Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 6/24 (MLB, WNBA, Misc.)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, June 24

Good Luck on day #175 of 2014!

At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of MLB and WNBA until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- 27-year old Cuban rookie Odrisamer Despaigne blanked the Giants for seven innings in his MLB debut, as Padres won 6-0 in San Francisco. Hitters in AAA had hit .356 against Despaigne, so his performance was surprising.

-- Chris Davis hit a pinch-hit, walkoff homer as Baltimore beat the White Sox 6-4, handing the Pale Hose their 8th road loss in a row.

-- Bronx Bombers lost 8-3 in Toronto; they've lost last three games, outscored by a total of 22-4. Bronx is 17-25 in games decided by 3+ runs.

-- Mariners 12, Red Sox 3-- Logan Morrison homered twice for Seattle.

-- Vanderbilt 9, Virginia 8-- Commodores scored nine runs in 3rd inning, take a 1-0 lead in best-of-3 College World Series final.

-- If the baseball playoffs started Tuesday morning:
NL: Nationals-Brewers-Giants. Wild Card: Cardinals-Dodgers
AL: Blue Jays-Tigers-A's. Wild Card: Angels-Orioles

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: NFL knowledge for a summer day....

13) Since 2010, Dallas Cowboys are 6-19 as home favorites; underdogs are 24-8 vs spread in their last 32 home games.

12) Ravens are 8-2 vs spread under John Harbaugh if they lost their previous game by double digit margin.

11) Seattle Seahawks are 25-11 vs spread with Russell Wilson at QB.

10) Chicago Bears covered once in their last nine games as an underdog.

9) Steelers are 36-19-2 vs spread in division games with Ben Roethlisberger at quarterback

8) Atlanta Falcons are 16-9 vs spread in their last 25 games as a favorite.

7) Patriots are 30-14-3 vs. spread with Tom Brady at QB if they lost their previous game.

6) Buffalo Bills covered nine of their last 11 road games if they were also on road the week before.

5) Arizona Cardinals were 4-1 vs. spread LY in game following a loss.

4) Miami Dolphins are 6-1 as a home underdog with Ryan Taneyhill at QB.

3) Carolina Panthers are just 7-15 vs. spread in their last 22 games as a dog.

2) Philip Rivers’ Chargers are 23-14-2 vs spread as an underdog.

1) Cincinnati Bengals covered the last nine times they were a home underdog against an NFC team.

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Seattle at Los Angeles
The Storm head to LA today where they are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games versus the Sparks. Los Angeles is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-8). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.

TUESDAY, JUNE 24

Game 601-602: Washington at San Antonio (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 106.755; San Antonio 114.911
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 8; 146
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 151
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-5 1/2); Under

Game 603-604: Seattle at Los Angeles (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 106.322; Los Angeles 116.968
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 10 1/2; 144
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 8; 149
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-8); Under




WNBA

Tuesday, June 24

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Trend Report
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2:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 12 games when playing at home against Washington
San Antonio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
SEATTLE vs. LOS ANGELES
Seattle is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Seattle
Los Angeles is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games at home


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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

LA Dodgers at Kansas City
The Royals look to follow up their 5-3 win over the Dodgers in the series opener last night and come into tonight's contest with an 8-1 record in Danny Duffy's last 9 starts in Game 2 of a series. Kansas City is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+125). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JUNE 24

Game 951-952: Miami at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Heaney) 16.945; Philadelphia (Buchanan) 15.442
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-110); Under

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.391; Cubs (Arrieta) 15.701
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-105); N/A

Game 955-956: Washington at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.826; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.123
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-105); Under

Game 957-958: St. Louis at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Miller) 14.716; Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.684
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-105); Under

Game 959-960: San Diego at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Hahn) 13.404; San Francisco (Hudson) 14.998
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-165); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-165); Under

Game 961-962: NY Yankees at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Phelps) 13.028; Toronto (Buehrle) 14.820
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-145); Under

Game 963-964: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 17.086; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 14.702
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+115); Over

Game 965-966: Detroit at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Smyly) 15.047; Texas (Lewis) 15.970
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+115); Over

Game 967-968: Minnesota at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 14.319; LA Angels (Wilson) 16.956
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-185); Over

Game 969-970: Boston at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Peavy) 15.220; Seattle (Ramirez) 13.985
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-125); Over

Game 971-972: Oakland at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Kazmir) 16.819; NY Mets (Colon) 15.442
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-145); Under

Game 973-974: Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 14.108; Tampa Bay (Archer) 16.052
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Under

Game 975-976: LA Dodgers at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.458; Kansas City (Duffy) 15.355
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+125); Over

Game 977-978: Atlanta at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Harang) 14.716; Houston (Feldman) 16.152
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+100); Over

Game 979-980: Cleveland at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 13.242; Arizona (Miley) 14.799
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-125); Over

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, June 24

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MIAMI (38 - 38) at PHILADELPHIA (34 - 41) - 7:05 PM
ANDREW HEANEY (L) vs. DAVID BUCHANAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 31-56 (-23.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 109-111 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
MIAMI is 28-22 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 188-211 (-41.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 146-167 (-46.6 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 99-101 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 99-101 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 (+1.1 Units) against MIAMI this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

ANDREW HEANEY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

DAVID BUCHANAN vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

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CINCINNATI (38 - 37) at CHICAGO CUBS (31 - 43) - 8:05 PM
HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 11-19 (-15.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
ARRIETA is 11-3 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 676-745 (+59.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 326-343 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 613-689 (+43.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 439-485 (+35.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 489-534 (+50.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 339-351 (+47.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 74-45 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 97-140 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 47-68 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 176-244 (-93.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-75 (-23.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 97-140 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 202-217 (-74.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-39 (-14.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-2 (+0.8 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BAILEY is 8-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.470.
His team's record is 12-2 (+9.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-4. (+5.2 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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WASHINGTON (40 - 35) at MILWAUKEE (47 - 31) - 8:10 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 10-27 (-15.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 89-83 (-14.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-56 (-17.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 47-31 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 47-31 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 30-20 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 91-85 (+10.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-10 (+10.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ZIMMERMANN is 41-15 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 4-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.176.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
GALLARDO is 3-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 6.44 and a WHIP of 1.569.
His team's record is 4-4 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+2.9 units)

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ST LOUIS (42 - 35) at COLORADO (34 - 42) - 8:40 PM
SHELBY MILLER (R) vs. JORGE DE LA ROSA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 31-37 (-16.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 75-71 (-17.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 75-100 (-38.4 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
DE LA ROSA is 29-15 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 16-4 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 29-14 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 18-2 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 9-1 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 3-11 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in home games in June games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

SHELBY MILLER vs. COLORADO since 1997
MILLER is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.111.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 4-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.47 and a WHIP of 1.443.
His team's record is 4-4 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-6. (-4.9 units)

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SAN DIEGO (33 - 44) at SAN FRANCISCO (45 - 31) - 10:15 PM
JESSE HAHN (R) vs. TIM HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 33-44 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 21-32 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN DIEGO is 33-44 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 24-37 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-31 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 205-100 (+44.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 109-77 (+24.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-31 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 988-823 (+115.7 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 86-55 (+26.6 Units) against the money line after getting shut out since 1997.
HUDSON is 43-19 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 48-15 (+23.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 16-0 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 31-8 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 13-1 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 23-10 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 10-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 72-27 (+29.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 84-27 (+32.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 38-26 (+25.3 Units) against the money line in road games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-24 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 48-61 (-28.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-3 (+2.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)

JESSE HAHN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

TIM HUDSON vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HUDSON is 7-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.218.
His team's record is 9-5 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-10. (-7.6 units)

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NY YANKEES (39 - 36) at TORONTO (43 - 35) - 7:05 PM
DAVID PHELPS (R) vs. MARK BUEHRLE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BUEHRLE is 30-18 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 153-79 (+48.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 103-56 (+30.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 46-34 (+15.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 5-2 (+3.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

DAVID PHELPS vs. TORONTO since 1997
PHELPS is 2-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.074.
His team's record is 3-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BUEHRLE is 1-11 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.84 and a WHIP of 1.551.
His team's record is 1-16 (-15.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-7. (-1.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (35 - 42) at BALTIMORE (40 - 35) - 7:05 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 98-141 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 40-70 (-24.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 40-79 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 15-32 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 96-136 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-88 (-31.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 41-35 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 90-73 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 200-159 (+44.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 150-126 (+29.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 7-15 (-11.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
QUINTANA is 0-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.07 and a WHIP of 1.075.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
GONZALEZ is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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DETROIT (40 - 32) at TEXAS (35 - 40) - 8:05 PM
DREW SMYLY (L) vs. COLBY LEWIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 138-107 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 55-103 (-38.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
DETROIT is 134-104 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-22 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SMYLY is 6-13 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SMYLY is 1-6 (-8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 62-55 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 50-49 (-23.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 62-55 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 22-30 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-1 (+3.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

DREW SMYLY vs. TEXAS since 1997
SMYLY is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.90 and a WHIP of 1.593.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. DETROIT since 1997
LEWIS is 3-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.20 and a WHIP of 1.733.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.7 units)

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MINNESOTA (36 - 38) at LA ANGELS (41 - 33) - 10:05 PM
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. C.J. WILSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 36-38 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 81-71 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 80-101 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 111-115 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 85-87 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KYLE GIBSON vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GIBSON is 0-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

C.J. WILSON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
WILSON is 4-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.27 and a WHIP of 1.430.
His team's record is 4-3 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.8 units)

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BOSTON (35 - 42) at SEATTLE (41 - 36) - 10:10 PM
JAKE PEAVY (R) vs. ERASMO RAMIREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 35-43 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 33-39 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PEAVY is 14-27 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PEAVY is 2-11 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PEAVY is 10-23 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 67-43 (+18.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 54-65 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 54-65 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 36-48 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 32-43 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 21-32 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-23 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
PEAVY is 5-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.03 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 8-2 (+7.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.3 units)

ERASMO RAMIREZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
RAMIREZ is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 8.58 and a WHIP of 1.362.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (47 - 29) at NY METS (35 - 41) - 7:10 PM
SCOTT KAZMIR (L) vs. BARTOLO COLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLON is 29-16 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 15-7 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 29-16 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 27-15 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 145-98 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 68-52 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 45-25 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 88-56 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 158-110 (+43.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 95-72 (+23.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 113-67 (+30.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
KAZMIR is 13-2 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 13-1 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 38-57 (-21.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 15-32 (-15.1 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 49-68 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 25-38 (-15.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 49-68 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 45-70 (-32.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 22-39 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 15-32 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 34-58 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLON is 68-59 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. NY METS since 1997
KAZMIR is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

BARTOLO COLON vs. OAKLAND since 1997
COLON is 8-6 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 10-8 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-8. (+0.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (38 - 38) at TAMPA BAY (31 - 47) - 7:10 PM
JEFF LOCKE (L) vs. CHRIS ARCHER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 135-109 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 30-17 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 99-108 (+29.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 30-19 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 91-61 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 112-92 (+18.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 37-25 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 31-47 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 18-24 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 5-10 (-10.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
TAMPA BAY is 8-14 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 14-24 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 18-24 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 20-30 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 18-27 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 7-15 (-11.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 18-29 (-18.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JEFF LOCKE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS ARCHER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (42 - 36) at KANSAS CITY (40 - 36) - 8:10 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 30-18 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 25-17 (+7.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

DANNY DUFFY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

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ATLANTA (38 - 37) at HOUSTON (33 - 44) - 8:10 PM
AARON HARANG (R) vs. SCOTT FELDMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 12-19 (-11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 35-85 (-35.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 41-77 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 22-46 (-18.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 41-77 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 28-85 (-34.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FELDMAN is 31-41 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 31-41 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 20-33 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 4-15 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

AARON HARANG vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HARANG is 14-9 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.229.
His team's record is 17-10 (+7.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-12. (+0.6 units)

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
FELDMAN is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.457.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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CLEVELAND (37 - 39) at ARIZONA (32 - 47) - 9:40 PM
JUSTIN MASTERSON (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 25-49 (-21.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-12 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-30 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
MASTERSON is 4-15 (-10.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 129-110 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 123-104 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 73-39 (+28.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 32-47 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 43-53 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 14-27 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 34-41 (-15.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 32-47 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 21-33 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 12-21 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 47-55 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 27-30 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JUSTIN MASTERSON vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MASTERSON is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

WADE MILEY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, June 24

Marlins-Phillies
Heaney allowed one run in six IP (91 PT) in losing his MLB debut, 1-0.
Buchanan is 2-0, 2.84 in his last couple starts.

Marlins lost four of their last six games.
Phillies lost their last three games.

Five of last six Miami games stayed under total.

Reds-Cubs
Bailey is 4-0, 3.69 in his last six starts.
Arrieta is 2-0, 0.73 in his last four starts.

Cincinnati won nine of its last twelve games.
Cubs lost four of their last five home games.
Five of last six Arrieta starts stayed under the total.

Nationals-Brewers
Zimmerman is 2-2, 0.84 in his last four starts.
Gallardo is 2-0, 0.86 in his last three starts.

Washington won its last three games, but lost four of last five on road.
Brewers won six of their last eight games.

Five of last seven Gallardo starts stayed under total.

Cardinals-Rockies
Miller is 1-1, 2.02 in his last three starts.
de la Rosa is 0-3, 8.68 in his last four starts.

Cardinals won 11 of their last 15 games.
Colorado lost its last seven games.

Over is 9-2-2 in last 13 Colorado games; under is 6-0-1 in Cards' last seven.

Padres-Giants
Hahn is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
Hudson is 1-1, 5.94 in his last three starts.

San Diego lost eight of its last ten games.
Giants lost ten of their last thirteen games.

Nine of last ten San Diego games stayed under.

Bronx-Blue Jays
Phelps is 2-0, 1.32 in his last two starts.
Buehrle is 0-3, 3.72 in his last three starts.

Bronx lost last three games, outscored 22-4.
Blue Jays lost five of their last seven games.

Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Toronto home games.

White Sox-Orioles
Quintana is 0-3, 6.56 in his last four starts.
Gonzalez is 3-1, 3.80 in his last four starts.

White Sox lost their last eight road games.
Baltimore is 9-5 in its last fourteen home games.

Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Quintana starts.

Tigers-Rangers
Smyly is 1-2, 2.37 in his last three starts.
Lewis is 1-1, 8.14 in his last four starts; Texas is 7-1 in his starts if they score more than three runs.

Detroit won three of its last four games.
Rangers lost their last five games.

Five of last six Detroit road games went over total.

Twins-Angels
Gibson is 2-1, 1.09 in his last five starts (22 consecutive scoreless IP)
Wilson is 1-1, 2.66 in his last three starts.

Minnesota won its last four games, but lost five in row on road.
Angels won 12 of their last 14 home games.

Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Angel home games.

Red Sox-Mariners
Peavy is 0-4, 5.32 in his last seven starts.
Ramirez is 0-0, 0.00 in his last three starts (15.2 IP).

Red Sox lost 11 of their last 14 road games.
Seattle won seven of its last nine games.

Under is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Boston games.

A's-Mets
Former Met farmhand Kazmir is 4-0, 1.53 in his last five starts.
Former Athletic Colon is 4-0, 2.04 in his last five starts.

Oakland won five of its last six games.
Mets won four of their last five games.

Five of last six Kazmir starts stayed under the total.

Pirates-Rays
Locke is 0-1, 2.14 in his last three starts.
Archer is 1-2, 2.31 in his last six starts.

Pirates won nine of their last thirteen road games.
Tampa Bay is 6-10 in its last sixteen home games.

Six of last seven Archer starts stayed under the total.

Dodgers-Royals
Kershaw is 4-0, 1.24 in his last four starts, last of which was a no-hitter.
Duffy is 2-1, 1.75 in his last four starts.

Dodgers won seven of their last ten games.
Kansas City lost four of its last five games.

Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Kershaw starts.

Braves-Astros
Harang is 1-3, 5.16 in his last five starts.
Feldman is 0-2, 8.35 in his last four starts.

Atlanta lost five of its last seven games.
Astros lost six of their last seven games.

Over is 4-1-1 in last six Harang starts.

Indians-Arizona
Masterson is 1-4, 8.02 in his last seven road starts.
Miley is 0-3, 4.57 in his last seven starts.

Cleveland lost four of its last five games.
Arizona lost nine of its last twelve games.

Four of last five Cleveland games went over total.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Heaney 1-1; Buchanan 0-6
-- Bailey 4-15; Arrieta 4-9
-- Zimmerman 1-15; Gallardo 3-15
-- Miller 1-15; de la Rosa 5-15
-- Hahn 0-3; Hudson 1-14

-- Phelps 0-9; Buehrle 4-15
-- Quintana 2-15; Gonzalez 2-11
-- Smyly 5-11; Lewis 4-12
-- Gibson 3-14; Wilson 4-15
-- Peavy 3-15; Ramirez 4-10

-- Kazmir 3-15; Colon 4-15
-- Locke 2-4; Archer 3-15
-- Kershaw 2-10; Duffy 1-9
-- Harang 3-15; Feldman 3-12
-- Masterson 2-16; Miley 3-16

Umpires
-- Mia-Phil-- Underdogs won six of last seven Rackley games; over is 3-0-1 in his last four games behind plate.
-- Cin-Chi-- Seven of last eight Iassogna games stayed under.
-- Wsh-Mil-- Home side is 12-1 in last 13 Fletcher games; over is 3-0-1 in his last four games behind plate.
-- StL-Col-- Underdogs are 11-3 in Schrieber games; two of three favorites that won were -$200/-$240.
-- SD-SF-- Last six O'Nora games stayed under the total.

-- NY-Tor-- Six of eight Basner games went over the total.
-- Chi-Balt-- Under is 10-1-1 in last twelve Porter games.
-- Bos-Sea-- Six of last eight Bellino games stayed under.

-- Pitt-TB-- Underdogs won four of last seven Ripperger games.
-- LA-KC-- Five of last six Wendelstedt games stayed under.

[Udog]

MLB

Tuesday, June 24

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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

7:07 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

7:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. NY METS
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
NY Mets are 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Mets's last 9 games

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. TAMPA BAY
Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh

8:05 PM
DETROIT vs. TEXAS
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Detroit
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Chi Cubs are 2-18 SU in their last 20 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games at home

8:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. KANSAS CITY
LA Dodgers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
Kansas City is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games

8:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. HOUSTON
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

8:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Washington's last 18 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington

8:40 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of St. Louis's last 11 games
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Colorado's last 19 games when playing St. Louis
Colorado is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing St. Louis

9:40 PM
CLEVELAND vs. ARIZONA
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games

10:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. LA ANGELS
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
LA Angels are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Minnesota

10:10 PM
BOSTON vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing Boston

10:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing San Francisco
San Diego is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

MLB

Tuesday, June 24

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MLB weekend series: Five key takeaways
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

It is time to take an inside look at the pitches and swings from the MLB weekend series, isolating those key edges that can put you far ahead of the marketplace, and build your bankroll in the days ahead.

A’s – Sean Doolittle, does a lot

Did you see Sean Doolittle coming? No reason to feel bad if you didn’t; even the A’s themselves did not anticipate it. Which makes it a prime time to talk about just how shockingly good he has been.

One of the earliest columns of this season dealt with Oakland’s hopes that Jim Johnson would be the answer at closer, but there were doubts from this end because of how he had been overworked by Baltimore. It was a move the A’s made because they were not sure how good Doolittle was, or how ready, and it was among the rare personnel mistakes from this franchise in recent years. Johnson’s season has gone from bad to worse, with a 5.58 ERA, including nearly as many BB (17) as K’s (19), and he is becoming insignificant, having been given one save opportunity in over two months.

Enter Doolittle. First, one can excuse the talent evaluators for missing the boat, because it was not until after two knee surgeries in 2010 that relief pitching became his aim, first in the Arizona Fall League in 2011. He blazed his way through the Minors in 2012, literally, with ridiculous K/command rates (48 over 25 IP, vs. only seven BB). Then over 2012-13 he worked 116 1/3 IP in The Show, mostly low leverage, but when called on to close he was not successful, converting only three of nine save chances. So despite 120 K’s vs. 24 BB through that span, his failure in pressure settings made the acquisition of a proven closer an off-season priority. Johnson simply was not the right one, but indirectly that may have turned out quite well for the Oakland future. It led to Doolittle getting another opportunity for the role, and he has been absurdly good.

The overall numbers tell the tale – a 2.00 ERA, converting 10 of 11 save opportunities, and the historic 50 K’s vs. only 1 BB over 36 IP (no previous pitcher in the 20th or 21st Centuries had made it to 50 K’s with a lone BB). But if we isolate to his current stretch, it reaches a rare Baseball realm. Doolittle had a dismal outing at Houston on April 26, giving up hits to all four batters that he faced, and each of them came around to score in an Oakland loss. Instead of it shattering his confidence, it ignited a flame.

Flame is the proper word, because it is the high hard stuff that hitters have not been able to catch up to. Since that bad outing vs. the Astros he has dealt a 0.00 over 22 appearances (24 1/3 IP), with astounding rates of 37 K’s vs. only six hits and 1 BB (Tampa’s Ryan Hanigan, back on May 20). And since May 10 he has retired 57 of 61 batters, 29 via K’s. But while K’s often bring inflated pitch counts that can wear someone down, in the two series vs. Texas and Boston last week he needed just 40 pitches through four frames, despite striking out half of the batters he faced. And while fans might have been disappointed that he did not get a strikeout on Saturday, be dispatched three Red Sox batters on only seven pitches.

Projecting him going forward is not easy – no one has ever maintained these dominance levels over an extended period. But he is the rarity of a left-handed closer throwing high heat, and that will mean continued matchup advantages; it will take quite some time before individual hitters get enough looks at him to be able to settle in. He is also a work in progress, with only 178 1/3 professional innings under his belt, so there is the frightening aspect that this may not even be his best stuff yet. His development could be that final piece to an awfully strong Oakland puzzle.

Angels – The Closer search, in late June

While the A’s have found their answer for the closer role, Mike Scioscia is still in need of Rolaids. Perhaps literally, given the way the late innings have been faring for his bullpen. While Oakland will be difficult to chase down, the Angels lead the AL Wild Card race, which is fitting for a team that is #3 in RPG, based on #5 in both SLG and OPS. They are going to hit. And a starting rotation that sits at 3.53, #8 in the majors, can buy that offense enough innings to click most nights. It has been from the mound-work in the latter stages where things have gone wrong.

The Angel bullpen sports a 4.49 ERA that rates #26. Despite having 41 wins there have only been 16 saves, with only five teams worse (and those five are a collective 50 games under .500). Only the Pirates have more blown saves, and there have been nine losses after leading in the 7th inning or later, more than any other team.

The problem is that it is not just one or two performers having bad campaigns that could turn around, but the fact that the direction for the season was never really in place. They actually came in with as much “hope” as expectation that the pieces were there. Ernestso Frieri can challenge hitters with his heat (a career 12.1 K-per-9), but his league-low ground-ball rate is a danger zone for a closer. He has been roughed up to an 0-3/5.83 with three blown saves, allowing eight HR over just 29 1/3 IP, and that latter count extends to 19 over just 98 IP the L2 seasons. When he gets his next opportunity will be a question – he did not work in the Texas series, after a dismal road trip in which he was rocked for six runs over 1.1 IP, allowing hits to eight of the 13 batters he faced, culminating with the Nick Swisher grand slam in Cleveland on Thursday.

But where can Scioscia turn? Joe Smith can be an effective set-up man with the ground-balls he generates, but has already failed on four of 12 save chances, and is far too vulnerable vs. left-handed hitters. Kevin Jepsen lacks the control (4.3 BB-per-9), and has already blown a pair of saves in six tries. Cam Bedrosian got the chance twice on that recent road trip, and failed both times after being rushed to the Majors, not having thrown a single pitch at the AAA level (Baseball generously credits him with a “hold” for that dismal outing in Cleveland, when three of the four batters he faced came around to score).

There is not a good answer on this roster for a team with the talent to contend in the other departments. Which means that the Angel closer for the stretch run of the pennant chase is likely wearing another uniform right now (Huston Street?). Until such a deal happens you will need to navigate carefully when it looks like they brings a Play-On setting – the focus can be on the First Five Innings to negate those closer issues, or if it is a favorable matchup for the offense vs. an opposing starter, making Over a part of your portfolio.

Phillies – Cole Hamels, and the elusiveness of Wins

Hamels will get one more start before June turns into July, but a case can already be made that he has been the best starter in the Majors this month, a tidy 0.73 over 37 IP, with 40 K’s vs. only 27 hits allowed. But that falls under the radar a bit because he only has one win over those five starts. Baseball does that, through short samples. What has happened to Hamels since the start of the 2013 season is an entirely different matter.

This past Saturday afternoon at St. Louis was one of those typical heart-breakers for a pitcher. Hamels matched St. Louis ace Adam Wainwright pitch-for-pitch, with the game tied 1-1 into the bottom of the 8th. He ended up on the wrong end of a 4-1 defeat, wearing down as he reached 120 pitches, but also again a victim of a lack of support. Of the meager seven total bases the Philadelphia offense managed in the game, he provided three himself (a single and a double). But this is not anything new.

Hamels has worked to a sharp 2.76 over 13 starts this season, but has only two wins, with the Phillies going 4-9. Over the past two seasons he has dealt at a solid 3.37, yet has only been credited with a 10-18 personal W/L, with a dismal 17-29 for the team. To get 10 wins out of 46 starts at that allowance rate is not easy; there were 19 games in that span in which he allowed two ER or less, and was not rewarded.

Let’s establish some perspective. If we track all qualifying pitchers since the start of 2013, the three directly above him on the ERA charts are Jered Weaver, John Lackey and James Shields. They have gone 57-43. The three below him are C. J. Wilson, Patrick Corbin and Derek Holland. They have gone 48-30 (a lower count due to Corbin and Holland being on the DL this season). Hamels is in the middle of a group that has generated a 105-73 W/L mark, which shows how much of an outlier his 10-18 is. And contrast the 146-101 record of the teams involved, vs. the 17-29 for the Phillies.

When rating Hamels, all that should matter is the way that he has pitched, and not the final scores, especially those $$$ +/- charts. Had you wagered on every one of his starts this season you would be -$459, and over the L2 seasons it is -$2025. Those are dramatic numbers, but of no correlation to his performance level, and hence of precious little predictive value. If the markets attach weight to them and create a counterfeit currency, it could mean some “play on” value for his upcoming starts, especially with the slow NL East pace through the first couple of 2014 furlongs keeping the Phillies in the hunt, which should ultimately lead to better play behind him.

Cardinals – When power takes a (Matt) Holliday

This is going to be a challenging road trip for Mike Matheny and the Cardinals, getting on the plane without Michael Wacha and Jaime Garcia from the starting rotation, both being placede on the DL. The task is made more difficult by the St. Louis offensive struggles, with one of the keys to being above .500 the fact that there have been four 1-0 wins already. Perhaps no one is more important to watch the next few days than Holliday, in his return to Coors Field.

Issues of the Cardinal offense were dealt with in an important earlier take, noting that their run production level in 2013 was far beyond the usual distribution for their base production, and a downgrade was in order. As the season progresses it has been quite a drop – only the Rays, Braves and Padres have scored fewer RPG. But it is not just Baseball being Baseball, and some of those 2013 bounces evening out; instead there are genuine concerns about the dip in power from Holliday.

To call Holliday a model of consistency through the years is an understatement – since joining the Cardinals his full-season BA has been between .295 and .312 each campaign, the OBA range from .379 to .394, and SLG from .490 to .532. His HR counts were 28, 22, 27 and 22, and his BB% ranged from a low of 10.2 to a high of 11.6. So while he turned 35 this past January, that consistency gave no indication of any imminent decline.

But decline has been the story. Through 74 games and 323 PA’s his swings have only generated a .261/.372/.382 line. It is the latter count that is the most alarming – it is more than 100 points below any previous season, and he has only five HR. It got to the point where Matheny penciled him in at #2 in the batting order on Sunday, the first time in that slot since 2010.

The Cardinals badly need power from Holliday, because it will come from few other slots in the lineup – they are tied with Kansas City for the fewest HR in the Majors with 42, and no other team has less than 53. It is even more important with the pitching staff facing those issues on this road trip. Hence, why the spotlight shines on him, starting Monday night in Denver. Holliday has belted out a .359/.426/.655 over his career in Coors Field, with 91 HR in 373 games. He will be up against a struggling pitching staff, with the Rockies not even knowing their Wednesday starter yet. A power surge in this park vs. those pitchers may not necessarily mean much, but the lack of a power surge could turn out to mean plenty.

Giants – Matt Cain, no longer “Lord of the Flies”

In reviewing the MLB weekday series a few days ago there was a take on Buster Posey’s declining power counts, and how that would be a particular issue for the Giants over the course of the summer, because of the struggles of Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain in the starting rotation. Lincecum’s declining stuff was dealt with earlier in the season (you can click the link to the same column that focused on Jim Johnson above), but while Cain did not work this past weekend, his patterns are becoming established pretty clearly, so it is an appropriate time to re-define him as well. Especially since he is about to get MLB’s easiest matchup, a home game vs. the Padres, which can keep the markets a step behind.

Cain has put together a solid MLB career despite only having good, and not great, stuff, basically surviving by being a fly-ball pitcher on the West Coast, where a guy can make a good living out of that. There have been earlier takes here on Jered Weaver and Chris Young, and how modern metrics such as xFIP get blurred vision through their out distributions. Cain has been the same – in each of his first eight seasons his ERA was lower than his xFIP, three times by more than a full run. He appeared to be getting lucky consistently, with a career BABIP of .263, but fly-balls are turned into outs at a higher rate than ground-balls; the key is to keep them in the park, where the fielders can get a glove at them. After over 1,800 MLB innings, that key for Cain is no longer opening the locks the way it once did.

Cain fell off to 8-10/4.00 in 2013, only his second losing campaign, and his highest ERA since his first full season back in 2006. His K-per-9 was above his career average and his BB-per-9 was below it, both positives, and his BABIP checked in at a favorable .260 again. No sign of decline there, but his HR/FB rate was 10.8 percent, the highest of his career. Now 2014 brings a 1-5/4.52 so far, and some of the peripherals are disturbing. First note that his 6.9 K-per-9 would be a career low (not counting 2005, when he only made seven starts), while his 3.4 BB-per-9 would be the highest since 2008. His Swinging Strike rate is also at a career bottom. But the big alarm is again the HR/FB rate, now up to 15.1. While that might seem like an outlier that could pull back, for a veteran with a good track record, it marks the third straight season in which it has risen appreciably. There is something to be said for that. And to have the highest ERA of his career, despite a favorable .249 BABIP, is a genuine warning – his FIP of 5.02 is more than a run higher than any other full season, and his xFIP is the highest since 2008.

Cain will not completely implode because he is a crafty competitor, and can still get away with fly-balls from his home mound, plus those division road parks in Los Angeles and San Diego. But there is no appreciable reason for him to return to his past form – this simply might be who he is right now.


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[Udog]

MLB

Tuesday, June 24


Wind giving hitters a hand in this ballpark

It's going to be a windy day in The Big Apple. Gusts of up to 14 mph blowing out to left field are expected for Tuesday's interleague matchup between the Oakland Athletics and New York Mets.

The A's are currently -141 faves with a total of seven. Oakland presently has a consensus of 70 percent.


Blue Jays' RF Jose Bautista, doubtlful Tuesday

Bautista has been diagnosed with a Grade 1 hamstring strain and did not play Monday. He is not expected to return on Tuesday against the Yankees.

[Udog]

NBA

Tuesday, June 24


LeBron James to opt out of deal, will become UFA

Superstar LeBron James will opt out of his current deal and become an unrestricted free agent, according to ESPN NBA Insider Chris Broussard.

James' agent, Richie Paul, informed the Miami Heat Tuesday morning that he would exercise his early termination option.

Miami is the favorite landing spot for James at -800, according to Sportsbook.ag as of 9:40 a.m. ET. A return to Cleveland has the next best odds at +550, while Houston is the best new destination for James at +1,000.

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet

Tuesday, June 24

Miami at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Heaney: MIAMI 23-18 after allowing 1 run or less
Buchanan: PHILADELPHIA 13-28 after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs

Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET
Bailey: 2-11 TSR on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
Arrieta: 7-0 TSR after 2 or more consecutive losses

Washington at Milwaukee, 8:10 ET
Zimmermann: 41-15 in night games
Gallardo: MILWAUKEE 36-41 as a home favorite

St Louis at Colorado, 8:40 ET
Miller: ST LOUIS 4-13 after a win by 8 runs or more
De La Rosa: 16-5 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125

San Diego at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Hahn: SAN DIEGO 24-37 against right-handed starters
Hudson: 10-0 TSR as a home favorite of -150 or more

NY Yankees at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Phelps: NY YANKEES 11-24 after allowing 8 runs or more
Buehrle: 174-90 TSR as a favorite

Chicago at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Quintana: CHI WHITE SOX 23-51 after a loss by 2 runs or less
Gonzalez: 10-2 TSR after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing

Detroit at Texas, 8:05 ET
Smyly: DETROIT 8-0 in road games after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals
Lewis: TEXAS 22-30 in night games

Minnesota at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Gibson: MINNESOTA 15-5 OVER after a win by 2 runs or less
Wilson: LA ANGELS 10-2 OVER after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games

Boston at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Peavy: BOSTON 8-0 after allowing 8 runs or more
Ramirez: SEATTLE 6-15 in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins

Oakland at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
Kazmir: OAKLAND 18-7 as a road favorite
Colon: NY METS 3-11 in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins

Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Locke: PITTSBURGH 51-44 as an underdog of +100 to +150
Archer: TAMPA BAY 14-18 as a favorite of -125 to -175

LA Dodgers at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Kershaw: LA DODGERS 10-1 UNDER in road games after a loss by 2 runs or less
Duffy: KANSAS CITY 44-23 UNDER against left-handed starters

Atlanta at Houston, 8:10 ET
Harang: LA DODGERS 33-18 in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no runs
Feldman: KANSAS CITY 6-13 after 2 straight games where they committed no errors

Cleveland at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Masterson: CLEVELAND 19-10 after allowing 8 runs or more
Miley: ARIZONA 8-15 as a home favorite

[Udog]

CFL season betting preview: How to bet the West Division

The 2014 CFL season will kick off on Thursday night in Winnipeg as the Blue Bombers host the Argos. There will be nine teams competing for the ultimate prize this year, as Ottawa has re-joined the fold. The B.C. Lions are currently favored to hoist the Grey Cup, with Saskatchewan and Calgary not far behind.

Here’s a look at how the West Division teams stack up entering the new campaign.

West Division

Calgary Stampeders (2013: 14-4 SU, 11-6-1 ATS)

Odds to win division: +200
Odds to win Grey Cup: +404

Why to bet the Stampeders: Calgary has two of the league’s best (some would say backup) quarterbacks in Drew Tate and Bo Levi Mitchell. Who will get the starting nod remains to be seen, but it’s a nice problem to have in the CFL, where durability tends to be an issue. With former Most Outstanding Player winner Jon Cornish in the backfield, neither Tate or Mitchell will have to shoulder the entire load.

Why not to bet the Stampeders: Has the window closed on the Stampeders? It seemed as if they peaked two years ago, when they reached the Grey Cup in Toronto. While they were terrific in the regular season a year ago, the playoffs were a different story.

Grey Cup outlook: Good. However, they’re going to need the offense to hum under the guidance of Tate or Mitchell.


Saskatchewan Roughriders (2013: 11-7 SU, 8-9-1 ATS)

Odds to win division: +200
Odds to win Grey Cup: +397

Why to bet the Roughriders: Darian Durant is back under centre, giving the Riders some continuity on offense. They’ve got plenty of depth all over the field, which is a good thing given some of the offseason departures. Don’t sleep on the Riders defense either, one of the most underrated units in the league.

Why not to bet the Roughriders: Kory Sheets and Weston Dressler will both be trying out south of the border this Summer, leaving a pair of substantial voids in the Riders offense. While both could return, that wouldn’t be likely to happen until Labour Day.

Grey Cup outlook: Not as good as the odds indicate. Could a letdown be in order after the Riders won the Grey Cup in their own backyard last year?


B.C. Lions (2013: 11-7 SU, 9-9 ATS)

Odds to win division: +180
Odds to win Grey Cup: +323

Why to bet the Lions: The Grey Cup host has ultimately hoisted the trophy in each of the last two years, and it’s the Lions turn this Fall. The sky is the limit for a team that’s loaded with stars on both sides of the football. The addition of QB Kevin Glenn gives the Lions a nice veteran presence behind Travis Lulay.

Why not to bet the Lions: The Lions offensive line is young and inexperienced. It won’t matter who is taking the snaps if the line can’t protect. We’ve seen this story play out before, with the Lions receiving plenty of hype prior to the start of the season, only to disappoint. We’ll see if that holds true this year.

Grey Cup outlook: Excellent. On paper, the Lions are the favorite for good reason. The added motivation of hosting the Grey Cup should serve them well.


Edmonton Eskimos (2013: 4-14 SU, 8-10 ATS)

Odds to win division: +500
Odds to win Grey Cup: +1000

Why to bet the Eskimos: Last season was a rebuilding year, plain and simple. Expectations aren’t all that high this year either, but the potential is there for the Esks to make a move. Mike Reilly has cemented his role as the team’s starting QB. The addition of former Argos defensive coordinator Chris Jones, not to mention CB Patrick Watkins bolsters an already promising defensive corps.

Why not to bet the Eskimos: Make no mistake, the Esks are still in rebuild mode. In a tough West Division, they’re unlikely to contend, but would look at six or seven wins as a major positive moving forward. If Reilly can’t stay healthy, the offense could be in serious trouble.

Grey Cup outlook: Poor. The Eskimos will be a fun team to watch, and should make positive strides, but shouldn’t be involved in too many Grey Cup conversations.


Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2013: 3-15 SU, 5-12-1 ATS)

Odds to win division: +1000
Odds to win Grey Cup: +1200

Why to bet the Blue Bombers: New head coach Mike O’Shea should provide a breath of fresh air to a struggling Blue Bombers franchise. After ranking last in both scoring offense and defense a year ago, there’s nowhere to go but up for the Bombers. QB Drew Willy takes over the offense and the move should pay dividends in short order.

Why not to bet the Blue Bombers: Outside of O’Shea and Willy, there are few reasons for optimism – this year at least. The Bombers are in a similar position to that of the Eskimos last year. They know the direction they’re headed in, but not quite sure how to get there. We’ll see plenty of growing pains again in 2014.

Grey Cup outlook: Poor. Unless O’Shea is able to pull off a miracle in his first year in Winnipeg, the Bombers will likely be looking at a five or six win season.