa Bay hand the Tigers their second straight loss.

Archer (5-5) kept Detroit scoreless until Alex Avila hit his sixth home run of the season, with two outs in the seventh inning.

Archer also made two special defensive plays, spearing a line drive to center hit by Austin Jackson in the eighth and snagging a bullet ground ball by J.D. Martinez to end the sixth. Archer walked four and struck out four in his first complete game this year and third of his career.

Braves 10, Diamondbacks 4

ATLANTA -- After spotting Arizona three runs in the first inning, Atlanta stormed back to extend their winning streak to nine games.

Justin Upton's two-run homer in the sixth inning broke a stretch of 47 innings without a homer by the Braves and was only their third during the winning streak. Andrelton Simmons, who made two first-inning errors, matched his career high with four RBIs, and Freddie Freeman had a double and triple as part of the Braves' 14-hit attack.

Aaron Harang (8-6) needed 30 pitches as Arizona batted around in the first inning but steadied from there to work eight innings. He allowed nine hits and four runs (three earned).

Brewers 1, Reds 0

CINCINNATI -- Matt Garza tossed his fourth career complete-game shutout and Aramis Ramirez drove in the lone run with an RBI single in the first inning, lifting Milwaukee over Cincinnati.

The Reds were shut out for the 10th time this season as the Brewers snapped a four-game losing streak.

Garza (6-5) baffled the Reds, allowing just two hits despite entering the game with a 5.45 ERA against them in seven career starts. Reds starter Homer Bailey gave up two hits in the first inning, including Ramirez's two-out RBI single that put Milwaukee ahead 1-0.

Twins 2, Yankees 1, 11 innings

MINNEAPOLIS -- Backed by a quality start from Yohan Pino and five scoreless innings of relief, Minnesota snapped a seven-game home losing streak to New York.

Josh Willingham scored the winning run on an errant throw in the 11th inning by Yankees catcher Francisco Cervelli.

Pino gave the Twins their first quality start of the series, going six innings and allowing one run and three hits and striking out three. It was Pino's first-ever start against the Yankees. The 30-year-old rookie entered the game 0-2 with a 6.32 ERA in three appearances for the Twins.

Rockies 8, Dodgers 7

DENVER -- Colorado survived a bullpen meltdown and held on to beat Los Angeles and break a five-game losing streak.

Jorge De La Rosa (9-6) allowed three hits and two runs in the first inning but then pitched five hitless innings. He handed the bullpen an 8-2 lead that nearly vanished as the Dodgers erupted for five runs in the seventh. Adam Ottavino snuffed out the rally, helping the Rockies win for just the third in 19 games and end a six-game losing streak against the Dodgers.

Drew Stubbs hit a two-run homer, Corey Dickerson hit a solo shot and Wilin Rosario drove in two runs as the Rockies again tormented Dodgers starter Dan Haren.

Rangers 5, Mets 3

NEW YORK -- Robinson Chirinos hit a three-run homer in the first inning and right-hander Colby Lewis gutted through six innings as Texas snapped two losing streaks.

The Rangers ended a six-game losing streak as well as a 10-game road losing streak dating to June 17. It was their longest road losing streak since a franchise-record 12-game skid in 2003.

Chirinos had two hits. Adrian Beltre homered and Alex Rios was 3-for-4 with an RBI double.

Lewis (6-5) dodged trouble most of the night and allowed three runs (two earned) on eight hits.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Sunday, July 6


Find out if wind will impact your bets Sunday

Sunday has a full slate of afternoon MLB games and several parks could see outbound wind that could benefit hitters.Here is a list of games that could be impacted:

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians - 14 mph wind toward right-center field

Texas Rangers at New York Mets - 14 mph wind toward right-center field

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox - 16 mph wind toward right-center field

Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals - 11 mph toward center field

New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins - 13 mph toward left field

Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals - 11 mph toward left field

Toronto Blue Jays at Oakland Athletics - 12 mph toward right field

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, July 6

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MILWAUKEE (52 - 36) at CINCINNATI (44 - 42) - 1:10 PM
YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. MAT LATOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 63-84 (-30.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 35-14 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 52-36 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 24-12 (+15.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 28-18 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 52-34 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-14 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
GALLARDO is 12-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 6-3 (+2.7 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GALLARDO is 7-7 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.508.
His team's record is 10-12 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-8. (+3.7 units)

MAT LATOS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LATOS is 2-4 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 3-6 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-1. (+5.8 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (38 - 47) at WASHINGTON (47 - 39) - 1:35 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1352-1511 (-279.2 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-26 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 47-73 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1295-1427 (-257.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 74-115 (-30.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 78-107 (-38.6 Units) against the money line after getting shut out since 1997.
ZIMMERMANN is 33-11 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 32-24 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
ARRIETA is 16-9 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 16-9 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 7-0 (+8.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 41-44 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 93-86 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-3 (+0.5 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.2 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
ARRIETA is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 6.84 and a WHIP of 1.680.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 1-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.59 and a WHIP of 1.297.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

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ARIZONA (36 - 53) at ATLANTA (49 - 38) - 1:35 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. ALEX WOOD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 36-53 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 36-53 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 82-44 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 82-44 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 39-15 (+19.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MILEY is 0-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.438.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

ALEX WOOD vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

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PHILADELPHIA (37 - 50) at PITTSBURGH (46 - 41) - 1:35 PM
A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. JEFF LOCKE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 110-139 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 53-71 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 110-137 (-28.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BURNETT is 85-119 (-40.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 70-99 (-33.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 143-112 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 141-111 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 119-93 (+24.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 79-51 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 340-356 (+50.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 374-350 (+39.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
BURNETT is 15-7 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 47-50 (-32.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
BURNETT is 1-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.37 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JEFF LOCKE vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
LOCKE is 2-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.54 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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MIAMI (42 - 45) at ST LOUIS (47 - 41) - 2:15 PM
HENDERSON ALVAREZ (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 10-28 (-16.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 4-19 (-13.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 119-74 (+24.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 75-38 (+28.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 387-380 (+36.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
MIAMI is 343-391 (+41.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ALVAREZ is 12-5 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
ALVAREZ is 12-5 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 (+0.4 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

HENDERSON ALVAREZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

MARCO GONZALES vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN FRANCISCO (48 - 39) at SAN DIEGO (39 - 48) - 4:10 PM
TIM LINCECUM (R) vs. JESSE HAHN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 60-67 (-20.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-20 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 50-63 (-29.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 24-11 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 42-28 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 68-74 (+7.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-16 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 111-79 (+24.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-16 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 524-513 (+52.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
LINCECUM is 19-6 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LINCECUM is 17-4 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 30-41 (-12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 6-5 (+2.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.7 Units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LINCECUM is 15-6 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 1.121.
His team's record is 20-8 (+9.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-14. (-1.8 units)

JESSE HAHN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HAHN is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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LA DODGERS (50 - 40) at COLORADO (37 - 51) - 4:10 PM
JOSH BECKETT (R) vs. YOHAN FLANDE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BECKETT is 8-16 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BECKETT is 2-9 (-9.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BECKETT is 8-16 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BECKETT is 8-17 (-13.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 15-3 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 15-4 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
LA DODGERS are 43-21 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 24-9 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 195-259 (-71.0 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 45-64 (-22.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 8-4 (+2.8 Units) against COLORADO this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. COLORADO since 1997
BECKETT is 6-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.59 and a WHIP of 1.315.
His team's record is 6-5 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.7 units)

YOHAN FLANDE vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

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TAMPA BAY (40 - 50) at DETROIT (48 - 36) - 8:05 PM
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 40-50 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-33 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 30-34 (-13.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PORCELLO is 96-63 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 52-25 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 25-6 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 142-108 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 22-26 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against DETROIT this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

DAVID PRICE vs. DETROIT since 1997
PRICE is 4-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.129.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.6 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
PORCELLO is 2-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.73 and a WHIP of 1.061.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-5. (-5.4 units)

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KANSAS CITY (45 - 41) at CLEVELAND (42 - 44) - 1:05 PM
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 134-115 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 75-47 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 51-37 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 128-109 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 51-25 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 66-58 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 51-38 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 60-53 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 35-23 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-4 (+0.0 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
DUFFY is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.839.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

COREY KLUBER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
KLUBER is 3-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.163.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.1 units)

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BALTIMORE (47 - 40) at BOSTON (39 - 48) - 1:35 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. JAKE PEAVY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 186-267 (-80.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997.
BOSTON is 70-47 (+15.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 48-40 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 25-19 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 40-29 (+19.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 24-17 (+9.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 44-30 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 207-164 (+46.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 36-27 (+11.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 15-10 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 98-69 (+20.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 39-49 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 588-523 (-71.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 21-24 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 46-52 (-25.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 42-53 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-45 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 25-33 (-13.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 190-182 (-44.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
PEAVY is 5-12 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
PEAVY is 4-11 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 6-6 (+0.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.4 Units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. BOSTON since 1997
GAUSMAN is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.126.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
PEAVY is 2-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (43 - 43) at MINNESOTA (39 - 47) - 2:10 PM
HIROKI KURODA (R) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 16-22 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 21-28 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
KURODA is 10-20 (-15.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
KURODA is 1-8 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 38-22 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-3 (+0.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
KURODA is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.79 and a WHIP of 1.929.
His team's record is 1-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
NOLASCO is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (48 - 39) at CHI WHITE SOX (41 - 47) - 2:10 PM
TAIJUAN WALKER (R) vs. HECTOR NOESI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 53-62 (-20.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 321-297 (-72.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SEATTLE is 48-39 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 27-17 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SEATTLE is 33-22 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 20-9 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SEATTLE is 45-38 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 27-21 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 104-146 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 99-140 (-28.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 53-89 (-28.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

TAIJUAN WALKER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

HECTOR NOESI vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

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HOUSTON (36 - 53) at LA ANGELS (50 - 36) - 3:35 PM
COLLIN MCHUGH (R) vs. GARRETT RICHARDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 142-270 (-62.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 38-92 (-39.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-46 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 51-111 (-31.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-94 (-40.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-45 (-25.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 30-10 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 21-5 (+15.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 20-4 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
RICHARDS is 17-5 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
RICHARDS is 14-2 (+12.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 28-38 (-20.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 51-62 (-25.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 120-118 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 9-4 (+2.9 Units) against HOUSTON this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.5 Units)

COLLIN MCHUGH vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MCHUGH is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
RICHARDS is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.299.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

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TORONTO (47 - 42) at OAKLAND (54 - 33) - 4:05 PM
DREW HUTCHISON (R) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 54-33 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 131-77 (+34.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 37-17 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 29-10 (+17.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 52-29 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 163-114 (+44.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 34-18 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 70-49 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 24-14 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAMARDZIJA is 3-15 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 1-9 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 7-19 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 3-15 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 2-14 (-13.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 7-20 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-3 (+0.2 Units) against OAKLAND this season
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.1 Units)

DREW HUTCHISON vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (38 - 49) at NY METS (38 - 49) - 1:10 PM
NICK TEPESCH (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 38-49 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 21-33 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 37-47 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 86-86 (-15.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 115-106 (-27.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 25-17 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 51-70 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 51-70 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.2 Units)

NICK TEPESCH vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

ZACK WHEELER vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Sunday, July 6


Red Sox cold for bettors with Peavy starting

It certainly hasn't been a banner first half of the season for the Boston Red Sox, but the AL East club has been ice cold for bettors when Jake Peavy gets the start.

The righty is an abysmal 1-7 on the season and the Red Sox have dropped six-straight ball games that he's started.

He'll get the start versus the Baltimore Orioles Sunday afternoon. The Sox are currently -110 home faves with a total of 9.


Edwin Encarnacion, Toronto - Ques Sun

Encarnacion left Saturday's game with an apparent leg injury and is questionable to play Sunday against the Athletics.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Short Sheet

Sunday, July 6

Milwaukee at Cincinnati, 1:10 ET
Gallardo: MILWAUKEE 21-14 SU on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5
Latos: CINCINNATI 12-23 SU after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less

Chicago Cubs at Washington, 1:35 ET
Arrieta: CHICAGO 13-6 SU after allowing 9 runs or more
Zimmermann: WASHINGTON 24-33 SU against NL Central opponents

Arizona at Atlanta, 1:35 ET
Miley: ARIZONA 22-40 SU when the total is 7 to 8.5
Wood: ATLANTA 29-9 SU after 4 or more consecutive wins

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh, 1:35 ET
Burnett: PHILADELPHIA 22-39 SU after a loss by 2 runs or less
Locke: PITTSBURGH 22-11 SU after having won 2 of their last 3

Miami at St Louis, 2:15 ET
Alvarez: MIAMI 8-22 SU after 2 or more consecutive road games
Gonzales: ST LOUIS 22-8 SU revenging a one run loss to opponent

San Francisco at San Diego, 4:10 ET
Linecum: SAN FRANCISCO 14-5 SU after batting .240 or worse over a 20 game span
Hahn: SAN DIEGO 7-19 SU after having won 2 of their last 3

LA Dodgers at Colorado, 4:10 ET
Beckett: LA DODGERS 18-5 SU after a loss by 2 runs or less
Flande: COLORADO 1-10 SU after a one run win

Tampa Bay at Detroit, 8:05 ET
Price: TAMPA BAY 35-17 SU after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8
Porcello: DETROIT 6-10 SU in home games after 4 or more consecutive home games

Kansas City at Cleveland, 1:05 ET
Duffy: KANSAS CITY 6-16 SU after 2 straight games where they committed no errors
Kluber: CLEVELAND 35-13 SU as a home favorite of -125 to -175

Baltimore at Boston, 1:35 ET
Gausman: BALTIMORE 24-17 SU against division opponents
Peavy: 3-8 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher

NY Yankees at Minnesota, 2:10 ET
Kuroda: NY YANKEES 8-0 SU in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8
Nolasco: MINNESOTA 17-36 SU in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games

Seattle at Chicago, 2:10 ET
Walker: SEATTLE 14-3 SU in road games after having won 2 of their last 3
Noesi: CHI WHITE SOX 1-11 SU after a one run loss

Houston at LA Angels, 3:35 ET
Mchugh: HOUSTON 9-46 SU in July games
Richards: LA ANGELS 21-5 SU at home when the total is 8 to 8.5

Toronto at Oakland, 4:05 ET
Hutchison: TORONTO 8-1 SU after 3 straight games with no home runs
Samardzija: 1-9 TSR in home games

Texas at NY Mets, 1:10 ET
Tepesch: TEXAS 7-21 SU as an underdog of +100 to +150
Wheeler: NY METS 19-12 SU after 2 or more consecutive home games

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Sunday, July 6


Offensive fireworks lead to great O/U record

Heading into Sunday's MLB schedule, the Over has been the hot play of Fourth of July weekend. When looking at Friday and Saturday's ball games, the Over has gone 18-11-1 (Orioles at Red Sox was postponed Friday).

[StarDust Bum]

Rated Plays As Of 07/05

*****.......................... 6 - 7 ...........................-2.27

DOUBLE PLAY...................4 - 6 ...........................- 3.32

TRIPLE PLAY....................7 - 8 ...........................-1.67


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

07/05/14 14-*18-*0 43.75% -*2870 Detail
07/04/14 13-*12-*1 52.00% +*190 Detail
07/03/14 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1400 Detail
07/02/14 19-*10-*1 65.52% +*4020 Detail
07/01/14 17-*12-*1 58.62% +*2460 Detail

Totals 71-*62-*3 53.38% +2400



Sunday, July 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Kansas City - 1:05 PM ET Kansas City +120 500 *****
Cleveland - Under 7 500

Milwaukee - 1:10 PM ET Cincinnati -125 500
Cincinnati - Under 7.5 500

Texas - 1:10 PM ET Texas +111 500
NY Mets - Under 7.5 500

Arizona - 1:35 PM ET Arizona +146 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Atlanta - Under 7 500

Baltimore - 1:35 PM ET Baltimore +106 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Boston - Under 9 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Chi. Cubs - 1:35 PM ET Chi. Cubs +151 500
Washington - Over 7 500

Philadelphia - 1:35 PM ET Philadelphia +143 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Pittsburgh - Under 7.5 500

Seattle - 2:10 PM ET Seattle -131 500
Chi. White Sox - Under 9 500

NY Yankees - 2:10 PM ET Minnesota +104 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Minnesota - Under 8.5 500

Miami - 2:15 PM ET Miami +102 500
St. Louis - Under 8 500

Houston - 3:35 PM ET Houston +190 500 DOUBLE PLAY
LA Angels - Over 8 500

Toronto - 4:05 PM ET Toronto +137 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Oakland - Under 7.5 500

LA Dodgers - 4:10 PM ET Colorado +127 500 *****
Colorado - Over 11 500

San Francisco - 4:10 PM ET San Francisco +111 500 *****
San Diego - Over 6.5 500

Tampa Bay - 8:00 PM ET Detroit +104 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Detroit - Over 7.5 500