Announcement

**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 09:01 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six of the top prospects of the Chicago White Sox.........

1) Jose Abreu, 1B-- Cuban import said to be bigtime hitter.

2) Erik Johnson, P-- Pitched for Cal in 2010 College World Series.

4) Marcus Semien, IF-- Golden Bear alum got 69 ABs with Sox LY.

7) Trayce Thompson OF-- Klay's brother hasn't hit well in minors.

9) Jacob May OF-- His grandfather Lee May was a hell of a hitter.

30) Rangel Ravelo 1B-- Another slow, slugging first baseman.

*****

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) Big week ahead for Wichita State- they’ll try to win MVC tournament and become first squad since UNLV’s ’91 team to enter the NCAA tourney undefeated.

One note: over last 11 years, Wichita has never won the Valley tournament, going 11-11 in Arch Madness. They got eliminated the last two years by 1-3 points, but with Creighton in the Big East now, Shockers are obviously a very heavy favorite to win this year.

12) Kenpom.com has its five-man all-league team for each conference; their MVC team is Seth Tuttle of Northern Iowa and four guys from Wichita. Now that’s dominating a conference.

11) Reading some NFL Draft stuff; wildly differing opinions on the QBs in this draft. Read where one team had LSU’s Zach Mettenberger as the #1 QB, before he wrecked his knee against Arkansas.

10) Sunday would’ve been Dr Seuss’ 110th birthday, that’s a long time. He put a lot of wisdom in his books, often camouflaged by rhyme.

9) Tampa Bay Bucs’ new uniforms look like one of the teams in Any Given Sunday; haven’t seen the back of the jerseys yet, but it looks as if the numbers might be hard to read for TV announcers. Helmets have a much bigger Bucs logo than usual.

8) FOX’s Saturday afternoon baseball team has Harold Reynolds replacing Tim McCarver, a fairly big upgrade. Joe Buck remains play-by-play guy.

7) Glad the Sacramento Kings finally let Jimmer Fredette go; not sure why they even drafted him, considering they rarely used him. Its not like his game was a big secret; flashy with the ball, not very good without it, especially on defense.

By the way, have you ever heard of Vivek Ranadive? Me either until the other day; he is the new owner of the Kings.

6) Tennessee-Martin and Florida Atlantic fired their basketball coaches this week; Martin is a really hard job- they barely got to .500 in the OVC when they had Lester Hudson and he made it to the NBA.

FAU was victimized by football’s move to C-USA; that’s too big a jump for their hoop program, which wasn’t even good at the Sun Belt level. FAU is in Miami though, so you’d think a sharp guy could at least be competitive.

5) You know the Angels had their B-team going against Arizona Monday when Hank Conger bats third.

4) Ex-Angel Chone Figgins started at his fourth different position for the Dodgers Monday, as he looks to be LA’s super sub. Cuban 2B Alexander Guerrero has been a disappointment so far, a $28M disappointment.

3) Read over the weekend that if the Dodgers put Guerrero on waivers right now, no team would claim him. You had to figure, at some point signing these Cuban players pretty much sight unseen would come back to bite someone. Looks like it was the Dodgers, though they’ve made out really well with Yasiel Puig and $28M is a lot less to them than it is to just about any other team, except one or two.

2) Why teams lose, part 1: 2009 NBA Draft-- Minnesota had #5-6 picks in the first round, took Ricky Rubio, Jonny Flynn, who play the same position. #7 pick in that draft? Steph Curry. Oy.

1) Why teams lose, part 2: 2009 NBA Draft-- Knicks had the #8 pick- they took Jordan Hill from Arizona. Next two picks were DeMar DeRozan and Brandon Jennings- they're paying for that mistake now.

**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 09:05 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Arizona State at Oregon
The Ducks play host to an Arizona State team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games. Oregon is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-6). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, MARCH 4

Game 513-514: Central Florida at Temple (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 54.898; Temple 56.591
Dunkel Line: Temple by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Temple by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+3 1/2)

Game 515-516: Ball State at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 44.394; Eastern Michigan 62.230
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 18
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 14
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (-14)

Game 517-518: Georgia Tech at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 59.251; Syracuse 70.852
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+14 1/2)

Game 519-520: Iowa State at Baylor (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 70.433; Baylor 69.616
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 1
Vegas Line: Baylor by 3
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+3)

Game 521-522: Michigan at Illinois (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 73.947; Illinois 67.445
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan by 3
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-3)

Game 523-524: Buffalo at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 57.333; Akron 60.998
Dunkel Line: Akron by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-2)

Game 525-526: Ohio at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 52.943; Bowling Green 55.790
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green

Game 527-528: Toledo at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 55.473; Central Michigan 45.804
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toledo by 7
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-7)

Game 529-530: Miami (OH) at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 48.550; Kent State 58.201
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Kent State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-6)

Game 531-532: Northern Illinois at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 53.925; Western Michigan 59.665
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 9
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+9)

Game 533-534: Creighton at Georgetown (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 70.442; Georgetown 71.581
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 1
Vegas Line: Creighton by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (+3 1/2)

Game 535-536: Florida at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 74.033; South Carolina 59.516
Dunkel Line: Florida by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 12
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-12)

Game 537-538: Miami (FL) at Clemson (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 64.961; Clemson 66.783
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+4 1/2)

Game 539-540: Virginia Tech at Maryland (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 56.265; Maryland 65.452
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 9
Vegas Line: Maryland by 12
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+12)

Game 541-542: Georgia State at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 62.539; Arkansas State 57.623
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 5
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-2)

Game 543-544: South Florida at Houston (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 53.954; Houston 64.015
Dunkel Line: Houston by 10
Vegas Line: Houston by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6 1/2)

Game 545-546: Marquette at Providence (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 65.235; Providence 64.333
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 1
Vegas Line: Providence by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+3 1/2)

Game 547-548: Alabama at Kentucky (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 61.116; Kentucky 69.644
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 13
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (+13)

Game 549-550: Florida State at Boston College (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 64.308; Boston College 59.944
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-2)

Game 551-552: Arizona State at Oregon (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 63.199; Oregon 72.748
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon by 6
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-6)

Game 553-554: Youngstown State at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 51.109; Oakland 57.563
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland by 4
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-4)

Game 555-556: Detroit at WI-Milwaukee (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 50.655; WI-Milwaukee 56.814
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 6
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (-2)

Game 557-558: Illinois-Chicago at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 50.839; Valparaiso 58.335
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+10 1/2)

Game 559-560: Northern Colorado at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 50.387; North Dakota 51.316
Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 1
Vegas Line: North Dakota by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+4 1/2)

Game 571-572: Stetson at Florida Gulf Coast (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stetson 36.975; Florida Gulf Coast 57.850
Dunkel Line: Florida Gulf Coast by 21
Vegas Line: Florida Gulf Coast by 14
Dunkel Pick: Florida Gulf Coast (-14)

Game 573-574: Lipscomb at East Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lipscomb 48.832; East Tennessee State 52.422
Dunkel Line: East Tennessee State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: East Tennessee State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Lipscomb (+6)

Game 575-576: North Florida at USC Upstate (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Florida 45.375; USC Upstate 57.753
Dunkel Line: USC Upstate by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: USC Upstate by 9
Dunkel Pick: USC Upstate (-9)

Game 577-578: Jacksonville at Mercer (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 44.097; Mercer 61.809
Dunkel Line: Mercer by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Mercer by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mercer (-14 1/2)

**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 09:07 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 4

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UCF (11 - 16) at TEMPLE (7 - 21) - 3/4/2014, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games this season.
UCF is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
UCF is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
UCF is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
UCF is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
TEMPLE is 171-134 ATS (+23.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TEMPLE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALL ST (5 - 22) at E MICHIGAN (17 - 12) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 4-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 4-1 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (13 - 16) at SYRACUSE (26 - 3) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IOWA ST (22 - 6) at BAYLOR (19 - 10) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
IOWA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
IOWA ST is 191-153 ATS (+22.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 4-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 4-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (21 - 7) at ILLINOIS (17 - 12) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
ILLINOIS is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 4-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 4-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (18 - 8) at AKRON (18 - 11) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
BUFFALO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BUFFALO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
BUFFALO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BUFFALO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all games this season.
AKRON is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
AKRON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 5-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-1 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO U (19 - 10) at BOWLING GREEN (12 - 17) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 3-2 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 3-2 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TOLEDO (24 - 5) at C MICHIGAN (10 - 18) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
C MICHIGAN is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 5-1 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI OHIO (11 - 16) at KENT ST (16 - 13) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
KENT ST is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
MIAMI OHIO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ILLINOIS (13 - 15) at W MICHIGAN (19 - 9) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
N ILLINOIS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 6-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CREIGHTON (23 - 5) at GEORGETOWN (16 - 12) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGETOWN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGETOWN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGETOWN is 57-86 ATS (-37.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGETOWN over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 1-0 straight up against GEORGETOWN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA (27 - 2) at S CAROLINA (11 - 18) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
S CAROLINA is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 4-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (15 - 14) at CLEMSON (18 - 10) - 3/4/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 119-81 ATS (+29.9 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
MIAMI is 104-70 ATS (+27.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
MIAMI is 104-70 ATS (+27.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MIAMI is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 96-59 ATS (+31.1 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MIAMI is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
MIAMI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 115-80 ATS (+27.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-0 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA TECH (9 - 19) at MARYLAND (15 - 14) - 3/4/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 3-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 4-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA ST (22 - 7) at ARKANSAS ST (17 - 10) - 3/4/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S FLORIDA (12 - 17) at HOUSTON (15 - 14) - 3/4/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARQUETTE (17 - 12) at PROVIDENCE (19 - 10) - 3/4/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MARQUETTE is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PROVIDENCE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
PROVIDENCE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PROVIDENCE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PROVIDENCE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 114-73 ATS (+33.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 105-72 ATS (+25.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 105-72 ATS (+25.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARQUETTE is 3-0 against the spread versus PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
MARQUETTE is 3-0 straight up against PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA (12 - 17) at KENTUCKY (21 - 8) - 3/4/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (17 - 11) at BOSTON COLLEGE (8 - 21) - 3/4/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all home games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA ST (21 - 8) at OREGON (20 - 8) - 3/4/2014, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 2-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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YOUNGSTOWN ST (15 - 16) at OAKLAND (12 - 19) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
OAKLAND is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
OAKLAND is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
OAKLAND is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games after a conference game this season.
OAKLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
OAKLAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
OAKLAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 2-1 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (13 - 18) at WI-MILWAUKEE (17 - 13) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 165-126 ATS (+26.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 159-124 ATS (+22.6 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WI-MILWAUKEE is 5-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-2 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IL-CHICAGO (6 - 24) at VALPARAISO (17 - 14) - 3/4/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in March games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
IL-CHICAGO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
VALPARAISO is 4-2 against the spread versus IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 6-0 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N COLORADO (16 - 11) at N DAKOTA (14 - 14) - 3/4/2014, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N COLORADO is 2-1 against the spread versus N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
N COLORADO is 2-1 straight up against N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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STETSON (7 - 23) at FLA GULF COAST (20 - 11) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA GULF COAST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in conference tournament games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA GULF COAST is 1-0 against the spread versus STETSON over the last 3 seasons
FLA GULF COAST is 5-2 straight up against STETSON over the last 3 seasons

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LIPSCOMB (15 - 14) at E TENN ST (17 - 14) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E TENN ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in March games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
E TENN ST is 3-3 straight up against LIPSCOMB over the last 3 seasons

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N FLORIDA (16 - 15) at USC UPSTATE (18 - 13) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC UPSTATE is 5-1 straight up against N FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (12 - 17) at MERCER (23 - 8) - 3/4/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MERCER is 4-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 09:08 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 4

Iowa State (-7) beat Baylor 87-72 Jan 7, shooting 65% inside arc; they won last four games with Baylor, winning 87-82 in last trip here, but the home side is 12-1 in last 13 series games. Big X home favorites of 3 or less points are 2-4 vs spread. Cyclones are 1-1 when a road dog. Baylor won five of last six games; this is more importanr game for them; Bears won their last three home games, but two of them were in overtime.

Michigan won its last five games with Illinois, winning by 11-14 points in last two visits here. Wolverines won last three games, are 0-3 as road favorites- underdogs covered eight of their nine road games. Illini won its last three games after starting 3-10 in league play; they're 0-4 as home underdogs, with all five home losses by 7+ points. Big Dozen home underdogs of 4 or less points are 7-6 against the spread.

Home team won eight of last nine Buffalo-Akron games; Bulls lost three of last four visits here, but beat Zips 96-90 (-5) Feb 19, in game where both teams scored 1.36+ ppp, maybe worst defensive game in country all year. MAC home teams are 18-13 vs spread if number was 3 or less points. Buffalo won four in row, seven of last eight games; they've won last four road games. Akron lost three of last four games, covered once in their last nine games.

Creighton (-11) beat Georgetown 76-63 at home Jan 25, despite Hoyas holding McDermott to 14 points. Bluejays split last six road games (2-4 vs spread); they struggled in last two games, losing at Xavier after close home win over Seton Hall. Big East home underdogs of 4 or less points are 7-5 vs spread. Hoyas won last three home games, are 2-4-1 as a dog; their home losses are to Seton Hall (10), Marquette (8), Villanova (5).

Florida made 21-26 (80.8%) inside arc in 74-58 (-16.5) win Jan 8 in SEC opener over South Carolina; Gators are 14-0 in SEC, have rivalry game with Kentucky coming up- trap game here vs South Carolina team that upset Kentucky Saturday, is 4-4 at home in SEC (2-0-1 as home dogs). Florida won last two visits to Columbia by 19-14 points. Florida is 3-4 as a road favorite. SEC home underdogs of 9+ points are 4-0 vs spread.

Miami won its last three games with Clemson by 3-2-13 points; they've lost four of last five visits here, are 5-1 as ACC road underdogs, losing only one road game by more than 7 points. ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-17 vs spread. Both teams won three of last four games; Clemson is 3-2 as home favorite after beating Maryland in double OT on Sunday. Miami covered six of its last nine games overall.

Georgia State (-9.5) nipped Arkansas State 73-72 at home Jan 16- they led by 10 at half, then trailed by 7 with 4:10 left as ASU made 11-28 3's. Sun Belt home teams are 13-18 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or less points. GSU won 19 of last 20 games, has 4-game lead in Sun Belt; they're 6-1 as road favorites, winning last last two road games by 28-11 points. Arkansas State won last five home games, is 2-1-1 as a dog.

Marquette (-4.5) beat Providence Jan 30, its 10th win in row vs Friars; Eagles led 31-14 at half in brickfest where teams were 5-30 on arc. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-8 vs spread. Marquette is 5-1 in last six games overall, 2-3 as road underdogs- they won three of last four on road, after losing first three. Providence won five of its last seven at home, covered three of last four as a home favorite.

Home side won eight of last nine Florida State-Boston College games, as Seminoles lost last four visits here, by 8-3-5-4 points. FSU is playing on short rest in cold climate, has Syracuse coming to Tallahassee Saturday, so trap game here. ACC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 4-12 vs spread. BC lost seven of last nine games, six of seven at home, but they did win at Syracuse. Seminoles are 4-4 on road, 2-1 as road favorites.

Arizona State (-3) beat Oregon 74-72 at home Feb 8, blocking layup at buzzer to preserve game they led by 20 at half. ASU lost last two trips to Eugene, by 9-3 points; they're 1-5 as road underdogs, with four of its five road losses by 9+ points. Pac-12 home favorites of 7 or less points are 13-11 vs spread. Oregon is squarely on bubble; they've won five in row after sweeping LA trip. Ducks are 1-6 though as home favorites.

Horizon tournament
Oakland swept Youngstown this year, 86-85 (-3.5) at home, then 87-81 (+4) on road three days ago; Grizzlies were 20-49 from the ard in those games, 10-22 Saturday. Horizon home teams are 6-17 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points. Penguins lost seven of their last nine games, losing last three by total of nine points- three of their last seven games went OT. Oakland is 0-7 vs spread in its last seven home games.

Road team won both Detroit-Milwaukee games this year; Panthers won 68-62 (+6.5) in Motor City five nights ago, after losing 73-54 (-3.5) at home to Titans Jan 24. Detroit lost last three games overall, but covered last six on road. Horizon home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-16 vs spread. Milwaukee's win Thursday snapped a four-game losing streak. Detroit is 0-3 in first round games if under .500 in conference.

Valparaiso swept Ill-Chicago this year, 87-72 (-11.5) at home Jan 2, and 70-46 (-4.5) on road Feb 1; they've now won ten games in row vs UIC, but Crusaders lost three of their last four games overall. UIC is terrible but they're 6-2 vs spread as road underdog, getting only Horizon win in last road game. Horizon home favorites of 9+ points are 8-6 vs spread. UIC lost five of last six first round conference tournament games.

**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 09:09 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 4

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Trend Report
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6:30 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. TEMPLE
Central Florida is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Florida's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Temple's last 12 games
Temple is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
BALL STATE vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Ball State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ball State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Eastern Michigan's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 6 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
CREIGHTON vs. GEORGETOWN
Creighton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Creighton's last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgetown's last 6 games
Georgetown is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. ILLINOIS
Michigan is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Michigan's last 7 games on the road
Illinois is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. WISC-MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Wisc-Milwaukee
Detroit is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Wisc-Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisc-Milwaukee's last 6 games at home
Wisc-Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
Florida is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
South Carolina is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Florida

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Toledo is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toledo is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Central Michigan is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 5 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
YOUNGSTOWN STATE vs. OAKLAND
Youngstown State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Youngstown State's last 10 games on the road
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Youngstown State
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Youngstown State

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
IOWA STATE vs. BAYLOR
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa State's last 6 games on the road
Iowa State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baylor's last 7 games
Baylor is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. KENT STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 7 games on the road
Miami (Ohio) is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Kent State is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Miami (Ohio)
Kent State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami (Ohio)

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
OHIO vs. BOWLING GREEN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ohio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
Ohio is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 7 games when playing at home against Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Bowling Green's last 15 games when playing Ohio

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. SYRACUSE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Georgia Tech's last 9 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Syracuse is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Syracuse is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. AKRON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Akron is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
Akron is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 7:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Northern Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
Western Michigan is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. MARYLAND
Virginia Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games
Maryland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
NORTHERN COLORADO vs. NORTH DAKOTA
Northern Colorado is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Northern Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
North Dakota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Northern Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Dakota's last 6 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. CLEMSON
Miami is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Clemson
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Clemson's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Clemson's last 6 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 8:05 PM
ILLINOIS-CHICAGO vs. VALPARAISO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois-Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Valparaiso
Illinois-Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Valparaiso
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Valparaiso's last 5 games when playing Illinois-Chicago
Valparaiso is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Illinois-Chicago

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 8:05 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. ARKANSAS STATE
Georgia State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Georgia State's last 8 games on the road
Arkansas State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 8:30 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. HOUSTON
South Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of South Florida's last 15 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing South Florida
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against South Florida

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
ALABAMA vs. KENTUCKY
Alabama is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Alabama is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games at home

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
Florida State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 6 games on the road
Boston College is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston College's last 8 games when playing Florida State

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 9:00 PM
MARQUETTE vs. PROVIDENCE
Marquette is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Marquette's last 14 games on the road
Providence is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Marquette
Providence is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Marquette

See more trends!
MARCH 4, 11:00 PM
ARIZONA STATE vs. OREGON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona State's last 8 games when playing on the road against Oregon
Arizona State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games at home
Oregon is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home

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**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 09:12 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 4

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Do good ATS teams make good NCAA bracket picks?
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March Madness is one of the biggest events for sports bettors, whether it’s cashing in on a Cinderella team against the spread or correctly navigating your NCAA bracket pool. Those two things may go hand-in hand.

Can ATS success transition into a good tournament team? We asked some of Covers Experts’ sharpest NCAAB handicappers to see what a teams’ ATS record can tell us about their NCAA tournament potential.

ATS and the Final Four

It's safe to say that when it comes to filling out your Final Four you should feel comfortable picking schools with strong ATS records.

Ten of the last 12 programs to make the Final Four have had ATS records of .500 or better that season. Only Kentucky (16-22 ATS) in 2012 and VCU (18-21 ATS) in 2011 have had losing records against the spread and made a run to the Final Four.

With that in mind, top teams - and top breadwinners - like Wichita State (21-6-1 ATS), Villanova (19-8 ATS), Southern Methodist (17-8 ATS), and Virginia (16-9-1 ATS) could all be smart picks to go deep in the tournament this year.

ATS record on the road

While a terrific ATS record isn’t always a clear indicator of just how well a team will do come tourney time, breaking down that success against the spread may give hints of how tough a program is when faced with adversity. Looking at the ATS record on the road can give you an idea of a team's resolve.

"I am very interested in a team's ATS record away from home against quality foes - say, teams that made the Big Dance or even teams that made the Big Dance or NIT, CIT or CBI,” says Teddy Covers. "Teams with good ATS records in that particular subset are most assuredly teams I'd be looking to pick in my bracket as well."

This year's road ATS kings with chances of going deep in the tournament include Michigan State (8-2 ATS), Wichita State (11-1 ATS), and New Mexico (6-2 ATS).

Overrated/Underrated ATS teams

Sometimes a bad ATS record can be just as informative as a good one when penciling in your bracket picks. Chasing trends and hot streaks come March Madness can often lead basketball fans in the wrong direction.

Covers' Expert Steve Merril treats the regular and postseason as two separate entities and believes that you can find some sleeper tournament teams amongst those that fell short of the oddsmakers’ expectations during conference play. These programs are usually good enough to make the cut Selection Sunday and view the tournament as a “new season”. In fact, Merril sees great opportunity to bet against teams on long ATS streaks during March Madness.

"If anything, I would look to play against teams with good ATS records as they have probably become a bit overrated, especially from a handicapping perspective," he says. "In fact, teams on a 3-0 SU and ATS run have been a long-term losing play in the NCAA tournament."

Whichever way you look at it, ATS records can be a significant part of the evaluation process when filling out your NCAA bracket. If you can find the right trends at the right time, you may just get an edge on your opponents in your bracket pool and avoid the upset at the sportsbook.

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**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 09:22 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Golden State at Indiana
The Warriors look to bounce back from their 104-98 loss to Toronto on Sunday and come into tonight's contest with Indiana carrying a 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games following a SU defeat. Golden State is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 4

Game 501-502: Golden State at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 122.947; Indiana 123.267
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+5 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: San Antonio at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.896; Cleveland 115.837
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 208
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Philadelphia at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 102.656; Oklahoma City 118.740
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 16; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 20 1/2; 219
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+20 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Miami at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 129.328; Houston 128.074
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: LA Clippers at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 125.999; Phoenix 120.661
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 214
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3; 218 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-3); Under

Game 511-512: New Orleans at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.814; LA Lakers 114.151
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 204
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1 1/2; 210
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+1 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 4

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GOLDEN STATE (36 - 24) at INDIANA (46 - 13) - 3/4/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 87-71 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 64-45 ATS (+14.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
INDIANA is 140-96 ATS (+34.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
INDIANA is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (43 - 16) at CLEVELAND (24 - 37) - 3/4/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 131-106 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 656-565 ATS (+34.5 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 150-116 ATS (+22.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 129-88 ATS (+32.2 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 334-275 ATS (+31.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (15 - 45) at OKLAHOMA CITY (45 - 15) - 3/4/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-50 ATS (-31.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 84-67 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 73-58 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (43 - 14) at HOUSTON (40 - 19) - 3/4/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (41 - 20) at PHOENIX (35 - 24) - 3/4/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 151-210 ATS (-80.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 101-139 ATS (-51.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PHOENIX is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games after allowing 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (23 - 37) at LA LAKERS (21 - 39) - 3/4/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 24-33 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 150-203 ATS (-73.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 97-122 ATS (-37.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 129-168 ATS (-55.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 4

Hot teams
-- Spurs won six of last seven games, are 17-13 vs spread on road.
-- Indiana won its last five games, but is 1-5-1 vs spread in its last seven. Warriors won five of their last seven games.
-- Miami won its last eight games (6-0-2 vs spread). Rockets won 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Thunder won last two games, but is 1-4-1 vs spread in last six.
-- Clippers won/covered their last four games. Phoenix is 5-3 in last eight games, is 19-12-1 vs spread at home.
-- Lakers won last two games by total of five points.

Cold Teams
-- Cleveland lost four of its last six games.
-- 76ers lost their last 14 games (3-11 vs spread).
-- Pelicans lost their last eight games (1-6-1 vs spread).

Series records
-- Spurs won last eight games with Cleveland, winning last three visits here, by 1-10-35 points.
-- Pacers won five of last six games with Golden State.
-- Rockets won their last seven games with Miami (3-4 vs spread).
-- Thunder won their last nine games with Philly (8-1 vs spread).
-- Clippers are 4-3 in last seven games with Phoenix, after going 1-13 in previous fourteen series games.
-- Lakers won ten of last eleven games with New Orleans.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine San Antonio games went over the total; seven of last nine Cavalier games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Golden State games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Houston games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten Oklahoma City games went over.
-- Five of last seven Clipper games went over total.
-- Six of last eight New Orleans games stayed under.

NBA

Tuesday, March 4

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland's last 15 games at home
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Golden State's last 24 games when playing Indiana
Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Indiana's last 24 games when playing Golden State

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. HOUSTON
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

9:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. PHOENIX
LA Clippers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of the LA Clippers last 11 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 11-1 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

10:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
LA Lakers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games when playing at home against New Orleans

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NBA

Tuesday, March 4

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Game of the Day: Heat at Rockets
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Miami Heat at Houston Rockets (+1, 210)

The Houston Rockets are hoping LeBron James left all of his points at home. James will attempt to follow up his career-high 61-point effort on the second night of a back-to-back when the Miami Heat visit the Rockets on Tuesday. The superstar forward went 22-of-33 from the floor against the Charlotte Bobcats and threw in seven rebounds and five assists while posting the highest scoring total in franchise history.

Houston is capable of putting up some gaudy scoring numbers of its own and might have to turn Tuesday’s contest into a race with the Heat if Dwight Howard, who sat out practice on Monday due to back soreness, can’t go. The Rockets have taken 11 of their last 13, including a 129-103 win at Sacramento last week in which James Harden went off for 43 points in 31 minutes. Harden could have to deal with Dwyane Wade, who watched James’ historic night from the sidelines while resting but is expected to dress on Tuesday.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBATV, Sun Sports (Miami), CSN Houston

LINE HISTORY: Houston opened as a 1-point home underdog at some books. Others waited to post odds due to Dwight Howard's unknown status. The total opened at 210 points.

POWER RANKINGS: Miami (-14.5) - Houston (-11.5) + Home Court (-3.0) = Pick

INJURY WATCH: Rockets - Greg Smith (Ques. Knee), Chandler Parsons (Ques. Illness), Dwight Howard (Ques. Neck)

ABOUT THE HEAT (42-14 SU, 26-28-2 ATS, 32-24 O/U): James’ record night was the latest in a string of remarkable performances from the reigning MVP, who is shooting 67.2 percent from the field in three games while wearing a protective mask over his broken nose. “I think what helped was we couldn’t get no stops in the fourth quarter,” James told reporters of his record night. “That allowed me to stay in the game. … I wanted to try to close it out and I was happy I was able to make a few plays to help us win the game.” “King James” has shot 50 percent or better in each of his last eight games and is averaging 35.3 points in that span.

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (40-19 SU, 30-27-2 ATS, 28-29-2 O/U): Houston is in a battle with the Los Angeles Clippers and the Portland Trail Blazers for the Nos. 3-5 spots in the Western Conference and will face championship contenders Miami, Indiana, Portland and Oklahoma City over the next five games. The Rockets built up a 21-point lead after the first quarter against Detroit on Saturday but had to hold on for a 118-110 win. “I didn’t really like the way we came out in the second half,” Howard told reporters. “I thought we really should have kept the foot on the gas but we didn’t. We allowed them to get back in the game. That’s not what we need to do if we want to be a championship team.”

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Houston.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Heat are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four vs. Western Conference.
* Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. Eastern Conference.

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**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 09:24 AM

NHL
Dunkel

NY Islanders at Winnipeg
The Jets host an Islanders team that comes into tonight's contest with an 0-8 record in their last 8 games when playing with 1 days rest. Winnipeg is the pick (-150) according to Dunkel, which has the Jets favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-150). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 4

Game 1-2: Dallas at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.975; Columbus 10.600
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+125); Over

Game 3-4: Florida at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.136; Boston 12.361
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-250); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-250); Under

Game 5-6: Detroit at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.064; New Jersey 10.794
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+115); Over

Game 7-8: Tampa Bay at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.852; St. Louis 12.237
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-180); Under

Game 9-10: Colorado at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.865; Chicago 12.453
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-175); Under

Game 11-12: Pittsburgh at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 10.811; Nashville 11.722
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+135); Over

Game 13-14: NY Islanders at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 9.848; Winnipeg 11.675
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-150); Over

Game 15-16: Vancouver at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.376; Phoenix 10.541
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+120); Under

Game 17-18: Ottawa at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.336; Edmonton 11.790
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+100); Under

Game 19-20: Carolina at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.380; San Jose 12.403
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-210); Over

**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 09:27 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 4

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DALLAS (29-22-0-10, 68 pts.) at COLUMBUS (31-25-0-5, 67 pts.) - 3/4/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 4-18 ATS (+27.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 14-7 ATS (+5.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
COLUMBUS is 11-7 ATS (+21.0 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 20-12 ATS (+33.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
COLUMBUS is 19-11 ATS (+30.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-3 ATS (+11.4 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-2 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)

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FLORIDA (23-31-0-7, 53 pts.) at BOSTON (38-17-0-5, 81 pts.) - 3/4/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 163-141 ATS (-63.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
BOSTON is 73-72 ATS (-64.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-2 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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DETROIT (28-20-0-12, 68 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (26-23-0-13, 65 pts.) - 3/4/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 4-10 ATS (-11.4 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 90-99 ATS (-65.1 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
DETROIT is 23-32 ATS (-18.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 78-86 ATS (-57.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 21-11 ATS (+8.1 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 7-2 ATS (+4.4 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
NEW JERSEY is 43-28 ATS (+74.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 1-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (34-22-0-5, 73 pts.) at ST LOUIS (40-14-0-6, 86 pts.) - 3/4/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 108-198 ATS (+367.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 32-10 ATS (+17.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 34-27 ATS (+5.4 Units) in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 10-3 ATS (+13.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
TAMPA BAY is 160-174 ATS (+376.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 2-1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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COLORADO (39-17-0-5, 83 pts.) at CHICAGO (36-12-0-14, 86 pts.) - 3/4/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 342-353 ATS (-59.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
COLORADO is 39-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 22-17 ATS (+44.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 200-186 ATS (+393.2 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
COLORADO is 16-8 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
COLORADO is 13-5 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
CHICAGO is 8-12 ATS (-15.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 6-9 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 6-4 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 6-4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (40-16-0-4, 84 pts.) at NASHVILLE (26-25-0-10, 62 pts.) - 3/4/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 17-13 ATS (+30.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NASHVILLE is 162-148 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 22-11 ATS (+10.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 54-35 ATS (+92.7 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 165-124 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (23-32-0-8, 54 pts.) at WINNIPEG (30-26-0-6, 66 pts.) - 3/4/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 23-40 ATS (+69.4 Units) in all games this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 2-10 ATS (+12.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-19 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
WINNIPEG is 16-8 ATS (+25.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 14-7 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-3 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 4-3-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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VANCOUVER (28-25-0-10, 66 pts.) at PHOENIX (27-23-0-11, 65 pts.) - 3/4/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 28-35 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 5-17 ATS (-13.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 13-22 ATS (-14.1 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 72-64 ATS (+143.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
PHOENIX is 27-34 ATS (-21.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 7-15 ATS (-14.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 10-14 ATS (-4.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHOENIX is 69-72 ATS (-54.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-6 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 6-5-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.3 Units)

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OTTAWA (27-23-0-11, 65 pts.) at EDMONTON (20-34-0-8, 48 pts.) - 3/4/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 138-161 ATS (-58.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
OTTAWA is 3-10 ATS (-8.7 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
OTTAWA is 6-14 ATS (-11.3 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
OTTAWA is 16-7 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 20-42 ATS (-34.6 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 4-15 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 12-22 ATS (+35.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 2-1 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 2-1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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CAROLINA (26-26-0-9, 61 pts.) at SAN JOSE (39-17-0-6, 84 pts.) - 3/4/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 48-92 ATS (+156.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 84-47 ATS (+21.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 14-20 ATS (-20.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-0 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 2-0-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 09:28 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 4

Hot teams
-- Bruins won three of their last four home games.
-- Red Wings won four of their last five games.
-- Columbus won its last three home games. Dallas Stars won five of their last seven games.
-- Avalanche won three of their last four games. Chicago won three of last four at home.
-- Blues won four of their last five home games.
-- Jets won five of their last seven games.
-- Sharks won four of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Panthers lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Devils lost six of their last ten games.
-- Lightning lost five of last seven road games.
-- Nashville lost four of last five games. Penguins lost last three games, allowing 15 goals.
-- Islanders lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Coyotes lost last four games, scoring seven goals. Vancouver lost nine of last ten games.
-- Senators lost four of their last seven games. Edmonton lost last three games, scoring two goals; two of three losses were in OT.
-- Carolina lost its last five games, scoring six goals.

Totals
-- Last four Florida games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Detroit-New Jersey games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Colorado games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight St Louis-Tampa games went over.
-- Last four Pittsburgh games went over the total.
-- Last five Islander games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Vancouver games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Ottawa games went over total.
-- Last three San Jose games went over the total.

Series records
-- Bruins won their last six games with Florida.
-- Red Wings won four of last six games with New Jersey.
-- Dallas Stars won four of last five visits to Columbus.
-- Avalanche won six of last nine games with Chicago.
-- Lightning won five of last eight games with St Louis.
-- Penguins won their last three games with Nashville.
-- Islanders won five of last seven games with Winnipeg.
-- Home side won last five Phoenix-Vancouver games.
-- Visiting team won last five Ottawa-Edmonton games.
-- Sharks lost four of last five games with Carolina.

**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 09:30 AM

NHL

Tuesday, March 4

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. COLUMBUS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas's last 16 games when playing Columbus
Columbus is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Columbus's last 8 games at home

7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. NEW JERSEY
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing Detroit
New Jersey9-3-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Detroit

7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games
Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida

8:00 PM
COLORADO vs. CHICAGO
Colorado is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Colorado

8:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. WINNIPEG
NY Islanders are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
NY Islanders are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Winnipeg is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Islanders

8:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. NASHVILLE
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Nashville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. ST. LOUIS
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 8-12-3 SU in its last 23 games ,when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
St. Louis is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games

9:00 PM
VANCOUVER vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 7 games
Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games

9:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. EDMONTON
Ottawa is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Edmonton
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Edmonton's last 18 games at home
Edmonton is 4-10-1 SU in its last 15 games ,when playing Ottawa

10:30 PM
CAROLINA vs. SAN JOSE
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 09:31 AM

NHL

Tuesday, March 4

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Over a solid bet since players returned from Sochi
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We've had seven days of hockey since players returned from Sochi and rejoined their NHL teams and the Over has been a solid bet since.

There have been 43 games since the Olympic break ended and the Over/Under count is currently 25-16-2, good enough for a 61 percent success rate.

Non-Overtime games are even better at 20-12, which equals 62.50 percent.

Tuesday sees a packed slate with 10 games on the board, nine of which have 5.5 goal totals. The loner of the bunch is the Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils, which sits at 5.

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**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 09:56 AM

NBA

Tuesday, March 4

Bettors beware of Warriors in Indiana

The Golden State Warriors have a long standing history of not covering in Indiana. In the past 12 games the Warriors have traveled to the Hoosier State, they are 1-11 ATS with the one cover coming all the way back on Feb. 5, 2007.

The Warriors will be +5.5-points when they visit the Indiana Pacers Tuesday.

Pelicans are have been bad SU, no better ATS

The New Orleans Pelicans have been on a terrible 1-10 skid and bettors have found no solace backing them against the spread. The Pelicans are an abysmal 1-8-2 ATS during their last 11 games with their one cover coming 10 days ago.

The Pelicans will be 2-point road dogs when they travel to LA to take on the Lakers Tuesday.

Thunder open with biggest line of the season

The Oklahoma City Thunder opened as 20-point home favorites for their game against the Philadelphia 76ers Tuesday. The line has since moved to -20.5 for the Thunder, showing that bettors are still backing Oklahoma City despite the massive spread.

Before the Thunder and 76ers' huge spread, the largest point differential of the season was 15.5.

**Udog** · 03-04-2014, 10:01 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 4

Tar Heels still hot SU, but cooled off for bettors

For a recent stretch, North Carolina was arguably not only the hottest team on the floor, but also at the betting window. The Tar Heels peeled off a 9-0 SU and ATS streak that included key home wins over archrival Duke and Pittsburgh, and a trio of road wins and covers in ACC play.

Carolina is still hot SU, winning its last three games to stretch its streak to 12 in a row. But the Heels have lost their touch at the betting window, dropping their last three, including Monday’s 63-61 squeaker over visiting Notre Dame, with Carolina a 12-point chalk.

Slumping Syracuse a big fave vs Georgia Tech

Syracuse was undefeated all the way up until Feb. 19, when Boston College dealt the Orange a shocking 62-59 upset home loss. The ‘Cuse has dumped three of its last four SU after Saturday’s 75-56 road beatdown at the hands of Virginia, and the Orange haven’t cashed since Feb. 12, going 0-4-1 ATS following a 58-56 win at Pittsburgh as a 2-point pup.

The Orange (26-3 SU, 13-10-2 ATS) are home tonight against struggling Georgia Tech (13-16 SU, 10-12-1 ATS), which should bode well for a SU victory. But Syracuse opened as a 15.5-point chalk, which could be tough to cover for a team that just lost by 19 and had its previous five games decided by a total of 14 points.

Smaller conferences dominate top of ATS standings

If you’re looking for the big-boy basketball schools, one place you won’t find them is in the top 10 of the ATS standings. Villanova is the only big-name program in the top 10 as conference tournament season looms.

The Wildcats (26-3 SU) are third with a 19-8 ATS mark, but every other team in the top 10 is a mid-major or even a small major, from Wichita State at No. 1 to Southern Methodist at No. 10. In between are Cleveland State, Portland, Utah, Buffalo, Texas-El Paso, Tulsa, and IUPU-Ft. Wayne.

Shockers close regular season as ATS champs

Wichita State has staked its claim to the regular-season pointspread championship. The Shockers pounded Missouri State 68-45 laying 16 points at home Saturday to finish a perfect regular season at 31-0, and they were quite impressive at the betting window too.

Wichita State went 21-6-1 ATS, cashing a whopping 77.8 percent of its games, including its last five in a row as it preps for the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament later this week in St. Louis. No other team has enough regular-season games remaining to catch the Shockers.

Kansas C Embiid out with back injury

Kansas freshman center Joel Embiid will sit out the team's final two regular-season games because of a back injury.

The No. 8 Jayhawks (22-7, 13-3 Big 12) play Texas Tech on Wednesday and are at West Virginia on Saturday. Kansas already won the regular-season Big 12 title.

"I think he could return for the Big 12 tournament," coach Bill Self told ESPN.com on Monday. "But it shouldn't impact the NCAA tournament."

Embiid missed Kansas' win over TCU on Feb. 15 after injuring his back. After playing the next three games, he re-injured it in the second half of Saturday's loss at Oklahoma State.

Embiid, a 7-footer, is averaging 11.2 points, 8.1 rebounds and 2.6 blocks per game. He could be the top pick in the NBA draft if he leaves school early.

Announcement

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 3/4 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 3/4 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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