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The Weekly Paycheck by Dave Roloff
Divisonal Playoff Weekend
Carolina Panthers @ St. Louis Rams -7.5
3:30pm Saturday
Edward Jones Dome
Artificial Turf
Pick: Carolina- This is a game that nobody wants to pick, because of the uncertainty of the Rams. If the real Rams do show up they will run the Panthers out of the building. I am betting that they will not show and mostly due to the Panthers front four. Throughout the season, the one thing that has stopped the Rams offense is when you get pressure in the face of Marc Bulger.
Bulger doesn't like to be hit and he will be knocked down several times in this game. The Rams have also shown the propensity to not be able to defend a direct attacking running game. That is exactly what the Panthers will do. John Fox has had success against the Rams as the Giants' D-Coordinator and the Panthers have had success against the Rams in the past covering three out of the last four meetings. This is not a sexy pick and it could blow up in my face, but I like the points and an ugly Panthers cover and possible upset.
Tennessee Titans @ New England Patriots -6
7:15pm Saturday
Gillette Stadium
Grass
Pick: New England- This is a pure numbers play. I picked the Titans from day one to win the Super Bowl and in my mind of minds, I should be sticking with them until we both drown. But as you can see I am running with the Pats. They have been dominant at home and a covering machine. This spread is unusually high, but that is only cementing my Pats pick.
Tom Brady and the bunch will pick apart the Titans defense with no back sets and the short passing game. The Titans have had trouble against passing teams like the Colts and the Pats. The Titans are also very banged up which is very scary, because McNair tends to pull miracles when he is barely able to walk. The Pats have covered the last two meetings against the Titans at home including a victory earlier in the year. The Pats are a freight train even though I haven't been able to figure out why this team has been so dominant. Not really good at anything, just a solid football team
Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs -3
12:00pm Sunday
Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
Pick: Indianapolis- This is the pick that I dislike the most. I could go on and on why I like the Chiefs in this game, but it really wouldn't do me any good. I am banking on the fact that neither team will be able to stop one another.
The points will come in handy in this game, because every playoff game at Arrowhead comes down to a last second 48-yard field goal and that majority of the time the Chiefs are the one on the losing end. They are perennial home playoff game chokers. Not to mention that this games has the killer stat of the week. The Colts are 5-0 SU & ATS in the last five meetings with the Chiefs. That is just too big of a number to just glance over.
Let's just hope that Priest doesn't make me eat my words and the Colts don't act like last week was their Super Bowl victory.
Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles -5.5
3:45pm Sunday
Lincoln Financial Field
Grass
Pick: Green Bay- Yes I am falling into the trap. I have bet three games with the numbers and now the beloved Pack is getting into the way of clear vision. All of the numbers are pointing to the Eagles and we have already taken a NFC road team where tradition says that both NFC home teams coming off of bye weeks roll in the Division round of the playoffs. Numbers? What numbers?
My heart is in the way and if the Packers can get out to a lead they can dominate the game from the ground. The Eagles are very banged up on defense and they are terrible against the run. The only healthy and feared part of the entire Eagles roster is their secondary. If Brett Favre has to win this game for the Packers they are in trouble. He is immortal and on a roll, but the Pack needs to win this game on the shoulders of #30 not #4.
If the Pack can control their turnovers and keep some semblance of order on defense the Eagles just doesn't have the playmakers to win this game. Plus they have the weight of the world on their shoulders because they could not possibly choke away home field advantage for the second straight year. Or could they??
For the sane gambler: The Eagles have covered the last five meetings.
Hope this helps for tomorrow guys!
Divisonal Playoff Weekend
Carolina Panthers @ St. Louis Rams -7.5
3:30pm Saturday
Edward Jones Dome
Artificial Turf
Pick: Carolina- This is a game that nobody wants to pick, because of the uncertainty of the Rams. If the real Rams do show up they will run the Panthers out of the building. I am betting that they will not show and mostly due to the Panthers front four. Throughout the season, the one thing that has stopped the Rams offense is when you get pressure in the face of Marc Bulger.
Bulger doesn't like to be hit and he will be knocked down several times in this game. The Rams have also shown the propensity to not be able to defend a direct attacking running game. That is exactly what the Panthers will do. John Fox has had success against the Rams as the Giants' D-Coordinator and the Panthers have had success against the Rams in the past covering three out of the last four meetings. This is not a sexy pick and it could blow up in my face, but I like the points and an ugly Panthers cover and possible upset.
Tennessee Titans @ New England Patriots -6
7:15pm Saturday
Gillette Stadium
Grass
Pick: New England- This is a pure numbers play. I picked the Titans from day one to win the Super Bowl and in my mind of minds, I should be sticking with them until we both drown. But as you can see I am running with the Pats. They have been dominant at home and a covering machine. This spread is unusually high, but that is only cementing my Pats pick.
Tom Brady and the bunch will pick apart the Titans defense with no back sets and the short passing game. The Titans have had trouble against passing teams like the Colts and the Pats. The Titans are also very banged up which is very scary, because McNair tends to pull miracles when he is barely able to walk. The Pats have covered the last two meetings against the Titans at home including a victory earlier in the year. The Pats are a freight train even though I haven't been able to figure out why this team has been so dominant. Not really good at anything, just a solid football team
Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs -3
12:00pm Sunday
Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
Pick: Indianapolis- This is the pick that I dislike the most. I could go on and on why I like the Chiefs in this game, but it really wouldn't do me any good. I am banking on the fact that neither team will be able to stop one another.
The points will come in handy in this game, because every playoff game at Arrowhead comes down to a last second 48-yard field goal and that majority of the time the Chiefs are the one on the losing end. They are perennial home playoff game chokers. Not to mention that this games has the killer stat of the week. The Colts are 5-0 SU & ATS in the last five meetings with the Chiefs. That is just too big of a number to just glance over.
Let's just hope that Priest doesn't make me eat my words and the Colts don't act like last week was their Super Bowl victory.
Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles -5.5
3:45pm Sunday
Lincoln Financial Field
Grass
Pick: Green Bay- Yes I am falling into the trap. I have bet three games with the numbers and now the beloved Pack is getting into the way of clear vision. All of the numbers are pointing to the Eagles and we have already taken a NFC road team where tradition says that both NFC home teams coming off of bye weeks roll in the Division round of the playoffs. Numbers? What numbers?
My heart is in the way and if the Packers can get out to a lead they can dominate the game from the ground. The Eagles are very banged up on defense and they are terrible against the run. The only healthy and feared part of the entire Eagles roster is their secondary. If Brett Favre has to win this game for the Packers they are in trouble. He is immortal and on a roll, but the Pack needs to win this game on the shoulders of #30 not #4.
If the Pack can control their turnovers and keep some semblance of order on defense the Eagles just doesn't have the playmakers to win this game. Plus they have the weight of the world on their shoulders because they could not possibly choke away home field advantage for the second straight year. Or could they??
For the sane gambler: The Eagles have covered the last five meetings.
Hope this helps for tomorrow guys!