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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Tuesday, November 26 - Saturday, November 30)

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  • #16
    NCAAF
    Dunkel

    Week 14


    Texas Tech at Texas
    The Red Raiders come in with a 3-2 record on the road to face a Texas team that is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 home games against teams that have a winning road record. Texas Tech is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Longhorns favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+5). Here are all of today's games.

    THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 28

    Game 309-310: Texas Tech at Texas (7:30 p.m. EST)

    Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 93.466; Texas 95.522
    Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 72
    Vegas Line: Texas by 5; 66
    Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+5); Over

    Game 311-312: Mississippi at Mississippi State (7:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 98.982; Mississippi State 92.950
    Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 6; 48
    Vegas Line: Mississippi by 3; 52
    Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-3); Under


    FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 29

    Game 313-314: Iowa at Nebraska (12:00 p.m. EST)

    Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 93.561; Nebraska 93.704
    Dunkel Line: Even; 56
    Vegas Line: Nebraska by 3; No Total
    Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+3); N/A

    Game 315-316: Toledo at Akron (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 89.792; Akron 71.628
    Dunkel Line: Toledo by 28; 51
    Vegas Line: Toledo by 7 1/2; 55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-7 1/2); Under

    Game 317-318: Miami (OH) at Ball State (1:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 55.188; Ball State 87.065
    Dunkel Line: Ball State by 32; 59
    Vegas Line: Ball State by 35; 55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+35); Over

    Game 319-320: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 53.245; Central Michigan 76.760
    Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 23 1/2; 52
    Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 18 1/2; 58
    Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-18 1/2); Under

    Game 321-322: Massachusetts at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 59.592; Ohio 63.372
    Dunkel Line: Ohio by 4; 58
    Vegas Line: Ohio by 17; 51
    Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+17); Over

    Game 323-324: East Carolina at Marshall (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 90.163; Marshall 96.402
    Dunkel Line: Marshall by 6; 60
    Vegas Line: Marshall by 2 1/2; 64 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-2 1/2); Under

    Game 325-326: Bowling Green at Buffalo (1:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 87.518; Buffalo 92.738
    Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5; 56
    Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 2; 51
    Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+2); Over

    Game 327-328: Arkansas at LSU (2:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 78.447; LSU 111.656
    Dunkel Line: LSU by 33; 49
    Vegas Line: LSU by 24 1/2; 54 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: LSU (-24 1/2); Under

    Game 329-330: Texas State at Troy (2:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 72.087; Troy 73.441
    Dunkel Line: Troy by 1 1/2; 63
    Vegas Line: Troy by 7; 58 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+7); Over

    Game 331-332: Florida International at Florida Atlantic (3:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 54.956; Florida Atlantic 80.104
    Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 25; 48
    Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 28; 42
    Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+28); Over

    Game 333-334: South Florida at Central Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 71.453; Central Florida 103.208
    Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 32; 44
    Vegas Line: Central Florida by 27; 49 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-27); Under

    Game 335-336: Fresno State at San Jose State (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 97.335; San Jose State 74.557
    Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 23; 67
    Vegas Line: Fresno State by 7; 72 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-7); Under

    Game 337-338: Miami (FL) at Pittsburgh (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 84.791; Pittsburgh 92.553
    Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 8; 62
    Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3; 56
    Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3); Over

    Game 339-340: Washington State at Washington (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 85.492; Washington 109.515
    Dunkel Line: Washington by 24; 50
    Vegas Line: Washington by 14; No Total
    Dunkel Pick: Washington (-14); N/A

    Game 341-342: SMU at Houston (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: SMU 82.762; Houston 89.423
    Dunkel Line: Houston by 6 1/2; 77
    Vegas Line: Houston by 10 1/2; No Total
    Dunkel Pick: SMU (+10 1/2); N/A

    Game 343-344: Oregon State at Oregon (7:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 95.110; Oregon 106.505
    Dunkel Line: Oregon by 11 1/2; 73
    Vegas Line: Oregon by 22; 68 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+22); Over


    SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 30

    Game 345-346: Ohio State at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)

    Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 115.811; Michigan 95.970
    Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 20; 53
    Vegas Line: Ohio State by 14 1/2; 58
    Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-14 1/2); Under

    Game 347-348: Boston College at Syracuse (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 85.935; Syracuse 88.869
    Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 3; 57
    Vegas Line: Boston College by 3; 52 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+3); Over

    Game 349-350: Maryland at North Carolina State (12:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 85.279; North Carolina State 80.529
    Dunkel Line: Maryland by 4 1/2; 46
    Vegas Line: Maryland by 2 1/2; 51
    Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-2 1/2); Under

    Game 351-352: Wake Forest at Vanderbilt (12:21 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 79.944; Vanderbilt 99.312
    Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 19 1/2; 37
    Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 14; 42
    Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-14); Under

    Game 353-354: Duke at North Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Duke 94.762; North Carolina 96.725
    Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 2; 65
    Vegas Line: North Carolina by 6 1/2; 60
    Dunkel Pick: Duke (+6 1/2); Over

    Game 355-356: Iowa State at West Virginia (4:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 84.136; West Virginia 85.076
    Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 1; 62
    Vegas Line: West Virginia by 8 1/2; 54
    Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+8 1/2); Over

    Game 357-358: Northwestern at Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 88.164; Illinois 82.359
    Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 6; 54
    Vegas Line: Northwestern by 3 1/2; 59 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-3 1/2); Under

    Game 359-360: Purdue at Indiana (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 69.031; Indiana 94.747
    Dunkel Line: Indiana by 25 1/2; 61
    Vegas Line: Indiana by 20 1/2; 66
    Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-20 1/2); Under

    Game 361-362: Rutgers at Connecticut (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 73.301; Connecticut 75.560
    Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2 1/2; 55
    Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3; 49
    Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+3); Over

    Game 363-364: Tennessee at Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 84.951; Kentucky 84.513
    Dunkel Line: Even; 59
    Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4 1/2; 53
    Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+4 1/2); Over

    Game 365-366: Minnesota at Michigan State (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 93.193; Michigan State 111.506
    Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 18 1/2; 38
    Vegas Line: Michigan State by 14 1/2; 41
    Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-14 1/2); Under

    Game 367-368: Temple at Memphis (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Temple 78.137; Memphis 79.947
    Dunkel Line: Memphis by 2; 52
    Vegas Line: Memphis by 9; 47
    Dunkel Pick: Temple (+9); Over

    Game 369-370: Southern Mississippi at UAB (1:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 48.744; UAB 65.847
    Dunkel Line: UAB by 17; 56
    Vegas Line: UAB by 14; 61 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: UAB (-14); Under

    Game 371-372: South Alabama at Georgia State (2:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 71.003; Georgia State 66.802
    Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 4; 66
    Vegas Line: South Alabama by 9; 60
    Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (+9); Over

    Game 373-374: Wyoming at Utah State (2:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 64.215; Utah State 100.088
    Dunkel Line: Utah State by 36; 54
    Vegas Line: Utah State by 20 1/2; 58 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-20 1/2); Under

    Game 375-376: Colorado at Utah (2:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 78.728; Utah 92.590
    Dunkel Line: Utah by 14; 62
    Vegas Line: Utah by 17; 56
    Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+17); Over

    Game 377-378: BYU at Nevada (3:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: BYU 102.763; Nevada 74.933
    Dunkel Line: BYU by 28; 60
    Vegas Line: BYU by 14 1/2; 64 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: BYU (-14); Under

    Game 379-380: Tulane at Rice (3:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 81.095; Rice 85.073
    Dunkel Line: Rice by 4; 55
    Vegas Line: Rice by 12; 49
    Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+12); Over

    Game 381-382: Georgia at Georgia Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 101.454; Georgia Tech 95.067
    Dunkel Line: Georgia by 6 1/2; 52
    Vegas Line: Georgia by 3; 57 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-3); Under

    Game 383-384: Texas A&M at Missouri (7:45 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 106.904; Missouri 108.109
    Dunkel Line: Missouri by 1; 73
    Vegas Line: Missouri by 5; 68
    Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+5); Over

    Game 385-386: Virginia Tech at Virginia (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 96.087; Virginia 74.185
    Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 22; 37
    Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 12 1/2; 41 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-12 1/2); Under

    Game 387-388: Alabama at Auburn (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 116.426; Auburn 108.921
    Dunkel Line: Alabama by 7 1/2; 59
    Vegas Line: Alabama by 11; 54 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+11); Over

    Game 389-390: New Mexico at Boise State (10:15 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 65.478; Boise State 103.474
    Dunkel Line: Boise State by 38; 61
    Vegas Line: Boise State by 35 1/2; 64
    Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-35 1/2); Under

    Game 391-392: Baylor at TCU (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 104.652; TCU 94.456
    Dunkel Line: Baylor by 10; 68
    Vegas Line: Baylor by 13; 64
    Dunkel Pick: TCU (+13); Over

    Game 393-394: Florida State at Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 128.076; Florida 81.388
    Dunkel Line: Florida State by 46 1/2; 47
    Vegas Line: Florida State by 27 1/2; 44
    Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-27 1/2); Over

    Game 395-396: Air Force at Colorado State (2:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 72.456; Colorado State 86.110
    Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 13 1/2; 65
    Vegas Line: Colorado State by 16 1/2; 59 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+16 1/2); Over

    Game 397-398: Kansas State at Kansas (12:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 102.918; Kansas 74.121
    Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 29; 46
    Vegas Line: Kansas State by 16; 51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-16); Under

    Game 399-400: Penn State at Wisconsin (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 86.482; Wisconsin 117.357
    Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 31; 44
    Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 23 1/2; 49 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-23 1/2); Under

    Game 401-402: Louisiana Tech at TX-San Antonio (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 69.139; TX-San Antonio 82.622
    Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 13 1/2; 57
    Vegas Line: TX-San Antonio by 16 1/2; 52
    Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+16 1/2); Over

    Game 403-404: Idaho at New Mexico State (3:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 56.248; New Mexico State 56.341
    Dunkel Line: Even; 68
    Vegas Line: New Mexico State 3 1/2; 63 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+3 1/2); Over

    Game 405-406: San Diego State at UNLV (10:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 84.826; UNLV 77.659
    Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 7; 50
    Vegas Line: San Diego State by 3; 55
    Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-3); Under

    Game 407-408: Arkansas State at Western Kentucky (4:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 85.546; Western Kentucky 75.675
    Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 10; 62
    Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 6 1/2; 55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+6 1/2); Over

    Game 409-410: North Texas at Tulsa (2:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 87.857; Tulsa 69.647
    Dunkel Line: North Texas by 18; 45
    Vegas Line: North Texas by 4 1/2; 50
    Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-4 1/2); Under

    Game 411-412: UL-Monroe at UL-Lafayette (7:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 78.172; UL-Lafayette 84.055
    Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 6; 62
    Vegas Line: UL Lafayette by 15; 56 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+15); Over

    Game 413-414: UTEP at Middle Tennessee State (3:45 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 56.299; Middle Tennessee State 81.843
    Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 25 1/2;
    Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 22 1/2; 56
    Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-22 1/2); Under

    Game 415-416: Clemson at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 108.887; South Carolina 105.354
    Dunkel Line: Clemson by 3 1/2; 62
    Vegas Line: South Carolina by 5 1/2; 58
    Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+5 1/2); Over

    Game 417-418: UCLA at USC (8:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 99.831; USC 112.543
    Dunkel Line: USC by 12 1/2; 48
    Vegas Line: USC by 3 1/2; 51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: USC (-3 1/2); Under

    Game 419-420: Notre Dame at Stanford (7:00 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 100.281; Stanford 110.403
    Dunkel Line: Stanford by 10; 53
    Vegas Line: Stanford by 14 1/2; 49
    Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+14 1/2); Over

    Game 421-422: Arizona at Arizona State (9:30 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 89.854; Arizona State 112.545
    Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 22 1/2; 56
    Vegas Line: Arizona State by 12 1/2; 61
    Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-12 1/2); Under

    Game 423-424: Army at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Army 65.462; Hawaii 73.534
    Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 8; 56
    Vegas Line: Hawaii by 6 1/2; 60 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-6 1/2); Under

    Comment


    • #17
      NCAAF
      Short Sheet

      Week 14


      Thur, Nov. 28

      Texas Tech at Texas, 7:30 ET

      Texas Tech: 0-7 ATS in November games
      Texas: 44-25 ATS after having won 3 out of their last 4

      Mississippi at Mississippi State, 7:30 ET
      Mississippi: 5-1 ATS after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game
      Mississippi State: 15-25 ATS after 2 games with a turnover margin of +1 or better


      Fri, Nov. 29

      Iowa at Nebraska, 12:00 ET

      Iowa: 1-8 ATS off a win against a conference rival
      Nebraska: 2-5 ATS off a road win

      Toledo at Akron, 12:00 ET
      Toledo: 26-12 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
      Akron: 1-8 ATS in home games off 1 or more consecutive unders

      Miami Ohio at Ball State, 1:00 ET
      Miami Ohio: 2-9 ATS as a road underdog
      Ball State: 15-6 ATS after playing a conference game

      Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan, 2:00 ET
      Eastern Michigan: 2-8 ATS as an underdog
      Central Michigan: 7-0 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games

      Massachusetts at Ohio, 2:00 ET
      U Mass: 2-8 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
      Ohio: 3-12 ATS against conference opponents

      East Carolina at Marshal, 12:00 ET
      East Carolina: 21-5 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
      Marshal: 27-44 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers

      Bowling Green at Buffalo, 1:30 ET
      Bowling Green: 13-4 ATS as a favorite
      Buffalo: 7-1 ATS after the first month of the season

      Arkansas at LSU, 2:30 ET
      Arkansas: 2-10 ATS in road games
      LSU: 13-31 ATS in home games in November games

      Texas State at Troy, 2:00 ET
      Texas State: 1-5 ATS against conference opponents
      Troy: 0-6 ATSin home games against conference opponents

      Florida International at Florida Atlantic, 3:00 ET
      Florida International: 1-8 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points
      Florida Atlantic: 8-2 ATS in all games

      South Florida at Central Florida, 8:00 ET

      South Florida: 1-8 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game
      Central Florida: 31-13 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games

      Fresno State at San Jose State, 3:30 ET
      Fresno St: 12-2 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
      San Jose St: 13-4 ATS as an underdog

      Miami Florida at Pittsburgh, 3:30 ET
      Miami Florida: 9-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
      Pittsburgh: 25-44 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game

      Washington State at Washington, 3:30 ET
      Washington State: 1-9 ATS after 5 consecutive games where they forced 2 or more turnovers
      Washington: 9-23 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better

      SMU at Houston, 12:00 ET
      SMU: 4-13 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 or less points
      Houston: 9-2 ATS in all games

      Oregon State at Oregon, 7:00 ET
      Oregon State: 27-13 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival
      Oregon: 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points


      Sat, Nov. 30

      Ohio State at Michigan, 12:00 ET
      Ohio State: 62-39 ATS in road lined games
      Michigan: 1-10 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6

      Duke at North Carolina, 12:00 ET
      Duke: 9-2 ATS when playing on a Saturday
      North Carolina: 6-20 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games

      Iowa State at West Virginia, 4:00 ET
      Iowa State: 14-5 UNDER after playing 3 straight conference games
      West Virginia: 8-18 ATS in games played on turf

      Northwestern at Illinois, 3:30 ET
      Northwestern: 21-7 ATS in road games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse
      Illinois: 27-44 ATS in home games after playing their last game on the road

      Purude at Indiana, 3:30 ET
      Purdue: 0-6 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3
      Indiana: 13-3 ATS in home games after allowing 275 or more rushing yards last game

      Rutgers at Connecticut, 3:30 ET
      Rutgers: 9-1 OVER as a road favorite of 7 points or less
      Connecticut: 10-2 ATS in home games off an upset win as an underdog

      Tennessee at Kentucky, 7:00 ET
      Tennessee: 19-5 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread
      Kentucky: 0-6 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8

      Minnesota at Michigan State, 12:00 ET
      Minnesota: 8-1 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread
      Michigan State: 10-1 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival

      Temple at Memphis, 12:00 ET
      Temple: 7-1 ATS as an underdog
      Memphis: 7-19 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49

      BYU at Nevada, 3:00 ET
      BYU: 9-1 ATS after playing their last game on the road
      Nevada: 2-10 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70

      Tulane at Rice, 3:00 ET
      Tulane: 5-17 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread
      Rice: 6-0 ATS off a road win

      Texas AM at Missouri, 3:00 ET
      Texas AM: 2-10 ATS in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70
      Missouri: 9-2 ATS when playing on a Saturday

      Virginia Tech at Virginia, 3:30 ET
      Virginia Tech: 16-5 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better
      Virginia: 2-10 ATS in home games after playing a conference game

      Alabama at Auburn, 3:30 ET
      Alabama: 7-0 UNDER as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14
      Auburn: 6-0 ATS after playing a conference game

      New Mexico at Boise State, 10:15 ET
      New Mexico: 7-0 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses
      Boise State: 19-7 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70

      Baylor at TCU, 3:30 ET
      Baylor: 9-2 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games
      TCU: 0-7 ATS in home games against conference opponents

      Kansas State at Kansas, 12:00 ET
      Kansas St: 12-4 ATS against conference opponents
      Kansas: 2-10 ATS after gaining 125 or less passing yards in 2 straight games

      Penn State at Wisconsin, 3:30 ET
      Penn State: 13-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
      Wisconsin: 8-1 ATS in games played on turf

      San Diego St at UNLV, 10:30 ET
      San Diego St: 6-0 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival
      UNLV: 1-11 ATS off a road win against a conference rival

      North Texas at Tulsa, 2:30 ET
      North Texas: 6-1 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
      Tulsa: 1-7 after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games

      Clemson at South Carolina, 7:00 ET
      Clemson: 8-1 ATS after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6
      South Carolina: 7-0 UNDER after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game

      UCLA at USC, 8:00 ET
      UCLA: 4-14 ATS in road games after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games
      USC: 15-5 ATS in home games off 3 straight wins against conference rivals

      Notre Dame at Stanford, 8:00 ET
      Notre Dame: 16-36 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5
      Stanford: 17-6 ATS after a win by 28 or more points

      Comment


      • #18
        NCAAF
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Week 14

        Thursday's games


        Texas won four in row, 12 of last 14 games with Texas Tech, winning last seven played here (5-2 vs spread); underdogs are 7-4 vs spread last 11 series games. Seven of Longhorns' last eight series wins were by 10+ points. Texas fired its DC after second game; they had 6-game winning streak snapped by Oklahoma State last game. Tech lost last four games after a 7-0 start, allowing 50.5 ppg; Red Raiders are 1-2 as dogs this year but they've scored 30+ points in all four road games-- its four losses are by average score of 51-31. Texas is 2-3 vs spread at home this season.

        Favorites covered four of last five Egg Bowls, with Miss State 3-1 in last four; Ole Miss lost its last four visits to Starkville, with three of losses by 14+ points. Rebels outrushed State 233-30 LY, after giving up 200+ rushing yards in previous three losses to Bulldogs. Mizzou snapped Ole Miss' 4-game win streak last week, running ball for 260 yards; in all four Rebel losses, they gave up 250+ rushing yards. Bulldogs need win here to get to a bowl; they snapped 3-game skid with win at Arkansas in last game. State is 3-2 at home, losing to LSU/Bama. Ole Miss is 2-2 on road, losing at Alabama/Auburn, beating Vandy/Texas.

        Comment


        • #19
          Friday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet

          Arkansas Razorbacks at LSU Tigers (-24.5, 54)

          One bright spot for the Razorbacks in this rough season has been the pass rush. Arkansas’ 25 sacks are good for third in the SEC, and Chris Smith ranks second in the conference with 8.5 sacks. Pressuring LSU quarterback Zach Mettenberger into potential turnover situations might be the only chance Arkansas has against the Tigers, who gashed the Texas A&M Aggies for 324 rushing yards last week.

          At 2,926 yards for the season,Mettenberger will become the third quarterback in school history to throw from 3,000 yards, barring an injury, but much of that success came early in the season. In LSU’s last five games, Mettenberger has seven touchdowns against five interceptions after racking up a 15-to-3 ratio in the Tigers’ first six contests. Jarvis Landry leads a talented receiving corps with 67 catches for 1,059 yards.

          LINE: The Tigers are listed as 24 1/2-point favorites, with the over/under holding steady at 54.
          WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with sunny skies.
          TRENDS:

          * Razorbacks are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs. teams with winning records.
          * Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU win.
          * Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings at LSU.


          Fresno State Bulldogs at San Jose State Spartans (+7, 71)

          No. 13 Fresno State looks to complete an undefeated and untied regular season for the third time in school history when it visits San Jose State in its regular-season finale Friday. The Bulldogs have already wrapped up the West Division title in the Mountain West Conference and will play in the league championship game on Dec. 7. To finish perfect, Fresno State will have to defeat its longest-running rival, as the Spartans and Bulldogs have played 76 previous times.

          A week after giving up 478 yards and 58 points in a loss to Navy, the San Jose State defense is feeling confident about going up against Fresno State's high-powered offense. Why? Because the Bulldogs are a passing team, something the Spartans are used to facing, as opposed to the run-oriented Midshipmen, who had 432 of their yards on the ground.

          LINE: The Bulldogs opened at -9, but have been bet down to -7. The over/under is holding at 71.
          WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies.
          TRENDS:

          * Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
          * Spartans are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. teams with winning records.
          * Favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.


          Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks (-21.5, 68.5)

          Brandin Cooks is one of the offensive headliners for Oregon State, already possessing the school's single-season record with 110 receptions, just eight shy of the Pac-12 record set last season by Marqise Lee of USC. Of course, behind any record-setting receiver there is a big-time quarterback, and Sean Mannion has been terrific in 2013, completing 66 percent of his passes for 4,089 yards with 34 touchdowns.

          The Ducks were ranked No. 2 in the BCS prior to their loss to the Cardinal and following last week's defeat, Oregon will sit back and watch as Stanford and Arizona State play for the league title next weekend. Mariota (3,127 passing yards, 529 rushing yards, 36 total touchdowns) suffered a head injury last week but passed the concussion protocol and expects to play against the Beavers.

          LINE: Oregon is a 21 1/2-point fave after opening -21. The over/under is up one point to 68 1/2.
          WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with mostly cloudy skies.
          TRENDS:

          * Beavers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
          * Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games on fieldturf.
          * Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.


          South Florida Bulls at UCF Knights (-27, 50)

          The Bulls have faced two ranked teams this season, losing to Miami and Louisville by a combined margin of 83-24. South Florida dropped a 16-6 defeat to Southern Methodist last week despite holding the Mustangs to a season-low 229 passing yards - one week after limiting Memphis to just 59 passing yards. Senior wideout Andre Davis ranks fifth all-time at South Florida in both career receptions (109) and receiving yards (1,441).

          The Knights are 5-1 this season in games decided by seven points or less, although last week's 49-17 rout of Rutgers featured no such drama. Blake Bortles threw for 335 yards and recorded a touchdown through the air and another on the ground, while Storm Johnson had two rushing scores. In addition to its dynamic offense, Central Florida has committed the ninth-fewest turnovers in the country.

          LINE: UCF is a 27-point fave, up one point from a -26 open. The over/under is up a half-point to 50.
          WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing across the length of the field at 8 mph.
          TRENDS:

          * Bulls are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a SU win.
          * Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
          * Over is 7-2 in UCF's last nine games vs. teams with losing records.

          Comment


          • #20
            NCAAF weather report: Black Friday's forecast

            Iowa Hawkeyes at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2, 47.5)
            - Temperatures will be in the mid 30s and the will be a 11 mph wind blowing towards the North endzone.

            Bowling Green Falcons at Buffalo Bulls (+2, 51)
            - There is a 47 percent chance of snow with temperatures in the mid 20s.

            FIU Golden Panthers at Florida Atlantic Owls (-27.5, 42)
            - There is a 10 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the mid 70s. There will be a 15 mph wind blowing across the field.

            Miami Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Panthers (+2.5, 56)
            - Temperatures will be in the low 30s with an 11 percent chance of rain.

            Washington State Cougars at Washington Huskies (-16.5, 65.5)
            - There is a 42 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the high 40s.

            South Florida Bulls at UCF Knights (-27, 50)
            - There is a 10 percent chance of rain with a 7 mph wind blowing towards the South endzone.

            Comment


            • #21
              NCAAF

              Friday, November 29


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              Arkansas at LSU: What bettors need to know
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              Arkansas Razorbacks at Louisiana State Tigers (-24.5, 54)

              No. 15 LSU is hoping to stay hot after its biggest win of the season when it hosts Arkansas on Friday afternoon in the Battle for the Golden Boot. The Tigers are coming off a 34-10 drubbing of Texas A&M last week in which its much maligned defense held the Aggies and Johnny Manziel to a 299 yards and 10 points, both lows in two years under Kevin Sumlin. LSU quarterback Zach Mettenberger, who has been inconsistent over the past few weeks, didn’t have to do much as the Tigers gashed the Aggies for 324 rushing yards.

              Arkansas coach Bret Bielema is trying to avoid becoming the first coach in school history to suffer a nine-game losing streak. The Razorbacks have struggled to score, averaging just 20.1 points per game (110th nationally) and to move the ball through the air at 145.8 yards per game (115th nationally). Unless Arkansas’ running game can carry them, the Razorbacks are staring at a third straight loss in the series.

              TV: 2:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

              LINE: The line has held steady at -24.5. The total opened at 54.5 and has move down slightly to 54.

              WEATHER: It will be clear with temperatures in the mid 50s.

              ABOUT ARKANSAS (3-8, 3-8 ATS): One bright spot for the Razorbacks in this rough season has been the pass rush. Arkansas’ 25 sacks are good for third in
              the SEC, and Chris Smith ranks second in the conference with 8.5 sacks. Pressuring Mettenberger into potential turnover situations might be the only chance Arkansas has against the Tigers.

              ABOUT LSU (8-3, 5-5-1 ATS): At 2,926 yards for the season, Mettenberger will become the third quarterback in school history to throw from 3,000 yards, barring an injury, but much of that success came early in the season. In LSU’s last five games, Mettenberger has seven touchdowns against five interceptions after racking up a 15-to-3 ratio in the Tigers’ first six contests. With one of the nation’s top receiving corps in Jarvis Landry (67 catches, 1,059 yards) and Odell Beckham Jr. (56 catches 1,101 yards), the game against Arkansas could provide Mettenberger a chance to regain his early-season form.

              TRENDS:

              * Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in its last six meetings.
              * Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Louisiana State.
              * Home team is 4-1 ATS in its last five meetings.
              * Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.

              EXTRA POINTS:

              1. LSU leads the nation in third-down percentage at 58.6 percent.

              2. Arkansas is looking to avoid its first winless season in conference play since joining the SEC.

              3. The Golden Boot is a 24-karat gold trophy molded into the shape of the states of Louisiana and Arkansas.


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              Comment


              • #22
                NCAAF

                Friday, November 29


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Oregon State at Oregon: What bettors need to know
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                Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks (-21.5, 68.5)

                A month ago, Oregon was on a path toward the BCS title game, but now the Ducks are simply on a path to redemption. Following a crushing defeat against Stanford on Nov. 7 and last week's stunning blowout at Arizona, No. 12 Oregon returns home looking to take out some anger against rival Oregon State in the Civil War game Friday. The Ducks appear to be catching the Beavers at the right time as Oregon State has dropped four straight games, including a 69-27 pounding against Washington last week.

                The Beavers' rushing defense could be the key this weekend as they allowed 530 yards on the ground against the Huskies. The Ducks, while led by Heisman Trophy candidate Marcus Mariota at quarterback, also possess a strong rushing attack that ranks 10th in the country at 277.9 yards per contest. Oregon wideout Keanon Lowe knows that sulking is not an option at this point, saying, "It's the Civil War. We all know what the Civil War is and what that means. So we have no time to dwell on (our recent losses)."

                TV:
                7 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1.

                LINE:
                The line opened at -22 and has been bet down to -21.5. The total opened at 67.5 and has been bet up to 68.5.

                WEATHER:
                It will be mostly cloudy with temperatures in the mid 40s.

                BOUT OREGON STATE (6-5, 5-6 ATS):
                Brandin Cooks is one of the offensive headliners for Oregon State, already possessing the school's single-season
                record with 110 receptions, just eight shy of the Pac-12 record set last season by Marqise Lee of USC. Of course, behind any record-setting receiver there is a big-time quarterback, and Sean Mannion has been terrific in 2013, completing 66 percent of his passes for 4,089 yards with 34 touchdowns. However, the Oregon State defense has allowed 37.5 points on average during its four-game slide and gave up 692 total yards to the Huskies last weekend.

                ABOUT OREGON (9-2, 7-4 ATS):
                The Ducks were ranked No. 2 in the BCS prior to their loss to the Cardinal and following last week's defeat, Oregon will sit
                back and watch as Stanford and Arizona State play for the league title next weekend. Mariota (3,127 passing yards, 529 rushing yards, 36 total touchdowns) suffered a head injury last week but passed the concussion protocol and expects to play against the Beavers. Still, that could mean a heavier workload for De'Anthony Thomas, who racked up 227 all-purpose yards on 27 touches against Arizona.

                TRENDS:

                * Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Oregon.
                * Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.
                * Oregon State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five meetings.
                * Road team is 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven meetings.

                EXTRA POINTS:

                1. Prior to throwing an interception on the Ducks' first play against Arizona, Mariota had gone 353 straight passes without a pick.

                2. Oregon has won five straight in the series.

                3. Oregon State has six wins, but the Beavers are not guaranteed a bowl game, as the Pac-12 has seven bowl agreements but nine teams already bowl eligible.


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                Comment


                • #23
                  NCAAF
                  Armadillo's Write-Up

                  Week 14


                  Friday/Saturday's games
                  Top 13 games

                  Friday's best games


                  Nebraska shut Iowa down in both meetings as league rivals, winning 13-7 at Iowa LY, 20-7 here in 2011; Cornhuskers outrushed Iowa 422-196 in the two games. Hawkeyes completed just 27-61 passing in those games; they're 3-1 on road this year, losing by 10 (+17) at Ohio State for only road loss. Nebraska allowed 34-41-41 points in its three losses this year, with two of them at home; Iowa scored 24 or less points in six of its last seven games. Big Dozen home favorites are 14-9 vs spread.

                  Miami won its last seven games with Pitt, but teams haven't met since 2010, only once in last decade; Hurricanes were outrushed 601-276 in last two games- they've lost three of last four after 7-0 start, losing at Florida State (41-14), Duke (48-20). Pitt has total of 168 rushing yards in its last four games; they've lost three of last five, nipping Syracuse in Carrier Dome 17-16 last week, which made them bowl eligible. Panthers are 6-5 but beat Duke/Notre Dame, pretty good teams; they're 3-2 as an underdog this season. Miami failed to cover any of its last six games.

                  Washington State upset the Huskies LY, ending three-year skid in Apple Cup, where underdogs are 11-5 vs spread the last 16 years, 1-3 last four; dogs are 5-2 in Coogs' last seven visits here. 6-5 Wazzu became eligible for bowl last week, but their last four losses this year have been by 38-28-24-34 points; they're 4-2 as an underdog this year. Washington is 3-1 as home favorite this year, beating I-A teams at home by 32-18-24-52 points; Huskies played only one game this year that was decided by less than 10 points. Pac-12 home favorites are 16-11 against the spread.

                  Oregon won its last five games with Oregon State, beating Beavers by an average score of 47-27; State lost seven of last eight visits here (3-5 vs spread), losing last two 49-21/37-33. Ducks lost two of last theree after an 8-0 start; they're 3-2 as home favorites this year, winning by 24-23 in two games they didn't cover. Oregon allowed 274-304 rushing yards iin its two losses, but State is more of finesse passing team. State lost last four games; they're 6-5 with loss to a I-AA team, not sure what bowl is going want them- they're 4-1 SU on road, 2-0 as a road underdog.

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Betting NCAAF teams facing disappointing finishes

                    For a handful of NCAA teams, the end of the season can't get here quickly enough.

                    While the top programs head into their respective finales looking to fine-tune for bowl season, several teams with high expectations will be headed home early. Others will wind up playing in a bowl game - but it won't carry nearly the same prestige as the game they were hoping for.

                    Here are four teams with little to play for as they wrap up their seasons:

                    TCU Horned Frogs (4-7, 2-6 Big 12)

                    This week: vs. Baylor Bears (9-1, 6-1)

                    Just two seasons removed from a third consecutive Mountain West championship, the Horned Frogs' fall from grace is nearly complete. Faced with needing back-to-back home wins over Texas and West Virginia to bolster their bowl chances, they proceeded to lose them both - allowing 60 points in the process - and saw their final chance at bowl eligibility vaporized with last week's 33-31 loss at Kansas State. But TCU still has something to play for - a win over Baylor would send the Bears plummeting down the rankings and drop them into a less desirable bowl game.

                    TCU is an 11.5-point underdog for Saturday afternoon's tilt with Baylor.


                    Florida Gators (4-7, 3-5 SEC)

                    This week: vs. Florida State Seminoles (11-0, 8-0)

                    The Gainesville faithful couldn't have seen this disaster of a season coming, particularly after the Gators opened with four wins in their first five games. Since then, Florida has dropped six-straight contests - including its first-ever defeat against an FCS opponent - and will finish with a losing record for the first time in 35 years. Last week's stunning 26-20 loss to Georgia Southern halted Florida's bowl streak at 22 seasons. The Gators won't need much prodding to get up for their season finale - a showdown with the rival Seminoles, who can clinch a spot in the National Championship with a win.

                    Florida is a 27.5-point underdog versus visiting Florida State.


                    Oregon Ducks (9-2, 6-2 Pac-12)

                    This week: vs. Oregon State Beavers (6-5, 4-4)

                    Both teams belong on this list, but the Ducks' precipitous drop from second to 13th in the BCS standings is easily the more egregious development. Oregon was on track for a possible spot in the National Championship three weeks ago, but dropped a six-point decision to Stanford and was blown out 42-16 in Arizona two weeks later. The second defeat cost the Ducks an at-large BCS berth, leaving it to settle for what will likely be an appearance in the Alamo Bowl. Oregon State is also struggling, having dropped four in a row to land in one of the lesser bowl games.

                    Oregon is a 21.5-point favorite for Friday's home game against Oregon State.


                    Georgia Bulldogs (7-4, 5-3 SEC)

                    This week: at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-4, 5-3 ACC)

                    The Bulldogs came into the year as a prohibitive favorite to contend for a BCS berth - even picking up a first-place vote in the preseason AP Top 25 poll. But an early four-game winning streak gave way to consecutive losses to Missouri and Vanderbilt, and a 43-38 defeat at the hands of the Auburn Tigers dropped the Bulldogs out of contention for the conference championship. Losing senior quarterback Aaron Murray to a torn ACL in last week's 59-17 drubbing of Kentucky was a tragically fitting final straw for a team that saw more than its share of bad luck this year.

                    Georgia is a 3.5-point favorite against host Georgia Tech.

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      NCAAF
                      Armadillo's Write-Up

                      Week 14


                      Saturday's games

                      Top 13 games


                      Michigan was outgained 407-158 in 24-21 (+6) loss at Iowa last week; Wolverines look slow on offense- they’ve lost eight of last nine games with Ohio State, with four of last five losses by 11+ points. Buckeyes lost last visit here when an interim coach was in charge; they’re +8 in turnovers in last four series games and have 200+ rushing yards in five of last six meetings. Ohio State’s last four wins are all by 25+ points; they’re 3-1 as road favorites, winning away games by 18-10-56-25 points, but none of those four teams will go bowling, and 70 of 128 I-A teams go bowling. Michigan lost three of last four games; they’re 5-1 at home, with only loss 17-13 to Nebraska. Underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in last four series games played here.

                      Duke is on a serious roll, winning last seven games, covering last six; after being 1-30 in last 31 November games before this year, they’re 3-0 this month. Duke is 4-1 vs spread as an underdog this year- they haven’t lost any game since September, but Blue Devils are 2-14 in last 16 games vs North Carolina, losing eight of last nine in series where underdog is 7-4 vs spread in last 11 games. Duke lost last four visits to Chapel Hill by 16-13-6-3 points, but they’re 4-0 SU on road this year, scoring 27 ppg. North Carolina became bowl eligible by whacking ODU 80-20 last week; Monarchs are moving up to I-A, so no big deal, but Tar Heels have won last five games, scoring 35 ppg in last four other than the ODU game.

                      Michigan State won last seven games, covered seven of last eight, five of last six when favored. State is 2-3 as home favorite this year, winning home games by 13-15-14-14-23 points. Spartans won their last three games with Minnesota by 16-7-23 points (29-14 average score), but they’re 1-7 vs spread last eight times they were favored to beat Gophers, who lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 7-23-34 points. Minnesota had won/covered four in row before losing at home to Wisconsin last week; Gophers are 3-1 vs spread on road, with two wins by FG each and 42-13 loss at Michigan. Spartans allowed total of six points in their last two home games. Overall, underdogs are 8-4 vs spread in series.

                      Georgia lost 4-year starting QB Murray (knee) last week, sad thing; his replacement is Hutson Mason, highly thought of but very inexperienced; Dawgs won 11 of last 12 games with Georgia Tech, winning last four by average score of 36-21 in series when Georgia won its last five visits here, by 14-6-14-7-17 points. Georgia is 1-7-1 vs spread in its last nine games, 2-3 SU on road this year, with all five games decided by 5 or less points; they’re 1-6-1 vs spread as a favorite, 0-3-1 on road. Tech beat a I-AA team last week, second one they played this year; they’re 3-1 at home to I-A teams, losing 17-10 to Va Tech. Jackets are 0-3 vs spread as an underdog this season. Favorites are 7-5 vs spread in last dozen series games.

                      Underdogs covered four of last five A&M-Missouri games, with Tigers winning five of last seven, but they lost 59-29 at A&M LY; this is Aggies’ first visit to Columbia since ’07, when teams were Big 12 rivals. A&M lost 40-26/45-22 in last two visits here; they had scored 41+ points in every game this year until rainy 34-10 loss at LSU last week, first time Manziel completed less than half his passes. Mizzou got QB Franklin back last week; they’ve won last three games, covered eight of last nine, with only loss in OT to South Carolina- they’ve allowed total of 30 points in last three games. Aggies allowed 33-38-34 points in winning two of previous three road games.

                      Alabama spanked Auburn 42-14/49-0 in two meetings since Cam Newton left; they’re 4-1 overall in rivalry that has seen favorites cover six of last eight games. Tide is 4-3 in last seven visits here, winning 26-21/42-14 in last two. Bama beat Texas A&M 49-42 back on Sept 14; since then, they’ve allowed total of 50 points in eight I-A games, going 5-3 vs spread. Tide is 1-2 as road favorite this year, winning away games by 7 at A&M, 48-7 at Kentucky, 20-7 at Miss State. Auburn has had dram season in Malzahn’s first as HC, going 10-1 with shaky passing game- they’ve scored 44.6 ppg in last five games- their only loss was 35-21 (+17) at LSU back on Sept 21. Tigers are 3-0 as underdogs, winning two of the three SU.

                      South Carolina won its last four games with Clemson, all by 10+ points; Tigers had won five of last six visits to Columbia, before losing 34-17/34-13 in last two visits here. Carolina outgained Clemson by 145 ypg in last four meetings. Tigers scored 43.5 ppg in winning all four of its road games this year, but they allowed 35-51 points in only two games this year that had single digit pointspread, 38-35 home win (+2.5) over Georgia in opener, 5-14 home loss (+3) to Florida State that is only blemish on this year’s record- they’ scored 51.7 ppg in three wins over I-A teams since then. Gamecocks are 5-0 SU at home this year, 2-3 as home favorites, winning by 17-10-7-18-5 points; five of their last seven I-A games were decided by 7 or less points.

                      USC won 12 of last 14 games with crosstown rival UCLA, but lost 38-28 in Pasadena LY; Bruins lost last seven visits to Coliseum (1-6 vs spread) by average score of 37-9. USC won/covered its last five games since losing at Notre Dame; they’re 3-2 as home favorites this year, winning in Coliseum by 28-3-7-16-3 points- they covered five of last seven games overall. UCLA is 3-3 in last six games after starting season 5-0; in their 38-33 home loss to ASU last week, Sun Devils ran ball for 232 yards, passed for 225; Bruins are 3-2 SU on road, 2-2 SU/ATS when a road dog. After scoring 10-14 points in losses at Stanford/Oregon, Bruins scored average of 37.5 ppg in last four games. UCLA is 4-2 vs spread this season when spread is single digits, USC is 4-3.

                      Favorites are 6-4-1 vs spread in last 11 Notre Dame-Stanford games; Cardinal won three of last four meetings, winning by 14-23-7 points. Notre Dame lost last two visits here by 7-14 points; they’ve won five of last six games since losing at home to Oklahoma, are 2-2 in true road games, winning at dismal Air Force/Purdue, losing 41-30 (+4) at Michigan, 28-21 (-3.5) at Pitt- they’re 1-2 as underdogs this year. Stanford pummeled rival Cal last week, after playing USC/Oregon the two weeks before that, so they could be little drained here; Cardinal are 6-0 at home, 2-2 as home favorites, winning on Farm by 21-14-3-14-6 points. Last week was first time in last six games Stanford scored more than 26 points- they’re 1-2 as double digit favorite this season.

                      Home side lost last four Arizona-ASU games; Wildcats won 31-27/20-17 in last two visits here, in series where underdog is 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine meetings and average total in last three is 64.0. Erratic Arizona had lost two games in row before drilling Oregon 42-16 (+19) last week, running ball for 304 yards, converting 11-16 on 3rd down, with +3 turnover margin- it was their first cover in three tries as an underdog in ’13. Arizona is 3-2 SU on road, losing by 18 at Washington, 7 at USC. ASU is 6-0 since losing to Notre Dame in Dallas; they’re 3-2 as home favorites this year, winning at home by 2-21-41-29-13 points- they’ve allowed 30+ points five times this year. Pac-12 home favorites are xx-xx against the spread this season.

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        NCAAF

                        Tuesday, November 26


                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        Ohio State at Michigan: What bettors need to know
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                        Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines (+16, 57)

                        Ohio State has enjoyed one of the best seasons in school history, but for the Buckeyes, no outstanding campaign can be complete without a win over Michigan. The third-ranked Buckeyes, riding the longest winning streak in the nation, visit the Wolverines on Saturday for the 110th meeting in the historic rivalry. Ohio State has won a school-record 23 consecutive games and taken nine of the last 11 meetings with Michigan, which is scuffling to the finish line this season.

                        The Buckeyes, who rank third in the nation in points (48.7) and eighth in points allowed (18.4), already have clinched a spot in next week's Big Ten championship game against Michigan State. Still, Ohio State knows that a loss to Michigan would ruin its national title hopes, as it currently sits third in the BCS standings, desperately needing either Alabama or Florida State to lose. "It is different. It's not just another game. It's not," Buckeyes coach Urban Meyer said, vowing to remain focused on the Wolverines. "Our players know that. ... There is an extra pep in the step."

                        TV: Noon ET, ABC.

                        LINE: The line opened with the Wolverines as 12-point home dogs and has since jumped four points to +16. The total opened at 58 and has dropped to 57.

                        WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid 30s with a 10 mph wind blowing towards the North end zone.

                        ABOUT OHIO STATE (11-0, 6-4-1 ATS): While quarterback Braxton Miller has generated a lot of the headlines around Columbus, the Buckeyes' running game ranks first in the Big Ten and fifth nationally with 314 yards per game. Carlos Hyde (1,064 yards, 13 TDs) is the first running back ever to rush for 1,000 yards under Meyer, while Miller is the school's all-time leading rusher among quarterbacks with 2,724 yards. Linebacker Ryan Shazier, who leads the Big Ten with 108 tackles, headlines a fierce defense that has allowed 14 points or less in three of its last four games.

                        ABOUT MICHIGAN (7-4, 6-5 ATS): Michigan has lost three of its last four contests, including a 24-21 defeat to Iowa last week in which Brady Hoke's team squandered a 14-point halftime lead. Still, the Wolverines' head coach remains optimistic heading into their showdown with the Buckeyes, saying earlier this week: "I am very confident that we can win, or we wouldn't play." Michigan's defense has been inconsistent this season, but Blake Countess leads the conference with five interceptions.

                        TRENDS:
                        * Ohio State is 6-0 ATS in its last six meetings.
                        * Ohio State is 4-0 ATS in its last four meetings in Michigan.
                        * Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
                        * Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a SU loss.

                        EXTRA POINTS:

                        1. Ohio State defeated Michigan 26-20 last season but still trails the all-time series 58-45-6

                        2. The Wolverines have ruined the Buckeyes' hopes for an undefeated season five times, the last coming when they upset a 10-0 Ohio State team in 1996.

                        3. Michigan WR Jeremy Gallon needs one catch to tie Steve Breaston (156) for fifth place on the school's all-time receptions list. The fifth-year senior has made at least one catch in 37 straight games.



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                        Comment


                        • #27
                          NCAAF

                          Saturday, November 30


                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Alabama at Auburn: What bettors need to know
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Alabama Crimson Tide at Auburn Tigers (+10.5, 54.5)

                          Fans have been camped out since last weekend in anticipation of the latest installment of a bitter rivalry, as No. 5 Auburn hosts No. 1 Alabama on Saturday with a trip to the SEC Championship on the line. As if an in-state rivalry dating to 1893 weren't enough, the victor will remain in the national championship discussion. The winner of the Iron Bowl has won the BCS national championship the past four seasons.

                          Both teams are enjoying charmed seasons - Alabama has claimed nine of its 11 games by 21 points or more, and Auburn has won seven straight since a 35-21 loss at LSU. "We don't think we've played our best game," Auburn defensive lineman Nosa Eguae told reporters. "We know that game is still out there for us." They'll likely have to find it Saturday to knock off the Crimson Tide, who have won the last two meetings 42-14 and 49-0 and did not allow an offensive touchdown in either game.

                          TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

                          LINE: The line opened at Auburn +10.5, and jumped slightly to +11, but has since come back down to +10.5. The total hasn't moved from 54.5.

                          WEATHER: Temperature will be in the mid 50s with a 5 mph wind blowing across the field.

                          ABOUT ALABAMA (11-0, 6-4-1 ATS): The early-season concerns about the Crimson Tide's defense have proven unfounded, as Alabama ranks third in the nation in total defense (263.9 yards per game) and leads the country at 9.3 points allowed per contest. The offense is often downplayed, but quarterback A.J. McCarron is enjoying another outstanding season, completing 68.6 percent of his passes for 2,399 yards with 23 touchdowns and five interceptions. Leading rusher T.J. Yeldon (1,022 yards, 12 TDs) sat out last week's 49-0 win over Tennessee-Chattanooga with a toe injury but is expected to play.

                          ABOUT AUBURN (10-1, 9-2 ATS): The Tigers boast the top ground game in the SEC with Tre Mason (1,153 yards, 17 TDs) and quarterback Nick Marshall (823 yards, nine TDs) leading the way, but they know they'll need to be more balanced against a tough Alabama defense. Auburn can't afford a slow start that would force it to the passing game, so the sometimes-suspect defense must slow down the Crimson Tide early. If the Tigers are going to pull off the upset, they might need a big play on special teams from returner Chris Davis, who leads the nation in punt return average at 22.5 yards including an 85-yard touchdown at Tennessee.

                          TRENDS:

                          * Over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in Auburn.
                          * Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
                          * Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings.
                          * Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games versus a team with a winning home record.

                          EXTRA POINTS:

                          1. Alabama has won 18 straight away from home, the longest active streak in the FBS and one shy of the longest such streak in school history.

                          2. Auburn has scored at least 30 points in seven consecutive games for the first time since 1994. The Tigers have won 86 consecutive games when hitting the 30-point mark.

                          3. Already the school record holder in passing yards (8,355) and passing touchdowns (72), McCarron needs 16 completions to break John Parker Wilson's school mark of 665.



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                          Last edited by Udog; 11-29-2013, 10:55 PM.

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                          • #28
                            NCAAF

                            Saturday, November 30


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                            Clemson at South Carolina: What bettors need to know
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                            Clemson Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks (-5.5, 58)

                            Clemson and South Carolina have met 110 times in a series dating to 1896, but when the fourth-ranked Tigers visit the ninth-ranked Gamecocks on Saturday, it will mark the first time both schools have met while ranked in the top 10. Beyond bragging rights in the Palmetto State for the next year, there are heavy BCS bowl implications on the line. The Tigers look destined to reach the Orange Bowl provided Florida State - the only team to beat Clemson this season - reaches the national championship game, while South Carolina could end up in the Sugar Bowl.

                            The series has been dominated by South Carolina of late, with the Gamecocks winning the past four matchups by a combined 124-54. Two junior stars projected to be top-10 picks in next spring’s NFL draft look to shine in the regular-season finale. Clemson wide receiver Sammy Watkins leads the ACC with seven 100-yard receiving games and is a finalist for the Biletnikoff Award, while South Carolina defensive end Jadeveon Clowney has 23 career sacks.

                            TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

                            LINE: The line has been steady at -5.5 and the total also hasn't moved from 58.

                            WEATHER: There is a 10 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the mid 40s.

                            ABOUT CLEMSON (10-1, 6-5 ATS): The Tigers are flying on offense since scoring just 14 points in the loss to Florida State, averaging 51.5 points during their four-game winning streak. Quarterback Tajh Boyd threw five touchdown passes in last week’s 52-6 rout of The Citadel, giving him 102 for his career. Clemson ranks 18th nationally in scoring defense (20.2) and defensive end Vic Beasley is tied for second in the ACC with 10 sacks.

                            ABOUT SOUTH CAROLINA (9-2, 5-6 ATS): The Gamecocks have allowed 54 points during their four-game winning streak, 24 of those coming in a two-overtime victory at Missouri, and are 17th nationally in passing yards allowed per game (200.7). Clowney had 4.5 sacks in last season’s 27-17 victory at Clemson. South Carolina averages 465.8 yards of total offense and need 375 yards to match the school record of 5,499 yards set in 2010.

                            TRENDS:

                            * Clemson is 0-4 ATS in its last four meetings.
                            * South Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last seven versus the ACC.
                            * Over is 4-1 in Clemson's last five games overall.
                            * Under is 5-0 in South Carolina's last five games overall.

                            EXTRA POINTS:

                            1. The Gamecocks own the nation’s longest current home winning streak at 18 games.

                            2. Clemson K Chandler Catanzaro is second in ACC history in points (395) and sixth in field goals (66).

                            3. The Tigers lead the all-time series 65-41-4.



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                            • #29
                              NCAAF

                              Saturday, November 30


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                              Texas A&M at Missouri: What bettors need to know
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                              Texas A&M Aggies at Missouri Tigers (-5, 66.5)

                              As the regular season comes to a close, only a visit from Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel and No. 21 Texas A&M stand in the way of No. 5 Missouri and the SEC Championship game. The Tigers have been the surprise of the conference this season, following an injury-riddled 5-7 campaign with a 10-1 start in their second year of SEC play behind a balanced offense and a fierce pass rush. The Aggies took their turn as the hot newcomer last season, riding Manziel to a Cotton Bowl win, but have struggled defensively this season, especially against the run, ranking 107th nationally at 221 yards allowed per game.

                              The Tigers will to exploit that with their talented trio of running backs, led by Henry Josey (6.1 yards per carry, 12 touchdowns). If Missouri needs a blueprint to stop Manziel, it doesn’t need to look further than last week, when LSU used a conservative containment approach to hold the Aggies to 299 total yards and 10 points, both lows in the Manziel-Kevin Sumlin era. For a Texas A&M team that has played virtually no defense all year long, those kind of numbers offensively will continue to spell trouble.

                              TV: 7:45 p.m. ET, ESPN.

                              LINE: The line opened at -4.5, dropped to -4, then jumped up to -5. The total has held firm at 66.5.

                              WEATHER: There is a 10 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the low 40s.

                              ABOUT TEXAS A&M (8-3, 5-6 ATS): Manziel has dropped down in the Heisman discussion after his poor performance against LSU, but that doesn’t mean Missouri shouldn’t be afraid of what the Aggies signal caller can do. He put up 439 total yards and five touchdowns a year ago against the Tigers in a 59-29 rout that all but sealed his Heisman campaign. That seems like a long time ago for an Aggies' team that is allowing a league-high 460.1 yards per game, forcing all of the pressure onto Manziel.

                              ABOUT MISSOURI (10-1, 9-1-1 ATS): For a Missouri program that has been defined by its offense in the Gary Pinkel era, the Tigers have been led by their defense this year. The pass rush leads the SEC with 35 sacks, 10 of which belong to defensive end Michael Sam, also a league high. Offensively, quarterback James Franklin proved himself healthy last week against Ole Miss, throwing for 142 yards and rushing for 42 after missing four games with a shoulder injury.

                              TRENDS:

                              * Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
                              * Texas A&M is 1-5 ATS in its last six conference games.
                              * Missouri is 6-1 ATS in its last seven conference games.
                              * Under is 4-1 in Missouri's last five home games.

                              EXTRA POINTS:

                              1. With a win, Pinkel will tie Don Faurot as the all-time winningest coach in program history with 101 victories.

                              2. Due to scheduling quirks related to conference realignment, the teams met in College Station in each of the last three seasons.

                              3. Missouri is one of five schools ranked in the Top 15 nationally in both scoring offense and scoring defense.



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                              • #30
                                NCAAF

                                Saturday, November 30


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                                UCLA at USC: What bettors need to know
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                                UCLA Bruins at Southern California Trojans (-3.5, 51.5)

                                It appeared unlikely when head coach Lane Kiffin was fired in late September, but No. 23 USC has a chance to reach double-digit victories when arch rival UCLA comes to town on Saturday. The Trojans are 6-1 under interim coach Ed Orgeron, including an upset of then-No. 5 Stanford two weeks ago, followed by last Saturday's 47-29 victory over Colorado. The 22nd-ranked Bruins, meanwhile, are coming off a loss to Arizona State in a game to determine the Pac-12 South's representative in the conference title game.

                                "We just have to get better from it. And we will," vowed UCLA coach Jim Mora Jr. after his team's first home loss of the season. Orgeron, whose team has won five straight games, has stressed to his players the importance of staying focused in preparation for the 83rd all-time meeting between the schools. "It’s Game 8 of our new season," he said. "Obviously, this is a big game for us -- it’s a rivalry game, it’s our last regular-season game -- but there will be no difference in the planning, or the practice or the preparation."

                                TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC.

                                LINE: The Trojans have held steady as 3.5-point home faves. The total also hasn't moved from 51.5.

                                WEATHER: It will be clear with temperatures in the mid 60s. There will be a 6 mph wind blowing across the field.

                                ABOUT UCLA (8-3, 7-4 ATS): Brett Hundley has thrown at least one touchdown pass in 24 of his 25 career games, including all 11 contests this season, and has completed 70.1 percent of his passes over the last four games. The Bruins' defense has been a terror in the third quarter this season, holding its opponents to a total of 34 points. Overall, 20 points continues to be the magic number for UCLA, as the Bruins have won 20 straight games when holding their opponent under 20.

                                ABOUT USC (9-3, 6-6 ATS): USC will be honoring 20 seniors, although the Trojans are fortunate that Javorius Allen (439 rushing yards, nine TDs in his last four games) is not among them and will be back in 2014. Fellow sophomore Cody Kessler has not thrown for 300 yards in any game this season, but he has nine touchdown passes against only two interceptions over his last seven games. The Trojans' defense has not been their strength in 2014, although defensive end Leonard Williams (13 tackles for loss) was a semifinalist for the Bednarik Award.

                                TRENDS:

                                * Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
                                * Home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
                                * Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Southern California.
                                * UCLA is 1-7 ATS in its last eight meetings in Southern California.

                                EXTRA POINTS:

                                1. USC leads the all-time series 44-29-7 (two other Trojans' wins were vacated), while UCLA defeated the Trojans last season when it scored the first 24 points en route to a 38-28 triumph.

                                2. The Bruins have not won at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum since 1997 when Cade McNown led them to victory.

                                3. USC junior WR Marqise Lee (shin) is expected to play after sitting out against Colorado.



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