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NBA
Short Sheet
Tuesday, December 17
Portland at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Portland: 14-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins
Cleveland: 10-21 ATS in home games after playing a road game
Sacramento at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Sacramento: 15-3 UNDER on Tuesday nights
Charlotte: 7-27 ATS in non-conference games
LA Lakers at Memphis, 8:05 ET
LA Lakers: 11-23 ATS as a road underdog
Memphis: 46-31 ATS as a favorite
Oklahoma City at Denver, 9:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 14-30 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less
Denver: 23-11 ATS in home games after playing a game as favorite
New Orlenas at Golden State, 10:35 ET
New Orleans: 16-5 OVER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days
Golden State: 49-27 OVER in home games on Tuesday nightsComment
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NHL
Short Sheet
Tuesday, December 17
Winnipeg at Buffalo, 7:05 ET
Winnipeg: 9-4 against the money line (+6.7 Units) in non-conference games
Buffalo: 7-24 against the money line (-12.6 Units) as an underdog
Tampa Bay at NY Islanders, 7:05 ET
Tampa Bay: 7-2 against the money line (+5.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games
NY Islanders: 5-12 against the money line (-10.0 Units) in home games
Florida at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Florida: 5-16 against the money line (-11.7 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games
Toronto: 201-188 against the money line (+32.1 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread
Calgary at Boston, 7:05 ET
Calgary: 4-0 against the money line (+8.5 Units) in road games after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored
Boston: 81-53 against the money line (-39.7 Units) as a home favorite of -200 to -300
Washington at Philadelphia, 7:35 ET
Washington: 6-0 against the money line (+7.5 Units) in road games off a home win against a division rival
Philadelphia: 48-70 against the money line (-45.4 Units) in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent
Phoenix at Montreal, 7:35 ET
Phoenix: 22-8 against the money line (+17.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest
Montreal: 13-23 against the money line (-16.7 Units) at home when the money line is -100 to -150
Anaheim at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Anaheim: 10-1 against the money line (+10.5 Units) after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game
Detroit: 5-14 against the money line (-15.0 Units) in home games
San Jose at St Louis, 8:05 ET
San Jose: 8-12 against the money line (-11.8 Units) in December games
St Louis: 22-5 against the money line (+14.9 Units) in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread
Vancouver at Minnestoa, 8:05 ET
Vancouver: 7-0 against the money line (+7.0 Units) in December games
Minnesota: 5-0 against the money line (+6.1 Units) after 4 or more consecutive unders
Chicago at Nashville, 8:05 ET
Chicago: 18-5 against the money line (+9.3 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 5 days
Nashville: 26-14 against the money line (+14.2 Units) vs. division opponents
Colorado at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Colorado: 5-0 against the money line (+6.0 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs
Dallas: 3-11 against the money line (-10.5 Units) in home games revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more
Edmonton at Los Angeles, 10:35 ET
Edmonton: 31-21 against the money line (+17.5 Units) off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals
Los Angeles: 27-36 against the money line (-26.4 Units) in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 gamesComment
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NCAAB
Short Sheet
Tuesday, December 17
S ILLINOIS is 0-13 ATS off a home loss
TX-ARLINGTON is 0-10 ATS after a win by 10 points or more
NEW MEXICO is 31-9 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
OREGON is 9-0 ATS after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread
MANHATTAN is 9-0 ATS in road games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days
WICHITA ST is 17-4 ATS in non-conference games
CINCINNATI is 11-1 ATS in road games after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers
CREIGHTON is 8-0 ATS after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more
NEW MEXICO is 32-11 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 gamesComment
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NFL line watch: Back Jets now versus terrible Browns
Spread to bet now
Cleveland Browns (+2) at New York Jets
Does anyone anywhere believe that the Browns have any life at all left in their bodies?
Another season has come and just about gone, and the Browns once again find themselves in familiar territory – with a string of late-season losses (the current tally is five in a row), little interest from the home fans and in firm possession of last place in the AFC North. Merry Christmas, Browns fans.
Now line up for your lumps of coal.
After getting booed off the field by the few remaining fans who had the misfortune of owning tickets to Sunday’s latest loss (38-31, to the Bears), Cleveland players must now lug a 4-10 record with them on the road, where the Brownies are 1-5 this season.
The Jets (5-2 at home this year) still have an outside shot at a wild card berth that could save the jobs of a lot of folks in Jersey, so they should be able to cover the deuce against an unmotivated Browns team.
Spread to wait on
Miami Dolphins (-2.5) at Buffalo Bills
The public is pounding the Dolphins hard after their big victory over the Patriots, with three of every four dollars down backing the Fish. With that much early action on Miami, bettors might be able to hang on until late in the week and see if the number goes to 3.
Miami’s win over New England took place in 84-degree weather against a Patriots team that is only a shadow of what it used to be.
The Bills are 7-7 overall and have yet to be blown out at home this season. And if the temperature is even half of that 84, the Dolphins will be delighted
Miami has three-straight wins and will be looking to snag a wild card playoff spot, but Buffalo also has motivation – if the Bills lose, it would probably mean a sixth straight last-place finish in the AFC East and a huge roster turnover. Advice here is to hang tight and wait for the line to lengthen a bit.
Total to watch
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks(45)
Know this about the Seahawks – they play great defense, but they can also put points on the board at home. The poodle’s offense has put up 34 (vs. New Orleans), 41 (Minnesota) and 27 in its last three home games, so Seattle figures to be able to move the ball, even against a pretty good Cardinal team.
But, but, but ... Arizona QB Carson Palmer suffered a high ankle sprain in Sunday’s victory at Tennessee and is listed as questionable for Seattle.
The Seahawks figure to come hard at Palmer, who has never been known for his work against blitzes. Going into Seattle with a gimpy starting QB or, even worse, a second-stringer, is poison.
Under is the play, even with a moderate number of 45.Comment
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NFL Opening Line Report: Patriots aren't the same without Gronkowski
The final weeks of the NFL schedule can sometimes be a craps shoot, with teams battling for playoff positioning against others who have given up on the year. But, thanks to wide-open postseason races in both conferences, Week 16 could be one of the most interesting slates of football all season.
Things got especially intriguing in the AFC following the Baltimore Ravens’ win over the Detroit Lions on Monday Night Football. That victory thrusts the defending Super Bowl champs into the sixth seed in the AFC with room for improvement in Sunday’s home date with the New England Patriots.
Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, says they sent out a suggested spread of Baltimore -2.5 and feels even better about that number following Monday’s win. The biggest factor behind having the Ravens as slight home favorites is the injury to Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski, who was noticeably missed in Sunday’s loss to Miami.
“We rarely get to learn this much about one team in a single season, but we’ve seen (New England) sputter without Gronkowski to start the season, then play well with him, then sputter again without him,” says Korner. “Without Gronkowski, they’re not a 10-4 team. We saw that last week. The magic wasn’t there in the red zone and New England fell an interception short of a win.”
Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5, 44)
This game holds weight for both teams but oddsmakers see the Chiefs with some added motivation at home Sunday. Kansas City is still in the hunt for the top overall record – and home field – in the AFC and also the AFC West crown.
The Colts, on the other hand, have already punched their postseason ticket with an AFC South title and could get a first-round bye if all goes right for them. But more than likely will be playing during the Wild Card weekend.
Korner says his stable of oddsmakers brought spreads between -4 and -7 to the table and settled on the higher end of the scale, due to the Chiefs current form heading into Week 16. Kansas City has won back-to-back road outings in blowout fashion.
“The Chiefs have scored a combined 101 points the past two weeks, and that’s what will stick out to bettors,” he says. “The mystique is gone after losing a few but they’ve regrouped and have the edge here at home.”
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (-3, 47)
These teams played just two short weeks ago, making this spread an easy task for oddsmakers. The total, however, could be a bit trickier. New Orleans has suffered a major power outage on the road, scoring just 18.4 points per road game compared to 32.9 points at home. The Saints knocked off the Panthers 31-13 at home in Week 14.
“This is a revenge game for the Panthers, but all told, this is a pretty equal matchup,” says Korner. “The total wasn’t that bad to make. We had something to go by, with them playing recently, so we sent out 46 and now we’re seeing that move a bit. We didn’t have to think on it too much.”
Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 56)
The Eagles could earn the fourth seed in the NFC bracket and a win over Chicago would give them the inside track on any tie breakers versus the NFC North contenders. Philadelphia looked like it was the hottest team heading toward the postseason, but laid in egg in Minnesota.
The Bears are right in the mix of the NFC postseason hunt but will need to win the NFC North to make the cut. A win over the Eagles helps but a loss isn’t sudden death for Chicago.
Jay Cutler led the Bears to a second-straight win Sunday, replacing the serviceable Josh McCown under center. Korner admits he didn’t think there was much of a difference between the two QBs but says the bettors proved him wrong.
“I’m surprised. I dissed the Bears the last two weeks and they proved me wrong,” he says. “I realize that there is a difference between McCown and Cutler, but I don’t think it’s huge. However, the bettors do. They think Cutler is the difference maker.”Comment
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NCAAF BCS Bowl line watch: Act now if you like Stanford
Spread to bet now
Stanford Cardinal (-4.5) vs. Michigan State Spartans
Early money has already shown on the Rose Bowl with Stanford quickly getting bet up from the 3-point opener. The Pac-12 was the strongest power-rated conference this season, slightly higher than the almighty SEC. The Big Ten was rated fourth and for that reason alone, money is against the Spartans.
Michigan State and Stanford are also two similar teams in that they both play power football combined with stout defense. But bettors trust the Stanford offense more and since they also played the tougher schedule, upward line movement was easily predictable. If you like the Cardinal, you should lock in your number now even though you missed the key stop at three. The professionals will play the dog at post and that may come after some more line manipulation on the favorite.
Spread to wait on
Alabama Crimson Tide (-15) vs. Oklahoma Sooners
The public will be on the name underdog in this game, especially since they are getting over two touchdowns. Alabama will also be a play-against team because “they must be disappointed” after winning the BCS title game in three of the last four seasons. The conventional wisdom will be that a trip to the Sugar Bowl means nothing to the Tide.
Oklahoma has the reputation and everybody remembers the Sooners winning at Oklahoma State as 10-point underdogs in their last game. It also coincides with Alabama losing at Auburn as a 10-point favorite in its last game. We expect this line to come down closer to kickoff. Alabama will be available at a cheaper price come gametime.
Total to watch
Auburn Tigers vs. Florida State Seminoles (67)
It will be interesting to see what the bettors do with this total over the next three weeks.The oddsmakers opened the BCS Championship total around 64.5 or 65 depending on where you looked. Bettors liked the Over as the number now sits around 67 at most sportsbooks with 67.5 also available in some locations.
My personal totals power ratings make the game 67, so I can see why the total was bet up from the opener. But with five weeks off, we often see offenses struggle early in this game. And long scoring droughts can really hamper high totals, especially in big games. Auburn played in just one game with a higher total this season, going Over the 73-point number against Texas A&M. Florida State also played in just one game with a higher Over/Under, going Over the total of 70 (on their own) against Idaho.
Overall, Auburn only played four of its 13 games Over the posted total of 67. Florida State only played three of its 13 games Over 67. Combined, the Tigers and Seminoles would have been 7-19 Over/Under based on the current posted total of 67 points.Comment
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Thanks U Dog.........let's get Loyola Marymount and Oregon in tonight.......also Murray St..........lock and load
Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!Comment
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Yessir, Kaptain! I'm on em. I may put 2u on your Thunder/Nuggets over, too. I really like that play. Good luck tonight!Originally posted by Kaptain View PostComment
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