Announcement

**Udog** · 06-14-2014, 09:47 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Phil Steele's great college football magazine arrived in the mail today. Here are the top six teams in his pre-season ranking.........

6) Auburn-- Were 12-2 last year, didn't have positive turnover ratio (even).

5) Oklahoma-- Lost six starters on offense; former QB Bell is now a TE.

4) Oregon-- Covered 11 of last 13 regular season road games.

3) UCLA-- 17 starters back, including 3rd-year starting QB Hundley.

2) Alabama-- Biggest question revolves around quarterback; who will it be?

1) Florida State-- Won last five bowl games by an average of 9.8 points/game.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) Martin Kaymer is now 4-7 to win the US Open, meaning you would have to risk $70 for every $40 you win; no one else is in the field is lower than 20-1; if only players within ten shots of the lead made the cut, a mere 19 players would be teeing off Saturday. NBC needs Kaymer to collapse to have an interesting finish.

12) Charlotte Bobcats cut Boris Diaw on March 21, 2012, maybe best thing that has ever happened to him; he had nine assissts for the Spurs Thursday night, and is on the verge of winning an NBA championship.

11) Speaking of Charlotte (now the Hornets), Michael Jordan shuffled some of the responsibilities in the front office, which resulted in Rod Higgins leaving the team. He had been president of basketball operations; not anymore.

10) Before this week, 1977 Portland Trailblazers were last team to win consecutive NBA Finals games by 19+ points.

9) Oakland Grizzlies of the Horizon League picked up a couple transfers from high major programs; Percy Gibson from Iowa State, Max Hodder from St John's. When kids wash out of top 50 programs, the mid-majors swoop in.

8) Then there are the major programs who poach good players from mid-majors; Michigan State grabs transfer Bryn Forbes away from Cleveland State; Forbes had 22 in a game against Kentucky this year, scored 15.6 ppg for the Vikings.

7) There are nine former Georgia Bulldog golfers in US Open this week, which is thought to be an Open record for one college.

6) Friday was just third sub-par round out of 39 in US Open for Adam Scott.

5) Saw some highlights of Payne Stewart's win US Open win at Pinehurst 15 years ago, and Dick Enberg was NBC's lead golf voice. Now its 2014 and Enberg is still going strong, doing play-by-play on Padres' telecasts.

4) 14 of the Cardinals' 35 wins this season have been shutouts.

3) Going into Friday night's game, 12 of the 16 position players in the Padre-Met starting lineups were hitting .230 or less.

2) Gregory Polanco homered in the 13th inning as Pittsburgh survived blowing a 6-2 ninth inning lead in Miami- they beat the Marlins 8-6.

1) RIP coach Chuck Noll, probably the most underrated coach in the history of American team sports; he led the Steelers to four Super Bowl titles, when they had been 18-49-3 in the five years before Noll took over- they made the playoffs in his 4th year, the Super Bowl in his 6th year, then won three more. He never promoted himself, just won an awful lot of games. RIP, sir.

**Udog** · 06-14-2014, 09:51 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Los Angeles at San Antonio
The Sparks head to San Antonio tonight and come into the contest with a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games versus the Stars. Los Angeles is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.

SATURDAY, JUNE 14

Game 651-652: Los Angeles at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 118.361; San Antonio 113.608
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 5; 147
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2 1/2; 154 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-2 1/2); Under

WNBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, June 14

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LOS ANGELES (3 - 5) at SAN ANTONIO (4 - 6) - 6/14/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in June games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-4 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Saturday, June 14

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. SAN ANTONIO
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Los Angeles
San Antonio is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Los Angeles

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**Udog** · 06-14-2014, 09:55 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Washington at St. Louis
The Cardinals continue their series tonight against Washington and come into the contest with a 9-1 record in their last 10 games as a home underdog. St. Louis is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, JUNE 14

Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jackson) 13.569; Philadelphia (Buchanan) 15.225
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Under

Game 953-954: Colorado at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Bergman) 15.330; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.428
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+145); Over

Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at Miami (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.068; Miami (Wolf) 15.718
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Miami (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-110); Under

Game 957-958: San Diego at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Hahn) 15.469; NY Mets (Wheeler) 14.553
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 959-960: Washington at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 15.003; St. Louis (Miller) 16.213
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+110); Over

Game 961-962: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Latos) 16.094; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.119
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+115); Under

Game 963-964: Arizona at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Collmenter) 16.512; LA Dodgers (Haren) 14.225
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+125); Over

Game 965-966: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Duffy) 15.067; White Sox (Noesi) 16.646
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-110); Under

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Boston (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (House) 16.688; Boston (Peavy) 15.582
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125); Over

Game 969-970: Toronto at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 17.623; Baltimore (Norris) 16.233
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120); Under

Game 971-972: Minnesota at Detroit (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Deduno) 17.312; Detroit (Sanchez) 16.233
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+160); Over

Game 973-974: Tampa Bay at Houston (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.103; Houston (Cosart) 13.641
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Under

Game 975-976: NY Yankees at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.727; Oakland (Kazmir) 15.682
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+150); Over

Game 977-978: Texas at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Saunders) 14.620; Seattle (Ramirez) 15.951
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-125); Under

Game 979-980: LA Angels at Atlanta (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 17.014; Atlanta (Floyd) 15.834
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-110); Over

**Udog** · 06-14-2014, 10:03 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, June 14

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CHICAGO CUBS (27 - 38) at PHILADELPHIA (28 - 37) - 3:05 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. DAVID BUCHANAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 154-236 (-48.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-69 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 154-236 (-48.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 7-22 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-61 (-26.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 665-667 (-158.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
JACKSON is 26-50 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JACKSON is 25-50 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JACKSON is 12-24 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 101-126 (-29.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-42 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 101-124 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 73-96 (-28.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-60 (-19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
JACKSON is 2-5 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.22 and a WHIP of 1.572.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.6 units)

DAVID BUCHANAN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

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COLORADO (32 - 35) at SAN FRANCISCO (43 - 25) - 4:05 PM
CHRISTIAN BERGMAN (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 143-258 (-62.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
COLORADO is 560-858 (-154.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
COLORADO is 43-61 (-22.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-25 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-1 (+11.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 62-46 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-6 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-25 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 28-16 (+11.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
VOGELSONG is 41-26 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 41-25 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 35-22 (+16.8 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 46-55 (-22.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 5-4 (+1.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

CHRISTIAN BERGMAN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. COLORADO since 1997
VOGELSONG is 5-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.150.
His team's record is 6-3 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.5 units)

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PITTSBURGH (33 - 34) at MIAMI (34 - 32) - 4:10 PM
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. RANDY WOLF (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 1-9 (-8.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
PITTSBURGH is 8-16 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
MIAMI is 22-12 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MIAMI is 21-15 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 22-12 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 130-105 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 25-13 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 130-105 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 30-56 (-24.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against MIAMI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CHARLIE MORTON vs. MIAMI since 1997
MORTON is 4-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.70 and a WHIP of 1.318.
His team's record is 5-3 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.1 units)

RANDY WOLF vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
WOLF is 9-4 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.277.
His team's record is 15-5 (+7.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-14. (-10.7 units)

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SAN DIEGO (28 - 39) at NY METS (30 - 37) - 4:10 PM
JESSE HAHN (R) vs. ZACK WHEELER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JESSE HAHN vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

ZACK WHEELER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
WHEELER is 0-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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WASHINGTON (35 - 31) at ST LOUIS (35 - 32) - 7:15 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 85-81 (-16.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 41-52 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 81-62 (+25.2 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 112-68 (+25.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 32-13 (+14.9 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 13-21 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
STRASBURG is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.37 and a WHIP of 0.789.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

SHELBY MILLER vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MILLER is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 0.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.0 units)

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CINCINNATI (32 - 34) at MILWAUKEE (40 - 28) - 7:15 PM
MAT LATOS (R) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 11-17 (-13.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 40-28 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 40-28 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 82-71 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 204-197 (+33.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 672-743 (+56.8 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 322-341 (+34.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 609-687 (+40.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 436-484 (+33.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 485-533 (+47.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 336-349 (+46.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-1 (+2.9 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MAT LATOS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LATOS is 2-4 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.159.
His team's record is 3-5 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.4 units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GALLARDO is 7-7 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.529.
His team's record is 9-12 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-7. (+4.8 units)

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ARIZONA (29 - 41) at LA DODGERS (36 - 33) - 10:10 PM
JOSH COLLMENTER (R) vs. DAN HAREN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 29-41 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 29-41 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 12-5 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 14-19 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 23-29 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 14-19 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 12-16 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 14-21 (-15.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HAREN is 18-25 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 14-22 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 5-10 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 18-25 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 20-29 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 23-32 (-21.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 9-18 (-15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 9-3 (+4.6 Units) against ARIZONA this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

JOSH COLLMENTER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
COLLMENTER is 3-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.83 and a WHIP of 1.398.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.1 units)

DAN HAREN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
HAREN is 3-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.330.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

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KANSAS CITY (34 - 32) at CHI WHITE SOX (33 - 35) - 2:10 PM
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. HECTOR NOESI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 46-34 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 96-134 (-25.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 72-103 (-30.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 37-50 (-18.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 0-10 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 21-34 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 49-82 (-26.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 3-4 (+0.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
DUFFY is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 1.043.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)

HECTOR NOESI vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

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CLEVELAND (33 - 35) at BOSTON (31 - 36) - 4:05 PM
T.J. HOUSE (L) vs. JAKE PEAVY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 25-49 (-21.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-24 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-21 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-30 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 125-106 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 71-39 (+26.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-37 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 44-47 (-19.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-33 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 9-16 (-9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

T.J. HOUSE vs. BOSTON since 1997
HOUSE is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.411.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
PEAVY is 5-4 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.042.
His team's record is 5-7 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.3 units)

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TORONTO (40 - 29) at BALTIMORE (34 - 32) - 4:05 PM
R.A. DICKEY (R) vs. BUD NORRIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 216-181 (+43.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 17-10 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 196-157 (+42.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 153-125 (+35.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 10-1 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 62-47 (+13.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 114-97 (+34.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NORRIS is 15-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 40-29 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 20-12 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TORONTO is 18-10 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DICKEY is 11-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 12-20 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-4 (-0.2 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

R.A. DICKEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
DICKEY is 2-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.230.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.4 units)

BUD NORRIS vs. TORONTO since 1997
NORRIS is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.353.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (32 - 33) at DETROIT (34 - 29) - 4:05 PM
SAM DEDUNO (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 21-45 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in road games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 32-33 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 27-25 (+18.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-16 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 20-16 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 43-47 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-24 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 46-55 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 132-104 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 46-43 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 128-101 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-13 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 14-22 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SANCHEZ is 36-40 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANCHEZ is 25-36 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SANCHEZ is 35-39 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-2 (+4.2 Units) against DETROIT this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

SAM DEDUNO vs. DETROIT since 1997
DEDUNO is 2-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.83 and a WHIP of 1.699.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 1-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.42 and a WHIP of 1.254.
His team's record is 3-5 (-5.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

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TAMPA BAY (26 - 42) at HOUSTON (31 - 38) - 4:10 PM
CHRIS ARCHER (R) vs. JARRED COSART (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 26-42 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 12-22 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 3-9 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 8-15 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 21-27 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 34-84 (-35.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-76 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-46 (-20.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-76 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CHRIS ARCHER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
ARCHER is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.20 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

JARRED COSART vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
COSART is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.625.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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NY YANKEES (35 - 31) at OAKLAND (40 - 27) - 10:05 PM
HIROKI KURODA (R) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KURODA is 11-20 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 138-96 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 121-75 (+27.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 20-8 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in home games in June games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 133-88 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 84-55 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 153-109 (+40.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 65-46 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KAZMIR is 19-3 (+14.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 11-1 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 64-56 (+22.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 45-33 (+15.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-2 (+0.8 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
KURODA is 1-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 0.844.
His team's record is 1-4 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
KAZMIR is 7-8 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.67 and a WHIP of 1.369.
His team's record is 9-10 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-11. (-3.5 units)

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TEXAS (33 - 34) at SEATTLE (34 - 33) - 10:10 PM
JOE SAUNDERS (L) vs. ERASMO RAMIREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 113-103 (-25.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 31-13 (+16.6 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 67-34 (+24.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 58-45 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 10-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 50-64 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 107-121 (-44.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 50-64 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 34-47 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-20 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 6-4 (+3.1 Units) against SEATTLE this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.2 Units)

JOE SAUNDERS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SAUNDERS is 8-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.326.
His team's record is 13-2 (+11.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-7. (-0.7 units)

ERASMO RAMIREZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
RAMIREZ is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.444.
His team's record is 1-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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LA ANGELS (36 - 30) at ATLANTA (35 - 31) - 7:15 PM
GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. GAVIN FLOYD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 114-114 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 106-112 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 80-86 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 52-60 (-17.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 48-68 (-22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 76-40 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 76-40 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 50-34 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 720-708 (+61.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 133-106 (+39.9 Units) against the money line in road games in June games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 92-69 (+30.9 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

GAVIN FLOYD vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
FLOYD is 2-6 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.27 and a WHIP of 1.273.
His team's record is 3-7 (-4.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.4 units)

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**Udog** · 06-14-2014, 10:05 AM

MLB
Short Sheet

Saturday, June 14

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia, 3:05 ET
Jackson: CHICAGO CUBS are 7-22 in road games against right-handed starters
Hernandez: PHILADELPHIA is 21-10 OVER at home with a money line of -100 to -125

Colorado at San Francisco, 4:05 ET
Bergman: COLORADO is 17-43 as a road underdog of +125 to +175
Vogelsong: 16-4 UNDER in home day games

Pittsburgh at Miami, 4:10 ET
Morton: PITTSBURGH is 1-9 when the total is 8 to 8.5
Wolf: MIAMI is 22-8 OVER after a loss

San Diego at NY Mets, 4:10 ET
Hahn:
Wheeler:

Washington at St Louis, 7:15 ET
Strasburg: WASHINGTON as a road favorite of -110 or higher
Miller: ST LOUIS is 5-13 after allowing 1 run or less

Cincinnati at Milwaukee, 7:15 ET
Latos: CINCINNATI is 2-14 off a one run win over a division rival
Gallardo: 18-7 TSR after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing

Arizona at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Collmenter: ARIZONA is 12-5 in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses
Haren: 6-16 TSR at home when the total is 7 to 7.5

Kansas City at Chicago White Sox, 2:10 ET
Duffy: KANSAS CITY is 25-8 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10
Noesi: CHI WHITE SOX are 12-5 with double revenge

Cleveland at Boston, 4:05 ET
House: CLEVELAND is 8-30 in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses
Peavy: 8-0 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10

Toronto at Baltimore, 4:05 ET
Dickey: 11-2 TSR in June games
Norris: BALTIMORE at home games in day games

Minnesota at Detroit, 4:05 ET
Deduno: MINNESOTA is 20-9 OVER in day games
Sanchez: 11-17 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10

Tampa Bay at Houston, 4:10 ET
Archer: TAMPA BAY is 14-5 UNDER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
Cosart: HOUSTON is 21-46 at home when the total is 8 to 8.5

NY Yankees at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Kuroda: 18-4 UNDER after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings
Kazmir: 19-3 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -175

Texas at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Saunders: TEXAS is 14-5 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5
Ramirez: SEATTLE is 5-12 after scoring and allowing 3 runs

LA Angels at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Richards: 11-2 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5
Floyd: ATLANTA is 21-6 in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

**Udog** · 06-14-2014, 10:07 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, June 14

Hot pitchers
-- Morton is 2-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Strasburg is 3-0, 3.32 in his last three starts. Miller is 1-1, 2.25 in his last two outings.
-- Collmenter is 3-1, 3.62 in his last five starts.

-- Noesi is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts. Duffy is 1-0, 2.31 in his last two.
-- Norris is 3-2, 3.90 in his last five starts.
-- Sanchez is 1-0, 1.59 in his last four starts.
-- Archer has a 1.07 RA but no wins in his last four starts. Cosart is 4-2, 4.11 in his last six starts.
-- Kazmir is 2-0, 1.21 in his last three starts. Kuroda is 1-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.

-- Richards is 2-0, 0.60 in his last two starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Jackson is 0-3, 7.97 in his last four starts. Buchanan is 0-3, 7.23 in his last three starts.
-- Vogelsong is 1-1, 5.79 in his last three starts. Bergman lost his first MLB start, allowing two runs in six IP.
-- Wolf is 1-2, 5.94 in his three starts this season.
-- Wheeler is 1-3, 3.99 in his last five starts. Hahn allowed four runs in 3.2 IP in his first MLB start.
-- Latos is making first '14 start after coming back from injury; he is 55-40, 3.35 in 137 big league starts. Gallardo is 2-2, 5.32 in his last four starts.
-- Haren is 1-3, 5.83 in his last five starts.

-- Peavy is 0-3, 5.94 in his last five starts.
-- Blue Jays lost four of Dickey's five road starts.
-- Deduno is 1-2, 6.16 in his last four starts.
-- House is 1-1, 5.91 in his last four starts.
-- Ramirez is 0-4, 6.75 in his last seven starts. Saunders is 0-2, 4.50 in his four starts this season.

-- Floyd is 1-2, 4.63 in his last six starts.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Jackson 5-13; Buchanon 0-4
-- Bergman 0-1; Vogelsong 3-13
-- Morton 2-13; Wolf 1-3
-- Hahn 0-1; Wheeler 4-13 (0 of last 5)
-- Strasburg 4-14 (0 of last 6); Miller 0-13
-- Latos 0-0; Gallardo 2-13
-- Collmenter 5-11; Haren 2-13

-- Duffy 1-7; Noesi 3-8
-- House 1-4; Peavy 3-13
-- Dickey 3-14; Norris 4-12
-- Deduno 3-7; Sanchez 3-10 (0 of last 7)
-- Archer 3-13; Cosart 5-13 (1 of last 7)
-- Kuroda 5-13; Kazmir 3-15
-- Saunders 1-4; Ramirez 4-8

-- Richards 3-13; Floyd 0-7

Totals
-- Three of last four Jackson starts went over total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Miami home games.
-- Seven of last ten games at Citi Field stayed under.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Cincinnati games. Over is 8-0-1 in last nine games at Miller Park.
-- Six of last seven Cardinal games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 14 Arizona road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Colorado road games went over.

-- Last five Baltimore games stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Detroit games.
-- Six of last seven games at Fenway Park stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten White Sox home games stayed under.
-- Last seven Tampa Bay road games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Bronx games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Seattle home games stayed total.

-- Over is 3-1-2 in last six Atlanta games.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won three of their last four games.
-- Pirates won four of their last five games.
-- Milwaukee won four of its last six games. Reds won five of their last six road games.
-- Washington won four of its last six games. Cardinals won four of their last five games.

-- Red Sox won their last seven home games.
-- Kansas City won its last five games.
-- Minnesota won its last three games.
-- Astros won four of their last six home games.
-- Bronx won nine of its last twelve road games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost four of their last six games.
-- Marlins lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Mets lost seven of their last nine games. San Diego lost nine of last 11.
-- Arizona lost four of its last five games. Dodgers lost five of eight at home.
-- Rockies lost ten of their last thirteen road games. San Francisco lost four of its last five games.

-- Toronto lost five of its last seven games. Orioles are 7-9 in last 16 at home.
-- Detroit is 5-10 in its last fifteen home games.
-- White Sox lost five of their last seven games.
-- Indians lost their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay lost 14 of its last 17 games.
-- Oakland lost three of its last four games.
-- Texas lost four of its last sixi games. Mariners lost six of their last eight home games.

-- Atlanta lost four of its last five home games. Angels lost eight of their last eleven away games.

Umpires
-- Chi-Phil-- Seven of last nine Barksdale games went over.
-- Col-SF-- Eight of eleven Segal games went over the total.
-- Pitt-Mia-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Timmons games.
-- SD-NY-- Five of last seven Bellino games stayed under.
-- Wsh-StL-- Six of last nine Drake games went over total.
-- Cin-Mil-- Nine of eleven O'Nora games stayed under.
-- Az-LA-- Seven of last eight BWelke games stayed under.

-- KC-Chi-- Eight of nine Conroy games went over total.
-- Cle-Bos-- Underdogs are 11-2 in last 13 Barber games; over is 10-2-1 in his last thirteen games behind plate.
-- Tor-Balt-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Estabrook games.
-- Min-Det-- Underdogs won five of last seven Reynolds games.
-- TB-Hst-- Four of last five Diaz games went over the total.
-- NY-A's-- Road team won last six HGibson games.
-- Tex-Sea-- Both Marquez games this season stayed under.

-- LAA-Atl-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Gorman games.

**Udog** · 06-14-2014, 10:11 AM

MLB

Saturday, June 14

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Trend Report
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2:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chi White Sox are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games
Chi White Sox are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas City

3:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Chi Cubs are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

4:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 13 games when playing Cleveland

4:05 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Colorado is 3-11-1 SU in its last 15 games ,
Colorado is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
San Francisco10-4-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
San Francisco15-6-1 SU in its last 22 games

4:05 PM
TORONTO vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Toronto

4:08 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games at home

4:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. NY METS
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games when playing San Diego
NY Mets are 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego

4:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. MIAMI
Pittsburgh is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games at home
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

4:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. HOUSTON
Tampa Bay is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
Houston is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

7:15 PM
LA ANGELS vs. ATLANTA
LA Angels are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Atlanta's last 23 games at home

7:15 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Washington is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Milwaukee's last 17 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

10:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Oakland is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

10:10 PM
TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
Texas is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Texas's last 14 games
Seattle is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Texas

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. LA DODGERS
Arizona is 3-9-1 SU in their last 13 games ,when playing LA Dodgers
Arizona is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,
LA Dodgers are 1-3-1 SU in their last 5 games ,at home
LA Dodgers are 7-13-1 SU in their last 21 games ,when playing at home against Arizona

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**Udog** · 06-14-2014, 10:13 AM

MLB

Saturday, June 14

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MLB Midweek Series - Five Key Takeaways
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It is time to again review the MLB Weekday series from Point Blank range, isolating key edges that can put you way ahead of the game in the days ahead.

A’s – And all those catches and throws that were not highlights…

The plan for a couple of weeks had been to save the Oakland defense as a topic heading into this weekend, when the gap between the A’s in the field and the Yankees could be used as a prime example of how under-valued that aspect of the game continues to be in the betting markets. Then Yoenis Cespedes made that brilliant throw to nail Howie Kendrick at home plate on Tuesday night, which went viral across the sports mediaverse, and the timing becomes even more pertinent. Yes, that was a remarkable play, but it is far from being the only one. Just 24 hours later Coco Crisp was reaching above the wall to take a HR away from Josh Hamilton, and Cespedes was at it again, throwing out Albert Pujols at 3B. Already this season Cespedes has thrown out three Angels at the plate. Welcome to the Oakland defense.

The A’s sport the best run differential in the Majors by a wide margin, and the defense has been a big part of that ride. They are #1 in PADE, and consider how much that .266 BABIP has helped to make their pitching staff look good – the league average is .294, and no other team is lower than .276. When the Yankees come to town this weekend, the defensive gap is considerable – they are allowing a .306 BABIP, and are #27 in PADE.

Now for some focus on how much impact the defenses have had on the bottom line. The Yankee pitchers have been striking out more batters (8.6-per-9) than the A’s (7.5-per-9), and allowing fewer BB (2.5-per-9 vs. 2.8), yet sport a 3.95 ERA, vs. the Oakland 2.83. The difference in HR rate of the home ball-parks indeed makes a difference, but it is the defense that tells the tale – when that is removed New York wins the xFIP comparison by 3.51 to 3.72. That xFIP metric tells us that the A’s defense has been worth almost one full run per game.

It is not a 66-game fluke. In 2013 the Oakland defense was #1 in PADE, #2 in BABIP allowed, and had an ERA of 3.56 vs. an xFIP of 4.05. In 2012 it was a #2 in both PADE and BABIP, with the ERA at 3.50 vs. an xFIP of 4.20. The defense had been very good those past two seasons, this time around they have elevated to great.

Some of the keys to the impact are things that are difficult to statistically measure. First is the confidence of the pitching staff to challenge hitters, knowing the quality of the gloves behind them. That is worth a lot. Second will be the lack of aggressiveness by opposing base-runners as the season progresses, having not only seen the highlight reels, but also the base scouting reports that show 20 assists for the OF already. Cespedes has nine of them, more than 13 other MLB teams, including, by the way, those Yankees.

Phillies – And when Ryan Howard sits…

If you are a subscriber to Steamwire (https://experts.***********/Store/Steamwire/Landing), and here comes the usual refrain – yes, you should be - there was a “Padres-Phillies Marketology” send-out yesterday morning that shows the value of the service, in terms of isolating value situations that you can take advantage of. Philadelphia was sitting Ryan Howard, with John Mayberry playing 1B, and there came all of the San Diego money – to the point at which you could have backed the Phillies at as high as +104 at first pitch, 20 cents from where they were sitting before the lineups were announced.

The Steamwire send noted the market over-reaction with a simple comparison – Howard was at .238/.308/.414 for the season, and .206/.268/.413 vs. left-handers, while Mayberry’s season was .242/.338/.500, and the lefty split .273/.385/.545. And no, this is not being written to showcase Mayberry on his big Thursday. Instead, it is about how little Howard actually brings to the table these days, something many market segments still do not fully appreciate.

The decline has been a steady one, after that 2005-11 cycle in which he entered each season as an MVP candidate. But that current slash line does not lie. His current K% is 30.8, well above his career 28.1 (only Mark Reynolds, Junior Lake and Danny Espinosa have been worse), while his BB% of 9.0 is far below the career 11.6. Pitchers are not afraid to throw him strikes anymore, especially with only 16.9 percent of his fly-balls leaving the yard, compared to a career 27.1. And this is happening at a position in which a team needs production if they are going to compete – the MLB average at 1B is .254/.329/.437. If we use WAR as the guideline, of the 34 players at the position that have at least 150 PA’s, Howard rates #27. How bad is that? He slots right below Brayan Pena and Ike Davis, and right above Justin Smoak and Yonder Alonso. Yet the Phillies continue to send him out there almost every day.

As for Mayberry, not only has he considerably out-hit Howard vs. left-handers this season (now at .324/.419/.703 after Thursday’s outburst), but in 2013 it was .240/.296/.460 to Howard’s .173/.218/.321, and in 2012 it was .271/.317/.494 compared to .173/.226/.378. Mayberry may only have 41 career starts at 1B, but given that Howard is below average defensively it is not likely that anything would be lost. The bottom line is that Howard should almost never start against a left-hander at this stage, and when he does sit, the Phillies may actually become a better team.

Orioles – Chris Tillman has been worse than you think

Off of back-to-back seasons of 9-3/2.93 and 16-7/3.71, Tillman appeared to be on his way as a solid MLB starter. As such his 5-3/4.91 does not set off major alarms just yet, especially after seemingly suffering a “bad luck” loss to the Red Sox in his last outing, a 1-0 in which he contributed six decent IP. But there may be something to see here.

You do not have to go far to find the warning signs – Tillman’s K’s-per-9 are down from 7.8 to 6.8 over 2013, while his BB-per-9 are up from 3.0 to 4.1. A wrong-direction change of more than one full outcome per-9 in the each of those categories is more than a warning sign; it is a red flag. To help create the proper perspective let’s look at a more advanced metric, of the 104 pitchers with at least 60 IP, his xFIP of 4.75 checks in at #101 (and one of the three below him, Chris Young, continues to be someone that you need to disregard in that particular category).

Tillman’s W/L mark is meaningless – twice this season he left after one inning, having allowed five runs or more, and was not tagged with a defeat, and he actually got a “W” in Toronto in a game that he allowed seven ER over 5 2/3 IP, including three HR’s. The fact that he held Boston to a single run in his last outing also should carry little meaning – 10 of the 27 batters that he faced reached via a hit or a BB, and the run he allowed was the only one the Red Sox scored in that entire series, getting shutout by Bud Norris, Wei-Yin Chen and the Baltimore bullpen. Tillman dealt to a 1.43 WHIP in that game; Boston managed only a 0.52 over the other 21 innings of that set.

There may have been a turning point that we can look back to. Tillman actually opened a solid 2-1/1.71 through four starts, but that fourth game was a laborious 122 pitches over just five frames in Fenway. He lost his way that day and it has not come back – in 10 starts since then it has been an ugly 6.57 ERA, with a 1.74 WHIP. During that span no full-time starter in the Majors has been worse, but the fact that he went 3-2 through those games, and the Orioles were 6-4, has kept it well under the market radar.

Rays – Could there be a “Buy Time” for Jake Odorizzi?

It is no longer a secret that 2014 is going to be a “lost season” in Tampa Bay, and many of the issues facing the Rays have been dealt with on this page, far ahead of the market curve. But now the prices are catching down to them, which could actually lead to some play-on situations over the course of the summer, particularly when Odorizzi takes the mound.

If a pitcher is sitting at 2-7/4.85, and the team behind him has the worst record in the Majors, there are not going to be many takers. But there are a couple of items that might help to cash tickets at what should be more than fair value. First is the belief that a Joe Maddon team is going to compete to the end of the schedule, regardless of their place in the standings. Second is that Odorizzi offers much more than his bottom line indicates, and is throwing the kind of pitches you can win with at this level.

First note that Odorizzi turned in seasons of 11-3/2.93 and 9-6/3.33 with two different AAA teams, Omaha (Royals) and Durham (Rays), and 231 2/3 IP at that level is a nice development tool for someone that is only 24. As for this season, that 2-7/4.85 ERA is not a good indicator. Of the 105 pitchers with at least 60 IP, his 3.50 xFIP rates #39, between #38 Henderson Alvarez and #40 James Shields. Those two are a combined 10-6/3.39. Get the picture?

How has it gone so wrong? Odorizzi checks in at #3 in K’s-per-9, behind only Stephen Strasburg and Yu Darvish, but when the ball has been put into play he has not had much fortune – a .350 BABIP that is far above the league norm of .294, with only four pitchers having a higher clip. When runners have reached base they have also come around too often – a 68.9 LOB% that rates #89, and can also regress towards league average over time. While the Tampa offense is not going to be anything special, over the course of the season Odorizzi should get more than the 3.2 of run support he has had so far (there have been three starts in which he allowed one run or none and did not get a win).

Cubs – How bad has Edwin Jackson really been?

There have been a couple of takes here in recent weeks using DBF (Difficulty of Batters Faced) as a metric for finding value on or against starting pitchers, now that there are enough box scores for that chart to matter. Jackson provides us with a prime example of how that factor can be used.

Jackson sits at 82-95/4.48 over 1,518 2/3 MLB innings, a traveling-circus tour in which he has had starts while wearing eight different uniforms. He has shown just enough flashes for teams to continue to give him opportunities, and then enough inconsistency for those tryouts to not last very long (of his 248 starts, 63 with Tampa Bay was a high). He finally landed with the Cubs LY, sporting a dismal 8-18/4.98, and so far this season it has been more of the same, a 4-6/4.70. But this time around it comes with a catch – he has actually been even worse than that.

Of the 105 pitchers that have worked at least 60 IP, Jackson’s DBF is dead last. He has faced hitters that have generated a .232/.292/.355 slash line, but has allowed them to produce at a .273/.348/.416. Let’s use some perspective to better illustrate what that means.

Only San Diego has a lower batting average than .232. The Padres are also the only team with an OBP of less than .292. And only the Padres and Mets have a lower SLG than .356. Jackson’s competition has been that weak. If we compare to individual batters, of the 168 qualifiers he has faced the equivalent of #142 for AVG (Dustin Ackley at .234), #145 in OBP (Mark Reynolds at .292), and #137 in SLG (Will Myers at .354).

Jackson is once again likely to draw some interest from contenders looking for an arm – it has happened before. Perhaps this time it shouldn’t.

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**Udog** · 06-14-2014, 10:19 AM

MLB

Saturday, June 14

Rockies' SS Troy Tulowitzki, questionable Saturday

Tulowitzki left Friday's game against the Giants with a right toe injury. X-rays came back negative and he is questionable to play in Saturday's game.

NBA

Saturday, June 14

Saturday morning line update for Game 5 of NBA Finals

The San Antonio Spurs are just one win away from capturing their fifth NBA title and the line moves suggest bettors think the Spurs will get the job done Sunday night in San Antonio.

The Spurs are listed as 6-point favorites as of Saturday morning. They opened at -5.5 Friday morning and were quickly bet to -6. However the number did flip back to San Antonio -5.5 Friday afternoon, before settling back at -6 Friday night.

**Udog** · 06-14-2014, 12:59 PM

MLB

Saturday, June 14

Adam Dunn, Chi. White Sox - Out Sat

Dunn is not expected to be in the starting lineup for Saturday's game against the Royals as he will likely be given the night off to rest.

**Udog** · 06-14-2014, 11:13 PM

MLB

Sunday, June 15

Nationals flawless streak with Fister on the mound

Doug Fister has been quietly going about a fantastic year for the Washington Nationals. In Fister's first start he got shellacked for five runs in 4.1 innings, but has since been stellar.

In Fister's six starts since, he is 5-0 with one no decision. Through six games, Fister has allowed only eight runs and has only walked three batters. In not one start has any team registered more than two runs against the hurler.

The Nationals, who are 6-0 in Fister's last six starts, travel to St. Louis Sunday.

Marlins send an incredibly hot Alvarez to the mound

After a poor start to his season, Henderson Alvarez has been money for the Miami Marlins. After the Marlins went 1-4 in Alvarez's first five starts, the team has now won seven of his past eight.

In Alvarez's last eight starts he has allowed only 16 runs and on four occasions did not have a single run earned against him. Alvarez also has an astonishing 32/7 strikeout/bases on balls ratio.

The Marlins will look to stay hot when they host the Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday.

Porcello facing the Twins has paid out for bettors

It may come out to one of those sports-betting oddities, but when Rick Porcello takes to the mound against the Minnesota Twins bettors can expect a high-scoring affair.

In the last five games against the Twins, the Detroit Tigers starer has never allowed less than six hits against and has given up an average of four runs per game. These solid, yet unspectacular numbers, do not tell the whole story though as in those five games the over play has paid out four times.

During those five games, spanning this season and last, the Tigers and Twins have averaged 10.4 runs per game.

Wainwright to miss Monday start

The St. Louis Cardinals are choosing to take the safe route with Adam Wainwright, electing to forego his next scheduled start Monday.

Wainwright has been dealing with elbow soreness since his last start, but luckily for him and the Cardinals an MRI revealed no structural damage to the pitchers arm. Wainwright's next start will come next Saturday.

Wainwright has a 9-3 record for the Cards, while posting a 2.15 ERA with 91 strikeouts.

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Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 6/14 (MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA, Misc.)

Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 6/14 (MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA, Misc.)

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