NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 10 (Wednesday, October 30 - Saturday, November 2)

[Udog]

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 10

Saturday, November 2

Clemson at Virginia, 3:30 ET
Clemson: 20-8 ATS in road games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game
Virginia: 2-13 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest

Virginia Tech at Boston College, 12:00 ET
Virginia Tech: 0-7 ATS in road games when playing on a Saturday
Boston College: 6-0 ATS in home games off a loss against a conference rival

Illinois at Penn State, 12:00 ET
Illinois: 1-10 ATS against conference opponents
Penn State: 21-9 ATS in home games off a road loss

Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech, 7:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 10-2 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3
Georgia Tech: 1-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3

Tennessee at Missouri, 7:00 ET
Tennessee: 16-6 ATS in road games after scoring 14 points or less
Missouri: 10-2 OVER after a loss by 6 or less points

Iowa State at Kansas State, 3:30 ET
Iowa State: 24-42 ATS in road games in games played on turf
Kansas State: 9-2 ATS after the first month of the season

Southern Miss at Marshall, 12:00 ET
Southern Miss: 2-9 ATS against conference opponents
Marshall: 6-0 OVER after allowing 37 points or more last game

Utep at Texas A&M, 9:00 ET
Utep: 3-11 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
Texas A&M: 23-9 ATS in home games in weeks 10 through 13

MID Tennessee State at UAB, 1:00 ET
Mid Ten St: 5-15 ATS in road games after playing 3 straight conference games
UAB: 26-8 ATS after a 2 game road trip

Army at Air Force, 12:00 ET
Army: 7-0 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half
Air Force: 1-8 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

West Virginia at TCU, 3:30 ET
West Virginia: 11-17 ATS when playing on a Saturday
TCU: 20-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49

Georgia at Florida, 3:30 ET
Georgia: 19-8 ATS in road games after having lost 2 out of their last 3
Florida: 0-7 ATS off a loss against a conference rival

Miami Florida at Florida State, 8:00 ET
Miami FL: 9-2 ATS against conference opponents
Florida St: 28-49 ATS after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half

Wisconsin at Iowa, 12:00 ET
Wisconsin: 10-2 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games
Iowa: 40-16 UNDER after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game

Michigan at Michigan State, 3:30 ET
Michigan: 2-10 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games
Michigan State: 10-1 ATS after allowing 250 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games

Ohio State at Purdue, 12:00 ET
Ohio State: 29-13 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games
Purdue: 12-3 OVER in home games in games played on a grass field

Minnesota at Indiana, 3:30 ET
Minnesota: 1-9 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
Indiana: 6-0 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Colorado at UCLA, 7:30 ET
Colorado: 1-8 ATS after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games
UCLA: 10-2 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses

Navy at Notre Dame, 3:30 ET
Navy: 10-2 ATS in road games after a win by 3 or less points
Notre Dame: 20-37 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers

Auburn at Arkansas, 6:00 ET
Auburn: 15-5 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games
Arkansas: 3-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Northwestern at Nebraska, 6:00 ET
Northwestern: 6-0 UNDER off a loss against a conference rival
Nebraska: 19-4 ATS in home games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse

Hawaii at Utah State, 4:00 ET
Hawaii: 4-13 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Utah State: 10-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech, 7:00 ET
Oklahoma State: 0-6 ATS after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game
Texas Tech: 26-13 ATS at home after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers

Nevada at Fresno State, 10:30 ET
Nevada: 3-12 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
Fresno State: 17-4 ATS after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival

Mississippi State at South Carolina, 12:20 ET
Mississippi State: 15-3 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points
South Carolina: 9-21 ATS in home games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6

Boise State at Colorado State, 8:00 ET
Boise State: 3-13 ATS in the second half of the season
Colorado State: 28-14 ATS off a road win against a conference rival

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 2

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Michigan at Michigan State: What bettors need to know
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Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans (-5, 46.5)

The annual battle between Michigan and Michigan State is one of the highlights of the Big Ten schedule and could hold even more meaning this season. First place in the Legends Division will be on the line when the 24th-ranked Spartans host No. 21 Michigan on Saturday. Michigan State is undefeated in conference but will be tested by its toughest stretch of schedule beginning with Michigan.

The Wolverines put up some video game numbers on offense last week in a 63-47 win over Indiana but surrendered over 40 points for the second straight week and are vulnerable on the road. That Michigan offense will get a big test against a Spartans defensive unit that yielded a total of three points in the last two games. “[Michigan State’s] defense is as good as any and that’s going to be a real challenge for us,” Wolverines coach Brady Hoke said.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC.

LINE: The Spartans opened as 5-point home faves. The total opened at 46.5.

WEATHER: There is a 30 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow across the field at 10 mph.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (6-1, 2-1 Big Ten): The Wolverines will be playing just their third true road game and barely scraped by a winless Connecticut team 24-21 away from home on Sept. 21 before suffering their lone loss, 43-40 in four overtimes, at Penn State on Oct. 12. “I think any time you play away from home, it just is part of it, to make sure that our focus and discipline as a team has to be spot-on for us to go out and compete at our highest level,” Hoke said. Michigan was just two points up on Indiana midway through the fourth quarter on Oct. 19 before a pair of late touchdowns capped a 751-yard offensive outburst.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (7-1, 4-0): The Spartans are looking at two straight games against teams chasing them for the Legends Division and a spot in the Big Ten championship game, with a trip to Nebraska coming up after a bye on Nov. 16. Michigan State padded its record and showed off on defense while making some necessary adjustments offensively in last week’s 42-3 triumph over Illinois, as quarterback Connor Cook went 15-of-16 for 208 yards and three touchdowns in his most efficient performance. Cook’s emergence compliments a running attack that is averaging 196.5 yards.

TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Spartans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games.
* Over is 6-1 in Wolverines last seven conference games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Michigan TE A.J. Williams (violation of team rules) will serve a one-game suspension.

2. Michigan State leads the FBS in total defense, surrendering an average of 215.5 yards.

3. The Wolverines halted a four-game losing streak in the series with a 12-10 home triumph over the Spartans last year.


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 2

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Miami at Florida State: What bettors need to know
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Miami Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles (-22, 61)

Just like old times, major national championship implications will be on the line when No. 3 Florida State hosts No. 6 Miami in a battle of unbeaten teams Saturday night. The Seminoles might be playing better than anyone in the nation after following their blowout win at Clemson with a 49-17 thumping of North Carolina State last week. Miami presents the greatest threat remaining on the schedule and wants to claim Sunshine State superiority.

The Hurricanes have moved to the periphery of the national title picture after two straight narrow victories — 27-23 at North Carolina and 24-21 over Wake Forest — but could reclaim their place in the conversation with an upset in Tallahassee. While the Hurricanes have been narrowly averted disaster, the Seminoles have been inflicting it. They've won their last three games by a combined 132 points and six of their seven wins have come by 28 points or more.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC.

LINE: Florida State opened -22. The total opened at 61.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with clear skies.

ABOUT MIAMI (7-0, 3-0 ACC): The Hurricanes have won nine straight — their longest streak since winning 10 in a row from Nov. 15, 2003, to Oct. 23, 2004 — yet they're three-touchdown underdogs. Miami's offense was impressive early in the season but has been inconsistent against inferior opponents the past two games. The defense has kept the Hurricanes in the past two contests and boasts 22 sacks and 12 interceptions on the season but will have its hands full with an explosive Florida State offense.

ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (7-0, 5-0): The Seminoles have been unstoppable on offense with redshirt freshman Jameis Winston running the show, scoring touchdowns on 54.2 percent of their drives — second-best in the nation. Winston has emerged as a Heisman Trophy contender, as he ranks second in the nation in passing efficiency and has passed for 2,177 yards and 23 touchdowns. The big offensive numbers have overshadowed a defense that leads the country against the pass (153.7 yards per game) and has produced 14 turnovers and three defensive touchdowns.

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
* Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Hurricanes are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings in Florida State.
* Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The rivals are meeting when both are unbeaten for the ninth time, and the first since 2003.

2. Miami RB Duke Johnson (1,770) needs 184 rushing yards to move into the top 10 in school history, and he needs 230 to become the program's ninth 2,000-yard rusher.

3. Florida State has scored 40 or more points in seven consecutive games, tying the school record set in 1995.


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 2

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Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action
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Northern Illinois Huskies at Massachusetts Minutemen (+23.5, 58)

The undefeated Huskies, who have won 20 of their last 21 games, shouldn't have a problem with a Massachusetts team it defeated 63-0 a year ago. Jordan Lynch continues to light up opposing defenses through the air and on the ground, and recently became the tenth player in FBS history to surpass 3,000 yards rushing and 4,000 yards passing in a career.

The Minutemen are coming off a heart-breaking 31-30 defeat to Western Michigan, in which head coach Charley Molnar opted for a two-point conversion attempt down by one point with 22 seconds remaining. The attempt failed, leaving the Minutemen with a 2-18 record since joining the FBS last season. Rob Blanchflower led the offense with a career-high 131 yards receiving on seven catches.

LINE: Northern Illinois opened as a 22.5-point favorite, but the line has grown to 23.5. The O/U is set at 58.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies.

TRENDS:

* Huskies are 9-2-1 ATS vs. teams with losing records.
* Minutemen are 1-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records.
* Under is 7-1 in Massachusetts' last eight games.


Ohio State Buckeyes at Purdue Boilermakers (+31.5, 56.5)

Quarterback Braxton Miller and running back Carlos Hyde look to continue raising their games when No. 4 Ohio State visits struggling Purdue for a Big Ten clash on Saturday. Miller completed 40-of-51 passes the last two weeks and Hyde gained 464 yards rushing over the previous three games for the Buckeyes, who have won 20 straight.

Ohio State, which is averaging 42 points in four league games, faces a Boilermakers team that started eight underclassmen in a 14-0 loss at Michigan State on Oct. 19. Freshman quarterback Danny Etling will make his third start as Purdue attempts to snap a five-game losing streak. Etling is 28-of-60 for 344 yards over his last two games, DeAngelo Yancey has made 15 catches for 327 yards and Akeem Hunt leads the team in rushing (293) and receptions (24).

LINE: The line has moved slightly to 31.5 after Ohio State opened as a 31-point fave. The total is 56.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with wind blowing across the field at 12 mph.

TRENDS:

* Buckeyes are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win.
* Boilermakers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
* Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.


Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes (+9.5, 48.5)

The Badgers have won two straight games and had their second bye in four weeks last weekend. Iowa recorded a 17-10 overtime victory over Northwestern last Saturday after suffering consecutive losses to Michigan State and Ohio State. The Hawkeyes’ three defeats - Northern Illinois is the other team that beat them - are to teams with a combined 23-1 record.

Iowa middle linebacker James Morris is coming off a superb performance in which he had eight tackles, two sacks and recovered a fumble against Northwestern. Morris has 64 tackles - second on the squad behind the 79 of weak-side linebacker Anthony Hitchens - and ranks eighth in school history with 357 in his career.

LINE: The Badgers have held steady as a 9.5-point favorite. The total is set at 48.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-40s with wind blowing across the field at 14 mph.

TRENDS:

* Badgers are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win.
* Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games.
* The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.


Mississippi State Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks (-12, 52)

With its division title hopes rejuvenated, No. 16 South Carolina returns home Saturday to take on struggling Mississippi State in a Southeastern Conference cross-divisional matchup. After entering the game in the third quarter and engineering a comeback last week against Missouri, South Carolina starting quarterback Connor Shaw is questionable this week with a virus.

Despite being kicked in the left shin by a fellow student on Mississippi State’s campus early this week, according to the school’s website, dual-threat quarterback Dak Prescott will get the start for the Bulldogs. Prescott has just five touchdowns against three interceptions since taking over for an injured Tyler Russell in the opening week, but he has rushed for over 100 yards three times in the Bulldogs' last five games.

LINE: The Gamecocks opened as 12.5-point favorites, but the line has since dipped to 12. The total is set at 52.
WEATHER: Sunny skies are expected with wind blowing across the field at 10 mph.

TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games.
* Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last five games on grass.
* Over is 8-2 in South Carolina's last 10 conference games.


B]Clemson Tigers at Virginia Cavaliers (+17, 54.5)[/B]

No. 8 Clemson will try to break out of its offensive funk when the Tigers travel to play ACC rival Virginia on Saturday. Clemson, also No. 8 in the latest BCS rankings, struggled to put away Maryland last week after falling flat in a 51-14 loss to No. 3 Florida State. The Tigers should have an easier time against the Cavaliers, who have lost five straight and are allowing nearly 30 points a game.

Red-zone efficiency is of particular focus for the Tigers, who led the Terrapins 19-13 in the third quarter before claiming a 40-27 victory. Clemson settled for four field goals after getting inside the 20. Some of the Tigers’ offensive struggles can be attributed to quarterback Tajh Boyd, who got banged up against both the Seminoles and the Terrapins.

LINE: Clemson opened as a 17-point favorite, but the line has dropped to 16.5. The total is 54.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with wind blowing across the field at 7 mph.

TRENDS:

* Tigers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. teams with losing home records.
* Cavaliers are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 games.
* Under is 9-1 in Virginia's last 10 November games.


Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans (-6, 46.5)

First place in the Legends Division will be on the line when the 24th-ranked Spartans host No. 21 Michigan on Saturday. he Wolverines will be playing just their third true road game and barely scraped by a winless Connecticut team 24-21 away from home on Sept. 21 before suffering their lone loss, 43-40 in four overtimes, at Penn State on Oct. 12.

Michigan State padded its record and showed off on defense while making some necessary adjustments offensively in last week’s 42-3 triumph over Illinois, as quarterback Connor Cook went 15-of-16 for 208 yards and three touchdowns in his most efficient performance. Cook’s emergence complements a running attack that is averaging 196.5 yards.

LINE: MSU was installed as a 4.5-point favorite, but the line has since vaulted to 6. The total is set at 46.5.
WEATHER: There is a 40 percent chance of rain with wind blowing diagonally out of the northwest at 9 mph.

TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after racking up more than 280 yards in their previous contest.
* Spartans are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS win.
* Over is 6-1 in Michigan's last seven conference games.



Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-17, 48.5)

Notre Dame seeks its fourth straight victory Saturday afternoon when it hosts Navy as the longtime rivals meet for the 87th straight season. The Fighting Irish are coming off their most lopsided win of the year, a 45-10 rout at Air Force. They have put a 3-2 start in the rear view mirror and are gearing up for a challenging stretch run that ends with a visit to Stanford on the Saturday after Thanksgiving.

The Midshipmen also took care of Air Force earlier in the year and are coming off a 24-21 win over Pittsburgh last Saturday. A 30-yard field goal as time expired was the difference as Navy scored 10 points in the final three-plus minutes to improve to 3-0 at home. The Midshipmen have dropped three straight on the road, however, including two to non-BCS conference schools.

LINE: Notre Dame has held steady as a 17-point favorite. The total has dipped from 49 to 48.5.
WEATHER: There is a 46 percent chance of rain and wind blowing across the width of the field at 13 mph.

TRENDS:

* Midshipmen are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games on grass.
* Fighting Irish are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after scoring 40 or more points in their previous outing.
* Road team is 15-3 ATS in their last 18 meetings.


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 2

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Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action
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Auburn Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks (+8, 54.5)

Arkansas has lost five straight since starting 3-0 while yielding 52 points in each of its two latest setbacks - to No. 18 South Carolina and No. 1 Alabama - while scoring only seven against the Gamecocks and getting blanked by the Crimson Tide. Auburn quarterback Nick Marshall, who injured his shoulder in the Tigers' 45-10 victory over Florida Atlantic last week, is expected to play, according to WBRC Fox 6 Birmingham.

The Razorbacks, who are playing their fifth straight ranked opponent, have the worst offense in the SEC at 20.4 points per game and have only mustered 17 points in their last three games combined. Running back Alex Collins, the first freshman in SEC history to start his career with three 100-yard rushing games, has been held to 79 yards in four games since conference play began.

LINE: Auburn opened as a 9.5-point favorite, but the line has since dropped to 8. The total is set at 54.5.
WEATHER: Clear skies are expected with temperatures in the low-50s.

TRENDS:

* Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games.
* Razorbacks are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 home games.
* Over is 19-7 in Arkansas' last 26 November games.


Tennessee Volunteers at Missouri Tigers (-10.5, 55.5)

Missouri still controls its fate in the SEC East, but the 10th-ranked Tigers can't afford another setback when they host upset-minded Tennessee on Saturday. The Tigers' charmed season suffered its first blemish in a 27-24 double-overtime loss to South Carolina last week. The Volunteers knocked off those same Gamecocks two weeks ago, but are coming off a 45-10 thrashing at the hands of top-ranked Alabama.

The Volunteers will hand the reins of the offense to freshman Joshua Dobbs, who will make his first start in place of Justin Worley (thumb). Dobbs was slated for a redshirt before coming off the bench against Alabama and going 5-for-12 for 75 yards. To pull off the upset, Tennessee will need a big game from running back Rajion Neal and a defense that has not fared well against strong offenses.

LINE: Missouri comes in as a 10.5-point favorite, down from an opening line of -13. The total is steady at 55.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with sunny skies and wind blowing across the field at 7 mph.

TRENDS:

* Volunteers are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games vs. teams with winning records.
* Tigers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss.
* Over is 8-3 in Missouri's last 11 games.


Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5, 66.5)

Oklahoma State will try to stretch its winning streak to five games against No. 15 Texas Tech when the No. 12 Cowboys travel to Lubbock for Saturday night’s Big 12 matchup. The Red Raiders are the first ranked team Oklahoma State will face this season and they entered the week tied for fifth in the nation at 537.1 total yards a game. Texas Tech is coming off its first loss of the season, however, and is 1-7 in the month of November over the last two years.

Josh Stewart is leading the Cowboys in receptions and receiving yards for the second straight season, leaving him 16 yards short of becoming the seventh player in school history to reach 2,000 receiving yards for his career. But Stewart was limited to 20 yards or less in two of the last three games. Chelf hasn’t helped Stewart’s productivity, completing 38 percent of his passes in the seven quarters since he took over for Walsh.

LINE: Texas Tech opened as a 1.5-point favorite, but the line has moved to 2.5. The total is 66.5.
WEATHER: Fans should expect clear skies and temperatures in the low-60s.

TRENDS:

* Cowboys are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games on Fieldturf.
* Red Raiders are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with winning road records.
* Over is 6-0 in Texas Tech's last six games following an ATS loss.


Colorado Buffaloes at UCLA Bruins (-27, 57)

The Buffaloes are yielding a conference-worst 287.5 rushing yards per Pac-12 game after giving up an eye-popping 405 against Arizona. Colorado isn't much better against the pass, yielding 268 yards per contest with only seven sacks. The Buffaloes' two best offensive weapons were injured against Arizona as wide receiver Paul Richardson hurt his ankle while freshman running back Michael Adkins II suffered a concussion

The Bruins have struggled without running back Jordon James, who averaged 141.3 yards in three games before injuring his ankle against Utah on Oct. 3 and missed the ensuing three contests since. Sophomore quarterback Brett Hundley appeared to be a Heisman Trophy candidate before throwing two touchdowns and four interceptions in his last two games, but has an opportunity to get his confidence back against Colorado.

LINE: The line has moved slightly from UCLA -26.5 to -27. The total is set at 57.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under sunny skies.

TRENDS:

* Buffaloes are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
* Bruins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
* Under is 25-4 in UCLA's last 29 home games vs. teams with losing road records.


Miami Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles (-22, 61)

The Hurricanes have won nine straight — their longest streak since winning 10 in a row from Nov. 15, 2003, to Oct. 23, 2004 — yet they're three-touchdown underdogs. Miami's offense was impressive early in the season but has been inconsistent against inferior opponents the past two games. The defense has kept the Hurricanes in the past two contests and boasts 22 sacks and 12 interceptions on the season

The Seminoles have been unstoppable on offense with redshirt freshman Jameis Winston running the show, scoring touchdowns on 54.2 percent of their drives — second-best in the nation. Winston has emerged as a Heisman Trophy contender, as he ranks second in the nation in passing efficiency and has passed for 2,177 yards and 23 touchdowns.

LINE: Florida State has held steady as a 22-point favorite. The total is set at 61.
WEATHER: Skies will be clear with temperatures in the mid-60s.

TRENDS:

* Hurricanes are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
* Seminoles are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games on grass.
* Over is 7-0 in Florida State's last seven games.


UTEP Miners at Texas A&M Aggies (-45.5, 76)

Texas A&M would have been a heavy favorite against Texas-El Paso anyway, but now the No. 14 Aggies will be up against a second-string quarterback when they host the Miners in a nonconference game Saturday night. UTEP quarterback Jameill Showers injured his throwing shoulder in a loss to Rice last weekend and could be lost for the season.

Aggies star quarterback Manziel was limited during practice last week because of a shoulder injury but took the field Saturday against Vanderbilt and threw for 305 yards and four touchdowns in the 56-24 victory. Manziel rushed for career lows of 11 yards on four carries and may take that approach again Saturday to protect his shoulder.

LINE: The line opened with the Aggies a 45-point favorite, and has since risen to 45.5. The total is set at 76.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies.

TRENDS:

* Miners are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 200 or more rushing yards in their previous outing.
* Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games vs. Conference USA opponents.
* Over is 6-1 in Texas A&M's last seven home games.


Nevada Wolf Pack at Fresno State Bulldogs (-20.5, 73.5)

The Wolf Pack lost to rival UNLV for the first time in nine meetings last week. Cody Fajardo threw for 357 yards in the game, marking the third time in his last four outings that he's gone over 350 yards. Fajardo, whose Mountain West-record streak of 193 passes without an interception was snapped against UNLV, ranks 16th in the nation in completion percentage (67.7).

The Bulldogs blocked a field goal as regulation time expired last week and then got a 1-yard touchdown run from Marteze Waller to post a 35-28 win on the road. Fresno State has won 10 straight games at home, led by Carr, who ranks seventh in the nation in passing with 2,574 yards and is second in touchdowns with 25. The Bulldogs have won two games in overtime this season and has four wins by seven or fewer points.

LINE: The Bulldogs have been locked in as 20.5-point favorites, while the total is steady at 73.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with clear skies.

TRENDS:

* Wolfpack are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games.
* Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an SU win.
* Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 2

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Georgia vs. Florida: What bettors need to know
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Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators (+2.5, 47)

Both Georgia and Florida stumble into the latest installment of the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party on Saturday in Jacksonville, their dreams of winning the SEC East title hampered by a rash of injuries that has derailed both teams’ seasons. What is as amazing as the health issues that have hit both teams is that each squad still has a slim shot to reach the conference title game. Saturday’s winner must win the rest of its SEC games and needs Missouri to lose at least once.

Georgia tailback Todd Gurley is expected to play for the first time since spraining his left ankle Sept. 28 against LSU, but wide receiver Chris Conley (ankle) and safety Josh Harvey-Clemons (foot) may not face the Gators. Florida, meanwhile, has seen eight players, including starting quarterback Jeff Driskel (broken leg), sidelined for the season. Both teams have lost two in a row, the first time since 1926 that the Bulldogs and Gators meet riding multiple-game losing streaks, according to ESPN Stats and Information.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: The Bulldogs opened as 2.5-point road faves. The total opened at 47.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for a 66 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow across the field at 8 mph.

ABOUT GEORGIA (4-3, 3-2 SEC): Senior quarterback Aaron Murray threw three interceptions in the first half of last year’s 17-9 victory over the Gators, but he could join Johnny Rauch and Buck Belue as the only Bulldogs quarterbacks in the past 70 years to beat Florida three times. The return of Gurley, who topped 100 yards rushing in his first two games, will bolster the Bulldogs’ already powerful offense. Georgia has allowed 30 or more points six times in seven games even though junior linebackers Ramik Wilson (second) and Amarlo Herrera (fifth) rank in the top five in the SEC in tackles.

ABOUT FLORIDA (4-3, 3-2): Freshman running back Kelvin Taylor gave the Gators a boost against Missouri in Florida's last game, rushing for 74 yards and scoring his first career touchdown. But Florida comes in ranked 103rd nationally in scoring at 21.1 points and mustered just 151 yards of total offense against Missouri, as junior quarterback Tyler Murphy has struggled since taking over for Driskel. The Gators’ hopes lie with a defense that is eighth nationally in points allowed per game (16.3), but Florida was torched for 500 yards and 36 points against the Tigers.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Florida.
* Bulldogs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Florida.
* Gators are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games in November.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Georgia and Florida face off unranked for the second time in four years, after at least one team was ranked every year since 1979.

2. Florida’s three losses all have come on the road against teams now ranked in the top 15 (No. 6 Miami, No. 10 Missouri, No. 13 LSU).

3. The Bulldogs have won the past two meetings with Florida; Georgia has not beaten the Gators three consecutive years since 1987-89.


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[Udog]

Essential betting tidbits for Week 10 of college football

- The Virginia Tech Hokies have won five straight games versus Boston College, but the Eagles have covered the spread in back-to-back meetings. BC is a 4-point home dog.

- The Northern Illinois Huskies (-26.5) are the top Covers consensus pick for Saturday at 79.63 percent.

- The Temple Owls are big 12.5-point road dogs at Rutgers Saturday, but are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.

- The road team is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings between Illinois and Penn State. The Illini are 11.5-point road dogs at the Nittany Lions.

- The top Consensus Under play is in the matchup between Army and Air Force. Saturday's total is 53.

- The Wisconsin Badgers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games overall and are 8.5-point road faves at Iowa Saturday.

- The top Over play is in the matchup between Purdue and Ohio State. The total is 58 (72 percent).

- Mississippi State has lost six straight to South Carolina dating back to 1999.

- Away from home, the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles are averaging 9.2 points per game, and allow teams to 48.8 ppg. Southern Miss is a 32-point road dog at Marshall.

- The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have allowed more than 24 points only once this season – a 56-7 loss to Clemson. Wake is a 4.5-point road dog at Syracuse.

- The underdog is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings between North Carolina and North Carolina State. The Wolfpack are 5-point home dogs Saturday.

- Western Kentucky has played Under in four straight games. Saturday's total at Georgia State is 56.5.

- The Over is 6-2 in UAB's last eight home games and 7-1 in the last eight overall. UAB hosts Middle Tennessee with a total of 60.5.

- The Michigan Wolverines are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings with Michigan State. The Wolverines are 3.5-point road faves.

- There's a Pac-12 meeting at Cal as Arizona is in town. The Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings in California.

- Wildcat backers have been pleased with Kansas State's home form of late. The Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and are 17-point home faves with Iowa State visiting.

- Kent State and Akron have played Under the total is three-straight matchups. Saturday's total is 52.5.

- The Northwestern Wildcats have been poor against the spread this season. In fact, they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall.

- Dating back to 1996, the Texas Longhorns have won 10 straight versus the Kansas Jayhakws and are 8-2 ATS over that stretch. Texas is a 27.5-point home fave Saturday.

- The dog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between Clemson and Virginia. The Cavaliers are 17.5-point home dogs Saturday.

- The fave is 4-1 in the last five meetings between Florida and Georgia. The Bulldogs are 3-point faves Saturday.

- The Indiana Hoosiers have scored 28-plus points in eight straight games dating back to last season - a school record.

- The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 5-0 this season when leading at halftime.

- Navy averages just 3.14 penalties and 26.43 penalty yards per game, the lowest marks in the nation in each category.

- West Virginia Mountaineers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. WVU is an 11.5-point road dog at TCU.

- The top home Consensus pick is Utah State at 74 percent. The Aggies are 24-point home faves versus Hawaii.

- The San Jose Spartans have been kind to bettors in November. They are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games in the month and are 4.5-point road faves in UNLV.

- Carl Pelini resigned as head coach of Florida Atlantic earlier in the week. FAU is a 2-point home dog versus Tulane Saturday.

- UL Lafayette is 3-0 ATS in its last three games and has won five consecutive games SU. The Cajuns are 31.5-point home faves against New Mexico State.

- The Under is 9-2 in the Texas State Bobcats last 11 road games. The Bobcats are in Idaho with a total of 49.5.

- Arkansas hosts Auburn Saturday. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in the previous five meetings.

- Florida International is 0-7 ATS versus a team with a winning record. The Golden Panthers host 5-2 East Carolina Saturday and are 24.5-point home dogs.

- A solid home bet is Georgia Tech. The Jackets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games and are 11.5-point home faves with Pitt in town.

- Missouri has been cashing in for Over bettors. The Tigers are 8-3 O/U in their last 11 games. They host Tennessee with a total of 55 Saturday.

- Oklahoma State has scored 20 or more points in 46 straight games, this longest active streak in the country and second longest since 1978.

- Texas Tech lost its previous five games televised on Fox.

- The Under is 25-4 in UCLA's last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Bruins host the 3-4 Colorado Buffaloes with a total of 57.

- The New Mexico Lobos are 14-2 ATS in the last 16 meetings with San Diego State. The Aztecs are favored by 14 at home.

- The Underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings between Miami and Florida State. FSU is a 21-point home fave Saturday evening.

- The Boise State Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games in November. BSU is favored by a touchdown on the road at Colorado State.

- The Texas A&M Aggies are favored by 47.5 at home versus UTEP. It is by far their highest spread this season and they are 2-1 ATS with a spread of 25 or greater this season.

- Fresno State is just 1-4 SU in the previous five meetings with Nevada, but have covered the spread in three straight.

[Udog]

Man, these football trends threads are getting hard to find!!

[Udog]

College football betting weather report: Saturday's forecasts

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Marshall Thundering Herd
Temperatures will be in the high-40s with a 23 percent chance of rain.

Illinois Fighting Illini at Penn State Nittany Lions
Fans at Beaver Stadium face a 28 percent chance of showers with temperatures in the low-50s.

Ohio State Buckeyes at Purdue Boilermakers
Temperatures will be in the high-40s with a 20 percent chance of rain and wind blowing diagonally out of the northwest at 13 mph.

Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes
Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with wind blowing diagonally out of the northwest at 13 mph.

Bryant Bulldogs at Robert Morris Colonials
Temperatures will be in the high-40s with a 59 percent chance of rain and wind blowing across the width of the field at 11 mph.

Rice Owls at North Texas Mean Green
Temperatures will hover in the mid-60s with wind blowing south across the length of the field at 13 mph.

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Eastern Illinois Panthers
Wind will blow diagonally out of the northwest at 13 mph with temperatures in the high-40s.

Tennessee State Tigers at Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with a 30 percent chance of showers.

Bucknell Bison at Colgate Raiders
There is a 67 percent chance of rain in the forecast with temperatures in the mid-50s.

Butler Bulldogs at Dayton Flyers
Temperatures will be in the in the high-40s with a 26 percent chance of showers.

San Diego Toreros at Valparaiso Crusaders
Fans at Brown Field face a 20 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the mid-40s and wind blowing diagonally out of the northwest at 12 mph.

Kent State Golden Flashes at Akron Zips
Temperatures will be in the high-40s with a 48 percent chance of showers.

Georgia Bulldogs at Florida Gators
There will be at 66 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the mid-70s.

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Indiana Hoosiers
Temperatures will be in the low-50s with a 20 percent chance of showers.

Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans
There is a 30 percent chance of rain at Spartan Stadium with temperatures in the mid-40s.

Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with a 50 percent chance of rain and wind blowing diagonally out of the northwest at 13 mph.

Chattanooga Mocs at Appalachian State Mountaineers
Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with a 36 percent chance of showers and wind blowing diagonally out of the northwest at 12 mph.

Weber State Wildcats at Portland State Vikings
JELD-WEN Field will be pelted by persistent rain with temperatures in the low-50s and wind blowing out of the southwest at 13 mph.

Tulane Green Wave at Florida Atlantic Owls
Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 20 percent chance of showers.

East Carolina Panthers at FIU Golden Oanthers
Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 20 percent chance of showers.

St. Francis U Red Flash at Duquesne Dukes
Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with a 59 percent chance of rain.

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Notes on rest of the games......

-- Underdogs are 7-3 vs spread in last 10 Clemson-Virginia games; Tigers split last four meetings here, winning by 10-21 points. ACC home dogs are 8-4 against the spread.
-- Virginia Tech won its last four games vs Boston College by an average score of 32-13; favorites covered last five series games. Hokies are 2-0 in true road games this year, winning 17-10/15-10.
-- Eastern Michigan is 0-5 vs spread in its last five games, allowing 51.6 ppg; they're 1-4 as road underdogs this year. Toledo won last two games by combined total of four points.
-- Northern Illinois covered four of its last five games; they're 3-1 as road favorites this year. UMass is 3-2 as an underdog of 19+ points. MAC home underdogs are 1-13 vs spread this season.

-- Underdogs are 10-4 vs spread in last 14 Kent-Akron games; Kent won last three, by 11-32-11 points. Kent lost its last four games, giving up an average of 36 ppg. Akron allowed 31+ points in six of nine games.
-- Rutgers won its last three games with Temple by 25-10-16 points; the average score, 27-10. AAC home favorites are 3-6 vs spread. Temple is 3-0 as a road underdog this year, losing away games by 22-2-18-10.
-- Underdogs covered six of last seven Illinois-Penn State games; Lions won last two meetings 35-7/10-7. Illini lost last three games, allowing an average of 45.7 ppg- all three losses were by 20+ points.
-- Pitt played Navy last week, Paul Johnson's old team, so they've seen what they're going to see here. Panthers are 1-2 on road, losing by 10-3 points, winning 55-52 at Duke. Tech is 3-1-1 as a favorite this year.

-- Favorites covered four of last five Syracuse games. Wake Forest is 3-2 in last five games, losing by FG at Miami last week- they're 1-2 as road dogs. ACC home favoritea are 10-7 vs spread.
-- Western Kentucky is 1-3 as a favorite this year; they lost last couple games, allowing 69 points. Georgia State is 0-8 but covered four of its last five games.
-- Kansas State won last five games vs Iowa State, all by 8 or less points; underdogs are 4-1-1 vs spread in last six series games. Cyclones lost last four games, allowing 50.5 ppg. K-State is 2-1 as a home favorite.
-- Southern Miss is awful, covering one of seven losses; they allowed 55 points in each of last two games. Marshall is 2-3 when favored; their last two games were decided by total of three points.

-- Middle Tennessee lost three of last four games, and allowed 49 points in the win; favorites covered all four of its road games. Only one of four MT wins was by more than seven points,
-- Tulsa lost four of its last five games, covered one of seven this season. UTSA is 1-3 at home this year, with losses by 21-31-6 points. C-USA home favorites are 4-6 vs spread.
-- Army beat Air Force 41-21 LY, just its second series win in 16 tries; Cadets covered last two meetings, after covering once in previous nine in series. Air Force is 0-7 against I-A teams this season.
-- Arizona lost its last four visits to Cal, all by 8+ points, but Bears are 0-7 vs I-A teams this year, with 44-30 closest loss. Favorites covered all six of Arizona's I-A games this season.

-- UCLA is 4-0 as a favorite this year; they lost last two games on road, at Stanford/Oregon. Pad-12 home favorites are 14-6. Colorado is short on talent, losing last four I-A games, all by 24+ points.
-- Notre Dame beat Navy 50-10/56-14 last two years, after losing three of previous four games with Middies. Irish are 3-1 at home, winning by 22-4-4 points; they're 2-1 as home favorites this season.
-- Arkansas State is 0-3 on road, losing by 29-24-22 points; they're 0-6 vs spread in last six games. South Alabama scored 31+ points in five of its last six games- they're 1-1 as favorites this season.
-- Utah State is 4-4, scoring 40+ points in wins, 26 or less in the losses; they're 2-2 when favored. Hawai'i is 0-7 but scored 32.3 ppg in last four games. MWC home favorites are 2-11 against the spread.

-- UL-Lafayette won its last four I-A games; they're coming off couple of Tuesday night, national TV wins. New Mexico State is 0-7 vs its I-A foes, 1-6 vs spread; only one of its losses was by less than 21 points.
-- Underdogs covered five of Texas State's six I-A games; State is 0-2 as a favorite. Idaho allowed 55.7 ppg in its last three games; average total in its three home games is 68.3.
-- Kansas is 1-5 vs I-A teams, 2-3 vs spread as an underdog. Texas won its last four games; they're 3-1 as home favorite. Home favorites are 6-5 in Big X play this season.
-- Florida Atlantic's coach quit this week for off-field issues; Owls are a favorite for first time this year- they're 6-2 as a dog. Tulane won its last three games by total of 12 points- they're 5-1 as an underdog.

-- FIU lost first four games by average score of 47-6, but won twice in three games since, with only loss 23-7. Underdogs are 5-1-1 vs spread in East Carolina's games; Pirates are 1-3-1 as favorites.
-- Nevada won four of last five games vs Fresnoo State, with the average total in last six, 77.5. Bulldogs are 7-0 but just 1-4-1 vs spread, winning at home by 1-1-24 points. Nevada is 1-3 as an underdog this year.
-- South Carolina rallied back from 17-0 deficit to win at Missouri last week; Gamecocks won last six games vs Mississippi State, winning last four by average of 25-11. State failed to cover last three games.
-- Underdogs covered five of last seven New Mexico-San Diego St. tilts; Aztecs won last three by 28-10-3 points, but didn't cover any of them. Road teams covered five of Lobos' seven games this season.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 2

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Oklahoma State at Texas Tech: What bettors need to know
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Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2, 66.5)

Oklahoma State will try to stretch its winning streak to five games against No. 15 Texas Tech when the No. 12 Cowboys travel to Lubbock for Saturday night’s Big 12 matchup. The Red Raiders are the first ranked team Oklahoma State will face this season and they entered the week tied for fifth in the nation at 537.1 total yards a game. Texas Tech is coming off its first loss of the season, however, and is 1-7 in the month of November over the last two years.

Oklahoma State’s strength lies in its run game as Desmond Roland is coming off a career-high 219 rushing yards and four touchdowns last weekend in a 58-27 victory at Iowa State and Jeremy Smith is second in the Big 12 with eight rushing TDs. The quarterback situation is more unsettled for the Cowboys and coach Mike Gundy said this week he’s planning to play Clint Chelf and J.W. Walsh against the Red Raiders. Texas Tech’s best offensive weapon has been tight end Jace Amaro, who has emerged as one of the top pass catchers in the conference.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, Fox.

LINE: Texas Tech opened -1.5 and is now -2. The total opened at 66.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s. Wind will blow toward the N endzone at 9 mph.

ABOUT OKLAHOMA STATE (6-1, 3-1 Big 12): Josh Stewart is leading the Cowboys in receptions and receiving yards for the second straight season, leaving him 16 yards short of becoming the seventh player in school history to reach 2,000 receiving yards for his career. Stewart was limited to 20 yards or less in two of the last three games, however. Chelf hasn’t helped Stewart’s productivity, completing 38 percent of his passes in the seven quarters since he took over for Walsh.

ABOUT TEXAS TECH (7-1, 4-1): The Red Raiders are looking to beat a ranked opponent for the second time this season, something they haven't accomplished since 2008. Davis Webb has passed for at least 385 yards in each of the last three games, including seven touchdown passes in that span, but was intercepted twice in last week’s 38-30 loss to Oklahoma, causing some to wonder if Baker Mayfield would regain the starting job he lost to a knee injury earlier this season. Texas Tech coach Kliff Kingsbury put those thoughts to rest by announcing Webb will make his fourth consecutive start Saturday.

TRENDS:

* Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Texas Tech.
* Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games.
* Over is 4-0 in Red Raiders last four games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Oklahoma State has scored 20 or more points in 46 straight games, this longest active streak in the country and second longest since 1978.

2. Fourteen players for the Cowboys have produced a play of 20 yards or more this season.

3. Texas Tech lost its previous five games televised on Fox.


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