Announcement

**Udog** · 05-01-2014, 08:35 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Mike D'Antoni and Lakers parted ways; if he quit a job that was going to pay $4M next year, D'Antoni could already have an offer from another NBA team.

-- Kings 5, Sharks 1-- LA is just fourth NHL team to win series after trailing 3-0.

-- Raptors 115, Nets 113-- Toronto blew 23-point third quarter lead, still won.

-- Dodgers' win in Minnesota was their 10,000th win in franchise history.

-- A's swept the Rangers in Arlington, outscoring them 25-4, after Texas swept them in Oakland last week.

-- If you like betting 5-inning lines, Miami Marlins are 11-3-1 at home. Go figure.

*****

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind.......

13) Golden State has improved a lot since Mark Jackson has been coach (98-66 in last two seasons), but there have been rumors that unless the Warriors go deep into this spring’s playoffs, he’ll be out as Golden State’s coach.

Politics are a funny thing. My question is this; with all the dysfunction the Clippers are having, even if the Warriors advanced past this round, would ownership give Jackson credit for the wins, or just write it off as LA having its own internal issues? And if the Clippers advance, would they really sack a coach who has raised their level of achievement higher than its been since the early 90’s?

12) Donald Sterling bought the Clippers in 1981 for $12.5M; now he’s likely to get a billion when the NBA finally pushes him out of their inner circle. The $2.5M fine doesn’t seem that big anymore, does it?

11) Speaking of which, I got my calculator out this week, and figured out that fining Sterling $2.5M is the same as fining me $1,579.95. I’d be annoyed about it, but I could afford it.

10) Rumor Wednesday is that music mogul Joel Geffen, Oracle CEO Larry Ellison and Oprah Winfrey could band together to buy the Clippers- they’re all worth a lot of money. You know they're going to bust Sterling's balls by having a minority own what used to be his basketball team.

9) All of this BS is overshadowing an excellent playoff first round; the last four Thunder-Grizzlies games have gone OT, first time two teams played four OT games in a row in the playoffs. Ever.

8) Pretty soon, Knicks will announce Steve Kerr as their new head coach, and the New York media will forget all about the Clippers and Donald Sterling. Lakers will be hiring a new coach, and the LA media will forget too. Which is pretty much what the league wants, for this Clipper mess to go away.

7) Pensacola, FL had 5.68 inches of rain Tuesday, in one freakin’ hour. That would be like standing in an outdoor shower for an hour.

6) Over next four years, Dodgers owe Andre Ethier/Carl Crawford a combined $151.25M. Oy. Both are 32, neither plays a lot against lefties.

5) If you care about such things, underdogs are 26-9-1 against the spread so far in the NBA playoffs.

4) Best wishes to Golf Channel analyst Notah Begay, 41, who had a heart attack this week. 41 is too young for that stuff. Get well soon.

3) Jets’ draft preparation involved visits to 263 colleges and 3,500 written player evaluations. That’s a lot of legwork to make seven selections, and then sign some free agents. By way of reference, there are 128 I-A college teams, so if they visited every one, and it is doubtful they went to the service academies, then they went to 138 non-I-A colleges, many of whom probably have one or two NFL prospects.

2) White Sox pitcher Hector Noesi toed the slab for three different AL teams (Texas-Seattle-Chicago) just in the month of April; hard to believe that’s ever been done before.

1) Maryland transfer Nick Faust committed to play at Oregon State; he can play his last year of college ball there in 2015-16. Question is, will Craig Robinson still be his coach then? Beavers haven’t been over .500 in Pac-12 play in six years under Robinson. Would a 7th sub-par year send the President’s brother-in-law packing?

**Udog** · 05-01-2014, 08:39 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at Memphis
The Thunder look to bounce back from their 100-99 loss in Game 5 and stay alive in the series tonight as they face a Memphis team that is 4-10-2 ATS in its last 16 games following a SU victory. Oklahoma City is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 1

Game 521-522: Indiana at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.406; Atlanta 124.320
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+1); Over

Game 525-526: Oklahoma City at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.900; Memphis 120.759
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2 1/2; 185
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-2 1/2); Under

Game 527-528: LA Clippers at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 124.797; Golden State 125.414
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 205
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1 1/2; 210
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+1 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 1

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INDIANA (58 - 29) at ATLANTA (41 - 46) - 5/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
INDIANA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 11-10 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 11-11 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (61 - 26) at MEMPHIS (53 - 34) - 5/1/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 97-80 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 106-74 ATS (+24.6 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 58-42 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 95-81 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 119-80 ATS (+31.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 14-6 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 11-10 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
12 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (60 - 27) at GOLDEN STATE (53 - 34) - 5/1/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 158-217 ATS (-80.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 113-150 ATS (-52.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 96-82 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-40 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 54-40 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 48-38 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 10-7 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-8 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
12 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 1

Pacers are now 8-12 in last 20 games, 8-27-1 against spread in last 36, as they head south to stay alive in series. Indiana is 4-5 vs Atlanta this season, 2-2 here. Hawks won nine of last thirteen games. George made 10-18 from the floor in Game 4- he is Pacers' barometer. Hawks' bench was 14-25 in Game 5, after being 15-50 from floor in games 3-4- they were +50 for game. Pacers' bench was 9-21 last game, a combined -31. Three of last four series games stayed under.

Last four Griz-Thunder games went OT, after OC won opener by 14; despite OTs, team that led at half lost four of five series games. Both Thunder wins stayed under total; three Memphis wins went over. OC is 34-117 from arc in last four games, shooting under 40% from floor in all four games- six of their last nine games went over. Griz led Thunder by 12 last game, was +8 in OT (9-17). Three of last four series games went over the total.

Clippers outscored Golden State 31-13 on foul line in Game 5 win, and it would've been worse had Jordan not missed eight (9-17) FTs. He had 25 points, 18 boards after going scoreless in Game 4. Clippers won 10 of last 15 games, with 12 of those 15 going over total. Warriors won seven of last 12 games overall; under is 48-37 in their games this year, 23-18 at home. Curry was held to 17 points Tuesday after having 33 in Game 4. Warrior bench was 8-22 last game, after making 12-18 in Sunday's win.

NBA

Thursday, May 1

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. ATLANTA
Indiana is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MEMPHIS
Oklahoma City is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
Oklahoma City is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games at home
Memphis is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home

10:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. GOLDEN STATE
LA Clippers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games

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NBA

Thursday, May 1

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Game of the Day: Thunder at Grizzlies
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Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies (+2.5, 184)

Memphis leads series 3-2.

The Memphis Grizzlies will try to sew up a historic first-round series when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. The Grizzlies hold a 3-2 lead in the tense matchup after prevailing on Tuesday in a record fourth consecutive overtime game. Oklahoma City stars Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook have struggled with poor shooting and the Thunder are facing elimination by the Grizzlies for the second straight postseason.

Memphis blew a 20-point third-quarter lead in Game 5 but escaped with a 100-99 victory as a putback by Oklahoma City’s Serge Ibaka came just after the buzzer. “Nothing comes easy for us,” Grizzlies forward Zach Randolph told reporters afterward. “We get it out of the mud, we grind and we’re underdogs. It’s what we do.” The Thunder split two games in Memphis earlier in the series and will be trying to force a Game 7 in Oklahoma City. “We have won there before,” Westbrook told reporters. “We know what we need to do to win the game. We just need to come out and play our game.”

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT, FSN Oklahoma (Oklahoma City), SportSouth (Memphis)

LINE HISTORY: Oklahoma City opened as a 2.5-point road favorite and was bet up to -3 before money came back on the Grizzlies. The total opened 186 and dropped to 184.

INJURY REPORT: Memphis - N. Calathes (Out - Suspension)

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Durant might be about to wrestle regular-season MVP honors away from LeBron James but he has experienced a shaky series while being hounded by smaller Memphis defender Tony Allen. Durant is shooting just 40 percent from the field – and 28.6 percent from 3-point range – and also missed a tying free-throw attempt with 27.5 seconds left in Tuesday’s one-point loss. He also hasn’t been as assertive in searching for shots as the misses add up. “Sometimes you’ve got to be a decoy out there and I’m fine with that,” Durant told reporters. “Once the ball comes my way I have to be ready and be aggressive when I touch it.”

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES: Point guard Mike Conley scored 17 points in Game 5, including the tiebreaking basket in overtime, but he was close to being labeled the goat of the contest as Memphis blew the big lead. With the Grizzlies leading late in regulation, Westbrook stole the ball from Conley and raced for a tying dunk with four seconds remaining. “We’re a team that is able to bounce back from adversity,” Conley told reporters afterward. “We’ve had a lot of tough plays – especially mine at the end of regulation. For us to still come back and compete and stay focused in overtime, it just says a lot about the resiliency of this team and the focus level.”

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 1-4-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Memphis.
* Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies' last five home games.
* Under is 7-3 in Thunder's last 10 games following a loss.

CONSENSUS: 57 percent of bets are on Oklahoma City while 63 percent are on Over 185.

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**Udog** · 05-01-2014, 08:46 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Montreal at Boston
The Bruins open up their series against the Canadiens tonight and come into the contest with an 8-1 record in their last 9 conference semifinal games. Boston is the pick (-185) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-185). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 1

Game 83-84: Montreal at Boston (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.520; Boston 13.063
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-185); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-185); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 1

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MONTREAL (50-28-0-8, 108 pts.) at BOSTON (58-20-0-9, 125 pts.) - 5/1/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 58-29 ATS (+90.2 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 46-23 ATS (+2.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-8 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 350-333 ATS (-121.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
MONTREAL is 50-36 ATS (+5.5 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 27-18 ATS (+6.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
MONTREAL is 12-5 ATS (+6.4 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
MONTREAL is 23-15 ATS (+38.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 8-6 (+5.2 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 8-6-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 1

Montreal won six of last seven games with Boston, but Bruins had lost four of last five with Detroit before winning last four series games to advance here. Canadiens are 24-9 in playoff series with Boston, but Bruins won seven of last 11 series after losing 20 of first 22 series to Montreal. Boston allowed six goals in 4-1 series win over Detroit; they beat Montreal three years ago in seven games, in last playoff meeting- last three Boston wins all came in overtime. Canadiens swept Tampa Bay in four straight first round; they're 27-16 on road, have been off for nine days. Bruins haven't played since Sunday.

NHL

Thursday, May 1

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. BOSTON
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Montreal is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 05-01-2014, 08:49 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Milwaukee at Cincinnati
The Brewers open up their series in Cincinnati tonight and come into the contest with an 8-1 record in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Milwaukee is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Brewers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 1

Game 951-952: Atlanta at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Santana) 16.649; Miami (Alvarez) 14.922
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130); Under

Game 953-954: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 15.531; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.406
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+100); Over

Game 955-956: NY Mets at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Colon) 15.136; Colorado (Nicasio) 14.001
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 957-958: Seattle at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Elias) 13.205; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.833
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 959-960: Tampa Bay at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.119; Boston (Doubront) 13.995
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 961-962: Toronto at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 15.481; Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.521
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Over

Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Haren) 14.916; Minnesota (Pelfrey) 15.869
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Patterson) 15.466; Minnesota (Johnson) 14.119
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 967-968: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cumpton) 15.304; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.413
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 969-970: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.181; Baltimore (Norris) 15.631
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Boston (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Ramos) 14.069; Boston (Peavy) 15.545
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

**Udog** · 05-01-2014, 08:51 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 1

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ATLANTA (17 - 9) at MIAMI (13 - 14) - 7:10 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. HENDERSON ALVAREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 40-42 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 28-17 (+16.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 105-63 (+27.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 91-148 (-43.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ALVAREZ is 1-11 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. MIAMI since 1997
SANTANA is 0-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 6.58 and a WHIP of 1.902.
His team's record is 0-3 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

HENDERSON ALVAREZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
ALVAREZ is 0-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 6.86 and a WHIP of 1.571.
His team's record is 1-3 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

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MILWAUKEE (20 - 8) at CINCINNATI (12 - 15) - 7:10 PM
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 6-22 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-22 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 26-8 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-8 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 16-6 (+12.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 11-2 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-8 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-5 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-7 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-21 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-19 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ESTRADA is 11-4 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ESTRADA is 11-4 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BAILEY is 6-13 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MARCO ESTRADA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
ESTRADA is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 0.882.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-0. (+5.0 units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BAILEY is 3-7 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.36 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 7-9 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-8. (-1.2 units)

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NY METS (15 - 11) at COLORADO (16 - 13) - 8:40 PM
BARTOLO COLON (R) vs. JUAN NICASIO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BARTOLO COLON vs. COLORADO since 1997
COLON is 2-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.799.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JUAN NICASIO vs. NY METS since 1997
NICASIO is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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SEATTLE (11 - 14) at NY YANKEES (15 - 11) - 7:05 PM
ROENIS ELIAS (L) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ROENIS ELIAS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

HIROKI KURODA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
KURODA is 2-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.212.
His team's record is 2-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (11 - 16) at BOSTON (13 - 14) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS ARCHER (R) vs. FELIX DOUBRONT (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

CHRIS ARCHER vs. BOSTON since 1997
ARCHER is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.27 and a WHIP of 1.975.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

FELIX DOUBRONT vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
DOUBRONT is 2-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.404.
His team's record is 5-3 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.3 units)

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TORONTO (12 - 15) at KANSAS CITY (14 - 12) - 8:10 PM
MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 1-12 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 50-68 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 86-73 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
GUTHRIE is 38-29 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 17-9 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 16-3 (+13.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 38-27 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 252-185 (+41.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 47-24 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 8-20 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BUEHRLE is 23-12 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.67 and a WHIP of 1.265.
His team's record is 35-15 (+10.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 24-24. (-2.6 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. TORONTO since 1997
GUTHRIE is 3-7 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.144.
His team's record is 7-13 (-6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-11. (-2.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (15 - 12) at MINNESOTA (12 - 12) - 1:10 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. MIKE PELFREY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

DAN HAREN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
HAREN is 5-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.287.
His team's record is 6-6 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-6. (-0.5 units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
PELFREY is 1-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.619.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (15 - 12) at MINNESOTA (12 - 12) - 7:10 PM
RED PATTERSON (R) vs. KRIS JOHNSON (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

RED PATTERSON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

KRIS JOHNSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (10 - 16) at BALTIMORE (12 - 12) - 7:05 PM
BRANDON CUMPTON (R) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRANDON CUMPTON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (10 - 16) at BALTIMORE (12 - 12) - 4:05 PM
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. BUD NORRIS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHARLIE MORTON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MORTON is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 27.00 and a WHIP of 4.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

BUD NORRIS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
NORRIS is 4-5 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.322.
His team's record is 5-5 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (11 - 16) at BOSTON (13 - 14) - 1:05 PM
CESAR RAMOS (L) vs. JAKE PEAVY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

CESAR RAMOS vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

JAKE PEAVY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
PEAVY is 3-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.46 and a WHIP of 1.299.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 05-01-2014, 08:51 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 1

Hot pitchers
-- Santana is 3-0, 1.95 in four starts this season. Alvarez is 1-0, 2.14 in his last three outings.
-- Estrada is 1-0, 2.63 in his last two starts.
-- Colon is 1-1, 2.57 in his last couple starts.

-- Peavy is 1-0, 2.87 in five starts this season.
-- Buehrle is 4-1, 2.43 in five starts this season.

-- Tillman is 3-1, 3.94 in four starts this season. Cumpton allowed two runs in seven IP in his first '14 start.
-- Haren is 3-0, 3.77 in five starts this season. Beckett is 0-0, 1.00 in his last three outings.

Cold pitchers
-- Bailey is 1-2, 6.15 in five starts this season.
-- Nicasio is 0-1, 9.64 in his last couple starts.

-- Kuroda is 1-1, 8.10 in his last three starts. Elias is 0-1, 7.15 in his last two.
-- Archer is 0-1, 5.50 in three road starts this season. Doubront is 1-3, 8.20 in his last four starts.
-- Guthrie is 0-1, 4.66 in his last three starts.

-- Norris is 1-2, 4.44 in four starts this season. Morton is 0-3, 6.16 in his last three starts.
-- KJohnson allowed five runs in two IP in his only MLB start, for the Pirates last year against St Louis. He is 2-2, 2.86 in four AAA starts this season.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Santana 1-4; Alvarez 2-5
-- Estrada 0-5; Bailey 2-5
-- Colon 1-5; Nicasio 2-5

-- Elias 0-5; Kuroda 1-5
-- Archer 3-5 Ramos; Doubrant 2-5 Peavy 1-5
-- Buehrle 1-5; Guthrie 2-5

-- Morton 0-5 Cumpton 0-1; Tillman 0-5 Norris 1-4
-- Haren 0-5 Beckett 1-4; Pelfrey 2-4 KJohnson 0-0

Totals
-- Six of last nine Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Nine of last ten Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Mets' last eight road games.

-- Seven of last ten Bronx home games stayed under.
-- Eight of last eleven Boston games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Toronto games went over the total.

-- Five of last six Pittsburgh games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Minnesota games went over.

Hot teams
-- Mets won seven of their last nine games. Rockies won ten of their last fifteen games.
-- Braves won 12 of their last 17 games. Miami is 10-4 at home.
-- Cincinnati won four of its last six home games. Brewers won nine of their last twelve games.

-- Bronx won six of its last eight home games.
-- Red Sox won three of their last four games.
-- Kansas City won eight of its eleven home games.

-- Orioles are 7-1 in game following their last eight losses.
-- Minnesota won six of its last nine home games.

Cold teams
-- Mariners lost six of their last seven away games.
-- Tampa Bay lost seven of its last eight away games.
-- Blue Jays lost six of their last seven games.

-- Pirates lost five of their last six games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last eight games.

Umpires
-- Atl-Mia-- Four of last five Culbreth games stayed under.

-- Sea-NY-- Favorites won all five Miller games.
-- TB-Bos-- Underdogs won four of five Bucknor games. Four of six HGibson games went over the total.
-- Tor-KC-- All four Wegner games stayed under total.

-- LA-Minn-- Favorites won five of six Timmons games. All three Johnson games went over total.

**Udog** · 05-01-2014, 08:54 AM

MLB

Thursday, May 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. BOSTON
Tampa Bay is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home
Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

1:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

4:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BALTIMORE
Pittsburgh is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games ,
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing Baltimore
Baltimore5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Seattle

7:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. MINNESOTA
LA Dodgers are 2-3-1 SU in their last 6 games ,
LA Dodgers7-2-1 SU in their last 10 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-12-1 SU in its last 19 games ,at home

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games at home

7:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Milwaukee's last 24 games when playing Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cincinnati's last 24 games when playing Milwaukee

7:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. BOSTON
Tampa Bay is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing on the road against Boston
Tampa Bay is 1-6-1 SU in its last 8 games ,
Boston4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,at home

8:10 PM
TORONTO vs. KANSAS CITY
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Toronto

8:40 PM
NY METS vs. COLORADO
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Colorado's last 25 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 05-01-2014, 01:54 PM

MLB

Thursday, May 1

Ryan Braun sitting out fifth straight game

Ryan Braun has avoided the disabled list so far, but tonight the Brewers right fielder is sitting out his fifth consecutive game with a strained oblique muscle.

Elian Herrera subbed for Braun in right field for the first four of those games, but the Brewers just demoted him back to the minors and will apparently use first baseman/third baseman Mark Reynolds in right field now. Not only has Reynolds never started a game in the outfield, he has a grand total of four career innings there. So that should be pretty interesting to watch.

As for Braun, a disabled list stint seems likely if only because players with oblique injuries rarely are able to return within two weeks. He was last in the Brewers’ lineup Saturday.

Kershaw to join Dodgers Monday, start against Nationals

The Los Angeles Dodgers are about to get their $215 million man back. Clayton Kershaw is scheduled to start against the Washington Nationals Monday according to Bill Plunkett.

Kershaw, who struck out nine batters over five innings in his last rehab start, has been on the DL for the Dodgers since March 29.

**Udog** · 05-01-2014, 01:58 PM

Kaptain update!!!

Well, as you can see, ol' Kaptain is just fine and the sailin' is smooth! This is from an independent tracker at another site:

Rank Capper
2 kaptain

Overall
W L Total Win%
162 123 +5239.85 57%

Last Night
W L P TOTAL
7 2 0 +1275

Last 30 Days
W L P TOTAL
160 120 1 +6089.85

Apr 28-May 4
W L P TOTAL
26 10 0 +4115

**RS170** · 05-01-2014, 02:08 PM

Hey Udog--Wonder how league can force Sterling to sell team if he don't want to. This ain't Russia--or at least I didn't think so. Think they might have opened up a big can of worms here.

**Udog** · 05-01-2014, 02:20 PM

Originally posted by RS170 View Post

Hey Udog--Wonder how league can force Sterling to sell team if he don't want to. This ain't Russia--or at least I didn't think so. Think they might have opened up a big can of worms here.

I don't really think they have a legal leg to stand on RS. I'm not aware of any law anywhere that can force you to sell your business if you don't want to. I'm no lawyer, though. My wife is and I'll ask her.

I guess the owners are like the board of directors for the NBA. A majority vote could remove him and his franchise from the league. He'd have to sell at a bargain price then.

**RS170** · 05-02-2014, 06:03 AM

Thanks for your comment Dog---I agree 100%--Sterling is no different now than he was 20 yrs ago--why such fuss all of a sudden?

Announcement

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 5/1 (MLB, NBA, NHL, Misc.)

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 5/1 (MLB, NBA, NHL, Misc.)

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