The Bum's November's NBA News-Notes-POD'S !

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday, November 19

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Minnesota - 7:00 PM ET Washington +3.5 500 POD # 4

Washington - Over 207 500

New York - 7:30 PM ET Detroit -4.5 500

Detroit - Under 198.5 500

Atlanta - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta +9 500 POD # 3

Miami - Over 204 500

Boston - 8:00 PM ET Boston +10.5 500

Houston - Over 205.5 500

Phoenix - 10:00 PM ET Phoenix +2 500 POD # 1

Sacramento - Over 194.5 500 POD # 2

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Wednesday

November 20, 2013


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Cavaliers are 0-9-1 ATS (-6.15 ppg) since Mar 19, 2006 at home off a win that broke at least a three-game losing streak.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Warriors are 0-9 OU (-10.17 ppg) since Apr 02, 2011 when their opponent is playing in at least their fourth straight road game.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Spurs are 0-8 ATS (-14.81 ppg) since Feb 19, 2013 off a win in which they trailed by 10+ points as a favorite.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Cavaliers are 0-8 OU (-9.56 ppg) since Mar 25, 2011 off an overtime game.

-- The Mavericks are 0-7 ATS (-11.64 ppg) since Apr 03, 2010 at home when seeking revenge for a loss in which they shot less than 40% from the field on the road.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday Tips

November 19, 2013


Heat at Magic - 7:05 PM EST

Miami: 8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS
Orlando: 4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS

The Heat finishes off a back-to-back set with a short trip to central Florida. Miami swept the four-game season series from Orlando last season, but the Magic lost two of those games by a combined three points. Following consecutive defeats to the 76ers and Nets, the Heat has won each of their past two road contests in convincing fashion at Toronto and Charlotte. Miami had scored at least 100 points in its first nine games before being limited to 97 points in Saturday's away triumph at Charlotte.

Orlando completes a three-game homestand after dropping a 108-100 decision to Dallas on Saturday night as a short underdog. The Magic has failed to cover in five consecutive games, as Orlando started the season at 5-0 ATS. During this 1-4 SU stretch, Orlando has been limited to 94 points or less three times, while going 5-2 to the 'under' in the last seven trips to the court.

Blazers at Bucks - 8:05 PM EST

Portland: 9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS
Milwaukee: 2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS

The Blazers look to close out their four-game road trip unbeaten after taking care of Boston, Toronto, and Brooklyn by at least eight point margins. Portland is riding a seven-game winning streak, while covering in eight of nine victories this season. Since losing the opener at Phoenix, the Blazers have won five straight road contests, but are listed as an away favorite for just the second time, with the first occurrence coming at Boston, a 109-96 victory.

Milwaukee is down many key players with Larry Sanders, Caron Butler, and Brandon Knight already missing multiple games this season. The Bucks are in the midst of a five-game skid, as Milwaukee has scored 95 points or less in seven of nine games, all losses. In spite of all the woes, the Bucks own a 4-2 ATS record this season as a single-digit underdog, while winning four straight meetings against the Blazers.

Clippers at Wolves - 8:05 PM EST

Los Angeles: 7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS
Minnesota: 7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS

The Clippers head on the highway for a pair of games against teams they have beaten at home already. Los Angeles travels to Oklahoma City on Thursday, but takes on another Northwest Division squad on Wednesday with a visit to the Target Center. The Clips couldn't finish their most recent homestand unbeaten, as Memphis continued its ownership of Los Angeles with a 106-102 road triumph. Los Angeles led off that homestand with a 109-107 victory over Minnesota, but the Wolves cashed as 6 ½-point underdogs.

The Wolves come off of Tuesday's road defeat at Washington, as Minnesota has won five of six games at the Target Center this season. In their last three home victories, the Wolves have eclipsed the 106-point mark each time, but they have beaten only two above .500 teams at home (Thunder and Mavericks). Minnesota has had its issues against Los Angeles recently, losing six straight meetings, including each of the last three at home.

Rockets at Mavericks - 9:35 PM EST

Houston: 8-4 SU, 6-5-1 ATS
Dallas: 7-4 SU, 7-4 ATS

The Rockets are rounding into form after putting together their second winning streak of three games following last night's home rout of the Celtics. Houston goes for its second win over Dallas this season after outlasting the Mavericks, 113-105 on November 1 to cash as 6 ½-point favorites. The Rockets attempted 51 free throws in that contest, compared to just 25 for the Mavs, while James Harden led Houston with a game-high 34 points. Kevin McHale's team has won three of five games away from the Toyota Center, while hitting four straight 'overs' on the highway.

The Mavs own a perfect 5-0 record at the American Airlines Center, but failed to cover as 11 ½-point favorites in a 97-94 victory over Philadelphia on Monday. That non-cover snapped a four-game ATS hot streak for Dallas, while falling to 6-1 ATS this season in the favorite role. Dallas has taken care of business against Houston at home recently, winning each of the last four meetings.

Grizzlies at Warriors - 10:35 PM EST

Memphis: 6-5 SU, 3-7-1 ATS
Golden State: 8-3, 6-4-1 ATS

The Grizzlies have quietly won three straight games as Memphis goes for a California sweep on Wednesday at Golden State. Memphis grabbed a pair of victories at Staples Center over the Lakers and Clippers, while taking care of the Kings by 11 points as a short favorite. Now, the Grizzlies go for their second win over the Warriors this season after routing Golden State at FedEx Forum on November 9 by a 108-90 count, the 10th consecutive victory in the series.

Golden State is rolling in the midst of a four-game winning streak, coming off a home-and-home sweep of lowly Utah. Mark Jackson's club is undefeated at Oracle Arena this season with a 5-0 record, but failed to cover in their last two home contests against the Thunder and Jazz. The Warriors will be without sharpshooter Stephen Curry, who is out with a concussion, which was suffered in Monday's victory at Utah.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

LA Clippers at Minnesota
The Clippers travel to Minnesota tonight where they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games versus the Timberwolves. LA is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+1). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 20

Game 501-502: Brooklyn at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 113.889; Charlotte 117.887
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 4; 182
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: Washington at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 111.459; Cleveland 116.390
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 5; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 3; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-3); Over

Game 505-506: Indiana at New York (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 125.081; New York 115.928
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 9; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6); Under

Game 507-508: Miami at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 123.377; Orlando 120.634
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+7 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Toronto at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 117.134; Philadelphia 114.800
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 511-512: Detroit at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 114.030; Atlanta 121.833
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8; 187
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 513-514: Portland at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.872; Milwaukee 114.919
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 6; 208
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 515-516: LA Clippers at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 123.019; Minnesota 121.228
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 213 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+1); Under

Game 517-518: Utah at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 108.191; New Orleans 120.810
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 12 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 10 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-10 1/2); Under

Game 519-520: Boston at San Antonio (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 118.960; San Antonio 127.419
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 14 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+14 1/2); Over

Game 521-522: Sacramento at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.673; Phoenix 118.013
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 2 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+5 1/2); Over

Game 523-524: Houston at Dallas (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 117.401; Dallas 124.033
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 6 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 3; 215
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3); Under

Game 525-526: Memphis at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 118.717; Golden State 126.190
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 7 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 20

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BROOKLYN (3 - 7) at CHARLOTTE (5 - 6) - 11/20/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 7-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (3 - 7) at CLEVELAND (4 - 7) - 11/20/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 85-124 ATS (-51.4 Units) in November games since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in November games this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (9 - 1) at NEW YORK (3 - 7) - 11/20/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 7-6 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-6 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (8 - 3) at ORLANDO (4 - 6) - 11/20/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 93-131 ATS (-51.1 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (4 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 7) - 11/20/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (4 - 6) at ATLANTA (6 - 5) - 11/20/2013, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (9 - 2) at MILWAUKEE (2 - 7) - 11/20/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-0 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (7 - 4) at MINNESOTA (7 - 5) - 11/20/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 189-247 ATS (-82.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 161-202 ATS (-61.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (1 - 11) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 6) - 11/20/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (4 - 8) at SAN ANTONIO (9 - 1) - 11/20/2013, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 108-80 ATS (+20.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 86-63 ATS (+16.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 138-103 ATS (+24.7 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 323-264 ATS (+32.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-0 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (3 - 7) at PHOENIX (5 - 5) - 11/20/2013, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) first half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (8 - 4) at DALLAS (7 - 4) - 11/20/2013, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 262-212 ATS (+28.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 427-361 ATS (+29.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (6 - 5) at GOLDEN STATE (8 - 3) - 11/20/2013, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 8-0 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, November 20

Hot teams
-- Bobcats are 4-1-1 against the spread on the road.
-- Pacers won nine of their first ten games (5-2 as F).
-- Miami won seven of last eight games, covered three of last four.
-- Hawks won/covered three of their four home games.
-- Portland won its last seven games (6-1 vs spread).
-- Clippers won four of their last five games. Minnesota won its last three home games, by 8-29-18 points.
-- Spurs won last seven games, covered three of last four.
-- Rockets won four of last five games, covered last three. Mavericks also won four of their last five games.
-- Memphis won its last three games, all on the road. Warriors won their last four games, with three of four by 11+ points.

Cold teams
-- Nets lost five of their last six games.
-- Cleveland lost five of its last seven games. Wizards lost their last four games (1-3 vs spread).
-- Knicks lost seven of their last nine games, five in row at home.
-- Magic lost four of their last five games.
-- Raptors lost six of their last eight games. 76ers lost seven of last nine.
-- Pistons lost five of their last seven games.
-- Bucks lost their last five games; they're 1-3 at home.
-- Jazz lost 11 of first 12 games, are 1-4-1 vs spread on road. Pelicans lost three of their last four games.
-- Celtics lost their last four games, scoring 88 ppg.
-- Kings lost seven of last nine games; they're 0-2 on road, losing by 11-13 points. Phoenix lost last three games by total of six points.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Brooklyn games went over the total; Charlotte's last four games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Toronto games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games stayed under total; four of last five Portland games went over.
-- Last four Clipper games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Sacramento games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Houston games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Memphis-Golden State games went over.

Series records
-- Nets won last six games with Charlotte (4-2 vs spread).
-- Cavaliers won their last four games with Washington.
-- Indiana beat the Knicks in six games in LY's playoffs- they lost five of last six visits to Manhattan.
-- Miami won its last four games (3-1 vs spread) with Orlando.
-- 76ers won seven of last nine games with Toronto.
-- Pistons lost last 10 games in Atlanta (4-2-1 vs spread last seven).
-- Bucks won/covered their last four games with Milwaukee.
-- Clippers won their last six games with Minnesota (4-2 vs spread).
-- Jazz won last four games with New Orleans; underdogs covered nine of last eleven series games.
-- Spurs won last three games with Boston by 1-12-15 points.
-- Kings won last three games with Phoenix; they rallied from behind to nips the Suns 107-104 at home last night.
-- Mavericks won ten of last eleven games with Houston.
-- Grizzlies won their last ten games with Golden State.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, November 20

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
New York is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. ORLANDO
Miami is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Miami
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CLEVELAND
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Washington is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 15 games
Cleveland is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. MINNESOTA
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. MILWAUKEE
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
UTAH vs. NEW ORLEANS
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games
New Orleans is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games

8:30 PM
BOSTON vs. SAN ANTONIO
Boston is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Antonio's last 17 games at home
San Antonio is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Boston

9:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. PHOENIX
Sacramento is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games
Phoenix is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
Phoenix is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

9:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. DALLAS
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Golden State
Memphis is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
Golden State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, November 20

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Pacers at Knicks: What bettors need to know
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Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks (+6.5, 186.5)

The New York Knicks look to snap a five-game home losing streak and a three-game slide overall when they host the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday. New York's difficult start to the season continued Tuesday in Detroit, where they fell behind right after halftime and never led again in a 92-86 setback. Carmelo Anthony scored 25 points but was 8-for-20 from the floor and had seven turnovers.

The Pacers have had plenty of time to ****** their first loss of the season, a 110-94 setback at Chicago on Saturday. All five Indiana starters reached double figures but leading scorer Paul George was held to a season-low 12 points on 3-of-14 shooting. The home team won all four meetings between the Pacers and Knicks last season, and New York has won five of the last six encounters at Madison Square Garden.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN, FSN Indiana, MSG (New York)

Line: The line opened at New York +5.5 and has been bet to +6.5. The total opened at 188 and is now down to 186.5.

ABOUT THE PACERS (9-1): The loss to the Bulls was a severe departure from the norm for Indiana. It was coming off a 27-point win against Milwaukee the night before which represented Indiana's best offensive showing and largest margin of victory this season. In addition, no Pacers opponent had scored more than 91 points in the first nine games before Chicago broke out on the strength of an 11-for-19 showing from long range.

ABOUT THE KNICKS (3-7): Amid a three-game losing streak, New York has to try to find positives where it can. Perhaps one came Tuesday night in Detroit with the play of J.R. Smith, who finally showed some scoring punch after being thrust back into a sixth man role. Smith, who had 18 points on 7-of-15 shooting off the bench versus the Pistons, was a dismal 12-for-53 from the floor in four games as a starter.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in New York.
* Pacers are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in New York.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. New York did not lose its seventh game last season until its 26th game.

2. Indiana C Roy Hibbert has 38 points, 20 rebounds and 11 blocked shots in his last two games.

3. Knicks F Metta World Peace (knee) and PG Raymond Felton (back) are both considered day-to-day.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, November 20

Brooklyn at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Brooklyn: 21-10 OVER after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Charlotte: 23-41 ATS as a home underdog

Washington at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Washington: 19-7 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent
Cleveland: 11-23 ATS when the line is +3 to -3

Indiana at New York Knicks, 7:05 ET
Indiana: 20-7 ATS off a road loss
NY Knicks: 22-8 ATS in home games after playing a game as an underdog

Miami at Orlando, 7:05 ET
Miami: 40-25 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Orlando: 10-22 ATS vs. division opponents

Toronto at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Toronto: 36-21 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses
Philadelphia: 19-42 ATS in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points

Detroit at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Detroit: 34-20 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins
Atlanta: 62-33 OVER in home games off a loss against a division rival

Portland at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Portland: 2-11 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs
Milwaukee: 61-32 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses

LA Clippers at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
LA Clippers: 2-11 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
Minnesota: 22-11 UNDER off a road loss

Utah at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Utah: 18-8 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
New Orleans: 0-8 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more

Boston at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
Boston: 4-14 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games
San Antonio: 86-63 ATS as a favorite

Sacramento at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Sacramento: 44-21 ATS in road games off a win against a division rival
Phoenix: 3-14 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

Houston at Dallas, 9:35 ET
Houston: 19-8 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers
Dallas: 28-16 OVER in home games

Memphis at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Memphis: 41-26 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins
Golden State: 2-14 ATS in home games after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, November 20

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Brooklyn - 7:00 PM ET Charlotte +2.5 500 POD # 4
Charlotte - Over 187.5 500

Washington - 7:00 PM ET Washington +3 500 POD # 3
Cleveland - Over 192 500

Indiana - 7:00 PM ET Indiana -6.5 500
New York - Under 186.5 500

Miami - 7:00 PM ET Orlando +7 500
Orlando - Over 199.5 500

Toronto - 7:00 PM ET Philadelphia +3.5 500
Philadelphia - Under 203.5 500

Detroit - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta -4.5 500
Atlanta - Over 203 500

Portland - 8:00 PM ET Portland -5 500 POD # 2
Milwaukee - Over 195.5 500

L.A. Clippers - 8:00 PM ET L.A. Clippers +1 500
Minnesota - Over 213 500

Utah - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans -11 500 POD # 1
New Orleans - Under 194.5 500

Boston - 8:30 PM ET San Antonio -14.5 500
San Antonio - Under 192 500

Sacramento - 9:00 PM ET Sacramento +6 500
Phoenix - Over 196 500

Houston - 9:30 PM ET Houston +3 500 POD # 2
Dallas - Over 214 500

Memphis - 10:30 PM ET Memphis +4.5 500 POD # 1
Golden State - Under 189.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Thursday

November 21, 2013


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Clippers are 11-0 ATS (5.45 ppg) since Apr 15, 1997 on the road with no rest after a win in which they allowed between 37.7 and 40% shooting.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Nuggets are 0-9 OU (-13.22 ppg) since Nov 29, 2004 at home with at least one day of rest after a game on the road in which they shot less than 60% from the free-throw line.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bulls are 8-0 OU (8.88 ppg) since Jan 28, 2011 after Derrick Rose shot worse than 33% from the field at home.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Clippers are 8-0 OU (16.46 ppg) since Nov 05, 2010 with at most one day of rest when the total is at least 193 after a game in which their opponent shot at least twenty three-pointers and made less than 25% of them.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Nuggets are 0-7 OU (-18.50 ppg) since Mar 01, 2013 at home after Timofey Mozgov scored fewer than 10 points The Thunder are 0-6 OU (-16.83 ppg) since Feb 24, 2013 after Russell Westbrook took more than 20 shots at home.

[StarDust Bum]

Inside the Paint - Thursday

November 21, 2013


The NBA regular season is just over three weeks old and the biggest surprise of the season has been Portland, who has started the season 10-2. The Trail Blazers have won eight straight games and they’ve gone 7-1 against the spread during this span.

Is Portland for real? We asked that question to VegasInsider.com NBA handicapper Kevin Rogers and he answered. “I believe the Trail Blazers are a solid team and even though they haven’t played superior competition during this streak, you have to give any team credit for sweeping a four-game road trip.”

“I feel that the oddsmakers didn’t think much of Portland this season because of last year’s record (33-49). What people forget is that the team was depleted by injuries and they closed their season with 13 consecutive losses.”
The LVH SuperBook posted Portland’s win total at 38 ½ victories and the team is on a great pace to exceed those expectations.

Thursday’s betting card features another double-header on TNT, which starts at 8:05 p.m. ET.

Let’s break down the games.

Los Angeles Clippers (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS) at Oklahoma City (7-3 SU, 4-6 ATS)

These teams squared off on Nov. 13 from the Staples Center and the Clippers defeated the Thunder 111-103 as 3 ½-point home favorites. That game was highlighted with a scuffle with 6 seconds left in the first-half that resulted in two ejections -- Serge Ibaka of the Thunder and Matt Barnes of the Clippers.

The Thunder led 62-53 at the break but the altercation woke up the Clippers, who outscored OKC 58-43 in the final two quarters. Clippers forward Blake Griffin had 22 points and 12 rebounds in the victory, while Kevin Durant posted 33 points and 10 assists for the Thunder in a losing effort.

Including the win over OKC, the Clippers are 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS in their last six games. Last night, Los Angeles earned a solid 102-98 road win over Minnesota as a two-point underdog. Point guard Chris Paul set an NBA record in the win with 12 straight double-doubles to start a season, passing Magic Johnson’s mark of 11 consecutive double-doubles to begin the 1990-91 season.

Despite the hot run, the Clippers have been installed as 5 ½-point underdogs against Oklahoma City on Thursday. The line seems right, according to VegasInsider.com NBA handicapper Stephen Nover. He explained, “This is a big early-season revenge spot for the rested Thunder. The Thunder didn't have Ibaka for the second half in that game and also was missing Kendrick Perkins, who was attending his grandfather's funeral. Both will be in action tonight for the Thunder, who have been idle for the past two days. Oklahoma City has been pointing to this matchup ever since that controversial game eight days ago against the Clippers. The Thunder are healthy this time around and rested.”

Oklahoma City hasn’t lost at home in four games at home this season but it has burned bettors with a 1-3 ATS record.

The Clippers have been underdogs three times this season and they’ve gone 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS, with the lone loss coming to Miami (102-97). Los Angeles is 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS when playing on zero days rest this season.

The total on this game opened at 212 and dropped quickly to 210. The ‘over’ cashed in the meeting last Wednesday and is on a 4-0 run in this series.

Chicago (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) at Denver (4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS)

Chicago will begin its annual “Circus Trip” on Thursday, which will have the team playing six straight games on the road. For tonight’s matchup, the Bulls opened as one-point road favorites against the Nuggets and some bettors could be scratching their heads on this number.

Playing at the Pepsi Center is always a tough out, no matter who starts for Denver. The Nuggets dropped their first two home games of the season but have won three in a row since then. It should also be noted the two setbacks came against the Trail Blazers and Spurs, who have a combined record of 20-3. During this winning streak at home, the Nuggets are averaging 112.3 PPG, which has helped the ‘over’ cash in all three games.

When you look at Chicago, you can’t deny that the team has been a bad investment on the road this season. The Bulls are 1-3 both SU and ATS, the lone win coming against Toronto (96-80) on Nov. 15.
Another factor that might have you leaning to the home ‘dog is the recent history between the pair. Denver has won four straight in this series and it owns a 12-1 record in the last 13 games at home against Chicago. The ‘over’ is on a 3-1 run between the pair.

If you toss out the home-away trends and history, you can also make a strong case for Chicago based on the current form of both teams. The Bulls have won five straight (4-1 ATS) behind a defense that has held opponents to 81.8 PPG during this run.

On the side of the defensive spectrum is Denver, who has given up 122 and 115 points in their last two games, which were losses to the Rockets and Thunder respectively. Chicago doesn’t have an offense comparable to Houston or Oklahoma City and the unit will be short-handed for the upcoming trip with Jimmy Butler (toe) staying home. The former Marquette standout was averaging 11.2 PPG this season and helped former MVP Derrick Rose overcome his early struggles (15 PPG) this season.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, November 21

LA Clippers at Oklahoma City, 8:00 ET
LA Clippers: 21-8 OVER after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Oklahoma City: 12-29 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less

Chicago at Denver, 10:35 ET
Chicago: 7-17 ATS when playing with 2 days rest
Denver: 52-31 ATS after playing a road game

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

LA Clippers at Oklahoma City
The Clippers continue their road trip tonight against an Oklahoma City team that is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 home games. LA is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 21

Game 701-702: LA Clippers at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 123.019; Oklahoma City 125.243
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5 1/2; 210
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+5 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Chicago at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 124.028; Denver 120.456
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 21

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LA CLIPPERS (8 - 4) at OKLAHOMA CITY (7 - 3) - 11/21/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 162-202 ATS (-60.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (6 - 3) at DENVER (4 - 6) - 11/21/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 98-130 ATS (-45.0 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 21

Hot teams
-- Clippers won five of their last six games. Thunder won six of eight.
-- Bulls won their last five games, allowing 81.6 ppg.

Cold teams
-- Nuggets lost last two games, allowing 118.5 ppg, but they've won last three home games, by 2-12-4 points.

Totals
-- Five of last six Thunder games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Chicago games stayed under the total; six of last seven Denver games went over.

Series records
-- Seven of last eight Clipper-Thunder games went over total.
-- Nuggets won six of last seven games with Chicago.




NBA

Thursday, November 21

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games
LA Clippers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home

10:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
Denver is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games


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NBA

Thursday, November 21

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Clippers at Thunder, Bulls at Nuggets: What bettors need to know
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L.A. Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder (-5.5, 210)

Chris Paul is setting NBA records as he drags the Los Angeles Clippers to the top half of the Western Conference. Paul will look to notch his 13th straight points-assists double-double to begin the season when the Clippers visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Paul scored 16 of his 20 points in the fourth quarter and handed out 11 assists on Wednesday to guide Los Angeles past the Minnesota Timberwolves in the opener of a two-game trip.

The Thunder will be looking for some revenge after suffering a 111-103 defeat to the Clippers in Los Angeles on Nov. 13. Oklahoma City fell again the next night but took its last two, including a 115-113 victory over Denver on Monday that kicked off a six-game homestand. That win left coach Scott Brooks and star Kevin Durant upset about the defensive effort. “We’ve got to do a better job of being a defensive team,” Brooks said. “We have to play better defense.”

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT.

LINE: The Thunder opened as -5 home faves and have been bet to -5.5. The total opened at 211.5 and have move down to 210.

POWER RANKINGS: L.A. Clippers (-12.6) - Oklahoma City (-12.4) + home court (-3) = -3.2 Oklahoma City

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (8-4, 7-5 ATS): Paul was the best player on the floor in the final minutes at Minnesota, scoring 13 in a row for Los Angeles at one
point in the last four minutes to spark the team to a 102-98 victory. Paul went for 14 points and 16 assists in the first meeting with the Thunder but was overshadowed by teammate Matt Barnes, who got into a shoving match with Oklahoma City forward Serge Ibaka that left both ejected and was followed by some profane tweets from Barnes in the locker room. Barnes will not be a concern on Thursday, as he did not travel with the team on the road trip after suffering an eye contusion on Monday.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (7-3, 4-6 ATS): That skirmish between Barnes and Ibaka ended up being much worse for Oklahoma City, which squandered a nine-point halftime lead. Ibaka had been 6-for-6 from the floor in that first half before being tossed with six seconds left in the second quarter, and the team is increasing his role in the offense as it works in a smaller lineup. Ibaka is shooting 60.3 percent from the floor over his last five games but was held to six points on 3-of-7 shooting against the Nuggets on Wednesday.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Clippers are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Thunder are 1-8 ATS in their its last nine home games.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Oklahoma City had a three-game winning streak in the series before falling last week.

2. Durant has scored 33 or more points in four of the last six games.

3. Paul’s 12 straight double-doubles to start the season surpasses Magic Johnson’s 11 from the 1990-91 campaign.



Chicago Bulls at Denver Nuggets (+1, 107)

The Chicago Bulls typically have trouble in Denver but bring a five-game winning streak into Thursday’s matchup against the Nuggets. Denver has won each of its last six home games against Chicago dating back to the 2005-06 season and is averaging 112.3 points during a three-game home winning streak. The Bulls, who are beginning a six-game road trip, are playing terrific defense and allowing an average of 81.8 points during their winning streak.

Derrick Rose continues to search for his MVP form in his comeback season and he will need to be on top of his game to deal with Denver point guard Ty Lawson, who is averaging 22 points and 8.6 assists. “Obviously, that’s a matchup that a lot of people want to see,” Nuggets coach Brian Shaw said. “Ty’s playing at a high level. Derrick Rose, we know what he’s capable of as well as a former MVP.” Rose is averaging just 15 points and 4.5 assists while shooting 34.4 percent from the field.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT, WGN (Chicago)

LINE: The Nuggets have held steady as +1 home dogs. The total opened at 196 and has been bet up to 197.

POWER RANKINGS: Chicago (-10.0) - Denver (-5.5) + home court (-3.0) = Chicago -1.5

ABOUT THE BULLS (6-3, 4-5 ATS): Versatile Jimmy Butler will miss the road excursion after an MRI exam revealed he suffered a sprained right big toe in
Monday’s victory over Charlotte. Butler is averaging 11.2 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.8 steals and either Mike Dunleavy or Kirk Hinrich will move into a starting role. “It’s part of the game,” Chicago coach Tom Thibodeau said prior to Wednesday’s practice. “But we have more than enough. I’ve been pleased with our bench play. So the guys that are called upon, they have to be ready.”

ABOUT THE NUGGETS (4-6, 5-5 ATS): Guard Nate Robinson is ailing with a wrist injury at the worst possible time – with a game against Chicago arriving.
Robinson was a playoff standout for the Bulls last season while Rose was sidelined and he desperately wants to play against his former teammates. “I play through all injuries if I can,” Robinson said. “I love the game too much.” Robinson scored 24 points in his Denver debut but has reached double digits just twice since and has scored only 25 total points in the Nuggets’ last six games.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Denver.
* Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
* Bulls are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Denver.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Denver has won 12 of its last 13 home meetings with Chicago.

2. Chicago ranks second in the NBA in scoring defense at 89 per game.

3. The Nuggets missed 18 free throws in Monday’s 115-113 loss to Oklahoma City.

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday, November 21

Game Score Status Pick Amount

L.A. Clippers - 8:00 PM ET L.A. Clippers +5.5 500 POD # 1
Oklahoma City - Over 211.5 500

Chicago - 10:30 PM ET Denver +1 500 POD # 2
Denver - Under 199.5 500