NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 11 (Tuesday, November 5 - Saturday, November 9)

[Udog]

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 11

Saturday, November 9

Iowa at Purdue, 12:00 ET
Iowa: 39-19 ATS after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6
Purdue: 0-6 ATS in home games after allowing 37 points or more last game

Western Kentucky at Army, 12:00 ET
W Kentucky: 12-3 ATS in road games
Army: 61-86 ATS in non-conference games

SMU at Cincinnati, 12:00 ET
SMU: 4-13 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals
Cincinnati: 22-10 UNDER after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards

NC State at Duke, 4:00 ET
NC State: 33-15 UNDER in weeks 10 through 13
Duke: 5-15 ATS in home games after gaining 125 or less passing yards in last game

Tulsa at East Carolina, 3:45 ET
Tulsa: 13-3 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6
E Carolina: 3-11 ATS off a win against a conference rival

Illinois at Indiana, 3:30 ET
Illinois: 2-10 ATS against conference opponents
Indiana: 12-1 OVER after playing 2 straight conference games

TCU at Iowa State, 12:00 ET
TCU: 4-12 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
Iowa State: 39-21 UNDER after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Florida State at Wake Forest, 12:00 ET
Florida St: 4-13 ATS in road games off 3 straight wins against conference rivals
Wake Forest: 11-2 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders

UAB at Marshall, 12:00 ET
UAB: 0-6 ATS in road games after playing a game at home
Marshall: 13-4 OVER in home games in weeks 10 through 13

Virginia Tech at Miami Florida, 7:00 ET
Virginia Tech: 0-8 ATS in road games when playing on a Saturday
Miami FL: 7-0 ATS off a loss against a conference rival

Penn State at Minnesota, 12:00 ET
Penn State: 11-3 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
Minnesota: 5-15 ATS at home after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6

Missouri at Kentucky, 12:00 ET
Missouri: 6-0 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
Kentucky: 0-6 ATS off a home win

Vanderbilt at Florida, 12:00 ET
Vanderbilt: 27-11 ATS in road games after playing their last game on the road
Florida: 2-10 ATS in home games after a loss by 6 or less points

Fresno St at Wyoming, 10:15 ET
Fresno St: 24-45 ATS after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game
Wyoming: 7-0 ATS after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game

Kansas State at Texas Tech, 12:00 ET
Kansas State: 10-2 ATS after playing a conference
Texas Tech: 0-7 ATS after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game

BYU at Wisconsin, 12:00 ET
BYU: 6-0 UNDER after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game
Wisconsin: 7-0 ATS when playing on a Saturday

Texas at West Virginia, 12:00 ET
Texas: 9-21 ATS in road games after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins
West Virginia: 16-6 ATS after 5 games where they forced 2 or more turnovers

Nebraska at Michigan, 3:30 ET
Nebraska: 43-26 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3
Michigan: 4-13 ATS in home games after being outgained by opp by 125 or more

Hawaii at Navy, 3:30 ET
Hawaii: 2-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Navy: 30-15 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games

Kansas at Oklahoma State, 4:00 ET
Kansas: 5-20 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games
Oklahoma State: 9-2 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games

USC at California, 3:00 ET
USC: 6-0 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56
California: 4-12 ATS as an underdog

Notre Dame at Pittsburgh, 8:00 ET
Notre Dame: 1-9 ATS in road games after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play previous game
Pittsburgh: 6-0 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3

Mississippi State at Texas A&M, 3:30 ET
Mississippi St: 1-8 ATS in road games after playing a conference game
Texas A&M: 24-9 ATS in home games in weeks 10 through 13

Utah State at UNLV, 8:00 ET
Utah State: 13-2 ATS when playing on a Saturday
UNLV: 2-12 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders

Florida Int at Mid Tenn State, 4:00 ET
Florida INT: 4-13 ATS after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games
Mid Tenn State: 13-4 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game

Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech, 7:00 ET
Southern Miss: 2-9 ATS in road lined games
Louisiana Tech: 10-2 ATS in home games off 2 or more consecutive unders

Auburn at Tennessee, 12:00 ET
Auburn: 12-2 ATS in road games after 3 games where they committed 1 or less turnovers
Tennessee: 3-12 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses

Houston at Central Florida, 12:00 ET
Houston: 6-0 ATS after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games
Central Florida: 0-6 ATS off a home win against a conference rival

UCLA at Arizona, 10:00 ET
UCLA: 5-15 ATS in road games after scoring 42 points or more last game
Arizona: 14-5 OVER after playing 2 straight conference games

LSU at Alabama, 8:00 ET
LSU: 17-6 ATS after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game
Alabama: 10-27 ATS at home after 2 games where they committed 1 or less turnovers

San Diego State at San Jose State, 10:30 ET
San Diego State: 9-1 UNDER after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 games
San Jose State: 11-3 ATS as a favorite

[Udog]

Where the action is: Public loves Ducks, sharps betting big home dog

Thursday night is a huge night for college football fans. Bettors are treated to two key conference clashes featuring Top 25 teams. The Oregon Ducks come to Palo Alto for a showdown with the Stanford Cardinal in the later of these two games.

We talk with Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker for CarbonSports.ag, about the action coming in on this game and where the odds will end up come kickoff:

Oregon Ducks at Stanford Cardinal – Open: +10, Move: +11.5, Move: +11

Oregon can pave its road to the BCS title game with a win in Palo Alto Thursday. The Cardinal appear to be the Ducks' lone competition in the Pac-12, but are still double-digit dogs at home. Early action played the road favorite, spiking this line at Oregon -11.5 before wiseguys bought back Stanford and trimmed the spread half a point to +11.

“So far, 75 percent of the action is on the Ducks and I wouldn't be surprised if we go back to 11.5, but at this point we like our position,” says Stewart.

As for the total in this Pac-12 standoff, books opened this number as low as 60 points and have watched the over/under climb to as high as 62. Stewart says for a game of this size, action on the total has been relatively quiet.

“We expected to see way more Over action than we've seen. We opened this total 62 and we've booked really good two-way action and we haven't moved our number all week,” he says. “Sharps might be waiting to see this total rise a bit more, but at this point we like our number and there's no reason to move so the sharps might not get involved with this total.”

[Udog]

Where the action is: Are sharps inflating OU-Baylor line to buy back Sooners?

Thursday night is a huge night for college football fans. Bettors are treated to two key conference clashes featuring Top 25 teams. The Oklahoma Sooners visit the Baylor Bears in Waco for a Big 12 bash in the first of these two marquee matchups.

We talk with Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker for CarbonSports.ag, about the action coming in on this game and where the odds will end up come kickoff:

Oklahoma Sooners at Baylor Bears – Open: -13.5, Move: -15

Baylor has cruised through a soft schedule so far and meets its first true test in Oklahoma Thursday. Early action was on the home side, with sharps surprisingly grabbing Baylor and jacking up the spread as high as -15 at some markets.

CarbonSports.ag is currently sitting at BU -14.5, with good two-way action on this Big 12 battle. However, Stewart has a sneaking suspicion that the early action from wiseguys was meant to drive this line over the key number and that they will eventually buy back the Sooners before kickoff.

“I believe the early sharp action was made at -14 because they felt this line would close higher due to the public betting up Baylor like they have all week,” Stewart tells Covers. “So they lay the -14 and can either get off later in the week or keep their bet at a good number. At this point I have no clue, I just know we're booking this game dead even so far which is great for us.”

Stewart does say the book is a little scared when it comes to the total for Thursday’s game in Waco. The number opened as low as 72.5 at some markets and has climbed as high as 74.5 points, which is the current total CarbonSport.ag is dealing.

“Where we're seeing a ton of exposure is on the Over,” says Stewart. “So far 75 percent of the money is on the Over and we can't see much money being bet on this game Under as both teams love to spread the field and throw the ball.”

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Friday's games
Underdogs are 6-2-1 vs spread in last nine Louisville-UConn games, as Cardinals split last four visits here, winning by 10-14 points. Huskies (+11) upset Louisville 23-20 LY, despite being outgained by 160 yards. Louisville is a bully team, winning last two road games by total of 64-10; their other road game was 27-13 (-14) win at rival Kentucky. 0-7 UConn is awful, giving up 103 points in last two games, but their three losses at home were only by 11-3-3 points, including 24-21 loss to Michigan. AAC home underdogs are 9-6 against the spread so far this season.

Air Force won five in row, eight of last nine games vs New Mexico, with four of last five wins by 13+ points. Falcons won three of last four trips here, where favorites are 4-2 vs spread in last six series games. Air Force is on short week after beating rival Army, its first I-A win of the season; Falcons are 0-3 on road, losing by 22-3-18 points. New Mexico allowed 39.3 ppg in its last three games, but they've also scored 31+ points in four of last five games. Lobos are 1-3 at home this year, 1-1 as a favorite at home, with only win over New Mexico State. Mountain West home favorites are 3-13 vs spread so far this season.

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Friday's games

Underdogs are 6-2-1 vs spread in last nine Louisville-UConn games, as Cardinals split last four visits here, winning by 10-14 points. Huskies (+11) upset Louisville 23-20 LY, despite being outgained by 160 yards. Louisville is a bully team, winning last two road games by total of 64-10; their other road game was 27-13 (-14) win at rival Kentucky. 0-7 UConn is awful, giving up 103 points in last two games, but their three losses at home were only by 11-3-3 points, including 24-21 loss to Michigan. AAC home underdogs are 9-6 against the spread so far this season.

Air Force won five in row, eight of last nine games vs New Mexico, with four of last five wins by 13+ points. Falcons won three of last four trips here, where favorites are 4-2 vs spread in last six series games. Air Force is on short week after beating rival Army, its first I-A win of the season; Falcons are 0-3 on road, losing by 22-3-18 points. New Mexico allowed 39.3 ppg in its last three games, but they've also scored 31+ points in four of last five games. Lobos are 1-3 at home this year, 1-1 as a favorite at home, with only win over New Mexico State. Mountain West home favorites are 3-13 vs spread so far this season.




NCAAF

Friday, November 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Louisville at UConn: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Louisville Cardinals at Connecticut Huskies (27.5, 49)

A three-overtime loss to Connecticut served as the push that Louisville needed to close out the 2012 season on a high note. One conference change and less than a year later, a similar result seems unlikely when the 16th-ranked Cardinals hit the road Friday to meet the winless Huskies. In their final Big East clash, Connecticut held Louisville scoreless through three quarters and intercepted Cardinals quarterback Teddy Bridgewater in the third overtime en route to a 23-20 victory.

The Huskies haven’t won since, but Louisville clinched a BCS berth the following week against Rutgers and defeated Florida in the Sugar Bowl – setting the stage for a strong start to their first season in the American Athletic Conference. While the Cardinals had a week off to savor their 34-3 trouncing of South Florida, Connecticut is looking for answers following a 62-17 loss to Central Florida on Oct. 26. The Huskies – off to their worst start since 1977 – have lost three of their last four games by at least 25 points.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE: UConn opened as a 27.5-point home dog. The total has held firm at 49.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in low-60s with wind blowing toward the SE endzone at 8 mph.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (7-1, 3-1 American Athletic Conference): In his first start of the season, Dominique Brown set career highs in rushing yards (125), catches (six) and receiving yards (61). Bridgewater turned in another efficient performance versus South Florida, going 25-of-29 to increase his completion percentage to an FBS-high 73.7 percent. The Cardinals limited the Bulls to three points and 38 yards rushing – the fifth time they have held an opponent to seven points or fewer and less than 100 yards rushing in the same game.

ABOUT CONNECTICUT (0-7, 0-3): One of the few highlights from the Huskies’ loss to Central Florida was Casey Cochran’s 49-yard touchdown pass to Brian Lemelle – the first career scores for both freshmen. Tim Boyle, who replaced Chandler Whitmer as the starting quarterback three games ago, has yet to throw or run for a touchdown. Connecticut ranks second-to-last in the country in rushing yardage (537), as well as yards per carry (2.38) and has run for 91 yards or fewer in all but one game.

TRENDS:

* Huskies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games in November.
* Under is 6-2 in Cardinals last eight games overall.
* Over is 6-2 in Huskies last eight games overall.
* Cardinals are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 road games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Louisville’s second-ranked scoring defense (10.6 points per game) also ranks second in the country against the run (80.5 yards) and third against the pass (164).

2. With a loss, Connecticut will match its worst start in school history.

3. The Cardinals’ offense has produced 67 more passing plays of 10 or more yards than the defense has surrendered (115-48).


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAF

Friday, November 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Air Force at New Mexico: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Air Force Falcons at New Mexico Lobos (-3, 59.5)

Football fans hoping for an aerial assault may want to avoid Friday night's Mountain West tilt between the Air Force Falcons and the host New Mexico Lobos. The teams combine for just over 200 passing yards per game, which may help to explain why both schools are still looking for their first conference victory of the season. The Lobos boast one of the top rush attacks in the nation, but will meet their match against a Falcons team that also relies heavily on the ground game.

Air Force comes in on a high after piling up 343 rushing yards and six touchdowns en route to a 42-28 win over the Army Black Knights. Anthony LaCoste was the catalyst - scampering for a career-high 263 yards and three scores - as he leads a robust ground attack that features eight players with at least 100 rushing yards. New Mexico fell 35-30 to San Diego State last time out, despite racking up 253 rushing yards and three touchdowns.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPNU
LINE: The Lobos are installed as three-point favorites, with the total set at 59.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s under clear skies.

ABOUT AIR FORCE (2-7, 0-5 Mountain West): Never has the Air Force football team been less appropriately named - the Falcons are 11th in the country at 279.2 rushing yards per game, and have 24 touchdowns on the ground compared to just four through the air. LaCoste's 73-yard scoring run early in the first quarter extended Air Force's streak of consecutive games with at least one rushing score to 56, the longest active run in the nation. The Falcons come into Saturday's contest 55-55 all-time in Mountain West play.

ABOUT NEW MEXICO (2-6, 0-4): The Lobos are led by the more appropriately named Kasey Carrier, who has rumbled for 930 rushing yards and nine TDs on the season. Carrier opened the season on fire - scoring five times in the first four games - but has cooled of late, limited to 141 yards in back-to-back losses to Utah State and San Diego State. Fortunately, New Mexico has an assortment of other ground weapons at its disposal - including quarterback Cole Gautsche (577 yards, six touchdowns) and Crusoe Gongbay (337 yards, three TDs).

TRENDS:

* Falcons are 8-23 ATS in their last 31 games on grass.
* Lobos are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Over is 6-1 in New Mexico's last seven games.
* The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Saturday's games
Top 13 games

Virginia Tech is 7-3 in last ten games vs Miami, with underdogs covering four of last five, but Hokies lost to Duke/BC last two weeks, as program slides with poor play from senior QB Thomas (-4 in turnovers last week in game they outgained BC by 157 yards). Miami lost at Florida State last week, its first loss of year- they had snuck by previous two games, winning by 4-3 points. Curious to see how they bounce back here.

Penn State won its last four games vs Minnesota, winning 33-21/28-24 in last two visits here, but Lions allowed 107 points in losing both away games this year and in between, needed OT to win its last two at home. Gophers are on serious roll, winning last three games SU despite being underdog in all three- they upset Nebraska last home game. Big Dozen home favorites are 10-7 vs spread in conference play this season.

Florida won at least 16 in row vs Vanderbilt, covering four of last six, but Commodores covered four of last five played in Swamp. After years of domination, total yardage in last two meetings was just +40/+33 in favor of Florida. Gators rallied from down 23-3 last week, still lost to Georgia for third year in row; they've lost last three games overall but are 3-0 at home this year, winning by 18-14-20. Vandy is 2-2 as an underdog, had last week off, so that helps here.

8-0 Fresno State has four wins by five or less points or in OT, so trip to chilly Laramie (temp expected to be 32/clear) could be dicey. Wyoming cooled off after 3-1 start, allowing 52-51 points in their last two games. Fresno won 42-14 at home LY, in first series meeting as MW rivals. Mountain West home dogs are just 2-11 vs spread this season. Cowboys allowed 256+ rushing yards in four of last five games, 482 passing yards in the other.

West Virginia (+7) won 48-45 at Texas LY, outgaining Longhorns by 56 yards, but Mountaineers lost three of last four games, allowing 43 ppg, even with OT upset win at TCU last week. Texas won its last five in a row after a 1-2 start; they're 2-1 on road, nipping Iowa State by point, waxing TCU 30-7 after ugly loss at BYU. Big X home underdogs are 5-5 vs spread. West Virginia allowed 433+ total yards in its last five games.

Arizona State won last two games vs Utah 37-7/35-14; 6-2 Sun Devils scored 54-53-55 points in winning last three games since losing to Notre Dame in Dallas- ASU is 4-2 as a favorite, but 1-1 SU on road, losing by 14 at Stanford, winning big at Wazzu. Pac-12 home underdogs are 2-9 vs spread this season. Utah is 1-3 in last four games but the win was upset of Stanford here, so they're capable. Utes are 2-3 as an underdog in '13.

Nebraska got lucky on 45-yard Hail Mary pass to beat Northwestern on last play last week, or both Pelini brothers might've been fired last week. Home team won both Husker-Michigan league games by decisive scores, with Nebraska losing 45-17 here two years ago. Michigan got squashed 29-6 at Michigan State last week after scoring 48.3 ppg in previous three games. Big Dozen home favorites are 10-7 vs spread this year.

Underdogs are 7-0-1 vs spread in last eight Notre Dame-Pitt games; Irish won last three, by 3-3-6 points; they got phanton PI call LY when down 20-6 that kept drive alive, then beat Pitt late. ND won three of last four visits here, winning by 3-21-6. ACC home underdogs are 3-1 vs spread in non-league games. Panthers lost last three I-A games; they're 0-3 as an underdog this season. Irish are 3-1 on road, with only loss at Michigan.

Auburn is 8-1, scoring 41.7 ppg in last three games; they've covered last five I-A games and won last five games vs Tennessee, with dogs 4-0 vs spread in last four. Tigers won 26-22/34-10 in last two visits here, where Vols are 4-1 this year, with only loss in OT to Georgia. Tennessee lost its last two games on road, allowing 76 points. SEC home underdogs are 9-6 vs spread. Auburn won at A&M/Arkansas in last three weeks.

Central Florida won three of last four games with Houston, with wins by 2-5-7 points; Cougars lost lost 37-32/31-29 in last two visits to Orlando, but teams haven't met since '10. UCF is 6-1 with only loss by FG here vs South Carolina- they're 3-1 as a favorite and scored 100 points in last two games. Houston's only loss was 47-46 at home to BYU; they're 2-0 as an underdog, winning 49-14 (+7) at Rutgers week after BYU loss.

UCLA crushed Arizona 66-10 LY, outgaining Wildcats 611-257 in game that ended Bruins' five-game series skid; UCLA lost last four visits to Tucson, with three of four losses by 14+ points. Favorites covered four of last five series games; they're 22-10 vs spread in Pac-12 games so far this season. Arizona won its last three games, scored 31+ in its last four; its only losses were 31-13 (+9) at Washington, 38-31 (+5.5) at USC.

Alabama lost six of last seven times ESPN GameDay visited its campus; they've also lost five of last six home games with LSU, with only win in '09, a 24-15 (-7.5) Tide win. Bama is 4-2 in last six series games after an 0-5 (mostly pre-Saban) skid; three of last four were decided by 4 or less points. LSU outgained Tide by 104 yards in 21-17 home loss LY; both its losses this year were by FG on road, at Georgia/Ole Miss.

San Jose State won last three games vs San Diego State by 4-25-21, with favorites 4-2 vs spread in last six meetings; Aztecs lost 35-10/31-10 last two times they came here. Spartans won last four games after a 1-3 start, scoring 34+ points in all four games. San Diego State won four of its last five games, with only loss in OT to unbeaten Fresno- they're 1-1-1 as dogs. Mountain West home teams are 5-24 vs spread, 3-13 if favored.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Florida State Seminoles at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+35, 55)

As national title talk for the Seminoles goes, so goes Heisman Trophy chatter for quarterback Jameis Winston. The redshirt freshman leads the ACC in total offense (331.9 yards per game), passing average (312.8), pass efficiency (201.1) and passing touchdowns (24). Winston's 2,502 passing yards is already the sixth-highest total among ACC freshmen all-time and he is on pace to become the most prolific freshman quarterback in conference history.

Michael Campanaro, the Demon Deacons' all-time leading receiver with 229 receptions for 2,506 yards, is expected to miss 4-to-6 weeks with a broken collarbone. Sherman Ragland III will be leaned on in Campanaro's absence and the sophomore performed well against Syracuse, stepping up to set career bests by grabbing 10 receptions for 91 yards. Quarterback Tanner Price ranks fourth in the ACC with 1,956 passing yards,

LINE: The Seminoles have held steady as 35-point favorites, with the total currently 55.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with sunny skies.

TRENDS:

* Seminoles are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
* Demon Deacons are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. teams with winning records.
* Under is 13-3 in Wake Forest's last 16 games on fieldturf.


Missouri Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats (+13.5, 56)

Redshirt freshman QB Maty Mauk has kept the Tigers' high-powered offense on track with James Franklin (shoulder) sidelined, and he had his best game yet in a 31-3 win over Tennessee last week. Missouri rolled up 339 rushing yards against the Volunteers and ranks second in the SEC with 237.2 yards per game on the ground. The defense has been overshadowed somewhat but Missouri ranks fourth in the SEC in scoring defense (20.6).

The Wildcats have struggled in coach Mark Stoops' first season, but they've been close to pulling off a quality win with narrow defeats at South Carolina and Mississippi State. The offense was impressive last week, albeit against Alabama State, as Whitlow rushed for 101 yards and two touchdowns and threw for two more scores. Kentucky has faced trouble stopping the run, allowing 197.6 yards per game.

LINE: The Tigers opened -14 and are now -13.5, with the total set at 56.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with wind blowing across the field at 11 mph.

TRENDS:

* Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games.
* Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following an SU win.
* Over is 18-7-1 in Kentucky's last 26 games following an ATS win.


Auburn Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers (+7, 55)

The Tigers feature the nation’s sixth-best rushing attack (306.2 yards per game), led by running back Tre Mason, who rushed for 168 yards and four touchdowns last week to earn SEC Offensive Player of the Week honors. Auburn did not know if quarterback Nick Marshall would start last week because of a shoulder injury, but the junior finished with 177 yards of total offense and is expected to be completely healthy against Tennessee.

The Volunteers have to shore up their run defense after allowing a season-high 339 yards on the ground against Missouri. Tennessee has allowed 76 points the past two weeks in losses to Alabama and Missouri. Dobbs completed 26-of-42 passes against Missouri and is the third freshman to start at quarterback for Tennessee in the past four years.

LINE: Auburn opened as a 7-point fave, while the total opened at 55.
WEATHER: Partly cloudy skies are in the forecast with temperatures in the high-50s.

TRENDS:

* Tigers are 5-0 ATS against teams with losing records.
* Volunteers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. teams with winning road records.
* Over is 9-4 in Tennessee's last 13 conference games.


Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5, 59.5)

Former walk-on defensive end Ryan Mueller was named Big 12 Defensive Player of the Week after posting seven tackles (including two for loss) and one sack. Sparked by Mueller’s effort, the Wildcats allowed only one offensive snap inside their 20 and held Iowa State to 249 total yards, narrowly missing out on its first shutout in a conference game since 2003.

Despite being the focal point of the Cowboys’ defense last Saturday, Jace Amaro set career highs with 15 catches and 174 receiving yards – becoming the first Red Raider since Michael Crabtree to record at least eight receptions in eight straight games. Amaro also logged his fourth consecutive 100-yard game, the most by a Texas Tech player since Crabtree posted seven in a row in 2007.

LINE: Texas Tech opened as at 2.5-point favorite and the total opened at 59.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures are expected to be in the low-60s with wind blowing across the field at 8 mph.

TRENDS:

* Wildcats are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs. teams with winning records.
* Red Raiders are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit home loss.
* Over is 23-9 in Texas Tech's last 32 games.


Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas A&M Aggies (-19, 66.5)

The Bulldogs are on pace to break a 31-year-old school-record for total offense, averaging 447.1 yards, and Prescott is the catalyst. He has rushed for 100 yards or more three times and has accounted for 17 touchdowns. The Bulldogs' secondary was shredded against LSU and Auburn but has allowed only 312 passing yards over the past two games.

Aggies quarterback Johnny Manziel has put on quite an encore after his Heisman Trophy campaign as a redshirt freshman, and he ranks fifth in the nation with 2,867 passing yards to go along with 564 rushing yards and accounting for 34 touchdowns. He has one of the nation's top receivers in Mike Evans, who needs 61 receiving yards to surpass Ryan Swope's school record of 1,207 in 2011. D

LINE: Texas A&M is a 19-point favorite after opening at -18. The total has held steady at 66.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under partly cloudy skies.

TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games on grass.
* Under is 9-3 in Texas A&M's last 12 games following an ATS win.


Brigham Young Cougars at Wisconsin Badgers (-8, 55.5)

Outside linebacker Kyle Van Noy leads the Cougars’ defense, ranking second among active FBS players in career sacks with 26. Hill is a dangerous dual threat, passing for 339 yards and three touchdowns in BYU’s 37-20 victory over Boise State on Oct. 25. The sophomore is sixth in the nation averaging 357.5 yards of total offense per game, and has completed 65.4 percent of his passes during the Cougars’ five-game winning streak.

White scored two touchdowns in last week’s 28-9 victory over Iowa, and leads all active FBS players in career rushing touchdowns (41) and total touchdowns (43). The Badgers average 7.26 yards per play, leading the Big Ten and ranking seventh in the nation. The Wisconsin defense gets particularly tough in the red zone, leading the country in holding opponents out of the end zone 61.9 percent of the time.

LINE: Wisconsin opened -7.5 and is now -8. The total is currently 55.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with wind blowing across the width of the field at 12 mph.

TRENDS:

* Cougars are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games.
* Badgers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games.
* Under is 16-5 in BYU's last 21 games against teams with winning records.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Kansas Jayhawks at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-31, 53.5)

No. 11 Oklahoma State knows it can't overlook visiting Kansas on Saturday, even though the Jayhawks enter with a five-game losing streak and haven't won a Big 12 Conference game since 2010. Kansas quarterback Jake Heaps needs 84 passing yards to reach 5,000 for his career and could have receivers Tony Pierson (concussion), Rodriguez Coleman (leg), Josh Ford (concussion) and Andrew Turzilli (ankle) back this week.

First-year defensive coordinator Glenn Spencer has the Cowboys ranked in the top 20 in several categories, including third-down defense (ninth, 30.2 percent), red-zone defense (14th, 71.4 percent) and rushing defense (18th, 122.9 yards per game). The Cowboys, who have created at least one turnover in 16 straight games, are tied for fifth nationally with a plus-10 turnover margin.

LINE: Oklahoma State is a 31-point favorite after opening at -30.5. The total has held steady at 53.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with wind blowing across the length of the field at 5 mph.

TRENDS:

* Jayhawks are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games on fieldturf.
* Cowboys are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
* Kansas is 2-8 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.


Arizona State Sun Devils at Utah Utes (+6.5, 63.5)

No. 24 Arizona State visits Utah for a Pac-12 Conference matchup on Saturday. The Sun Devils have defeated the Utes by a lopsided margin in each of the last two meetings, with the most recent occurring in Tempe. Taylor Kelly passed for 326 yards and three scores in last season's meeting as the Sun Devils scored 37 points on the Utes with 512 yards of total offense.

Coming off a 55-21 blowout of Washington State, the Sun Devils own a one-game lead in the Pac-12 South, and a win against Utah will only get them closer to a spot in the conference championship. The Utes are no strangers to upsets, having done just that to then-No. 5 Stanford earlier this season, but the offense potentially could be without Travis Wilson. The standout quarterback suffered a sprained finger late in the first half against Arizona.

LINE: ASU opened -7 and is now -6.5. The total opened 64.5 and is down to 63.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s and wind blowing diagonally out of the SW at 6 mph.

TRENDS:

* Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a bye week.
* Utes are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following an SU loss.
* Over is 18-4 in Arizona State's last 22 games following an ATS win.


Virginia Tech Hokies at Miami Hurricanes (-7, 44)

Logan Thomas posted a career-high 429 yards of total offense against Boston College to give him 9,463 for his career, moving him past Tyrod Taylor for the most in school history. Thomas also committed two of the Hokies’ four giveaways and has turned the ball over 31 times since the start of the 2012 season – the third-highest individual total in FBS over that span.

Miami's Duke Johnson – the second-leading rusher in the conference – will miss the rest of the season after he broke his right ankle against Florida State. Dallas Crawford, who replaced an injured Johnson during the team’s Oct. 17 victory over North Carolina with 137 yards rushing and two scores, will be one of three backs to fill the void of a player who posted an ACC-high 1,393 all-purpose yards.

LINE: Miami opened as a 6.5-point fave, but has been bet up to -7. The total is unmoved at 44.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with a 30 percent chance of showers.

TRENDS:

* Hokies are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games.
* Hurricanes are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
* Under is 8-2 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.


Houston Cougars at Central Florida Knights (-10.5, 64)

No. 21 Central Florida looks to claim its fourth consecutive victory when it hosts Houston with first place in the American Athletic Conference on the line. The Knights, who have scored 100 total points in their last two games, bring a dynamic offense led by quarterback Brian Bortles. With 15 touchdowns and four interceptions on the season, Bortles has proven both efficient and lethal through seven games.

The Cougars, too, have one lone slip-up fading farther into the rearview. They're coming off conference wins against Rutgers and South Florida, and boast the 12th-best scoring offense in the country at 41.4 points per game. Freshman John O'Korn provides an equal, if not stronger match for Bortles having thrown for more yardage, 2,121 yards, and touchdowns, 22, with just four interceptions.

LINE: The Knights opened -11.5-point but are now -10.5. The total is set at 64.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with wind blowing diagonally out of the NE at 6 mph.

TRENDS:

* Cougars are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. teams with winning home records.
* Knights are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games.
* Under is 7-2 in Houston's last nine games following a bye week.


LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-13, 55)

Running back Jeremy Hill faces a tough test against the stout Alabama run defense, but he collected 107 yards and a score in last year’s 21-17 loss to the Crimson Tide - and he’s averaging 7.2 yards per carry this season with 12 touchdowns. Wide receivers Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry have eight touchdown receptions apiece, but quarterback Zach Mettenberger has struggled over his last three games (four TDs and five interceptions).

Quarterback AJ McCarron, who is 33-2 as a starter, has entered the Heisman Trophy discussion by completing 72.6 percent of his passes for 15 touchdowns with two interceptions over the last seven games. Alabama’s offensive line hasn't allowed a sack since the third quarter against Ole Miss on Sept. 28, and running backs T.J. Yeldon and Kenyan Drake have combined for 17 rushing touchdowns this season.

LINE: Alabama has seen a sharp bump in the odds from an opening of -11 to -13. The total is 55.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies.

TRENDS:

* Tigers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
* Crimson Tide are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
* Under is 7-3-1 in Alabama's last 11 home games.


Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Pittsburgh Panthers (+4, 51)

No. 25 Notre Dame has made a habit of doing just enough to win lately, which also sums up how its recent meetings with Pittsburgh have gone. The Fighting Irish have won four in a row entering Saturday’s road contest against the Panthers, including three by four points or fewer after a 38-34 victory over Navy last weekend. Notre Dame’s last five games against Pittsburgh have been decided by an average of four points.

The Fighting Irish are the only FBS team with five wins by seven points or fewer this season. The Panthers, who have dropped three straight in this series, have lost two straight and three of four overall after falling 21-10 at Georgia Tech last Saturday. Despite the loss, defensive tackle Aaron Donald had a day to remember with 11 tackles (including six for losses – the most by a player in FBS in 2013), two forced fumbles and a sack.
LINE: The Irish opened as 5-point faves, but the line has moved to -4. The total has held steady at 51.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with partly cloudy skies.

TRENDS:

* Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last seven November games.
* Panthers are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following an SU loss.
* Under is 5-1 in Pittsburgh's last six games against independents.


UCLA Bruins at Arizona Wildcats (-1.5, 56)

In addition to the return of rushing leader Jordon James to full health, the Bruins are also expected to have linebacker Eric Kendricks in the starting lineup against Arizona. Kendricks, who is fifth in the Pac-12 at eight tackles a game, did not play versus Colorado due to a shoulder injury. The Bruins enter the game sixth in the conference in total defense, one spot behind the Wildcats.

Arizona's B.J. Denker is the second-lowest rated quarterback in the Pac-12, although he has posted seven touchdown passes and one interception in the last four games. The Wildcats don’t have a receiver with more than 21 catches. Denker has scored 11 rushing touchdowns this season, two more than any previous Arizona quarterback.

LINE: What opened as a pick has shifted to Arizona -1.5. The total has risen slightly from 55.5 to 56.
WEATHER: Wind will blow south across the length of the field at 7 mph with temperatures in the mid-60s.

TRENDS:

* Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
* Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. teams with winning records.
* Over is 7-3 in Arizona's last 10 home games.


Fresno State Bulldogs at Wyoming Cowboys (+9, 79)

Bulldogs quarterback Derek Carr ranks second nationally in both passing (382.6 yards per game) and touchdown throws (28), and the trio of wide receivers Davante Adams, Josh Harper and Isaiah Burse has combined for 195 catches. Carr threw for 268 yards and three touchdowns in a 42-14 home victory over Wyoming last season, while Harper had a school-record 17 catches last week for 253 yards and two scores.

The Cowboys have struggled defensively all season, but their up-tempo offense could cause trouble for Fresno State. Running back Shaun Wick gained 234 yards on 17 carries against San Jose State, and underrated quarterback Brett Smith ranks eighth nationally in total offense at 349.8 yards per game. Fresno State’s explosive offense thrives on the big play, which could mean trouble for the Cowboys defense.

LINE: The Bulldogs opened -11 and are now -9. The total is currently 79.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-30s with wind blowing diagonally out of the SW at 9 mph.

TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games.
* Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games vs. teams with winning road records.
* Under is 11-4 in Wyoming's last 15 games following an ATS win.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[jt4545]

Thanks for all the hard work and good luck udog

[Udog]

NP jt!

It looks like it may be teaser time tonight. I'll wait to see what Kaptain and Bum think before I decide which way to tease em. Any ideas?

Good luck tonight!

[Udog]

Where the action is: Saturday's biggest NCAAF line moves

Bowl season is rapidly approaching with college football in Week 11 of the schedule. We talk with Michael Perry of Sportsbook.ag about some of the biggest line moves on the board this weekend:

Hawaii Warriors at Navy Midshipmen – Open: +19.5, Move: +16.5

This Mountain West matchup has had its spread trimmed as many as three points at some books. Sharp money was on Hawaii earlier in the week and 69 percent of action is on the Warriors.

“Maybe wiseguys are thinking this will be a letdown game for Navy, who are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Notre Dame,” says Perry. “On Sunday, we got sharp play on Hawaii +19.5 so moved to +18. Then on Monday, we got another sharp play on the 'Bows so moved to our current number.”


UCLA Bruins at Arizona Wildcats – Open: Pick, Move +2

This Pac-12 battle was bumped off a pick’em by early money on the Bruins. Some books are dealing Arizona as a slight home favorite but those spread are moving with more money on UCLA.

“A sharp play came on Sunday on the Bruins pick 'em, so moved to UCLA -1.5,” says Perry. “Heavy majority of the early public money was on the Bruins, so moved to UCLA -2. About 73 percent of the money is on the Bruins.”


Auburn Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers – Open: +7, Move +8.5

Wiseguys bought up Auburn at the key number of a touchdown quickly and forced books to go to -8. The Public got involved later in the week, tacking a half point on that spread with 88 percent of the action on the Tigers.

“Auburn has been a covering machine recently (6-0 ATS streak going) and has been popular with many in the betting public,” says Perry.


Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar Heels - Open: +15, Move: +13.5

Action on the home underdog has pushed this line past the key two-touchdown number but books expect some buyback on the Cavaliers before Saturday’s kickoff.

“This is a big line move in that it goes through 14,” says Perry. “I could see us settling on 14 soon on this game and will leave it there until gametime.”


Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas A&M Aggies – Open: -18.5, Move: -20

This one has jumped as high as -20 with money on Johnny Manziel and the Aggies. Sharps took a chunk of that action on Texas A&M before the betting public added on another half point.

“Big chunk of betting public was still betting on A&M with about 90 percent of the money on Texas A&M,” says Perry.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nebraska at Michigan: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan Wolverines (-6.5, 57.5)

Nebraska used a last-second touchdown pass to keep its hopes of a spot in the Big Ten championship game alive last week. Michigan, which hosts the Cornhuskers on Saturday, failed to do the same and ended up sliding behind Nebraska in the Big Ten Legends Division. The Wolverines saw their high-powered offense grind to a halt against Michigan State and will try to open things back up against Nebraska.

The Cornhuskers used their third-string quarterback to heave a pass toward the end zone as time expired against Northwestern last week, and somehow Jordan Westerkamp came down with the tipped ball in the end zone to keep the Rose Bowl dream alive. Walk-on quarterback Ron Kellogg III threw the pass but is expected to slide back to the No. 2 spot at Michigan, with Tommy Armstrong Jr. getting the start. The Wolverines can be difficult on any opposing quarterback at home, where they are 5-0.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC.

LINE: The Wolverines opened -7 and are now -6.5. The total has held at 57.5 since open.

WEATHER: Wind will blow across the field at 19 mph. Temperatures will be in the mid-50s.

ABOUT NEBRASKA (6-2, 3-1 Big Ten): The Cornhuskers are without starting quarterback Taylor Martinez due to a number of injuries, and redshirt freshman Armstrong will make his fifth straight start despite being pulled on the final drive last week. “Yeah, that’s fine with me,” said Kellogg. “I’ve been fine with it the entire season. I understand the whole status of it.” Michigan State sits atop the Legends Division and visits second-place Nebraska next week in what will be a big game if the Cornhuskers can sneak past the Wolverines.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (6-2, 2-2): The Wolverines squandered their own chance to gain the upper hand on the Spartans with a 29-6 road loss last week, totaling 168 yards (minus-48 on the ground) a week after piling up 751 in a 63-47 triumph over Indiana. Michigan scored at least 40 points in three straight before falling to Michigan State. “This was not the way you want to start a five-game stretch on the meat of your schedule,” coach Brady Hoke said. “It is something that we’re all disappointed with and everything that we do from a coaching standpoint and a playing standpoint is evaluated.”

TRENDS:

* Cornhuskers are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
* Wolverines are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Over is 7-1 in Wolverines last eight home games.
* Over is 6-2-1 in Cornhuskers last nine vs. a team with a winning record.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Michigan has won 19 straight home games - the longest active streak among BCS conference teams.

2. Nebraska took last season’s meeting 23-9 at home behind 101 yards and a touchdown from RB Ameer Abdullah.

3. Wolverines QB Devin Gardner was sacked seven times last week and sat out the last possession after spending some time on the ground, but returned to practice this week.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LSU at Alabama: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-13, 55)

Top-ranked Alabama’s bid for its third consecutive national championship continues Saturday when the Crimson Tide host rival Louisiana State, which has won five of the last six meetings in Bryant-Denny Stadium. The 12th-ranked Tigers have fallen out of the national title race, but Alabama-LSU games are invariably worth the high price of admission. The last six regular season meetings have each been decided by less than 10 points, with an average margin of victory of just 5.3.

The Crimson Tide hope to begin November where they left off after allowing a total of 20 points while scoring 45 or more in all four games last month. LSU is 2-10-1 all-time against No. 1-ranked teams, but coach Les Miles and his players are eager to snap the Tigers’ two-game losing skid against Alabama. “This is a chance to showcase our talent,” LSU defensive tackle Ego Ferguson said. “It's like an Ali-Foreman fight every time we play. The intensity level is like no other game.”

TV: 8 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: 'Bama opened -10.5 and is now -13. The total opened at 55.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with mostly cloudy skies.

ABOUT LSU (7-2, 3-2 SEC): Running back Jeremy Hill faces a tough test against the stout Alabama run defense, but he collected 107 yards and a score in last year’s 21-17 loss to the Crimson Tide - and he’s averaging 7.2 yards per carry this season with 12 touchdowns. Wide receivers Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry have eight touchdown receptions apiece, but quarterback Zach Mettenberger has struggled over his last three games (four TDs and five interceptions). Linebacker Lamin Barrow has a team-high 64 tackles for the Tigers, who are ranked third in the SEC in total defense.

ABOUT ALABAMA (8-0, 5-0): Quarterback AJ McCarron, who is 33-2 as a starter, has entered the Heisman Trophy discussion by completing 72.6 percent of his passes for 15 touchdowns with two interceptions over the last seven games. Alabama’s offensive line hasn't allowed a sack since the third quarter against Ole Miss on Sept. 28, and running backs T.J. Yeldon and Kenyan Drake have combined for 17 rushing touchdowns this season. The nation's best scoring defense (9.8 points per game) includes safety Landon Collins, a New Orleans native who ranks second on the team with 34 tackles.

TRENDS:

* The Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Tigers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight meetings in Alabama.
* Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a bye week.
* Crimson Tide are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games in November.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Tigers FB J.C. Copeland is expected to start after missing the last two games with a concussion.

2. The Crimson Tide are 70-3 when leading at halftime under coach Nick Saban.

3. Mettenberger is eight yards shy of becoming the first player in LSU history to throw for 2,500 or more in back-to-back seasons.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

Essential betting tidbits for Week 11 of college football

We dug up these vital betting tidbits for some of Saturday's college football action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

- Vanderbilt has scored at least 24 points in 14 straight games, a school record. Vandy plays Florida Saturday with a total of 42.

- TCU has won 16 of its last 20 conference road games, but is 0-3 (1-2 ATS) this season. The Horned Frogs are 7.5-point road faves at Iowa State Saturday.

- Mizzou ranks second in the SEC with 237.2 yards per game on the ground. The Kentucky Wildcats rank 99th in the land, allowing 204.6 rushing yards per game. Missouri is a 13.5-point road fave Saturday.

- The Minnesota Golden Gophers have covered three-straight games as dogs of a touchdown or greater. The Gophers are 2.5-point faves Saturday.

- Red-hot Florida State can clinch a second straight ACC Atlantic Division title and a third berth in the conference championship the last four seasons with a win over Wake Forest.

- The Southern Methodist Mustangs have allowed 294 points, more than double the 144 surrendered by the Cincinnati Bearcats.

- Iowa’s four losses have been to teams with a combined 32-3 record (Northern Illinois (9-0), Michigan State (8-1), Ohio State (9-0) Wisconsin (6-2). Hawkeyes are 14.5-point faves at 1-7 Purdue.

- Tennessee ranks last in the SEC in rushing defense, allowing 201.7 yards per contest and 5.1 yards per attempt.

- The Texas Tech Red Raiders are the top Covers consensus home pick at 74.89 percent. The Raiders are 2.5-point home faves against Kansas State.

- Arkansas RB Alex Collins leads all NCAA freshmen with 889 total rushing yards, and his average of 98.8 rushing yards a game is fourth in the SEC and 26th in the nation.

- Bryn Renner, the most accurate quarterback in North Carolina history, suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in the Tar Heels’ 27-19 win over North Carolina State last weekend. Redshirt sophomore Marquise Williams, who started against Virginia Tech earlier this year, will take full-time command under center for North Carolina. The Heels are 13-point home faves against Virginia Saturday.

- The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan. Saturday's total is currently 59.

- California’s top defensive player is ailing – LB Khairi Fortt, a Butkus Award semifinalist with a team-best 64 tackles, is batting a biceps injury. Cal is a 16.5-point home dog with USC in town.

- Maryland had last week off to regroup following back-to-back losses to Wake Forest and Clemson. The Terps are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a bye week.

- Michigan has won 19 straight home games - the longest active streak among BCS conference teams. The Wolverines are 6.5-point home faves versus Nebraska Saturday.

- The Wisconsin Badgers have not lost a nonconference home game since Sept. 13, 2003, a streak of 28 straight wins. The Badgers are 8-point home faves with BYU visiting.

- The New Mexico State Aggies have lost three previous games against BCS Conference teams by an average of 39.3 points. They are 24.5-point home dogs versus Boston College.

- Illinois and Indiana rank 10th and 12th in the conference, respectively, in points allowed. Saturday's total is currently 78.

- The Arizona State Sun Devils have beaten the Utah Utes in each of the last two seasons, covering the spread both times.

- The Kansas Jayhawks haven't score more than 20 points in the last seven games. The Oklahoma State Cowboys have scored more than 20 points in 47 straight games.

- The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between FIU and Middle Tennessee.

- The NC State Wolfpack has scored less than 20 points in 5 of the last 6 games. Saturday's total versus Duke is set at 57.

- In the past four seasons, the favorite is 4-0 ATS in meetings between Arkansas State and UL Monroe. The Warhawks are 3.5-point faves.

- The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between Virginia Tech and Miami. Saturday's total is 44.

- The Texans Longhorns have scored at least 31 points in the last five games. The under is 4-1 in that span.

- The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings between Houston and Central Florida. Saturday's total is 64.

- The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are winless this season and 1-7 ATS during the campaign. They are 16.5-point road dogs at Louisiana Tech Saturday.

- LSU QB Zach Mettenberger is eight yards shy of becoming the first player in LSU history to throw for 2,500 or more in back-to-back seasons. LSU is a 13-point road dog at 'Bama Saturday.

- The last six regular season meetings between LSU and Alabama have each been decided by less than 10 points, with an average margin of victory of just 5.3.

- The Aggies and Rebels average a combined 66.2 points per game and Saturday's total is set at 55.5.

- The Notre Dame Fighting Irish defense allows 23 points per game. Pittsburgh has been under the total the last 5 weeks. Saturday's total is currently 51.

- In the last seven games coming off a bye week, the Washington Huskies are 6-1 ATS. Saturday's line is currently Huskies -28.

- The favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings between UCAL and Arizona. UCLA won 66-10 at home last season.

- Fresno State is ranked No. 8 in scoring offense, but are only 4-4 O/U this season. Saturday's total at Wyoming is currently 79.

- In their last games nine after a straight up win, the San Jose State Spartans are 8-1 ATS. The Spartans are 6.5-point faves with San Diego State visiting.

[Udog]

College football betting weather report: Saturday's forecasts

TCU Horned Frogs at Iowa State Cyclones (+7.5, 46)
Temperatures will be in the low 50s with a cross-field wind blowing west-to-east at 13 mph.

Iowa Hawkeyes at Purdue Boilermakers (+14.5, 45)
Temperatures will be in the low 50s with with a 15 mph wind blowing across Ross-Ade stadium.

Western Michigan Broncos at Eastern Michigan Eagles (+2.5, 58.5)
Temperatures will be in the low 50s with a 20 mph wind blowing across the field.

Penn State Nittany Lions at Minnesota Golden Gophers (-2.5, 48)
Temperatures will be in the low 40s with a cross field wind blowing at 15 mph.

SMU Mustangs at Cincinnati Bearcats (-9, 65.5)
Temperatures will be in the mid 50s with a 13 mph win blowing towards the NE endzone.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan Wolverines (-6.5, 57.5)
At Ann Arbor, the temperature will be in the low 50s with a 16 mph cross field wind.

BYU Cougars at Wisconsin Badgers (-8, 55.5)
Temperatures will be in the high 40s with a cross field wind of 13 mph.

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas A&M Aggies (-19, 66.5)
There is a 17 percent chance of rain at College Station with temperatures in the low 70s.

Virginia Tech Hokies at Miami Hurricanes (-7, 44)
There is a 40 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 14 mph.

Colorado Buffaloes at Washington Huskies (-28, 60.5)
There is a 41 percent chance of rain, which increases to 71 percent later in the game.