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**Udog** · 01-19-2014, 08:07 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

-- Mark Cuban got fined $100K for verbally thrashing the refs after Dallas blew a 15-point lead and lost by a hoop to the Clippers Wednesday. Fining him $100,000 is like fining me twenty bucks.

-- Golfer Patrick Reed is -27 thru 54 holes, has 7-shot lead with one round to go in the PGA Tour event in California.

-- Dabo Swinney signed an 8-year, $27.15 extension to be Clemson's coach, just a few days after Steve Spurrier got a raise. Go figure.

-- Canucks-Flames had a huge brawl at the opening faceoff of their game in Vancouver last night; eight players were ejected.

-- Heat 104, Bobcats 96 OT-- Miami won its 15th game in row vs Bobcats, who lost Kemba Walker (22:00) to a sprained ankle.

-- Seton Hall 67, Georgetown 57-- Hoyas didn't score a basket in last 9:43.

*****

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.......

13) Kansas 80, Oklahoma State 78-- Jayhawks led by 17 at half, held on to win; Smart was 0-6 from arc for OSU- rest of Cowboys were 12-22.

12) Aaron Rodgers was at the Oklahoma State-Kansas game; one of the things on his bucket list was seeing a basketball game in Lawrence.

11) Northwestern 54, Indiana 47-- You don't beat Wisconsin, then lose at home to the dreadful Wildcats. Too erratic. Hoosiers are a weird team.

10) Rhode Island 71, George Mason 69-- Rams were up 3 with 0;05 left, tried to foul intentionally, but kid threw up a 45-footer just as he was fouled, made all three foul shots to tie game. URI then won on free throws of their own with 0:00.7 left. Danny Hurley has improved the Rams.

9) Texas Tech is up 4-0 at TCU 4:00 into their game Saturday; big kid on TCU gets ball under the hoop and tries a fancy dunk; not only does he miss, he hangs on the rim and gets a technical. Brilliant!!! So now TCU goes into the first TV timeout scoreless, plus Tech got a foul shot coming out of the timeout. No wonder TCU is a football school.

8) Kid named Isaiah Austin on Baylor plays basketball with a prosthetic right eye, as the result of a childhood injury. Courageous young man.

7) USC is 0-5 in Pac-12 play, with 18 points the closest of the five losses; time to tell the assistants to skip games and go recruiting instead.

6) Only four of 14 San Antonio Spurs were born in this country, which is a telling thing; foreign players are less selfish, less spoiled and schooled better in the fundamentals of the game, there is no other way to say it.

5) Syracuse 59, Pitt 54-- 13-23 foul shooting doomed Pitt. Three of five Syracuse starters played all 40:00.

4) TV announcers were praising Arizona point guard TJ McConnell as a "great point guard..." like he is the second coming of Isiah Thomas; couple of years ago, kid was playing at Duquesne and no one could pick him out of a lineup. He is very good, he distributes the ball better than anyone Arizona has had in recent years, but calling him great just isn't accurate.

3) Fran Fraschilla pointed out on ESPN Saturday that the average D-I team rebounds 31-32% of its own missed shots; the best teams are around 45%.

2) My friend Dennis from Las Vegas says that since 1996, NFL teams that scored 40+ points in a playoff game are 3-22-2 vs spread in their next game.

1) 14 years ago today I was in St Louis at the NFC title game, watching the Rams beat Tampa Bay and move on to the Super Bowl. Just a tremendous day that I'll never forget. Conference championship games aren't as much fun when your favorite team isn't involved, but today should be good anyway.

**Udog** · 01-19-2014, 08:07 AM

Where the action is: Sunday's NFL line moves

There are two huge conference championship matchups on the NFL board this Sunday, with the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos battling for the AFC title, and the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks mixing it up for the NFC crown.

We talk with oddsmakers about the action coming in the both games and where lines landing coming kickoff.

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos - Open: -7, Move: -4.5, Move: -5.5, Move: -5

Subplots abound in the AFC Championship Game as legendary quarterbacks Tom Brady and Peyton Manning go head-to-head one more time.

The two teams met in Week 12, with the Patriots earning the 34-31 OT victory and covering as 1-point home faves. The combined 65 points easily went over the closing 54-point total

Books opened this line as high as Denver -7, and bettors lined up to grab the underdog Patriots at that number. But even with the line movement, Pats money has still flooded in. Until the current number, that is, which Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with CarbonSports.ag, says is a number seeing "dead even" action.

"The action on the Patriots has definitely slowed down in the past few days," Stewart says. "But no question we're still seeing more Patriots money than Broncos money. Since going back to Broncos -5.5, we saw 75 percent Patriots money at that number, but on Thursday night we went back to Broncos -5 and at that number the action is dead even. As we get closer to game time, I do expect us to see more and more Broncos money come in at -5."

The total - which opened 56 - remained relatively calm for the majority of the week, but as weather forecasts remain fairly positive, the number has climbed up and up.

"I did say this total would be moving up and as we get closer to gametime," he says. "As we saw more and more money bet over 56 and 56.5, we went to 57 on Friday afternoon. At 57, great two-way action but I do think we'll need to get to 57.5 if we want to offset all the money we booked over 56 and 56.5, but we will see. As always with Broncos games, I'm concerned about Over money flooding the market on game day and if we do see a surge of over money come in, we'll move off our 57 and get to 57.5 or even 58."

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks - Open: -3, Move: -3.5

The old adage "familiarity breeds contempt" certainly applies here as the 49ers and Seahawks meet for the third time this season. It's no secret that the two franchises aren't fond of each other.

The two teams were two of the NFL's best ATS bets in the regular season, each posting an 11-5 record. Covering versus the Seahawks was a bugaboo for San Fran in the regular season. The 49ers could not cash in for their backers in either game this season and are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings with the Seahawks.

Books opened with the home team as 3-point faves and bettors have nudged it to -3.5 as we head into Sunday evening's start time.

"Seattle opened -3 and we got sharp bet in less than 15 minutes, so moved to Seattle -3.5 (even)," says Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag. "The line has been at that number pretty much all week. While 72 percent of cash is backing the 49ers, we expect to stay on this number until kickoff as we want a decision on this game, so going back to -3 doesn't make much sense to us."

As far as the moneyline is concerned, Perry states that 65 percent of moneyline cash is backing San Francisco (+150).

Much like the AFC game, the total hasn't seen a whole lot of movement yet. The majority of books opened the total at 40, but Perry confirms that as of yet, sharp bettors have avoided the total.

"No wiseguy plays on the total, which opened 40 and dipped down to 39.5," he says. "Sixty percent of cash is on the Over."

NFL injury report: Four injuries undervalued by oddsmakers

The Championship games are set where the winner of each moves on to the Superbowl.

In the AFC Championship game, New England travels to Denver where the Broncos are 5.5-point home favorite with the total at 56.

In the NFC Championship game, the 49ers travel to Seattle where the Seahawks are 3.5-point home favorites with the total at 39.

Here is one injury on each team that may affect the outcome of the game.

Percy Harvin, WR, Seattle Seahawks (Concussion, Questionable)

Harvin missed most of the regular season with a hip injury, but was deemed healthy enough to play in Seattle's divisional playoff win against the Saints. Harvin was injured once again after taking two big hits and is yet to be cleared to practice from concussion. The Seahawks have struggled passing the ball this season and if Harvin isn't cleared to play, the trend will likely continue. Seattle's passing game has been a concern during the postseason with Russell Wilson throwing for only103 yards and 0 touchdowns.

Carlos Rogers, CB, San Francisco 49ers (Hamstring, Questionable)

Cornerback Carlos Rogers has been out since the final game of the regular season. In the regular season, Rogers had 47 tackles and two interceptions. The 49ers travel to Seattle facing a Seahawks team that has had limited success in throwing the ball in the post season but have been dominant rushing the ball. If the 49ers are without Rogers again, the Seahawks passing offense may find the spark they have been missing through the air.

Ryan Allen, New England Patriots (Shoulder, Questionable)

In the regular season, punter Ryan Allen had 76 punts averaging 45.9 yards. He had 29 punts inside the 20 and a long of 65. If Allen is unable to start against the Broncos, the Patriots would be relying on Stephen Gostkowski to handle all of the kicking and punting duties. In a game that is predicted to be high scoring against two offensive heavyweights, field position really may come in to play and the Patriots may fall behind in special teams.

Chris Harris, CB, Denver Broncos (ACL, Out)

In the regular season Harris had 65 tackles and three interceptions, although he has not been statistically great in the postseason, That said, Harris has still been a key player in the Broncos secondary. Without the Broncos cornerback, the Patriots passing offense could take advantage of deep balls and passing plays. Harris has played more defensive snaps than any other Broncos player in the regular season and his versatility will be missed with the ability to play either side, outside or in the slot.

NFL betting: Championship Sunday weather report

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (-5.5, 56.5)

Temperatures will be in the high-50s with sunny skies. Wind will blow across the field at 7 mph.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5, 39.5)

The forecast is calling for a bit of fog and temperatures in the low-40s. There is a nine percent chance of rain with wind blowing toward the south endzone at 2 mph.

**Udog** · 01-19-2014, 08:09 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Conference Championships

San Francisco at Seattle
The 49ers head to Seattle for the NFC Championship carrying a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points. San Francisco is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, JANUARY 19

Game 301-302: New England at Denver (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 141.602; Denver 141.678
Dunkel Line: Even; 59
Vegas Line: Denver by 4 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: New England (+4 1/2); Over

Game 303-304: San Francisco at Seattle (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 142.597; Seattle 142.834
Dunkel Line: Even; 35
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3 1/2); Under

NFL
Long Sheet

Conference Championships

Sunday, January 19

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NEW ENGLAND (13 - 4) at DENVER (14 - 3) - 1/19/2014, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 80-47 ATS (+28.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 160-120 ATS (+28.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against AFC West division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 98-71 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 4-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (14 - 4) at SEATTLE (14 - 3) - 1/19/2014, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) revenging a loss against opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 5-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NFL
Short Sheet

Conference Championships

Sunday, January 19

New England at Denver, 3:00 ET
New England: 7-0 ATS against AFC West division opponents
Denver: 17-4 OVER after leading their last 3 games by 7+ points at the half

San Francisco at Seattle, 6:30 ET
San Francisco: 10-2 OVER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better
Seattle: 11-3 ATS revenging a loss against opponent

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Conference Championships

Patriots were favored in their last 11 playoff games; this is their first road playoff game since losing AFC title game 38-34 (+3) to Colts seven years ago. Patriots are 3-2 in road playoff games with Brady at QB, with only five of his 24 playoff tilts on foreign soil (3-2 in Super Bowls). Belichick is 5-2 in AFC title games, winning twice at Pittsburgh. Manning is 4-10 vs Brady's teams- Broncos (-2.5) got beat at Foxboro 34-31 in OT in Week 12, after leading 24-0 at half in sloppy game where Denver ran ball for 280 yards but turned ball over four times (-1). Patriots are 2-4 in last six road games overall, winning at Houston/Pittsburgh. This is only second time in last nine AFC title games the #'s 1-2 seeds played: NFL-wide, favorites are 4-3-1 vs spread in last eight conference title games between 1-2 seeds. Welker will have a big day against his old team, who unwisely let him walk.

49ers got crushed last two times they visited Seattle, 42-13/29-3; in two games vs Seahawks this year (Niners won rematch 19-17 at home), they scored 16 points in five red zone drives, one TD/four FGs- they'll need to do better here. Since 2000, #1 seeds are 3-3 vs spread when facing team in this round that didn't get first round bye; since 2001, #1 seeds are 6-9 overall vs spread in conference title games. This is third year in row 49ers are in this game, splitting last two, with road team winning both. 49ers didn't win a road playoff game from 1970 until LY, but now have won three in row; problem, this is now their 4th straight Sunday on road. Seattle is 5-4 as home favorite this year, with only SU loss to Arizona in Week 16. Harbaugh once beat Carroll's USC team as a 42-point underdog when he was at Stanford; no love lost between the two.

NFL

Conference Championships

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Trend Report
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3:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 9 games when playing on the road against Denver
New England is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games when playing at home against New England

6:30 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SEATTLE
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Seattle is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home

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NFL

Sunday, January 19

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Patriots at Broncos: What bettors need to know
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New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (-5.5, 55)

Peyton Manning is one win from advancing to his third Super Bowl, but he'll have to get past a longtime nemesis when the Denver Broncos host Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in Sunday's AFC Championship Game. Manning shattered a number of passing records - including Brady's single-season touchdown mark - and is an overwhelming favorite to win an unprecedented fifth MVP award. Standing in his way is Brady, who is attempting to become the first quarterback to reach six Super Bowls.

It will mark the 15th overall matchup and fourth in the postseason for the two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks. Brady has dominated the rivalry with a 10-4 record against Manning, including a 34-31 overtime win in New England on Nov. 24 - a game in which the Patriots erased a 24-0 halftime deficit. “It’s the Broncos versus the Patriots,” Manning said. “Certainly Tom and I have played against each other a lot. But when you get to the AFC Championship Game, it’s about two good teams that have been through a lot to get there.”

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Broncos as big as 7-point home favorites and sharp money jumped on the Patriots, dropping the line as low as -4.5 with help from the public. Wiseguy action started showing on Denver and forced a move back up to -5.5. The total opened as low as 54.5 and was bet up as high as 56 points.

WEATHER REPORT: The forecast is calling for clear skies with temperatures in the mid 50s and winds blowing west at 6 mph, from sideline to sideline.

POWER RANKINGS: Patriots (-5.0) - Broncos (-7.0) + Home field (-3.0) = Broncos -5.0

KEY INJURIES: PATRIOTS: Kenbrell Thompkins WR - (Head) Questionable, Aaron Dobson WR - (Foot) Questionable, Tom Brady - (Flu) Probable. Ryan Allen P - (Shoulder) Questionable. BRONCOS: Rahim Moore S - (Leg) Questionable, Joel Dreessen TE - (Knee) Questionable, Chris Kuper G - (Ankle) Questionable.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "This is by far one of the more interesting games we’ve booked in recent memory, as the public is supporting the dog and the wiseguys are on the favorite." - Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "New England just doesn’t get blown out on the road, so it’s worth taking a long look at grabbing the points in what is shaping up as a field-goal game in Colorado. The Patriots are running the ball more than they ever have in the Brady-Belichick Era, and Belichick doesn’t mind playing in tight games in Denver." - Covers Expert Art Aronson.

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NFL

Sunday, January 19

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Tale of the Tape: New England Patriots at Denver Broncos
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One of the greatest quarterback rivalries in NFL history will see one more legendary chapter written Sunday afternoon when Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos host Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship game.

Manning and the Broncos obliterated NFL scoring records en route to the top seed in the AFC, but had all they could handle in last week's divisional-round win over San Diego. The Patriots cruised past Indianapolis to reach the conference title game for the sixth time in 13 seasons.

Here's the breakdown in our betting tale of the tape:

Offense

Brady has one of the most trying seasons of his illustrious career, having to deal with absences to key targets for most of the year. He still managed to finish sixth among NFL quarterbacks in passing yards (4,343) with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. The running game, which has been one of the team's rare weak spots over the years, had a strong campaign - finishing ninth in the league in total yards (2,065) while racking up 19 touchdowns.

No team in league history has been as prolific as the 2013 Broncos, who saw Manning put together one of the greatest quarterbacking seasons ever. The 38-year-old guided an offense that finished with 5,444 passing yards - over 500 more than the next-closest team - with a staggering 55 TDs against just 10 interceptions. Manning's assault on the record books helped open things up for the running game, which finished 15th in yards but racked up 16 scores.

Edge: Denver

Defense

As with the offense, New England had to deal with several key absences on defense - and as with the offense, those injuries barely slowed the team down. The Patriots finished near the middle of the pack in passing yards against (3,824) but limited foes to just 25 passing touchdowns while racking up 17 interceptions. The run defense was more porous - finishing third-last in the league in yards allowed (2,145) - but surrendered just 11 touchdowns all season.

The Broncos have had their share of injury woes, as well - and the latest may be the most damaging, as defensive back Chris Harris suffered a torn ACL and is lost for the remainder of the playoffs. It's a major development for a Denver defense that allowed the sixth-most passing yards in the regular season (4,070), giving up 29 touchdowns while snagging 17 interceptions. The Broncos gave up just 1,626 yards on the ground, but gave up 15 touchdowns.

Edge: New England

Special Teams

New England boasted an above-average return game in the regular season, ranking 12th in average kickoff return yardage (24) and 11th in average punt return (10.8). The Patriots were even better on the other side of the ball, allowing the fifth-lowest kick return average (20.8) and tying for eighth in punt return defense (7.6). Kicker Steven Gostkowski was an unbelievable 38-for-41 on field-goal chances in the regular season, but was held without a kick last week.

The Broncos' return game is led by speedster Trinton Holliday, who had two return touchdowns and helped guide Denver to the sixth-highest kickoff return average (25). Denver wasn't nearly as effective on the defensive side, allowing the highest kickoff return rate in the NFL (29.3) and surrendering a touchdown. Veteran placekicker Matt Prater missed just one of 26 field-goal opportunities in the regular season, and went 1-for-2 in last week's win over the Chargers.

Edge: New England

Notable Quotable

"It's definitely a test. He hard counts you to try to get you to move, see what you're in. As a defense, you've just got to not show him what you're in. You've got to do a great job of disguising, just not giving him good idea of what you want to run." - Patriots CB Aqib Talib on Manning

"I think the one thing that jumps out about Tom is his consistency. I feel he's been a better player each year than he was the year before. That speaks to his work ethic in the offseason, his refusal to be complacent or satisfied." - Manning

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NFL

Sunday, January 19

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49ers at Seahawks: What bettors need to know
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San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5, 38.5)

The San Francisco 49ers are riding an eight-game winning streak and have posted back-to-back postseason road victories, but a return trip to the Super Bowl will hinge on overcoming a bitter rival and a venue that has been a house of horrors. The 49ers will visit the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday in the NFC Championship Game, seeking to erase a pair of ugly defeats in their last two trips to the Pacific Northwest. Seattle has won the last two home matchups with the 49ers by a combined 71-16 score.

The Seahawks held off San Francisco to capture the NFC West title due in large part to their dominance at CenturyLink Field, where they are 16-1 over the past two seasons, including last week's 23-15 victory over New Orleans. The teams have split the past four meetings, with San Francisco prevailing 19-17 at home on Dec. 8 to avenge a 29-3 beating in Seattle in Week 2. “We’re ready to go,” 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick said. "We’re a different team than the last time we played them up there."

LINE HISTORY: Seattle opened as a field-goal home favorite and sharp action came in hard on the host, tacking a half-point hook on the line. The public money has sided with the red-hot Niners, however, and books are trying to stay at 3.5 by adjusting the vig on the Seahawks. The total opened at 41 points and action on the Under has pushed this number as low as 38.5. Books are bracing for wiseguys to come back on the Over if it continues to fall.

WEATHER REPORT: The forecast is calling for mostly cloudy skies and a 14 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the high 40s. Winds are expected to blow NNW, from corner to corner, but will only reach speeds of 1 mph.

POWER RANKINGS: 49ers (-6.0) - Seahawks (-7.3) + Home field (-3.0) = Seahawks -4.3

KEY INJUIRES: 49ERS: Carlos Rogers CB - (Hamstring) Probable, Will Tukuafu FB - (Knee) Questionable. SEAHAWKS: Percy Harvin WR, (Concussion) Doubtful, K.J. Wright LB - (Foot) Questionable

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Our bettors have been all over the 49ers in the playoffs. We’ve seen sharp money support the Seahawks at home all season and unlike last week, they’ve gotten the money more times than not. So this game and the line movement has been somewhat predictable." - Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.

WHY SHARPS SAY: "It’s been four months since the Niners - disorganized at the time - went in to Seattle and got spanked. Since then, San Francisco has figured things out and playing on the road doesn’t seem to be all that much of an issue." - Covers Expert Art Aronson.

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**Udog** · 01-19-2014, 08:17 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Minnesota at Iowa
The Hawkeyes host the Golden Gophers, who come into the contest with a 3-10 ATS record in their last 13 road games. Iowa is the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawkeyes favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-9). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, JANUARY 19

Game 811-812: Rutgers at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 56.834; Houston 59.571
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston by 5
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+5)

Game 813-814: Wright State at Cleveland State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 53.215; Cleveland State 63.177
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-5)

Game 815-816: Minnesota at Iowa (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 64.660; Iowa 79.580
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 15; 153
Vegas Line: Iowa by 9; 142
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-9); Over

Game 817-818: Louisiana Tech at Southern Mississippi (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 70.047; Southern Mississippi 64.296
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 6
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+3)

Game 819-820: WI-Green Bay at Illinois-Chicago (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 62.898; Illinois-Chicago 49.783
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 13
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-10 1/2)

Game 821-822: Bowling Green at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 51.141; Western Michigan 54.155
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 3
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+6 1/2)

Game 823-824: Towson at College of Charleston (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 54.056; College of Charleston 54.284
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3
Dunkel Pick: Towson (+3)

Game 825-826: Virginia Tech at Notre Dame (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 52.582; Notre Dame 71.186
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 18 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 10 1/2; 132
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-10 1/2); Under

Game 827-828: Oregon at Oregon State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 71.656; Oregon State 61.307
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 10 1/2; 167
Vegas Line: Oregon by 2; 161
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-2); Over

Game 829-830: Canisius at Monmouth (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 53.420; Monmouth 53.580
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Canisius by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Monmouth (+3 1/2)

Game 831-832: Siena at Iona (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 54.150; Iona 57.214
Dunkel Line: Iona by 3
Vegas Line: Iona by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+10 1/2)

Game 833-834: Hofstra at SMU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 43.194; SMU 69.151
Dunkel Line: SMU by 26
Vegas Line: SMU by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-17 1/2)

Game 841-842: Bucknell at Army (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bucknell 51.256; Army 51.676
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Army by 3
Dunkel Pick: Bucknell (+3)

**Udog** · 01-19-2014, 08:18 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 19

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RUTGERS (8 - 9) at HOUSTON (10 - 7) - 1/19/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RUTGERS is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WRIGHT ST (11 - 9) at CLEVELAND ST (11 - 8) - 1/19/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games this season.
WRIGHT ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND ST over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND ST is 2-2 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (14 - 4) at IOWA (14 - 3) - 1/19/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 69-95 ATS (-35.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
IOWA is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 4-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISIANA TECH (15 - 3) at SOUTHERN MISS (15 - 3) - 1/19/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 38-18 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
LOUISIANA TECH is 84-59 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
LOUISIANA TECH is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
LOUISIANA TECH is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-1 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-1 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WI-GREEN BAY (14 - 3) at IL-CHICAGO (5 - 13) - 1/19/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 109-81 ATS (+19.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 109-81 ATS (+19.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
WI-GREEN BAY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WI-GREEN BAY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WI-GREEN BAY is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
IL-CHICAGO is 4-1 against the spread versus WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
WI-GREEN BAY is 4-1 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOWLING GREEN (7 - 9) at W MICHIGAN (9 - 6) - 1/19/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TOWSON ST (11 - 6) at COLL OF CHARLESTON (10 - 8) - 1/19/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 1-0 against the spread versus TOWSON ST over the last 3 seasons
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 1-0 straight up against TOWSON ST over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA TECH (8 - 8) at NOTRE DAME (10 - 7) - 1/19/2014, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON (13 - 3) at OREGON ST (9 - 7) - 1/19/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 2-2 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 3-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CANISIUS (12 - 6) at MONMOUTH (8 - 10) - 1/19/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CANISIUS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CANISIUS is 1-0 against the spread versus MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS is 1-0 straight up against MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SIENA (7 - 11) at IONA (8 - 8) - 1/19/2014, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 3-2 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 4-1 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOFSTRA (6 - 11) at SMU (12 - 4) - 1/19/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
HOFSTRA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
HOFSTRA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons

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BUCKNELL (8 - 8) at ARMY (8 - 8) - 1/19/2014, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-0 against the spread versus BUCKNELL over the last 3 seasons
BUCKNELL is 5-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-19-2014, 08:20 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, January 19

Houston is 5-7 in its last dozen games after losing by 39 at Louisville in last game Thursday; Cougars are 9-1 vs teams outside top 150, losing to San Jose at home Dec 7. Four of their last six games were decided by 4 or less points. Rutgers is 0-3 in true road games, losing by 3-6-20 points; they're 7-4 vs teams ranked outside top 100. AAC single digit home favorites are 3-6 vs spread.

Wright State swept Cleveland State by 16-9 points LY, after losing six in row to Vikings before that; Raiders lost four of last five visits here, with losses by 9-5-19-22 points. Horizon home favorites are 12-7 vs spread, but 3-6 if number was less than six points. Wright lost by 10 at home to Green Bay Friday, just their second loss in last eight games. Cleveland State won both its Horizon home games, by 10 points each.

Minnesota is 3-2 in Big Dozen, with four of five games decided by 3 or less points or in OT; Iowa won three of last four games with Gophers, with three of four decided by 4 or less points. Minnesota lost last two visits here by 4-21 points. Iowa is 3-1 in league, winning by 10-26-10 points; their only loss was by 4 at Wisconsin, when McCaffery got two T's when Iowa led. Big Dozen single digit home faves are 1-9 vs spread.

Louisiana Tech won its last seven games, with an OT win at Oklahoma; Bulldogs force turnovers 22.9% of time, have #11 eFG% defense in US,. are 2-3 vs top 100 teams, 11-0 if they allow less than 70 points, 4-3 if they allow 70+. Southern Mississippi is 7-0 at home, 1-1 vs teams in top 100. winning by point at North Dakota State, losing at Louisville by 31. C-USA home favorites of 7 or less points are 4-8 vs spread.

Green Bay won four of last five games with Ill-Chicago; home teams are 8-1 in last nine series games- Phoenix lost three of last four visits here, losing by 7-2-3 points. Green Bay won its last nine games; this is their fourth road game in row, beating Wright State Friday. Horizon favorites of 6+ points are 10-1 vs spread this season. UIC lost its last nine games, losing last two conference games by total of nine points.

Bowling Green beat Western Michigan last two years by 24-10 points; Falcons lost four of last five games, with three of four losses away from home- they're turning ball over 22.5% of time, and are 1-4 on road, with three losses by 12+ points. MAC single digit home favorites are 3-6 vs spread. WMU scored 37 points in loss to Eastern Michigan last game, after they scored 83+ points in winning previous four games.

Charleston won five of last six games; they're turning ball over 20.4% of time; their eFG% is #253 in US. Cougars are shooting 49% from arc in CAA play, only 38% inside it. Towson won its last four games, winning first two CAA games by 8-12 points; they're forcng 3rd-least turnovers in US, but their eFG% defense is #34. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 0-6 vs spread.

Notre Dame is struggling without leading scorer Grant, losing last three games since upsetting Duke at home; Irish are 3-5 in last eight games; all three wins were by 7 or less points. ACC double digit home favorites are 2-3 vs spread. Virginia Tech lost five of last six games, losing last two ACC games by total of 10 points. Hokies force 2nd-least turnovers in country, but they defend well, with the #41 eFG% defense.

Oregon won five of last six games with Oregon State, winning last three visits here by 4-1-13 points; Ducks lost last three games after starting year 13-0, giving up 92.7 ppg in losses. Pac-12 home underdogs are 5-5 vs spread. Both teams are 1-3 in Pac-12; Beavers' three losses are by 6-11-5 points. Three of Oregon's last six wins came in OT. State is 9-7 in spite of making 40.4% from arc, #17 in country.

Canisius (-10) beat Monmouth 87-67 last Sunday, making 14-30 from arc; Griffins lead MAAC with 6-1 record, winning by hoop in last game at Iona Friday after blowing 20-point halftime lead- they're 3-5 in true road games, with last two road wins by total of six points. Monmouth is 2-5 in its first year in MAAC; four of five losses were by 9+. MAAC home underdogs are 4-6 against the spread.

Iona (-3.5) won 87-78 at Siena last Sunday, making 15-30 from arc in a game they trailed by 3 with 7:12 left- they're 6-1 in last seven games vs Siena, winning last two here by 4-19 points. MAAC double digit home favorites are 5-6 vs spread. Gaels had 23-0 run Friday but still lost by 2 to Canisius Friday. Siena is 1-3 on MAAC road, with losses by 15-4-22 points; they turn ball over 22.3% of time, have #286 eFG%.

SMU won at Central Florida yesterday afternoon; they played five subs double digit minutes, no one more than 27 since they have makeup game here with Hofstra. Mustangs hold foes to 38.8% inside arc, best mark in US- this is their third game in five days and they've got league game vs Rutgers on Tuesday. Hofstra won last two games after a 4-11 start; they haven't played since Wednesday.

**Udog** · 01-19-2014, 08:24 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, January 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:00 PM
WRIGHT STATE vs. CLEVELAND STATE
Wright State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Wright State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland State
Cleveland State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Wright State
Cleveland State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Wright State

1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. IOWA
Minnesota is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Iowa
Minnesota is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Iowa is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota

1:00 PM
RUTGERS vs. HOUSTON
Rutgers is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Rutgers's last 13 games on the road
Houston is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home

1:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. SOUTHERN MISS
Louisiana Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Southern Miss is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Southern Miss is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

2:00 PM
WISC-GREEN BAY vs. ILLINOIS-CHICAGO
Wisc-Green Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Illinois-Chicago
Wisc-Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Illinois-Chicago
Illinois-Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Illinois-Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

2:00 PM
CANISIUS vs. MONMOUTH
No trends available
Monmouth is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

2:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
Bowling Green is 2-21 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Bowling Green is 8-13-2 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Western Michigan is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Bowling Green
Western Michigan is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Bowling Green

3:30 PM
TOWSON vs. COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
Towson is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
College of Charleston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
College of Charleston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

4:00 PM
UTAH VALLEY vs. SEATTLE
Utah Valley is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

5:00 PM
SIENA vs. IONA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Siena's last 8 games when playing on the road against Iona
Siena is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Iona
Iona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Iona is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

6:00 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. NOTRE DAME
Virginia Tech is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Notre Dame is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
Notre Dame is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
HOFSTRA vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
Hofstra is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
Southern Methodist is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

8:00 PM
OREGON vs. OREGON STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon's last 6 games on the road
Oregon is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Oregon State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oregon
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon

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**Udog** · 01-19-2014, 08:44 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Denver at Phoenix
The Nuggets come into Phoenix tonight with a 7-3-1 ATS record in their last 11 games versus the Suns. Denver is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Denver (+1). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JANUARY 19

Game 801-802: LA Lakers at Toronto (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 107.879; Toronto 126.979
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 19; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 9; 204
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-9); Over

Game 803-804: Boston at Orlando (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 113.798; Orlando 109.943
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 4; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-2); Under

Game 805-806: Milwaukee at San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 109.379; San Antonio 123.131
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 14; 193
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 16; 199
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+16); Under

Game 807-808: Sacramento at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.483; Oklahoma City 126.015
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8; 211
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-8); Over

Game 809-810: Denver at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.482; Phoenix 117.344
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3; 224
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 218 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+1); Over

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, January 19

Hot teams
-- Raptors won four of last five games, covered nine of last ten.
-- Sacramento won four of last six games (5-1 vs spread). Thunder won three of last four games (covered last three at home).
-- Spurs won six of last seven games (0-3 vs spread last three).
-- Nuggets won six of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Lakers lost six of last seven games, but covered last three.
-- Orlando lost its last ten games (1-9 vs spread). Celtics lost 10 of last 11 games, covered last three on road.
-- Milwaukee lost its last eight games (2-6 vs spread).
-- Suns lost four of their last five games.

Series records
-- Lakers won seven of last ten games with Toronto (1-2 last three).
-- Celtics won their last ten games with Orlando.
-- Thunder won seven in row, 12 of last 13 vs Sacramento.
-- Spurs won seven of last eight games with Milwaukee.
-- Suns are 2-0 vs Denver this year, winning by 11-4 points.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Toronto home games went over.
-- 11 of last 15 Orlando home games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Thunder home games stayed under.
-- Over is 13-4-1 in Spurs' last 18 home games.
-- Last four Denver road games went over the total.

NBA

Sunday, January 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the LA Lakers last 12 games when playing Toronto
LA Lakers are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 5-18 SU in their last 23 games when playing LA Lakers
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

6:00 PM
BOSTON vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

7:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. SAN ANTONIO
Milwaukee is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Antonio's last 18 games at home

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games
Denver is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
Phoenix is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Denver

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**Udog** · 01-19-2014, 08:50 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 18

Hot teams
-- Hurricanes won six of their last eight games.
-- Rangers won five of their last six games.

Cold teams
-- Boston is 4-5 in its last nine games. Chicago lost three of last four on road.
-- Lightning lost three of their last four games.
-- Washington lost its last four games, scoring five goals.

Totals
-- Four of last five Boston games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Carolina games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers' last six games.

Series records
-- Chicago beat Bruins in six games in LY's Stanley Cup Finals.
-- Lightning won six of last seven games with Carolina.
-- Rangers are 8-6 in last 14 games with Washington, 1-2 this season.

NHL

Saturday, January 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:30 PM
BOSTON vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games on the road
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home

5:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Carolina is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NY RANGERS
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Rangers last 6 games when playing Washington
NY Rangers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Washington

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Kaptain** · 01-19-2014, 09:22 AM

once again, thanks U Dog

**Udog** · 01-19-2014, 09:58 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Tampa Bay at Carolina
The Lightning come into Carolina today carrying a 5-0 record in their last 5 road games against the Hurricanes. Tampa Bay is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JANUARY 19

Game 51-52: Boston at Chicago (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.891; Chicago 12.187
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-155); Under

Game 53-54: Tampa Bay at Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.043; Carolina 10.413
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105); Over

Game 55-56: Washington at NY Rangers (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.842; NY Rangers 10.705
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+125); Under

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, January 18

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BOSTON (30-15-0-2, 62 pts.) at CHICAGO (31-8-0-11, 73 pts.) - 1/19/2014, 12:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 338-350 ATS (+737.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
BOSTON is 148-125 ATS (+279.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
BOSTON is 106-79 ATS (+185.8 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
BOSTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-13 ATS (-15.5 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-3 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-3-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (28-16-0-5, 61 pts.) at CAROLINA (20-18-0-9, 49 pts.) - 1/19/2014, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 268-351 ATS (-109.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 28-21 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 9-3 (+6.1 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 9-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

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WASHINGTON (22-18-0-8, 52 pts.) at NY RANGERS (26-21-0-3, 55 pts.) - 1/19/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 177-181 ATS (-109.3 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 100-108 ATS (-63.4 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 4-9 ATS (-7.2 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
NY RANGERS are 2-6 ATS (-8.6 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 13-11-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
12 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+8.4 Units)

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**Udog** · 01-19-2014, 09:59 AM

Originally posted by Kaptain View Post

once again, thanks U Dog

Good morning, Kaptain! I missed everything yesterday. How'd you do?

**Udog** · 01-19-2014, 10:05 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Denver at Phoenix
The Nuggets come into Phoenix tonight with a 7-3-1 ATS record in their last 11 games versus the Suns. Denver is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Denver (+1). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JANUARY 19

Game 801-802: LA Lakers at Toronto (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 107.879; Toronto 126.979
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 19; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 9; 204
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-9); Over

Game 803-804: Boston at Orlando (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 113.798; Orlando 109.943
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 4; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-2); Under

Game 805-806: Milwaukee at San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 109.379; San Antonio 123.131
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 14; 193
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 16; 199
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+16); Under

Game 807-808: Sacramento at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.483; Oklahoma City 126.015
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8; 211
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-8); Over

Game 809-810: Denver at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.482; Phoenix 117.344
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3; 224
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 218 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+1); Over

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 19

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LA LAKERS (15 - 25) at TORONTO (20 - 18) - 1/19/2014, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 86-113 ATS (-38.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in January games this season.
TORONTO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA LAKERS are 114-75 ATS (+31.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-0 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (14 - 27) at ORLANDO (10 - 30) - 1/19/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 52-69 ATS (-23.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in January games this season.
ORLANDO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 89-119 ATS (-41.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
ORLANDO is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (7 - 32) at SAN ANTONIO (31 - 9) - 1/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 123-95 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 100-77 ATS (+15.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 419-352 ATS (+31.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 330-270 ATS (+33.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (14 - 24) at OKLAHOMA CITY (30 - 10) - 1/19/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 73-58 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 65-49 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (20 - 19) at PHOENIX (22 - 17) - 1/19/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents this season.
PHOENIX is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DENVER is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-19-2014, 10:08 AM

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, January 19

LA Lakers at Toronto, 1:05 ET
LA Lakers: 2-13 ATS away off SU dog win
Toronto: 8-1 ATS in January this year

Boston at Orlando, 6:05 ET
Boston: 17-5 Under away after playing as a home favorite
Orlando: 1-9 ATS when line is +3 to -3 points

Milwaukee at San Antonio, 7:05 ET
Milwaukee: 0-9 ATS vs teams who score 103 or more points per game
San Antonio: 24-13 ATS off SU loss

Sacramento at Oklahoma City, 7:05 ET
Sacramento: 3-13 ATS after playing an under game
Oklahoma City: 12-2 Over at home vs. Pacific conf. opponents

Denver at Phoenix, 8:05 ET
Denver: 20-9 Over away after playing as a home favorite
Phoenix: 8-1 ATS vs Northwest division opponents

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Sunday, January 19

Wright State: 17-6 ATS off a home loss by 10 or more points

Iowa: 18-6 ATS in home games

Southern Miss: 10-2 ATS at home off a home win by 20 or more points

Illinois Chicago: 11-3 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points

W. Michigan 11-2 TAS at home after playing as a dog

Virginia Tech: 3-13 ATS in January games

Oregon: 5-17 ATS off 2 home losses

Announcement

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 1/19 (NFL, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 1/19 (NFL, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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