Announcement

**Udog** · 10-29-2013, 09:36 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Updated Super Bowl odds, from the LV Super Book:

5-2 Broncos—Most passing yards, points ever thru eight games.

7-2 Seahawks—Not trusting them as the NFC favorite.

5-1 Saints—How much would Sean Payton love to get handed the Lombardi Trophy in February, by the guy who suspended him last year?

6-1 49ers—Bullying the weaker part of their schedule.

10-1 Chiefs/Packers—Two teams that met in the first Super Bowl.

12-1 Bengals/Patriots—If New England had the Bengals’ resume/players right now, they’d be 5-1 or 6-1.

*****

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but........

13) Interesting tidbit from NBC Sunday night: Green Bay Packers have three guys who have played for other NFL teams; FB Kuhn, backup QB Wallace and DT Pickett. Dallas Cowboys were like that in the late 70’s; at one point, Preston Pearson was only guy they had who had played for another team (Steelers).

12) Green Bay’s punter is Tim Mashtay, but unless you wanted him hold for kicks Sunday night, you didn’t see him do anything, seeing as the Packers didn’t punt the ball once.

11) New England hasn’t scored yet this year on their first drive of the third quarter; over their last five games, on first drive of the second half, Patriots have run a total of 16 plays for minus-23 yards.

10) Eagles didn’t score an offensive TD in either of their last two games, first time that has happened since 1999.

9) Chiefs’ win Sunday means the draft pick the give the 49ers next April as part of the Alex Smith trade goes from a 3rd round pick to a 2nd round pick, based on KC winning its 8th game of the year.

Don’t think anyone at Arrowhead is complaining, seeing as the pick figures to be a very low 2nd round pick anyway.

8) Speaking of Smith, he is now 27-5-1 in his last 33 games as a starting QB in the NFL, yet no one mentions him as one of the NFL’s better QB’s. Go figure.

7) Barring a really bad week on Wall Street this week, this will be only the 5th time in last 31 years the Stock Market went up in both September and October.

6) Bill Gates turned 58 years old Monday; he lives in a 66,000-square foot house, which I’m assuming is really, really big.

5) NFL teams with the most TD drives of less than 50 yards this season: Broncos 8; Cowboys-Bucs-Titans, all with 6.
Tampa Bay only has three TD drives longer than 50 yards.

Teams with the least: Texas-Giants-Steelers, all with 1.

4) Golf Channel’s Brandel Chamblee went out on a limb when he ripped Eldrick Woods for having four rules-related snafus this past season; will be interesting to see if TGC stands by Chamblee, or if they fire him from his plum job due to subtle pressure “…..the ball is in Golf Channel’s hands” from the Woods camp.

It kind of sucks if they let Chamblee go, not because he is so great at his job, but because free speech is one of the pillars of American society, or at least it used to be. Strong opinions make for interesting TV.

3) If you have a kid who likes Math and Halloween, get him a pumpkin with “3.14” carved into it. You know, Pumpkin Pi.

2) Its wrong that these scrimmages between D-I basketball teams this month aren’t open to public/media. Why suppress information that could help promote the sport (and help my handicapping)?

Not sure who to complain to about this, but an example: Harvard scrimmages Providence this week. Why not televise it and make some cash off it, or at least tell us who did what? Scrimmages aren’t always telling, but it would be better than being left in the dark.

1) Quick scrimmage story from my coaching days: Schenectady High at Christ the King, November of 2000. I was an assistant at Schenectady, which is Pat Riley’s home town in upstate NY. We had a very good, senior-laden team that went on to win the state title that year.

CTK is where Lamar Odom went to school; a pretty good team in the NYC Catholic League which at the time did not use a shot clock, so they didn’t play any zone defense, since teams could hold the ball.

So their coach requested that we not play any zone in the scrimmage and for the first 10-12 minutes, CTK held the upper hand. Then we had a quick coaching conference on the bench, figured we didn’t come 150 miles to get whacked and switched to our 3-2 zone and from that point on, our team dominated the scrimmage.

Point of story is this: Even if the NCAA let info out about these scrimmages, it wouldn’t be all-telling info, since some coaches prefer to work on things instead of playing all-out to win. Keeping the scrimmages secret doesn’t help the sport at all. (I guess that wasn’t that quick a story)

**Udog** · 10-29-2013, 09:36 AM

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Lookahead spot

Let’s for a second forget about what went on with the Dallas Cowboys in Detroit this past Sunday. Let’s erase the crushing last-second loss to the Lions and Dez Bryant’s poisonous tantrums on the sideline that nearly had Jason Witten – the NFL’s Man of the Year – ready to rip the Cowboys’ diva WR a new one. All that wiped clean, Dallas finds itself in a huge lookahead spot facing the Minnesota Vikings in Week 9.

The Cowboys have a big-time litmus tests on the road against New Orleans on Sunday Night Football in Week 10, a real chance to see where the team stacks up amongst the NFC contenders. With that prime time trip to the Big Easy hanging over its head, Dallas could find itself in trouble as a home favorite versus the Vikes. Now, pile all that other stuff mentioned above back on the ‘Boys. Yikes.

Letdown spot

One of the biggest upsets in Week 9 of the college football schedule went pretty much unnoticed Friday night. The C-USA was shaken as the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders shocked the Marshall Thundering Herd, 51-49 on a last-second TD catch from Tavarres Jefferson, winning outright as 10-point home underdogs.

The Blue Raiders snapped a three-game losing skid and now head to UAB to take on the 2-5 Blazers as 4.5-point road chalk Saturday. Middle Tennessee is 1-3 SU and ATS away from Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium this year and faces a UAB squad playing at home for just the second time in five games. The Blazers can put up points, averaging 29.3 on the season, and won’t roll over for a MTU program still glowing from its Week 9 win.

Schedule spot

Being the defending NBA champs is tough work. Not only are expectations high – on the court and at the sportsbook – but you have a big target on your back to open the year. The Miami Heat run a tough opening stretch of schedule to kick off the 2013-14 campaign, starting with a home date versus Derrick Rose and the Chicago Bulls Tuesday.

Defending NBA title winners have struggled to cover in their opening games over the past 11 seasons – 4-7 ATS – and following Tuesday's debut, Miami hits the bricks for road games in Philadelphia and Brooklyn before coming back to South Beach to host Washington Sunday. The Heat will have played four games in six days with travel in between, a tough task for any team to start the season.

**Udog** · 10-29-2013, 09:37 AM

NFL opening line report: Books limp into Week 9

Sportsbooks in Nevada limp into Week 9 of the NFL schedule after taking a beating from the betting public this Sunday.

NFL Week 8 favorites are 8-4 ATS, heading into the Monday nighter, serving books their worst week of the 2013 football season, according to media sources in Las Vegas. On top of that, the Over hit in eight of those 12 games, another popular parlay pick of the public.

“The public is 7-1 and going for the throat (Monday) with residual parlays overflowing to Seattle,” Jay Kornegay, sportsbook director at the LVH Superbook, told Matt Youmans of the Las Vegas Review-Journal.

That rough weekend may or may not prompt sportsbooks to inflate the spreads for Week 9’s action. Favorites are 63-53-3 (54.31%) on the year, with home chalk boasting a profitable 42-31-3 record (57.53%) heading into Monday.

“I preach it every week, ‘Jack up those favorites’,” Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, tells Covers. “I tell them every week, stick a number out there and if you start taking money on it, move it. Get to that number where you’re getting money on the underdog.”

“The thing is, a lot of places are too worried about getting middled. That rarely happens,” Korner says. “They’re afraid to put the favorites too high. They’re afraid of money on the underdog. I say get as much money on the underdog as you can before the weekend.”

Korner is pointing at next Monday’s game between the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers, which his oddsmakers sent out with Green Bay as an 11-point favorite.

Korner believes the injury to Chicago QB Jay Cutler will push this line higher and says books only have to look to this Monday’s game between Seattle and St. Louis as an example. That spread has climbed as high as Rams +14 with QB Sam Bradford out for the season.

“It’s basically a good team versus a bad team,” Korner says of the Green Bay-Chicago matchup. “On Monday, books should jack up the favorite and the total. Be higher than the guy next to you.”

San Diego Chargers at Washington Redskins (Pick, 51)

Robert Griffin III is the big “What if?” in this matchup. The Redskins QB left Sunday’s game against Denver with a knee injury in the fourth quarter but told the media his knee was fine and that the team held him out as a precaution.

Korner says his stable of oddsmakers brought spreads from Washington -2 to a pick’em to the table, settling on Redskins -2 with the expectation that RG3 would be in action versus San Diego.

“They’re playing much better and should be the favorite if he’s in,” Korner says of Griffin and the Redskins. “San Diego is a good team and we do respect them, but San Diego is in double trouble being in the AFC West, with Denver and Kansas City heading to the playoffs and everyone else - besides division leaders - fighting for one spot.”

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (+1, 45)

The Texans and Colts both come off a bye week, heading into this Sunday Night Football matchup. Korner says some of his oddsmakers had Houston as a favorite, however, they sent out Colts -1.

“I had to fight for this one,” he says. “I didn’t yield to the other guys.”

Korner is interested to see how Houston’s QB situation impacts the line. Matt Schaub is questionable to return from a leg injury in Week 9, leaving third-stringer Case Keenum as the starter. Keenum was impressive in his first NFL start versus Kansas City in Week 7, passing for 271 yards a score in a close loss to the Chiefs in Arrowhead Stadium.

“He looked good and confident,” Korner says of Keenum. “As bad as Schaub was playing, there’s not much of a drop off here. Now, perception wise there is. We did this (spread) with Keenum playing. We’ll see if the line moves if Schaub comes back.”

Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots (-7, 44)

A few years ago, this matchup would be a possible AFC Championship preview. But, with the Steelers stumbling and Tom Brady and the Patriots looking less like contenders every week, this AFC showdown has lost its luster.

Korner sent out this game at New England -7.5 but had some of his oddsmakers bring a spread as high as Patriots -9 to the table. Most books opened with the spread at a touchdown.

“This is now just an average game,” says Korner. “And where New England is playing better, it warrants more than a touchdown. It’s a boring game really. New England is the better team and I think (the spread) goes a little higher.”

**Udog** · 10-29-2013, 09:38 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Chicago at Miami
The Heat begin defense of their title Tuesday against a Chicago team that is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games versus Southeast Division opponents. Miami is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-5). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 29

Game 501-502: Orlando at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 113.332; Indiana 122.526
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 9; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 11 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+11 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Chicago at Miami (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 120.048; Miami 132.702
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 12 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 5; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-5); Under

Game 505-506: LA Clippers at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 125.825; LA Lakers 115.326
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-8); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 29

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ORLANDO (20 - 62) at INDIANA (60 - 40) - 10/29/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-6 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-5 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (50 - 44) at MIAMI (82 - 23) - 10/29/2013, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-6 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-5 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (58 - 30) at LA LAKERS (45 - 41) - 10/29/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 34-51 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 29

NBA starts tonight, but we're not going to post any info here until the teams have a few games under their belts, probably on Monday.

NBA

Tuesday, October 29

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. INDIANA
Orlando is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Orlando
Indiana is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. MIAMI
Chicago is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Miami
Chicago is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Miami is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

10:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. LA LAKERS
LA Clippers are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games
LA Clippers are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Lakers are 15-8 SU in their last 23 games when playing LA Clippers

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NBA

Tuesday, October 29

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NBA betting: Opening Night cheat sheet
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Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat (-4.5, 188.5)

Derrick Rose sat on the bench and watched the Chicago Bulls fall to the Miami Heat in the Eastern Conference semifinals last spring while recovering from knee surgery that kept him out the entire 2012-13 campaign. The Heat, who went on to win their second straight NBA Championship, will begin their title defense against a healthy Rose when they host the Bulls on Tuesday. Rose and Heat superstar LeBron James mark one of several intriguing matchups.

James and Rose combined to win the last five NBA MVP awards, with Rose stealing the crown from James in his last fully healthy season, 2010-11. The dynamic point guard could spend some time going up directly against James, who proved during the playoffs last season that he could guard all five positions on the court with little trouble.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT
LINE: The Heat opened s 5.5-point faves and are now -5. The total opened 187.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Chicago (-13.3) - Miami (-15.0) + home court (-3.0) = Heat -4.7
TRENDS:

* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Over is 7-2 in Bulls last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.

Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers (-12, 187.5)

The Indiana Pacers nearly ousted the Miami Heat in a stellar seven-game Eastern Conference finals last season and the goal is to dethrone the two-time NBA champions this time around. The task begins Tuesday when the Pacers open against the visiting Orlando Magic, a squad that struggled to a league-worst 20-62 record last season after dealing Dwight Howard. The Pacers open the campaign a man down after it was revealed Monday that swingman Danny Granger (calf) will miss at least three weeks.

Orlando is hoping to display improvement and is counting on rookie guard Victor Oladipo – the second pick of the 2013 draft – to excel immediately. The Pacers are on the other side of the equation with their fan base expecting a deep run that includes reaching the NBA Finals.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, FSN Florida (Orlando), FSN Indiana
LINE: The Pacers opened -11 and are now -12. The total opened 187 and is up to 187.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Orlando (-1.0) - Indiana (-13.1) + home court (-3.0) = Pacers -15.1
TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Indiana.
* Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

Los Angeles Clippers at Los Angeles Lakers (+8.5, 198.5)

The Los Angeles Lakers officially ruled Kobe Bryant out for Tuesday’s season opener, leaving the stage set for Doc Rivers and the rival Los Angeles Clippers. Rivers will spend his first game on the sidelines with his new team when the Clippers serve as visitors Tuesday in the arena they share with the Lakers. Bryant, who suffered a torn Achilles tendon toward the end of last season, is practicing with the team in a limited capacity.

Rivers made headlines over the summer when he jumped from the Boston Celtics to the Clippers, drawing criticism from Celtics fans while giving Clippers fans hope that the team can build on last season’s progress. The Clippers quickly re-signed Chris Paul and brought in J.J. Redick to help spread the floor for Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan inside.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT
LINE: The Clippers opened -8 and are now -8.5. The total opened 197 and is up to 198.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Clippers (-13.5) - Lakers (-4.6) + home court (-3.0) = Lakers +5.9
TRENDS:

* Clippers are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Over is 9-0 in the last nine meetings.
* Home team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

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NBA

Tuesday, October 29

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NBA Top 6: Easiest and hardest early schedules
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The NBA season kicks off Tuesday, and some teams will have an easier time of it than others in the early going.

Here are three teams with easy schedules over the first five games, along with three teams that have a tough opening sked:

Easy Schedules

Indiana Pacers

The Pacers represent one of the few teams in the Eastern Conference capable of knocking off the Miami Heat - and they've been handed a gift opening schedule. They'll kick off the season with games against non-contenders Orlando, New Orleans and Cleveland. A visit to Detroit is followed by Indiana's only tough game of the stretch, a home date with Derrick Rose and the Chicago Bulls.

Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks are expected to challenge for one of the final East playoff berths, and can bolster their chances - albeit infinitesimally - with a friendly opening stretch. Milwaukee opens on the road against the turmoil-riddled New York Knicks and putrid Boston Celtics, then return home to face Toronto, Cleveland and Dallas. A winning record over this span should be close to a given.

New York Knicks

Despite facing plenty of question marks about their roster, the Knicks have a favorable opening to the season. Consecutive games against Milwaukee and Chicago should provide a stiff test, but with just three games over the next nine days - one against Minnesota and two against woeful Charlotte - New York should be fresh and competitive in the second half of that stretch.

Hard Schedules

Houston Rockets

No team has a busier early stretch than the Rockets, who play their first five games in a seven-day span. The only easy one in that stretch is the home opener at Charlotte, but Houston will entertain the Dallas Mavericks two nights later before hitting the road for a three-game trek. Facing games against the Utah Jazz, Los Angeles Clippers and Portland Trail Blazers in a four-game stretch will test Houston's early-season fitness level.

Atlanta Hawks

It's unclear who the Hawks ticked off at the league office, but something must have happened for Atlanta to end up with such a bizarre - and demanding - season-opening docket. Atlanta visits Dallas in its opener before traveling back to Georgia for a one-game homestand against Toronto. That's followed by road games against the L.A. Lakers, Sacramento Kings and Denver Nuggets.

Philadelphia 76ers

The good news for Philadelphia - and there isn't that much this season - is that they'll play five of their first six games at home. The bad news: three of those games come against legitimate conference contenders - Miami, Chicago and Golden State. Add in a pair of games against the improving Washington Wizards, and the 76ers may find themselves 0-5 to open the campaign.

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**Udog** · 10-29-2013, 09:39 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Toronto at Edmonton
The Maple Leafs look to take advantage of an Edmonton team that is 2-9 in its last 11 home games. Toronto is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Maple Leafs favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 29

Game 1-2: NY Rangers at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.210; NY Islanders 10.184
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+130); Over

Game 3-4: Anaheim at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.621; Philadelphia 11.146
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-120); Under

Game 5-6: Dallas at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.078; Montreal 12.754
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-165); Under

Game 7-8: Tampa Bay at New Jersey (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.256; New Jersey 11.328
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Over

Game 9-10: Ottawa at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.310; Chicago 11.366
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-175); 5
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+155); Over

Game 11-12: Winnipeg at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.096; St. Louis 12.669
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-210); Under

Game 13-14: Toronto at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.728; Edmonton 10.206
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120); Under

Game 15-16: Los Angeles at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.956; Phoenix 11.447
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+100); Over

**Udog** · 10-29-2013, 09:40 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 29

Hot teams
-- Anaheim won eight of its last ten games. Flyers are 3-7 but won their last two games, giving up total of three goals.
-- Lightning won five of their last six games.
-- Chicago won six of its last nine games.
-- Los Angeles won seven of its last nine games. Coyotes won three of last four.

Cold teams
-- Rangers/Islanders both lost six of their last eight games.
-- Dallas Stars lost four of last five road games. Montreal lost three of last four home games.
-- Devils lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Senators lost three of their last four games.
-- Winnipeg lost four of its last five games. Blues lost three of last five games.
-- Edmonton lost three in row, 10 of first 13 games. Maple Leafs lost three of their last five games.

Series records
-- Rangers won seven of their last nine games with the Islanders.
-- Flyers lost three of their last four games with Anaheim.
-- Canadiens lost their last two games with Dallas, 5-2/3-0.
-- Devils are 20-6 in last 26 games vs Tampa Bay, but lost last two.
-- Senators lost four of last five games with Chicago.
-- Blues won three of their last four games with Winnipeg.
-- Oilers lost their last four games with Toronto, the last two in OT.
-- Kings won eight of last eleven games with Phoenix.

Totals
-- Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers' last five games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Philadelphia games.
-- Five of last six Dallas games went over the total; eight of last ten Montreal games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven Devil-Lightning games went over the total.
-- Last three Chicago games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Winnipeg-St Louis games.
-- Last three Toronto-Edmonton games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Phoenix games went over the total.

**Udog** · 10-29-2013, 09:40 AM

NHL

Tuesday, October 29

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ANAHEIM vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Anaheim's last 22 games on the road
Anaheim is 3-4-3 SU in its last 10 games ,when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 15 games when playing Anaheim

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. MONTREAL
Dallas is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 11 games
Montreal is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

7:00 PM
NY RANGERS vs. NY ISLANDERS
The total has gone OVER in 12 of the NY Rangers last 17 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Rangers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Islanders are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games

7:30 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NEW JERSEY
Tampa Bay is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
Tampa Bay is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
New Jersey is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. CHICAGO
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Ottawa

8:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. ST. LOUIS
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games

10:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. PHOENIX
Los Angeles is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Phoenix
Los Angeles is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

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**Udog** · 10-29-2013, 09:44 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 29

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NY RANGERS (3-7-0-0, 6 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (4-4-0-3, 11 pts.) - 10/29/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 7-3 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 7-3-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

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ANAHEIM (9-3-0-0, 18 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (3-7-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/29/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 157-131 ATS (+289.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 159-137 ATS (-41.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 59-64 ATS (-58.9 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-10 ATS (-10.7 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-15 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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DALLAS (5-5-0-1, 11 pts.) at MONTREAL (7-5-0-0, 14 pts.) - 10/29/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 1-15 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 38-60 ATS (+116.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-17 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 4-12 ATS (-9.1 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-10 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (8-3-0-0, 16 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (2-5-0-4, 8 pts.) - 10/29/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 97-187 ATS (+346.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 256-342 ATS (-109.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 112-168 ATS (-65.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 62-48 ATS (+4.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 32-24 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 4-3-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.8 Units)

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OTTAWA (4-5-0-2, 10 pts.) at CHICAGO (7-2-0-3, 17 pts.) - 10/29/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 132-154 ATS (-57.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
OTTAWA is 10-4 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 249-279 ATS (-60.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 128-146 ATS (-70.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-0-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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WINNIPEG (5-6-0-2, 12 pts.) at ST LOUIS (6-1-0-2, 14 pts.) - 10/29/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 15-1 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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TORONTO (8-4-0-0, 16 pts.) at EDMONTON (3-8-0-2, 8 pts.) - 10/29/2013, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-0-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (8-4-0-0, 16 pts.) at PHOENIX (7-3-0-2, 16 pts.) - 10/29/2013, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 1-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 295-265 ATS (-59.0 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 17-7 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 194-167 ATS (+379.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 134-129 ATS (+310.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 11-6 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 11-6-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

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**Udog** · 10-29-2013, 11:35 AM

NHL
Short Sheet

Tuesday, October 29

NY Rangers at NY Islanders, 7:05 ET
NY Rangers: 12-3 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive unders
NY Islanders: 8-1 UNDER in home games after playing 4 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored

Anaheim at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Anaheim: 19-8 UNDER in road games after playing a road game
Philadelphia: 11-18 SU in home games off a win or tie in their previous game

Dallas at Montreal, 7:05 ET
Dallas: 1-15 SU when playing on back-to-back days
Montreal: 9-3 UNDER first half of the season

Tampa Bay at New Jersey, 7:35 ET
Tampa Bay: 19-8 SU after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game
New Jersey: 81-54 UNDER in home games when playing with 2 days rest

Ottawa at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Ottawa: 132-154 ATS (-57.8 Units) in non-conference games
Chicago: 13-2 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 5 days

Winnipeg at St Louis, 8:05 ET
Winnipeg: 3-12 SU after playing 3 consecutive road games
St Louis: 25-5 SU in home games off a win or tie in their previous game

Toronto at Edmonton, 9:35 ET
Toronto: 45-67 SU off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more
Edmonton: 32-23 SU after 2 straight close losses by 1 goal

LA Kings at Phoenix, 10:05 ET
LA Kings: 5-0 UNDER in road games after 3 consecutive division games
Phoenix: 17-7 SU when playing with 2 days rest

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, October 29

Orlando at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Orlando: 13-8 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points
Indiana: 45-57 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points

Chicago at Miami, 8:00 ET
Chicago: 28-12 UNDER against Southeast division opponents
MIami: 36-21 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

LA Clippers at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
LA Clippers: 12-3 OVER vs. division opponents
LA Lakers: 21-9 OVER vs. division opponents

**Udog** · 10-29-2013, 11:40 AM

NFL line watch: Wait out Seahawks' big spread

Spread to bet now

Atlanta Falcons (+9.5) at Carolina Panthers

If you don't mind laying about 20 cents extra, you can still get the Falcons at 9.5. The line is dropping though, with 9’s and 7.5’s starting to predominate.

How the mighty have fallen. After getting shellacked 27-13 by Arizona last weekend, Atlanta enters this game at just 2-5. The surging Panthers are second only to the Saints at 4-3 in the NFC South, winners of three straight.

Carolina has scored a combined 96 points on its recent three-game surge but bettors aren't being fooled, as those three victories have come against teams with a combined four wins between them (Vikings, Rams, Bucs).

If you think that Atlanta has something up its sleeve this weekend, likely best to jump on board as soon as possible.

Spread to wait on

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks (-18.5)

No team in the NFL enjoys a home-field advantage more than the Seahawks. The fans, dubbed the "12th Man", are so loud during the opposing teams' offensive series that they've consistently induced the most false starts penalties over the last half decade. Players are simply unable to hear their quarterback making the calls.

This line opened at a whopping 18.5 points, but is starting to drop already. Seattle is coming off back-to-back divisional road contests and barely escaped St. Louis with a win Monday night. With a game in Atlanta next week, bettors are wary of a letdown vs. the lowly Bucs, who have nothing to lose.

Look for the Seahawks to roll in this one, but wait a little closer to kickoff before getting down.

Total to watch

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (45)

Over bettors have feasted on Sunday night's this season, so if you think the Colts and Texans are going to follow suit this weekend, you may want to wait a bit closer to kickoff. This line opened at 45, but for the most part 44.5 dominates the board.

While the Colts are coming off a big 39-33 win at home over the Broncos two weeks ago, they have gone 3-4 O/U this year, including 0-3 O/U on the road. Indianapolis may have a hard time duplicating its points output in Houston.

Despite their 2-5 record, the Texans are the highest-rated defensive unit in the league, giving up an average of just 267.7 total yards per game. And the Colts give up an average of just 18.7 points per game this year.

Announcement

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 10/29 (MLB, NBA, CFL, NHL, Misc.)

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 10/29 (MLB, NBA, CFL, NHL, Misc.)

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