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**Udog** · 10-28-2013, 09:16 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Most popular, least popular picks in the LVH Super Contest, where 1,034 contestants pick five games each week of the NFL season........they paid $1,500 each to be in this contest, by the way.

Most pop. (12-35-1 vs spread)

1) Cowboys 371 - W
2) Seahawks 357
3) Saints 297 - W
4) Vikings 293 - L
5) Falcons 273 - L
6) Chiefs 250 - L

Least popular (25-21-1)

31) Rams 71
30) 49ers 119 - W
29) Jaguars 120 - L
28) Bills 125 - L
26) Broncos 138 - W
26) Eagles 140 - L

*****

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday........

13) Panthers 31, Buccaneers 13 (Thursday)-- Carolina had 16-yard edge in field position, outrushed hapless Bucs 129-48. You could make an argument that the Buccaneers are in the tank, and I won't argue.

12) 49ers 42, Jaguars 10-- What should be the most exciting year of his life is turning into a nightmare for first-year Jags' coach Gus Bradley. He had to bury his dad this week (our condolences) and his job isn't going well either, as Jacksonville lost its first eight games, all by double figures.

11) Lions 31, Cowboys 30-- Stafford threw for 488 yards, 329 of which went to Calvin Johnson but Detroit was -4 in turnovers, so they needed an 80-yard drive in 0:50 to pull this exciting game out with 0:12 left. This was the second time in last 55 games an NFL team was -4 or worse in turnovers and won.

10) Giants 15, Eagles 7-- Vick felt his hamstring "pop" which could finish him for the year. This was the first time the Giants won without scoring a TD since a 9-6 win over Seattle on Sept. 22, 2002. Josh Brown kicked five FGs in what was a dreadful game.

9) Chiefs 23, Browns 17-- KC outrushed Browns 136-57, converted 10-19 on third down and are now 8-0 halfway thru their schedule. Campbell threw ball for 283 yards (7.6 ypa) in his first '13 start, but Browns were 3-12 on third down. Chiefs are now 5-13 in last 18 games as a home favorite.

8) Saints 35, Bills 17-- Buffalo turned ball over three times (-3), had 16-yard deficit in field position- this was first time this year Bills scored less than 20 points in a game. Brees completed 26-34 passes, was sharp off his bye.

7) Patriots 27, Dolphins 17-- Miami lost 4th game in a row after being up 17-3 at half; Fish were -3 in turnovers, lost despite holding Brady to only 116 yards passing and 2-10 on 3rd down conversions. Brady was just 12-22, only fifth time in eight games he completed more than half his passes.

6) Red Sox 4, Cardinals 2-- Last night's game ended on an obstruction call, this game ends on a pickoff at first when St Louis was down two runs. Jonny Gomes was the man for Boston, hitting a game-winning three-run homer. Red Sox used Lackey to to pitch 8th inning, his first relief stint since 2004.

5) Bengals 49, Jets 9-- Jet offense ran 65 plays Sunday; they were outscored 14-9 by Bengal defense on those 65 plays, with Cincy ran two INTs back for TDs. Dalton averaged 10.4 yards/pass attempts in this one-sided game.

4) Raiders 21, Steelers 18-- Pitt native Pryor ran 93 yards for TD on first play of the game, the longest run ever by a QB, as Oakland won its first post-bye game since 2002. Suisham missed two FGs under 40 yards and Steelers ran ball for only 35 yards-- hard to win that way.

3) Broncos 45, Redskins 21-- Washington led 21-7 with with 11:35 left in the third quarter, then the roof fell in-- Redskins threw picks on their last four possessions, while Denver gained 266 yards from that point on and scored a defensive TD against Washington's backup QB Cousins. This was a sloppy game, with nine turnovers-- seven INTs.

2) Cardinals 27, Falcons 13-- Atlanta ran ball for only 27 yards; in last two games, they've run ball 32 times for 45 yards- without Julio Jones, Ryan can't just throw it on every play and put enough points on board. Cardinals get to their bye 4-4, showing progress under first-year coach Arians.

1) Packers 44, Vikings 31-- RB Lacy gives Green Bay balance on offense that offsets all the injuries their WR/TE's have had. Both teams had a special teams TD in this game. Vikings need to decide on a starting QB.

**Udog** · 10-28-2013, 09:16 AM

NCAAF betting: SEC teams closing in on win totals

It might be hard to believe, but the NCAA season is rapidly winding down.

What better opportunity to look back at season win total and check out which teams are on the cusp and still have a legit shot of surpassing those totals?

Here is a look at three teams in the SEC that have a chance, but face some stiff competition down the stretch.

For your reference, here is a look at season win totals from 5Dimes.eu.

Texas A&M Aggies (6-2)

The Aggies were given a season win total of 9.5 and currently sport a 6-2 record with two home losses to Alabama and Auburn. A&M has four games remaining and should pick up wins at home versus versus UTEP and Mississippi State in their next two games. Closing the season will be tough with away games at LSU and at Missouri.

South Carolina Gamecocks (6-2)

Like the Aggies, the Gamecocks were given a 9.5 season win total and also own a 6-2 record. It has been an inconsistent season for Steven Spurrier's team as they can lose to a run-of-the-mill Tennessee program one week, and beat an extremely good Missouri Tigers team the next. South Carolina has four games left, but they are all at home. They'll close the season against Mississippi State, Florida, Coastal Carolina and, finally, Clemson.

Tennessee Volunteers (4-4)

Just a final pair of victories and the Volunteers will cash in for bettors that had them surpassing the 5.5 win total attached to them. It won't be easy, though. The next two games will be tough for the Volunteers as they are at Missouri in Week 10 and host Auburn the following week. They have a favorable conclusion to the season with games against Vanderbilt and a season-finale at Kentucky.

**Udog** · 10-28-2013, 09:19 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Boston at St. Louis
The Red Sox look to follow up their 4-2 win last night and build on their 10-1 record in their last 11 playoff games as an underdog. Boston is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, AUGUST 28

Game 959-960: Boston at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 17.122; St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.569
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+100); Under

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 28

Lester is 5-1, 2.11 in his last seven starts, 2-1, 1.40 in three playoff starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six starts.

Wainwright is 5-0, 1.25 in his last six home starts, 2-2, 2.89 in his last four in playoffs. Cardinals scored once in his last two starts, but four of his last five starts went over the total.

Boston is 6-3 in its last nine games; they're 4-3 on road in playoffs.

St Louis won eight of last 12 games; they've allowed 13 runs in their nine postseason wins, 33 in six losses. Cardinals are 13-2 in their last 15 games at home- four of their last six games went over the total.

MLB

Monday, October 28

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Trend Report
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BOSTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 13 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games

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MLB

Monday, October 28

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Red Sox at Cardinals: What bettors need to know
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Boston Red Sox at St. Louis Cardinals (-115, 7)

Series tied 2-2.

The first four games of the World Series have been won by the team that makes the fewest mistakes. Both the St. Louis Cardinals and the Boston Red Sox will attempt to take control of the series when the former hosts Game 5 on Monday. The big mistake of Game 4 was a high sinker to Jonny Gomes, who deposited it beyond the left-field wall to give the Red Sox a 4-2 win.

St. Louis became the first team in history to end a World Series game on a pickoff when its other big mistake came back to bite it on Sunday. Rookie Kolten Wong was nabbed at first base to end the game with Carlos Beltran at the plate representing the tying run. That marks two straight series games ending in historic fashion after Boston made the big mistake of Game 3 on an obstruction call at third base.

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER: Temperatures in high 50s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing ESE at 4 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox LH Jon Lester (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (0-1, 5.40)

Lester dominated in Game 1, striking out eight and scattering five hits in 7 2/3 scoreless innings. The 29-year-old has not allowed a run in 13 1/3 career innings in the World Series and is dominant in the 2013 postseason with five runs allowed in 27 total innings. Lester’s worst start of the playoffs was his lone road turn, when he surrendered two runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings at Detroit.

Wainwright did not get a lot of help from the defense behind him in Game 1 and ended up being charged with five runs (three earned) on six hits in five innings. That made two straight losses in the postseason for Wainwright, who came out on the bad end of a 3-0 shutout at Los Angeles in the National League Championship Series. Wainwright got the win in each of his two postseason starts at home, yielding two runs on 11 hits in 16 combined innings.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in St. Louis.
* Red Sox are 5-2 in their last seven during Game 5 of a series.
* Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight during Game 5 of a series.

UMP TRENDS - Bill Miller:

* Under is 36-17 in Miller's last 53 interleague games behind home plate.
* Under is 42-20 in Miller's last 62 games behind home plate.
* Home team is 6-2 in Miller's last eight interleague games behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Red Sox have committed errors in five straight games.

2. St. Louis 3B David Freese, who is the 2011 World Series MVP, is 1-for-12 with four strikeouts in the set.

3. Boston DH David Ortiz is playing 1B in the NL park and has reached base safely in each of his last seven trips to the plate.

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**Udog** · 10-28-2013, 09:21 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Dallas at Buffalo
The Sabres look to take advantage of a Dallas team that is coming off a 2-1 shootout loss against Winnipeg and is 1-6 in its last 7 games after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Buffalo is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Sabres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 28

Game 51-52: Dallas at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.872; Buffalo 11.714
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+110); Over

Game 53-54: Pittsburgh at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.971; Carolina 10.440
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-160); Under

Game 55-56: Montreal at NY Rangers (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.262; NY Rangers 11.301
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+100); Over

Game 57-58: Chicago at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.211; Minnesota 10.831
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-120); Under

Game 59-60: Washington at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.078; Vancouver 12.520
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-150); Under

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 28

Hot teams
-- Minnesota won its last three games, allowing four goals.
-- Canucks won their last three games, all in OT/SO. Washington won three of its last four.

Cold teams
-- Buffalo lost 11 of its 13 games. Dallas Stars lost five of their last seven games.
-- Penguins lost their last three games, scoring four goals. Carolina lost five of its last seven.
-- Canadiens lost three of their last four games. First home game for 3-6 Rangers, after they remodeled Madison Square Garden.
-- Chicago lost three of its last five games.

Series records
-- Dallas Stars lost five of their last six games with Buffalo.
-- Penguins won six of their last seven games with Carolina.
-- Rangers lost their last three games with Montreal, outscored 8-1.
-- Blackhawks won six of last eight games with Minnesota (lost 5-3 Sat).
-- Canucks won four of last five games with Washington.

Totals
-- Four of last five Dallas games went over the total.
-- Four of five Carolina home games stayed under the total.
-- All four Montreal road games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Chicago road games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Vancouver home games stayed under the total.

NHL

Monday, October 28

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. BUFFALO
Dallas is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
Dallas is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

7:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. NY RANGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Montreal
NY Rangers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. MINNESOTA
Chicago is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. VANCOUVER
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

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NHL

Monday, October 28

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Pucking the trends: This week's best NHL bets
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For the week of Oct. 21-27.

Hot team

Minnesota Wild (3-0 SU)

The Wild had a great week as they posted victories over the Nashville Predators, Carolina Hurricanes and the Chicago Blackhawks. Minnesota has been paced by stellar goaltending from both Josh Harding and Niklas Backstrom. We'll see how strong the Wild are as the the 'Hawks come to town with revenge in mind Tuesday night.

Cold team

Detroit Red Wings (0-3 SU)

The Winged Wheel got off to a great start, typical of the stellar franchise. That went pear shaped quickly as the Wings have dropped four-straight games and lost all three efforts this past week. Even worse, the three losses came at home against San Jose, Ottawa and the New York Rangers.

Best Over play

Phoenix Coyotes (3-0 O/U)

The Coyotes are a young and exciting team and strong defensively. Supposedly. You'd think a blue line featuring Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Keith Yandle and Mike Smith between the pipes would keep scorelines low. Apparently not so. The 'Yotes sit 25th in the league with 3.17 and gave up seven to the Kings earlier this week.

Best Under play

Buffalo Sabres (1-2 O/U)

The lowly Sabres are the best Under play on the season at 3-9 O/U and have played under the total in back-to-back games heading into the new week. Buffalo is having huge problems lighting lamp and are dead-last in the league averaging 1.46 goals per game. On the flip side, goalies Ryan Miller and Jhonas Enroth were extremely good throughout the week. There's a good chance they could appease Under bettors this upcoming week as they face fellow low-scoring teams like the Dallas Stars and New York Rangers.

Surveying the schedule

- The Boston Bruins are a perfect 4-0 on the road and have two big road games this upcoming week. They are at the Pittsburgh Penguins Wednesday and at the New York Islanders Saturday evening.

- The Vancouver Canucks have been a dominant 5-2-1 against Eastern Conference opponents this season. The Canucks begin a a three-game road trip Monday night at Washington and then travel to Detroit Wednesday before facing the Leafs at Toronto Saturday night.

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NHL

Monday, October 28

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NHL betting: Despite rule changes, Unders cashing in
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Even with the expectation that goalscoring would increase (which it still may, of course) due to size restrictions on goalie equipment, NHL Unders are hitting at 55.26 percent in all games and 57.01 in non-overtime games heading into Sunday's action.

The new rule restricts the size of a goalies' pads, making them shorter and exposing a bit more of the five hole.

Another rule change, one that kind of slid under the radar, is the decrease in the size of the net. Due to this, there is more room behind the net, thus more space to set up and make pass, or even attempt a wrap around.

There are a number of teams that have posted excellent records skewing to the Under side to start the season.

The Buffalo Sabres (3-9 Over/Under), Montreal Canadiens (3-8 O/U), Philadelphia Flyers (2-7 O/U), Chicago Blackhawks (3-8 O/U), Minnesota Wild (3-7 O/U) and Boston Bruins (2-6 O/U) are the top under plays in the league at the moment.

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**Udog** · 10-28-2013, 10:25 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 28

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DALLAS (4-5-0-1, 9 pts.) at BUFFALO (2-10-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/28/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 0-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (7-4-0-0, 14 pts.) at CAROLINA (4-4-0-3, 11 pts.) - 10/28/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-2 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

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MONTREAL (6-5-0-0, 12 pts.) at NY RANGERS (3-6-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/28/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 37-60 ATS (-23.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-21 ATS (+29.5 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 142-172 ATS (-115.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-2 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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CHICAGO (6-2-0-3, 15 pts.) at MINNESOTA (6-3-0-3, 15 pts.) - 10/28/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 8-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-18 ATS (-15.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 3-14 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-4 ATS (+16.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)

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WASHINGTON (5-6-0-0, 10 pts.) at VANCOUVER (8-4-0-1, 17 pts.) - 10/28/2013, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 120-165 ATS (-67.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 135-84 ATS (+33.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 25-12 ATS (+10.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 1-0-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, October 28

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BOSTON (106 - 70) at ST LOUIS (106 - 71) - 8:05 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LESTER is 22-27 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 8-13 (-8.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 106-71 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 30-16 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
ST LOUIS is 60-29 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 18-6 (+10.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
ST LOUIS is 106-71 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 50-21 (+24.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ST LOUIS is 391-267 (+58.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 20-8 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
WAINWRIGHT is 59-28 (+20.3 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 106-70 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 48-40 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BOSTON is 94-62 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 75-55 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 71-48 (+14.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 22-26 (-11.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

JON LESTER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LESTER is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.20 and a WHIP of 1.067.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. BOSTON since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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**Udog** · 10-28-2013, 11:52 AM

MLB

Monday, October 28

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Baseball's best Under ump behind home plate for Game 5
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Umpire Bill Miller will be behind home plate for Game 5 of the World Series in St. Louis Monday night, putting MLB totals bettors on red alert.

Miller is among the best Under umps in the majors this season, with his games going 10-24 O/U during the regular season – a winning percentage of 70.5 for the Under in those contests.

Last season, Miller’s games as home ump posted a 13-20 O/U record and going back to 2008, Miller has produced a 75-124 O/U count (62% Unders) when set as the home plate umpire.

While Miller’s lone 2013 postseason game calling the balls and strikes topped the total, the 16-year veteran ump is 20-42 O/U in his last 62 games as home plate ump. Miller is also 17-36 O/U in his last 53 interleague contests behind home.

Monday’s total for Game 5 is set at 7 runs, with ace pitchers Jon Lester and Adam Wainwright taking the mound. During the regular season, games with totals of seven or less runs went 3-8 O/U when Miller was making the calls. The Under is a perfect 4-0 in the last four starts for Lester with Miller behind home plate.

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**Udog** · 10-28-2013, 11:58 AM

Defending NBA champs a bad bet in season openers

The Miami Heat bucked a long-running ATS trend last season, defeating the Boston Celtics 120-107 as 6.5-point home favorites on the opening night of the NBA schedule.

Before that victory, defending NBA champions were 7-3 SU but just 3-7 ATS in their first game of the season off a title run over the last 10 years. That win over Boston also snapped a six-game ATS skid for reigning NBA champs in their first game of the schedule.

Miami is back in that position again, taking on the Chicago Bulls as a 5-point home favorite to kick off the 2013-14 season Tuesday night.

Before the Heat won their opener last October, the Dallas Mavericks, Los Angeles Lakers (twice), Celtics, San Antonio Spurs, and the 2011-12 Miami squad fell short of the spread in their season debuts.

Going back another 10 seasons, between 1992 and 2001, defending NBA champions flexed their muscles in the season opener, going 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS. However, the Bulls (5), Houston Rockets (2) and Lakers (2) accounted for nine of those titles.

Oddsmakers have set the Heat as +240 favorites to win their third straight NBA title this season. Tuesday’s total is set at 187.5 points.

**Kaptain** · 10-28-2013, 12:05 PM

thanks once again U Dog...........we took no prisoners this weekend.........up about 30 units, and big plays were 7-0............keep the info coming .. believe you me, I do read em, and study em

**WThotrod** · 10-28-2013, 12:24 PM

Thanks for the useful information, Udog! What a great weekend we had riding Kaptain's coattails!

**Udog** · 10-28-2013, 12:26 PM

NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, October 28

Dallas at Buffalo, 7:05 ET
Dallas: 105-55 SU off a loss against a division rival
Buffalo: 0-7 SU in home games first half of the season

Pittsburgh at Carolina, 7:05 ET
Pittsburgh: 19-5 SU off a road loss
Carolina: 7-1 SU off 2 or more consecutive road losses

Montreal at NY Rangers, 7:35 ET
Montreal: 15-32 SU after playing a home game
NY Rangers: 8-4 SU off a road win by 1 goal

Chicago at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Chicago: 9-18 SU after allowing 4 goals or more
Minnesota: 12-4 SU after a win by 2 goals or more

Washington at Vancouver, 10:05 ET
Washington: 6-20 SU in road games after playing a road game
Vancouver: 134-76 SU when playing with 2 days rest

MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, October 28

Boston at St Louis, 8:05 ET
Lester: 8-13 TSR after a win
Wainwright: ST LOUIS is 50-21 SU after a loss

**Udog** · 10-28-2013, 12:42 PM

Originally posted by Kaptain View Post

thanks once again U Dog...........we took no prisoners this weekend.........up about 30 units, and big plays were 7-0............keep the info coming .. believe you me, I do read em, and study em

Originally posted by WThotrod View Post

Thanks for the useful information, Udog! What a great weekend we had riding Kaptain's coattails!

Good morning, guys! What a weekend!!!! Holy cow!

Kaptain, I'm really glad to hear this stuff helps a little bit. I always run my picks through here and I find it really does help when I use this stuff to make the final cut of my list.

I'm looking for everything that's available so far for the new cfb week. I've got the long sheet and trend reports ready to go and I'll start that thread within minutes.

Rod, did I miss a hockey pick this weekend? I've been watching closely for you but sometimes I'll miss something even when I'm looking for it. Those first two totals were great calls!

Let's have a great day, guys! I'm looking for Waino to make a statement tonight after falliing apart in game 1. We'll see.

Good luck tonight, guys!

**jt4545** · 10-28-2013, 01:23 PM

Thanks and good luck udog

**WThotrod** · 10-28-2013, 02:40 PM

Hey Udog, no worries, as you didn't miss any posts. I am very selective about my picks in hockey and sometimes just play one game a week. I like to wait for bad backup goalies to start, like that third stringer on the Penguins, who is only playing on the NHL due their regular backup being out 3-6 months.

Good luck tonight!

Announcement

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 10/28 (MLB, CFL, NHL, Misc.)

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 10/28 (MLB, CFL, NHL, Misc.)

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