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**Udog** · 05-15-2014, 08:21 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Favorites to win the college football national title this fall........

4-1-- Florida State-- Hear they have a pretty good quarterback.

5-1-- Oregon-- Best team west of the Mississippi.

6-1-- Alabama-- Who will the quarterback be?

10-1-- Ohio State-- Buckeyes will dominate overrated conference.

12-1-- Auburn/Oklahoma-- Will teams figure out Malzahn's offense?

18-1-- UCLA-- Jim Mora Jr is quietly getting it done in Westwood.

*****

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind.......

13) Steve Kerr shuns Phil Jackson and the Knicks, signs with Golden State for five years, $25M, all of which ignited a spirited debate on Twitter Wednesday night about who is the worst owner in the NBA, James Dolan or Donald Sterling? Guess it depends on whether you think racism is worse than sexual harassment.

If NBA players think the Sterling family is going away quietly or quickly, they're sadly mistaken; these people are experts at playing the legal system- this is going to stretch out for several years.

12) Stan Van Gundy breaks the bank and is now in charge of the Detroit Pistons, which is good for the NBA, great for the Pistons. Very solid coach, good guy.

11) Diamondbacks’ pitcher Brandon McCarthy is a bright guy; he was tweeting this week how there are more Tommy John surgeries in part because there are so many less shoulder injuries; modern training tactics have moved the stress of pitching from the shoulder to the elbow, where an operation takes you out for a year, whereas a severe shoulder injury is often a career ender.

10) First five innings of the Mets-Bronx game Tuesday was the worst stretch of major league baseball I’ve ever seen, it was painful to watch two pitchers who seemed afraid to throw the ball over the plate. Wheeler and Aceves, oy. Just awful. Wheeler threw 118 pitches, got 13 outs. A 7:00 game was still in the 4th inning at 8:50, in part because the right field fence is so close, it intimidates pitchers from challenging hitters.

9) I seriously wonder if they screwed up when designing right field in the Bronx; instead of curving and gradually getting farther from home plate as the fence goes from the right field foul pole towards center, the fence seems to go straight across, creating a very short power alley in right center. It has to have a negative impact on their ability to recruit free agent pitchers.

8) The Madoff victim fund has had claims from 119 different countries; I’m not sure I can even name 119 different countries.

7) Ian Chiles averaged 15.8 ppg for IUPUI in the Summit League last year; he transfers to Tennessee and will be eligible to play this fall, good get for coach Donnie Tyndall, who has been aggressive in adding players since he got the job this month.

6) They have Monday qualifiers to get into PGA Tour events each week; this week at the Byron Nelson, guy named Case Cochran scored an ace on 5th playoff hole to win the last spot in the field. Must be tough to lose a playoff to a guy who gets a freakin’ hole-in-one.

5) Defensive shifts have really helped pitchers as they’ve become more popular; now it is up to hitters to bunt against the shifts to discourage their use. If you’re stubborn and just try to hit through/over them, they won’t go away. Major league hitters should all know how to bunt, at least a little.

4) I need to narrow my focus on what I read on the Internet; there seems to be an exhausting amount of information, so have to narrow it down, read the best stuff, then move on to other things. You can spend your whole damn day just surfing the net now. Managing time is one of our most important jobs.

3) Official scorer in Texas finally wised up and changed 7th-inning error Friday night from an error to a hit for David Ortiz. Ball was a pop up in short RF that fell between two fielders, neither of whom touched it. Because Yu Darvish had a no-hitter going, they called it an error, which was just plain wrong- now that’s been corrected.

2) Surprisingly, Mets have scored in more first innings than any team in baseball. Tuesday’s Met-Bronx game was just second game this season where both teams scored 3+ runs in first inning- the other one was a White Sox-Indians tilt.

1) Phils’ manager Ryne Sandberg is old school; he left Cole Hamels in Sunday to throw 133 pitches, in only his 4th start this season, then chided closer Papelbon for begging out of pitching Sunday, after he had thrown Friday/Saturday.

Phillies veterans have been playing day games after night games. Sandberg may have a quiet exterior, buthe seems to be prodding his team to be mentally tougher. We’ll see if it works.

**Udog** · 05-15-2014, 08:22 AM

Pagenaud posts fastest Indy practice lap

Simon Pagenaud is riding a hot streak at Indianapolis Motor Speedway.

The Frenchman followed his victory in the first road race at the track on Saturday with the fastest lap in practice for the Indianapolis 500 on Wednesday at 226.122 mph.

Pagenaud was the first driver this week to top 226 mph on the 2 1/2-mile oval. His run came after track officials extended the session when rain wiped out the first five hours of the scheduled six-hour practice.

It was the first time in memory that the Speedway allowed practice to continue for all drivers past the scheduled

"It's always enjoyable to get close to 230. Hopefully, we can break that in qualifying," Pagenaud said.

American J.R. Hildebrand had the second-fastest run at at 225.854 mph. Scott Dixon, the 2008 Indianapolis 500 winner, was third at 225.494 mph.

There were 29 cars on the track for practice, but Kurt Busch, who is attempting a IndyCar-Sprint Cup double on May 25, was absent. Busch returned to Charlotte, N.C., to his NASCAR team headquarters because of the rain, but he is expected back at Indy for practice on Thursday and Friday.

English rookie Jack Hawksworth was the first driver to crash in practice, spinning on the third turn and slamming into the wall. He was not injured.

**Udog** · 05-15-2014, 08:55 AM

Three live long-shot bets for the 2014 Preakness Stakes

California Chrome is going to be an overwhelming Preakness favorite. If you don’t like betting for such small returns then you might want to look for long shots. Here are three Preakness live long shots worth a look:

Kid Cruz (+1,500)

One of the most challenging factors about handicapping the Preakness is that it is quite rare for a horse to have seen the track before. Pimlico is a backwater in the racing world outside of the third Saturday in May, so prominent horses and trainers don’t typically race there - especially not before Triple Crown season.

This horse, then, has a nice advantage - not only has he raced at Pimlico, but he has won impressively. That result came in the Federico Tesio Stakes. That’s far from a top level prep for three year olds, but it did produce 2011 Belmont winner Ruler on Ice in 2011.

This horse is facing a massive jump up in class, but he’s talented and, beyond the certain comfort with the track, he has another advantage. He likes to run off the pace. Given both the amount of speed and the quality of that speed in this race, things could potentially really set up well for a horse off the pace if things blow up in front. I’d like this horse a lot better at 20/1 or better, but he’s intriguing.

General A Rod (+2,000)

I liked this horse going into the Kentucky Derby, but he had a rough day and finished 11th. Despite that frustration, there are a few reasons to take a look at the horse again here.

For starters, he was not initially pointed to this race, but the decision was made at the end of the first week between the races to enter him. That means that he came out of the Derby particularly well and is looking good.

Second, and most significantly, be willing to toss the Derby result right out. He’s a horse that likes to be contesting the early pace in his races. For some reason, though, jockey Joel Rosario was very passive early in the Kentucky Derby, holding to the back of the field. Perhaps it was to avoid the pace duel that should have emerged but didn’t, but the decision really didn’t work for the horse. He looked uncomfortable, and though he was moving forward at the end he never really recovered.

It was a lost race, but not one that took a lot out of him. He has a new jockey here. With a better strategy and a better race he could be a factor here. This price is too high.

Ria Antonia (+3,200)

Sometimes things makes so little sense that you almost start to believe that there could be some wisdom behind them.

This filly was a non-factor in the Kentucky Oaks the day before the Derby. In recent years, the great Rachel Alexandra and Rags To Riches have come out of that race to win Triple Crown races, but the only thing Ria Antonia has in common with those two is her gender.

This filly has her name engraved on the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies trophy, but she only finished second and was moved up because of a disqualification. She was disappointing next time out and her owner took her from trainer Jeremy Englehart and put her with Bob Baffert.

After the Oaks, Baffert reportedly thought the Preakness was a bad idea, but the owner was determined, so the horse moved again - this time to the stable of Tom Amoss. That soap opera can’t help the horse, and she seems to be about eight or ten lengths too slow to be a factor here.

Still, there is talent and the crazy determination of the owner could come from a place of faith and knowledge instead of idiocy. She’s very unlikely to be a factor, but she’s like a train wreck - I just can’t look away.

**Udog** · 05-15-2014, 08:56 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at LA Clippers
The Thunder head to LA tonight for Game 6 where they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus the Clippers. Oklahoma City is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+5). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 15

Game 741-742: Indiana at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 120.321; Washington 122.007
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 5; 180
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+5); Over

Game 743-744: Oklahoma City at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.367; LA Clippers 126.601
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1; 207
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+5); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 15

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INDIANA (63 - 31) at WASHINGTON (50 - 42) - 5/15/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 49-41 ATS (+3.9 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 49-35 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 9-6 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 11-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (66 - 28) at LA CLIPPERS (63 - 31) - 5/15/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 100-83 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 160-222 ATS (-84.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 115-155 ATS (-55.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-7 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-7 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 15

Very seldom any basketball team gets outrebounded 62-23, but Pacers did in Game 5 and at home- they won both series games here, by 22-3 points. Wizards scored 102 points in both their series wins, 82-63-92 in three losses. Wall was 11-20 from floor last game, after being in scoring funk before that. Washington lost three of its four home playoff games. Pacers won four of five road playoff games. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Clippers blew 7-point lead in last minute Tuesday, took bitter loss with officiating and ball security both under par. LA is 4-2 at home so far in playoffs. Oklahoma City is 3-2 on road in playoffs; they covered five of last seven games overall. Three of last four series games stayed under; underdogs covered four of five in series, with last two decided by total of three points. Clipper bench was 11-31 last game; need more than that. Five of Clippers' six playoff home games went over total.

Over is 42-28 in playoffs this season, 11-9 in this round.
Favorites are 24-46 in playoffs this season, 8-12 in this round.

NBA

Thursday, May 15

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. WASHINGTON
Indiana is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Washington
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana
Washington is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing Indiana

10:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. LA CLIPPERS
Oklahoma City is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of the LA Clippers last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

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NBA

Thursday, May 15

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Game of the Day: Thunder at Clippers
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Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Clippers (-4.5, 211.5)

Oklahoma City and Los Angeles have traded epic comeback victories and the end result is that the Thunder have a chance to sew up the Western Conference semifinals when they visit the Clippers on Thursday. Oklahoma City saw a 16-point fourth-quarter lead evaporate in Game 4 before falling and then rebounded from a 13-point deficit over the final four minutes to rally for a win on Tuesday. Russell Westbrook hit three late free throws to cap a 38-point effort that gave the Thunder a 3-2 lead.

Clippers coach Doc Rivers sharply criticized the officiating crew over a ruling in which Oklahoma City retained possession of the ball prior to the game-winning sequence but also was aware his team collapsed while allowing the final eight points of the 105-104 defeat. “They made a horrendous call,” Rivers told reporters. “But at the end of the day, we created the situation. We put them in the situation by the turnovers, the bad fouls, the non-fouls. We did a lot ourselves to not win the game.” Thunder star Kevin Durant suffered through a 6-of-22 shooting performance despite finishing with 27 points and 10 rebounds.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Clippers as 4.5-point home faves for this matchup. The total opened 212, but has since dropped to 211.5.

INJURY REPORT: Clippers F Hedo Turkoglu (Questionable, back)

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Westbrook stepped up with his highest scoring game of the postseason with league MVP Durant struggling so mightily. He is averaging 29.6 points and 8.2 assists in the series and his decision-making on the type of shots he takes has been solid. Westbrook said Durant encouraged him to take control in Game 5 and coach Scott Brooks raved about his point guard’s performance. “He’s fierce, he’s fearless and he’s a winner,” Brooks told reporters. “There’s nothing else you can say other than those three things. That’s who he is. The guy competes for his team every single night.”

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS: Typically one of the league’s most reliable players, point guard Chris Paul was the goat of Game 5 after committing two late turnovers – one in which he didn’t get up a possible game-winning shot in the final seconds – and fouling Westbrook with 6.4 seconds left on a 3-point attempt. Paul referred to the conclusion as the “toughest thing I’ve been through basketball-wise” and took responsibility in the postgame session with reporters. “Everything that happened there at the end is on me,” Paul said. “The turnover with 17 seconds left, assuming they were going to foul, was probably the dumbest play I’ve ever made. To even put it in the official’s hand to call a foul on a 3 – it’s just bad basketball.”

TRENDS:

* Road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Thunder are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games.
* Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a ATS win.
* Over is 7-1 in Clippers last eight home games.

CONSENSUS: 60 percent of Covers Consensus wagers are coming in on the Thunder.

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**Udog** · 05-15-2014, 08:58 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Miami at San Francisco
The Marlins head to San Francisco tonight to open up a series against a Giants team that is 1-10 in Matt Cain's last 11 starts as a home favorite. Miami is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Marlins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 15

Game 951-952: San Diego at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 14.719; Cincinnati (Cueto) 16.322
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-170); Under

Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Rodriguez) 15.402; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.869
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+135); Over

Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Hammel) 13.747; St. Louis (Wacha) 15.900
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-200); Under

Game 957-958: Miami at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Eovaldi) 15.550; San Francisco (Cain) 14.468
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Over

Game 959-960: Boston at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 14.867; Minnesota (Hughes) 15.760
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Over

Game 961-962: Cleveland at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Salazar) 15.089; Toronto (Happ) 16.731
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Under

Game 963-964: Baltimore at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 15.868; San Francisco (Ventura) 17.377
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-130); Under

Game 965-966: Tampa Bay at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Bedard) 15.253; LA Angels (Skaggs) 14.862
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+135); Over

Game 967-968: NY Mets at NY Yankees (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Whitley) 13.536; NY Yankees (deGrom) 15.002
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-130); Under

Game 969-970: San Diego at Cincinnati (6:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Ross) 15.404; Cincinnati (Francis) 14.622
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

**Udog** · 05-15-2014, 09:01 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 15

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SAN DIEGO (19 - 21) at CINCINNATI (17 - 20) - 12:35 PM
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
KENNEDY is 3-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.53 and a WHIP of 0.886.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CUETO is 2-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.467.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (17 - 22) at MILWAUKEE (25 - 15) - 1:10 PM
WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 234-460 (-98.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 25-15 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-15 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 114-93 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 41-28 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 114-93 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 11-29 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-23 (-16.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 12-23 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-2 (+5.1 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 10-10 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.434.
His team's record is 11-16 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-14. (-2.6 units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GALLARDO is 11-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.47 and a WHIP of 1.170.
His team's record is 16-5 (+10.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-14. (-8.3 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (13 - 25) at ST LOUIS (20 - 20) - 1:45 PM
JASON HAMMEL (R) vs. MICHAEL WACHA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 4-4 (+2.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.0 Units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HAMMEL is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.631.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WACHA is 1-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.269.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

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MIAMI (21 - 20) at SAN FRANCISCO (26 - 15) - 10:15 PM
NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 4-15 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MIAMI is 4-15 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 2-12 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-15 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-15 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 977-812 (+116.7 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-5 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
EOVALDI is 10-4 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 12-24 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 7-16 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 6-12 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 12-24 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 6-14 (-12.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
EOVALDI is 1-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 12.21 and a WHIP of 2.143.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.6 units)

MATT CAIN vs. MIAMI since 1997
CAIN is 5-4 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 8-5 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-7. (-2.1 units)

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BOSTON (20 - 19) at MINNESOTA (18 - 20) - 1:10 PM
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. PHIL HUGHES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 10-16 (-9.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 7-14 (-10.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MINNESOTA is 42-44 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HUGHES is 25-6 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 128-90 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 20-7 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 72-109 (-31.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 78-99 (-39.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 72-109 (-31.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 39-72 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-41 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 3-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.383.
His team's record is 5-2 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. BOSTON since 1997
HUGHES is 4-6 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.51 and a WHIP of 1.529.
His team's record is 6-7 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-9. (-7.4 units)

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CLEVELAND (19 - 21) at TORONTO (20 - 21) - 7:05 PM
DANNY SALAZAR (R) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 111-92 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 67-33 (+28.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.0 Units)

DANNY SALAZAR vs. TORONTO since 1997
SALAZAR is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

J.A. HAPP vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
HAPP is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (20 - 18) at KANSAS CITY (20 - 19) - 8:10 PM
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. YORDANO VENTURA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 183-307 (-102.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 50-40 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 202-167 (+42.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 99-87 (+34.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 21-12 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 18-7 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 182-143 (+41.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 9-2 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 144-116 (+35.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 95-71 (+30.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 109-92 (+34.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHEN is 36-22 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 25-12 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 14-27 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

WEI-YIN CHEN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
CHEN is 0-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.404.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

YORDANO VENTURA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
VENTURA is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (18 - 23) at LA ANGELS (21 - 18) - 10:05 PM
ERIK BEDARD (L) vs. TYLER SKAGGS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 18-23 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 7-14 (-11.6 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BEDARD is 4-22 (-17.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 99-102 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 137-128 (-69.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 47-52 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 91-100 (-27.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 68-77 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 12-18 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ERIK BEDARD vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BEDARD is 4-5 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.394.
His team's record is 4-6 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.7 units)

TYLER SKAGGS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY YANKEES (20 - 19) at NY METS (19 - 20) - 7:10 PM
CHASE WHITLEY (R) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-1 (+1.9 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CHASE WHITLEY vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

JACOB DEGROM vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN DIEGO (19 - 21) at CINCINNATI (17 - 20) - 6:10 PM
TYSON ROSS (R) vs. JEFF FRANCIS (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

TYSON ROSS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
ROSS is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

JEFF FRANCIS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
FRANCIS is 7-14 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 5.62 and a WHIP of 1.588.
His team's record is 11-16 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 15-11. (+3.4 units)

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**Udog** · 05-15-2014, 09:02 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 15

Hot pitchers
-- Cueto is 3-2, 1.43 in eight starts this year. Kennedy is 1-1, 2.16 in his last four starts. Ross is 2-0, 3.72 in his last three starts.
-- Hammel is 2-0, 2.00 in his last four starts.
-- Eovaldi is 1-1, 2.52 in his last four starts.

-- Hughes is 4-0, 2.39 in his last four starts.
-- Ventura is 1-0, 2.13 in his last four starts. WChen is 4-1, 3.82 in his last six.
-- Bedard is 2-0, 1.06 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Simon is 0-1, 7.20 in his last couple starts.
-- Gallardo is 0-2, 5.60 in his last three starts. Rodriguez comes off DL here; he is 0-2, 7.65 in four starts.
-- Wacha is 0-3, 4.13 in his last five starts.
-- Cain is 0-3, 4.75 in six starts this season.

-- Buchholz is 2-2, 7.20 in his last four starts.
-- Salazar is 1-3, 6.97 in his last six starts. Happ is 0-1, 4.91 in two starts.
-- Skaggs has a 5.58 in his last five starts, but Angels are 5-1 when he starts.

-- DeGrom/Whitley are both making MLB debuts; DeGrom was 4-0, 2.58 in seven AAA starts. Whitley was 3-2, 2.39 in six AAA starts.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Kennedy 3-8 Ross 2-8; Cueto 1-8 Simon 3-7
-- Rodriguez 3-4; Gallardo 2-8
-- Hammel 1-7; Wacha 2-8
-- Eovaldi 3-8; Cain 3-6

-- Buchholz 4-7; Hughes 2-7
-- Salazar 1-7; Happ 0-2
-- Chen 2-7; Ventura 2-7
-- Bedard 1-5; Skaggs 4-6

-- Whitley 0-0; DeGrom 0-0

Totals
-- Six of last seven Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Milwaukee games.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen St Louis home games.
-- Last five Miami games went over the total.

-- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight Cleveland road games.
-- Three of last four Boston games went over.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Kansas City games.
-- Over is 11-5-1 in Angel home games.

-- Four of Mets' last five games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Padres won their last four games.
-- Milwaukee won three of its last four games.
-- Giants won 15 of their last 20 games.

-- Cleveland won six of its last eight games.
-- Angels won nine of their last thirteen games. Tampa Bay won six of its last eight road games.
-- Kansas City won four of its last five games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last ten games.

-- Mets won three of their last four games.

Cold teams
-- Cincinnati lost four of its last six games.
-- Pirates lost ten of its last thirteen road games.
-- Cubs lost eight of their last ten games. St Louis is 6-8 in its last 14 games.
-- Miami lost 15 of its 19 road games.

-- Minnesota is 6-9 in its last fifteen games.
-- Toronto is 5-8 in its last thirteen home games.
-- Baltimore lost its last four games.

-- Bronx Bombers lost four of their last five games.

Umpires
-- Chi-StL-- Favorites won six of eight Little games.
-- SD-Cin-- Five of six Johnson games went over total. Five of six Basner tilts went over the total.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Underdogs won five of seven Bucknor games.

-- Cle-Tor-- Five of seven Emmel games stayed under.
-- Bos-Min-- Underdogs won three of five Guccione games.

-- NY-NY-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Wendelstedt games.

**Udog** · 05-15-2014, 09:05 AM

MLB

Thursday, May 15

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Trend Report
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12:35 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games when playing at home against San Diego

1:10 PM
BOSTON vs. MINNESOTA
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston

1:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. MILWAUKEE
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Milwaukee's last 23 games at home

1:45 PM
CHI CUBS vs. ST. LOUIS
Chi Cubs are 1-3-1 SU in their last 5 games ,when playing on the road against St. Louis
Chi Cubs are 4-9-1 SU in their last 14 games ,when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-3-1 SU in their last 6 games ,when playing Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,at home

6:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. CINCINNATI
San Diego is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,when playing Cincinnati
San Diego4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,

7:07 PM
CLEVELAND vs. TORONTO
Cleveland is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Toronto's last 23 games at home

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. NY METS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

8:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games

10:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. LA ANGELS
Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Angels's last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games

10:15 PM
MIAMI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Francisco's last 15 games

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**Udog** · 05-15-2014, 09:08 AM

NBA

Thursday, May 15

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Pacers at Wizards: What bettors need to know
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Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards (-4.5, 180)

The Washington Wizards emphatically announced that they had no intention of bowing out quietly in the Eastern Conference semifinals. The Wizards will attempt to keep the series going and put together a second straight dominating performance when they host the Indiana Pacers in Game 6 on Thursday. Marcin Gortat struggled through Games 3 and 4 but put up postseason career highs of 31 points and 16 rebounds as Washington controlled the inside in Game 5.

Gortat (16) had more rebounds than the entire Pacers team (15) at the end of the third quarter in Game 5 and the Wizards ended up with a 62-23 advantage on the glass. Indiana center Roy Hibbert, who came alive in three straight wins after being non-existent in the first eight games of the postseason, battled foul trouble in Game 5 and was no match for an aggressive Gortat. “We didn’t show up to play, man,” Pacers forward David West told reporters. “I don’t know if we thought we were going to come in here and these guys were going to roll over but they’re a very good team.”

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT THE PACERS: Indiana certainly won’t be intimidated by the surroundings in Game 6 after taking Games 3 and 4 in Washington to gain control of the series. The Pacers suffered a big letdown on the interior in their return home and could not match the intensity of the Wizards in the elimination game. “We’ve got to play with the desperation they played with (on Tuesday),” Paul George told reporters. I knew they were going to bring it, we just didn’t mach what they brought.” Coach Frank Vogel was ready to quickly turn the page. “We’re still up 3-2,” Vogel said. “It’s one loss whether you lose by 20-something or you lose by one. It’s one loss. We got to go back and respond in Game 6.”

ABOUT THE WIZARDS: Gortat’s 13-of-15 performance from the field came as a big surprise after he totaled six points in the previous two games. “I was glad I was able to help my team this time,” Gortat told reporters. “I told them I want to contribute. I was an offensive decoy in Games 3 and 4. Now it was my turn to perform.” The “Polish Hammer” got plenty of help from John Wall, who buried three 3-pointers and scored 17 of his 27 points in the third quarter as Washington took control. “The pressure’s still on us,” Wall said. “It’s one game and you’re out.”

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
* Underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.
* Over is 4-1 in Wizards last five home games.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Pacers’ 23 rebounds were the fewest in a playoff game in franchise history.

2. Washington is 1-3 at home in the playoffs.

3. Indiana is 6-0 all-time in series in which it held a 3-1 lead.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 05-15-2014, 09:21 AM

NHL

Thursday, May 15

Ducks open as faves for Game 7 showdown

Online sportsbook Sports Interaction has opened the Anaheim Ducks as -125 home faves for their Game 7 clash with the Los Angeles Kings.

The Kings prevailed in Game 6 by a score of 2-1 Wednesday, forcing Game 7 at the Honda Center.

After the road team was victorious in the first four games of the series, the home team has rebounded to win both Games 5 and 6.

SIA also opened the total at 5.

Books open the Canadiens as series faves over Rangers

With a 3-1 victory over the Boston Bruins Wednesday, the Montreal Canadiens advanced to the Eastern Conference final against the New York Rangers, and books have opened the Habs as series faves over the Blueshirts.

Online sportsbook Bet365 currently lists the Habs as -145 favorites, and the Rangers as +125 dogs.

The puck will drop in the first game of the series Saturday at the Bell Centre in Montreal.

NBA

Thursday, May 15

Parker’s prognosis unknown after latest injujry

Tony Parker played just 10 minutes in the Spurs’ series-clinching victory over Portland on Wednesday after leaving with tightness in his left hamstring. No immediate timeline was provided for his return. The injury is not believed to be serious, according to a team source.

MLB

Thursday, May 15

Road teams dominate in Wednesday's games

Two games were postponed due to bad weather, but in 10 of the remaining 13 games, the away team was victorious Wednesday. That clip is good enough for a winning percentage just under 77 percent.

The away favorite had a productive day as well, going 5-1 in those six spots.

Thursday sees a relatively light schedule in baseball, with one away fave on the board. The Boston Red Sox are currently -127 faves at the Minnesota Twins Thursday afternoon.

**Udog** · 05-15-2014, 12:33 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, May 15

San Diego at Cincinnati, 12:35 ET
Kennedy: 30-22 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150
Cueto: CINCINNATI 9-20 after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less

Pittsburgh at Milwaukee, 1:10 ET
Rodriguez: PITTSBURGH 13-4 UNDER as an underdog
Gallardo: MILWAUKEE 9-1 UNDER in home games against division opponents

Chicago at St Louis, 1:45 ET
Hammel: 9-2 TSR in road games after a loss
Wacha: 2-7 TSR as a favorite of -150 or more

Miami at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Eovaldi: 10-4 TSR when the total is 7 or less
Cain: 6-12 TSR as a home favorite

Boston at Minnesota, 1:10 ET
Buchholz: 11-0 TSR as a road favorite
Hughes: MINNESOTA is 15-6 OVER in day games

Cleveland at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Salazar: CLEVELAND 15-4 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more
Happ: 11-2 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125

Baltimore at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Chen: 23-10 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125
Ventura: KANSAS CITY 38-21 UNDER against left-handed starters

Tampa Bay at Los Angeles, 10:05 ET
Bedard: TAMPA BAY 7-14 after shutting out their opponent
Skaggs: LA ANGELS 7-0 OVER after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games

NY Yankees at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
Ross: n/a
Francis: n/a

**Udog** · 05-15-2014, 12:36 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, May 15

Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards, 8:05 ET
Indiana: 19-9 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent
Washington: 11-20 ATS as a home favorite

Oklahoma City Thunder at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET
Oklahoma City: 37-16 OVER after a win by 6 points or less
LA Clippers: 20-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses

**Udog** · 05-16-2014, 08:27 AM

Friday's Trends and Indexes - 5/16 (MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA Misc.)

Never mind...... posting in the wrong thread again.

Announcement

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 5/15 (MLB, NBA, NHL, Misc.)

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 5/15 (MLB, NBA, NHL, Misc.)

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