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**Udog** · 05-21-2014, 09:55 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Notes from the NFL's over/under win totals for 2014 (Odds from LVH)

-- Seattle/Denver, the two Super Bowl teams from last year have highest totals, 11

-- Patriots/49ers have next highest total, 10.5

-- Jacksonville (4.5), Oakland (5) have lowest totals.

-- 25% of the league, eight teams, has a total of 8.

-- Giants (7.5), Jets (7) aren't expected to be very good.

-- Texans' total is 7.5, seven wins would be a bounceback season in Houston.

*****

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) One of the few advantages to being bald is that on windy days, I never stress about my hair being messed up, because I don’t have any. Some people look into the mirror and freak and it ruins their day; not me. Its all good.

12) Random knowledge, courtesy of baseball-reference.com: since 1977, Indians have hit 15 walk-off homers against Detroit; there was a 12-year gap in there, in between Carmen Castillo in ’82 and Jim Thome in ’95. Thome hit three of the 15 homers. Losing on a walk-off homer by Omar Vizquel (5-23-99 off Todd Jones) had to be the most unusual of the fifteen.

11) Kevin Ollie will be making around $3M per year at UConn now; he said it would take $5M to get him to the NBA, which means he doesn’t want to go there yet. No one is paying him $5M a year to coach anywhere- he knows that.

10) That $60M high school football stadium they built in Allen, TX? It still isn’t safe and won’t be used this coming fall. Oy. Someone screwed up bigtime, either in the design or in construction and the concrete is messed up; some lawyers are going to get wealthier when those lawsuits come up for trial.

9) Kelvin Sampson is back in college coaching at Houston; ironic thing is that the stuff that got him into trouble at Oklahoma/Indiana is legal now, so he should be all set. He can call recruits as much as he wants, no problem.

8) If you’re Syracuse basketball assistant Mike Hopkins, how long do you wait to go after a head coaching job? He is 43 years old, not young anymore for a guy who has never been a head coach. Hopkins is from California but didn’t get the Oregon State job; does he wait for Boeheim to retire and take the Syracuse job?

Problem there is that Boeheim has a younger wife and may not retire soon and by then Hopkins could be in his 50’s. Tough choice for him, made tougher by fact that even if he wants a job (Oregon State) they obviously didn’t think he would stay there, so they hired the guy from Montana, who has successful head coaching experience.

7) Chris Mack re-upped at Xavier until 2020, which sounds like a long time, but is obviously only six more years. Good news for Xavier; Mack is a good coach.

6) From sound of it, the Buffalo Bills may wind up in Toronto seven years from now. That will be kind of sad, but better than them going to LA.

5) Mavericks’ owner Mark Cuban is from Pittsburgh, went to college at Indiana; he’s waving the green flag at the Indy 500 Sunday. Observed him a little bit at the Las Vegas Summer League last year; seems like a good guy, approachable and pleasant.

4) Charlotte Hornets moved to New Orleans, changed their name to the Pelicans so the Charlotte Bobcats, who replaced the Hornets on Tobacco Road, are taking the Hornets name back. Seems like a popular idea in North Carolina.

3) CC Sabathia is out until July, which probably means the All-Star break- play resumes July 18 after the break. Losing all that weight hasn’t seemed to help his knees at all.

2) Hideous story out of Albuquerque; former big league catcher Miguel Olivo bit part of the ear off of teammate Alexander Guerrero in a dugout fight-- there was an argument after the other team stole second base, Olivo claiming Guerrero didn't do a good job applying the tag. No charges have been filed yet, but still.....

1) BYU went independent in football because they see themselves as being similar to Notre Dame on a national level; problem is, no one else sees them that way, so now they’re getting put in their place by leagues saying playing BYU isn’t strong enough scheduling. Cougars would be better off in a league but don’t seem interested in going back to the Mountain West, their old home.

**Udog** · 05-21-2014, 09:56 AM

Ten NFL marquee matchups and odds every football fan must bet

Las Vegas sports book CG Technologies, formerly known as Cantor Gaming, made a big splash in the NFL betting market last Friday night with their release of pointspreads for every NFL game from Week 1 through Week 16.

Here, we take a look at 10 marquee matchups that, based on our numbers, currently offer good value.

Check out the full list of CG Technologies' odds for NFL Weeks 1 through 16 here.

No. 10

Week 12: Kansas City Chiefs (-4) at Oakland Raiders

The Chiefs play host to the hard-hitting defending champion Seattle Seahawks four days before traveling approximately 1,500 miles for a primetime Thursday night divisional showdown against the Oakland Raiders. The Oakland quarterback situation is worth monitoring here, as rookie Derek Carr could be under center for the Silver & Black in Week 12. Still, I like the idea of backing a 4-point home dog in a Thursday night rivalry game.

No. 9

Week 11: Denver Broncos (-4.5) at St. Louis Rams

This is an excellent situational spot for the Rams.Denver will host San Francisco and San Diego in back-to-back weeks before back-to-back road contests against New England and divisional-rival Oakland. And when all that’s said and done, Peyton Manning & Co. will hit the road once again for a non-conference showdown against a Rams team playing its first home game in four weeks. We should get a big effort from St. Louis in this one.

No. 8

Week 4: Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens (-1)

Since the hiring of head coach John Harbaugh in 2008, the Ravens have gone 39-9 SU at home during the regular season. Expect a big-time performance from Baltimore wide receiver Steve Smith, who gets the opportunity to stick it to his former club for unceremoniously dumping him during the offseason.

No. 7

Week 8: Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints (-2.5)

While there’s still plenty of work to be completed, I currently have the Packers and Saints power ranked at the same number. So I really like the idea of laying less than a field goal here on a team that has gone 20-4 (.833) SU and 19-4-1 (.826) ATS at home during the regular season over the last three years. This showdown is currently scheduled as the Sunday night game and we all know how difficult it can be for visiting teams to communicate in the Superdome during primetime matchups.

No. 6

Week 14: Seattle Seahawks (-1) at Philadelphia Eagles

Another situational play. The Seahawks hit the road on Thanksgiving in Week 13 to challenge hated divisional rival San Francisco just two weeks before the rematch with Jim Harbaugh and Colin Kaepernick at CenturyLink Field in Seattle in Week 15. Wedged between those two title fights sits a cross-country road trip to Philadelphia for a matchup with Chip Kelly’s high-flying home dog Eagles. We’re anticipating some line movement in Philly’s direction between now and kickoff.

No. 5

Week 10: San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints (-1.5)

As mentioned above, the Saints are a rock solid 19-4-1 ATS at home during the regular season since 2011. Combine that with the fact that New Orleans is laying less than a field goal and will enter this matchup on 10 days rest and you’ve got another situation where I’ll be riding with Drew Brees and the “Who Dats”.

No. 4

Week 3: Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)

A rematch of Super Bowl XLVIII that saw the Seahawks decimate the Broncos by a score of 43-8. It’s interesting to see Seattle laying less than four points in a home game. Take note that since 2012, the Seahawks have gone 17-1 SU and 13-5 ATS at CenturyLink Field, with an average margin of victory of 17.17 points per game.

No. 3

Week 3: Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5)

The Eagles open the season with non-conference matchups versus Jacksonville and at Indianapolis, so this will be the first big game circled on the calendar thanks to A. The fact that it’s a divisional showdown and B. The first run-in with former Pro Bowl wide receiver DeSean Jackson. Philly will be looking to make a statement in this one.

No. 2

Week 13: New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers (-3.5)

This is the first-ever meeting between Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady as starting quarterbacks.

No. 1

Week 15: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)

Because it’s the best rivalry in football. Because the Seahawks are once again laying less than four points at home. And because Seattle is 5-0 ATS over its last five meetings with the 49ers.

**Udog** · 05-21-2014, 10:09 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at San Antonio
The Thunder look to bounce back from their 122-105 loss in Game 1 as they face a Spurs team that is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games after allowing 100 points or more in the previous game. Oklahoma City is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+6). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 21

Game 507-508: Oklahoma City at San Antonio (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 126.520; San Antonio 130.198
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 212
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+6); Under

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, May 21

Oklahoma City is without big man Ibaka for rest of playoffs, a big loss; Thunder beat San Antonio in 10 of last 13 meetings, four of five games this year, but with Ibaka out, OC's defense just isn't the same. Spurs hit 57.5% from floor in Game 1, 9-17 from arc, were +7 in turnovers. Six of last nine series games stayed under total. Oklahoma City is 4-3 on road in playoffs, with losses by 3-2-17points. Spurs won seven of eight at home in playoffs, 5-3 vs spread.

Over is 44-31 in playoffs this season.
Favorites are 26-49 in playoffs this season.

NBA

Wednesday, May 21

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Trend Report
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9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. SAN ANTONIO
Oklahoma City is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Oklahoma City is 8-14-2 ATS in its last 24 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City

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NBA

Wednesday, May 21

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Game of the Day: Thunder at Spurs
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Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs (-6, 211)

The San Antonio Spurs unleashed a dominant display in the series opener and look to make it two consecutive wins over Oklahoma City when they host the Thunder in Wednesday’s second game of the Western Conference finals. San Antonio shot 57.5 percent from the field and owned a 66-32 edge in points in the paint while rolling to a 122-105 victory. Oklahoma City couldn’t stop Tim Duncan in the first half with post player Serge Ibaka out for the series due to a calf injury.

Duncan scored 21 of his 27 points in the opening half as the Spurs established they could operate at will in the interior. The display also opened up the outside as guard Danny Green went 4-of-5 from 3-point range and guard Manu Ginobili scored all 18 of his points in the second half. Thunder stars Kevin Durant (28) and Russell Westbrook (25) combined for 53 points but San Antonio seldom allowed Oklahoma City to carry the flow of the game. “They’re younger than us and more athletic,” said point guard Tony Parker afterwards, “and so we have to be more perfect.”

TV: 9 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: Sportsbooks opened with the Spurs as 6-point home faves for Game 2. The total opened 210.5 and is up to 211.

INJURY REPORT: Thunder - F Serge Ibaka (Out, calf).

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Perhaps Ibaka is Oklahoma City’s most important player and not league MVP Kevin Durant. The Thunder were lost defensively without him on the floor – San Antonio’s 57.5 field-goal percentage is the highest allowed in the postseason in the franchise’s Oklahoma City era – and replacements Steven Adams (four points, two rebounds) and Nick Collison (scoreless with three rebounds) were both ineffective. “We’re a no-excuse team,” Oklahoma City coach Scott Brooks said. “Serge is out. He’s not coming back. We have to play better. If we expect to beat one of the best teams in basketball – and a very good offensive team – we have to play and we’re not going to make an excuse.”

ABOUT THE SPURS: Parker had 14 points and 12 assists and wasn’t the least bit hampered by the hamstring injury he suffered Wednesday in the first round against Portland. He was able to navigate the floor well and control the pace as well as keep up defensively with the speedy Westbrook. “I thought he played a very smart game,” Duncan said of Parker in his postgame press conference. “A very efficient game, made the right plays and that’s what’s going to have to happen this series with him.” Parker said the hamstring held up well and he expects his legs to feel even better in Game 2.

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 10-2-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in San Antonio.
* Thunder are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games.

CONSENSUS: 50.43 percent of wagers on Consensus are coming in on the Spurs -6.

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NBA

Wednesday, May 21

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Thunder-Spurs Game 2: The game inside the game
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It is simply a matter of life for those of us inside of an electric media world – one does not begin to touch a letter on a keyboard without a surge protector in place. Without one, workplace disasters can happen. Scott Brooks and the Thunder had to deal with the lack of their own “Serge Protector” around the basket at San Antonio on Monday night, and it is that issue that becomes the prime narrative as the series moves on to Game #2.

To say that Serge Ibaka was missed by Oklahoma City is not news – the weaknesses of the defensive interior were visible enough for a first-time viewer of the sport to grasp. The Spurs scored 66 points in the paint, aggressively attacking en route to shooting 57.5 percent, getting 87 FG attempts and 17 FT’s vs. only nine turnovers. What will require basketball savvy and handicapping acumen is projecting what the Thunder can or will do next.

The early marketplace is relying on NBA tradition and Zig Zag models so far, with San Antonio currently -6 across the board, similar to Monday’s close. That is calling for the Thunder to shave 11 points off of the Game #1 margin as the 50-50 expectation. Ordinarily that is not unreasonable when one team out-shoots the other by 11.2 percent, given basketball’s ebbs-and-flows when there are two upper-tier teams involved. But that can also be where there is a fallacy in numbers.

Shooting percentages measure two things – the accuracy of the shooter(s), and the quality of shots taken. Many times that second element is given short shrift, but it should be credited with most of the weight from the opener. It was not that the Spurs shot superbly, it was that they were getting superb shots. For the series to tighten, the Oklahoma City defense has to change that.

Meanwhile the Thunder shot a respectable 46.3 percent, including 12-27 from 3-point range. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook were 19-40, which is not easy to improve upon, and if there was a “wild card” in the Monday flow it was the 29 points from Reggie Jackson and Derek Fisher, on a 10-17 line that included 5-8 triples. Those two are unlikely to reach that level of efficiency again. You do not come away from Monday projecting OKC to shoot much better. So closing the scoreboard gap requires limiting turnovers (they had 16), and the defense forcing the Spurs into tougher shots.

So now back to that defense, because it also connects directly to the offensive flow. Except for the opening of the third quarter, when the Thunder went on a 19-10 run over eight minutes, stops were uncommon (in the first half the Spurs never went longer than 1:24 without scoring). Brooks had his biggest lineup on the floor to begin the 3rd, and it keyed that run. By dictating the flow with defense (San Antonio shot 3-12 through that stretch, with five turnovers), they were able to get out into the open floor on offense, which led to some easy opportunities for Durant and Westbrook.

There was a flip side to that, of course. While the defense was much better, when it is Perkins-Sefolosha-Collison on the court the offense is largely limited to the two stars. When they created open-court opportunities they closed the gap, but when the Spurs scored, and the Thunder had to execute against a set defense, it was awful. The first nine times they had the ball after San Antonio points in the 3rd quarter the offense only scored twice. At one point they were blanked for 3:51, until Fisher’s FT’s with 53.1 left. Those were the only points that did not come from Durant or Westbrook in the quarter, and the first FG in the second half from someone other than those two did not come until 7:30 remained in the game, when they were down 14.

The simple truth is that Brooks lacks options. He got some defensive life out of a bigger group for one stretch, but as the minutes went by that lineup became too easy to guard on the other end. Attempts to go extremely small, with Durant being the biggest player in the lineup, also failed because the San Antonio offense brought a precision to isolate and attack the smaller players in post-up settings. Which leads to the next point.

Over the last five home playoff games the Spurs have beaten three different teams by counts of 17, 22, 17, 24 and 23. They averaged 115 PPG, shooting 52.9 percent in the process. And note that those numbers are actually shaded against them a bit – they averaged 64.2 PPG in the first half, leading by 16.4, before a fair amount of coasting. So the issue is not just Brooks having to patch a defensive hole, but having to patch it against an offense that is playing at a level of execution rarely seen.

The Thunder will bring a better effort defensively (no one other than Fisher or Nick Collison came up with a steal!), with a Tuesday practice to develop some sans-Ibaka chemistry on that end. But it is damn hard to devise a game plan for guarding the Spurs right now. Not only do they have the opportunity to be efficient on offense, but they will also be pushing the pace when possible. As such the market adjustment up to 211 on the Total may still leave value – that plateau was reached over 45:09 on Monday, and because of the margin there were only two FT’s taken over the final 5:00. If the Thunder are involved in the end-game this time, the prospect of scramble points materializes.

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**Udog** · 05-21-2014, 10:24 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Los Angeles at Chicago
The Blackhawks look to follow up their 3-1 victory in Game 1 against a Kings team that is 1-5 in its last 6 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Chicago is the pick (-150) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-150). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 21

Game 7-8: Los Angeles at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.796; Chicago 13.901
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-150); Under

NHL
Short Sheet

Wednesday, May 21

Los Angeles at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Los Angeles: 7-14 SU off a road loss
Chicago: 19-3 SU at home when the total is 5 or less

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, May 21

Blackhawks beat Los Angeles 4-1 in LY's playoffs; they're won six in row, ten of last 12 vs Kings, who lost last six visits here. LA is 28-21 on road this season, 5-3 in playoffs; Chicago won nine of last eleven games since getting down 2-0 in first round to St Louis; they're 7-0 at home in playoffs, allowing total of eight goals. Under is 10-3 in Kings' last thirteen visits to Windy City. LA outshot Blackhawks 17-6 in second period of Game 1, but Crawford only allowed one shot by him-- Kings had total of nine shots in periods 1-3.

NHL

Wednesday, May 21

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. CHICAGO
Los Angeles is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Los Angeles is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Chicago is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

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NHL

Wednesday, May 21

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Kings at Blackhawks: What bettors need to know
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Los Angeles Kings at Chicago Blackhawks (-149, 5)

The Chicago Blackhawks look to continue their dominating play at United Center on Wednesday, when they host the Los Angeles Kings in Game 2 of the Western Conference final. The Stanley Cup-champion Blackhawks have won all seven of their home contests in these playoffs and 18 of their last 20 postseason games - matching the mark of the high-flying Edmonton Oilers from 1988-90. After defeating Los Angeles in all three meetings in the Windy City in last year's conference final, Chicago received a power-play goal and an assist from Brandon Saad en route to a 3-1 triumph in Game 1 on Sunday.

While the result was not the desired one, Los Angeles has proven itself to be a resilient team as it became the fourth team in NHL history to overcome a 3-0 series deficit by upending San Jose in the first round before rallying from a 3-2 hole against Anaheim in the second. "I think we played fine, but as (coach Darryl Sutter) would say, "OK is not OK," Willie Mitchell said. The Kings defenseman recorded two hits in his return following an eight-game absence due to a lower-body injury.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBCSN, TSN, RDS

ABOUT THE KINGS: Anze Kopitar leads the league in scoring with 19 points in the playoffs, but did not register a single shot in Game 1 and was held off the scoresheet for just the second time in 15 postseason games. Linemate Marian Gaborik, who leads the NHL with nine goals, was able to record three shots - but failed to secure a point for the second time in nine contests. Tanner Pearson collected a point for the second straight game after his centering feed from along the goal line was redirected home by Tyler Toffoli early in the second period for Los Angeles' lone tally.

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS: Andrew Shaw is in line to make his return from a six-game absence on Wednesday. The gritty Shaw has been sidelined with a lower-body injury, suffered when he was on the receiving end of a check from Minnesota defenseman Clayton Stoner during the second-round series. Chicago won four of the six contests without Shaw, who recorded 20 goals and 19 assists during the regular season and had two of each in the playoffs.

TRENDS:

* Kings are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings in Chicago.
* Blackhawks are 9-1 in their last 10 Conference Finals games.
* Under is 4-1-1 in Blackhawks last six overall.
* Kings are 1-5 in their last six Conference Finals games.

OVERTIME:

1. The Blackhawks thwarted two power-play opportunities for the Kings in Game 1 and have killed off 44-of-48 short-handed chances in the playoffs.

2. Los Angeles G Jonathan Quick yielded three goals on 20 shots on Sunday and has allowed 28 tallies in his team's seven losses. By comparison, Quick has permitted 11 goals in the Kings' eight victories.

3. Chicago G Corey Crawford's 1.90 goals-against average leads the league while his save percentage of .933 trails only Philadelphia's Steve Mason (.939) and Henrik Lundqvist (.934) of the New York Rangers.

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**Udog** · 05-21-2014, 10:27 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Connecticut at Chicago
The Sun head to Chicago today following a 90-87 OT loss to Minnesota on Sunday and come into the contest with a 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU defeat. Connecticut is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 21

Game 651-652: Connecticut at Chicago (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 112.095; Chicago 105.387
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 6 1/2; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+6 1/2); Over

WNBA

Wednesday, May 21

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Trend Report
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12:30 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Connecticut's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Connecticut is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Connecticut

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**Udog** · 05-21-2014, 10:30 AM

MLB
Dunkel

San Francisco at Colorado
The Giants look to bounce back from their 5-4 loss last night in the series opener as they face a Rockies team that is 0-6 in Jhoulys Chacin's last 6 starts in Game 2 of a series. San Francisco is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 21

Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Washington (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Simon) 15.071; Washington (Roark) 14.108
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+125); Over

Game 953-954: Philadelphia at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.555; Miami (Eovaldi) 16.960
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Miami (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-145); Under

Game 955-956: Milwaukee at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 13.412; Atlanta (Santana) 15.641
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-155); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-155); Under

Game 957-958: LA Dodgers at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 14.351; NY Mets (deGrom) 15.204
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+125); Over

Game 959-960: Arizona at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (McCarthy) 14.304; St. Louis (Wacha) 15.681
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-175); Under

Game 961-962: San Francisco at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 16.425; Colorado (Chacin) 15.627
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+105); Over

Game 963-964: Detroit at Cleveland (12:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 14.740; Cleveland (McAllister) 15.641
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+140); Over

Game 965-966: Seattle at Texas (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Young) 14.631; Texas (Tepesch) 16.013
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-130); Under

Game 967-968: Oakland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 14.293; Tampa Bay (Bedard) 15.703
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under

Game 969-970: Toronto at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 15.158; Boston (Buchholz) 14.287
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+125); Over

Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 14.085; Kansas City (Guthrie) 15.772
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-130); Under

Game 973-974: Houston at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (McHugh) 16.211; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.081
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-210); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+185); Over

Game 975-976: NY Yankees at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Whitley) 15.436; Cubs (Samardzija) 14.303
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+100); N/A

Game 977-978: Baltimore at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.551; Pittsburgh (Rodriguez) 15.987
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Under

Game 979-980: Minnesota at San Diego (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hughes) 15.789; San Diego (Ross) 14.951
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-150); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Over

**Udog** · 05-21-2014, 10:31 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, May 21

Hot pitchers
-- Simon is 5-2, 2.63 in eight starts this season. Roark is 1-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts.
-- Santana is 4-1, 2.96 in seven starts this year. Lohse is 5-0, 3.44 in his last eight starts.
-- Ryu is 3-0, 0.00 (26 IP) in four road starts; he comes off DL here. DeGrom allowed one run in seven IP in his MLB debut.

-- Scherzer is 6-0, 1.38 in his last six starts.
-- Tepesch allowed one run in 5.1 IP in his first '14 start.
-- Milone is 1-0, 0.64 in his last two starts. Bedard is 2-0, 1.59 in his last four.
-- Hutchison is 1-1, 2.03 in his last couple starts.
-- Quintana is 1-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Weaver is 4-1, 1.86 in his last six starts.

-- Samardzija has a 2.92 RA in his last six starts, but Cubs lost all six.
-- Tillman is 1-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Hughes is 4-0, 2.23 in his last five starts. Ross is 3-0, 3.08 in his last four.

Cold pitchers
-- Kendrick is 0-4, 5.02 in his last seven starts. Eovaldi is 0-2, 6.19 in his last three starts.
-- McCarthy is 1-3, 7.48 in his four road starts. Wacha is 1-3, 3.82 in his last six starts.
-- Colorado is 0-3 when Chacin starts (0-2, 4.76). Cain is 1-1, 4.91 in his last four starts.

-- McAllister is 0-4, 9.14 in his last five starts.
-- Buchholz is 1-1, 7.62 in three home starts.
-- Guthrie is 0-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
-- McHugh is 0-2, 6.89 in his last three starts.

-- Whitley didn't allow a run (74 PT) in his MLB debut, but didn't finish fifth inning, either (4.1 IP).
-- Rodriguez is 0-2, 6.84 in five starts this season.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Simon 3-8; Roark 2-8
-- Kendrick 4-8; Eovaldi 3-9
-- Lohse 4-9; Santana 2-7
-- Ryu 1-7; DeGrom 0-1
-- McCarthy 2-9; Wacha 2-9
-- Cain 4-7; Chacin 2-3

-- Scherzer 2-9; McAllister 2-9
-- Young 1-7; Tepesch 0-1
-- Milone 4-7; Bedard 1-6
-- Hutchison 2-9; Buchholz 4-8
-- Quintana 1-9; Guthrie 3-9
-- McHugh 1-5; Weaver 2-9

-- Whitley 0-1; Samardzija 4-9
-- Tillman 3-9; Rodriguez 3-5
-- Hughes 2-8; Ross 3-9

Totals
-- Under is 9-4 in Cincinnati's last thirteen road games.
-- Seven of last nine Dodger games went over the total.
-- Under is 13-3-1 in last seventeen Atlanta home games.
-- Eight of last ten Miami games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eleven Colorado home games went over.

-- Over is 9-1-2 in last 12 Cleveland games. Nine of last thirteen Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Oakland games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine games at Fenway Park stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Texas home games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight White Sox games went over; eight of last 12 KC games went under the total. .
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Angels' last eight games. Five of last six Houston games went over the total.

-- Five of last six Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Last six games at Wrigley Field stayed under total.
-- Five of last six games at Petco Park went over.

Hot teams
-- Braves won six of their last seven home games.
-- Phillies won their last three games.
-- Cardinals won five of their last six games. Arizona won four of its last six road games.
-- Colorado won 13 of its last 17 home games.

-- Detroit won 11 of its last 13 road games. Indians won five of their last seven home games.
-- Blue Jays won six of their last seven road games.
-- Oakland won ten of its last eleven games.
-- White Sox are 7-4 in their last eleven road games.
-- Mariners are 9-4 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Angels won eight of their last 11 games. Astros won five of their last seven.

-- Baltimore won six of its last eight road games.
-- Cubs won their last three games.
-- Twins won six of their last eight games.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost eight of their last ten road games. Washington is 7-9 in its last 16 games.
-- Mets lost five of their last six games. Dodgers lost five of their last eight road games.
-- Miami lost eight of their last eleven games. .
-- Brewers lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Giants lost three of their last four games.

-- Tampa Bay lost eight of last nine home games.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last seven games.
-- Kansas City is 4-8 in its last twelve home games.
-- Texas lost seven of its last nine games. .

-- Pittsburgh lost six of its last eight games.
-- Bronx is 4-6 in its last ten games.
-- Padres lost three of their last four games.

Umpires
-- Cin-Wsh-- Last five Porter games stayed under total.
-- Phil-Mia-- Five of last six Carlson games went over.
-- Mil-Atl-- Underdogs won four of last seven Knight games.
-- LA-NY-- Six of seven Nauert games went over the total.
-- Az-StL-- Eight of nine Eddings games stayed under.
-- SF-Col-- Favorites won three of last four Hamari games.

-- Det-Clev-- Four of last five Timmons games stayed under.
-- Sea-Tex-- Favorites won six of eight Kellogg games.
-- A's-TB-- Three of last four BWelke games stayed under.
-- Tor-Bos-- Five of last seven Ripperger games stayed under.
-- Chi-KC-- Favorites won five of seven Hallion games.
-- Hst-LA-- Home teams won seven of eight Davis games.

-- NY-Chi-- Home side won six of last seven Demuth games.
-- Blt-Pitt-- Five of six Conroy games went over the total.
-- Min-SD-- Five of seven Wegner games stayed under total.

**Udog** · 05-21-2014, 10:34 AM

MLB

Wednesday, May 21

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Trend Report
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12:05 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
Detroit is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Detroit is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

2:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games at home

2:20 PM
NY YANKEES vs. CHI CUBS
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

4:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Cincinnati is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Washington is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games at home

7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

7:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. NY METS
LA Dodgers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
NY Mets are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

7:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tampa Bay's last 18 games at home

7:10 PM
TORONTO vs. BOSTON
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ATLANTA
Milwaukee is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

8:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Chi White Sox's last 18 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Chi White Sox's last 25 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

8:15 PM
ARIZONA vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Arizona
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

8:40 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
San Francisco is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 11 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

9:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SAN DIEGO
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

10:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA ANGELS
Houston is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
LA Angels are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Houston
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 05-21-2014, 10:52 AM

MLB

Wednesday, May 21

Rangers 1B Prince Fielder, questionable Wednesday

Fielder received an injection for a herniated disc in his neck and has missed the last three games. He is questionable to return on Wednesday against the Mariners.

American League cashing in for over bettors

The American League has been the host to some big offensive outputs since Sunday. Between Sunday and Tuesday the AL has an over/under record of 11-5.

During this three day stretch, teams have averaged 9.75 runs per game and have topped double-digit totals seven times.

There are six AL games on tap for Wednesday.

Indians have not solved Scherzer since 2012

Despite seeing him at least three times a season, the Cleveland Indians have not been able to solve Max Scherzer.

Since the start of the 2011 season, Scherzer is 9-2 against the Indians. That impressive domination has included the Tigers winning Scherzer's past six starts against the Indians and his last four at Progressive Field.

The Tigers are -152 road-faves against the Indians (+140) Monday.

Padres relieved about Cashner's diagnosis

An MRI exam of Andrew Cashner's right elbow and forearm on Monday allowed the San Diego Padres to breathe at least a temporary sigh of relief.

The test showed no reason to be immediately concerned about the state of the right-hander's ulnar collateral ligament.

Cashner was immediately placed on the 15-day disabled list Saturday after coming forward and telling Padres manager Bud Black that he was experiencing discomfort in his elbow and forearm.

After reviewing the MRI, Padres team physicians recommended rest for Cashner.

**Udog** · 05-21-2014, 10:54 AM

NBA

Wednesday, May 21

Favorites starting to cash in for bettors

After the Underdog had put in a stellar run in the NBA Playoffs, the favorite looks like it is starting to cash in for bettors, putting together a modest 2-0 against the spread run in the past two games.

The Miami Heat won 87-83 over the Indiana Pacers, covering as 2.5-point road faves Tuesday night. This result just one night following the San Antonio Spurs' big 122-105 win over the Oklahoma City Thunder as 6-point faves Monday.

The Spurs are currently 6-point favorites in Game 2, which goes Wednesday night in San Antonio.

**Udog** · 05-21-2014, 12:38 PM

Guys,

All links to ******* (long sheets) have been down since last night. Baseball short sheet hasn't started today yet. This may be all we get before first pitch. I'll try to keep an eye out but I'm really busy today. Good luck, guys!

**Udog** · 05-21-2014, 01:48 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, May 21

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio, 9:00 ET
Oklahoma City: 15-6 Under on the road after going over the total by 10 or more points
San Antonio: 6-1 ATS at home after scoring 120 or more points

Announcement

Wednesday's Trends and Indexes - 5/21 (MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA Misc.)

Wednesday's Trends and Indexes - 5/21 (MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA Misc.)

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