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**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 07:22 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

We've been looking at Super Bowl props in this space for the last week. Here's a look at six more of them (LVH puts out a 44-page PDF of the props available). It covers pretty much everything........

-- Phil Mickelson's 4th-round score -14.5 vs Moreno's rushing yards

-- Brandt Snedeker's 4th round score -24.5 vs Tate's receiving yards.

-- Keegan Bradley's 4th round score -1.5 vs D Thomas' receiving yards

-- Jets/Canadiens total, -0.5 vs Julius Thomas' receptions

-- Red Wings/Caps total, -0.5 vs D Thomas' receptions

-- Will Richard Sherman have an INT? yes +$210, no -$250

*****

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Happy Ground Hog Day, people......

13) First of all, Happy Birthday KL Wheat who turns 29 (again) today.

12) California 60, Arizona 58-- Best part of highlights was Cal coach Mike Montgomery shoving happy fans off the court who had come on with 0:00.9 left after the Bears took the lead. Wildcats are struggling to score- Nick Johnson was 1-14 in this game.

11) Syracuse 91, Duke 89 ot-- ESPN treated this game like a combination of the Super Bowl and a Presidential inauguration- they even showed Syracuse alum Vanessa Williams singing the national anthem. For a game on Feb 1st.

While I'm here, I can't listen to Dick Vitale for two straight hours anymore; he rarely analyzes the game, just follows his own script. He has done amazing things in raising money to research a cure for cancer, but as a TV analyst, his best days were a decade or two ago.

10) Quinnipiac 103, Siena 95 ot-- Jimmy Patsos has re-energized Saints' program, but their subs were 2-20 in this game. Quinnipiac's were 7-14.

9) Baylor 76, Oklahoma State 70-- Marcus Smart's season might be the end of talented kids coming back for their sophomore year; he isn't having a good year, was 3-14 in this game. he would've been the #1 pick had he come out last summer. Baylor had lost five games in a row before this.

8) Ohio State 59, Wisconsin 58-- Both teams are slumping, Badgers have now lost three in a row at home for first time under Bo Ryan. Its amazing to me how fragile so many teams are; one player goes into a slump or gets hurt and the team becomes a house of cards.

7) Northwestern 55, Minnesota 54-- If the Wildcats are 5-5 in Big Dozen, how great a league is it, really? Northwestern has won three conference road games in a row for the first time since....1960. Wow.

6) Bad Beat of the Day: Air Force (+9.5) loses 69-56 in OT at Nevada.

5) Hawks 120, Timberwolves 113-- Kevin Love had 43 points, 19 rebounds in a losing cause. 25-21 Hawks scored 72 points in the second half.

4) Sacramento State 78, Weber State 75 ot-- 10 points scored in last 0:07 of this game, six in last 0:01, yes six points in a second. Wild game, with 33 points and three technicals in the OT, including Weber State calling a timeout they didn't have with 0:07 left. Both coaches also got a T in OT, as Hornets ended a 12-game losing streak to Weber State.

Weber hit a 3 to tie game with under a second left, then Dylan Garrity stuck a running 75-footer as pandemonium broke loose in Sacramento's tiny gym.

3) The basketball college teams use now isn't leather, it is a composite material, which is why it sometimes takes very odd bounces. Kid yesterday hit a shot from the corner, when the ball hit the back of the rim and seemed to stick there, before falling limply into the basket. Shots that hits the back of the rim first should never just stick to the rim like the ball is deflated.

2) When the NCAA tournament selection committee meets next month, how will they evaluate wins/losses vs Colorado that happened before Buffs' star Spencer Dinwiddie got hurt? Any win over the Buffs before Dinwiddie got hurt is a great win, losses since he got hurt should be more damaging.

1) Lakers lost 12 games in January; last time they lost 12 games in same month was.....1964. This summer will be very interesting for them.

**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 07:22 AM

Super Bowl XLVIII betting: Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos

Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos (-2, 48)

Peyton Manning has commanded center stage from the moment he was taken with the top overall draft pick in 1998 and the spotlight will never be brighter than when he leads the Denver Broncos against the Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl XLVIII on Sunday night at New Jersey's MetLife Stadium.

Manning put together the finest season by a quarterback in NFL history - shattering records for touchdowns and yards - and a victory could settle the debate of whether he is the greatest quarterback of all time. Conversely, a loss by the Broncos will drop the league's only four-time (and soon to be five) MVP below .500 in the postseason and 1-2 in Super Bowls to bolster the argument by his detractors that he continually comes up short in the big game.

Who's No. 1? It is the quintessential matchup, pitting the Broncos' top-ranked offense against Seattle's league-best defense, marking only the fifth time in Super Bowl history that the NFL's highest-scoring team (Denver, 606 points) squared off against an opponent that surrendered the fewest points (Seattle, 231).

“We wouldn’t have it any other way,” bombastic Seahawks cornerback Richard Sherman said. “They’re an unbelievable record-setting offense with a Hall of Fame quarterback. That’s as tough as it gets. The No. 1 defense against the No. 1 offense.” It is also only the second time in 20 seasons that the No. 1 seeds in each conference reached the Super Bowl - the last coming when Manning's Indianapolis Colts lost to New Orleans in Super Bowl XLIV four years ago.

The first outdoor cold-weather Super Bowl - and the potential for playing in a blizzard - caused a lot of teeth-gnashing leading up to the game, but conditions are expected to be relatively benign with temperatures in the mid-30s and light winds. That's a huge plus for Manning and a Broncos' offense that features an unprecedented five players to have scored at least 10 touchdowns.

“We’ve spread the ball around so well all season, so it’s hard for teams to know who to key on,” said Manning, who was held to a season-low 150 yards passing in bitter cold and high winds at New England in late November. Seattle has built a legendary home-field advantage at CenturyLink Field but like Denver, has already played at MetLife this season. The Seahawks blanked the New York Giants 23-0 on Dec. 15 while the Broncos scored 31 second-half points in a 41-23 victory over the Giants on Sept. 15.

TV: 6:25 p.m. ET, Fox.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low 40s, above freezing with a 23 percent chance of rain turning to ice pellets in the fourth quarter. Winds are expected to blow NNW from corner to corner at MetLife Stadium at speeds of 4-6 mph.

LINE HISTORY: The spread opened at a pick'em and immediately drew action on the Broncos, pumping the spread as high as Denver -3.5. Seahawks money came back and bought the underdog, trimming this line down to -2. The total opened 47.5 and was bet down to 47 with the extended forecast calling for bad weather in East Rutherford. However, with the weather clearing up, action on the Over has drive the number as high as 48.5.

POWER RANKINGS: Seahawks (-7.3) - Broncos (-7.0) = Seahawks -0.3

KEY INJURIES: Seattle: Jordan Hill DT (Prob. - Groin), Percy Harvin WR (Prob. - Concussion), Doug Baldwin WR (Prob. - Hip), Brandon Browner (Out - Suspension). Denver: Mitch Unrein DT (Prob. - Knee), Knowshon Moreno (Prob. - Ribs), Tony Carter CB (Prob. - Arm), Matt Prater (Prob. Illness), Sione Fua (Ques. - Calf).

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "If we don't start seeing more Seahawks money we might, might have to get to Denver -3. Personally, I don't want that to happen but everyone is in love with the Broncos and with the early weather reports calling for a decent day in Jersey, getting to -3 isn't out of the question. At this point, it might be the only way to see some Seahawks money but it really will expose us to getting sided on the biggest game of the year. Going to -3 and then this game landing three, I'll be looking for work come Monday." - Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.

WHY BET SEATTLE (15-3 SU, 12-6-0 ATS, 6-12 O/U): Aside from allowing 14.4 points per game, Seattle surrendered the fewest total yards and passing yards while leading the league in takeaways (39) and interceptions (28), including a league-best eight by Sherman. Quarterback Russell Wilson tied Ben Roethlisberger for the second-most wins (27) in his first two seasons but he did not throw for more than one touchdown or 215 yards in his past six games.

One of the reasons is bullish running back Marshawn Lynch, who has gone over 100 yards four times in six postseason games and rushed for 249 yards and three TDs in the Seahawks' playoff wins over New Orleans and San Francisco. Wilson will also get back a big weapon in wideout Percy Harvin, who played in only one game during the regular season after recovering from hip surgery and suffered a concussion in the victory over New Orleans that caused him to miss the next contest.

WHY BET DENVER (15-3 SU, 11-6-1 ATS, 11-7 O/U): Wide receivers Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker are only the second tandem with more than 1,000 yards and 10 touchdowns in consecutive seasons. Add in Wes Welker (87 catches, 10 TDs) and tight end Julius Thomas (65 catches, 12 TDs) along with 1,000-yard rusher Knowshon Moreno and it's not hard to see why Manning threw for 55 scores and 5,477 yards - both NFL single-season records.

Denver's high-powered offense overshadowed a much-maligned defense that has made enormous strides and yielded an average of 14 points over the past four games since a 27-20 home loss to San Diego on Dec. 12. "We kind of made a pact after the San Diego loss," said Broncos coach John Fox, the sixth coach to lead two different teams to a Super Bowl. "Basically, everybody made a pact that we're going to be the best we can be these last five games. We've gone through four of them; we've got one remaining."

SUPER BOWL TRENDS:

* The Broncos are 16-5 SU and 12-8-1 ATS in games versus the Seahawks since 1993.

* This marks the fifth time in Super Bowl history that a team with the No. 1 defense has faced the team with the No. 1 offense. Defense has beat offense three of the four previous meetings. In addition, teams with the better defense have won 39 of the previous 47 Super Bowls. However, teams with the better defense are just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS the last seven Super Bowls.

* The NFC has controlled the last 32 Super Bowls, going 21-11 SU and 20-10-3 ATS, including 4-1 SU and ATS the last five years. The AFC, though, actually holds the upper hand of late, going 10-6 SU the last 16 years.

* The big story in the world of NFL totals this season was the success realized in non-conference games throughout the 2013 season as these games were an amazing 49-15 to the Over.

CONSENSUS PICKS: 66 percent of bets on Broncos (-2), 51 percent on Over 48.

**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 07:23 AM

Forty-eight great betting notes for Super Bowl XLVIII

We're just a few hours away from Super Bowl XLVIII so it's time to really buckle down and get focused on your bets. We put together a list of the best 48 Super Bowl betting notes we could find to help you with your handicapping down the stretch.

1. Sunday’s game will be only the third time in the last 20 years the two preseason favorites have met in the Super Bowl. The NFC has won the two previous meetings with the New Orleans Saints beating the Indianapolis Colts in 2009 and the Dallas Cowboys beating the Buffalo Bills in 1993.

2. The closest approximation of this year’s Super Bowl matchup was in 2002, when the league’s best defensive team, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, beat the Oakland Raiders, who were the league’s second-highest scoring team, 48-21.

3. Twenty-one of 47 Super Bowls have featured a Top-5 total offense against a Top-5 total defense. In those instances, the defense has beaten the offense 13 times SU. However, teams with the better defense are just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in the last seven Super Bowls.

4. The NFC has held the upper hand over the AFC in Super Bowl games since the 1980 season, going 21-11 SU and 20-10-3 ATS.

5. The team that scores first is 31-16 SU in the Super Bowl.

6. The Broncos’ starters have an average 5.7 seasons in the NFL, 3.3 playoffs and players who have experienced five different Super Bowls. The Seahawks starters have an average of 4.6 seasons, 2.5 playoff seasons, and no Super Bowl appearances.

7. Denver’s coaching staff has a combined 49 NFL seasons, 19 playoff seasons, and three Super Bowls between them while Seattle’s coaching staff have 38 NFL seasons, 19 playoff seasons, and zero Super Bowls between them.

8. Seattle beat Denver 40-10 as a 5-point favorite in the preseason. Peyton Manning was 11 for 16 for 163 yards passing and a TD while Russell Wilson went 8-for-12 for 127 yards and two scores.

9. The Broncos set an NFL record with 606 points scored this season. Not one of the next eight teams on the all-time season scoring list went on to win the Super Bowl.

10. The team that controls the clock usually wins. Teams that have a superior time of possession have won nine of the last 12 Super Bowls SU. The Seahawks have averaged 29:59 minutes of possession in their two playoff games while the Broncos have averaged over 35:30 minutes of possession in their two postseason games.

Total

11. The Seattle Seahawks have given up only 30 points twice in two seasons – a Week 5 loss at Indianapolis and a 30-28 loss to the Atlanta Falcons in last year’s divisional playoff round. Denver has scored at least 30 points in 12 of 18 games this season.

12. According to the website Advanced NFL Stats, temperatures of 25 degrees or less affect play calling. The same website says a winds of 15 mph or stronger also affects play calling.

13. Terry McAulay was named head official for Super Bowl XLVIII. McAulay presided over both Super Bowl XXXIX, in which the Patriots beat the Eagles 24-21 as 7-point favorites and Super Bowl XLIII in which the Steelers beat the Cardinals 27-23 as 6.5-point favorites. In Super Bowl XXXIX, there were 10 penalties called for 82 yards total. In Super Bowl XLIII, there were 18 penalties for 182 yards total.

14. Weather Underground isn’t predicting a major storm but is expecting “a frontal system that with colder air retreating, all precipitation types, from snow, to sleet, to rain, are on the table with this system.”

15. Cold weather and frozen fields could push both teams' preparations indoors which coaches agree is not ideal because the synthetic field is harder on their players’ legs.

16. In 10 playoff games there have only been seven pass interference calls made. Seattle is the most penalized teams in terms of pass interference calls with 13 in 18 games for a total of 232 yards. Denver is the second biggest beneficiary of pass interference calls with 14 calls against for 215 yards.

17. Eight of the past 12 Super Bowl winners were flagged for more penalty yards than the loser. Seattle was the most penalized team during the regular season with 7.9 per game while Denver was 30 of 34 with 7.1 per game.

18. Seattle has given up an NFL-low 231 points this year with only 101 of those points coming in the second half.

19. Peyton Manning has averaged 295 yards and has thrown 19 touchdowns versus 10 interceptions in his last eight games in sub 40-degree weather.

20. Broncos had a touchdown drive of 7 minutes, one second against the San Diego Chargers to go with scoring drives of 7:50 and 7:52 Sunday against the Patriots. Those are the three longest scoring drives of the season for the Broncos. Denver is slowing down its pace on offense, compared to a hurried no-huddle attack in the regular season.

Props

21. The winning QB has been Super Bowl MVP in six of the last seven games. Peyton Manning is currently the oddsmakers' favorite at 8/5 while Russell Wilson is next at 13/4.

22. After the quarterbacks, Marshawn Lynch is, at 6/1, the oddsmakers’ favorite to life the MVP trophy. No running back has been named MVP since Terrell Davis was in 1998.

23. The total for how many times Peyton Manning will say “Omaha” is 27.5. The Broncos QB used it 44 times in the divisional round versus San Diego and 31 versus New England.

24. The AFC has won the last two coin tosses in a row. Before that the NFC had won 13 straight.

25. "Heads" has been the right call in the last five Super Bowls and six of the last seven.

Seattle Seahawks

26. Seattle WR Percy Harvin was given the all clear to return to practice after suffering a concussion versus the Saints and did so this past Wednesday. He still needs to be given medical clearance to play Sunday.

27. Russell Wilson is leaving no stone unturned in preparation for the big game. The Seattle QB is anticipating 56 different balls to be used during the game and the larger Super Bowl emblem will make the ball slicker than usual.

28. The Seahawks defense has held standout tight ends Jimmy Graham and Vernon Davis to a combined three catches and 24 yards in their two playoff games. Denver TEs Julius Thomas and Jacob Tamme were instrumental in the team’s AFC Championship win making 10 catches for 109 yards and two TDs.

29. Pete Carroll intends on keeping the competition for starting left guard open through the week leading up to the big game with Dan Carpenter, Michael Bowie, and Paul McQuistan all vying for the position.

30. With Harvin in the lineup the Seahawks will, at times, be able to lineup with at least three wide receivers. They have had such a formation on only 12 first-down attempts, 16 second-down attempts, and 24 third downs.

31. This will be Seattle’s third trip to Meadowlands in the last three years. They beat the Giants 36-25 as 10-point underdogs in 2011 and 23-0 as 9.5-point favorites in December. The O/U is 1-1 in those games both times with a 43.5-point total.

32. Russell Wilson is 8-1 ATS as an underdog as the Seahawks starter.

33. Percy Harvin faced the Broncos as a member of the Minnesota Vikings racking up a career-high 175 yards from scrimmage. One hundred of those yards came on a pair of touchdown catches covering 52 and 48 yards.

34. The Seahawks were dead last, converting only 49 percent of chances when facing third and fourth-and-two to convert or a goal-to-go situation inside the two-yard line.

Denver Broncos

35. The Denver Broncos gave up the third-most receiving yards to tight ends this season. Seattle TE Zach Miller caught only 33 passes for 387 yards and five TDs but was most prolific in December with 11 catches for 139 yards and two TDs.

36. Denver kicker Matt Prater missed three straight days of practice because of illness but managed to fly with the team to New York Sunday. Team took precautions to ensure Prater didn’t pass anything on.

37. Defenses have made nearly 200 pressure calls versus Peyton Manning this season. He has been sacked only five times on these occasions while passing for 14 touchdowns and five interceptions.

38. Denver RB Knowshon Moreno was listed as questionable with a rib injury suffered in the fourth quarter of the AFC Championship Game. Moreno says he will be good to go Sunday and doesn’t expect needing to wear any additional padding.

39. The Broncos run game averaged 30 rushes and five yards per carry in their three cold weather games this season. Overall, Denver averaged almost 29 carries per game for just 4.1 yards per carry over the regular season.

40. The Broncos offense has given the ball away 28 times in 18 games while the Seahawks defense have 42 takeaways.

41. Denver has almost 500 snaps of no-huddle offense this season with 89 so far in the postseason. They have scored 57 touchdowns from this package in 18 games this season.

42. Denver kicker Matt Prater was so prolific through the postseason that, when combined with the Mile High air, the Denver Broncos’ special teams did not field a kick return all playoffs. It is expected that Percy Harvin, the league’s best kick returner in 2011 and 2012 will be healthy enough to return kickoffs this Sunday.

43. Manning has been touched only once this postseason and has not been sacked.

44. Broncos WR DeMaryius Thomas welcomes the opportunity to face All-Pro cornerback Richard Sherman despite Sherman not allowing a reception this postseason as well as having the best defensive passer rating of any defensive back this season at 47.3. The second-lowest opposing passer rating was Seattle’s Byron Maxwell at 47.8.

45. Denver was 4-1 SU and ATS this season against teams with a Top-10 rushing offense. The Over is 4-1 in those games.

46. Broncos offensive line consultant Alex Gibbs was Seattle’s assistant head coach and offensive line coach in 2010 and worked with Seahawks offensive line coach Tom Cable in Atlanta in 2006.

47. The Broncos are 8-2 SU in 10 games that Peyton Manning has worn a glove this season, throwing 33 touchdowns against five interceptions.

48. Since the Broncos were tagged for 177 yards on the ground in week 15, they have allowed the opposing team to rush for 87, 64, 65, and 64 yards respectively the past four games. The Broncos are 3-1 ATS in those games and the under is 4-0.

**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 07:23 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Super Bowl

Seattle vs. Denver
In Super Bowl XLVIII, the Seahawks face a Broncos team that is 15-2 ATS in its last 17 games when playing with 2 weeks of rest. Denver is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-2 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 2

Game 101-102: Seattle vs. Denver (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 142.278; Denver 147.399
Dunkel Line: Denver by 5; 44
Vegas Line: Denver by 2 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-2 1/2); Under

NFL
Long Sheet

Super Bowl

Sunday, February 2

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SEATTLE (15 - 3) vs. DENVER (15 - 3) - 2/2/2014, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
SEATTLE is 57-84 ATS (-35.4 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
DENVER is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
SEATTLE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NFL
Short Sheet

Super Bowl

Sunday, February 2

Seattle at Denver, 6:30 ET
Seattle: 6-17 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
Denver: 18-5 ATS after gaining 500 or more total yards in their previous game

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Super Bowl

Denver/Seattle were AFC West rivals up until 2001, when Seahawks moved to the NFC. Seattle’s first-ever playoff win was 31-7 over the Broncos in the Kingdome in 1983, John Elway’s rookie year. Teams have met only three times since Seattle switched conferences, with Denver winning two of three, last of which was 31-14 Bronco win at Mile High in 2010—that also means the teams meet again next season, in the Thursday night season opener, maybe?

None of that matters here; what matters is what the weather is expected to come up better Sunday night than its been all winter in New Jersey, which favors Denver’s passing game. Broncos scored 41 ppg in winning two of three games on artificial turf this season (at Giants-Cowboys-Patriots). Seattle plays its home games on carpet. Both teams beat the Giants in this stadium this season. If they gave an over/under figure to bet on for TV ratings, I’d take the over. Lot of people are interested in this game.

Denver’s coach/QB have been in Super Bowls before, Manning has obviously won one. Seattle doesn’t have one player who has been in a Super Bowl; they have to guard against being too hyped up for the game, which you read has been a problem in previous Super Bowls. Manning spreads ball out so well, it is difficult for great Seattle defense to focus on stopping 1-2 guys, like Crabtree/Boldin with the 49ers.

This is only second time in last 20 years both #1 seeds got to this point. Underdogs covered five of last six Super Bowls, won four of six SU.

Seattle’s offense has not been as good away from home; they’re a bully team, trying to run ball down your throat. If Denver can contain the run and force Wilson to make plays to win the game, doubtful he can do it. I think the Broncos will win the game, something like 31-16.

NFL

Super Bowl

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Trend Report
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6:30 PM
SEATTLE vs. DENVER
Seattle is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games

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NFL

Sunday, February 2

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Trends - Seattle vs Denver
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Red - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher. Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower.

ATS Trends

Seattle

Seahawks are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Seahawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Seahawks are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games on fieldturf.
Seahawks are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games following a S.U. win.
Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Seahawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
Seahawks are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall.

Denver

Broncos are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Broncos are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Broncos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on fieldturf.
Broncos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games.

OU Trends

Seattle

Under is 7-0 in Seahawks last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-0 in Seahawks last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-0 in Seahawks last 6 games on fieldturf.
Under is 5-0 in Seahawks last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 6-0 in Seahawks last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

Denver

Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 13-2-1 in Broncos last 16 games on fieldturf.
Over is 24-7 in Broncos last 31 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 40-14-2 in Broncos last 56 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games following a ATS win.
Over is 7-3 in Broncos last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 41-18-1 in Broncos last 60 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 49-24-1 in Broncos last 74 games overall.

Head to Head

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Denver.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

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**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 07:28 AM

Super Bowl seconds: A cheet sheet for Sunday's other games

Contrary to popular belief, the Super Bowl isn't the only sporting event taking place Sunday. Maybe you aren't an NFL fan or perhaps you simply want to mix in some wagers from some of Sunday's other sporting events.

Whatever the case, we've got you covered with a comprehensive betting cheat sheet from the rest of the sports world.

NBA: Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics (-5, 191.5)

The Orlando Magic look to win back-to-back games for the first time since late December when they visit the struggling Boston Celtics on Sunday afternoon. The Magic recorded a 113-102 victory over Milwaukee on Friday and will try to end a 10-game losing streak on the road, where they are an NBA-worst 3-21.

Boston is only 3-19 since Dec. 16 and has not won in the six games All Star guard Rajon Rondo has played since his return from knee surgery. The Celtics could get second-leading scorer Avery Bradley back from an ankle injury as they attempt to snap out of a funk which saw them drop near the bottom of the Eastern Conference.

TRENDS:

* Magic are 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Boston.
* Magic are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
* Under is 7-1 in Celtics last eight home games.

NHL: Detroit Red Wings at Washington Capitals (-130, 5.5)

After welcoming the returns of captain Henrik Zetterberg (back) and Howard (knee) on Friday, Detroit now turns its undivided attention to the long-term absence of Pavel Datsyuk. "I don't know," coach Mike Babcock told MLive.com when asked if the Russian superstar was close to returning. "I'm just like (the reporters). I just keep asking." Datsyuk has been sidelined since the Winter Classic on New Year's Day.

Joel Ward was credited with the game-tying goal with seven seconds left in regulation after deflecting captain Alex Ovechkin's blast. Washington is not without its own injury concerns as Brooks Laich exited Friday's tilt with tightness in his groin. Laich did not practice on Saturday and is questionable to face the Red Wings.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Washington.
* Red Wings are 1-6 in their last seven games following a win.
* Capitals are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
* Under is 4-0 in Capitals last four home games.

NHL: Winnipeg Jets at Montreal Canadiens (-141, 5.5)

Eric O’Dell missed Friday’s game for the birth of his first child but will return to the lineup Sunday. Devin Setoguchi scored twice on Friday after recording one point in his previous 13 contests. Evander Kane has missed two games with a hand infection and is not expected to return before the Olympic break.

A flu bug is sweeping through Montreal’s locker room, infecting players like Louis Leblanc, Brandon Prust and Michael Bournival. David Desharnais finished January with six points in eight games playing on a line with Max Pacioretty and Brendan Gallagher. Daniel Briere has three points in his last two games despite being limited to 16:20 total ice-time in that span.

TRENDS:

* Jets are 0-6 in the last six meetings.
* Jets are 7-2 in their last nine overall.
* Canadiens are 12-5 in their last 17 games playing on 0 days rest.
* Under is 4-0-1 in Canadiens last five home games.

NCAAB: South Florida Bulls at Cincinnati Bearcats (-14.5)

The Bulls are among the worst 3-point shooting teams in the nation as they shoot 26.2 percent as a group with only injured point guard Anthony Collins (38.9 percent) making more than a third of his attempts. Leading scorer Victor Rudd (14.7 points) has been particularly awful from behind the arc of late, knocking down just two of his 17 attempts over the last five games. If South Florida is going to have any shot to win this game, Heath needs more production out of Corey Allen Jr., who scored 18 points against SMU to bounce back from four straight poor outings, including a scoreless effort in the first matchup with the Bearcats.

Sean Kilpatrick, a 6-4 guard, has scored in double figures in 21 of the Bearcats' 22 games and has made multiple 3-pointers in each of the last five contests. Rubles is a stark contrast to Kilpatrick, not attempting a 3-pointer all season but rather doing his damage in the paint to the tune of 7.4 points and 6.4 boards. Jackson, who has battled through an ankle injury this week, hopes to duplicate his all-around effort against Louisville - 11 points, nine rebounds, three assists, two steals and two blocks.

TRENDS:

* Bulls are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Cincinnati.
* Bearcats are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
* Under is 39-13-1 in Bulls last 53 games following a ATS win.
* Under is 42-12 in Bearcats last 54 overall.

NCAAB: Virginia Cavaliers at Pittsburgh Panthers (-4)

The Cavaliers don’t have a player averaging 12 points or better but sophomore guard Malcolm Brogdon has surpassed his current team-leading scorer average (11.6) in the last seven games and has reached double figures in a season-high eight straight overall. Brogdon hasn’t just been scoring lately either, producing a season-best five steals while matching his highs of seven rebounds and six assists in Tuesday’s 15-point win against Notre Dame. Brogdon is also a combined 6-for-9 from 3-point range in the last two games.

Malcolm Brogdon will likely be matched against the Panthers’ best player, 6-5 small forward Lamar Patterson, unless Pittsburgh chooses to use a bigger body with 6-8 forward Akil Mitchell. Patterson has reached double figures in scoring in 19 consecutive games and is averaging a team-high 17.7 points, which ranks fourth in the conference. Talib Zanna had been a quality second option for the Panthers, reaching double figures in all eight conference games.

TRENDS:

* Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall.
* Panthers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Under is 19-9 in Cavaliers last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Over is 16-5 in Panthers last 21 overall.

NCAAB: Michigan Wolverines at Indiana Hoosiers (+2)

The Wolverines have not lost since Dec. 14 - a two-point heartbreaker against No. 1 Arizona - but coach John Beilein still was not thrilled after Thursday's 75-66 win over Purdue. "The one thing I've learned first as a coach is that the only thing that can be really consistent is your defense, and it's not, and we're working on it," Beilein told reporters. "But if (the offensive consistency) keeps happening, I'll be happy as hell."

Hoosiers coach Tom Crean was not thrilled with freshman Noah Vonleh, who had as many turnovers (five) as shots attempted against Nebraska. “He had a tough night,” Crean told reporters after Thursday's 60-55 defeat. “He was out there, he worked hard. He wasn’t as emphatic and decisive with the ball as he needed to be. He got the ball, but it was one of those nights. He’s 18.” Vonleh is averaging 11.8 points, 9.3 rebounds and 1.2 blocks on the season, although he has just 11 combined points over the last two games.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings in Indiana.
* Wolverines are 5-16-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
* Hoosiers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. Big Ten.

**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 07:30 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Michigan at Indiana
The Hoosiers host a Michigan team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at Assembly Hall. Indiana is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoosiers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 2

Game 803-804: Purdue at Penn State (11:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 63.747; Penn State 63.079
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 1; 148
Vegas Line: Penn State by 3 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+3 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: South Florida at Cincinnati (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 53.253; Cincinnati 75.656
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 22 1/2; 117
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 14 1/2; 127
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-14 1/2); Under

Game 807-808: Virginia at Pittsburgh (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 70.655; Pittsburgh 77.327
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 119
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4; 125
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-4); Under

Game 809-810: Oakland at WI-Milwaukee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 53.170; WI-Milwaukee 50.671
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 158
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 2; 151
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+2); Over

Game 811-812: Michigan at Indiana (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 70.951; Indiana 71.740
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 1; 144
Vegas Line: Michigan by 2 1/2; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+2 1/2); Over

Game 813-814: Buffalo at Bowling Green (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 58.828; Bowling Green 54.913
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 4; 122
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 2 1/2; 128
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-2 1/2); Under

Game 815-816: William & Mary at James Madison (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 51.363; James Madison 52.973
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 1 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: Pick; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: James Madison; Under

Game 817-818: UCLA at Oregon State (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 69.840; Oregon State 66.782
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 3; 159
Vegas Line: UCLA by 5 1/2; 154
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+5 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 07:37 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 2

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PURDUE (13 - 8) at PENN ST (11 - 10) - 2/2/2014, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 52-77 ATS (-32.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 3-2 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 4-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S FLORIDA (11 - 10) at CINCINNATI (20 - 2) - 2/2/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all home games this season.
CINCINNATI is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 58-83 ATS (-33.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 94-127 ATS (-45.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 2-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA (16 - 5) at PITTSBURGH (18 - 3) - 2/2/2014, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
VIRGINIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
PITTSBURGH is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (9 - 14) at WI-MILWAUKEE (14 - 9) - 2/2/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 161-123 ATS (+25.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 155-121 ATS (+21.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
OAKLAND is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
OAKLAND is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
OAKLAND is 26-8 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WI-MILWAUKEE is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
WI-MILWAUKEE is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (16 - 4) at INDIANA (13 - 8) - 2/2/2014, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (11 - 6) at BOWLING GREEN (9 - 11) - 2/2/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 3-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-1 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WM & MARY (12 - 8) at JAMES MADISON (8 - 13) - 2/2/2014, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WM & MARY is 117-154 ATS (-52.4 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
JAMES MADISON is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JAMES MADISON is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WM & MARY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
JAMES MADISON is 4-2 against the spread versus WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
JAMES MADISON is 4-2 straight up against WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCLA (17 - 4) at OREGON ST (12 - 8) - 2/2/2014, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 1-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 07:38 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 2

Purdue's 65-64 (-7) win over Penn State 15 days ago was Boilers' 4th in row, 14th in last 18 games with PSU; they were down 3 with 1:11 left, but rallied to win. Lions won last two games since by total of 5 points, but lost last seven visits here, with five of seven losses by 14+ points- five of their last six games overall were decided by 4 or less points. Big Dozen home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-5 vs spread.

Home teams had won last nine USF-Cincinnati games until Bearcats won 61-54 (-7) in Tampa Jan 18. Bulls lost last six visits to Queen City, last three all by exactly 8 points. USF is 3-8 in last 11 games but upset SMU at home last game; they lost last two road games by 17-22 points after lone road win, at Temple. AAC double digit home favorites are 10-3 vs spread. Cincinnati won last 13 games, upset Louisville Thursday.

Virginia is 7-1 in ACC with only loss by 4 at Duke when Blue Devils got couple lucky bounces in last 1:00; Cavaliers have three road wins in ACC, at FSU/NC State/ND- they allowed 56.3 ppg in winning last four games. Pitt lost last home game to Duke, but won other three ACC home games by 15+ points. Virginia leads ACC, forcing turnovers 23.3% of time. ACC favorites of 6 or less points are 5-13 vs spread.

Milwaukee (+6) won 84-75 at Oakland Jan 8 after falling behind early in game 13-2; Panthers held Oakland to 3-25 from arc, overcomig -8 ratio in turnovers (17-9). Horizon home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-12 vs spread. Grizzlies are 1-3 on Horizon road, with only win at 3-6 Detroit. Milwaukee lost three of last four games, are 2-3 in Horizon home games, upsetting Wright State Thursday, after losing previous three. .

Michigan is 8-0 in conference, with none of its four road wins by more than 7 points; Wolverines are 5-13 in last 18 games with Indiana, losing last four visits here by 6-19-2-8 points. Big Dozen home underdogs are 7-8 vs spread, 0-3 if the number was less than 3 points. Indiana is 3-5 in Big Dozen, 2-2 at home, beating Wisconsin/Illinois; six of its eight games in conference were decided by 7 or less points.

Buffalo won seven of last nine games, is 5-2 in MAC with two losses on road by total of 5 points; Bulls won three of last four games vs Bowling Green, but lost five of last seven visits here, losing 76-65 LY- they're 1-2 on MAC road, with only win at N. Illinois. MAC home underdogs are 4-6 vs spread. Falcons lost three of four MAC games, losing by 5-9-5 points- their only home win was over #263 Central Michigan.

Wm & Mary (-7.5) beat James Madison 78-56 Jan 18, making 10-20 on arc, scoring 1.32 ppp; win snapped 4-game skid vs James Madison, who allowed 52 ppg in winning last two games after starting CAA play 1-4. Dukes are 1-2 at home in CAA, with both losses by 4. Tribe is 1-2 on CAA road, with only win by hoop at Drexel. CAA home teams are 6-13 in games where spread was less than 5 points.

UCLA won 14 of last 15 games with Oregon State, but lost last visit to Corvallis in '12, after winning previous six visits here. Bruins won five of last six games, are 2-1 on Pac-12 road, with wins by hoop at Oregon and at Colorado in first game after Dinwiddie got hurt. Beavers are 3-1 in its Pac-12 home games, with only loss by 5 to California. Pac-12 home underdogs of 3+ points are 8-4 against the spread.

**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 07:46 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, February 2

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Trend Report
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11:30 AM
PURDUE vs. PENN STATE
Purdue is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Penn State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Purdue's last 8 games when playing on the road against Penn State
Penn State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Penn State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

12:00 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. CINCINNATI
South Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of South Florida's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Florida

12:30 PM
VIRGINIA vs. PITTSBURGH
Virginia is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

1:00 PM
OAKLAND vs. WISC-MILWAUKEE
Oakland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Wisc-Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Wisc-Milwaukee is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home

1:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. INDIANA
Michigan is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

2:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. BOWLING GREEN
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Bowling Green's last 17 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Bowling Green's last 10 games

2:30 PM
WILLIAM & MARY vs. JAMES MADISON
William & Mary is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against James Madison
William & Mary is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against James Madison
James Madison is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of James Madison's last 5 games

2:30 PM
UCLA vs. OREGON STATE
UCLA is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UCLA's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Oregon State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Oregon State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

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**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 08:03 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Orlando at Boston
The Celtics look to snap a four-game losing streak against an Orlando team that is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games. Boston is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-5). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 2

Game 801-802: Orlando at Boston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 108.117; Boston 116.351
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 8; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 5; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-5); Under

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 2

Hot teams
-- None

Cold Teams
-- Boston lost seven of last eight games, are 9-14-1 vs spread at home. Magic lost five of last seven games, are 9-15 vs spread on road.

Series records
-- Celtics won ten of their last eleven games with Orlando.

Totals
-- 18 of 24 Orlando road games stayed under the total.

Back to backs
-- None

NBA

Sunday, February 2

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. BOSTON
Orlando is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Orlando is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games
Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Orlando

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**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 08:12 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 2

Hot teams
-- Winnipeg won seven of its last nine games.

Cold teams
-- Washington lost seven of its last nine games. Detroit was outscored 7-0 in losing its last three road games.
-- Montreal lost five of its last seven games.

Totals
-- Last five Detroit road games stayed under the total. Last three Washington games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Winnipeg games went over the total.

Series records
-- Red Wings lost three of last four games with Washington.
-- Canadiens won their last six games with Winnipeg.

NHL

Sunday, February 2

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:30 PM
DETROIT vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Washington
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. MONTREAL
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Winnipeg is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games at home

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NHL

Sunday, February 2

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Red Wings at Capitals: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit Red Wings at Washington Capitals (-130, 5.5)

The Detroit Red Wings have collected points in four of their last five games (3-1-1) while the Washington Capitals are venturing in the other direction after dropping nine of 11 (2-6-3) to plummet into seventh place in the congested Metropolitan Division. The Red Wings look to complete a home-and-home sweep on Sunday afternoon when they visit the Capitals. Patrick Eaves scored in the seventh round of the shootout and Jimmy Howard denied all seven attempts as Detroit skated to a 4-3 victory on Friday.

The road hasn't been kind for the Red Wings, who have been shut out in three consecutive contests away from Joe Louis Arena. Detroit suffered 1-0 setbacks at Anaheim on Jan. 12 and the New York Rangers four days later before losing a 5-0 decision to Philadelphia on Tuesday. Making the Red Wings' task all the more difficult could be the return of Washington defenseman Mike Green (concussion-like symptoms), who sat out Friday's tilt but returned to practice on Saturday without issue.

TV: 12:30 p.m. ET, NBC, NHLCA

ABOUT THE RED WINGS (24-19-11): After welcoming the returns of captain Henrik Zetterberg (back) and Howard (knee) on Friday, Detroit now turns its undivided attention to the long-term absence of Pavel Datsyuk. "I don't know," coach Mike Babcock told MLive.com when asked if the Russian superstar was close to returning. "I'm just like (the reporters). I just keep asking." Datsyuk has been sidelined since the Winter Classic on New Year's Day.

ABOUT THE CAPITALS (24-22-9): Joel Ward was credited with the game-tying goal with seven seconds left in regulation after deflecting captain Alex Ovechkin's blast. Washington is not without its own injury concerns as Brooks Laich exited Friday's tilt with tightness in his groin. Laich did not practice on Saturday and is questionable to face the Red Wings.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Washington.
* Red Wings are 1-6 in their last seven games following a win.
* Capitals are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
* Under is 4-0 in Capitals last four home games.

OVERTIME:

1. Detroit C Gustav Nyquist has five goals and three assists in his last seven games.

2. Washington C Nicklas Backstrom had an assist on Friday, but hasn't scored a goal since Jan. 10.

3. The teams wrap up their season series on Sunday after splitting 4-3 shootout victories in their previous two contests.

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**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 08:21 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, February 2

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Michigan at Indiana: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Michigan Wolverines at Indiana Hoosiers (+2)

Last season, Indiana and Michigan were among the elite teams in the nation, with the Hoosiers earning a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament and the Wolverines advancing to the Final Four. However, this season has been a story of two teams heading in opposite directions and their paths collide Sunday when the 14th-ranked Wolverines visit the struggling Hoosiers. Michigan enters this matchup having won 10 straight games, while Indiana has lost three of its last four contests and five of its last eight overall.

The Wolverines have not lost since Dec. 14 - a two-point heartbreaker against No. 1 Arizona - but coach John Beilein still was not thrilled after Thursday's 75-66 win over Purdue. "The one thing I've learned first as a coach is that the only thing that can be really consistent is your defense, and it's not, and we're working on it," Beilein told reporters. "But if (the offensive consistency) keeps happening, I'll be happy as hell." Michigan continues to receive stellar play from Big Ten Player of the Year contender Nik Stauskas (18.4 points), who has shot at least 50 percent from the field in seven of his last eight games.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT MICHIGAN (16-4, 8-0 Big Ten): Stauskas has been Michigan's best player this season, but fellow sophomore Caris LeVert has been tremendous in three of his last four games, including a stat line against Purdue that included 14 points, a career-high 11 rebounds, three steals, two assists and two blocks. On the other hand, Glenn Robinson III has endured dips in his shooting percentage (57.2 to 50) and 3-point percentage (32.4 to 28.1) since last season. But while Robinson is struggling from long range, Stauskas (45.9 percent), Zak Irvin (40.7) and Derrick Walton Jr. (40.4) have all emerged as reliable deep threats for the loaded Wolverines.

ABOUT INDIANA (13-8, 3-5): Hoosiers coach Tom Crean was not thrilled with freshman Noah Vonleh, who had as many turnovers (five) as shots attempted against Nebraska. “He had a tough night,” Crean told reporters after Thursday's 60-55 defeat. “He was out there, he worked hard. He wasn’t as emphatic and decisive with the ball as he needed to be. He got the ball, but it was one of those nights. He’s 18.” Vonleh is averaging 11.8 points, 9.3 rebounds and 1.2 blocks on the season, although he has just 11 combined points over the last two games.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings in Indiana.
* Wolverines are 5-16-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
* Hoosiers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. Big Ten.

TIP-INS:

1. Robinson, probably the Wolverines' best athlete, only has five blocks this season - four of which came against Minnesota on Jan. 2.

2. The Hoosiers, who reached 100 points three times in their first six games, are averaging just 56 during their recent 1-3 stretch.

3. Indiana F Will Sheehey has shot 6-of-23 over his last three games as he battles an ankle injury.

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NBA

Sunday, February 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Magic at Celtics: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics (-5, 191.5)

The Orlando Magic look to win back-to-back games for the first time since late December when they visit the struggling Boston Celtics on Sunday afternoon. The Magic recorded a 113-102 victory over Milwaukee on Friday and will try to end a 10-game losing streak on the road, where they are an NBA-worst 3-21. The Celtics could get second-leading scorer Avery Bradley back from an ankle injury as they attempt to snap out of a funk which saw them drop near the bottom of the Eastern Conference.

Boston is only 3-19 since Dec. 16 and has not won in the six games All Star guard Rajon Rondo has played since his return from knee surgery. Orlando broke a 10-game slide against the Celtics with a 93-91 triumph Jan. 19. Magic center Nikola Vucevic averaged 14 points in his first two games back from a concussion, but guard Jameer Nelson left Friday’s game with a sore knee and is questionable.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FSN Florida (Orlando), CSN New England (Boston)

ABOUT THE MAGIC (13-35): Leading scorer Arron Afflalo (20) had a response for being left off the All Star roster with 21 points on Friday. “There’s certain feelings you get at points in your life, whether it’s a motivating factor or something that you look forward to that didn’t happen,” Afflalo told the Orlando Sentinel. “But, for me, it’s given me a new level of passion, a new level of hunger.” Vucevic averages a double-double (13.1 points, 10.8 rebounds) and rookie Victor Oladipo scored 15.6 per game in January.

ABOUT THE CELTICS (15-33): Boston has averaged 86 points in four straight losses and Bradley, who scored 24 in a home win over Orlando early in the season, would give the offense a huge boost. Rondo was rested in the 95-94 loss to Philadelphia on Wednesday and is averaging 6.7 points while shooting 27.9 percent from the field since his return. Jeff Green leads the Celtics in scoring (16) and Jared Sullinger averages 12.8 points and 7.8 rebounds after posting 24 and 17, respectively, in Wednesday’s game.

TRENDS:

* Magic are 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Boston.
* Magic are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
* Under is 7-1 in Celtics last eight home games.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Former Magic F Brandon Bass is 26-of-43 from the field and 14-of-16 from the free-throw line while averaging 11 points over the last six games.

2. Orlando F Tobias Harris scored 15.2 points per contest in January and recorded 18 off the bench in Friday’s victory.

3. Celtics F Chris Johnson, averaging 9.7 points in the last six contests, was signed to a second 10-day contract Tuesday.

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**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 08:45 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Detroit at Washington
The Red Wings beat the Capitals 4-3 in a shootout at home on Friday and now head to Washington with the Caps carrying a 1-10 record in their last 11 games when playing on 1 days rest. Detroit is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 2

Game 51-52: Detroit at Washington (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.760; Washington 10.829
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+115); Over

Game 53-54: Winnipeg at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 10.069; Montreal 11.507
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-150); Under

**Udog** · 02-02-2014, 10:07 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 2

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DETROIT (24-19-0-11, 59 pts.) at WASHINGTON (24-22-0-9, 57 pts.) - 2/2/2014, 12:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 24-30 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 5-11 ATS (-7.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
DETROIT is 12-17 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
WASHINGTON is 24-31 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-40 ATS (-36.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.2 Units)

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WINNIPEG (26-25-0-5, 57 pts.) at MONTREAL (29-20-0-6, 64 pts.) - 2/2/2014, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 7-3 ATS (+11.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
MONTREAL is 60-81 ATS (+174.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 6-1 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

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NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 2

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ORLANDO (13 - 35) at BOSTON (15 - 33) - 2/2/2014, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 56-73 ATS (-24.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 2/2 (NFL, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 2/2 (NFL, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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